Is The Modern Pokemon Card Bubble About to Pop?

Prices continue to climb on modern pokemon card prices from the Sword & Shield era! People are abolustely in love with alt art cards such as the Umbreon VMAX & Giratina V but is this bubble about to pop?
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[@MrMasterSet]

When I hear "Pokemon" and "Bubble"... all I can think about is the "Bubble Mew" from Paldean Fates, haha.

[@patrickbateman69420]

Man, that is just the wildest thing I've heard this year.

[@rhylechner525]

My favorite card 😂 just makes me feel relaxed.. wish I was that mew

[@3blindwhales]

Best looking card I’ve seen.

[@poke-transport1910]

I don’t know if we are in a bubble. However what I do know with almost 10 years of investing experience is that no one knows anything. If I had a nickel for every time someone said we are in a bubble I’d be rich. And vice versa. The market will never do what you’re expecting it to do. Do what play is the least riskiest for you and remember time is your friend, average down, or cut losses and move into a more favorable position for YOU. Now my personal opinion, everyone said the market was dying after the covid bubble. Guess what, it’s still thriving. Do you know what else does that? The stock market, crypto market, precious metals. Stop buying things on fomo. Buy when no one else is buying. Fear is your friend, greed is your enemy. That’s just my two cents.ive made a ton of mistakes, im far from perfect. But this is the best advice you will get.

[@supermiguelYT]

I like it! 👌🏽

[@tdmorton29]

Solid comment

[@marcobianchi1858]

Agreed man

[@Mike346631]

you just saved me on buying a PSA 10 Umbreon

[@KadeBenji]

Lemme tell you. It feels much better selling high end Pokémon cards then collecting them. You cannot "Catch them all" but you can "sell them all"

[@danielrenfrey2816]

That's subjective

[@KadeBenji]

@@danielrenfrey2816 You own every Pokémon card made? Nice!

[@Looch1717]

Youre not a collector, thats fine.

[@KadeBenji]

@Looch1717 Not anymore my man! In this Economy collectables are laughable. Its the money from them that matters

[@mossshead]

No one is talking about S&V just isn’t a good era to collect and many collectors would rather go back and buy the alts from SWSH. Those alts will always be the most wanted modern cards for year to come.

[@BulletTrucking99]

Agreed, he does have a point, they should cool off a bit, but there are extremely nice arts. They will always be demand for them as long as pokemon remains popular.

[@hirakatashii]

I just think it’s crazy that my Starmie V and Garchomp V trainer gallery cards are $50 cards now. I know it’s not the big 5 but there are plenty of other mid-level alt arts that have gone up 50% or even doubled in price in the last 2-3 weeks

[@newjones1754]

sell it now you can

[@ethanbramwell3751]

Facts I got the alt art rayquaza v from evolving skies not the big hit vmax but still when I first checked it was a £90 card ungraded now that’s gone up to £120/£130 I’ve seen listings for

[@LightningN1NjA]

Yeah don’t pay for any of these cards while they’re high. They will go do regardless…Pop is wayy way wayyyy too high.

[@MrTacogood]

So I had just pulled my umbreon vmax alt for one of the 3 pack tins and I went and bought another one and pulled the gengar vmax alt

[@tobiasholding855]

daamn

[@phantomask]

wow! what are the odds. I pulled my moonbreon from a 2 pack pin blister, twice. not successive, but still.

[@MelvinYeo-yx1mk]

My lord

[@Pokemoncollector92]

Which 3 Pack tin

[@MrTacogood]

@@Pokemoncollector92 the snorlax tin from Walgreens

[@arg.flykicks2337]

Being out of print does jump the price but not to the point where these modern chase psa10 price wise are catching up to vintage psa10 bangers, def a bubble that will pop eventually.

[@danieljacques7321]

I’m pretty hyped that I pulled 4 of the “big 5” myself within the last year. I have 2 Moonbreons, 1 Rayquaza VMax alt, and 1 PSA 10 Gengar VMax alt. I really really want that Blaziken. I’ve opened probably 150-200 chilling reign and the best card I got was a Galarian Rapidash alt 😅

[@PocketmonTrapper]

I like collecting.

