How the Moscow Attack Reveals Deeper Russian Weakness

[@larrybuzbee7344]

"Kremlin political intrigues are comparable to a bulldog fight under a rug. An outsider only hears the growling, and when he sees the bones fly out from beneath it is obvious who won." Winston S. Churchill One way or another, in light of this and other explosive incidents of "careless smoking" far behind the front lines my guess is that what we are hearing is evidence that the Kremlin dog fight is already well under way.

[@raishaferreira8099]

God is true 💙💛

[@HelldiverKD637]

@@raishaferreira8099 k

[@JMM33RanMA]

We have yet to see a replay of the revolts of the Gangut or Potemkin. Unless, of course the Moskwa was deliberately sabotaged by one or more of the crew! There are reports, unconfirmed, that some army units have refused to fight or walked away. If that persists and grows, Czar Vladimir may go the way of Nickolas II!

[@Skarry]

@@raishaferreira8099 noun is variable

[@larrybuzbee7344]

@@JMM33RanMA The bulk of Russian propaganda can be summarized as some variation on "We are winning", and the more shaky that sounds the louder they chant it. I'm reminded of Monty Pythons Black Knight and "It's just a flesh wound".

[@WhiteWolf126]

You missed the most likely explanation. Dugin was critical of Putin because he thought Putin was too soft on Ukraine. This was a warning to the more radical elements of Russia (yes, more radical than even Putin) to not stir up any trouble if Russia decides to de-escalate and retreat from Ukraine.

[@ynotbmale5218]

Yup, think Kirov and 1936. The right is Putin’s most dangerous rivals. They are the ones screaming Russia should attack NATO, use nukes, etc. Killing Dugin, the most prominent Nazi extremist, would send a message to those in the Duma and the organs of state to restrain themselves.

[@hendrikdependrik1891]

Yep. According to Vlad Vlex Dugin wanted to get rid of Putin, because Putin isn't totalitarian enough and too much of a narcissist.

[@rogerpennel1798]

Dugin says that Putin is only a "transitional ruler" and that Putin does not conform to his ideal of a great Russian ruler. So this assassination could be Putin's way of reminding the ultra-nationalists that their only option is to support him and that any criticism of his failings won't be tolerated. If they do criticize him they will be eliminated and Putin will do it under the guise that they are being targeted by anti-Russian groups. Stalin regularly assassinated his rivals and claimed they were either killed by foreign agents or were part of a larger foreign anti-Communist plot.

[@jogalong]

this makes sense. Calling Putin being too soft (despite committing total atrocities) probably hit him hard. This is an easy-to-understand message which would sit well with all the brainwashed imperialists who are the main force of regime. In the background of russia losing occupied teritories and russians believing how "strong" their nation is, this rhetoric could become devastating to putin. Also, there was another comment on how this is a typical KGB-style message as dugin basically saw his daughter burn. However, there is one detail that doesnt sit right. I saw a picture of dugina in a coffin. Her face wasnt burned at all. It was either CGI or she wasnt in that car afterall.

[@WhiteWolf126]

@@jogalong You'd be amazed what funeral home and mortuary makeup artists can do. She was most likely pulled out of the car quite quickly.

[@ChrisM-tn3hx]

If you think Option 1 is the least likely, you didn't grow up in the Cold War. Dugin was directed by security to get into the rearmost vehicle instead of the front vehicle where his daughter was. From there, he had a front row seat while his daughter burned alive in front of him. That is a typical KGB-style message. I bet he doesn't criticize Putin any more. Simultaneously, it would help galvanize people behind the false pretenses of the war. This is actually the ONLY outcome you could expect to unfold from these actions, so it is logically the most likely truth. There are no other parties who benefit from this action, ESPECIALLY Ukraine.

[@WhiteWolf126]

I agree.

[@paulmea3166]

Someone turned off those cameras in the parking lot so it's a well planned inside operation = GRU

[@1882osr]

How would you explain the statement containing so many obvious elements that the kremlin would never in a million years sanction though? An internal resistance capitalising on an event they had no part in? Because there's no way in hell anyone loyal to Putin would write that statement.

[@rositasultana3958]

Yep, that's my take, too. Control over right wing extremists at home is their first concern, also a bump in volunteers for the meat grinder of Ukraine war.

[@Nick_S0]

British have organised the hit with Ukrainian killers. Gained double benefit for now, but will lose badly when the truth is uncovered. Fingers crossed it will be 🤞.

[@scottparis6355]

Sending a foreigner across the border into Russia and having her drive the very long distance to Moscow, then perform her mission and then drive to Estonia is an incredibly risky mission that could fail in a hundred ways. She could not have brought her bomb materials with her. (There is Russian video of her car being searched.) So she would have to have had at least one Russian accomplice. The whole thing might make sense if the target were a central figure in the Russian military or government, but not for a TV personality, or even "Putin's brain," if her father was the real target. He's really only a pundit, and one who has criticized Putin for not being harsh enough. Ukraine has much more important fish to fry. Unconvenient people die all the time in Russia, fall out of windows, get shot when a garbage truck blocks the CCTV cameras, shot in their own elevators. Putin has run false flags before. This is another one, meant to build support for his "military exercise."

[@AsterixYZ]

The Russians already found the accomplice ( at least they named the name of the man.) He left Russia for Estonia as well, shortly before the assassination. Yes Ukrainian SBU didn't prepare this terrorist act very well, that's why it was relatively easy and fast this time around to trace the killers.

[@saksham379]

@@AsterixYZ Terrorist act🤣🤣🤣

[@des_AT]

@@AsterixYZ have they managed to solve the many cases of jounalists and politicians that were murdered in cold blood by putins regime. if sbu wanted to target someone in moscow rest assured they wouldnt go for that worthless piece of sh+t infact there are way worst journalists on their tv calling for genocide of ukrianians

[@deanfirnatine7814]

He was more than a pundit he was the ideological father of Russian "fascism"

[@Anmeteor9663]

The most common form of suicide is 2 bullets to the back of the head.

[@4bluekitty]

It's a bit morbid, but this conflict between Russia and Ukraine was the catalyst for my thirst for knowledge in geopolitics. Thank you for the work that you do to keep the public informed.

[@phincampbell1886]

You're not, I feel, per se morbid. Your motivations and desired utilisation of your knowledge must surely go towards assessing the nature of your interest! The morbid folks are the ones going about committing horrid deeds. An interest in studying their activities makes good sense, if you're unaware of or misinformed about these kind of people, their behaviour, you can only be at best ignorant of anything to object to or challenge, and at worst could hold or conduct yourself in relation to such events and actors in such a way as to enable and further their foul deeds. A familiarity with these geopolitical concerns generated the scope to avoid, prevent or resist these things. Education on a morbid subject is not in itself an ingredient of or indicative of a morbid person or characteristics. Even as primarily voyeuristic fascination, there's a possibility of noble impetus for that innate human attraction to observe and acquaint oneself with humanities less savoury undertakings. In short, there's a not necessarily sordid reason, that can become a rationale, for why we are intrigued by such things! Lol I'm just waffling coz it's this or do what I'm meant to be doing!! (Waffling but not bullshitting!)

