John J. Mearsheimer: Great Power Politics in the 21st Century & The Implications for Hungary

[@zakariyeyahye5566]

“When exposing a crime is treated as committing a crime, you are being ruled by criminals.” - Edward Snowden

[@bruceelniski]

Love to Edward Snowden from lethbridge alberta canada!! What a great thought!!

[@hanvroman]

Politici looking more like criminals these days...

[@kgapholasegadimanebethuel3873]

How I wish Jullaian Assange ran to Russia, he would be a free man even today

[@sebi6297]

The problem here is if the US would tolerate people like Snowden and Assange exposing the dirt they're doing they couldn't roam freely like they used to anymore. They're not gonna accept that. To me what they did in that matter is no surprise.

[@edwinkubena9944]

Better one is the leftists are all corrupt as hell

[@johnlee-yo8jc]

A HUGE fan of Professor Mearsheimer because unlike other "experts", he is honest.

[@duinay3]

Yes, he tells it like he sees it

[@zhoubaidinh403]

I can never really trust what the other experts' intentions really are....

[@TheDynamicmarket]

@@zhoubaidinh403 if an american patriotic expert says that america wants to bring you to your knees, you better trust him. nobody tells you that they will do that. he is old school so he is not used to being politically correct concerning the power issues.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

It is very simple - Mearsheimer is just another of Putin's useful idiots.

[@johnlee-yo8jc]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 For the simpleminded.

[@LNGD_46]

"You're Godzilla, nobody's gonna attack Godzilla." King Kong : "Here, hold my Ape-ricot!"

[@zoltanrudolf]

Funny you should say that because apricot brandy is the national spirit of Hungary. It’s called pálinka.

[@Smiff1066]

Pity the western elites don't listen to him, a great speaker and honest lecturer on geo politics.

[@calvyncraven1141]

They do listen, but they just doesn't want to give up their hegemony

[@hamidhamidi3134]

The Americans do listen, but not the Europeans.

[@Smiff1066]

@@hamidhamidi3134 If they do listen why do we have a proxy war in Ukraine?

[@albertplumer]

Elite persons adhere to their part of the herd and the self indulgent rewards.change? Why ? Taxation of all is doled out to these fungi .

[@ymir5468]

@@Smiff1066 There are always different approaches... The Approach the Americans took to ensure their dominance is desroying Russia instead of allying it as mearsheimer suggests and then contain China from all sides. Russia is too big to just ally, they would challenge US interests all the time. Splitting up Russia into different small nation states and then allying them is potentially the smarter choice. The only Problem will be to convince those russian remnant states to concede their nukes.

[@michstockholm1164]

Great speech. Great reasoning. Thank you Hungary 🇭🇺. Thank you professor Mearsheimer.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer doesn't live in real world but in ivory tower of academia. Ukrainians live in real world.

[@jjbiggmann5576]

STUPID SPEECH.

[@michstockholm1164]

@@jjbiggmann5576 :D :D And you are who exactly?

[@jjbiggmann5576]

@@michstockholm1164 I AM THE BIGGMANN....SELF EXPLANATORY REALLY..!!

[@MrPrahovo1]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 ukrainiens chose this armagedon they shoud blame themselfs

[@karl5056]

Dr J Mearsheimer is an American national treasure.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer doesn't live in real world but in ivory tower of academia. Ukrainians live in real world.

[@Willxxxx1]

@Vladimir Medjimorec Yes, he explains very clearly why Ukrainians now live in such very real, cruel world. More people should listen to his arguments.

[@hugoc1861]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 nationalists in Ukraine cannot rule. Hate come from both sides, the future Ukranian leader, must be able to dealt with both parties, be a bridge of both parties, Russia and US/NATO

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@Willxxxx1 I hear only big power politics in his theories, no place for humans. More people should listen to Timothy Snyder, Stephen Kotkin, Anne Applebaum and Fiona Hill.

[@zakariyeyahye5566]

“When I was a cadet, what’s the cadet motto at West Point? ‘You will not lie, cheat, or steal, or tolerate those who do.’ I was the CIA director, we lied, we cheated, we stole, we killed, and we assassinated. That’s, it was like, we had entire training courses.” - Mike Pompeo

[@hanvroman]

Those CIA ppl are real criminals, showing no respect for other ppl lives...

[@kgapholasegadimanebethuel3873]

He once said I quote "this little thing called the Internet makes it hard for us to govern", he actually meant in my opinion, hard for us to spread lies, stealing and cheating

[@jons4418]

They may have had a code when Mike Pompeo was at West Point, but he certainly didn’t follow it

[@zakariyeyahye5566]

@@jons4418 “We will know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false.” - William Casey, the former director of the CIA.

[@zakariyeyahye5566]

@poon4473 “God Sees the Truth, but Waits.” - by Leo Tolstoy

[@ursulastaempfli759]

Prof. Mearsheimer has an audience of millions of people for his lectures here on yt. I hope that more Hungarians watch this lecture. He should also be invited to speak in more East Europian countries , especially the Polish need to listen to his political analysis. Thank you for inviting Prof. Mearsheimer to Hungary and for uploading his lecture here on yt. Köszönöm szépen!

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

It is very simple - Mearsheimer is just another of Putin's useful idiots.

[@manxman5825]

Is a transcript of the presentation available anywhere?

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer doesn't live in real world but in ivory tower of academia. Ukrainians live in real world.

[@ursulastaempfli759]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 If you vote for a president and politicians like Zelensky, then you are living in a fantasy world of nationalism and fascism and totally detached from political reality. Ukraine has to go down before its stupid people can realize how wrong they are on so many levels.

[@slly4276]

Prof Mearsheimer is amazingly honest but somehow I feel he is also so misinformed about China. Reason why China was so poor after the Communist took over was that US with its allies put sanctions on her just like they do the the Cubans. US was on the downwards trajectory in the 1970’s with all its wars expenses in Vietnam, coups around the world and they saw opportunities in China with its huge potential market and cheap Human Resources for the big multinationals who were happy to uproot their companies in their own soils at the expanse of their own population. Little did they realise that the Chinese are fast learners to be able to pull themselves out of poverty. The Chinese may forgive the west and Japan for what they did but not forget their century of humiliation. Before colonialism, China was able to live peacefully with other nations. Trades among South East Asian Countries were flourishing without even taken lands from smaller countries. China is more interested in trades and ensures its population is taken care of without seizing areas or resources from other countries. Affairs were conducted through diplomatic negotiations. China knows that to survive , she needs to be prepare for offensive measures by big power like the US. SCS is important to them as 80 % of their trades passes through there and a blockage on the strait of Malacca would strangle their economy, hence the alternative routes through the belt and road initiatives.