[@ivans9914]

I own an LGS in Europe and it’s definitely not a bubble for us store owners. Margins are the lowest since 2020. Most of us are staying afloat by selling some other TCGs that are being hyped rn.

[@LightningN1NjA]

Moonbreon pop is too high to maintain even a $700 value. It’s already 11000k+ and it’s only 3 years old. Everyone and their mom has that card.

[@adamz866]

IMO this is just wrong. Pop doesn't matter if something is desirable

[@LightningN1NjA]

@@adamz866 google “Supply and Demand”

[@Trappedinnewyork]

Buy a bgs 10 or cgc pristine way lower pop 😊

[@SlyHaku]

Great insights about the differences between the big five and rare cards availability Jake. Well done with the correct foresight on the Grey Felt Hat Pikachu Promo.

[@Luke-q8p]

You can’t really compare anything like This umbreon card, it’s arguably the greatest pokemon card to ever exist, better than Latios latias tag team. 11,000 psa10s it’s just a fraction of the pokemon community who one day may recognise this card being one of the greats of all time

[@jotty82]

I’m just focusing on Japanese right now. The market is really cheap for Japanese right now. I’ll wait for English to settle in months to come

[@phantomask]

same bro.

[@poke-transport1910]

Honestly I thought about doing that, but I looked back at old sets, and they are barely moving or havnt really moved much at all. Just a handful of them are actually doing anything. I am focused on 151 Jp right now though, I feel that is a good strong set for them.

[@phantomask]

@@poke-transport1910 Really? Not what I saw. Check Shining Fates vs Shiny Star V's Market Price.

[@phantomask]

@@poke-transport1910 You may want to double check that. Try searching Shiny Star V vs Shining fates.

[@Doors067]

I sold all my japanese I realized taking japanese cards away from the people of Japan made me a Major Douchebag

[@nicholaskoontz8362]

We are in a massive economy bubble. A crash is very imminent. Probably within the next 12-18 months. The first thing people will sell is these collections and the market will flood and drop dramatically. I would save your money now guys and be ready.

[@nicholaskoontz8362]

It honestly feels like it's happening now... My marketplace is flooded with high end collections. More than I've ever seen. There's enough people with money to fill that need (for now) but soon fear and reality will sink in and opportunity will arise for people who were smart and waited right now.

[@enthused7591]

I'm guessing September/October honestly. When you look at the math and how the 2007 housing bubble popped and the time it took, it's happening almost identically to that and I think later this year is the latest it'll be before demand is absolutely dead for homes, vehicles, collectibles, etc until everything crashes in value. People are the poorest they've ever been in all of US history relative to asset valuations and that shows up a ton in the high interest debt levels and all-time low consumer savings rates. Ultimately, people can no longer afford to live AND layoffs of salaried workers are ramping up to hundreds of thousands a month.

[@hemlock999]

People (e.g., Robert Kiyosaki) have been warning of a doomsday market crash for years and it has not come - but I do see your point. My concern is with the rate of printing. Just like the Fed, pokemon cards go down the more they print and reprint.

[@nicholaskoontz8362]

@@enthused7591 Well Said. I agree with you, even though I think the current administration is going to be motivated to not let it occur too badly before the election or they will be sunk 💯 before it even occurs. I mean i think that's true now, but the left is delusional so there's that too lol. I'm saving my pennies for sure.

[@nicholaskoontz8362]

@@hemlock999 Well looking back it did occur not all that long ago and based on the current economy there has been no lessons learned from that so it just seems undeniable that it will happen again. I mean banks got bailed out and were able to capitalize and buy up millions of single family homes for pennies... they are motivated to let it happen again in my opinion. It isn't going to be an accident... they want it to happen to continue consolidating wealth at the top and make people more dependent on big business and the government. I know it's just my opinion. I could be wrong.