[@socket_error1000]

I think the land loss perspective used here skews things a bit. Too many people, especially in the US, have a poor perspective on the size of European countries so a upscaled comparison to the US makes this even worse for some. Especially considering Ukraine (233,000 sq miles) is the largest country in Europe, after Russia, but is still smaller than Texas (268,000 sq miles). A 20% territorial loss of Ukraine is more akin to Texas losing a swath of land as wide as the panhandle, starting at the northern border with Oklahoma and stretching south to Odessa (about 53,000 sq. miles). I think this puts Russia's struggles in Ukraine more into perspective as well. Russia is representing itself to be a vaunted world power, even after the fall of the USSR, but they are struggling to make ground against a small poor country like Ukraine.

[@MetalBeastShred]

I agree with this analysis. But "needs must" when click-baiting. *Also:* Please stop calling Russia "Europe". Russia isn't Europe. Never has been, never will be. Certainly nobody in Europe considers Russia "Europe". Don't bother pointing to lines on maps or talking about the Caucasus Mountains watershed. Those are entirely arbitrary metrics that have been abused for centuries. Russia is Asia, with some areas that have a European veneer. Even Russians admit this. Calling Russia "Europe" is 90% of why the collective West, and Americans in particular, continue to struggle dealing with, or understanding, Russia. If you think of Russia as a Asian, Mongolian culture (re: Golden Horde), then suddenly they become *MUCH* easier to understand. Don't confuse "white people" with Europeans. Again, that's the opinion of Russians who wrote their doctoral theses on the topic, not my own. You can search their work online (most is translated into English if you are OK with PDF files). Discuss.

[@edwardmerriam6970]

Yeah, but OP is using relative rather than literal measurements, and Ukraine has lost most of its coastline and much of the Donbass/east which was its industrial heart. So the comparison used in the video is accurate, and yes this loss of land would make Ukraine far less viable as a country if borders stood. Also plenty of not very wealthy countries have strong militaries. Pakistan and India as an example.

[@Headwind-1]

@@MetalBeastShred thanks . .

[@michaelfried3123]

He's smoking crack if he thinks Ukraine has lost that much land. I laughed at that part of the video! Ukraine has lost land in area about the size of California and a half another (if you count Crimea which was lost in 2014).

[@yuchenchen8012]

@@edwardmerriam6970 I'd say that Ukraine's coastline was already seriously compromised after Russia took Crimea in 2014. Odesa is doing the heavy lifting and thank goodness it is still under Ukrainian control. As for the industrial part, it really has been a steady collapse in the donbass since 2014. The donbass war has shattered the manufacturing region. The rebel part is basically a shell that is fully reliant upon Russia, and much of the Ukrainian donbass manufacturing was carried by Mariupol after 2014. The loss of Mariupol was definitely the biggest industrial loss for the Ukrainians after the 2014 crisis. The silver lining is that the Russian invasion certainly hasn't killed the Ukrainians fighting potential. Their Odesa coast is becoming safer, as well as Kyiv and much of the dnieper region barring the very south. The western part is also becoming safer as Russian missile attacks became less frequent.

[@fodsaks]

Dugin senior's decision to take a different car at the last minute adds a whole new sinister element to this incident.

[@hoodoo2001]

Not at all. A poorly executed attempt allowing for too many variables. Look how the conspirators against Hitler failed. It's very hard to kill someone by design unless you are willing to sacrifice your own life.

[@aheimdahl5201]

Yeah. _Somebody_ knew that car was going to blow up.

[@Dubanx]

The idea that Ukrainian agents attacked someone of 0 political or strategic importance is laughably convenient for Russia. The fact that they say this agent just happened to be a member of "Azov", Russia's favorite whistle, is an especially obvious indicator that the story is made up. The other 3 options all sound pretty plausible, though.

[@ALMAZ157]

Strategic? No. But the ideological and political? Of course Ukraine does that, West is getting exhausted by Ukraine and they will do anything to get attention, even if it is terrorism and shelling a nuclear power plant

[@someguy3766]

@@ALMAZ157 But killing ideological opponents is often the worst thing you can do, because all you do is martyr them and drive far more attention to their beliefs, as well as validate those beliefs in the minds of many sympathetic people. Ukraine would get a far better outcome by simply mocking and ridiculing Dugina for her beliefs than by killing her. So the idea that the Ukrainian government ordered this kind of attack on Dugina or her father is rather silly. Frankly, they have far more important priorities at the moment. It is somewhat more plausible that a rogue Ukrainian citizen or ethnic Ukrainian Russian carried out the attack of their own accord because they were outraged by the things being said by the Dugin family. The most likely perpetrators however, I think, are a dissident group within Russia, because such a group would be ideologically-motivated and opposed to the Dugin worldview, and such groups conduct killings like this as a means of driving their cause forward.

[@AtlantiansGaming]

@@ALMAZ157 go to the frontlines Orc.

[@ALMAZ157]

@@AtlantiansGaming go into international legion and get shelled, Westerner

[@hendrikdependrik1891]

The plate number of the Mini also was a bit suspicious. AH 777 P. It's just as stupid as 3 Sims 3.

[@NonInflatable]

The most interesting aspect of this assassination is the fact that the victim's father decided not to ride in the car at the very last moment. Why this happened is the key to providing the answer

[@aceca5147]

6:32 It's best to note that the 'states lost equivalent' is based on the percentage of Ukranian territory occupied, and NOT the actual size of the land they've lost

[@jimroberts5461]

It was meant for her father. He was the logical target. Underground work definitely. We'll see more of this kind of resistance.

[@kmadge9820]

Terrorism.

[@raishaferreira8099]

Exactly! It's time Russian people stand up for many years oppression

[@hctim96]

Putin kills oligarchs that fall out of favor.. Oligarchs kill people close to putin...

[@michaelmueller9635]

Dugina was more prominent, present and known in the public than her father was.

[@divelea]

Hopefully.

[@pablodelsegundo9502]

I'd like to think it's a resistance move. There've been random fires and destructive acts going on in the country since Feb...this may be them scaling up.

[@Sorta8]

Ehh, random fires and such are likely Russian government, attempting to create more reason as to why they need more military, police, funding for anti-terrorist services and etc. Majority (if not all) of those occasions have 0 things that become problematic for the Russian government, so it really poses no threat. If there were real moves, they'd be much more likely to be silenced by the government and if there were *real* terrorist acts, (about which gov likes to talk about. A lot.) then they could be worse than 9/11 and no police or service would be able actually stop or prevent it.

[@Sorta8]

Though that's just a theory

[@lorax8172]

I think the local resistance option makes the most sense, as it is the one that would create a tangible benefit to the acting party. The other might be a false flag.

[@downey2294]

really don't see what a local resistance would gain by taking out a political commentator.

[@bolan4185]

@@downey2294 the guy literally explained it in the video

[@hoodoo2001]

Neither. "False Flag" is just a favorite mantra of the tin foil hat types. What makes the most sense is infighting among Putin's cronies who are getting nervous.

[@rejvaik00]

I think the resistance is probably the second most likely but I really think the most likely is the false flag given how fast the quote unquote "evidence" was found as the culprit by the Russian government

[@ALMAZ157]

@@Fgway those “resistance” haven’t been in any fights and just posers

[@RidingWithDave]

Your videos are so well made, informative and thought provoking. I really enjoy them.

[@fffwe3876]

I think the most famous false flag operation is sinking of USS Maine.😂😂😂😂 or Gulf of Tonkin. seriously Who Gulf of Tonkin???🙄🙄 how about Operation Northwoods? Operation TPAJAX?

