Interest Rate To Spike To Above 8%, Trigger ‘Depression’, Wipe Out Wealth | Felix Zulauf

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Later in the decade, the economic is headed for a crisis never before seen, according to Felix Zulauf, Founder of Zulauf Consulting. Here's why.
*This video was recorded on December 6, 2023
FOLLOW FELIX ZULAUF:
Website: www.felixzulauf.com/
Email: [e-mail]
LinkedIn / zulauf-consulting
KZbin Channel: / @zulaufconsulting
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Twitter (@davidlin_TV): / davidlin_tv
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For business inquiries, reach me at [e-mail]
*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
0:00 - Intro
1:05 - Job openings declined
6:10 - Gold
10:20 - Multi-polar world
14:42 - Economic crisis
17:47 - Interest rate to spike
21:40 - U.S. dollar
22:48 - Commodities
24:38 - Oil demand
26:10 - Inflation outlook
27:39 - Portfolio allocation
29:05 - Stock market outlook
30:17 - Sector allocation
31:37 - Emerging markets
33:10 - Bitcoin
34:19 - Efficient Market Hypothesis
#economy #investing #stocks

[@TheDavidLinReport]

Go to ground.news/davidlin to stay fulled informed. Get 30% off on unlimited access to Ground News' Vantage subscription Do you agree that interest rates will surprise to the upside? Comment below and don't forget to "like" and subscribe! FOLLOW FELIX ZULAUF: Website: www.felixzulauf.com/ Email: [e-mail] LinkedIn www.linkedin.com/company/zulauf-consulting/ KZbin Channel: www.youtube.com/@zulaufconsulting

[@user-jc1nd2zw3b]

He mentions oil, but not Uranium!

[@Richardcarlett]

This whole rally was as a result of optimism that the Fed is done with hiking interest rates, btc eft and approvals. The question now is, where do we go from here? Are we seeing a cycle of long term gains until Q2 2024? let’s say I decide to throw In $50k? Good or bad timing?

[@donna_martins]

It's crucial to have a well-thought-out strategy and not make impulsive moves based on short-term market fluctuations. Patience and a long-term perspective are key. You should consider a market expert to guide you.

[@Walter_hill_]

Accurate asset allocation is crucial right now, and some individuals use hedging strategies or allocate part of their portfolio to defensive assets for market downturns. financial advisory is vital for achieving this. This approach has helped me stay financially secure for over five years, yielding nearly $1m ROI

[@robert-1miller]

That's fascinating. How can I contact your Asset-coach as my portfolio is dwindling?

[@Walter_hill_]

Natalie Noel burns is among the most accomplished portfolio managers in the industry, widely acknowledged for her outstanding work. I highly recommend taking a closer look at her impressive portfolio.

[@robert-1miller]

Appreciate this recommendation, hopefully I can get some insight to where the economy is headed and strategies to beat inflation with when I hear back from Natalie .

[@Patriciabanks5]

In every crisis, there is an opportunity," as the saying goes. The 2024 recession, while challenging, presents unique avenues to amass wealth. First, it's essential to remember Warren Buffet's advice: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." During recessions, assets often undervalue. By investing wisely in stocks, real estate, or businesses during this downturn, you position yourself for significant returns during the economic recovery.

[@KevinClarke9]

An obvious way to invest for a recession is to buy shares in businesses that are likely to experience steady demand even in a downturn. Typically, those are consumers staple, utilities and healthcare companies. But of course, such decisions can’t be made by an average joe, a financial advisor is highly recommended in making this decisions..

[@carolpaige2]

Since the outbreak of 2020, which had a significant impact on the market, I've been running all of my investment decisions through an investment coach because their entire philosophy is centered around using a high-profit oriented blueprint while simultaneously going long and short, as well as reducing risk exposure as a hedge against inevitable downtrends. Underperforming is almost impossible when combined with their access to strange data and analysis.

[@Johnlarry12]

Please who’s this Financial advisor that guides you?

[@carolpaige2]

Carol Vivian Constable is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.

[@Johnlarry12]

Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.

[@selenajack2036]

I used to think everybody went broke during the Great Depression and other major crashes but they didn’t… Some made millions, I also thought everybody went out of business during these times but they didn’t, some went into business, there's always depression/recession for some people and there's always a good time for others, it's all about perspective.

[@mesutserim1595]

First step is discovering loopholes to generate gains during volatility, It is very possible to retire big time from the current market condition without having to hold stocks long term.

