Is Britain's Status Quo changing? 2024 Election prediction and more.

[@laabh9949]

I just love your use of welsh words everywhere, including the text.Perhaps 9 more youtubers like you and welsh would already be bouncing back. I wish someone in Bharat did that for my languages too.

[@BenLlywelyn]

Oh, thank you very much.

[@waynesworldofsci-tech]

Hell yes. I’d love to see a post Galloway victory dance. Galloway is poisonous.

[@yuribliman8999]

Thank you, Ben, for breaking the UK political landschaft down and sharing your predictions. I'm not British and it was very interesting to me. And I'll sing Hava Nagilah when G. Galloway is kicked out of the Parlament.

[@BenLlywelyn]

Hava Nagilah never fails to lift the spirit.

[@SteveFraserVideo]

Good job

[@finncloison5072]

Btw, I really love how you respond to every comment

[@BenLlywelyn]

You spent your time to watch my content, so I can at least try to reply or heart your comment. I can't physically answer them all anymore due to a few reasons, and many comments are about how people hate me, but I do try to show I am a person to you all. B

[@radiojet1429]

Looking forward to your victory dance(s). Diolch

[@evonne_o]

Lib Dems will have more than what you predicted. Tories will be lucky to get 50. seats

[@radiojet1429]

@@evonne_o According to Bloomberg News (a sane publication here in the States), there's hope the Lib Dems will tackle the growing problem of untreated sewage clogging the English waterways (true) and the hemorrhaging of money (lots of money) happening in major UK universities. Thanks David Cameron, et al.

[@drznadvago]

I went back to this vid on July the 5th. Pretty good predictions! I watch your channel because of languages. I live in Poland in the famous Suwalki Gap. I look at all foreign developments through one lens: is it good or bad news for Putin. And this remains to be seen.

[@BenLlywelyn]

This is probably not very good news for Putin. Starmer is very pro-NATO which is good for you Poles, I think. Thank you for coming back. I hope to make a video on Polish Language in the future.

[@drznadvago]

​@@BenLlywelyn In the distant future, when ideas for new episodes dry up, please consider the Masurian dialect (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Masurian_dialects). A language of Polish migrants to East Prussia, diverging from standard Polish and solidified by their adoption of Lutheranism (wasn't it similar in Wales?), with huge amounts of German influence. Then the Masurians were wiped-out, because they were too Polish for the Germans and too German for the Poles.

[@BenLlywelyn]

Good suggestion. Maybe later this year.

[@jaychaudhry6461]

Labour getting 400+ seats will be really interesting to watch from India.

[@jaychaudhry6461]

Context: During 2024 elections, BJP had a slogan "Abki baar 400 paar" meaning this time beyond 400 seats. This was reference to BJP aiming to get more than 400 seats in elections. India has 545 seats in lower house of parliament & 272 seats are needed to form majority government. A single party getting more than 400 seats is considered as a landmark accomplishment, something that only happened in 1984 elections when INC got 404 seats under Rajiv Gandhi. BJP wanted to accomplish this feat. In reality, the total opposite happened, BJP got 240 seats unable to even form a majority on its own(something it had for last 10 years), forcing it to enter into Coalition.

[@evonne_o]

Starmer will get near 500 as the Tories has been so rubbish and a shadow of their prime in the 1980s

[@BenLlywelyn]

I suppose the BJP was too proud and needed to show humility?

[@BenLlywelyn]

It would be unprecedented, and is possible.

[@siondafydd]

10:05 Could I get a source for where you got Trehoyw for Brighton?

[@BenLlywelyn]

I created it because we need a name.

[@dafyddrees2287]

2:00 yes! Victory dance video! You have a flair for deadpan humor so why not?

[@dafyddrees2287]

15:13 and Welsh Labour saw what the SNP did with Humza Useless and said “daliwch fy ngwrw!” 🍻

[@BenLlywelyn]

Tipyn o wirionedd, ond roedden nhw'n dilyn gorchmynion Llundain mwy dw i'n credu.