[@bingus282]

1) It's a bit of an overstatement to call the Dugins far-right. Albeit traditionalist, Eurasian movement is also internationalist and sovietophile. 2) Eurasian movement is a niche philosophical thing that does not play major role in Putin's propaganda. Most people have neither read Dugin nor even known anything about him. That makes Dugin family a less likely target for Ukraine or domestic terrorists. 3) But post factum Daria Dugina being a civilian, a war supporter and an intellectual, makes a perfect sacrificial offering. Therefore false flag option is more likely than you might think.

[@davidhimmelsbach557]

It was an FSB op. It had to be. The FSB had a canned case resolution all too ready to hand. Even Holmes, Columbo, Monk, and Poirot could not move that fast... if they worked together.

[@vredacted3125]

Something important to know, for all who are interested in history and/or support Ukraine: Rus’ ought not to be confused with “Russia”, which derives its name from the Rus’ but historically is a completely different state, which almost all its existence was at war with the Rus’. Just like the Holy Roman Empire was actually Germany, Russia is actually Muscovy, despite their best attempts to convince everybody otherwise. Its name “Russia" received only in 1721, when Peter I passed a decree to change Tsardom of Muscovy’s name into the “Russian” Empire (“Russia” originates from Rosia, name used by the Greek Orthodox Clergy in regards to Kyivan Rus') Under the reign of Cathrine II Muscovites where even punished for continuing to identify as Muscovites, and were forced to call themselves “Russian”. Lands that “Russia” claims were part of the original Rus’, but actually weren't, are Novgorod, Suzdal, and Ryazan, since in historical texts of XI-XII centuries they are mentioned as separate entities from Rus’. They can be considered parts of extended Rus’, although their culture was distinct from main Rus’. In 1493 Moscow prince Ivan III appointed himself to be the Great Ruler of All Rus’. No other kings acknowledged that. From that point on Muscovy started to make false claims on Rus’ ownership. “Russia” is an offshoot of Ukraine and not the other way round, despite what Soviet and “Russian” historians have been trying to say for years. Kiev was a developed cultured capital when Moscow was just another swamp village. Germany used to call itself the Holy Roman Empire, that didn’t mean they became the Romans, and all of a sudden had a right to claim whole of Italy and its history, but yet, that’s exactly what “Russia” did in regards to Rus’-Ukraine, which is a horrible injustice!

[@wojtekkowalski8983]

Lets hope justice will be served and russia as a state will seize to exist.

[@latenerd2441]

As a born Ukrainian, You sir a a lair and an idiot with little to know understanding of history. Even recent historical western accounts of Rus' , Ukraine, Belarus and Russia all say so. Pick up a f***in book. Kieven-Rus was established after city of Novgorod and Ukraine as we know it today didnt begin it's history until mid communist era where it had Polish and Russian cities added on. You are a disgrace to history.

[@sinoroman]

Regardless, Russia will still win the war over Ukraine

[@sunshine4sue2]

Thanks an interesting read‼️🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇦🇺🇦

[@benjaminhodzic4840]

Same shit as with Serbia here in the Balkans, claiming foreign countries land with lies and fairy tales.

[@jackca1599]

Putin /FSB did similar thing during Chechnya War. Russian apartment bombings in 1999 were done by FSB. 3 FSB agents who had planted the devices at Ryazan were arrested by the local police. Russians are actually very simple people with Mongols mentality. If you really study history of Russia you will understand that they are much closer to Mongolia as a nation than Europe. Russians never in their history "tasted" freedom so they do not have concept of it. First hundreds of years salves of Mongolian Empire, then Tzar, then Lenin, Stalin etc all the way to Putin. They had couple of years under Boris Yeltsin of relative "freedom" but we know how it ended. Russians have slave mentality- they need to have "strong" leader to tell them how to live and what to do. It is just reality of Russia and Russians.

[@unitariansavage8513]

My guy you didn't have to pull out 19th century racial theories on the Mongols.

[@akovalev1999]

@@unitariansavage8513 No but you see he is Jack CA so all he says is legit and based

[@shrimpyme]

tell that "freedom" story to the nations they "used" .. and continue to do ..

[@abcdedfg8340]

Yup, false flag operation it seems. Ofc your average russian is probably either too scared to discuss or look into it. Several people who investigated the blast mysteriously died from what i read. Nothing to hide here folks, move on. Sadly not enough seemed to have really stood up when people were getting murdered, so now russia is where it is. Good people didnt do enough it seems.

[@pottyputter05]

I'm gathering that the current sensitive western culture has pead to people confusing this for "racism" when it's a generalized idea. Generalization isn't inherently bad/wrong and he has a point. I'm sure most know of the "corruption is an important part of the Russian culture" paper regarding all the surveys and what not, this isn't that much different and can certainly be supported with simple history.

[@dixie8389]

Awesome analysis and presentation of well thought out possibilities. I like the way you are able to make the subject matter understandable to the everyday Joe! Please keep up the good work!

[@richardsimms251]

Very interesting and well done

[@Samson373]

I believe the group claiming responsibility is indeed responsible because the statement they released seems way too inspired a piece of writing for any Putinesque goon to ever concoct.

[@squuid15]

That is a stupid reason.

[@1882osr]

@@squuid15 The way he's worded it might be. But when it's worded differently it's not so implausible. The fact is that the statement released contains several theories and elements that the Kremlin would 100% never state, they would never in a million years talk about the apartment bombings, nor the theory that they were false flags conducted by Russian security services. The very idea that as part of a new false flag that they would raise up the murder of hundreds of Russian citizens as caused by themselves is utterly laughable. This was either an internal resistance, foreign agents or at most it's a false flag that was capitalised on by internal resistance who released a statement to claim something they never did. Either way, it's an inevitability that no one loyal to Putin wrote that statement, even as an element pretending to be resistance. It's just not possible.

[@positiveoutlook17]

Putinesqe Goons ;)

[@rotten_cyano]

@@1882osr I strongly agree with this comment. I don't know if this "National Republican Army" does really exist, but their statement instructs lone wolves to attack and spread chaos by themselves, and also it shouts about really shady crimes Putin committed in years. FSB wouldn't have ANY use by spreading this kind of statements in this specific wording. It could potentially be really counterproductive and harmful to themselves. Also, they spoke trough the voice of Ponomarev, which is a dissident politician who fled Russia and now conducts a politics talk in Ukraine. Also he has got Ukranian citizenship. As far as I know, he is not very welcome in the Motherland. This is kinda strange for a false flag attack, too. Hence all of the cases are unlikely, but the fact happened, one of the theories must be true. So, I think that the less-unlikely one is actually that there is a form of internal resistance, and that it could be bigger than we know, even if they could or not committed this specific attack.

[@elftax]

Nice commentary but there is another theory, Dugin made some comments that would have put him at odds with Putin. Apparently Dugin said that victory in Ukraine is more important than the survival of the current govt, this could be interpreted as Dugin wanting regime change for one that is more competent in fighting Ukraine.

[@jackorchard1279]

What is the source of Dugin's comments that you refer to?

[@DallasPhool]

And the real reason that Putin is in Ukraine is to steal the gas deposits in the eastern part. It was all about money and he had to shut Dugin up.