[@andrewtodd5203]

It’s all about the art. 🖼️ and for sure evo skies has the best and crown zenith. I’d say brilliant stars zard too but ya moonbreon to the moon and evo . Idc about pop . It’s the art that matters and pull rates are tough

[@magnificcenTCG]

Just like volatile stocks/crypto, prices will rise and dip. I think with S&S product going up in price, and knowing how hard it is to pull the alt arts, It's only natural for the prices to go up as people realize they wont be able to pull it, so just buy it.

[@pxfffyyy]

im lucky i just finished my evolving skies master set (its so beautiful) before the recent spike jump

[@KadeBenji]

Dope set. But sell it 😂

[@NuHabitsGroup]

That's awesome. I would keep it forever.

[@TnTinoGameplays]

Jake you got that just woke up look , like that pillow crease that people get when they KO lol

[@royhp3025]

Damn those Tesla drivers

[@Marc-bb2vx]

You should also cover the Mario/Luigi pikachu even greater bubble, with slab going above $8000

[@kraven1903]

That’s not a bubble whatsover, only 2k graded copies and it’s a card every collector salivates over. That’s not even close to the same as the 15k umbreon that cost 1.5k

[@samersalama6275]

I agree. These prices can’t go on forever. We have seen it with sun and moon. I think it will be high but not this high.

[@nickyslicky]

you havent figured it out yet

[@smelliott0178]

I will never get over how the Galarian Moltres is below Blaziken lol

[@brandonsigecan3174]

Swear

[@brandonsigecan3174]

Gotta be that Blaziken is an og pokemon from the first 3 gens and while yes it is a Moltres, it's a galarian Moltres so it's not technically an og pokemon. That being said I think the Moltres looks way cooler than blaziken

[@MrRiingo]

Bought a Lugia V recently, paid like $30-$40 more than what it was before the spike. But its not an issue to me if it drops in value. I love the card, the artwork is fantastic to me, and Lugia is my favorite Pokemon. To me, it feels the same as when the trainers started going up. I believe they'll drop slightly in a few months, probably 10%-20% per card and then gradually rise again over the year.

[@BUEFFES]

I agree. I think we are having a bubble for SWSH. Like you said just look at the pop reports. These cards aren't "rare" and a lot of ppl I know of just getting them as investments. So they eventually wanna get rid of these (= sell them) and if a lot of people do that the bubble will burst.

[@boatboattmmrp9950]

Am I the only one that’s not crazy about the “chase cards”? They’re cool, but they really don’t do anything for me art wise. I think there’s a lot cooler cards out there not worth as much that have better art and foil.

[@anonymouscat1299]

Way overvalued

[@LightningN1NjA]

Exactly, population is so high. Everyone has it!

[@DragonRollYumYum]

Sold off all of my alt art big 5. This just reminds me of the Charizard bubble .... not sustainable. Pretty sure I can buy them back 6 months-12 months from now for cents on the dollar.

[@hertvang1]

😂😂😂

[@vitzky636]

I wonder why Black/White and X/Y have never really taken off SWSH seems to be taking off due to being the current set during the boom which is causing a lot of nostalgia

[@mikescholz360]

I still can’t believe I bought my moonbreon for $200. Luckiest purchase timing ever. I thought I was buying it at the top but turns out it never went down

[@davidrivas6182]

His confidence is just like a Forex or a bitcoin influencer he doesn’t know😂😂😂😂 he’s coming in with logic in common sense and remind you common sense it’s not common anymore. There was a quote by Rivas saying the average person is not really that dumb. They are dumber thing you think.😂😂

[@parkerC1990s]

Yeah this guy’s channel is a hazard

[@Tactical_Prepping]

Worth noting there is only like 4000 giratina v alt arts in psa 10 I feel they Will spike even more in Price being “hard” to grade compared to other big alt arts

[@Lauren-zz6py]

rip to my chances of getting all the alt arts😭 still need the gengar, giratina, and blaziken. hopefully those ones will drop a little

[@KadeBenji]

Jake you ever considered selling ALL of your Pokémon?? You could buy an amazing Condo or vacation home hell you could buy a Lamborghini. Instead of having a big plastic container filled with slabs lol

