GoldenEye's Luckiest Speedrun Explained!

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Today we take a deep dive into GoldenEye's most luck dependant speedrun. Players spend hundreds of hours grinding this short level, hoping for the numbers to go their way.
Thanks heaps to Henrik Norgren for helping out with some technical details.
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Music:
Dreamstate Logic - Pulse of Awakening
• Dreamstate Logic - Pul...
Travelling With Friends - Tetrobot and Co.
Lost Ship (Explore) - FTL
Training - Perfect Dark
Three Chain Links - Missing You

[@karljobst]

To clear up some confusion about probabilities something needs to be understood. The fact that there are 6 possible outcomes does NOT mean that each outcome is equally probable. You cannot just divide 100 by 6 and claim that's the odds of an escape point being chosen. That is not how RNG, or even probability in general works.

[@michelmagix]

Luck has no memory

[@ccarson]

Half of everything is luck.

[@John_Lee_]

@@ccarson and the other half?

[@John_Lee_]

@I plead the 5th you obviously don't know Goldeneye

[@ccarson]

@@John_Lee_ RNG!

[@Hoehlenmaensch]

Speedrunning: The Art of using hours to save a second.

[@Twilzeth]

More like weeks and months >.

[@leafgreensniper13]

yes and then wanting a more few microseconds on your time for the best possible score

[@Chrischi3TutorialLPs]

Spending dollars to save pennies.

[@scottwatrous]

Just like CNC machining, in a way. Spend hours to save maybe 1 second per cycle. But then multiply that by 20,000 cycles...

[@jj_...]

There is a quote I heard once: "There is nothing that wastes more time than trying to save time." It kind of fits here. And I don't mean that they're wasting their time on doing speedruns or anything like that, because those people are incredible. I just mean that they spend all this time after having the talents and techniques already mostly down on even the smallest chance that things line up more or less perfectly. And that's some serious dedication!

[@SammoElite]

DUDE I LOST THE RUN TO RNG

[@novaorbitdragon]

Runs dead

[@Fierywell]

Skill issue

[@fyretnt]

@@novaorbitdragon darkviper au moment

[@shortestwidereceiver]

Karl I gotta say, you’re the cream of the crop when it comes to these documentary-style speedrunning videos. I wish there was more on the channel, but I understand that quality doesn’t come in 3 day production windows. Keep it up, you absolute legend.

[@handsomebrick]

And the cream always rises to the top.

[@lossnt557]

He needs to get a better mic tho lmao

[@3ngag3]

"This is too fast." You're not kidding.

[@theSUICIDEfox]

That's what she said 😥

[@dystrophic]

Actually he meant he was gonna reach the escape boat too fast, so the hostages wouldn't be able to reach their escape checkpoints during his fadeout, and he'd lose. It literally was too fast for him to win, and that's why he delayed getting in the boat by just the tiniest bit at the end.

[@nicholasleclerc1583]

@@theSUICIDEfox Damn ! You beat me to it !!! >

[@Timeward76]

Imagine being a guard in one of these maps when people are speedrunning just seeing this madman running sideways looking down, flicking his aim and killing you like his bullet was destined for your heart, then as you die you just see them zoom along

[@PhiAce_0]

Andrewg: _presses IT’S TOO SLOW button_ oh i don’t think so

[@konoha1993]

Karl's best humble brag. "This is the luckies, most skillfull and insane speedrun ever. Let me explain exactly how for 20 minutes. Also it just happened to be my run"

[@GreenEnvy.]

When Karl looks in the mirror he says "Hello you absolute LEGEND."

[@FunkSwaggMusiK]

Ima start doing that💯✊🏽

[@ImBarryScottCSS]

His reflection is Ryan Lockwood?!

[@mrbrittas3254]

none who plays video games is an absolute legend, if thats what you think you have low standards . look him history books for real legends son

[@alvaro_fuentes]

I've never tried speedrunning but I LOVE your videos, I was so happy to see you in my sub box!

[@isaachernandez3830]

yeah me neither but each time I watch one of Karl's videos makes me wanna get into speedruning god damn!

[@slugworth3111]

Big same.

[@destroymarcy]

Isaac Hernandez a good game to start speedeunning is Mario Odyssey. That’s the game that i started running just about a week ago. It’s pretty accesible and no crazy clips for beginner runs.