[@lightningchegg4823]

@@jackorchard1279 I think you can find it on KZbin, he’s been very critical of Putin lately, that he’s not going anywhere near hard enough on Ukraine, the security told him to switch cars, for some reason the cameras in the entire area that could view the scene are missing a lot of footage and conveniently, Dugin watches his daughter be burned alive. This seems like another false flag.

[@martinvondereinode623]

That "false flag"-theory makes the most sense to me. "Pudding" is a real ruthless person, who cares of nobody, not even of persons who support him.

[@Flocattdancing]

And look at how well Putin benefits: He takes someone whose criticized him as too weak on Ukraine and makes him into a supporter. Win-win and something the KGB/FSB would regard as ideal: You kill a critic's child and make that critic into a supporter while blaming a country you're at war with. It pushes all the buttons.

[@mickbatau872]

This is a good analysis of the situation,

[@andreyshevchenko4689]

again, I definitely love how unbiased this channel is. That's itself an achievement of some sort nowadays.

[@ktlhlu308]

hahaha i hope its irony

[@andreyshevchenko4689]

@@ktlhlu308 umm, no, I'm actually serious. Comparing to dozens if not hundreds another channels with uncovered and shameless pro-ukranian BS, this guy doing pretty well.

[@Katoshi_Takagumi]

The troop increase is largely just on paper, they haven't been able to meet the current proscribed levels even. Unsurprisingly, recruitment is not going well. Ukraine option is the least likely, clearly. A random act is always a possibility, but I think it's somewhat unlikely due to the level of sophistication of the way the hit was carried out. A false flag, as the Dugins are largely 'expendable', or a hit by resistance are equally likely explanations. If we get to see more hits in the future, we will be able to better judge the the true state of affairs. A network of resistance would, obviously, have a greater impact on the country's future trajectory, implications being that it could also begin to fuel the disintegration of their 'empire'.

[@pax6833]

I think they will increasingly lean into coercion to drum up manpower. A lot of troops going into Ukraine are only "volunteers" in name only.

[@diane9247]

Vast numbers of their infantry seem to be untrained farm boys and unemployed villagers. If Putin is aiming for troops requiring more expertise, training will take much longer than he has to get his army in order. There is no way that new recruits will be any different: cannon fodder on the front, lazy and confused commanders in the back.

[@Silver_Prussian]

Just on paper thats whr everybody says about russia and then it turns out to be more than just paper but in ukrsien case their offensive is being launched on paper and it will remain on paper.

[@ebonytv3414]

Funny how you think it’s only Russian problem. kzbin.info/www/bejne/fmi2YoKtmtanpZI

[@janestones323]

And have you got the original information about your speculations? We want to know and verify. Thanks

[@martinhartecfc]

Fair play to you. You somehow managed to shoehorn in a line on a map against all the odds (given the topic). 😂

[@Gametheory101]

It's been a while, and I was getting desperate!

[@in42u]

@@Gametheory101 I left a long reply to a person which was arguing about Ukraine being pro-russian and so on, but KZbin might have marked my comment as spam because I can't see it here anymore. Would it be possible for you to check and unmark this comment as spam please?

[@MoustacheAlexander]

It's a twofer for the FSB to have done it. Get rid of a voice pushing the population farther than the Kremlin wants to go, and generate anger towards Ukraine. To me it's by far the most likely explanation. Next up would that internal group that claimed responsibility. I'd rate at near zero that it was a Ukrainian government approved operation.

[@mikey3666]

This didn’t age well 😂

[@LabGecko]

@@mikey3666 How so?

[@aussiepatriot]

Maybe Dugin wasn't getting along with his daughter and thought he teach her a lesson the radical Russian way.

[@potatojo9013]

A note on the National republican army theory. A few days ago here on Latvian TV they ran a story which showed the NRA coming clean as the culprits of the assassination. Granted, I might've mistaken something, and I didn't hear them mention the NRA. However, it did show a three people in military uniforms, with the white blue white flag admitting being the culprits.

[@raishaferreira8099]

His doing?

[@JMM33RanMA]

One has to wonder if there are any Czarists who resent Putin making himself Czar and corrupting the Orthodox Church with his puppet Kyrill. Russia has a long history of usurpations and anarchist assassinations. Also, sometimes Russian nationalism is anti-regime. How are things in Courland, Semigallia and Livonia these days?

[@baltulielkungsgunarsmiezis9714]

Still could be done by Ukraina and letting those other guys take the creddit.

[@nooboftheyear7170]

Veey doubtful. Probably staged. I mean, the russians can get ukrainian uniforms from pows. I'm on the FSB killing her because they were planning to tell the truth to the russian people in an upcoming episode. There was zero benefit to ukraine from such an operation and their spoutings up to that point would have been galvanising the whole of eastern europe to help ukraine overthrow any such imperialist ambitions, so... nope. I don't believe that there could be any ukrainian incentive to kill them.

[@1882osr]

@@baltulielkungsgunarsmiezis9714 Sure, but again. If they can project power this way, why go for an eccentric philosophy wonk rather than say Shoigu or someone at least directly attached to the Kremlin itself? It makes very little sense for the target to be Dugin, especially knowing that security will tighten after the attack.

[@eudaenomic]

I firmly believe the FSB is responsible and her father knew. Looking for support. However, it would be nice if it were internal resistance.

[@MightyRude]

I think even she knew. She was just 4 minutes away from home, the bomb exploded after 10 minutes and she was speeding.

[@MDCDiGiPiCs]

I agree 100%

[@darken2417]

I didn't know terrorism is a positive. But no its silly to think it was from the FSB. For a country any country to knowingly carry out an attack on their own civilian is an enormous task. Its one thing for Japan to sabotage one rail line and have no casualties, its a completely different thing to involve even one civilian. Absolute nonsense. North Korea perhaps but Russia? Lol no.

[@runs_through_the_forest]

@@darken2417 are you serious? don't you know how putin got to where he is today? fsb bombed commie blocks in moscow claiming it was chechen terrorists.. today it is more likely to have been coordinated by gru in stead of sfb.

[@nou712]

@@darken2417 Well, the second war of chechnya was justified by a false flag operation that involved blowing up bombs in apartment buildings with actual people still in there. The kremlin will kill it's own indiscriminately so long as it benefits them.

[@WonderMagician]

Thank you for your in-depth and factual assessment.

[@markgergely5323]

Very well thought out arguments, that catch a hold of the mind and intellect, in a sometimes , confusing and difficult situation.

[@ahartify]

Very interesting and perceptive. Thanks. The third option seems the most intriguing and plausible to me.

[@xavierviaene5022]

Makes me think about 'Mata Hari' in WWI when the French soldiers suffered from 'defaitism', i.e. fatigue to go on fighting in the trenches which became a stale mate. It boosted up the moral of the French soldiers. Actually the bomb car was meant for her father I heard. I think in overall that it was an attack of the Russian opposition to the war in Ukraine, a signal that more such actions are likely to happen when nobody can no longer speak out freely on the streets nor press.

[@godmode8687]

Noone knows who the bomb was meant for. Russian trolls just picked up insanely fast on the theory it was meant for her father. Their narrative was an innocent daughter was killed. Completely ignoring that she wasnt innocent at all, and noone knows who the target really was. I mean what looks better: Far right propagandist killed versus Ukrainians killed an completely innocent daughter (look how gorgeous she is) in an terroristic attempt to kill her father? Doesnt even matter whether it was a false flag or not. Framing the dead one as innocent helps russia either way

[@eugeneczerwinskyj3354]

I agree

[@trilithon108]

Agree. Russian opposition sounds right.

