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Can earthquakes be predicted? Why are earthquakes so hard to predict? In this video, I go over what earthquakes are, what causes earthquakes, and why they are unpredictable. Earthquakes are caused by the sudden slipping of faults beneath Earth's surface. Because faults are still and seismically silent before they slip, they are almost impossible to predict. The inconsistent rate of slip along individual faults also contributes to the difficulty in predicting earthquakes. The best thing we can focus on to reduce damage caused by earthquakes is preparation: better infastructure, evacuation plans, rapid alert systems, etc. Building and re-building cities to be earthquake-safe is extremely costly, but this is how we save more lives. We know earthquakes will happen, we know where they are most likely to occur, so all we need to do is build and prepare accordingly. I hope you enjoyed this video, and I hope you are safe. My heart goes out to thos of you affected by the Turkey and Syria earthquakes and I just hope we can learn from this and do better in the future.
References:
Exploring Geology Textbook by Steve Reynolds & Julia Johnson: amzn.to/3K9W6Ct
USGS Can you predict earthquakes?: www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-pre...
BBC “Will we ever predict earthquakes?”: www.bbc.com/future/article/20...
NPR: No, you can't predict earthquakes, the USGS says: www.npr.org/2023/02/07/115489...
Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP): cseptesting.org/
GEO GIRL Website: www.geogirlscience.com/ (visit my website to see all my courses, shop merch, learn more about me, & donate to support the channel if you'd like!)
0:00 Video Outline
0:49 What Causes Earthquakes?
1:32 Hypocenter vs Epicenter
2:27 Other Causes of Earthquakes
3:37 Fault Slip & Earthquake Unpredictability
5:01 Fault Rupturing & Earthquake Duration
5:31 Plate Boundaries & Earthquake Severity
7:14 Turkey and Syria Earthquakes
8:34 Can we Predict Earthquakes?
9:07 Earthquake Predictions vs Early Warnings
9:38 Earthquake Predictions vs Forecasts
10:00 Earthquake Predictions vs Probabilities
10:46 Why Can’t we Predict Earthquakes?
11:16 What about Preparing for Earthquakes?
12:24 Earthquake Precursors may allow Predictions
13:29 Using AI to Predict Earthquakes
14:32 Using AI to Predict Aftershocks
15:14 What should we do now?
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Non-textbook books I recommend:
Oxygen by D. Canfield: amzn.to/3gffbCL
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