[@robotface74]

me too!

[@felipearmwrestler4852]

Same man. It's so intricate and fascinating.

[@evo2542]

3:58 oh man I remember that hostage as a kid and assumed I had to protect him, and got frustrated when he led me on a small tour of the ship.

[@gijsoomen5779]

"The two hostages we choose to save are the second and third fastest hostages. These are chosen for a couple of reasons: the first is that they are very close together so you can kill them both at the same time" I don't think you're supposed to kill the hostages Karl...

[@andrewjgrimm]

At first I thought it meant rescuing some hostages while killing those who’d delay the process.

[@APLaurenson]

I show non-gamer friends/family these videos because they are truly amazing. The lengths some go to understand the software and achieve these feats is objectively impressive regardless of one's experience with games. Thanks for the way you do the analysis and explanations.

[@dechangeman]

I really love these detailled videos! Keep it up!

[@zwanni20]

hello you absolute legend

[@BroImMcLovin]

YES! YES! and more YES! Make a video showing secret agent. I love these videos, and you do them so well!

[@johnfrian]

This, seconded!

[@danielbosshard7768]

Thirded

[@YEUWYU]

agreed

[@paulelephant9521]

Damn right! MOAR!!

[@HobbesandCalvinFan]

16:30 "I don't even hear the music as music anymore." I found that strangely hilarious.

[@ddpp1268]

The best part is that through the whole video Karl is calm and collected then at the end he essentially screams and bursts into tears. I love these.

[@stark_outdoors]

I recently found yours and ryan whites channels on here. I haven't played goldeneye since I was a kid until about a week ago. I got my best time on dam agent last night of a 56, not impressive, but its really fun. Thanks for the videos they help new players understand all that they missed out on being away from the game for so many years.

[@stark_outdoors]

@@flipndip5122 I'm subbed to that channel too. Lol

[@Hammie0141]

That was the WR record in 1998. You must have some skills to match that in a week.

[@stark_outdoors]

@@Hammie0141 only because I started out with the knowledge of exactly how to do it thanks to the speed running channels.

[@stark_outdoors]

@@Hammie0141 got a 20 on bunker 1 agent today. I just do dam and bunker since they are easier for me than most

[@mrtoxicwasteland]

Keep going man!!! On my channel, I streamed myself running everyday all day for 5 days. I got 53 and I was ecstatic. You can do it! Good luck!

[@bbxdesign]

Wow, you explain everything so clearly. I like how you summarize everything. I also didn't realise you were actually the speedrunner that would break the record. Great job!

[@nicholasleclerc1583]

6:55 That one kid in drama class who thinks he's the "king of drama" (i.e. a drama queen)

[@Sprtschk]

During that part I imagined Karl actually explaining death animation to a guy he'd just shot on the toilet for twenty seconds

[@Timeward76]

@@Sprtschk james bond but its deadpool, speedrunning through places like a madman only killing some of you and making humanly impossible throws while explaining to you how you die

[@ZoroarkGX]

he got shot on the dick, what did you expect?

[@UrtaKm]

It was about time you do a video about one of your great achievements. Can't wait for more. Keep it up man!

[@NeatChill]

What a fab video Karl! Great analysis and explanation of something I’ve wanted to know about for a bit since I’ve heard frigate was RNG based but never understood the depth of it. I’d love to see a secret and 00 agent difficulty video! The more complex the more interesting IMO! Also congratulations on the incredible WR :)

[@BIGMIKEREC]

It's hard to describe the sense of "awwwww yea" that emanates from inside of my body when your new vids pop up. Bring on SA my man!!

[@TheBigShamus]

Great to see another video from you Karl, that was one hell of an intense run you pulled off :) You Absolute Legend

[@SerathDarklands]

You call your viewers "absolute legends," but in my eyes, you're the absolute legend. Not just for your skill, but for how high-quality and how accessible your videos are. Before I stumbled across your channel, I had literally zero interest in speedrunning, but now I love watching it. Hats off to you.

[@briankarcher4418]

Nice dose of Goldeneye game mechanics. Never knew about the loading/unloading stuff and how the pathfinding worked for each!