[@julianpetkov8320]

Nobody cares or knew who Dugin and daughter were, a pair of social media personalities. The British Empire media is painting him as some sort of "mover and shaker" because he was the only target the MI6 could manage to attack. It would be just as ridiculous - somebody bombing Jordan Peterson and then the MSM anointing him "The Brains Behind Trudeau". You should be more concerned - why is the so called "free media" is whitewashing this act of state terror.

[@suedenim6590]

"You heard"? Through your bombing network I would imagine 😏

[@kineahora8736]

Good piece. I prefer #3 internal resistance.

[@SilvanaDil]

Comparing 20% of Ukraine to 20% of the USA is awfully generous to Russia. You could compare it to 20% of Vatican City, which would look far less impressive, but closer to reality.

[@ALMAZ157]

Half of Ukraine’s GDP are in those 20%

[@gustavmeyrink_2.0]

Yes but no. Vatican City covers staggeringly small 0.5 sqkm or 0.19sqm. In size it is 195th in a list of 195 countries. The next smallest country Monaco is more than 4x the size.

[@SilvanaDil]

@@ALMAZ157 - Half of its GDP? LOL (What do Russians know about GDP anyway?)

[@ALMAZ157]

@@SilvanaDil that it doesn’t matter and most important are resources

[@SilvanaDil]

@@ALMAZ157 - Riiiiight. That's why you can't afford to build more than a handful of T-14s or Su-57s (or to repair the Kuznetsov). This isn't first half of the 20th Century; It takes more than food & fuel.

[@marisadallavalle393]

Thank you!

[@mariohnyc]

Weird how he switched vehicles at the last moment. Almost as if he knew or was warned what was about to happen...

[@dennisrydgren]

Thx. Great video.

[@mikek3658]

The Dugins are in the "find out" stage of "fuck around and find out." Слава Україні 🇺🇦 🇺🇦 🇺🇦

[@ALMAZ157]

“Glory to the terrorist state”

[@k3D4rsi554maq]

Only one guy knows the true story as to why Dugin didn't drive home with his daughter.

[@handlehidden-f2j]

Beautiful! Lay the blame anywhere but where is belongs.

[@colorbugoriginals4457]

Great video, some points I had not realized. Thx 👍☺️ Slava Ukraini ♥️✌️💪🇺🇦

[@forgether]

Slava Russia 💪💪💪💪

[@sherrillwhately7586]

I read Dugin’s Eurasia was to extend from Kamchatka to Ireland, with Slavic overlords, of course, only Ukraine 🇺🇦 wouldn’t get on board.

[@HB_King_of_Doggerland]

Then you have not read Dugin.

[@patrickgoetz]

@@HB_King_of_Doggerland Um, what? Both the Dugin's have specifically said this.

[@hoodoo2001]

None of the above. Occam's Razor. The simplest and most likely scenario is that this could be either an opening shot in an FSB powerplay within Putin's FSB cronies OR conversely Putin's way of keeping his now nervous cronies in line. Things are getting more difficult in Russia for the cronies and they are probably becoming dissatisfied with the status quo. The botched attack on Dugan is typical of Russian authoritarian incompetence. Very similar to the incompetence shown by Hitler's cronies during WWII. Put a Russian in a position of maneuver and he will usually defeat himself; that theory of dealing with Russians has been known for hundreds of years.

[@WreckedRectum]

Occam's razor is not the simplest solution, but the one that requires the least assumptions. I’d say the least amount of assumptions is that a bunch of Russians have had it with Putin’s kleptocratic war crimes gang and blew a genocidal celeb to shits in order to show other Russians that change is coming. Only one assumption needed, enough Russians are tired of Putin’s shit - that’s a fairly safe assumption to make as well.

He may want to checl the hardliners in case he has to withdraw.

[@badplus0176]

Option 5: Sea Eye A operation using the Eh zoff to strike at her father who wanted a harder attack in Ukr. Provides the US plausible deniability but allows them to attack in the heart of the Rusky-land

[@raishaferreira8099]

His doing! Is not other?

[@helpIthinkmylegsaregone]

Clearly the only reasonable explanation. This guy is raving on about how Russia is collapsong any minute now since the invasion started. Don't know if coping normie or MSM asset, but it def has nothing to do with sober analysis.

[@thebob5240]

Possible but very unlikely due to the sever ramifications if there was even a hint that the US was involved (AKA Nuclear War) and if the US was invested in attacking Russia they would likely go after hardline supporters of Putin instead of a mild celebrity it would be like if Russia killed Joe Rogan doesn't make a whole lot of sense.

[@HR_8035_YEA]

She was involved in operation Lakhta. Just a couple of weeks earlier, Ukraine hit the Wagner group HQ near Izium. It was reported that the Wagner group leader, Prigozhin, was killed. He's was the leader of operation Lakhta. Coincidence?

[@Laangli]

Great video. Based on headlines my gut feeling went towards option 1, but I hadn’t found the words to make good arguments or contextualise it.

[@frankphillips744]

Excellent analysis thoughtful and insightful

[@stevejohnson3357]

From the 1st, I thought it might be a manifestation of a power struggle within. Either the security services or the military might believe that the political side of the regime was leading them into a death trap and because you can't say those sorts of things out loud, you use this as a signal.

[@HistoryNerd808]

As an American, I'm not very familiar with Russian internal politics but I worry that this will only strengthen the hands of Russia's war hawks and create pressure for Putin to go even further. Maybe that will give an opportunity for people inside Russia like the Chechnyns, who don't like Putin but also likely just want to keep their heads down, for understandable reasons. Remains to be seen but it seems like a big deal, regardless of how it plays out.

[@tysay8170]

The majority of Americans are not familiar with politics, period...

[@abdabzeebop2]

There are pro Putin Chechens, and anti ones.Sheikh Mansur Battalion and/or Dzhokhar Dudayev Battalion (can't remember which, sorry) announced a while back that they would be partially pulling out of Ukraine to take the fight against Russia back to the heartland. Car bombs were very much a Chechen thing 30 years ago; this may have been them?

[@tysay8170]

@@GlennRA3 I too have travelled every continent on the globe. You are NOT wrong there...

[@avroarchitect1793]

@@GlennRA3 not wanting to be ruled by unelected bureaucrats in another country.

[@abbofun9022]

@@avroarchitect1793 you just proved the point on political illiteracy 😀

[@obornyi2407]

Should it bother me that her death literally does not bother me at all? She might be a fellow human, but how she in her (what she believed) safe space calling Russia out for not being harsh enough even though children are being bombed to death. She was a classic rich daddy girl, who thinks violence is good and necessary, as long as it hits other people far away from her

[@ALMAZ157]

She believed that “violence was necessary, not good, Ukraine were killing Civilians for whole 8,5 years from now, but Western journalists elected to ignore it

[@nanonano2595]

If her death bothers you, it should bother you less than every single Ukrainian death so far. I think its fair that the death of someone encouraging more deaths should only bother you after no one is dying, even indirectly, from their actions.