[@barryhill6507]

The new SDP, have decent policies, however if you look at their results over the last 10 years, they are England's equivalent to Gwlad.

[@BenLlywelyn]

SDP have won a cluster of councillors in Leeds. If they grow, they will bring the needed angle of family. But a long way to go for them.

[@finncloison5072]

Something I think will interest you is that in Estonian, we call Welsh "kõmri keel" - from welsh Cymraeg. I don't think a lot of languages borrowed Welsh's name from the language itself

[@BenLlywelyn]

Thank you for using a name for us that is more appropriate.

[@monicaoanca1728]

Thank you for this brilliant analysis ! I am quite interested in the result of the election, although I am not British! I immensely love your videos ❣ because you have such a charming way of saying things which are so terrifying... You said you did not belong to the Lib Dem anymore, but I might have missed when you said who you are going to vote for.... is it a secret ?

[@BenLlywelyn]

The choices this election are so dismal I am still undecided.

[@monicaoanca1728]

God bless you!

[@TheChappy190]

Northern ireland Actually costs the UK Money . so there's no Net Take .

[@BenLlywelyn]

Human resources, too.

[@channelsixtyeight068_]

Reform considers Monmouthshire part of England and is pushing for a referendum on that.

[@MabElystanGlodrydd]

Let's swop. South Herefordshire, West Shropshire and Chester to Wales in exchange.

[@BenLlywelyn]

It is Welsh.

[@BenLlywelyn]

Amwythig (Shopshire) is beautiful.

[@channelsixtyeight068_]

@@BenLlywelyn Not according to Farage and the Reform Party. I hope that doesn't eventuate. I was born there and consider myself Welsh-born, not English.

[@Gog1964]

Trehoyw ha ha da iawn Ben 👍 Dim yn cytuno hefo Plaid, mae Rhun yn gwneud gwaith da i dori fewn i ddarnau newydd.

[@BenLlywelyn]

Diolch Gog. Dw i'n hoffi Rhun, ond yr un hen lôn i Blaid.

[@joalexsg9741]

I just found this video now on 24 Sept (2024). Diolch yn fawr iawn, I learn so much about UK politics with you, and now that XTwitter has been banned for us here in Brazil by the tyrannical Left here, it's such a blessing to have your insights!

[@BenLlywelyn]

Obrigado. Banning Twitter is utter madness, and Lula is a bit silly. I am glad to help inform you, and thank you for watching.

[@joalexsg9741]

@@BenLlywelyn Eu é que lhe agradeço; I actually think Lula is quite dangerous, being a fake moderate who was even praised by Hamas when he won the last elections. I really don't know which one is worse, he or the infamous Bolsonaro but the latter at least supports Israel though in a warped way but this is better than being an unabashed enemy of the only democracy in the Middle East as Lula and all his leftist pals are. By saying this I'm not endorsing the former either, just trying to be fair.

[@BenLlywelyn]

Fair is good.

[@joalexsg9741]

@@BenLlywelyn I try, lol.

[@pugo7925]

Man I don't know much about Britsh politics and I didn't watch the whole video yet but as a fellow jew, the part where you expressed your Zionizm really touch me!

[@BenLlywelyn]

Thank you very much.

[@mawkernewek]

24:15 is this a Lord of the Rings reference?

[@BenLlywelyn]

No. But I think I can see it.

[@plerpplerp5599]

A significant change in the UK is unlikely in the near future. Here's why: The two-party dominance and first-past-the-post voting system resist meaningful reform. Powerful lobbies and wealthy individuals benefit from the status quo and resist change. British society continues to cling to tradition, making radical changes difficult. Dealing with the consequences of Brexit will continue to dominate political attention and resources. Polarized media outlets reinforce existing divisions rather than promoting unity for change. Many talented individuals leave the UK, reducing the pool of potential change-makers. The national debt and ongoing economic challenges limit the government's ability to invest in major reforms. Both Conservative and Labour administrations have made short-sighted decisions prioritizing short-term political gains over long-term national interests. Without a major crisis or significant shift in public consciousness, the UK is likely to continue muddling through its current problems rather than implementing transformative change. The issues are deeply rooted and systemic, making quick or easy solutions improbable.