[@MrMetalChris]

I've got the gengar and giratina 😁

[@qopiqq3629]

With every card sold the price hikes and some people won't go along with it. The people that do however, well, they buy it and are also out of the market. I'm sure this will calm down a little in a while. FOMO is just hitting hard, i went crazy on some sealed gen 8 stuff since i still want to rip gen 8 over the next few months

[@kirigayakazuto7649]

Have the Rayquaza V and VMax in a 10. Have one Evo Box Sealed. Thats all I need. Giratina is a beauty, maybe I ll pick it up later. But overall I just want my goldstar cards to be available :D

[@GravelRacer1]

Top rare cards are not rare at all. Price is high because they are in demand, not because they are rare. Once demand falls off, so will price. Pokemon and Magic cards are going to fall off a cliff. Sell your high value cards before the hype pops.

[@Aa-mt3cx]

but no wonder vintage cards don't go up anymore.. new collectors started with sword and shield and it's the best set to come out, so these prices will only go up, sure it will go up and down but sword and shield will all come remembered as the best set with the best art.. then we'll see what the newer series land

[@ObeyIndio]

It happen to tag team lol look at the price drops on tag team alt arts they dropped right back after the hype

[@Adam-Adamson]

They can go down but I do believe the current market price is fair these cards are hard to pull, multiple cases to pull the one you want and when a single box even at old MSRP of $143 these prices make sense now boxes are $300 it can go higher. These cards are not rare they are scarce

[@michaelkrynski7793]

Did someone say bubble?

[@OwenW750]

I have never seen so many top signals in my life, I think we are literally right at the very top of the movement right now before a retrace.

[@maod8516]

I remember when it was just the big two lol, just umbreon and gary, and maybe gengar

[@andywest1788]

Won’t point and laugh at you for your opinion. Your perspective is spot on. Definitely will be a retraction. Just no idea when.

[@kixem01]

Just curious how do you check the population of a graded card. Id be interested in just seeing the size of some markets for certain cards

[@MAD_KIOTTI]

Look at the serial number on the PSA slab and look it up on PSA. It will give you the POP information.

[@tyler_keeble]

I remember Charizard V Max from Shining Fates going from around $800 a couple years ago. Now it’s under $100. Hopefully we can expect that with these SWSH era cards.

[@vote2322]

never

[@playafly316]

Wouldn't hold my breathe.

[@MakenshiCritiques]

Lugia v is in the big 5 now

[@GemCollector4284]

Summer is a difficult time to sell collectables. I’m sure we’ll see that retraction mid July-august

[@georgeallen4007]

Modern cards are the future of Pokemon card collecting . Everyone from the youngest to the older generation love the new alt arts … so no I don’t believe the bubble is going to pop

[@BloomingGardener]

Jake another excellent and informative video. Personally I collect the 1999 first edition cards and the Japanese versions.

[@WebsCollects]

I’m only missing 5 alt arts from SwSh… of course 4/5 are from the “Big 5” and the 5th… lugia 😅

[@runawayrick2461]

The pokemon bubble popped. Just checked my collection on Collector app and I've lost around 80% value.

[@jameswa4013]

You must be investing in some awful products because I’m up 25% in the last 3 months from SWSH 😂😂

[@dylanbanocy7729]

Mark my words these prices are not going down. Like all pokémon before, these cards with time will contiune to rise. Theres no reason for them not too.

[@Kasha0211]

I've been trying to collect all of the alt arts. I have all but 15. A lot of the ones I need are from chilling reign and the giratina and aerodactyl.

[@nickyslicky]

No reason to think SWSH will pop dude especially evolving skies. It was the chase set of the last decade that brought people back into the hobby. You said it would crash months ago too and it has only gone up. Stick to your Japanese Pokemon content man... Stop leading people astray because you dont want people investing in sets that make it too expensive for you to open. We all know you chase value but Scarlet violet is value and it sucks compared to SWSH.