[@jjbiggmann5576]

TLDR.

[@crhu319]

Also north of Russia is now an Arctic route. Though it is expensive and inconvenient.

[@happyhappynuts]

China was poor for it's own decisions in 1950s and 1960s, mainly due to restricting private enterprise and little bit for Cultural Revolution and Great Leap Forward - and not because of sanctions specifically on China. Obviously the wider West wasn't going to trade actively with the Soviet Bloc after the Korean War (Soviet side attacked first) and the Russian tanks rolling through Hungary in the 1950s. It's absolutely amazing to me that the poor performance of China in 1950s and 1960s can be blamed on the Americans, who assisted China to fight off Imperial Japan.

[@ouronlyhome2462]

@@happyhappynuts it's amazing that you don't realize that the US made the first move to insert itself into a domestic conflict of the Koreans. China sent diplomatic messages through the India and warn the US not to cross the 38th parallel or China will interven. In other words, China was dragged into the Korean conflict by the US. It's also a fact that the US has always intended to overthrow the Chinese government ever since the PRC was established. It's still true today.

[@mengsiongkheng113]

My view is that Prof is misreading China somewhat from a western mindset. China culturally, ideologically, and values are so different and incomprehensible to almost the entire west unless you are embedded within the Chinese society, exception will be Martin Jacques. That is why Prof has misread China.

[@chessketeer]

I've heard Prof. Mearsheimer's talk on the subject a few times now (on KZbin). But this was the first time I heard a really good Q&A session. My gratitude and congratulations go to the organisers.

[@johndoe-vc1we]

Excellent Q&A 👍

[@jasonli7547]

John is the best of the political scholars, not just one of them. John's 75th birthday (Dec 14) is coming, I have just ordered a cake and a bunch of flower for him.

[@Joshua_Cares]

A birthday worth celebrating for sure.

[@gdaqian]

ill drink to it right now, though a little late 🥂

[@hanvroman]

👍💐🌸🌺🌻🌄 hope peace and love prevail....

[@bellakrinkle9381]

How thoughtful! Yes, I am in Mearsheimer's Fan Club, too. In a way Dr. Mearsheimer is one of the most important man in the world. He is taking on MSM, in a quiet, classy manner!

[@gdaqian]

@@bellakrinkle9381 a classy man and scholar for sure. has been my hero since harvard refused to publish the essay he penned with walt. (sadly walt retreated, back into his safe liberal cocoon. )

[@Joshua_Cares]

Mearsheimer, the voice of reason amid utter insanity!

[@the_sceptic]

Maintaining the American hegemony costs a trillion dollars of new debt every year. At this rate the US can't afford to counter China much longer. I also don't see how the US will keep China from surpassing it in the fields of science and technology. It would be better to accept the inevitable rise of Eurasia and build mutually beneficial trade relations.

[@joyaroy8532]

We should remind.Vladimir Putin that his name means world leader but also 'peacekeeper', so its possible to lead the world through peaceful means.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@katalinkiss120]

The people of the United States suffer homelessness, no healthcare and foul water while their government chases world domination at their expense....meanwhile in China 800 000 million have risen out of poverty and the life expectancy has risen while US has dropped

[@jjbiggmann5576]

CHINA IS GOING DOWN THE TOILET...DONT KNOW WHERE YOU GET YOUR INFO.

[@c2ccontracting47]

the Chinese are cut off from state of the art semi-conductors and are decades from even theoretically being able to make their own high end chips, in the meantime their economy has taken a beating and real estate market is teetering on the verge of collapse. Not worried about China

[@collie8]

greetings from Slovakia from secret underground fan club of prof. John Mearschmeier.

[@andrewareva4605]

Critics of Mearsheimer don't understand that he isn't trying to justify the actions of political actors, but as a political scientist trying to best make a model of how nation states behave. So far, his model has been correct about Ukraine being invaded as he predicted in 2015 and now Ukraine being wrecked. Any model that is predictive aka can predict future events shows itself to be accurate. We've seen the whole Fukuyama theory that every country should be a liberal democracy and that would make the world safer and which all our current politicians apparently follow be demonstrated as false. Fukuyama almost reminds me of Marxist communism that initially sounds great living in a utopia where there is no inequality, but turns out to never, ever work in reality.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

It is very simple - Mearsheimer is just another of Putin's useful idiots.

[@halvardwidere8084]

Wrong. He debated Carl Bildt and lost completely to him. It’s easy to see how the “contrarianness” of Mearsheimer’s analysis. There never was an initiative to bring either Georgia or Ukraine into NATO. Russia invaded due discourse failure and the fact that Russian intelligence simply told their leaders what they wanted to hear. Discourse failure at its highest. Mearsheimer is entirely wrong about Ukraine. But his theory just might be right. It stipulates that major powers want to gain regional hegemony - exactly what Russia is doing. He’s wrong, but his theory is right.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@halvardwidere8084 We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@brendanbeirne2]

@@halvardwidere8084 This is from the Bucharest Summit Declaration of April 3, 2008: "NATO welcomes Ukraine’s and Georgia’s Euro-Atlantic aspirations for membership in NATO. We agreed today that these countries will become members of NATO."

[@katalinkiss120]

Nothing to do with Marxism/communism but a particular brand of Neoliberal economic Imperialism/globalism trying to impose neocolonialism and exploration (theft) over every corner of the globe in the name of (pseudo) Democracy

[@zoltanrudolf]

As an Australian Hungarian and an ardent admirer of Professor Mearsheimer this video is such a treat.

[@runswithbears3517]

What an absolute pleasure to listen to. Finally someone who speaks sense, eh?

[@miroslavdusin4325]

Sense? Maybe check Murphy: Complex problems have simple, easy-to-understand wrong answers.

[@SectionSixteen]

I thank whoever posted this. I've been hoping to find another JM lecture, and here it is.

[@WisdomQuest-v4h]

Great speech! We need more people like Mearsheimer out there in the world talking about the realistic world of big power politics.

[@brianwheeldon4643]

Jeffrey Sachs looks good to me. In the US, Chris Hedges, in Greece Yanis Varoufakis, in UK Jeremy Corbyn, in a London Jail Julian Assange, in pop music Roger Waters. Just naming a few. There are many others.

[@staceycolangelo8940]

He’s definitely in my top five list. Colonel Douglas McGregor is #1, followed by Jeffrey Sachs @ #2, judge Andrew Napolitano would be probably be #3, and RFK Junior @ #5

[@justaplainspokengirl]

As this last year has proven, he didn't have a clue.