[@lucasanderson8993]

Given the market's uncertainty, I rely on an investment advisor for my daily decisions. Their expertise in long and short strategies, coupled with risk management and exclusive analysis, ensures substantial returns. Amid the pandemic, I've gained over $1.5 million through subsequent investments, benefiting from their approach.

[@tommychestnut5335]

I’ve been looking to switch to an advisor for a while now. Any help pointing me to who your advisor is?

[@lucasanderson8993]

There are a lot of independent advisors you might look into. But i work with HEATHER LEE LARIONI and I have been working together for nearly four years, and she is excellent. You could proceed with her if she satisfies your discretion. I endorse her

[@tommychestnut5335]

she actually appears to be well-read and educated. I just did a Google search for her name and found her webpage, I appreciate you sharing

[@Dwaynepipe18-c1k]

David allowed Felix the opportunity to tell us what he knows and did not interupt like other lower quality interviewers, well done David!

[@FusunTumsavas-cq7tp]

I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation

[@RossiPopa]

Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify invest-ments. By spreading invest-ments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown

[@petermeszaros3849]

The only "stock" people should ever hold is the SPY etf, otherwise unless you move the market, you will underperform it... FACT

[@jackwalsh1468]

David, a phenomenal guest speaker in Felix. He has an excellent grasp on the global micro and macro economics. His forecast should be heeded and the wise should prepare accordingly. David, your studio background setting was perfect. You as the subject, was prominent without any distracting factors. The studio lighting, again, was perfect and without any reflections of said lighting in your glasses. Kudos and Cheers, Mate.

[@freespeechmatters583]

Get a room you two!! ;-)

[@jackwalsh1468]

Envious, are we?@@freespeechmatters583

[@KXSocialChannel]

It wouldn’t surprise me if this is all comes true. When someone sounds crazy, it’s because their views aren’t very common, not because the events aren’t possible.

[@GORILLA_PIMP]

The majority of people are brainwashed group thinking 🐑, i agree

[@BobHaikou]

Good job, David! You ask the right questions and challenge and ask for clarification. You are damn good.

[@leochen887]

As an 85 year old retired aerospace engineer, I'm also too old to learn new tricks. But having guests like Felix Zulauf on David Lin's KZbin channel is an exceptional learning opportunity for his 120k+ subscribers, IMHO. If you believe that knowledge is power, then know that power begets control. If David Lin ever becomes a financial advisor, a fire hose of cash will suddenly open up for him.

[@reidarbergem8504]

Gratulations David! It’s s big achievment and a Christmas gift to your audience to bring on Felix Zulauf!! I will listen to this more than once.

[@jcgoogle1808]

"Gratulations"?????

[@MrAvtopilot]

Thank you for getting Felix on the show, so far this is most realistic unbiased analysis that I've heard here , I agree 💯 with him. A lot of wisdom and experience is his world's.

[@dangerman9792]

8% 10Y is realistic to you?

[@geraldt331]

Stocks extended their year-to-date rally following the CPI report, with the S&P 500 last up 0.8% in afternoon trading. but I don't know if stocks will quickly rebound, continue to pull back or move sideways for a few weeks, or if conditions will rapidly deteriorate.I am under pressure to grow my reserve of $250k.

[@Jadechurch-ql3do]

It's really hard to beat the market as a mere investor. It's just better if you invest with the help of a professional understands the market dynamics better.

[@yeslahykcim]

You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst.

[@lucaswilliams9992]

impressive gains! how can I get your advisor please, if you dont mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now

[@yeslahykcim]

“Leila Simoes Pinto’’ You can easily look her up, she has years of financiaI market experience.

[@Tonyham198]

I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.

[@IknowliavUS]

I like this guy when asked about Bitcoin he said I’m to old to understand it! He is carful with he’s prediction humble

[@philfortner1805]

When people cop out saying they're too old to understand it just means they made their wealth via the Cantillon Effect and are in utter denial that the party is over.

[@BigTomInTheBasement]

​@@philfortner1805I totally understand crypto as a tech. As a tech, I also understand that crypto requires other people's computers to operate, electric grids to operate and governments not to ban it.

[@alexanderhill2470]

I like the way he explained Germanys poor economic situation as "self organised"! 😂

[@radmirov8541]

More like self-inflicted.

[@gregorysagegreene]

@@radmirov8541 That's what he was trying to say, with the language barrier.

[@lucanidae100]

He meant " self inflicted"

[@mattg8431]

$dax is breaking out to new all time high despite all of that

[@KunalBalani]

Finally, a long waited interview. Should be named as when David meets Goliath.

