Final Oscar Predictions | Above-the-Line Categories

[@joser1853]

I remember watching Banshees at Venice and immediately predicting Condon for the supp actress win. Something about her performance just gives me vibes that the Academy will go for. I think for Basset we've been relying too much on the narrative and places like the Globe's have been trying to push it, but 's time and time again the Oscar's love to prove that's not the case.

[@bev9708]

Good point!!!

[@TheAwardsContender]

We shall see!

[@thecoolj45221]

@@TheAwardsContender WOULD YOU DO A VIDEO INTERVIEW FOR MY KZbin CHANNEL

[@user-CatherineDodd]

Michelle Yeoh, is your Oscar winner for Best Actress of 2022- an incredibly executed tour de force performance that can only be describe as Bravura .

[@MuhammadAhmad-oj6mf]

Nah! Cate Blanchett is going to win.

[@user-CatherineDodd]

@@MuhammadAhmad-oj6mf Who do you want to win and who’s going to win are two very different things. Although, I honestly believe that either Yeoh or Blanchett could pull off a win on Oscar night. But based on the odds and the momentum in this final week of Oscar voting. It seems to me that the ship is sinking rapidly on Cate Blanchett’s side and her favor to win for Best Actress has gone down dramatically. Having said that, let us leave all the arrangements to academy voters, I’m sure they would choose wisely…It will not, however, be Blanchett ( not in pejorative sense lol). I believe Michelle Yeoh is going to win and should win on Oscar night. I wouldn’t miss it for the world to witness that moment.

[@encheknizam]

@@MuhammadAhmad-oj6mf In your dream. Michelle is winning. 2022 is her year.

[@markzzzzberg1312]

yes, Michelle Yeoh for the winnn

[@ahboonahboon8355]

@@MuhammadAhmad-oj6mf 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣dreaming

No matter what, I'm rooting for Michelle Yeoh and Angela Bassett 'til the very end.

[@kelebogilemotlogelwa1582]

Yes till the very end 💪🙌

[@michelrodrigues5686]

🙄🙄🙄🙄

[@TheAwardsContender]

Saaaaame

[@d.b.8203]

Also, it is crazy that movies *even once they are nominees* have to be hyped up enough to get the exposure needed to win! Like, omg, Academy voters, come on, do the very least and watch all of the nominated films!

[@jurney3478]

This is also a reason why I don't like when one thing sweeps. When something sweeps it doesn't feel like they've actually watched it or even like it but just wanna copy everyone else.

[@oxford17]

Yes, the politics behind it all are disheartening.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes!

[@Weezing336]

I have not seen The Whale, but every time I see a little clip of Fraser in the role.. I tear up. Every time.

[@TheAwardsContender]

He’s amazing in the film!

[@RandomRandomMan]

Martin McDonagh is already an Oscar winner. He won Best Live Action Short Film for 'Six Shooter'. It is available on KZbin and the home releases of 'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri'.

[@dj71162]

It's on KZbin as well. I watched it last night in fact.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes, now I know!

I was thinking about an Andrea Riseborough upset back when she was nominated, but the To Leslie team just stopped campaigning after that. It just died, fizzled out. They've given up and disappeared. It almost feels like they're ashamed of getting what they wanted, like their joke got way too serious way too fast and they weren't really expecting that.

[@allabouteve2390]

Which is a shame since big studios do it all the time in a hidden way...

[@ashlybuck5706]

Their campaign wasn't a joke. No matter how us normies feel about Hollywood, these people are serious about their jobs. I recognize all of the good things that come out of this nonsense. I think To Leslie deserves recognition.

[@Clouden3]

That's because regular people finally got around to seeing it and laughed. There's no way that performance should've been nominated.

[@morrisoniice]

​@@allabouteve2390 so does that mean that studios are doing it that independents should? Precisely why people are calling for change.

[@janlyrliu9697]

If she wins, it will be a huge upset that potentially plagues her for many years, similar to Marissa Tomei in 92. And it’s more damaging than beneficial. Not that she isn’t good or that her campaign is really scandalous. But her top 2 competitors are too beloved and presented their career-best work, and to take it from either one of them would be the real scandal.

[@Jared_Wignall]

I’m really hoping for Brendan Fraser to win Best Actor. He was amazing in The Whale and while that film doesn’t have as much love as Elvis or The Banshees of Inisherin, I hope Fraser is able to walk away with the Academy Award. Thanks for your predictions Brian, I hope you’re doing well.

[@melisagalvalizi6982]

unfortunately, they LOOOOVE stupid biopics, elvis is bad

[@Equalrights4all]

As good as Fraser was, I honestly think Paul Mescal is going to take it! Only nomination for Aftersun and was a deeply powerful performance.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Thank you, Jared! Hoping for Fraser, too!

[@Jared_Wignall]

@@Equalrights4all unfortunately, most films that have just one nomination for acting don’t win these days. Save for Julianne Moore in Still Alice on the last decade, but she was also nominated 5 times before. He’s never been nominated before now, so even with a strong performance, he doesn’t have too much to give him a boost to beat out Fraser, Butler or even Farrell, who all have at least one major award from the award circuit.

[@whatchahowsya8688]

Personally, I want Stephanie to be the surprise win. If we're awarding based on performances, Stephanie gave a lead actress-level performance. She's 1/3 of that movie and carried her weight fantastically. However, I believe Basset is taking it. I wouldn't be upset either cause she's amazing. But, if I'm being honest I feel like with the upset of Davis and Deadwyler getting snubbed, there might be a strong pull to support Angela. I don't think the Oscar's wants the narrative of 3 incredible (and deserving) black actresses getting snubbed.

[@521tess]

The Oscars always seem to have an "out of left field" win and I think that Stephanie may be that surprise this year. I agree with you that her performance was somewhere between a lead/supporting role. And she was amazing to boot.

[@ZoraNH.dusttracks1891]

I just really don’t think the Academy cares that much about being accused of “snubbing” black actresses….It isn’t a new complaint, and it’s been business as usual.

[@whatchahowsya8688]

​@@ZoraNH.dusttracks1891 very very true.

[@garryd7748]

Don’t forget that Stephanie Hsu is also a person of colour, as are Yeoh and Kwan….. we could very easily have 3 POC winners in the acting categories even without Angela Bassett getting the win

[@TheAwardsContender]

Hoping for Angela!