[@carlosgarcao2847]

​@@brianwheeldon4643right. All pudin friends

[@neilbohrs5990]

This guy is a war monger. He said in a public speech that he wants to keep China poor. How can the world ever respect us if this is the message we send? Playing his zero-sum game and keeping the rest of the world poor will only make the world hate us.

[@FanMusicIndian]

Great speech and history lesson.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@jjbiggmann5576]

BS.

[@McFraneth]

@@jjbiggmann5576 Why exactly are you here then? Bored in your bunker?

[@jjbiggmann5576]

@@McFraneth I CANT HELP, SMELLING THE SOUR MILK....BEFORE I THROW IT OUT..!!!

[@smirhash]

Great session, thank you Hungary Cheers from Iran

[@worththewatch1517]

Kos nagu

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@AB-le2ji]

Take down Iranian imperialism 😂

[@KamilaValieva-fan]

China developed not because of USA’s help, but because Chinese are hardworking. USA has to accept the fact there will be nations stronger than USA, just like UK did after WW2.

[@scottbuchanan9426]

I'm not sure how you can call a future possibility a "fact". A fact is a proven truth about the world. I don't know how you can prove there will be nations stronger than the U.S., precisely because such an eventuality, if it occurs, lies in the unwritten future. It may happen, sure; but then again, it may not. We simply don't know. Historical analogies are also unhelpful here, given the very real differences between eras and circumstances (e.g., the U.K. was essentially bankrupted by WWII, which meant that its status as a great power was irretrievably over).

[@TheDynamicmarket]

true, china has developed more rapidly than mexico and eastern europe. all three parts of the world have been westernised but nobody is like china.

[@Truth-In-Orthodoxy]

Yes, they are hard working people , but Had they not joined into WTO or IMF, Chinese progress might get slowed down though.

[@KamilaValieva-fan]

@@Truth-In-Orthodoxy India joined WTO and IMF earlier than China, had they developed better than China?

[@TheDynamicmarket]

@@Truth-In-Orthodoxy if indians would have had more advanced weapons and more people, the us would have never been established and there wouldn't be any imf or wto. i don't get the logic about imf and wto. where did some of money come into imf, cheap slave labour in the us?

[@hlomphomano817]

A voice of reason. Politicians better listen and safe the world from apocalypse

[@the1ghost764]

I enjoy listening to this man. He makes a lot of sense.

[@Madadaal]

As a Somalian I admire Professor John Mearsheimer for his knowledge and honesty, I wish those warmongers should listen to him.

[@mogurumoguru]

Thanks to our northern neighbors for the possibility of listening to Mr. Mearsheimer. Unfortunately, Serbia seems to be so beaten down that our elites would be worried to even invite him. All the best and take care of yourselves in these insane times

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@mogurumoguru]

​@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 Well, if concerns and thoughts of unimportant Mearsheimer were taken into consideration by the western elites, situation in Ukraine might have been avoided. He has been warning from at least early 2010s... You attitude of not wanting to listen, and being so certain in comfortable narrative, on a larger scale, lead to current situation. Now regarding genocide. Do you know what it means at all? Do you know that writing it in all caps does not make it true? It is terrible what Ukrainian people, especially those not making any decisions, are going through, but war is not genocide. Genocide is organized and planed, almost industrial, indiscriminate killing of civilian population, including women and children, with a goal of exterminating particular ethnic or other group of people. It is committed outside and independently of military operations. Calling every 'enemy' genocidal seems to be more in service of covering previous sins than anything else....

[@jjbiggmann5576]

DO YOU WANT TO JOIN, THE EU..??

[@mogurumoguru]

@@jjbiggmann5576 The more I know, less I want to....

[@jjbiggmann5576]

@@mogurumoguru THEN GO LOVE PUTIN....WE IN THE EU, WILL REMEMBER YOU.. WHEN RUSSIA DUMPS PUTIN. AND IS OUR NEW B,F.F...

[@mdavidkj]

Óriási nagy a fazon! Ismertem már a háború előtt is az előadásait és hát azt hiszem kijelenthetjük, hogy szépen öregedett az akkor elhangzottak, jól áll neki az idő!

[@ggfella]

Always great to listen to prof Mearsheimer. This as well as other lectures just feel like an excellent and baseline knowledge that is also proven by today’s reality even though he has been saying it for well over a decade. Recommended for everyone and anyone who is confused about what and why is happening today in our world.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

We can talk about this until we are blue in the face or until hell freezes over or whatever. Actually, things are rather simple. Mearsheimer is "moral idiot" and "useful idiot". Many of his admirers are also "moral idiots".

[@miroslavdusin4325]

He presents some unproven theories which usually crash when confronted with reality.

[@hawkbartril3016]

How he doesnt take into account the proximity of Ukraine to populated Russia, and to be dropping nukes here and there would be a crazy

[@gideonregalado5477]

He contradicts himself a big deal. He states nobody can know the intentions of a state. Yet, he argues passionately that Putin is not interested in hegemony. We in Europe however, let alone Finland see the realities in a different way. Putin says one thing but does another thing. For sure Hungarians love to listen to him, which to me is understandable.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@gideonregalado5477 Mearsheimer has his theory of international relations. If facts contradict his theory, too bad for the facts. I'll never tire of saying that Mearsheimer is "moral idiot" and Putin's "useful idiot". Unfortunately there are many like him. Moral idiocy is an inability to distinguish between right and wrong, or to understand how moral values apply to ones own life and the lives of others. It is sometime used to describe amoral institutional behavior, with the suggestion that moral idiocy may be an engrained feature of some social, commercial, or political constructs. Useful idiot - In political jargon, a useful idiot is a term currently used to reference a person perceived as propagandizing for a cause-particularly a bad cause originating from a devious, ruthless source-without fully comprehending the cause's goals, and who is cynically being used by the cause's leaders. The term was often used during the Cold War to describe non-communists regarded as susceptible to communist propaganda and manipulation.

[@onurum10]

John Mearsheimer is so right as he had been in the past. His views is being written on stone as time passes.

[@jons4418]

Shatter the stone.

[@neilbohrs5990]

This guy is a war monger. He said in a public speech that he wants to keep China poor. How can the world ever respect us if this is the message we send? Playing his zero-sum game and keeping the rest of the world poor will only make the world hate us.

[@champtech8755]

Agree with everything Mearsheimer is saying except that Russia is more than capable of wiping Ukraine out from the map, BUT it’s not Putins goal.