[@ALMAZ157]

@@nanonano2595 I am not getting bothered by Ukrainians who chosen to pick up guns and support genocide of Donbass, we clearly said to Ukrainians that they won’t be touched as long as they don’t resist

[@hellgates_javed6451]

@@nanonano2595 what did any Ukrainians do to me or my country so I feel bad for them

[@PunmasterSTP]

Thanks for another fascinating video. Instead of offering my thoughts on the content, I’ll leave it open for anyone (person or bot) to share theirs. I’ve had some strange conversations on here, but I’ve also learned new things. In any case, I hope that peace comes soon.

[@stevenjohns-savage7024]

Thanks 👍😊

[@Seattle.]

Russia needs a new leader

[@Metacarius]

I would say Ukraine is least likely for all the reasons mentioned, unless things are way worse than thought. You make good arguments for the others. Unlikely personal as Putin is (theoretically) popular and a public supporter would only really attract the attention of strong dissidents. So I'm going to go with internal conflict.

[@toke7560]

I have no doubt in my mind it was Putin.

[@francibalanci5617]

@@toke7560 ofc. everything bad happening in this world is Putins foult.

[@Metacarius]

@@toke7560 That would be my number 2 thought. I was weighing potential support building via false flag vs. resistance and I just don't think this would generate enough benefit for him. Some? Yes. Enough to matter? Doubtful.

[@durema9720]

@@toke7560 She literally has no correlation neither is she her opponent or actually... Any opponent. She is but a small fraction not even big to tip the scales. I'll go with internal conflict as well. I mean here is the thing we already have anarcho communist groups who sabotage the rails to stop the war etc. Might as well be more radical unofficial political group.

[@gordonadams5891]

There are many nationalities and cultures in the eastern part of Russia. It seems likely that any liberation movements in these areas would use Putin's distraction in Ukraine as opportunity to further the cause. Aside, given the 11 time zones Russia straddles, it's difficult to imagine Russia has full control over the vast area. Russia's popular is less than the U.S. population!

[@alanedwards3147]

I’ve watched your video with interest and have considered your 4 possible motives and after some thought l think your 1st suggestion is the most likely of the scenarios put forward, a great thought provoking set of ideas well done,

[@ronjamski3911]

Good analysis, as always

[@MrFelblood]

Kind of sad that Russia claims that they wanted to prevent NATO expansion and disarm the Azov militia, and all they've done is expand NATO and give Azov fame, legitimacy, weapons and a platform for their racist ideas. I'm not really disappointed about the NATO thing, but the Azov part is just one of the tragic necessities of war. "The enemy of my enemy is my friend."(--until the greater enemy is defeated, then he better behave himself.)

[@phild3936]

"until the greater enemy is defeated, then he better behave himself" Some ought to have told that to the gutless Western Allies especially since Roosevelt's 'dear Uncle Joe' started WW2 hand in hand with nazi-Germany.Perhaps some of the many mass-murders and 'crimes against humanity' (especially those in Eastern-Europe) AFTER WW2 could have been prevented.

[@Sexy_Goat]

This actually starts from 2012-2013 gas debts and expansions. Gazprom vs. Naftogaz You can find more info on Wikipedia

[@wabisabi6875]

Clear concise analysis, thanks. I think it has to be established first that Dugin was the target, not his daughter.

[@enigma591]

It also needs to be established that her father did not organize the attack. He gains a greater stage if she goes down while he just happened to change his mind about riding with her after her car was left unguarded in a secure, guarded area.

[@MDCDiGiPiCs]

Hi William, this has been at the forefront of my mind since it happened, it seems that I'm a tinfoil hat type. I stinks of FSB false flag ops, & as you explained, it serves the regimes narrative in order to carry out a mobilisation of sorts. As always, very enjoyable video. Have you managed to have a look at Perun's channel? His last episode dropped yesterday & it was sensational. Thanks for the great content, keep up the great work sir.

[@asmo1313]

The mobilisition part does not make any sense to me any more. It did at first, but if that was the goal, I think the orcs would have capitalized more on what happened but this story kinda of died down too quickly for that. If they wanted to use this bombing to mobilise, I think they would have made a bigger fuss about it and far longer then what happened now. This was happening imo because of internal stuff in the kremlin.

[@nooboftheyear7170]

No, this is more like they were getting rid of her probably because she wanted to tell the truth or was beginning to realise the truth. It was easy to telephone her father and say 'stay home we want to visit you' so that she would be in the car alone.

[@christopherellis2663]

Putin would be happy to cut off Dugin having an inherited.

[@FreeCatCheese]

Didn't they more than likely false flag apartment bombings to pin on the Chechens?

[@MDCDiGiPiCs]

@@asmo1313 the mobilisation “of sorts” is happening, a few days after the event Putin signed a decree that compels each region to gather a number of males for military service with a national total of 137000. Basically a justification to gather more cannon fodder through a high profile attack on home soil of a low value yet publicly recognised individual. Why did it die down quickly? It would look bad for the regime and it’s ability to maintain the security of Russia proper, if it had higher media exposure. The FSB/KGB are experts in psyops and shaping Russian public opinion.

[@Khal_Rheg0]

Of course another well documented video to relevant current matters. Thank you William! Have my youtube algo contribution!

[@thegeordiestory]

Damn good my sentiments exactly. As a former member of BAOR , and a member of RUSIDS , I probably see that this conflict will continue for some years . There is never in reality a "short war"

[@leifcatt]

A report on the "brain drain" that continues for Russia would be interesting. I've heard about it in passing and as part of another story, but not anything specific on the problem. Russian vloggers are a wealth of information and their videos show some facts on the ground. Most of them are saying they know people that have left or are leaving. So many college educated "creators" and scientists have left. I've seen estimates from 150,000 to 300,000 or more have gone. Getting clarification on the subject and what it means to Russia's future would make a great news story. Keep up the good work.

[@hazzardalsohazzard2624]

I've met a lot of foreigners living in the UK, at University and then in work. I've noticed all the Russians are wealthy. They come from families with wealth and resources, of course they'd want to escape, it's obvious how much better we are. The Russian who watches TV and never goes abroad doesn't see this. They think Russia is better than the West and don't know any Westerners.

[@Aljomito]

The first thing that came to my mind, classed as a"random act of violence" in your piece, was the very real connections of Dugin to the far right and entangled in that the mafia-like structures that have existed in Russia since the fall of the sowiet empire. I believe that this could have been some retaliatory hit for some reason unknown to me. I guess it also shows Putins grip on power weakening.

[@jackorchard1279]

This is an extremely interesting and detailed video. I go with the NRA concept. I doubt that this incident brings more support from the Russian people from what I know which is based on channels such as 1420, Volodymyr Zolkin, Insights from Ukraine (intercepted phone calls) and others. A small percentage of Russians are either 'literally in the dark' regarding what is going on or a few are old Soviet Union hold-outs. The latter being usually quite older and very rural. Nonetheless, while not allowed to speak from their hearts this act brings the reality of the 'special operation', deaths, active resistance, and the truth closer to home. While her father was most likely the target- it still worked well! Ta,

[@latenerd2441]

so Britian supports actual acts of terrorism, good to know.

[@ALMAZ157]

Keep listening to Liberals, they are less than 2%

[@nooboftheyear7170]

I doubt that. She was either a threat to him in terms of 'tow the party line' or her own investigations were beginning to reveal the truth. She may have parroted her father until that point but one or both might yave been planning a myth-busting episode.