[@IAMPOPP]

I don't Speed Run. I just stumbled across your videos and started liking them. Speedrunning breaks down almost all elements of the game and I find it fun to see how people try to gain even a fraction of a second. Keep it up! Very enjoyable content.

[@martberends8011]

And yet again, you deliver an interesting video about speedrunning. Keep up the good work!

[@benallmon5613]

Frigate 22 and Dam 52. You are a legend sir. Great video

[@goodleshoes]

And Bunker 1 16!

[@BladeCrossEXE]

You're spot on in this video. I've been replaying the game lately, and I've encountered some of the mechanics you mentioned here being wierd. In Frigate, I shot the bridge hostage taker, and then retreated, but when I re-entered the room, the hostage was still standing still, despite there being nobody else in the room. I later found the right guard at a staircase, and after I killed him, THEN the hostage was released. Also, in Control, I was almost to the hacking portion, when I tried to get Natalya to come through the door, I saw her text box, then turned around, but didn't hear a door open. I turn back around, she's standing right behind me. I guess while she was unloaded, she ghost walked through the door to join me.

[@gregair]

Someone should grind and see if they CAN get the hostages out in 21 seconds. Ignore the heli throw to ensure you get to the exit in 21 and see if the hostages can get out. If you get perfect hostages with the death animations and a fast alerted guard... from this video, it seems possible.

[@BenColc]

This is the best video on GoldenEye game mechanics I've ever seen.

[@ChryslerLeBaro]

Goddammit Karl! Every time you break this shit down, I get my mind blown. Loaded and unloaded characters and objects, travel segments and speeds, and off screen intimate interactions that you guys have figured out is simply astonishing! Thank you for your content and your grind! Love this shit man, I freaking love it!

[@ScottE-2]

While I haven't seen too many speedruns of GoldenEye, this is incredibly fascinating. Editing and audio are solid Karl, didn't even know you had a twitch channel, should drop in sometime. Hope your day is going well.

[@50Janoh]

love the detailed video. please make the video for the other difficulties. its fascinating!

[@NavyDood21]

I have never really cared about speed running before, I am that type of person to explore every hallway or whatever. But I just randomly watched your video about 8 second Hangar speed run and I was hooked. I think part of it is seeing such a deep analysis of something that i find so interesting. And another part is it is always nice seeing people being so passionate about something.

[@72pinkush]

Not many videos make me look at all of its comments, true

[@33LB]

i'm curious about the theoretical 21 second run now

[@thefordness]

your commitment to detail here is wild man, thanks for sharing!

[@MechMK1]

"This should be done as quickly as possible" - as opposed to everything else in speedrunning :D

[@dystrophic]

Interestingly, he also said that if you get to the escape boat too fast, the hostages won't have time to reach their escape checkpoint during your fadeout. So in that case, you DON'T want to do that as quick as possible.

[@Shank5ter]

Biggest plot twist in history: it was YOU who broke the record. I don’t think anyone expected that when you spent the whole video talking about other people

[@noobfromhell563]

Speedrunning somehow is sad and amazing at the same time

[@morwitzz]

It's crazy to watch this analysis videos of crazy speedruns to then, suddenly, see you analysing yourself. Great video!

[@allways28]

welcome back! edit -welcome back WR holder and yes up that difficulty we want moar!

[@TheHeartlessAlchemist]

Amazing video as always, Karl. Congratulations on the WR.

[@birb7583]

Anytime i hear the ftl soundtrack I feel like it's trying to seduce me

[@Capatron1]

Glad to see your content back again!! Also, congrats for the WR, absolute legend!

[@adam21097]

BAD RNG = RUN NOT GOOD GOOD RNG = RIGHT, NOW GO!

[@shamal2351]

I just love your Speedrunning analysis! It'll be intreasting to see the other difficulties analysis as well

[@shamal2351]

@user-qs3uj2j4t This is a Scam!!