[@patquinn205]

One of the best interviews from Mr. Lin so far. Felix has outlined what should be obvious to anyone who has the ability to take an objective and well reasoned approach, however 90% of the sheep as always will follow the pack right off the cliff again this time.

[@chrisjoyce6321]

David, your interview style is tremendous. Probably the best I've seen in the finance space. Kudos to you.

[@TheDavidLinReport]

Appreciate it! Thanks for watching

[@KXSocialChannel]

David: “Which commodities will do well?” Felix: “Yes.”

[@MotoZ7]

He said the ones that Brics nations produce , because they get cut off.

[@allstarlord]

All of them

[@meadhill]

Bitcoin

[@jcgoogle1808]

@@meadhill He said bitcoin has no intrinsic value,.. it's a ponzi scheme.

[@karlopeternel7685]

​@@meadhillyes, cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin doesn't have smart contracts. Ethereum is broken. Solana is switch-on switch-off. According my own due diligence and investigation I already put my money on Cardano ecosystem, those guys are serious. So much rubish there, even Bitcoin is useless rubish, too high fees, only can use as store of value like gold, however if once any other cryptocurrency flips it, Bitcoin purpose is gone so would be bitcoin, going to zero

[@thomassupertramp]

much better interviewer than others out there. Asks the right pertinent questions . Thank you David Lin

[@MichaelCali]

David Lin is one of the few moderators whose questions are short, pertinent, and responsive; this is the very best interview ever conducted with Mr Zulauf

[@dwdwone]

Zulauf has been making the rounds lately, but this has been one of the more interesting and insightful interviews with him, IMO.

[@jasonblundell6226]

Great conversation David thank you for following up on his answers. A lot of interviewers just take what zalauf says without probing. We as investors chain so much more insight by asking these questions.

[@xy4859]

Awesome interview and very clear and articulate guest!

[@MACOO7.]

Felix is way cool, wise & compelling

[@johndamascus6039]

What a great interview. This man is tip top and I would absolutely listen to him to inform what you are going to do, or at least keep an eye on his predictions for 2024. He's even very honest about himself and BTC, which is something not seen especially with older people. Great stuff, David and Felix!

[@juliorivas7428]

David, Felix prefers analyzing long-term trends. A superb guest. Thank you for having Felix. I am glad you asked him about emerging markets and India. In a multi-polar world, NAFTA will have food safety and fine demographics. The BRICS will wield commodity power. Declining demographics in Europe, China, Russia and middle East will cause them serious issues. As a Swiss-German, Felix gives us a perspective from outside of the USA, which is helpful to understand. Felix expects the West to collapse in the late 2020s.

[@jaygreenakajackstax9345]

Dear David, this is absolutely the best interview I've seen with Felix. You kept asking so good questions, so that Felix had to elaborate on them and go deeper into his statements. Very good interview. I'll put you on my watch list on KZbin. ❤ Thank you for your investigative journalist mind 🎉

[@FreeSpeech4All]

There might be too many ads, when your Ground News ad... is interrupted by a KZbin ad. 🙄🤦‍♂️

[@MrRyan83]

sign up then

[@richard0807]

Wow! Another awesome guest, David. He really encapsulates a lot of my own thoughts, but articulates them so much better! Thank you for this.

[@DONKALLSONG]

You're a great interviewer David - It might sound more simply then it is, but you let your guests speak and finish their points and you followup question on whats being said instead of strictly following a script.

[@user-rh2iq1pb8d]

Always great with great guests!

[@paulginsberg6942]

Felix is the man. Better listen if you know what's good for you.

[@sumthinfresh]

These commercials are insane. I watched the same interview on another channel with zero interruptions.

[@lepton31415]

for just $12/mo you don't ever have to sit through another ad on KZbin. just skip one lunch out per month and you save hours of your time

[@sumthinfresh]

@@lepton31415 nah, I'll just watch the channels that have 1 commercial

[@Al-yu6bq]

@@lepton31415 It´s better to use an adblock, you doné see ads and don´t have to pay anything

[@vble2337]

Use the Brave browser and you cut out all the commercials .

[@Stocks-vu1zz]

What other channel

[@goodstufflife]

What a great guest and interview. Love your channel David. Used to watch you on Kitco. But I watch this channel more now 👍

[@adamjduran1]

Thank you, David. Very valuable!

[@timothycarpenter5198]

Nailing down opinions is your strong point Mr. Lin. Keep up the good work.

