ETH / BTC: Finding The Bottom

[@intothecryptoverse]

a long journey indeed

[@ITC_Admin]

💯☝️🧐-notice how the *Real Ben* is highlighted and KZbin verified☑️

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@thesteelman3656]

@@intothecryptoverse I want to say that I appreciate you doing these videos DAILY. I’ve learned so much and actually have made money. Thank you for all you do and I hope your family is doing with what you’re going through.

[@conor-conor8715]

Please make videos with USD pairing

[@thesteelman3656]

Hoping we start the week out right with possible banana zone coming. Can’t wait for a new video!!!

[@KudretBayram]

Seeing you here posting 40min videos tells me your daughter is doing well and that's enough for me

[@irc1414]

How?

[@skender.sadiku]

NO ONE, and I mean, NO ONE does Crypto Analysis like BEN. Appreciate it man.

[@SirkitBr8ker]

Ben, you're a treasure to this community. Thank you for the level-headed, non-hype approach to dubious spec. You're a gem.

[@drflat9223]

ETH bottomed when Vitalik Buterin sang. If you heard it, you will know.

[@8o828]

that would be sick if it holds

[@investinginlove2059]

Facts 😂😂😂

[@JJ_00X]

It’s not over until the skinny dude sings

[@PeterS94]

ETH/BTC finds Bikini Bottom.

[@Jeanetjes]

Everyone was calling bullshit the last 2 years on here and on reddit. Good job by sticking to it and showing everybody they were wrong to doubt

[@mrjackobs32]

DCA Eth for the next 3 months, gotcha :D

[@arthurvanderkooij5456]

same, just started to auto-invest till end of december

[@VasileSurdu]

Yes let's go

[@fongheenkitaloka2800]

Markets have already priced it in before Dec. Hence we've to front run the front runners. Higher probability dates are to DCA up till 5th Nov (Election) and 7th Nov (FOMC).

[@alexkidd4144]

If I’m honestly being honest….. this is great stuff Ben

[@ImperfectAnalysis]

Difference between now and 2019 is weve already had the btc halving. We are at a different point in the crypto cycle. This is my only issue with the eth/usd analysis.

[@ITC_Admin]

*“Why I make the comparisons to 2019.”* 👉x.com/itc_crypto/status/1833586468058546257 ✔️

[@1234practice]

Figured I owe you a comment. You are smart and a G. Keep educating as many as you can about how to think. You are tremendous at recognizing patterns

[@adityachk2002]

It's crazy that Ben predicted 60% dominance years ago and everyone faded him and howled. I myself believed Ben but did not expect beyond 55%. Well, alts & eth are both yet to bottom against btc. Eth also will reach lower log trendline against usd. , we can easily see dominance higher than 60%

[@respect2mattie]

I need my cheap ETH, please crash as low as possible. Love it. Thanks Ben

[@adityachk2002]

It is finally here! Let's take action after sitting outside for so long

[@josephc4229]

Bought a ton of Eth on Wednesday, was hoping I’d have a few more months of these prices

[@CharlotReimert]

Same

[@rk092]

The second most important index after bitcoin dominance ofcourse

[@andreasschultze6644]

The Video we‘ve all been waiting for…. Exciting times ahead

[@MrDrumvid]

Patience finally pays off, well played Ben 👍

[@adityachk2002]

worst part is you had accepted defeat when the eth etfs approved. I still believed in you and you turned out to be right, not wrong !

[@himeshpeiris693]

Talking about finding gems in crypto, Ben is an absolute gem 💎 Thank you Benji!!!!

[@usharavi2268]

Thank you

[@thompson4620]

The 50 day was also crossed on the way down in May of 2019 and continued to drop another 50%!

[@intothecryptoverse]

but eth/btc had not broken down below support yet

[@thompson4620]

@@intothecryptoverse Not sure if you would have known that at the time. I mean, how long does it need to stay above the 50 day before it's a sign of higher times?

[@Mawlicious2024]

man we don't care what other "people" have to say, just share your thoughts it's really enough, we appreciate and follow you

[@olabueno78]

Yes, f*%k the haters Ben. Ok to every once in a while finger point, but does get a bit old.