[@BenLlywelyn]

Let us hope something good happens today in the election.

[@welshed]

I’m torn between Plaid and Reform. I just want a party that actually cares about Wales and will look after the interests of the Welsh people. I agree with your assessment that Plaid are basically Labour. Just with a Welsh name and Reform…I dunno, they’ll just concentrate on the English seats they (might) win and will ignore Wales. That’s my opinion anyway. We need a new party in Wales that does what Plaid is supposed to be doing. Then I’d vote for them. As things stand, I don’t know what to do. I don’t really want to be “that guy”, but I really feel that they’re all basically the same. Whoever I vote for, it won’t matter.

[@BenLlywelyn]

Yes, I am in a similar boat to you. How can I vote Plaid if Zionism is core my faith and they hate Zionism, so where can I go to support Wales and not betray my faith?

[@evonne_o]

My late dad was a stanch Tory and wanted me when I was 9 in 1984 but I said no as I liked my friend and I was living in Brixton and didn't wanted to be bullied more. Anyway today my political views are Lib Dems. It could be Labour but I don't to disgrace my late dad's memory.

[@BenLlywelyn]

Family loyalty is a big vote influencer on these islands.

[@evonne_o]

​@@BenLlywelynVery true in my case

[@23Stork]

My biggest hope is that Reform overtake the tories in terms of popular vote. Very peculiar to our voting system that Labour are going to win such a massive landslide despite having an unpopular leader and most people I speak to, be they to the right or the left, aren't excited about their platform at all. Anywhere else there'd be parties to the right and left of them or with nuances on certain policies that would pick up some votes here and there

[@BenLlywelyn]

Reform overtaking Tories I do see as a possibility by 2030. Thatcherism simply does not represent most conservatively minded working people.

[@jmontoya6661]

Fascinating Ben, I hope you do a results video. I’m American and it’s a shit show here as well. Seems the same playbook and people are wanting to get their country back and be able to afford things, instead of higher taxes. I’ve enjoyed your content very much. Although I was born in the US, I’m a product of Hungarian parents, my mother was from Transylvania 😮. I do speak it and understand it, though wish I was better. Keep up the good work!

[@BenLlywelyn]

Thank you. As for Hungarian, you have a fine heritage and language you must not lose.

[@christopherellis2663]

л лъ лI three types of ll. Voiced, voiceless, and ejective. These are found in Adygey

[@BenLlywelyn]

The immensity of Russia is utterly ridiculous, so that I cannot comprehend it.

[@davidpoultney4080]

A shame, seeing you dance would have been fun

[@BenLlywelyn]

I am tempted.

[@ronaldreagan4023]

Racism is keyed btw

[@ronaldreagan4023]

When it’s done by Whites

[@BenLlywelyn]

I try to ignore slang invented after 1964.

[@Ponto-zv9vf]

For this Australian you paint a gloomy picture. Immigration is an issue in most of the developed nations even if people don't recognize that it's an issue. I was born in Malta and have lived in Australia since I was 3, and in the old days of my childhood, it was accepted that immigrants would assimilate to the Australian culture. There were a lot of bad things in Australia in my childhood but at least the culture was Australian, now Australia is wealthier, has a larger population, and no one is starving or lacking housing but Australia is no longer Australian despite the likes of Paul Hogan, Chris Hemsworth and Hugh Jackman.

[@BenLlywelyn]

Culture is worth more than money. We forgot that.

[@ADFinlayson]

God I hope you're wrong

[@BenLlywelyn]

The post-war world is ending.

[@edsiebert5986]

dude you look like a bond villain....kinda scary tbh!

[@BenLlywelyn]

A good man needs to be able to be scary if the need arises to defend the good.

[@fredericosampaio6457]

Ben, Dymuna I etholiad y deyrnas unedig dda iawn i ti 🙏

[@BenLlywelyn]

Diolch yn fawr iawn. Gobeithio i ymlacio nos Iau a gwylio.