History Shows It's Time to GET OUT When this Happens… (90 Days Left)

[@FumbledToes-vd2nr]

bro was SPOT on

[@istvanpraha]

I hate this market I have cash and can’t find anything that isn’t overpriced to buy. And I don’t regret not buying a few months ago because so many stocks are still the same price. We’ve priced in rate cuts ten times already and yet that isn’t even good news it’s just a return to the new normal

[@dasemifake]

I'm all in on this with bonds. Hoping recession hits and interest rates go lower, selling for profit. In the meantime, I'm getting 5% on cash.

[@jackp.o.t.7724]

Jesus. Take a Look at US dept. Increase. To much bonds at the markets for to less buyers..... China, india, Japan etc. Want to get rid of US bonds as well.

[@Peter-q8v6v]

What if inflation is sticky and CB are confronted with a trade-off between higher rates to tame inflation and a recession.

[@Mrgenerosity777]

Legendary call; lots of smart money doing the same.

[@David_Brinkerhoff93]

You and everyone else ...

[@motogp9253]

What's the best way to purchase some bonds?

[@Cr23659]

My gatherings from this is at best we have a little bit more to go before a strong downtrend. I’ll take profits and buy back in next large dip. 5% money markets are fine for now.

[@ftapon]

When you zoom out to 2024-2030, it will matter little when you became defensive in the 2H 2024. What matters is that you do it. I'd rather cash out now than when everyone else is rushing toward the exits.

[@stevenson720]

What happens if this is 1995 and the fall doesn't happen until 2026 etc..

[@Whanlon]

Almost every indicator is flashing red Shiller PE, Buffett Indicator, Treasury yield spread and more. We are in for a ride.

[@Hans-j5c]

You guys said 90 days left 60 days ago already!!!!!!

[@Compoundingisking]

Sound like opportunities coming in the future I’ve been putting cash on the side for a big crash.

[@sowasvonkeinplan]

@Game of Trades: *You're ignoring one major aspect, which is different from 2001, 2008, etc: GOVERNMENT DEBT!* There is a ton of concerns about the US Gov debt surge, which started somewhat after the financial crisis. Extreme debt leads to rising Long End Bond Yields, which is equivalent to falling bond prices. So it is actually possible that we would already see a rather strong rise in TLT (due to recession concerns) if debt to GDP ratio was not at an all time high and Donald Trump and his expected fiscal politics were not the most likly scenario preventing long end yields to come down any further and therefore holding TLT prices in some sort of equilibrium. Investors might fear that a recession could even amplfy the debt to gdp problem making it worse. Therefore a risk premium is needed regarding the TLT yield, so the TLT cannot skyrocket. Just my 2 cents. 🙂

[@davidscholz7489]

Didn't mean there is a 100% chance of rate reduction in September. Outcomes are not mutually exclusive but rather one is the subset of the other. (You can see that just by adding them up together, which is more than 100%)

[@growthrate974]

There will likely be a final squeeze up to eliminate short positions typical of this period.

[@power1212]

You can never time the market, when it does go down just enjoy the ride and buy more.

[@GibsonJames-gr3on]

Engaging in active trading versus long-term investing requires unique strategies for maximizing returns. Active trading involves frequent buying and selling of securities, aiming to capitalize on short term market fluctuations. On the other hand, long-term investing focuses on holding assets over an extended period, leveraging the power of compounding.

[@tkk4671]

훌륭한 분석입니다. 다만 저는 미국 경제가 단지 적당히 식고 있다고 보일 뿐이고 침체에 빠질 것 같지는 않습니다.

[@ritzenhauf]

How are YOUR assets allocated right now?

[@businessclasstn1442]

I think Bitcoin will Peak Out around Oct-Nov..& Alts too..than Major Correction as u Said

[@genomedia44]

Love this kind of analysis

[@effingsix3825]

In the stock market rally, credit quality has deteriorated, which can be seen in the ratio of LQD/JNK. There’s a spread opening between the Dow and Dow Transports, just like in 2000. Looks a little different between this time and 25 years ago, but essentially the spread between transports and the Dow is signalling a recession for the first time in a generation.