[@pip9877]

You're a beast content creator

[@angelastorga1485]

The world needs more people like Karl Jobst. You really loves this game and comunity. Congrats Champ

[@AndersonNeo12]

"insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results" - Albert Einstein Speedrunners: "No" 🤭 Ps: every runner has their game or level with RNG that almost drives one crazy. Grinding over & over again to scratch off a couple of frames, but when it finnaly happens and one achieves the time, the feeling of joy is just incredible 😁

[@RyuKa423]

One of the very few youtube channel for which I have email notification, and that I thumbs up before even watching the vid xD

[@richiezombie531]

I really like your narration. And I LOVE the outro... You absolute LEGENDS :)

[@julcaos]

I don't get speedruns that much but your passion for it is clearly obvious in your videos. Great job

[@Dominasty]

You have a refreshing and analytical take on speed runs. I super enjoyed this video. Also, I find it hilarious that your "normal voice" and your "KZbin video" voice are completely the opposite: one is normal everyday guy like we are and the other is this highly sophisticated and refined British chap.

[@thatoneguyshawn]

I don't play many video games anymore but I love watching your videos! I'd love to see the discussion on the next highest difficulty!

[@rollindutchy7916]

How did you know you completed the record at fade out? with the music you mentioned?

[@karljobst]

The cinema showing bond putting away his gun only plays when all of the objectives are complete.

[@nochthitus9397]

"So what exactly happened in the 22 second run?" The stars fucking aligned, my friend. The stars fucking aligned. I don't even play this game, I just like watching your videos, analysis like this intrigues me. Congrats on the record. Epic run

[@alexau9657]

Normal parents: Great! Asian parents: Now do it in 1 second.

[@MarioSratss]

Congratulation for the WR Karl. This analys is amazing. So much skills for one second.

[@InsaneTreefrog]

I really appreciate how detailed and thorough you are in your explanations, yet you explain it in a way that's so easy to understand. Great videos!

[@masterofdesaster7846]

15.6%? 1/6 = 16.6% which would make two perfect escapes 2.77%, not 2.44

[@karljobst]

Just because there are 6 options that doesnt mean they are all equally possible. Thats not how RNG works.

[@masterofdesaster7846]

@@karljobst absolutly true! thanks for clearing that up, legend!

[@dancorps1388]

In that cass, what is the most likely outcome for the 2 hostages and how long does it take for them to get there?

[@kazeryuu3603]

I still rewatch this video from time to time, it's really awesome

[@BengalBuckeye]

Anybody thinking of getting into speedrun gaming whatsoever needs to watch this first. This video PERFECTLY explains the absolute lack of time you'll have in life to do anything else if you ever wish to be recognized and/or ranked. The aggravation that comes along with it is also well explained.

[@SylviaRustyFae]

Or, speedrun games no one else is speedrunnin so you can claim all the world records; a la EazySpeezy :p

[@thomasphilpott4095]

very cool video. Grats on that Frigate WR too. Cool celebration too

[@TheEedis]

Seeing you get that 22 made the corners of my lips kiss my ears. Thanks for the video, brother!

[@GoatyOfTheGOATs93]

What you said: "Say in the comment section if you would like me to explore the Secret Agent" What I heard: "Do you want more content?"

[@jeepmega629]

The amount of effort, luck, and skill that goes into every single speedrun of any game is absolutely mindblowing.

[@GuiiSanttoss]

Man, i gotta say: i've never played GoldenEye, not even owned a N64, but your videos are fantastically entertaining and, actually, quite educational. You're very, very good. I've been subbed for a few months and will continue to do so as long as you keep putting out great content like this.

[@LaatiMafia]

"Never say never". Even if no one has gotten a faster rescue time in over 20 years, it doesn't mean it can't happen / be done. Perhaps one day someone finds a way to interact with the guards from the outside, glitch the hostages or whatever, making a sub-22 possible.

[@Yesnomu]

Holy cow, congrats on the record! Excited to hear more about the higher difficulty versions of the level, it already sounds like a nightmare.

[@TritonTv69420]

Dude your videos are real bangers!

[@wombat6]

Karl in voiceover mode : explains things with proper language and constructed sentences. Karl playing : swears like the Aussie he actually is.

[@ginaxxgodgames9573]

Bond: here I shot the guards, escape quickly I'm doing a speed run *turns around and lobs a bug in the air*

[@uncool9000]

1. Amazing in depth video! 2. Yes, explore the other difficulties!!!

[@rgerber]

Is this your picture?

[@adriane9159]

Another great video. These deep explanations of strategy really compliment Ryan White’s videos on the history of the levels. That hostage rescued at the opening you teased at the end definitely has me interested in more.