[@gazoo7411]

Great Interview. Felix really knows what he is talking about. Thanks.

[@loveline7305]

Sir Zulauf is the greatest. Never doubt that man. He is a master at his craft.

[@jadeluu518]

Wowww..outstanding imterview ..i am so impressed with Felix Zulauf & David widsom & knowledge ..Felix is defintely a contrarian genius .thank-you both for your efforts and expertise :)))) ❤❤❤❤❤😊😊😊😊❤❤❤❤❤❤

[@goldilocksminer8393]

Quite a contest there. Good job, way to hang in with the pros, David!

[@user-bn5ry1jw5s]

David provides the best non-biased geopolitical/financial analysis online. thankyou sir

[@michaelyamasaki3592]

Very insightful interview. The guest offers a fascinating preview of what maybe ahead. Terrific interview!

[@eshraqsalahuddin115]

One the best guests with long term vision which most of the people is not taking in to consideration.

[@ivailoruikov5558]

Thank you, Felix. Thank you, David! .

[@DanielMeininger]

Mr. Zulaft always presents unique and accurate perspectives...a great interview.

[@HB-tulipan]

Pls being Felix back in the future. Great global perspectives! Thank you

[@ricj619]

Mr Zulauf is a very humble man. I’m sure there were times when he had crazy returns like 300%. This guy has been there done that. When Yoda speaks you listen.

[@dannypowers4995]

Bottom line is the government spending is causing all this trouble.

[@user-jh8eq9mn3q]

I thought it was a good economic video it turned out to be a very good collection of geopolitical insights .. nice guest Dave !

[@lawerencemiller9720]

After a massive rally in stocks came and yields collapsed, bond yields and the major averages are higher on Wednesday. How do we deal with such market conditions? Typically my $2m worth of holdings go up 8% then lose 20% right after and the cycle continues.

[@tomv7986]

Sometimes I am thinking tonnes of debt might at one point lead to deflation. The only thing that could lead to high inflation will be more mismanagement.

[@ashfield1425]

You can be guaranteed that we are heading to high inflation then.

[@raymondmaaskant1507]

Really like to listen to mr zulauf. Great guest David 🎉

[@Notaslave1961]

David the Hair is unstoppable! Felix has great hair too, a gray fox. Thanks for the interview, Felix is a wonderful source of information. Best for your new channel.

[@BobHaikou]

Good guest, consistent with the quality of all you have on this show....with the exception of Prince just before.

[@doctortrainerofficial]

Fantastic interview. I love how David is constantly being amazed and surprised about Felix's answers and trying to wrap his head around it.

[@mrlarry999]

Great interview! First time hearing from this guest. 👍🏼👍🏼

[@cdmorrissy3692]

I don't trust Stocks, Bonds, Real Estate, Bitcoin, or anything else I cannot hold in my hand right now, as the volatility, deception and risks attached to these "investments" makes them a "no go" for me at my age of 66. I'm converting my cash to (physical) Gold and Silver, which I'll hold to protect my assets, and though I "predict" there will be (at least) a reasonable profit to be made next year with precious metals, my main focus id securing my money. I only have $200,000 in cash but I save over $4,000 every month (after expenses) and I have NO debt, so with all of my savings in Gold/Silver (while all of this financial nonsense plays out next year) I still have plenty of money to support myself. Sure I'll be "losing" about $10,000 in interest from my savings next year,, but I believe that will be "offset" by gains in my Gold/Silver, and even if it doesn't , I enjoy having no worries about "losing" my assets.

[@br5439]

I'm a gold bug as well. I always wonder who will be buying gold when everyone is broke?

[@_Thoughtful_Aquarius_]

*Another great interview on The David Lin Report!*

[@curryvision2020]

Thank you David! New guest….great insight and great questions.

[@MrMatisse22]

Excellent. Most impressive guest

[@lmankj]

8% would be a huge increase of interest payments into the market. Hard to have a depression with that amount of positive cash flowing into the economy…

[@senthilarumugam4913]

Don’t you think money circulation would be severely impacted at that high interest rate?

[@richard0807]

At 8%, it would lead to the greatest depression ever! People are barely coping now to repay loans, mortgages, credit card debt, student loans, etc. At 8%, small/medium sized businesses will go bankrupt, the housing market will crash, spending on discretionary goods will dry up, and unemployment will soar. I call all of that kind of deflationary!

[@rustyscrapper]

Poor people don't buy treasury bonds.