[@noemicserpes1548]

Brian, you got me very excited about the Oscars again after years and years of ignorance. I started to watch your videos a couple of months ago and they’re so smart, you have such good speaking style, now I am looking forward to them :) also I am watching oscar nominated movies again. thanks for your suggestions and bringing a little bit of excitement and Oscar-buzz back into my life :)

[@TheAwardsContender]

Your comment made my day, thanks so much! Glad my videos helped get you interested in the Oscars again!

[@petrvarfolomeev1993]

Thank you so much for your work! I haven't watched the Oscars for ages, but after your videos, I actually feel so excited for this year's ceremony.

[@TheAwardsContender]

What a wonderful compliment, thank you!

[@joannemurdock7899]

@@TheAwardsContender ELVIS has 8 nominations, should have been nominated for best director too Baz Lurhmann, and Tom Hanks should have nominated for best supporting actor! In Australia We are holding our breaths for Austin he deserves Bes Actor and Elvis best movie🥰👍

[@thecoolj45221]

@@TheAwardsContender WOULD YOU DO A VIDEO INTERVIEW FOR MY KZbin CHANNEL

[@ammyt2082]

I tend to choose a winner, but I genuinely believe BOTH Cate Blanchett and Michelle Yeoh deserve to win at The Oscars, which says a lot about their perfomances. Why not a tie?

[@Geo_Babe]

I’d be fine with this. Anyone know of this has ever happened in Oscar’s history? @brian?

[@seanlarajames708]

​@@Geo_Babe 1969- Katherine Hepburn and Barbara Streisand tie for best actress.

[@timgriffin3368]

It has happened

[@TheRobinBestia]

@@Geo_Babe The last time a tie happened was in 2013 for Best Sound Editing

[@bev9708]

Sooooo many of us want that this year for two such deserving women and their phenomenal performances!!! Actually I'd also like it in a couple of other categories too, as I would also love to see a tie in best picture! 🤷🏻‍♀

[@zen_m24]

With a huge part of the awards season narrative revolving around rewarding the work of legends who are often overlooked in the industry, I'm surprised Bill Nighy hasn't won any major awards. His performance in Living isn't as extravagant or showy as Butler's and Fraser's but Nighy is absolutely mesmerising with how he conveys deep emotions with nuanced subtleties

[@paulvoorhies8821]

I saw him on Broadway in The Vertical Hour; he’s a truly remarkable actor.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes, I thought he was going to win at BAFTA!

[@timgriffin3368]

I feel the same with Mescal, but too young or something. Mescal only had Really about 5 scenes where he could truly expose (via script of course) what was going on behind the facade of 'happy times, happy vacation'. A liiiiittle slow, script wise, but jeez, stunningly subtle performance.

[@paulvoorhies8821]

@@timgriffin3368 I agree he should was not excellent, but I also think he’s in the “just happy to be here” slot. AKA 5.

[@lonellfletcher]

I'm not gonna lie, the execution and direction and script for The Whale kept me from feeling Fraser's performance. I'm still with Butler because of both the performance and the watchability of the film as well.

[@Videos12ification]

It's interesting you say that because I felt the exact same way about Austin Butler's performance in Elvis. IMHO Colin Ferrell deserves to win if Brendan Fraser doesn't.

[@Videos12ification]

Just as a side note - I won't deny that Austin Butler was fantastic in Elvis but he was done a huge disservice (again IMO) by Tom Hanks' extremely annoying character who was constantly taking the focus off his performance. Why they chose to tell the story from "Col" Tom Parker's point of view is beyond me. Then Baz Luhrman covers up the weaknesses with flash per his style. I never thought I would hate a Tom Hanks performance. 😉

[@bryceeads7355]

I felt the exact same way, the whale made me laugh almost cause of how over the top everything felt

[@TheAwardsContender]

Interesting! I thought Fraser was excellent.

[@garrywallace1007]

@@Videos12ification Tom Hanks (and his prominence) ruined the movie for me......

[@psycane8462]

My Predictions; Best Picture - Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Director - Daniels Best Actor - Austin Butler (Elvis) Best Actress - Cate Blanchett (Tár) Best Supporting Actor - Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once) Best Supporting Actress - Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) Best Original Screenplay - The Banshees of Inisherin Best Adapted Screenplay - Women Talking Best International Feature Film - All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany) Best Documentary Feature Film - Navalny Best Animated Feature Film - Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio Best Live-Action Short Film - An Irish Goodbye Best Animated Short Film - The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse Best Documentary Short Film - The Elephant Whisperers Best Cinematography - All Quiet on the Western Front Best Costume Design - Elvis Best Film Editing - Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Makeup & Hairstyling - Elvis Best Production Design - Babylon Best Original Score - Babylon Best Original Song - "Naatu Naatu" from RRR Best Sound - Top Gun: Maverick Best Visual Effects - Avatar: The Way of Water

[@TheAwardsContender]

Good picks!

[@matheusfernandesneto]

Colin Farrell needs a miracle level Denzel Washington in 2002 to win.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Would be awesome!

[@rjmacready9828]

1 wrong here, 4 wrong total. good stuff man, excited for this sunday

[@londonuk8927]

Funny how they predict the best actress category based on the movie popularity and hype.. Cate's acting is superb so don't say she's not gonna win just because of her 2 Oscars, it should be performance based

[@gailcirillo8311]

Austin Butler Best Actor for Elvis obviously

[@TheAwardsContender]

You’re probably right!

[@Iambrianjohns]

LOVE YOU FOR PREDICTING ANGELA 😭😭 you just don’t know how heartbroken I’ve been with everyone just giving up on her during the race 😭

[@Kahayuman]

Brian predicted kerry

[@mrchrisliddell]

I'm with you, Angela needs to win. They missed their opportunity in the 90s so it needs to happen now.

[@jesusynfante5249]

@@Kahayuman don’t know what video you saw. He literally predicted Angela to win.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Would love to see her win!

[@docsamson198]

Butler definitively has a chance. It always helps to play a famous/real person when competing for Best Actor. But Fraser is a heavy sentimental favorite.

[@norway178]

Butler is the only actor who has been able to portray Elvis. Others tried but didn't come close.

