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Peter Atwater, president of Financial Insyghts LLC, sees the state of the modern world reflected in the rhetoric and actions that surround us. Whether it is China recalling loaned pandas from the San Diego Zoo, the troubled IPOs of Uber and Lyft, or the willingness of people all around the globe to elect previously unthinkable leaders, there are several recent signs that the ground is shifting beneath our feet. In this interview with Grant Williams, Atwater cuts through the noise to focus on the sentiment indicators that are informing his current world view. Filmed on May 22, 2019 in New York.
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Indicators Hiding in Plain Sight (w/ Peter Atwater)
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Transcript:
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PETER ATWATER: I can remember writing- shortly after Trump was elected, he has to placate his base.
And he has to placate the markets. And their interests are mutually exclusive.
This is a time where small localized individuals have far greater power than those at the center.
My freshman class this spring- they do not see 2018 the same way investors see 2018. There is no question
in their mind that the peak is behind us.
GRANT WILLIAMS: Now, the peak in what for them?
PETER ATWATER: The peak in confidence, their confidence, the confidence of America at large. They
saw something 2014, 2015.
When somebody picks up the Wall Street Journal, the Financial Times, to step back and say, as you're
reading these headlines, why are they here? Why are these on the front page? And they were on the front
page always to confirm the bias of the reader. The front page is telling you this is the consensus view.
The nationalist Nissan leadership base said we are not going to become fully integrated into a global
organization. That nationalistic opposition to globalism put Ghosn very vulnerable. The American Dream
from for most Americans has become unachievable. And so, that which is not given will be taken.
GRANT WILLIAMS: I'm about to sit down for a long overdue chat with a man who probably makes me
question things I read and think about more than just about anybody else. That's Peter Atwater. There's so
much I want to talk to him about confidence, mood, left versus right. And of course, Tesla, I can't leave that
one alone and the trade wars. So, let's go see what Peter has to say.
Peter Atwater, welcome back to Real Vision.
PETER ATWATER: Thank you, Grant.
GRANT WILLIAMS: We've been trying to do this for a while. We finally got a diary synced. But now
we're here. It just feels like there's nothing to talk about.