GTO Applied: Why You Should Make BIG BETS

[@mynameiskarl]

Inspired by the comments: || ► NEW! BIG BETS Merch: www.etsy.com/shop/mynameiskarlstore

[@CarloT99]

Still some of the very best NLH content on KZbin. Thank you, Fried 👍🏼

[@JackWernermhmk]

I think this video gives me fancy play syndrom... thanks for that...

[@rasmus7400]

I hope you can recover

[@vasilijespaic9387]

I remember when you dead pan delivered the title line in a module on upswing. Had to pause for a couple minutes to stop losing my shit laughing.

[@dicye7908]

500z liveplay would be awesome ! great video

[@jimmymcgill5572]

8:52 how do you calculate how many combos we arrive at River with? Why is it 12?

[@mynameiskarl]

It's a purely theoretical example. I picked 12 because it works well for this example and that's sufficient to show how overbets add EV.

[@sneakytucky]

great stuff dude, bringing the best poker content!

[@MaZz347]

Always love an overbet, another great vid fried!

[@jacobolson8417]

I have been overbetting more and more frequently as I learn more about the game, and at low stakes online, people love to fold to overbets after they check back twice and the river is unlikely to improve their hand. People love to fold to overbets with way too many strong hands. My bluff ratio when I bet 2x pot is more like 80:20 than the GTO 40:60 ratio, but no one ever gets the balls to exploit me for it by bluff catching, they are only focused on stacking the fish.

[@mynameiskarl]

That's how it's done! We could have a silly discussion of "GTO vs exploitative play", or you can learn what the GTO equilibrium more or less looks like for certain spots and still exploit villains whenever you have the chance.

[@raziel8799]

Soo... are you telling me to 5x overbet small pots OTR where villain is capped with 45% bluffs to win ~91,6% of the pot? (at least in your 12 combo example)

[@bit2easy]

Hey man great video, can you talk about how you study poker or how a mid level player should?

[@mynameiskarl]

1. The best value you can get, is some video training site. I would obviously recommend Upswing Poker, but some of the competition is good value too (like Run It Once for example). 2. Get yourself one of the "solvers" like Simple Postflop or Piosolver. (I use SP because it was better when I bought it. You might want to go for Piosolver these days... but I'm not 100% sure about that. Both do what they need to do imo) A tool like that allows you to be an independent learner. You can find the GTO solution for a certain spot yourself. There will be reasons to deviate from that solution, but I think it's important to know what GTO looks like and then know WHY you're deviating from it. You can find guidance for solver use in the videos of step 1. I have a couple of modules in the Upswing Lab, where I use Simple Postflop to study a specific spot in depth. This process can give you inspiration to do similar studies for different spots. And I also added some solved solutions (solved from the flop) you can load up in the free version of SP (which only calculates turn and river) , so you can have a taste of the full product without having to buy it In the Play and Explains I make, I often end the video by quickly looking at a hand we encountered, in Simple Postflop. 3. There might be some possible steps between 1 & 2. If a solver is too hardcore for you at this point, there's extra tools like Flopzilla that can help you think about how ranges interact on a certain board. You can pick specific spots, just whip out pen & paper, and manually & explicitly think about which action you would take with every hand in your range.

[@jacobolson8417]

I love the overbets, this is why NLH will always be greater than PLO

[@mynameiskarl]

Yep! After my 1-2 months of hardcore PLO a few years ago, I returned to NLH with a newfound love of the NO LIMIT aspect of the game.

[@PolskiZielarz]

yuo can always go NLO hi-lo

[@laszloszabo2348]

This is my favourite poker video.. It is brilliant. :) 💪Pure gold :) Thank you for the uploading. After this vid, I am making relentless 2x overbet on the turn and river versus weak opponent when I have the nuts and most of the times they don't have. I have seen over the last weeks on micro stakes that the fishes are not able to fold with strickly bluff catcher against 2x potbet on the river... We can exploit these opponent with this extremly well... I will do overbets only with my nuts part of my range against this type of opponents, and the EV of the bet is skyrocketing... These are the best part of the sessions :))) for me. Last week when I had the stone cold nuts on the river and I made 5x overbet vs fish (remembering OTB vs Kanu one river 5x potbet spot), and he was not able to fold K8 against me on AKTJ8 board :))) Awesome... 🤩😎

[@mynameiskarl]

I love reading comments like this. I'm very happy this video had such an impact on your poker game. Thanks for subscribing & watching my videos!

[@laszloszabo2348]

@@mynameiskarl 😎💪

[@TheRedNick12]

Hi, i dont know much about poker beyond basic rules, but I lost myself on youtube, got interested in the maths behind the strategy and ran into this channel a bit randomly. I might then have a very stupid question but considering the explanation given in the video, why would you ever elect to bet small ? No matter the situation, everything else equal, betting a bit bigger will allow you to include more bluffs and therefore get more EV. If not what am I missing ?

[@mynameiskarl]

Hey, glad you found my channel. Unfortunately I'm not actively updating this anymore. I hope this comment still finds my way to you... Betting as big as possible works best in the theoretical toy game of nuts & air vs a range of strict bluff catchers. Real poker hands are often not as polarized as that. And thus different bet sizes can be helpful. It's often mostly on the river that we encounter these spots that resemble the toy game. The whole thing is a very complex topic and can't be summed up in one comment, but I'll try to give some pointers. 1) On streets before the river , you don't just bet for value OR as a bluff. It's way more mixed. Betting on streets before the river is driven by a combo of: what's my equity when called ? how much equity do a make villain fold ? (= betting for "protection") On the flop, as the preflop raiser, you can often bet small (say 1/3rd pot) and get a ton of folds from villain's range. You'll have some nut hands that maybe want to bet big, but your range in general likes betting small and getting folds from the weaker parts in villain's range. On the turn, the threshold for the value part of your range becomes higher: your range becomes more polarized. The bet sizing gets bigger On the river, firing the 3rd barrel: the threshold for value increases again. Big bets & overbets are appropriate. The toy game shows us why big bets capture more EV. 2) One thing the toy game doesn't capture is that when you bet smaller, you expand villain's calling range (they "have" to call with more hands... or they would overfold and can be exploited). So when you bet smaller, your own threshold for "value" lowers: if villain needs to call with more hands, you can bet weaker hands for value. e.g. if you bet 2x pot on the river, villain only needs to call with 2P+ But if you bet 0.5x pot, villain needs to call with weak TP. Conclusion: I want to make you think about making big bets and show how they increase your winrate. But they work best in the toy game! Real hands & ranges are more complicated. Be on the lookout for spots that resemble the toy game, but remember that plenty of other spots are different

[@adamporter1559]

Dammit, I thought we had contained Sir Mix-a-lot and his ridiculous music about large asses to this side of the Atlantic, but apparently I was wrong.

[@seancarter759]

Great stuff as always

[@laszloszabo2348]

Thank your for the video. It is pure gold.. 😎

[@dkoul3686]

You know it's going to be a good video when you like it before you watch it

[@SvenCallsSoRare]

Karl, get that on a t-shirt please. I'll take 10

[@mynameiskarl]

Check it out! || ► NEW! BIG BETS Merch: www.etsy.com/shop/mynameiskarlstore

[@alexduque3105]

I like big bets and I cannot lie!

[@MrBoxingVideos]

Too much free strat, it's stupid