[@arctic004]

Just what I have said about what we should have done: ally with Russia to balance China and pull out of Europe militarily. Instead we are smothering Europe, forcing them to side with the USA and forcing Russia into the arms of China

[@johndoe-vc1we]

So why is the US doing what it is then? If Russia was considered so weak why provoke them. Because that is how you move in for the kill. Break Russia and steal her resources.

[@bruceelniski]

Yes!! Side with Russia not with nato vassals or the usa master.

[@jameskellogg83]

@@bruceelniski Never side with Russia or any other dictatorship. Almost all of the former satellite states of the Soviet Union have joined NATO. NATO did not ask them to join. They came to NATO banging on the door asking to join. Why did they want to join NATO? Because they had lived under the Russian boot for decades or hundreds of years and they feared and hated Russia. Russia was a dictatorship under the Tsars. It was a dictatorship under the Soviet Union and it remains a dictatorship today under Putin. As long as it remains a dictatorship, Russia will be a disaster, creating problems in the world. It is the same for all dictatorships such as China, Iran and North Korea. All of these authoritarian states create problems for their neighboring countries. Dictatorships can never be trusted. I have met many people that have left dictatorships and have come to democracies like the United States. They rarely flee democracies and move to a dictatorships unless they have committed a crime. Democracies don't need to build walls around them to keep people from leaving. People are always trying to leave other countries and come to the United States. The reasons that they come to the United States are self evident.

[@VSP4591]

Excelent conference. John is so bright!!

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@VSP4591]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 Yes, what is going on in Ukraine is really bad but to know the cause of this is important as well. We should keep in mind the weapon of mass destruction that were never found in Iraq. In that country died more than 1 million death not to mention wounded. Population-based studies produce estimates of the number of Iraq War casualties ranging from 151,000 violent deaths as of June 2006 (per the Iraq Family Health Survey) to 1,033,000 excess deaths (per the 2007 Opinion Research Business (ORB) survey). Other survey-based studies covering different time-spans find 461,000 total deaths as of June 2011 (per PLOS Medicine 2013), and 655,000 total deaths (over 90% of them violent) as of June 2006 (per the 2006 Lancet study). Body counts counted at least 110,600 violent deaths as of April 2009 (Associated Press). In another case of invading a country having precarious reasons is Afganistan war where NATO was involved heavily. Body count is larger than in Iraq due to the fact that the intervention lasted 20 years. I do hope from whole of my soul that a peace solution is going to be found soon. I hope this peace solution will not last longer than Iraq or Afganistan.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@VSP4591 I agree with you about Iraq and Afghanistan. I just hope this is not meant as justification for GENOCIDE in Ukraine. This was is war of choice. It was Putin's decision and his alone. This is imperialist war against its former colony. No cause can justify this. Putin (and all czars before him) never had any regard for human lives, not even Russian lives. America in its wars at least tries to minimize loss of American lives. Because otherwise they may lose next election. In Russia nobody worries about elections, at least in last 500 years.

[@VSP4591]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 I already said that I agree with you and is no justification for ANY sort of genocide. All Genocides are evil as for instance that of the Jews. What I said it is important to have an ideea of the causes of this war. As we may see from other example that was a big power behind wars that lasted decades. I hope not to be the case now.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@VSP4591 Cause of war is Putin's decision to go to war, or rather "special military operation". This is Russian imperial war against its former colony. Putin specifically said that he wants to re-create Russian Empire. Major influence on Putin is Ivan Ilyin, founder and ideologue of Russian fascism. Yet nobody talks about denazification of Kremlin.

[@nikolapetrovic6744]

Brillant and honest teacher! Hope that nobody is going to threat Him or even worse

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@nikolapetrovic6744]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 its not nice being attacked. Hope that peace will come soon. Unfortunately this war has a history, a chronology, and people have to understand that. Therefore mearsheimer is even more important then black and white thinking people. Unfortunately, when we my country was bombed, attacked nobody stood up! When iraq was attacked nobody stood up. However, the war will escalate as long as somebody will not make the fist step.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@nikolapetrovic6744 I agree with you to some extent, but those issues are of secondary importance right now. We should concentrate on GENOCIDE in Ukraine. If we have any humanity left in us. I am talking about human suffering on enormous scale. Mearsheimer has no empathy and I hope you do. Putin's invasion of Ukraine will have disastrous consequences for the whole world for many years to come.

[@nikolapetrovic6744]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 thank the ukraine should stop listening to others and do what is best for your people, and the best in my opinion is to stop bringing more military and arms and spreading the belief that they will stop! The russians will not stop it. Without that we will face desastrous future in europe.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@nikolapetrovic6744 So, you think Ukraine should just lie on their back and let Russia rape them even more than they do now. About literal rape, I am sure you know what Russians did to women when they liberated Belgrade in October 1944. And they still rape whenever they have a chance.

[@4700_Dk]

I was in West Germany’s in 1985 in a place called “Fulda” unknown to most of us at the time. NATO had special nuclear munitions along all avenues of approach . This wasn’t declassified till a few years ago. We personally knew we wouldn’t survive, but hold out for 72 hours till help would arrive. I’m happy I’m in my 60’s.

[@antoniescargo4158]

These N-weapons are also in Belgium and Netherlands. Most people are not aware of this.

[@MegaMoreri]

Prof we love your intellect depth and energy! Watching you always. From Gaborone,Botswana

[@andrewbaldwin4454]

Great lecture and great questions from the Hungarian audience. Regarding Visegrád, Mearsheimer sees it as an alliance of nation states that could never assume the powers of a nation state, being a competitor with Germany or France. This made me wonder just how Mearsheimer views existing nation states, like Canada (I am Canadian), Belgium, Finland, Luxembourg or Switzerland, that are bilingual or multilingual. If he sees the nation state as growing, not shrinking in importance in the future, does he see such states as flourishing or being remapped, in some cases disappearing? It is easy to imagine a future where Belgium, for example, is partitioned between The Netherlands, France and Germany, which would seem a more logical future in a world of nation states. This is not something I am recommending. I am just asking the question.

[@bruceelniski]

This 71 year old canadian from lethbridge alberta canada sees canada as a vassal of the usa just like all most nations. We need to get the usa boot off of our necks!

[@blockchaininmining1102]

He lives in the 19-th century (by his own admission). He is a horrible old man. He and the likes of him play power politics and pitch one nation against the other. European union is very important, and it is a great shame that UK left EU and we (I live in the UK) are hoping to bring the UK back to the European union. Nationalism is outdated, we live in the global world, highly connected world. I am so looking forward to him proving absolutely wrong. He should stop talking and retire and go fishing.