[@ALMAZ157]

@@nooboftheyear7170 that sounds really dumb, she was very pro-Russia and her father too, they are patriots in the first place

[@1882osr]

@@ALMAZ157 Finally sense from Danil. I'll stop replying to you now. But Noob has little idea. While Dugin has been publicly sidelined by the Russian political elites, it doesn't mean his work and words don't impact on policy. Just as the notion of 'clash of civilisations' that arose in the 90s in western academia impacted the formation of the war on terror in the 00s, so too has Dugin in my opinion impacted Russian foreign policy. There was a clear and dramatic change of Ideology in the Kremlin after Medvedev's term. A differently minded Putin came to power and the most obvious element of that was his apparent adoption of many of Dugin's viewpoints. Whether they came directly or not. Dugin has shaped the discourse within Russia. The likelihood is that the FSB has no clear idea who conducted this attack but they have a very convenient storyline to sell anyway and so have gone with that.

[@montanasoftware5954]

TO ALL VIEWERS: Ukraine is a cause worth supporting. Let's all contact our government representatives to urge them to increase military aid to Ukraine. You can call your representatives, send them an email, send them a good old-fashioned letter, respond to one of their Tweets ... something. Take the time to help Ukraine now ... you'll be proud of yourself when you do.

[@shadowlord1418]

I would rather my representative get petrol below 3 dollars a litre

[@myriaddsystems]

Superb analysis

[@krakhedd]

Literally been waiting for this video, from you, since it happened 🤘 I'm fairly certain it was a false flag but am amenable to the revolutionaries too. Ukraine has too much to lose (the faith and trust of its allies and supporters of Western values) and for really no gain, one loudmouth off the air doesn't change much I personally suspect it was a false flag intended to curry popularity for further action in Ukraine and mobilization of Russians, but there was the People's Republic Army or whatever, of which/whom Poohtin was blissfully and arrogantly unaware. I.e. the revolutionaries stole Poohtin's thunder, and what was meant to strengthen the war efforts (cuz let's be honest, each and every Russian is feeling the economics by this point) instead strengthened them and Poohtin found much less power than he expected Perhaps somebody had better tell Schroeder that his best buddy is about to die so he'd better make his final visit

[@lubricustheslippery5028]

It could be Ukrainians or some group on Ukraine side that is outside Ukraine's governments control.

[@rogerpennel1798]

The Russian forces in Ukraine have been mainly drawn from the Russian hinterland and disproportionately from ethnic minorities within their borders while excluding urban European Russians. They have been excluding troops from its urban centers to hide their losses from the public because trains full of caskets in Moscow and St. Petersburg would be bad PR for the regime. This policy was also used during the Soviet-Afghan War to lessen the impact of that war on the urbanized proletariat and by extension the government and party members. If Russia chooses to fully mobilize for war there's no reason to believe that the majority of those conscripted into service wouldn't also be ethnic minorities so they can protect their core of urban European Russians. If they draw conscripts from their hinterland it's unlikely these sparsely populated areas would be able to find the numbers necessary to organize anti-war protests. Putin knows that too many of his troops are surrendering so he's calculated that if he attacks Ukrainian civilians he will scare his troops into believing that the Ukrainians won't take prisoners. The Russians haven't been allowing the bodies of fallen Russian soldiers to be repatriated because trainloads full of caskets are bad PR for Putin. Since no family wants to believe their sons have been KIA Putin gets to conceal his losses and hold on to his justification for the war in the short term and potentially threaten the families of the dead or captured with reprisals if he portrays them as turncoats. There's currently an opportunity for the frozen conflicts in the former Soviet Republics to reignite with the Russian military tied down in Ukraine. So far the former Soviet Republics have been playing a waiting game and anxiously watching the war in Ukraine hoping to exploit a Russian defeat. However, if they wait too long they risk a full Russian mobilization and the Russian military being able to redeploy its forces from that front to reopen these frozen conflicts. They may not have as good an opportunity as they have now.

[@vasilimici1032]

Well the way tell the story now with the 2nd person is very precise. They “know” he did this there and the woman went here and is there. Which means it doesn’t matter if they know they’ll say they know not to seem weak. P.S. Watch out Estonia.

[@eugeneczerwinskyj3354]

@@rogerpennel1798 I agree with you 100%. I was thinking the same things. Former and present republics should join in NOW to defeat pukin This is the best time according to my strategy. Glory to the peace loving Ukrainian people. Thanks to all nations helping. God bless you.

[@krakhedd]

@@lubricustheslippery5028 95% Russia(ns) did it, 5% everything else including Ukraine did it among others, such as any other nation. In my humble opinion

[@rubenzamora9383]

Great information and news!!!

[@pj828]

The 3rd option (Russian partisans) feels the most likely to me followed closely by the 1st option (false flag). Taking credit would likely see the full force of the Kremlin being brought to bear in reaction so claiming responsibility where there is none seems a bit odd to me. On the other hand, the Kremlin dismissed the Russian resistance fighters' admission in order to blame Ukrainian partisans directly. This would more closely serve their narrative but it's still odd they're not even acknowledging it.

[@nos4me]

Russia doesn’t want to admit to the public that there is any internal pushback to the war

[@orestmarkheva7325]

Calling Dugina a celebrity is a stretch. If her dad is B list propagandist she is C or D level.

[@alanwhite6293]

Can't imagine she cares what level she is anymore

[@orestmarkheva7325]

@@alanwhite6293 it's not about her. It's about people overplaying her influence. 99% of people who talked about her didn't know she existed until she died. She is not worth the trouble for Ukraine to whack her

[@alanwhite6293]

@@orestmarkheva7325 Thank you, I also think it was an inside job as the Russians solved the crime too quickly to be real.

[@arinasan247]

Well thought out

[@kenp1013]

He’s done this many times before. It’s one of his go-to tricks!

[@296jacqi]

The false flag option is so Russia, though. Sure, it seems unlikely on the surface to most people, but not to me.

[@Zzrik]

Russia has a history of creating false flag situations or other reasons to attack it's neighbours. They attacked Finland out of pure paranoia once Finland refused to give into Stalin's demands for land, they also attacked Poland at the same time as the Germans for whatever reason though probably tied to the early Polish and Russian war after the revolution. They also have a habit of backstabbing it's Allies, as in the case when Sweden and Russia where fighting against Napoleon on the same side only to have Russia attack Sweden with out provocation or declaration of war. Russia is a country that is hard to trust and rightfully so if you think about all the incidents i have mentioned and others, so a false flag tactic is a tactic they are probably well familiar with.

[@margarettoellieniellieni5087]

USA is worst

[@toocoolforu]

As if the West wasn’t the masters of false flags lmao

[@ROBANN88]

i think you missed the fifth possibility: internal powerstruggle of political rivals/maybe owed money to mafia etc, then blame it on Ukraine

[@thecasualcitizen492]

Excellent description of the possibilities for the attack. I just purchased your book, What Caused the Russia-Ukraine War?. Subscribed

[@kimberly1221]

Very good and informative video!

[@kendonahve924]

I opt for the false flag explanation.

[@gooldii1]

Me too.