[@encheknizam]

Oscar juries tend to go for senior actors for Best Actor so Brendan should be ready with his speech now.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes, they’re both deserving!

[@poihpioakarp8845]

My current GoldDerby predictions (as of 11.3): Best Picture: 10. Triangle.of Sadness 9. Avatar: The Way of Water 8. Women Talking 7. Elvis 6. Tár 5. The Fabelmans 4. Top Gun: Maverick 3. All Quiet on the Western Front 2. The Banshees of Inisherin 1. Everything Everywhere All at Once This race seems locked. Best Direction: 5. Ruben Östlund (Triangle of Sadness) 4. Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) 3. Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) 2. Todd Field (Tár) 1. The Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once) Todd Field could pull an upset, but it seems incredibly unlikely. Best Leading Actress: 5. Ana de Armas (Blonde) 4. Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans) 3. Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie) 2. Cate Blanchett (Tár) 1. Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once) An incredibly tight race between Yeoh and Blanchett, but I believe the latter's incredible disinterest in winning again will come into effect. Best Leading Actor: 5. Bill Nighy (Living) 4. Paul Mescal (Aftersun) 3. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) 2. Austin Butler (Elvis) 1. Brendan Fraser (The Whale) Another incredibly tight race, but I believe the career narrative, frontrunner status, and everyone being sick and tired of Austin Butler's Elvis schtick will end up working in Fraser's favour. Best Supporting Actress: 5. Hong Chao (The Whale) 4. Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once) 3. Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once) 2. Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) 1. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) A true toss up between the top 3, but Condon seems to me like the solid, stable pick with the one with the least working against her. Best Supporting Actor: 5. Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway) 4. Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans) 3. Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) 2. Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin) 1. Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) #QuanSweep LES GOOOOOOOO Best Original Screenplay: 5. Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner (The Fabelmans) 4. Ruben Östlund (Triangle of Sadness) 3. Todd Field (Tár) 2. The Daniels (Everything Everywhere All at Once) 1. Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin) I'm fully aware that I'm predicting an upset here, but I just can't see the 2nd strongest movie of the season go out with only a Best Supporting awards won in a toss up, and that's assuming that Condon does win. A win for The Daniels wouldn't shock me in the slightest tho. Best Adapted Screenplay: 5. Rian Johnson (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery) 4. Kazuo Ishiguro (Living) 3. Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer, Christopher McQuarrie, Peter Craig and Justin Marks (Top Gun: Maverick) 2. Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson and Ian Stockwell (All Quiet on the Western Front) 1. Sarah Polley (Women Talking) Here's my thinking when it comes to Women Talking vs. All Quiet on the Western Front: if Women Talking only got nominated for Best Picture and Best Screenplay, does that not mean that the Academy thinks the screenplay is so good that its strength is enough to elevate an otherwise unremarkable movie into being 1 of the 10 best movies of the year? And if so, what are the odds that another movie's screenplay can compete with such strength? IDK, that's what makes the most sense to me, but I'm not ruling out All Quiet at all.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Love!

[@jesusynfante5249]

I do think the Academy cares about Narrative. This year will be the same as last year’s Oscars with Chastain. The Academy LOVES a transformation. Same happened with Meryl, Kidman, Theron, Daniel Day Lewis. So I do want Fraser to win. I believe Bassett will win. But it’s between her and JLC. This will be the career recognition award. And I so want Yeoh to win. And I believe she will. Another category I’m excited for is Best Original Song. 👏🏻

[@encheknizam]

Naatu Naatu will win.

[@oxford17]

One could argue that Lincoln and My Left Foot are Biopics. The academy seems to love a wee-done biopic.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes!! Thanks for sharing!

[@oxford17]

Austin Butler was phenomenal! What he accomplished, which he did brilliantly, was far and away more complex and complicated, requiring more blood, sweat, tears, and talent than any of his competitors. I know Brenden was very good, and his comeback narrative is compelling; however, it should go to Austin.

[@melisagalvalizi6982]

to another awful biopic????

[@oxford17]

@@melisagalvalizi6982 You can argue against the director’s stylistic choices; however, there was nothing “awful” about Austin’s performance. Even to call director choices “awful” is simplistic and subjective. I hated Everything All at Once…but I can recognize that as an art form it has merit. I’m not drawn to Picasso, but I recognize the importance of his style as iconoclastic.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Great pick!

[@joannemurdock7899]

@@oxford17 i too loved Elvis it was mesmerising entertaining fantastic, loved it 11 times at the big screen cinema! BEST MOVIE, AUSTIN BEST ACTOR ! 💙🙏🙏💙

[@skylark1250]

They are very different performances. And very fine in their own way. But Fraser is the one to win. Such an emotional Performance. Austin is young: DeCaprio didn’t win for Gilbert Grape and I thought he should have but it was early in his career. Which is the tougher role? Oscar usually goes to the tough to play role.

[@girliboi]

i just don't see Butler taking it and can't see anyone stopping Yeoh.. i honestly think the average person who doesn't understand awards season put waaaay too much stock in various other awards leading up to oscar night.. . stipulated, SAG and DGA can offer some (SOME) degree of insight into the trending sentiment within the industry regarding actors/directors but it's not a game or mystery novel with 'clues' to decipher.. . the academy does what it does for its own reasons.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Thanks for watching!

[@aagold76]

supporting actress- splitting the vote could lead to a Jamie Lee Curtis win- probably how it happened at SAG. Same with Butler/Fraser splitting it and it goes to Farrell.... that happens a lot- recently Gaga and Close splitting and Coleman slipping in between.

[@aagold76]

re: Coleman- LOVED her and felt she deserved it.

[@TheAwardsContender]

I’m down for some surprises!

[@patrarus6097]

Thanks so much, Brian. I am so impressed with your cinema knowledge and your professionalism. You minimize the hype and report-predict in a credible way.

[@TheAwardsContender]

You’re too kind!

[@BFA100]

The 8 choices I am predicting to win the Oscar Best Picture: Everything Everywhere All at Once Best Actor: Austin Butler (Elvis) Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (TAR) Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) Best Director: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once) Best Original Screenplay: Everything Everywhere All at Once Best Adapted Screenplay: Women Talking

[@TheAwardsContender]

Nice picks!