[@jceli76]

Let’s go Ben! Thanks for your insights!

[@philipclarke6826]

Good on you Ben!🍉

[@MHMichaelHooper]

Great video Ben! The most amusing timeline is the one where this video marks the bottom of the ETH/BTC ratio! It certainly could be.

[@RuhaanGupta-yq4jm]

Patience ultimately pays off, good job staying the course Ben

[@johanneskettelhodt]

With that, wouldn't it make sense to swap BTC back to ETH based on Ben's logic? Obviously timing this is difficult, but if I understand the macro factors and BTC-D logic, that would be the logical choice some time in Q4?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@zhye5588]

Yes Sherlock

[@kenmoz]

Yes, that is basically what he is saying but he is being coy by not calling the bottom yet.

[@blitzr2300]

I think it's a good time for ETH now, Although maybe Ben prefers to wait for BTC.D to hit 60%, I dont know.

[@XxPietRo97xX]

maybe its time for a alt/btc video

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@fadiqawwas9888]

thanks for your honesty !

[@MartD78]

Another great video. Thanks Ben

[@bkram1]

Thank you Ben

[@ethanhood204]

Well done as always Ben!!

[@kapaaaau]

I want that 10 hour video of your mistakes 🤣 kidding aside, I request a video about the bull market that happened last cycle and what to learn from it. (Hopefully on a better timing, not right now ofcourse). Thanks Ben!

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@panpatys]

I still expect altcoin capitulation after BTC goes to ATH. Last cycle when BTC broke previous ATH (20K$) and went to 40K$ it was one man show. Last half year BTC went "sideway" and alts bleed vs BTC anyway they will bleed even more after strong move. ETH for 0,03 is very possible.

[@farsh66]

Benjamin, your approach is enlightening.

[@KonstantinosNakos]

I mean, Ben has a pretty good record of calling ETH/BTC. First video of the channel, Ethereum: Timing the Long-Term Momentum Shifts, on Sep 20 2019. ETH/BTC bottom Sep 16 2019. So, bringing this to today, ETH/BTC should have bottomed already 😄

[@ajb2016]

Could you make an updated vid on alt btc pairs and alt usd pairs please?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@suzu363]

I have NO idea how anyone could miss hear, misinterpret, misunderstand what you are and have been saying! Blows my mind how that keeps happening.

[@unclepizza1291]

Love it. Been waiting for this for a while along side you. Green light for ETH DCA’ing

[@abac2522]

Hey Ben, I always learn so much from your videos and I’m so grateful for that. I feel that most of the people don’t really understand why the alt BTC evaluations are so important because they can only think about USD evaluations. Most of them don’t know the difference between these two evaluations.

[@frankroberts6840]

Ben take a look at OTHERS.D, linear scale, and that chart may explain why ALT/BTC pairs aren't bleeding. OTHERS.D shows alts already at the range/parallel channel low which has held strong since 2016. Very similar to the USDT.D chart.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@Slenderman63323]

So that means the top 10 alts which are not in OTHERS need to bleed

[@XFlyingDutchmanX]

Because you tell us the things we don't want to hear, we follow you Ben.

[@stuck999ro]

Ben, bro U a genius!

[@Iamlegend-94]

Absolutely fascinating stuff Ben thanks for your insights on this

[@ovidiubalaban947]

Nice video, as always. I still have one question to ask: what would you think is the btc.d peaks at 60% and all btc pairs ( in that moment) are still around same levels as they are now and there is no leg down of TOTAL 3 to 0.26 level in Total 3 / BTC evaluation? What would you think in that scenario?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@davidvdr]

Thanks ben! Thought-provoking and prophetic as usual. Moreover i appreciate the humility and sharing of lessons learned. The crypto journey is so wild and you have added a lot of value. .. at least to my journey 😊

[@EfiPylarinou]

Very much appreciate the way you make your case.

[@tokyoluGS]

Thank you for everything dr Cowen. Thank you 🙏

[@PeterYS]

Ben, you proved Patience is Gold, Or BTC, virtual gold! Always sincere great analysis! Thanks for all the good job!