[@JagadanandaDas]

​@@blockchaininmining1102 He is a realist. That is all. Better to talk realistically rather than pretend to be peacemakers. He is quite right, US actions in the Middle East were disastrous because they were based on a fairy tale. Pushing NATO was also a fairy tale that did not make sense. China policy was also based on a fairy tale. As to his retiring, did you see the reaction of the Hungarian audience? I doubt that these were insignificant individuals on the Hungarian scene.

[@JagadanandaDas]

Canada's situation (I am also Canadian) is very tenuous. Zeihan says Canada is not a country, just like Lucien Bouchard did back whenever, but ten countries, all closer economically to the neighboring states to the south. Canada never even had a free trade agreement between provinces!! There is some sort of national consciousness, but it is flimsy, only based on a few idiosyncratic features like a health care system that barely works. Canada lives only at the mercy of the USA. The current policy is to open Canada to as much immigration as possible. I suppose that this might result in some kind of temporary nationalism, but Arabs in Quebec, Indians in Ontario and Chinese in BC are becoming more and more dominant in their respective regions, diluting local populations. Where do you think that would lead?

[@andrewbaldwin4454]

@@JagadanandaDas Thank you for your reply, Jagadananda. Sorry, I am not at all familiar with Zeihan's work and had to look him up to see that he is a geopolitical analyst. I am probably more comfortable with a very decentralized federation than you are. The Belgians were unhappy with their unitary state and looked around for a federal model, and decided that they liked ours. Now they have one of the most decentralized federations in Europe as we have one of the most decentralized federations in the Western Hemisphere. Canadians used to have more of a sense of nationhood than they do now. Justin Trudeau began a Stalinist campaign of defaming Canadian leaders like John A. Macdonald, Egerton Ryerson and Hector Langevin, and destroying their monuments, renaming schools named after them and so forth. The next step may be to abolish the RCMP since it was created by that vicious racist hatemonger Macdonald. Eventually, Trudeau will be gone from office, and he will get his own monument, a big statue in Houston outside the Kinder-Morgan headquarters. Then, if we are lucky, things will follow a better track. We are never going to have the kind of influence on world affairs again that we had during the Second World War, when we were so important in defeating Nazism, but if we stay together we may still have great achievements ahead of us.

[@yvonneyork1263]

More people need to listen to Prof.Mearsheimer. There might be less violence, bloodshed and irrational hatred of other nations and peoples if individuals could think analytically and objectively as he does.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@jjbiggmann5576]

NAH...HE IS JUST AN APPEASER.

[@jjbiggmann5576]

@@juliocardenas9857 NO, WE IN IRELAND ARE NEUTRAL...NO MUSHROOM CLOUDS HERE...THE IRISH TAKE OVER THE WORLD...AFTER THE IDIOTS END THEMSELVES..YIPEEE..!!

[@jjbiggmann5576]

@@juliocardenas9857 AND I LIVE IN THE COUNTRYSIDE.....IN THE MOUNTAINS....ON A FARM.....YOU CAN CONTACT ME ABOUT YOUR REFUGEE STATUS. AFTERWARDS...YIPEEE..!!!

[@jjbiggmann5576]

@@juliocardenas9857 EVER HEARD OF GLOBAL WARMING...??...YEA, IRELAND IS SUNNY NOW TOO....DONT FORGET NOW....WE WILL STILL BE, THE RICHEST COUNTRY ON EARTH..PP...

[@yewhocktan5112]

Organiser, please give Prof John a seat. Standing so long for an old man isn't hospitable. Thank you for such a great session. My hope is that with such understanding from the speech, all can work together to work out a peaceful world for our children.

[@David_A._Ream]

"Blessed are the peacemakers."

[@chuenweihsu9286]

When you make assumptions based on Western civilization and history you already navigated toward the wrong direction and missed the destiny because the world is a diversified place. You are right about how America politicians think, but don’t extrapolate it on the rest of the world because colonial era is no more. That is why theory remains theory and reality may not turn out the way you predicted.

[@dunzhen]

I agree. Colonizers like to think that everyone who has their capabilities would have destroyed countless countries, languages, cultures, peoples, etc. if they had the capabilities. But that's just not the case. It helps them feel better to believe this fantasy however.

[@Hulasterion]

A youtube-on hallgattam Mearscheimer professzor urat. Nagyon örütem, hogy eljött hozzánk.Ezt még nem.hallittam amit Kináról mondorr. Az én népem -mondta a racionális gondolkidásuk miatt. Tahala! Nem.tudok én sem kinaiul, de azt jelenti csodálatos , klassz etc. Szeretettel üdvözlöm! Minden szepet es jót kivanok a Professzor úrnak!

[@glendurrant3988]

Great man with even better insight and predictions 👍🏽 🇦🇺

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@jjbiggmann5576]

IDIOT....FLOGGING HIS DREAMS TO ANYONE WHO WILL PAY.

[@oleeb]

I wish the information for this video was also in English. Thanks for putting this lecture on KZbin!

[@convergencev]

He is right about the velvet glove. Coupled with internet, it helps attack its "weak" opponents, and influence neutral states psychology more effectively. It makes people from other sides connect more towards American identity.

[@olawaleprince827]

It really an honor to you in our generation. Analysing politics with precision and truth had really helped me to understand my world political and has placed me at advantage in Life

[@ozachar]

One of the best of all Mearsheimer presentations

[@manxman5825]

This is a great presentation. Is a transcript available anywhere please?

[@collinshardyproust]

If you tap on “ more” , you will see a description and at the bottom you will see “ show transcript “. Click that. The initial transcript will show time stamps. In order to toggle off the time stamps, click the three dots at top right. Some of his other lectures are even more brilliant.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is Putin's useful idiot. He doesn't live in real world but in ivory tower of academia. Ukrainians live in real world.

[@collinshardyproust]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 oh yes, I am sure the Ukrainian Azov Nazi’s who have been committing horrific atrocities for eight years under the Zelenskyy ( who was installed by the West through funding the Euromaidan revolution) regime against the ethnic Russians of the Donbass are the ones in the real world

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@collinshardyproust Something infinitely more important happened today. Nobel Peace Prize was awarded in Oslo to human rights groups from Russia and Ukraine - Memorial and the Center for Civil Liberties - and jailed Belarusian advocate Ales Bialiatski. Please read what they said. Compared to that what we talk here is just blah blah.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@collinshardyproust In next sentence I'll use word idiot, but not in usual derogatory sense. Mearsheimer is "moral idiot" and "useful idiot". You are just (or only) "moral idiot". You are not "useful idiot" because you are not important. Unfortunately Mearsheimer is important. He'll get a medal from Putin (nazi-in-chief) one of these days. Before you start calling me names please take a minute to read what these two phrases really mean. After that you are most welcome to call me any names you like. I won't get offended. Bye, bye

[@staher841]

Mearsheimer, pleasurable and educational to listen to at the same time, an absolute GOAT.