[@hrnfw4818]

As a potential future topic , how does game theory account for unpredictable and irrational responses? For example where a poker player in the old west , who has suffered setbacks in his credibility of late, on catching a man across the table cheating instead of calling him out just produces a Derringer and shoots him. Revanchist states might in the future see this display and consider negatively the possibility of such behavior and it might change their calculus of where to draw their dashed line ? As you know some things only look logical in retrospect but this kind of unpredictability would certainly create some other terms in the equation of cost to benefit that usually contain most of the data regarding outcomes . Respectfully

[@michaeldavison9808]

I'm not sure that game theory extends to murderous invasions of countries by manic neo-fascist ex spies, does it?

[@hrnfw4818]

@@michaeldavison9808 Depends on whether you think Mr P is a rational actor or not ( I suspect he is since he has not sought to entangle NATO or use tactical NW ) The fact that he is willing to go to extreme lengths to try to recreate a larger Russia is probably less important than the fact that in the early days of the war the Ukrainians WAY over performed offering us an opportunity to correctly oppose his aggression while getting to set a bit of an example for others who have revanchist aspirations to expand their territorial scope . Hopefully our European allies appreciate these efforts ( especially on the part of the Ukrainians) which also benefit them in the long run . Watching what Germany does regarding foreign investment in the economies of other notoriously revanchist autocracies will be a measure of their true will to defend democratic western values.

[@rejvaik00]

I'm really glad you brought up the Imperial Japan starting the catalyst that would be eventually World War II where the Japanese soldiers deliberately went against the orders and attack that rail station when you were discussing false flags

[@norbertjoseph745]

Very good sevice

[@andrewwaterdouglas4494]

What a nice story only we know better you guys don’t have any limits well done sir

[@nilkolllu5036]

Excellent analysis as always!!! It is very much putin's style while sacrifice others and pointing fingers to another and enhancing his own goals, and indeed the real terror himself.

[@IvarDaigon]

To believe the Official Russian govt. story, you'd have to believe that a car can drive from Mariupol through Russian occupied territory all the way to Moscow 1200KM away (2 days drive) in the middle of a war without being stopped and searched by Russian authorities. Then the car drives another 1000KM to Estonia (another 2 days) again without being stopped or searched by Russian authorities in the middle of a war. And then finally you'd have to believe that the Russian government found out exactly who it was within 48 hours, a mere few hours after the alleged attacker conveniently slipped over the border into Estonia. And all of this happened while the Estonian border was closed to Russian passport holders which means that she'd have to be carrying multiple passports (i.e. a huge red flag for any authorities). So either this alleged Azov battalion woman has actual James Bond level abilities or the story is complete fiction. Final thought: In Putin's Russia, if your name surname is not Putin(a) then you are expendable....

[@roncollins1046]

Throughout this war I have thought that a re-examining of events in both Russia & Ukraine in 1905 is long overdue. The west may be content to rubber-stamp the date as some first and failed Russian 'revolution', but there never was any such occurrence. The disasters in the Manchurian war were brought home in coffins to the citizenry, creating one engine of unrest among civilians, while the catastrophic naval losses at Tsushima in the same war came to their boiling point in military affairs in a confused, spontaneous, poorly led and ultimately stalemated set of rippling shipboard mutinies in the Black Sea Fleet half a world away, creating another spasm of threat to the regime, but largely unrelated to the first. The Bolshevik movement, at the time a ragtag crowd of leftist pamphleteers and bickering political theorists with no real organizational cohesion, had no plan or mechanism to add in much more than more pamphlets and theories, and mostly sat out 1905 for lack of any means to exploit rapid, widespread and largely spontaneous events over a vast portion of the Eurasian land mass. Meanwhile, problems in Poland, Finland, Estonia, Ukraine and other outlying regions of the empire also took on a brief but violent life of their own during the period, but again were not really related politically to each other, much less coordinated effectively by any organized efforts to exploit them. Riots, strikes, military shooting into crowds, bread shortages and much more all did take place, but ultimately for the Tsar's purposes 1905 was just a bad year, but not any immediate threat to his dynasty's hold on power (yet....) What 2022 looks like to me in terms of Russian history is in many ways just another bad year for the Kremlin. Focusing on the Ukraine war alone and trying to tie it in with all the other upsets in Russian life and politics is little more than an outsider's view, and a simplistic one: Occam's Razor vying for audience with post-hoc fallacies, with the further complication of little attention being paid by all to any longer view across many, many centuries of history. There is every chance that the bombing in Moscow had nothing at all to do with the war directly, or anything else western eyes may be privy to. This is an example of too little information being met with too many easy summations of it, by conveniently ignoring any further factors which may be present but imperceptible to a west which hardly ever knows what it's looking at in terms of Russia, but which we do know is having a very bad year. But we don't know the half of it, and should not draw conclusions from the less than half that we barely know.

[@lonestarlaurel8620]

Interesting. TY

[@tiseril]

Fuck, he mobilised. More random people will die, it's not like he can capture something at this point anyway. But the people will die

[@1jediwitch]

Some well thought-out analyses, I like all of them except the last one which I think is highly unlikely. The false flag option is something they would do, but these tactics are like the infamous urban tErrorists The RAF - Red Army Faction/Baader-Meinhoff group whom incidentally were trained in the former DDR (East Germany), by the Spetnas & KGB - poetic justice or just desserts. Lol. Seriously though, I think that it's an inside job. Call it my Spidy Senses or gut intuition (more than just a 'hope' so to speak, but I do feel & think that there's a new sense of revolution afoot inside Mother Russia. Huh, to live free or die as a slave? 🤔 Dictator Putin & his fellow KGB - they are the ones in control of the Russian Federation - NEED to be STOPPED ASAP. Dictator Putin's Regime is not going to formally Declare War, he cannot risk a new revolution. The Russian citizens who've lost their loved ones (soldiers, whether volunteers for money, or conscripted) must be angry, either because they didn't get money, or cars in compensation at the least. Because of his unwillingness to accept reality - look at his notes when he's holding them in his slightly shaking hands, you'll notice that the font is Huge because he can't even accept that he needs glasses. President Zelenskyy on the other hand has shown the world what real leadership 👏 is about. He knows not to micromanage, unlike Dictator Putin. One of the directors for the Soviet era Illegals Program said (after his defection to the West) that there were 200 of these spies in the West - specifically the most on the American Continents. #Glory to #Ukraine 🇺🇦 Glory to the #Heroes 🇺🇦

[@itsthatsebguy93]

To me, it looks like an obvious false flag.

[@bartyr5150]

They missed 1/2 their target

[@KataIIama]

Rest in Piece Michaël Gorbatchev, hated by his countrymen, praised by the free world.

[@hybridarmyoffreeworld]

With cost of “black gold” at 15-23 dollars per barrel, the USSR economy collapsed, and the sovok itself collapsed, and the "golden" horde ("russia") budget can only be fulfilled only with oil price at $ 42.4 and higher

[@dailylaughdose7030]

Glory for Russia

[@kosinathimahlangu1501]

You forgot the not

[@bakaprogram6936]

Sending the most powerful weapon prayers for Ukraine's liberation GOD bless all those helped Ukraine's

[@charlesnl7]

Thanks for the definition of "outbidding" I grew up not understanding why terrorists were so quick to claim credit or what to call it.

[@PaulHirsh]

It's so fishy that the old man switched cars just before.

[@enigma591]

It was likely done by the same "Chechens" that bombed the Moscow apartments in 1999.