[@lonellfletcher]

With Supporting Actress, I always expected Condon to win at BAFTA; Irish film, British Awards show. Come on. Curtis's SAG win feels like maybe the industry throwing her bone to award her a trophy she's never won without giving her the big one because, as you said, the performance just isn't Oscar worthy. I'm still holding out hope that the Golden Globe and, especially, Critics Choice wins were not flukes and that the Academy will not let Bassett walk away empty handed......again!!!!!!!!

[@kelebogilemotlogelwa1582]

I'm with you on this one the Oscar's /academy shouldn't let Angela walk away empty handed🤞

[@jeremyhill727]

Laura Dern won for Marriage Story which was less Oscar worthy than any of these performances but it was Laura Dern and they felt like giving her an Oscar. So idk.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Hoping for Bassett!

[@debbiemcnamara7059]

Please give it to Austin Butler!!!!!!!

[@aceynator]

Glass Onion was snubbed of Best Original Score!! How did All Quiet get in for a barely existing score when Glass Onion gave us so many memorable pieces and had such a great evolving motif

[@brybry3633]

We might get a Marcia Gay Harden this year.... Stephanie Or Hong can be called come Oscar night.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Hsu would be such a cool win!

[@matilda0410]

I've had this line up since January. It's the perfect line up. It feels like an acting quartet that will be remembered fondly.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes, I feel the same way!

[@gracegreen1859]

I want to share that Courtney birthday is the same day his wife wins her first Oscar. What a great night to celebrate. So happy for the happiest couple.

[@Clouden3]

The reason I'm not doubting Bassett is because the SAG went to Jamie Lee. If it had gone to Condon, i would've said the momentum has shifted, but Bassett won the early awards, won the most so far and you could argue BAFTA wanted to be different, and SAG wanted to honor the Curtis family for all their contributions. They both feel like intentional choices to muddy the waters but I don't think it'll stick. Bassett wins. As she should.

[@estebanjavierruizcerda9526]

Bassett had no reason to lose SAG tho, she's beloved and SAG could have easily follow GG and CC and push her narrative even further (They have done it before). If actors loved Everything and Curtis veteran status so much, the Oscar could follow it as well.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Fingers crossed for Bassett!!

[@paulvoorhies8821]

A question: do you think Blanchett’s Critics Choice acceptance speech helped Yeoh out at SAG and here? I think so. I was so sure of Cate’s winning even just after her SAG loss, but I gotta say, the groundswell for Yeoh feels tremendous. I’ll be happy either way, but I think Yeoh has it now.

[@FakePlayFighter]

What did she say so bad?

[@jenniepotterswift6880]

​@@FakePlayFighter nothing , she praised michelle and put the spotlight on her rather than on herself. It read like she didn't really want to win . :)

[@jenniepotterswift6880]

Helped her out for sure 💯💯💯

[@ravenclaw17]

@@jenniepotterswift6880 why lie blatantly lol? She just shouted out all the nominees as well other performances like Andrea Riseborough and Tang Wei specifically. She didn’t mention Michelle. Also the controversy surrounding it was her talk about how awards don’t matter and that it was just a horse race for show.

[@jenniepotterswift6880]

@@ravenclaw17 and you disagree ?

[@bar4oc]

‘Keoghan’ is pronounced like Kyown (as in rhymes with ‘phone’), not Kee-hogan, just for future reference.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Thanks!

[@allabouteve2390]

i love your comment about Fraser... YES to that!

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yay!

[@ClassicalMusic2002]

Martin McDonagh is literally an Oscar winner already, in fact he's been an Oscar winner since 2007 when his short film "Six Shooter" won in the live-action short category. Granted, he's never won a writing or directing Oscar, but he does already have an Oscar to his name, so it's not like he's gotten all these nominations and never won anything.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes, just learned this after recording!

[@ClassicalMusic2002]

@@TheAwardsContender Honestly that makes me feel better, because I hate seeing people write, direct and produce several awesome films in a row and not get recognized, so knowing he's already got a trophy is sweet!

[@onlopine]

No one is talking about EEOAO momentum. It’s been years since I’ve seen something like this. I think it’s going to sweep everything. Curtis is going to win. Even for song I would guess.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Wow, that’d be something!

[@climbinguphill]

The funny thing about Angela Bassett is that people falsely remember her winning for Whats Love Got to Do With It. Like I have had several conversations where people have gone “Oh she won for playing Tina Turner right?” So idk how that effects things, either people thinking she has already won or people coming to the realization that she lost for that and being more inclined to vote for her this time around.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes, good point!

[@debbiemcnamara7059]

They should have nominated the director for Elvis! He should have won for M R.

[@patricko.2013]

You make a heck of a good point about Regina King’s 2019 win and I did successfully predict she would win. The same can be said about Angela Basset for this year’s ceremony but the main difference I see between these is that King won a ton of critics awards throughout that award season prior to her Globe and Critics’s Choice win. However, the big winners of this season for critics have been Kerry Condon or Stephanie Chu. My instinct says Condon will win but could Basset? Less than a day till we know

[@TheAwardsContender]

It’s soooo close. My head says Condon, but Curtis is at play, and I’m rooting for Bassett!

[@allisontucker9874]

If you actually think about it, when Austin butler won the Golden Globe award for best actor, he dedicated the wind to Elvis Presley‘s daughter, Lisa Marie, who tragically passed away three days after the award ceremony so I honestly think Austin Butler deserves the best actor in a leading role because not only did he portray Elvis Presley Perfectly his singing talents are exceptional, his mannerisms were perfection, and he even got Elvis’s body language, correct. I honestly think that Austin Butler deserves the best actor win because Elvis is such an iconic pop-culture icon not just in music but as a person

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yeah, it’ll probably be Butler!

[@skylark1250]

Is he Australian? Or British actor?

[@allisontucker9874]

@@skylark1250 he’s American!!

[@allisontucker9874]

@@TheAwardsContender well I was disappointed with my hope for Austin Butler for Elvis, but I’m happy for Brendan Fraser he deserved it

[@skylark1250]

@@allisontucker9874 Why does he speak with an British accent? Glad Brendan Fraser won Best Actor!