[@AncientAncestor]

Great video Karl as always! You've turned many of my friends, even those who've never picked up an N64-controller, into fans of GoldenEye speedrunning! Eagerly awaiting frigate Secret Agent! Absolutely love the way you break down the strategies and how you also tie in the historical and human element into the narration as well! Absolutely outstanding!

[@NerdyPro]

You absolute legend, and yes I would like to see the higher difficulties. Oh yeah and I would like to see more on the 21 second strategy.

[@TomWhi]

I love the in-depth details about goldeneye mechanics

[@John_Lee_]

Awesome vid. Congrats on the WR.

[@tenderloverboi]

With you and Summoning Salt are my favorite speedrun channels. Honestly, I would like to see you all collab

[@Jimaybob]

Karl you are truly a genius and also an expert communicator. So happy that you started making videos after years of hearing of your exploits

[@UpgradeAddiction]

You absolute legend! What an awesome surprise to have a WR in there without you adding it to the title as Click bait. Well done mate!

[@fromthegamethrone]

I love that you explain the details of these runs, top stuff. Keep it coming!

[@richardjw82]

The sheer amount of work that has gone into this video (and many of your others) is quite incredible and of great interest to me. I am not a speed runner myself but love the N64 and still play the classics regularly. Goldeneye will always have a special place in my heart and such analysis of it makes me happy. Cheers

[@lwvmobile]

No wonder they were taken hostage, they can't even navigate around a chair, let alone open a door and walk through it.

[@TheMstrpwnr]

This has been one of the more entertaining speedrun videos I have watched! keep up the work and cant wait to see more!

[@MimickFox]

To give an example of RNG, I have OoT3D and there is an interesting "fix" Grezzo included in that grave digging minigame Karl referenced at the beginning. When players would go to Kakariko Graveyard in OoT on N64 there was a 10% chance Dampé would dig up the heart piece. However there was an oversight Nintendo forgot about that caused the heart piece to not appear, aka being picked up by Dampé. So as a solution in the 3DS version, Grezzo made the heart piece appear infinitely as long as you kept redoing the grave digging minigame (which I did by repeatedly entering and exiting the closest grave). I have a save file with 25 hearts because of this, and there's a speedrun category runners do on valentines day to get all twenty hearts via this method. It's honestly incredible.

[@booradley6832]

I am glad that, at least for my personal feelings of credibility in reporting, you keep the balance- between the extreme luck factor and the skill of completing it flawlessly time in and out- the same balance before your run and after. Nothing bothers me more than "they were lucky I am skilled." So, congrats on your world record and new subscriber. Hopefully others will as well.

[@ryanstapleford68]

You are a gift to youtube my dude. Holy shit i love your content! just discovered your channel last night and have been watching for hours. Great nostalgic games, great coverage, and: well played 🖤

[@diegotrigo7251]

Please keep making these type of videos :D Congrats on the record btw

[@406278]

oh man, the moment you played a run with music... the nostalgia kicked in hard. I need to dig up my 64!

[@anon_5513]

Keep up the great work Karl, I would love to see more videos specifically focusing on Luck-heavy runs

[@i_am_ergo]

Holy hell, what a plot twist at the end. Beautiful bug toss too! Well done, Karl!

[@TheAaronRodgersTao]

Congratulations man! Absolutely amazing.

[@sacalbal]

It’s hard to explain how much I like your videos. So much passion, you take the time to explain strategies, even with additionnal animations. Thank you, you Legend !

[@Miros_Place]

I was wondering when ill see another of your videos. I was a speedruner way back in the doom days,seeing how speedruns are optimalized today makes my heart melt. I wish i had the spare time to get into it agin,but youre videos are enough for me. It lets me feel like im on the inside agin,if that makes sense :)

[@1337h4x0r42]

Yes, I for one would love to hear more details about Frigate. Thanks for the video, it was informative and interesting.

[@agenttyson007]

Was a really good run. However, my clan back in the day only respected achievements on 00 Agent.

[@CovilSecreto]

You are a legend man. Congratulations!

[@richardjw82]

Brilliant video. So detailed! Thanks Karl 👍🏻

[@GTB-yu2be]

Very well made video. Not the speedrun, I'm talking about the KZbin video. Well Done!