[@sfygy32]

Ben I need to sleep…

[@delarosae]

😂

[@rajivchaudhary5774]

😂

[@CADILLAKTRACKZ]

Goodnight yall

[@justinfitzpatrick013]

You can sleep during the bear market

[@HeavyDutyCharlie]

Tell me about it 😅 just got home from work.

[@brandonjuarez1918]

Great video Ben. Thanks for always keeping it real. No sugar coating

[@stevebutter3k]

Ben is the Bitcoin chart Wizard, so much value!

[@patrick.arnold]

Ben, in one of your recent episodes, you mentioned SOLBTC is beginning to track what ETHBTC did a year ago, and will soon trend down. In this case, would there be merit in a TOTAL4 Chart and removing SOL from the TOTAL3 equation?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@ImperfectAnalysis]

Just from very basic chart analysis. There is a very long trend line we are approaching. Should bounce off that. And out of a channel down trend. To the upside. Just in time for rate cutting and 2025 bull market year. Big resistance at the top is a 100% move of eth against btc. and if btc meets my targets in the 100k region. That puts eth at around 10k. Also puts total market cap for the entire market at the 5 trillion region. Btc at around 2.5T, Alts at 1.8T. Eth at 1T. Perfect resistance points for the market for this bull run. Top sometime in second half of 2025. Then perfect timing for crypto cycle bear market in 2026.

[@AntoninoDitta-b4w]

Thank you Ben always, open my mind even more and more in this wild west

[@himynameisdavidpitts]

WoW. GREAT video. TY!

[@sonnyreddr5155]

Great video Ben, thank you.

[@adityachk2002]

tell us when you swap btc for eth in tranches

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@AbsoluteFunction]

Honestly wish i found ben at the beginning of last cycle some ofbthe concepts he discusses i never fully understood but now im actually able to understand the information and what would be the logicial actions to take

[@Zet4reticuli]

This is once again mindblowing analysis. Ben, you're the goat.

[@Vortex_Capital]

Every once in a while ben has a magical video

[@Nostulex]

One of your best videos ever imo. thanks for the analysis

[@peterjohnlerum6580]

At this point I wouldn’t be surprised if ETH/BTC wicks down and touches 0.028-0.030 as the final cycle low before it turns around for good, without FED QE every single attempted rally since 2022 just gets rejected as a lower high, perhaps ETH USD bottoms at 1K USD 😭

[@limjason6364]

if this happens alts wrecked right?

[@caw1996ify]

​@@limjason6364yes. My base case is $1,260 ETH for sure, and possibly it hits like $1,020, but we'll see. 🤷🏽‍♂️

[@peterjohnlerum6580]

@@limjason6364 ETH USD falling to 1K would probably mean BTC falls lower, meaning alts will fall harder. Correct. So hedge accordingly (Not financial advice)

[@CharlotReimert]

That would be definitely a worse case scenario but what can you then? Hold and DCA

[@Bulltrapaskslap]

​@@limjason6364alts destroyed if eth goes to 1k far past rekt

[@BudiJempol]

Maybe the only answer is.. start DCA eth from now!

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@foobar1575]

Ben for president!

[@olabueno78]

So, buy some ETH and don’t worry too much about catching a falling knife. Got it. Thanks as always, Ben.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@boogernosetv]

Perfect call man!

[@sidichendid7237]

Year 4 for me, cant wait for 2025 learned alot since i wasnt invested and emotional about the turns in the market. I will admit tho, i was one of the 2019 top waiters lol. Lesson learned, and a TRUE alt season awaits us all!!! 🎉🎉🎉

[@CharlotReimert]

What is your strategy? I’m 90% invested in Eth and SOL currently, 10% cash

[@sidichendid7237]

@CharlotReimert I'm all cash, but looking to get a eth entry by dec. Awaiting a possible election drop because i feel unemployment rate looks better than it is due to govt jobs that offset the real situation. Once the election passes, the recession may begin. #dubiousspeculation LOL

[@benkeating7886]

Great analysis, Ben. Thank you! Hope your daughter is doing well.

[@Grugbuytheberry]

Woohoo! Literally waiting 2 years for this video!