[@paulvoorhies8821]

Final random Oscar thoughts: EEAAO will become the zaniest film ever to win the Best Pic Oscar. You have to admit, it’s kind of silly. Even though I like Michelle Yeoh and think she will win, I think Cate deserves to. The quality of performances isn’t even close. As much as I like Jamie Lee Curtis, her SAG win was kind of a joke and more of a career award than anything. I really hope that Kerry Condon or Angela Bassett takes The Oscar. Austin Butler will probably win, and that’s fine, but I’m rooting for Fraser. Obviously, the Daniels are taking Director, but I’d like to see it go to Todd Field. Please let RRR win for song as expected. That is all.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Great, thanks for watching!

[@paulvoorhies8821]

@@TheAwardsContender Oh, Brian. You know I ❤️ you and your channel. I’ve finally met a guy who’s more into movies and The Oscars than I am. Have fun tonight!!

[@WizKlafka]

When is the last time a movie took 3 acting awards at the Oscars? I could honestly see Jamie, Michelle, and Ke winning. I have a hard time seeing that actually happening, but its on the table. I have been following the Oscars for less than a decade and I never felt a film could sweep as much as EEAAO. Even La La Land didn't feel this strong.

[@bev9708]

Contrary to Brian, I certainly think that Jamie has much more of a chance than Kerry, but that's only imho of course, since she won the SAG !!!

[@TheAwardsContender]

I know, right?

[@alpe1987]

When it comes to narratives there are few that make the case. With comeback narratives Ke Huy Quan has the best narrative to win but at the same time his narrative overshadows Brendan fraser and his narrative which is similar. EEAAO has probably the most original screenplay I’ve seen in years while Banshees has a great screenplay but kinda feels it’s been done before. Adapted screenplay does come down to AQOTWF and Women Talking and hope Sarah polley wins. Supporting Actress is a free for all. If banshees has a chance to win something it’ll be for Kerry Condon and she was great so I won’t be surprised if she wins. Angela and Jamie could split the veteran vote but Jamie has an edge because she is Hollywood royalty and coincidentally is nominated in the same category as her mother Janet Leigh for PSYCHO. Best Actor is where I’m gonna rant so bear with me: ever since I watched ELVIS I was amazed on how Austin Butler was able to give the king the humanity that we sometimes we forget because Elvis has mostly become a caricature. Austin didn’t imitate Elvis, he BECAME Elvis. Brendan Fraser in THE WHALE is another transformative performance but the film is divisive but people’s love for Fraser kinda saves the film. I’ve gotten annoyed that everyone wrote off Austin as a contender because he wasn’t known to everybody and they all put Brendan and Colin at the top because they have the years to be in this position and making Austin third place. The internet ADORES Brendan Fraser and they want him to win because he means so much to so many people and I get it and if the internet were academy voters, he’d win in a landslide. Side note the Jeff bridges win had more to do with him being due since he was nominated couple times before. And best makeup is an indication on will win best actor. Also we don’t know when if any of the nominees gonna be nominated again so if Austin has a chance to win now this is his chance and I’m prepared for a beyhive-type outrage for when Fraser loses. So I know Austin will win because you can’t deny that he put in the work. 3 years of work and it shouldn’t be ignored. Best actress really does come to Cate Blanchett and Michelle Yeoh. Cate is not actively looking for a Third Oscar and she is the Australian Meryl Streep and I get the argument of her being a two time winner but her performance in TAR is just a brilliant OMFG. I won’t be mad if she won and if she did win she would’ve won in each decade from the 00s,10s,20s and a possible fourth win in the 2030s. Yeoh has a good chance also to win and I think her winning would be a breaking the internet moment. The Daniels could win best director but never count out Spielberg Best picture EEAAO is easily the favorite to win but there might a be a surprise.

[@oxford17]

Thank you for your analysis of Butler vs Fraser. I agree, wholeheartedly.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Thanks for sharing your picks, fantastic!

[@aakashsharma9841]

This year's films and nominations have truly blown me away! I lovedddd EEAAO ( the originality, the art and Michelle Yeoh blewww me away! ) , The Whale ( especially the ending which made me fall in love with the art of cinema again!, Brendan, Hong Chau and Sdie were all phenomonallllll ), Banshees of Inisherin (pleasantly surprised me! ) and Angela Bassett in Wakanda forever truly made me fall in love her all over again ( I have loved her since watching AHS and was not aware of any of her earlier work, she truly deserves it! ) As someone who loves cinema, I have also loved your videos! Thank you so much for your work Brian! I agree with this video and I cant wait to see how it all plays out! Cheers!

[@TheAwardsContender]

Thank you so much!! Glad you’re enjoying the videos!

[@thecoolj45221]

@@TheAwardsContender WOULD YOU DO A VIDEO INTERVIEW FOR MY KZbin CHANNEL

[@tashkenty]

I personally prefer Brendan Fraser to win best actor because of his amazing career and performance in the whale, but I do agree that butler will win (rami malek part 2)

[@tingangeles1454]

We had the same prediction for Adapted and Original Screenplays even before I saw this video! I love Women Talking and I hope it wins the adapted screenplay!

[@TheAwardsContender]

Same!!

[@DaveNetWorld]

3 of the 4 acting categories are so hard to predict. When it comes to your predictions you have none of the BAFTA winners winning; I don't think that's happening. My head is telling me one thing, my heart is telling me another. My heart would pick Michelle Yeoh/Brendan Fraser/Stephanie Hsu/Ke Huy Quan. My head is saying Cate Blanchett/Austin Butler/Kerry Condon/Ke Huy Quan. So, I'm going to go with a mix and hope for the best. One stat that sticks out for Best Actress is the BAFTA winners over the last 10 years. 9 of the last 10 winners there have gone on to win the Best Actress Oscar (except last year). With that in mind I'm predicting Cate Blanchett, undeniably the best performance in that category. I'm picking Brendan Fraser for Best Actor (the most emotional performance of the 5). Supporting Actress I'm going with Kerry Condon. I just don't see the overall voting body giving it to a performance from a Marvel Movie. I also think Angela Bassett & Jamie Lee Curtis could actually split the career win narrative allowing Kerry Condon the win. In either case that category is going to be extremely close. Supporting Actor the only acting category that's a lock Ke Huy Quan. Quick picks in others: Best Picture - Everything Everywhere All At Once, Director - The Daniels, Adapted Screenplay - Women Talking & Original Screenplay - Everything Everywhere All At Once (so I agree with all of your picks there).