[@GORILLA_PIMP]

Yeah if everyone has the money to PAY that 8% lmfao

[@Sean-gj3ef]

Keep the interviews coming David 🙌👍

[@theceltbeserk1]

As an income investor looking to maximize monthly pay outs vs portfolio appreciation, do I mind higher rates? As soon as the yield on my bond portfolio (401K) hit 4%, I started funneling money from my other Growth and S&P positions. That Bond Portfolio is now yielding over 5.5%. I am buying into it aggressively and reinvesting the monthly payouts. My goal is to have its monthly payouts match my current monthly income. The fund is a mixture of global, corporate and US bonds. As of now, the higher the rates the cheaper the shares, and the more I can buy with it yielding 5% or better. That said, since I started this big move, the portfolio is up about 3% on the year. As of now, it looks like I caught a big chunk of the bottom.

[@b4bmm]

This was a great chat

[@julietrapp1764]

I don't think he is too old to understand Bitcoin. He's intelligent.

[@alphacentauri2536]

True cos he's old enough to know😅

[@richard0807]

I think he understands the concept, but can't see any intrinsic value.

[@jeffsurfanderson]

I would like the FED to raise rates so that we can get some deflation prices need to go down on everything including real estate

[@JJames947]

Well done david, Felix is a great guest always!

[@moda_crypto869]

Solid interview that and what a decent guest . Thanks

[@alexandreo9603]

Felix has correctly timed the 2022 low for gold, many months in advance. So when he speaks i listen.

[@Ivansthename]

DAMN DAVID! 🔥 Keep up the great work

[@phil.s2245]

Great guest. He is knowledgeable and confident on his areas, but is willing to admit on some areas where he is not confident he offers no advice.

[@stefanl4069]

Always interesting to listen to Felix. I´ll stick to holding Cryptos (with BTC dominance) and cash for the next half year. Greetings from Zug, Switzerland

[@hakana.5297]

woow this is an incredible interview. Thank you

[@pabs5270]

Great info David

[@heinzgassner1057]

Excellent interview 🚀

[@eclkt]

Thank you, very inspiring

[@marcgerges1380]

Felix is the premier guest during this time of uncertainty.

[@PaulbylPaulbyl]

Awesome guest, awesome interview. 👍

[@MayMay0108]

Excellent interview! 👏

[@kiranas]

Exactly, a problem seen never before and a solution needs to be a seen never before. I have a solution to USA debt crisis but ar royalty.. Is USA ready to avoide the major problems to them and the world?

[@crouchhill]

At last Mr. Zulauf's yearly Christmas present on his Macro overview. 😊

[@hart-coded]

ABSOLUTELY BRILLIANT REVIEW

[@jasb8343]

The ground news link is wrong in your description, missing letter R. Amazing work btw as always.

[@artsmith103]

Nice presentation

[@zafer150211]

Can anybody summarize higlights of Felix's views and projections. Great video Thanks David

[@valuetraveler2026]

David I love your wisdom, style and your hair, man. What products are you using?

[@lynnayers3783]

Great interview!!

[@jaygreenakajackstax9345]

And I might add, that since the interview the tensions in the middle east are rising and that is another point Felix made in other interviews.

[@thomasricardo9833]

„Something has to give. You cannot control currencies, interest rates and the system.“

[@user-qc8eu3zc9o]

Great video ,he is the most realistic macro analyst

[@Stocks-vu1zz]

Another great interview!!!

[@zachsawatzky1]

This man understands exactly. The central banks CANNOT save both the USD AND bonds. They will kill the currency as they save the bonds. For now. The bonds fail last. Bitcoin continues to be the best money the world has seen. Might make sense to get some.

[@robertpritchard4681]

History also shows that there's quite often a new high before a big crash

[@sirfanatic]

Unreal interview, logic is spot on.

[@boucherdaniels897]

Hi David, I think Felix was saying his forecast was the treasury bond yields to spike to 8% NOT the Interest Rate To Spike To Above 8%.

[@LawrenceHornbake]

This was filmed 2 months ago. Zulauf is correct in many ways based on current market activities.

[@sheevamatimbas4300]

I getting the feeling that David can't handle the macro view of Mr. Zulauf, David looks shocked. I always look forward to Mr. Zulauf yearly various podcasts. 😊

[@ossibacher3235]

Felix you are right about everything

[@END-THE-FED]

The US has a serious income to debt ratio. The simplest choice is either a debt default or inflation of the currency supply. Money printers usually don’t default. Place your bets.

[@asvegas777]

Btc!

[@END-THE-FED]

@@asvegas777 💯