[@therover65]

When you start saying “so forth and so on”, instead of “so on and so forth”… you know you’re listening to Prof Mearsheimer too often 😂

[@McFraneth]

That's called "colocation", like "fish and chips" or "sweet and sour". When English learners get it back-to-front it is charming and I personally think it shouldn't be corrected. It's utterly charming. "Chips and fish please", "I watched Out and Down in Beverly Hills".

[@magicalThinktank]

His posture/hand mannerism and the way he dramatizes his voice at some points make it seem like he's telling a bedtime story to a bunch of hyperactive kids, trying to maintain their attention. Sikorski, Bildt and Stoltenberg come off as incredibly condescending, on the other hand.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is Putin's useful idiot. He doesn't live in real world but in ivory tower of academia. Ukrainians live in real world.

[@gdaqian]

he is more involved in the story he tells than those condescending puffballs.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@gdaqian That's right, he is involved. But that does not change the fact that he is "moral idiot" and Putin's "useful idiot". If you don't know what these terms mean, good place to look is Wikipedia.

[@gdaqian]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 wiki what? to check your moral compass? good luck!

[@katm8895]

Such a wonderful talk 👏👏👏

[@babezulechazazulu172]

There is a contradiction between Mearsheimer's theoretical assumptions and his practical counsel/interpretation of practical events. On the one hand, he said states can never know the intentions of other states as they cannot see into people's heads. On the other hand, he assumes Putin and Russia's intentions in Ukraine are neither imperial nor indicative of 'Greater Russia' designs. Thus, Mearsheimer imputes motives and intentions to Putin's and Russia's rhetoric and actions whilst at the same time claiming their underlying intentions cannot be seen or known. I really like Mearsheiner and his thinking but thought I'd raise this honest point

[@Dan5639_]

What an Amazing lecture. Thank you Sir .

[@neilbohrs5990]

This guy is a war monger. He said in a public speech that he wants to keep China poor. How can the world ever respect us if this is the message we send? Playing his zero-sum game and keeping the rest of the world poor will only make the world hate us.

[@fikretelder]

0:27 J.J. Mearsheimer 1:19 big picture of the world today 3:04 tripolar forces & 2 conflict dyads 5:22 four points 6:38 Mearsheimer's theory of international politics 7:04 five assumptions 12:27 three consequential behaviour 15:31 maximazing power & balance check 18:35 US china competition 25:04 US russia balancing policy 26:55 wrong story for russia? 36:41 a preventive war 40:09 sum-up 41:13 hungary 42:20 hungary's basic aims 47:06 ideologically... on liberalism 50:05 dangers moving forward 56:37 with regard to china 1:01:22 bottom line 1:03:20 Q&A 1:03:56 new east-west divide? 1:09:07 Visegrád Group as regional hegemon? 1:13:51 nuclear escalation senario? 1:21:00 sino-russian natural alliance? 1:25:05 will your realism embedded view be dominant? 1:33:31 role of EU in great power politics? 1:40:31 the end of history by Fukuyama (1989)

[@David_A._Ream]

Most don't know that Russia helped the USA in 1776.

[@katalinkiss120]

And US with others invaded Russia in1917

[@lukasmiller486]

I watched the documentary “9/11 The New Pearl Harbor” It briefly mentioned, Putin and his staff warned the Bush administration of impending terrorist attacks that could come to American soil in early 2001. Also, the Russian government, corporate elites and some artisans donated a sculpture to New Jersey to honor the people who perished in 9/11 and the 1993 bombing.

[@Larkinchance]

I agree with Prof Mearsheimer in many areas especially the run-up to the war in Ukraine. This conflict has its roots in the fall of the Berlin Wall. During the "Unipolar moment" The US was regarding Russia as a prize of resources to be exploited. One of the characteristics of war are unintended consequences... A war in Russia will not end well.

[@jjbiggmann5576]

WILL NOT END WELL...FOR RUSSIANS.

[@Larkinchance]

@@jjbiggmann5576 no comment

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

We are talk about this until we are blue in the face or until hell freezes over or whatever. Actually, things are rather simple. Mearsheimer is "moral idiot" and "useful idiot". Many of his admirers are also "moral idiots".

[@Larkinchance]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 Vladimir, I agreed with Mearsheimer's original assessment of world powers but not to his conclusions to this terrible situation... Putin is right to stop NATO

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

@@Larkinchance I'll only say this: if you really want to know what is going on in Ukraine (and not only Ukraine) read and/or listen to these people: Timothy Snyder, Stephen Kotkin, Anne Applebaum, Fiona Hill. Mearsheimer is irrelevant.

[@a.i.a.1746]

A the concept of shared future, shared prosperity is never in the blood of the west and america.

[@ursulastaempfli759]

It is not a question of blood but a question of economy and political principles.

[@mitchyoung93]

The problem is that the West, or rather the neoliberal political class of the West, wants the 'shared prosperity' on their terms economically politically and culturally when these terms aren't even universal within their own countries, let alone around the world. It's no accident this lecture is in Hungary, which has stepped maybe 10 cm out of the EU line, and is getting hit hard for it.

[@ubroc]

@@mitchyoung93 LOL It's the American neoliberals who are kissing Orban's behind.

[@mitchyoung93]

@@ubroc No, that would be the so-called 'national conservatives', who are okay, but don't understand ethnicity and race.

[@ubroc]

@@mitchyoung93 You are correct

[@Top5Aircraft]

Fantastic. Thank you Hungary for hosting John and bringing down the Iron Curtain.

[@roubika1922]

Another great lecture as usual

[@jimmyplayscds]

I could listen to this guy all day.

[@Drunkwithsuccess]

Dr Mersheimer is the greatest thinker on foreign policy today. He should be the first that the state department turned to for advice.

[@onurum10]

Would like to hear his opinion on Turkish - US relations which may be very enlightening.

[@valerianlet3988]

Great Lessons, Professor!

[@sulista-consulting]

Love from Czechia! I really like a different point of view!

[@christianhegemann1911]

Prof Mearsheimer you are a honest and great man I think......