[@nicklinn5731]

My optimistic side is saying: “yea, the bubble will pop and I’ll have another chance for a decently priced Moonbreon/giratina.” My pessimistic side is saying: “that ship sailed and I’m SOL…” That being said latios and latias came down a decent amount after it exploded a couple of years ago.

[@ikmalhazlan]

just enjoy collecting

[@KaijoTCG]

Aye bro make some room for Lugia from Silver Tempest & Gold Giratina from Crown Zenith, they’re going to explode in value

[@billyworks3702]

Gold Giratina is not an alt art

[@doreimiwi3283]

Wait for it, wait for it.. Pooof now its gone 😂😂

[@NplusO88]

Pokemon is a waste of money and time. RIP to those 'trying' to invest

[@keewinter5752]

The leafeon vmax is going crazy

[@R1cht3r63]

Pulled the rayquaza vmax and traded it to get sylveon vmax alt and the rest of the eeveeloution V's . Dont know if that was a good trade or did i fuck myself

[@mikeflynn2940]

Ahh yes the dreaded invisible bubble watch out people might get soap in your eyes 👀

[@reynaldoray7539]

I saw your bulbs store video dude your short I didn’t know that !

[@johnkim9086]

I am waiting for the pop but it keeps on going up!

[@lukasohnemus3215]

I still don’t understand why that blaziken vmax is so expensive. It just looks so off-putting and there are much better alt arts

[@parkerC1990s]

It’s blaziken.

[@christophermillett2273]

That's your opinion, and no one cares.

Dont forget, you dont care about the art.

[@nicolasschaefer1615]

Might be a hot take but I have to agree I don’t think this is market manipulation at all. Sw/Sh is ending and everyone and their brother want and are buying these cards up

[@Hyper-Reality]

I can't imagine anyone wanting any of those cards, because they are mostly ugly compared to past products, including umbreon. When everything is bulk pack fresh slabbed PSA 9 & 10. 11000 PSA 10 is HILARIOUS. 5 years from now when something else is Hype these Umbreons are the first things the gamblers sell off to buy into the next wave of hype.

[@Uncrowned_King_Benz]

I would still choose the Latios Latias GX alt art over majority of the top five here (maybe except for Giratina V) 🤔

[@tracksphantom540]

Thanks Jake that was a great review of what to expect in the market in todays day and age I greatly appreciate your input on this matter I'm working overtime just to get my Rayquaz Vmax ful art from Evolving sky'$

[@NotSoRips]

What happened to 2 bake Jake ? Only about money now?

[@SolidBrianH]

So prices will come down in 2 months from what you're saying

[@TwicebakedJake]

Not for Golurk V! That alt art is only going up

[@Artictoyo]

I’ve been telling people to not invest in pokemon right and everyone just laughs. There’s about to be a market crash! Recession!

[@knushh]

its not a bubble its just picking up i been collecting 3 years fam, 2021 i started when nooone gave a flying fidoodle

[@xscape_tv2582]

Everyone in the comments better get a doomsday bunker, the worlds ending

[@mattv2834]

Its so strange tho bc japanese swsh is still in the gutter..

[@il3arn260]

Bruh.. I bought the Gengar for 110 USD a couple years ago..

[@jasone42683]

I got one for 90usd. You overpaid

[@il3arn260]

@@jasone42683 you underpaid

[@marcobianchi1858]

Great analysis brotha 🔥

[@HeavenlyUmbreon]

really its out there then buy 1 illustrator pika show us

[@NCEngravers]

Please don’t use the words umbreon and Tesla in the same sentence.. 😂

[@joaquincalderon7383]

Hopefully

[@johnnybongo9208]

Silver Tempest, Battle Styles, and Vivid Voltage are still available and until then this current bubble will most likely not pop until every SW&SH set is dried out.

[@Alex-wg4xd]

two of those sets are bad

[@le_med]

Investbro pumps cards for months and wonders why others decide to buy those cards. You can t make this crap up. These cards went up because people like yourself for months have pumped them up to that price pushing fomo on your audience. Trying to deflect by saying it is whales that are buying up the cards is just sad when YOU know you are the reason with 136k subs. Cards go up that much because of investbros like yourself push them up like this.