[@riaji]

I love Ben's way of getting attention on some points. He's like a teacher who already knows the stupid things that comes through his students heads, so he points it right there, so that the lil' students know when to stop thinking in asking that stupidity 😂

[@shangri-lamood7365]

Morning Ben thx for video😊

[@jsantan89]

Your consistency, resilience, determination, and GRIT is incredibly inspiring. I have so much respect for you

[@0reo2]

It's crazy to think this QE cycle will start with a balance sheet close to where it was AFTER the initial Corona spike. Sure, they reduced it, but overall they just increase it

[@lourenshoeksma915]

The Eth/btc chart looks like a risk metric chart. Why not BCA (bitcoin cost average) between eg 0.38 and 0.47 and sell at the high levels when you are indicive where the bottom is? You do the same buying BTC in risk levels compared too usd.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@itsabergie]

I love the passion!

[@philipposchar]

Better BTC performance making new ATH while ETH fall short and the positive reaction of BTC to ETF while ETH fall short tells me people strugle to speculate if BTC will compete against Gold as store of Value while ETH.... Is a more EXPENSIVE technology with more complex environment and i think its difficult to see it as silver here. Its seen as a promissing yet risky startup with lots of competition and potentially and outdated technology and great difficulty to properly explore that business/investment question. While BTC now has L2s and NFTs and DEfi concepts begining to emerge on top of ETF and now ETF options etc. And its opening to the Boomers market right? So a boomer will understand "Digital gold" but wont understand ETH, nodes, merge, flippenings, L2s, consensus layers, forks. Unless the Bullmarket race speeds up ETH wont come back like a hellfire tornado. Pretty much just like last time (following behind 20-30 days). Love the helicopter view analysis. You were right on calling it back home few months ago.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@meangene1980]

Time to swap BTC back into ETH?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@str4lent]

If Ben thinks it could potentially bottom soon at 0.3-0.4, does that mean he's guessing that bitcoins going to be going up in value going forward? I'm guessing eth/btc can't work it's way up to 0.4+ if bitcoin is going sideways or down

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@yugo4557]

Question is, if ETH is being swapped at levels below 0.04BTC, what level does one trade back into BTC given the previous highs of 0.15BTC and 0.08BTC?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@haraldmuller5503]

What is your eth price prediction for 2025?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@babahitch67]

My question is if eth has to go to its 1200 usd band and there isn’t much room for eth/btc to fall, does that mean that btc sees a bigger correction than eth? And if so are we looking at a hard landing that provides an accumulation of a lifetime scenario.

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@angguhadventure5008]

Thnks ben🤙

[@mrzs2000]

Thanks!

[@JoinTheBlocks]

Anyone else get jubilant when Ben mentioned 10 hour video 😍

[@Jimmybob21]

Solid analysis Ben great work 💯

[@sattoriemei3210]

Thank goodness for the lemmings so that some of us can make money.

[@1world1family]

I enjoyed your videos 🙏thanks Ben

[@jonencarnacion4763]

We finally made it! Never doubted you for a second.

[@coveringcambria]

Thank you

[@PowerTripp]

Is it possible eth usd went down in 2016 while btc went up because at that time had a much smaller market cap and was treated more as just an alt coin back then?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@isaacjohnston4412]

ETH bouncing off the 200 week moving average. LFG!!! Hopefully it’s a complete reversal

[@sty811]

Do you consider changing your satoshis with ALTs? If ETH/BTC drops more or BTC.D increases +60%?

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@BritishRifleman]

Love your videos :)

[@BunnyHoperStar]

Maaasteer class, thanks 🫡

[@Ryan-xj1vr]

So focusing on ETH BTC gives you exposure to crypto vs ETH USD

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@seanp7361]

Great info

[@steven7371]

Ben is good at finding the bottom

[@fightinglegends2418]

What i understand from you this is the time to accumulate for this 4 to 6 months do not care for the botom you could missit🤑🤑

[@ITC_Admin]

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[@lushu3943]

I got the same conclusion from this, I am on DCA right now, I am not sure if this is the best moment to buy alts, then better hold a bunch of stable or BTC if altcoins capitulation plays out, since BTC.D will rise more.

[@mattb6040]

I need to start doing the opposite of what I think is going to happen. ETHUSD has been seemly unstoppable and I was want an entry 😅