[@Columbia1867]

Many people would benefit from listening to Mearsheimer's analysis. His emphasis on the state being the primary actor in international relations is something that central Europeans, including Hungarians, need to take to heart. Hungary's interests won't be the same as Czechia or Slovakia or Poland's. The Visegrad Group, for example, is not a coherent axis to focus Hungarian foreign policy.

[@Doodloper]

i am still applauding my hands off ----> Such an excellent and iconic vid!

[@bsdpowa]

Excellent summary of how the international order works including the recent events in Ukraine and now China. This should be translated to every language. I’ve listened to him before but this talk manages to summarise pretty much everything in a coherent manner that’s very easy to digest.

[@heinzbraunschweig9130]

Thank you Dr.Mearsheimer, I Wish very much that more people hear and listen to you. Even more I wished in my heart that the US would some day Turn Info a democracy

[@mensrea1251]

1:02:57 that applause was so enthusiastic and genuine.

[@laszloilles52]

A mesmerising presentation with a very realistic content.

[@ralphbernhard1757]

Keeping Germany as "down" as possible, and keeping Russia as "out" of any comprehensive European solution as possible, for mutually agreed upon comprehensive security agreements is a recurring issue in European systems interacting. It mainly turned out as very beneficial for outside powers, especially the USA. Not only logically, but also statistically, should Western continental Europe and Eastern continental Europe ever unite, with shared good relations to China, it would overpower the USA as world hegemon. Basically, keeping Central European "brains" (innovation and technology) and Russian "muscle" (manpower, strategic location, plus raw materials) apart, has a long history which spanned two empires. The British Empire before World War 2, as stated in Mackinder's Pivot of History (1904) and the new American Century after 1945. It started a long time ago, with the British Empire setting out to avoid more unity, and breaking up the Three Kaiser League as a stated goal. "Disraeli also achieved a hidden objective. Beaconsfield revealed to Henry Drummond Wolff that the British mission to the Congress of Berlin had two major objectives. Next to making a tolerable settlement for the Porte, *our great object was to break up, and permanently prevent, the alliance of the three Empires,* and I maintain there never was a general diplomatic result more completely effected. Of course, it does not appear on the protocols; it was realised by personal influence alone, both on Andrassy [the Austrian representative] and Bismarck. The members of the Three Emperors' League were Austria, Germany, and Russia. The Congress of Berlin drove a wedge between Russia and the other two members. Germany formed the Dual Alliance with Austria in 1879 to protect one another from possible Russian aggression. The treaty remained in effect even after Russia requested a renewal of the Three Emperors' League in 1881. The Dreikaiserbund [Three Emperors' League] never did recover from the Eastern crisis while Disraeli was in office, and its later revival after Gladstone put 'Beaconsfieldism' into reverse took a different and less stable form." from THE FOURTH PARTY AND CONSERVATIVE EVOLUTION, 1880-1885 by KEITH RICHMON OWEN, B.A., M.A. A DISSERTATION IN HISTORY Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of Texas Tech University in August, 2000 (p.25) Therefore, speaking about the post-2000 attempt of keeping Russia "out" of Europe, by encroaching on it with NATO expansion might well not be a "mistake" as stated by David T. Pyne (historian), but a geopolitical strategy, and it has a long history. If it were a mere "mistake", it would be amazingly recurring: - attempts to break up the Three Kaiser League (by London) - attempts to break up Treaty of Bjorko (by London) - Versailles (Limitrophe States as a barrier in Eurasia, by London in conjunction with Washington DC) - The quasi "declaration" of the Cold War (Churchill/"Iron Curtain" speech) - Truman Doctrine (by Washington DC) From wiki, and regarding the theory: *"Divide and rule policy (Latin: divide et impera), or divide and conquer, in politics and sociology is gaining and maintaining power by breaking up larger concentrations of power into pieces that individually have less power than the one implementing the strategy."* Elements of this technique involve: - creating or encouraging divisions ... - to prevent alliances that could challenge ... - distributing forces that they overpower the other - aiding and promoting those who are willing to cooperate - fostering distrust and enmity Historically, this strategy was used in many different ways by empires seeking to expand their territories." [editted for clarity re. the states/empires level of things] From wiki: "By mid-1992, a consensus emerged within the (Washington DC) administration that NATO enlargement was a wise realpolitik measure to strengthen American hegemony.[20][21] In the absence of NATO enlargement, Bush administration officials worried that the European Union might fill the security vacuum in Central Europe, and thus challenge American post-Cold War influence.[20]" Or as the old insider joke went: NATO's function was "to keep the USA in, Germany down, and Russia out." (Lord Ismay) Whether these are real "mistakes" (sic.) or a concerted strategy lurks behind as ulterior motive, remains hidden.

[@adamblack267]

Long story short, this world is nothing but a giant game of chess. And the common folk are the pawns. Fucked.

[@David_A._Ream]

Sorry I meant.........The war already is between the USA & NATO against Russia.

[@leshartop]

Not really Mearsheimer's own theory, more an application of Machiavelli's. But he makes the massive mistake of leaping from 'one state can not know what the intensions of other states will be in the future' to assuming the absolute worst, that China will act in the same way as the US, when there is nil evidence that China intends to launch a bloodthirsty assault on anyone, and has no history of EVER doing so. By doing this he fuels the warmongers. His analysis of the Ukraine war appears logical and unhysterical, but when he turns to China he recommends a maniac course.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

We are talk about this until we are blue in the face or until hell freezes over or whatever. Actually, things are rather simple. Mearsheimer is "moral idiot" and "useful idiot". Many of his admirers are also "moral idiots".

[@sksksks5072]

@@gee8883 americunts took new mexico from mexico

[@johndoe-vc1we]

Was waiting for this. Thanks for posting it. This man makes understanding much easier

[@zakariyeyahye5566]

“God Sees the Truth, but Waits.” - by Leo Tolstoy

[@marcuslinkerhand1415]

"The Story of Ivan the fool" - Tolstoy

[@hc8379-f4f]