[@TheAwardsContender]

Great picks and analysis, thanks!

[@SoulKnightKing]

The thumbnail makes me laugh. Butler is speaking right into Yeohs SAG trophy 🏆

[@TheAwardsContender]

🤣🤣🤣

[@townsongs]

brian telling top gun hive to calm down is hilarious

[@paulvoorhies8821]

OMG. If Sasha Stone at AwardsDaily rammed it down our throats one more time, I was going to 🤮. She does that every year though with her chosen film, seems like. I’ve been watching that site since 1998.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Ha!

[@keshavchunylall3867]

Agree! But fingers still crossed for MM for original screenplay!

[@TheAwardsContender]

MM?

[@Dr.M550]

I randomly imagined the best supporting actress nominees learning how to sign their names so they knew at first who was winning haha but Troy Kotsur is so cool

[@TheAwardsContender]

Love!

[@debbiemcnamara7059]

Elvis made so much money!! Best Picture!

[@TheAwardsContender]

Ha could you imagine

[@tucucciolo1]

Mr. Rowe, I am watching The Triangle of Sadness right now. I am trying to get most of the best picture nominees in before the Oscars on Sunday. May I ask your thoughts on the movie?

[@TheAwardsContender]

boxd.it/j8IT

[@tucucciolo1]

@@TheAwardsContender Thank you 😊 Like your review of EEAAO, I truly disliked this (you mentioned your dislike at your first viewing). For me it was all over the place, so glad I paid a small price for watching it On Demand. I found nothing good about it, it was a struggle to watch, although the first half hour held my interest only.(and staring at Harris, as I did in Beach Rats) I can't believe this is running against Tar for best picture of the year! (Everything about Tar was on another level 💙) I know he won't win , but Todd Field's directing was extraordinary 👌

[@terrancemoore496]

Great Review sir, I agree. I like the Angela Bassett and Regina King comparisons.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Thanks!

[@diarmuidkelleher5319]

Barry Key-Hogan?? Correct pronunciation is Keo-Gan

[@manningbartlett522]

Almost 100% agreement. I'm picking JLC for supporting actress (despite agreeing that Shu was the more deserving performance in EEAAO). The Academy is 80% white and 65% male, and supporting actress is SO often a "career recognition" award. Historically this award is a much better chance for a POC (9 wins out of 84, starting with Hattie McDaniel in 1939). However with two other awards almost certainly going to POC (Yeoh, Quan) they will feel more relaxed about the optics of giving this award to JLC over Bassett. Plus I think they are at peace with the "sweep" aspect for EEAAO.

[@encheknizam]

Me too.

[@mbdz24]

I hope so ❤

[@classicmiriam]

Problem is that it would be a 3rd acting Oscar. Only 2 films have done it and the last was 46 years ago. Also I have noticed that since 2019 they have been resisting the career Oscar. Also I don’t think Michelle Yeoh would count. So much of EEAAO was dependent on her nailing her performance.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Valid points, we shall see!

[@timgriffin3368]

I deeply hope the Academy members don't even Think about this. 'OH, well, 3 white actors, let's give best actor or best supporting actress to a POC' My lord if that actually happens. Let the War, if you will, rest socially, politically, etc And, perhaps, in the studios office about, perhaps and when applicable, color blind casting. Let the Awards TRULY be about that performance that shook you to the core and mesmerized you,

[@grasshopperay]

I hope your predictions all come true! I love them all, but don't know how accurate they are. We shall find out in a few days...

[@TheAwardsContender]

Haha, not feeling confident, predicted more with my heart this time!

[@mikegonzalez503]

I would not count out JLC just yet. A rare sweep might be coming

[@TheAwardsContender]

Absolutely!

[@tingangeles1454]

By the way, I love your prediction!

[@TheAwardsContender]

Thanks! ❤️

[@DanielLazuka]

4:28 actually he did win for his short film Six Shooter in 2006

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes!

[@ahmedshoushareviews]

I agree 100% and these are what I really wish. But I still have Austin Butler in my Prediction although I really want Brendan Fraser to win

[@paulvoorhies8821]

Same.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes, probably the wise choice!

[@kelleyceccato7025]

The absence of animated films from Adapted Screenplay goes a long way toward invalidating that category for me. GDT's Pinocchio, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On, and Puss in Boots: The Last Wish would all have been worthy nominees.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Great point!

[@tingangeles1454]

The Fablemans is STILL my favorite movie of 2022 with Everything Everywhere All At Once a close second. It'll be a toss between these two films for Best Director and Best Picture.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Loved The Fabelmans!

[@darrenlockenheart]

The way I see it, the Blanchett vs Yeoh discourse really boils down to one thing and one thing only: does the Academy wish to remain stuck in the past or would they rather get on with the times? Beyond identity politics, a Michelle Yeoh win would be a lot more inspired for a myriad of reasons, but perhaps most of all it would help alleviate the persistent genre bias that ONLY serious dramatic acting is worthy of an Oscar. Sure, her performance has dramatic moments, but it’s also a layered tour de force that encompasses comedy, sci-fi, and martial arts, among others; hopefully, moving forward, her win would allow actresses delivering a performance that’s beyond the staid-and-solemn (some of the most recent examples include Toni Collette in Hereditary and Lupita Nyong’o in Us) a chance to be recognized via a nomination or even better, a win. I would like Michelle Yeoh to win Best Actress NOT because I don’t admire Cate Blanchett or think she wasn’t stellar in Tár; it’s just that I think it would make a rather boring, predictable win. When we think of exemplary acting, we think of someone who looks, speaks, and acts like Cate Blanchett and plays roles like Lydia Tár. She’s the type of actress that gets canonized and does roles that also get canonized in the media and major award shows. But why is that? What makes someone who looks, speaks, and acts like Michelle Yeoh or an Evelyn Wang type of role less Oscar-worthy or canonized? Why should it remain that way too? These are questions that WE need to interrogate ourselves with as an audience. “Diversity” doesn’t - and shouldn’t - boil down to race and race only. In the context of a performance, it should also extend to the type of film the nominated role appears in, the type of role itself, the language used in the film, and the nominee’s age (so yes, the Academy needs to nominate and reward both younger AND older actresses - on that note, a Michelle Yeoh win would also hopefully alleviate the age bias and show that it is possible for an older actress to triumph against her younger, more media-favored counterparts), to name but a few. But above all, I think anyone in their right mind would agree that it IS ludicrous how there’s only been exactly ONE non-white actress to win Best Actress thus far, in the nearly a century that the institution has been around. Plain and simple, it’s wrong and unjust. Surely there have been countless outstanding performances over these past few decades by non-white actresses worthy of a nomination or even a win? Michelle Yeoh gave one of those and is rightfully being considered as a winner, so why not rectify the situation and just let her win? I think people need to realize that as local as the Academy Awards are, the ceremony is broadcast worldwide and has a major international impact beyond the American media. A Michelle Yeoh win, and an EEAAO sweep, would send a strong message: “We’re ready to welcome the future and reimagine it from this point forward.” As I said, at this point it’s really just a question of whether the Academy is choosing to remain safe and predictable, or to do right and just by their own tenet, which is to reward artistic excellence in acting. Clearly, there are so many ways to demonstrate excellence as there are so many kinds of people in this world, especially in the acting world.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Excellent points. Thanks so much for sharing!