[@hieinh]

The rarest modern cards are gonna be the art rares no one cares about.

[@Alex-wg4xd]

hopefully the wugtrio i have 45 of

[@nickfeness]

Proud to say i have the umbreon vmax in a psa 10, 2 giratina, 2 rayquaza, 1 gengar, and 1 blaziken.

[@LightningN1NjA]

You and 11,346 other people have it

[@nickfeness]

@@LightningN1NjA that doesn't change my opinion at all. I already knew that.

[@kedjfj798]

''so many few of them'' ROFLMAO PROB over 100 000 alt art of each

[@OpinionatedChicken59]

Do you have any idea how quickly 100,000 cards would disperse among all the collectors in the world?

[@kedjfj798]

@@OpinionatedChicken59 100 000 is for 1 alt art, give an other 5 years, you will have hundreds of alt arts in the 100 000s pops lol, this shit will never hold

[@kedjfj798]

​@@OpinionatedChicken59 and what do you think will happens to those prices on swsh alt art if the 2nd half of scarlet and violet is as good as the 2nd half of swsh? it will dillute hard the demand of those over printed cards... the high pop isnt a prob when the hype is here... its when the hype is done that high pop card suffer badly

[@dylanbanocy7729]

Because vintage is dead

[@dimitrivanbuggenhout5930]

you lost me at Tesla

[@TwicebakedJake]

I actually know a couple of guys that sold cards to buy cars

[@mikeylew92]

If there .are 50000 umbreons out there and 500000 people want that card is that considered scarce. There are prob more people throughout the world that want it. I would think it will stay high for awhile yet.

[@andyhale3467]

Why is this hard for people to understand?

[@TwicebakedJake]

That's the demand side, which isn't so easily quantified. That number can go up and down really fast. Someone that wants the card today might not want it tomorrow. So 500k people that want the card now might be 20k people that want the card in a year.

[@mikeylew92]

@@TwicebakedJake Its the base set charizard of this generation. Everybody wants one so until i am proven wrong i will believe the hype wont die down. Maybe the price may fall but demand will always be there.

[@hieinh]

@@andyhale3467 That's why Pokemon isn't the same as other things people collect.

[@speedymoinmeister3842]

@@mikeylew92everybody that thinks that it isn’t a bubble is in possession of those alt art. Bubble will brust in the upcoming months, like it or not, i will watch it crash like the OP Bubble crashing rn

[@parkerC1990s]

This is not going to pop anytime soon

[@ColtyT33]

I pulled the Blaziken years ago but too lazy to sell or meetup with someone on Facebook marketplace

[@chanandlerxbong161]

So it's the cards that CTR are live streaming trying to pull that brings you back 😂

[@enthused7591]

Yeah I don't think you're quite accounting for the effect of a failing economy AND 15,000 PSA graded Moonbreons. These cards are like tulips back in the day. Probably another 20,000 ungraded Moonbreons out there as well. $1,500 in a PSA 10 and $1,000 raw is so unbelievably laughable. I really do think it'll be a $300 card again, MAYBE $500 in a PSA 10 at the absolute most. This market in general is so overcooked it makes the 2007 bubble look small by comparison.

[@abassmastera]

if there are 15000 PSA 10's in the next 2 years, but 1M people that want them, it justifies the price big dawg

[@ryleyos4250]

​@@abassmastera1 million do not want it at that price. I would say 15000 wouldn't even buy it at that price.

[@newjones1754]

eat sleep place sword and shield alt cards video repeat

[@OutlawedOutlier]

The Umbreon holo artwork from Neo Discovery is 10x better than the Evolving Skies Umbreon. Give me the OG moonbreon all day!

[@avenger1212]

There will come a day that there are less sealed Evolving Skies booster boxes than Moonbreons.

[@kedjfj798]

sword and shield bb gonna go crazy, peoples really want to open them for the aa so its a no brainer

[@MisterrSZ]

finally someone saying it lol