[@camela8445Mar]

The headlines are terrifying.

[@tonatiuhdeleon8236]

What are you using to do your visuals?

[@Kattyol1]

The headlines are terrifying. But remember, we've been through this before. It might just be another cycle.

[@GamingFusionVibes]

All recessions happen not because they cut interest rates of course, but it is because they are raising them, slowing and weakening the economy, obviously.

[@Loukrozb]

Can you please put a date on your ‘shorts’ videos. I feel like timing is important for the information you cover

[@alexandrejuve1305]

Trying to pint point the market is extremely dangerous, if you think that we are close to the top is temerity to keep going.

[@martingerard2259]

G.O.T is awesome!

[@4hartrich]

Two year notes are going up in price down in yield today

[@wi11ialvl]

My biggest stake is in MSFT and it's been on a decline for a month. I think I'm about to cash a large chunk out.

[@Dan16673]

Buy puts and use em if you need

[@350zLeMans]

Best video Ive seen on this topic

[@rexmundi273]

Follow the 2 Year US Treasury yield instead of TLT.

[@chiefdale88]

First rate cuts came in september 2007 not june 2007

[@das2003]

What do you expect might happen once the FED cut rates in September? Will that not boost the economy and thwart a recession?

[@--Steve]

Great work as always

[@M314-t5p]

Amazing info, Thank you for sharing your knowledge.

[@walkerhaw5468]

What do you mean 90 days. Probably less than 15 days dude. Have you seen the debt clock?

[@MarcoFrantz]

Great analysis. tks

[@rjsrox07]

the fed actually pivoted in sept of 2007 not in June, which is interesting.

[@synjinkai2411]

01 was the .com bubble and 09 was the credit crunch. The macro situation isn't as bad as those 2 runs.

[@flarnnetwork2952]

Time to get out? Maybe BND and chill till it all blows over?

[@enthused7591]

Cash is about to get 60% of its buying power back when stocks and homes are worthless here shortly. It's definitely coming, math has never been wrong before now.

[@alfredomarchione6017]

Vicious decline is here, stocks are a leading indicator… selling after it hits is a guaranteed moneyloser

[@khanfauji7]

This time tho - it will be different because of… AI and the modern monitory policy and then politics of keeping you job at the cost of the country.

[@EBackwards]

Soooooo you're saying I have 89 days left to shell more money into my China Penny stocks? ON IT! 🤣

[@riccardon3685]

Wonderful analysis!

[@markkaminski4028]

I don't get your probability math at 58 second in. Probability is probability, and I don't think you can simply add those.

[@stock_byte]

Very insightful, thank you :)

[@Mabelabal2k1]

Awesome analysis keep up the great work!

[@anuarpatjane5393]

90 days? or 90 minutes?

[@andrewfritzen8985]

September - December 2025calling the top

[@andis9076]

You said 90 days, it happened the next 3-4 day !

[@kahunamatata2045]

Excellent and interesting content with no bullshit. Thank you!

[@MarkShinnick]

Who is wanting US debt with such terrible demographics?

[@ElaineHuang-c5w]

😂 famous last word bro. History teach us again and again, do not time the market, because NO ONE can predict the future except GOD.

[@grandmastersake]

F$&king Excellent video!

[@hottrendztech]

Amazing info ❤

[@kdhlkjhdlk]

Nah, I'm good. This is why I keep a cash position around.

[@moritz9077]

calm down lol. even if it goes down, it will go up again

[@zhorzh22]

Market u turns when the last bear surrenders... 😂

[@KierzolSLU]

Black swan, black swan! 💪🥰

[@VelascoEnricoMiguel]

So many discounted stocks to buy

[@liahonafrench]

Fourth then

[@deanconstan481]

Not First.

[@blackopsm60]

First

[@ovidiustalinescu1222]

first :)

[@brandongray8879]

First

[@funnypapa4194]

first