[@lynetteh824]

Austin Butler 🏆 Cate Blanchette 🏆 Jamie Lee Curtis 🏆 for the wins! :)

[@TheAwardsContender]

Great picks!

[@curtycant]

Im kinda hoping for an Adrian Brody situation to happen with Paul

[@TheAwardsContender]

Would be awesome!

[@dj71162]

I have to disagree with your picks for Actor and Actress. BAFTA has a great track record here, so I'm going to say Butler and Blanchett will win. Also, McDonagh has won an Oscar for Best Live Action Short for Six Shooter.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Thanks for watching!

[@nellielaroy4]

I'm going with eeaao in original screenplay and Kerry in best supporting actress (she's my favorite and I think banshees deserves something) but yes Angela could definitely win too!

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes!

[@giovannyespinoza6013]

My predictions: Best picture: EEAAO Best director: The Daniels for EEAAO Best actor: Brendan Fraser for The Whale (but I want to see Austin Butler wins for Elvis) Best actress: Cate Blanchett for Tár (I want to see her tie with Michelle Yeoh for EEAAO) Best supporting actor: Ke Huy Quan for EEAAO Best supporting actress: Angela Bassett for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

[@TheAwardsContender]

Great picks, thanks for sharing!

[@bev9708]

Yeah great reasoning as usual Brian, hard to disagree, though I still have all my fingers and toes crossed for Austin!!!!! I can't help thinking that Cate's speech at the Critics Choice has kinda helped Michelle out somewhat ever since... dunno, but what do you think?? Women Talking will finally come out tomorrow here in France, I've been really really looking forward to it!!

[@TheAwardsContender]

Awesome, thanks for watching!

[@michalweinzettl290]

I think Blanchett will win. I know you said that if Blanchett didint win for Blue Jasmine it will be easy win. But look what did McDormand, she won in 2017 for Three Billboards outside Ebbing and then just 3 years later for Nomadland.

[@minavamp2811]

frances won because her movie, nomadland was the front runner that year that won best picture, best director, best actress, and the momentum of her movie drags her along for the win even though she had only won bafta that year. same scenario. michelle movie is the front runner, it wins all the guild awards leading up to the oscar, and that momentum will drag michelle along with the movie for her win. another factor also favors michelle is that, she will become the first asian to win best actress, the same narrative when halle berry became the first black to win best actress by beating out the favorite, sissy spacek, who won critic choice and golden globe, and beating out judy dench, who won bafta, and halle berry won sag, and oscar that year.

[@TheAwardsContender]

It could happen!

[@pedrobarragan746]

I’m gonna remain a pessimist and say all four acting categories will be BAFTA holdovers minus Ke Huy Quan who has it in the bag. I keep remembering Anthony Hopkins beating Chadwick in 2020. I believe Blanchett will do the same. From what I’ve learned of previous years of predictions, never underestimate the international voters and the significance of Bafta. Ask Sylvester Stallone and Denzel Washington.

[@encheknizam]

Regina King didn't win BAFTA but she won Oscar.

[@TheAwardsContender]

We shall see!

[@pedrobarragan746]

@@encheknizam Different story, she wasn’t nominated. Who knows what that would’ve looked like. Mahershala Ali didn’t win it for Moonlight either but that’s why I think Quan will beat the odds.

[@encheknizam]

@@pedrobarragan746 Ke Huy Quan is unstoppable. Oscar is locked for him.

[@joser1853]

Wow, good to see that voice matches the face.

[@TheAwardsContender]

A compliment? Haha

[@gracegreen1859]

I also only liked this video because you came back to your senses for best supporting actress.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Ha!

[@yaroslavvdovenko3482]

I re-watched scenes with Regina King awarded role and wouldn't compare her with Angela)) So this is only Kerry Condon)))

[@ZoraNH.dusttracks1891]

The performances between Bassett and King are not being compared…What is being compared is the similarity between the awards King won and that which Bassett has also now won. Which is important to consider, when thinking objectively, since so much emphasis is being placed on SAG. King didn’t even receive a SAG or BAFTA nomination. So, I’m not sure that it was even necessary to re-watch scenes from King’s film to justify your point. I remember that year personally being surprised that King was nominated. I watched the film, but her performance didn’t stick with me (not that it wasn’t good). The supporting performance from Aunjanue Ellis, is the one that stood out to me-even to this day. Either way it’s all subjective, so you could have stuck with your Condon opinion w/o going to watch past movie clips.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Love Condon!

[@lonellfletcher]

I know people love Brendan as do I but I had such a hard time getting through The Whale that I couldn’t take in his performance and decide how I felt about it. It felt as though we were seeing Charlie through the gaze of those shocked and disgusted by his appearance, rather than through him and HIS pain and HIS struggle. If he wins great but I can’t ever watch that film again.

[@TheAwardsContender]

I was really moved by his performance.

[@debbiemcnamara7059]

Martin S. Should have more! Maybe my favorite movie is Jaws!

[@mrfarreinheit9642]

Butler will win

[@TheAwardsContender]

Most likely!

[@RobertBurns71405]

I just don’t see a world where Bassett wins at this point, she really needed Sag or Bafta for me to predict her. Regina King is not a great comparison, considering the screener issue was a big factor in what happened with King. This is all my opinion though, respect yours and hope you can be proven right! Great video!!!!

[@TheAwardsContender]

Thank you!

[@antmfan231995]

I desperately hope these are the winners. I want it. I’m manifesting it.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Same!!

[@dfa3366]

I agree with the writing categories. Women Talking and Banishes should win. Everything will win other major categorizes but over the years we have scene movies like JoJo Rabbit and Her and Promising Young Women..... they tend to be rewarded for something.

[@TheAwardsContender]

👏👏👏

[@sheldong1031]

Good predictions! I agree with them

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yay, thanks, Sheldon! ❤️

[@aranci-nick6302]

I can really feel the Kerry Condon momentum rolling all the way to the podium

[@TheAwardsContender]

You may be right!

[@branagain]

Martin McDonagh won an Oscar for live action short back in 2006, but he hasn’t won for screenplay, yet.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes!

[@hardsam68]

Go the BOND girl x

[@dirrtyabs]

I love Michelle Yeoh deserve to win.. she's my favorite out of these actresses i like Cate to but come on let's be realistic here and honest and Ms Yeoh deserve to win and be the queen she is

[@RVandergeld]

I hope Michelle Yeoh win the Oscars.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yesssss

[@lynetteh824]

Hiya Brian, Most film Critics & Predictors whom are rationalising why Frazer should win instead of Butler, because of age, a more seasoned actor against a younger break through acting role, is reminding me of an unjust occurrance in 1951. That year the Oscar went to Humphrey Bogart, instead of the clearly deserving winner, Marlon Brando. Everyone knew it, but the same narrative by the Academy was used to honour Bogart. Bogart was old by then & wouldn’t have a chance again at receiving his one & only Oscar. But fortunately for Brando, he went on to receive the Oscar in 1954. Should'nt it really be about the BEST Actor wins? I believe this way of judging is so unfair for Butler, like it was for Brando. What if unfortunately Butler' career, turns out to be like Paul Newman', Bogart', John Garfield', Robert Mitchum', Robert Redford', Steve McQeens', Tom Hardy', etc. Why must the Academy judge this way & not reward the Oscar to the BEST ACTOR of the year?! Why do these competitions have to be unfair & meet some sort of secret, hidden agenda?! (I'm not singularling you out, so please don't take any offence). Most videos I've seen or articles I've read, are all similar. There's also most other competitions which I follow being always the same & complicated. :) Ty n Cheers

[@TheAwardsContender]

Excellent points, thanks for watching!

[@juliaflanagan7407]

Technically Martin McDonagh has won an Oscar. Best live action short in 2006.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes, learned this later!

[@marcusmelancon3426]

I really feel like they gave Curtis the Sag because she hadn’t won all award season and it was a nod to her work I’m hoping Bassett takes it she deserves it

[@TheAwardsContender]

That would be a moment!! Crossing my fingers for Bassett!

[@kelebogilemotlogelwa1582]

​@@TheAwardsContender me too I really want angela bassett to win 🤞

[@BlueDragon407]

Picture - EEAAO Director - EEAAO Actor - Fraser Actress - Yeoh (UPSET!) Supp. Actor - Quan Supp. Actress - Curtis (UPSET!) Orig. Screenplay - EEAAO Adap. Screenplay - Women Talking

[@TheAwardsContender]

👍👍👍

[@ywt5391]

It’s so frustrating that all these YT film critic channels agree that Stephanie Hsu SHOULD win, but will not because of the politics and game. So unfair.

[@TheAwardsContender]

She gives my favorite performance in the category!

[@timgriffin3368]

ABSOLUTELY on Judd Hirsch. If it's not a legacy for supporting actress, which goes first, I think judd gets it.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Yes!

[@JDW-1]

You need to add Campaign because that is also part of winning the Oscar.

[@TheAwardsContender]

True!

[@hellosadnessss4265]

Even though I love Michelle Yeoh's performance and I want her to win but damn Cate Blanchett in Tar is a masterpiece of acting. It’s one of the greatest performance in years. I would be very happy if they tie for best actress.

[@hellosadnessss4265]

Btw Best supporting actress I’m rooting for Kerry Condon and Hsu but I think Condon has more opportunities for winning.

[@clonnlijinhlong2713]

I HATE how people discredited Cate's work just because they like EEAAO better than Tar. Like of course Michelle's performance was great ( I personally think Cate's was better) This is an award for Acting...and of course Michelle, Cate, and the other nominees deserve any award they can get. it's just unfair that they're not actually judging Cate's performance but judged it from the Movie Tar. But if course, Michelle have momentum...EEAAO being one of the best movie + Killer performance+ Dominating other categories, Plus she's asian and represents us (I'm asian) and could have a great chance at making history which is why I think the Academy Committee would 100% make her win. Plus, it also helps that they will appear less racist for once 😆. And if Michelle don't win, People would STRAIGHT up go to saying the Oscar is racist and won't even acknowledge other's work.

[@ZoraNH.dusttracks1891]

@@clonnlijinhlong2713 having Michelle Yeoh win will not make them appear “less racist.” Also, I truly doubt the Academy cares how it will look if Blanchett wins…if she’s good, she’s just good, there will be complaints either way. There will also be a need for work to be done either way, and that extends beyond the Academy.

[@TheAwardsContender]

That would be incredible!

[@tashkenty]

I personally prefer Michelle yeoh to win best actress due to its historic nature, but I have a gut feeling cate Blanchett will get it as the academy won’t allow tar to leave empty handed in the ceremony.

[@encheknizam]

Don't worry about TAR, darling. it will win Best Cinematography. That's all.

[@michelrodrigues5686]

@@encheknizam You gotta a crystal ball, or something FAWK off.

[@michelrodrigues5686]

PLEASE VOTERS1 ATTETION TO THIS COMMENT. The categaory is not about best peformsncr no no. It's all about histotric nature that nurtures some empty narrative BS.

[@TheAwardsContender]

Hmm we shall see!

[@t-pnaminami3808]

Most recent news: IGN did the math, it's official, EEAAO is THE most awarded movie of all time, beating Return Of The King!

[@TheAwardsContender]

Wow!!