The "big picture" is useful up to a point, but it fails as soon as we get into the details, or even as a predictive tool. The best example is that there is no evidence the US has actually been able to establish hegemony over several regions of the world for significant periods of time since 1945. nor is there evidence it has supported liberal-democratic regimes even in regions where it has had preponderant influence. Where hegemony did not operate in substance since 1945, for example: 1. the vast Eurasian continent, where the US refused to get involved in the Chinese civil war, which resulted in the CCP winning; 2. The USSR-China competition from the 60s to the 90s; the US couldn't factor itself in to any advantage; 3. The African continent's turbulent 60s to 1990; the US basically stayed out except perhaps to support S. Africa (not a liberal regime); 4. In Vietnam the US ultimately failed and got out; it yielded hegemony to China and Russia, although its own calculations about "dominoes falling" proved totally wrong. Even in the so-called "unipolar period" (1990-2010), US policy was a mixed bag of friendly moves toward Russia and China and aggressive policies where it thought it could win outright -- particularly the Middle East. Even Putin in 2007 thought NATO was not a threat to Russia; China embraced western capitalism as the way out of poverty. One could say the US policy was strategic in making room for countries big enough it could not "defeat" in any way, but could influence economically, while going "hardline" where it could (Lybia, Afghanistan, Iraq, Panama, Lebanon, Granada, etc.). Vietnam was an object lesson in direct overreach, in other words. Hegemony has its limits. It doesn't work in all regions. Likewise, promoting liberal regimes hasn't been "top of mind" for the US depending on what else is going on in the world. It supported overthrowing liberal regimes in Latin America, with authoritarians remaining in power well into the 90s. Granted, the Chinese confrontation is perhaps unique in its scope, but it's also not totally unprecedented. The USSR contest was of a similar nature. There is no military solution, much less keeping China from establishing at the very least a regional equilibrium of power. In other words, there are serious limits even in great power competition, and no country can hope to remain the hegemon in all regions of the world. Lessons like Vietnam, Afghanistan (for both the USSR and US), Iraq, and now Ukraine represent major miscalculations which, mercifully, it's possible to recover from.

[@jacobaluong]

Thanks for this great piece of information on geopolitics.

[@lordlee6473]

Mearshimer wasn’t as excited talking about Hungary as he was when talking about US, China and Russia. His advice for any country outside the three powerhouses is not to take side and play all sides.

[@PabloPopova]

Greetings from Poland to my Hungarian friends! Very good lecture, however I don't see any significant difference between liberal democracy and fascism nowadays

[@cecilformby894]

I believe the war in Ukraine has been engineered by America with two main goals: 1) weaken French and German influence in Europe and weaken the EU and make Europe reliant on America. 2) weaken Russia and cut Russian links to Europe thus helping goal number 1.

[@vulgarisopinio]

Great talk and analysis. The only weak point is JM’s overestimation of the NATO’s capacity to fight a prolonged war with Russia. The West resources have already been practically exhausted in its support of Ukraine. Russia, on the other side, have not even fully mobilised its military and industrial potential . Let alone possible material support from China. Russia will not lose against the Ukrainians under any scenario, conventional or nuclear. Another huge misjudgement is that Russia and China being historical enemies. There was just a couple of episodes of hostile relations in their entire bilateral history.

[@zakariyeyahye5566]

“Whoever has Truth on their side, God is with them.” - Alexander Nevsky

[@collinshardyproust]

Love Professor Maershiemer!

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@tajabdullah.malaysia]

About 800 American military bases around the world is the indicator of militarised foreign policy. USA China competition be the most important compared to US Russia rise influences worldwide.

[@raytracy5906]

Someone should've asked what the prof. thinks the effects of Elensky banning and persecuting the Ukrainian Orthodox Church will be. I guess he made a lot of enemies across the Balkans from Greece to Moldova, and attitudes could turn. Can't imagine even Poland being happy about it either, although they're catholic, but deeply religious.

[@c2ccontracting47]

Poland supports UKRAINE and Hates RUSSIA with a passion, what are you on about.

[@ldhorricks]

@@c2ccontracting47 no kidding

[@valerydzutsati4434]

When it comes to Russia, Mearsheimer loses his mind. He counts Russia as one of the great powers, but for some reason, he believes Russia somehow behaves differently from the other two great powers China and the US. Why? Because Putin did or did not say something. According to Mearsheimer's own version of realism, a political leader's role in determining a country's strategy is minuscule (see for example how Trump, Biden, or anybody else would still pursue certain policies in regard to China, according to Mearsheimer). Russian politicians, including the first president of Russia Boris Yeltsin, have said a myriad of times that Russia wants to dominate the post-Soviet space. The post-Soviet space naturally does not want to be dominated. Also, history teaches us that leaders often lie. Hitler invaded Poland under the pretext of discrimination against Germans in Poland in 1939. This is the same pretext that Putin used in Ukraine in 2022. Stalin did not say that the USSR wanted to capture Finland, but that the Finnish working class was waiting for the Russians to save it from the capitalists. Russia (and not only Russia) has a long history of lying in IR. I have no idea why Mearsheimer pretends he does not know this. Why did Mearsheimer openly lie about the "civil war" in Eastern Ukraine?

[@syedputra5955]

NATO's main aim maybe is not just to go against russia, but to prevent a united europe that includes russia from forming.that will be a interesting multipolar world indeed. Three equal powers in terms of economic strength and technology. Anglo saxonary v united europe with russia v china.

[@marrs1013]

Europe and Russia will never unite. Russia doesn't believe in 'unions'. Subjugation, yes. And Europe will never allow itself to be subjugated by Russia. Given what Russia has to bring to the table in situations: cleptocracy, oligarchs, economic stagnation. Who chooses that voluntarily?

[@santibanks]

Russia does not want to become part of Europe because for one it seems itself to be superior culturally and secondly because Russia needs enemies. Authoritarians need to be able to create "us and them" narratives in order to legitimate their power and especially their repression. That said the argument against your statement is that Molotov actually proposed the USSR to join NATO in the 50ies (and was already informally discussed before they made that proposal official). After/during the process of the collapse of the USSR, Russia again had the opportunity to join NATO but didn't.

[@lawistruth]

Why is it so hard for the majority to get this 4 years on!?

[@Rob2011ert]

A great summary and analysis as always. Thank you. One thing to add here though, with at most respect, is the relationship of EU and the US. EU is also being suppressed from becoming a regional hegemon. The natural gas issue is a prime e ample of this.

[@thesilkpainter]

Hi. I would like to ask Prof nearsheime where Angela Merkel described specifically that offering Ukraine to join NATO constituted a declaration of ear to Russia? I can't find it anywhere in the net? Thanks.

[@samueldifferent]

Long Live John Mearsheimer!

[@jons4418]

Just make sure his theories die.

[@antonyfrancis3247]

Your 'WALTZ' with China didn't start in 1990, it began in 1971 with Henry and Nixon. He's still driving the Shanghai Maglev train. An intended fall out ( weaning Russia away ) of granting a MOST FAVOURED TRADE STATUS. We got cheap products, whipped out of cheap labor, with the slogan SPEND LESS, SAVE MORE and US corporations walked to the banks with a jingle in their pockets.

[@LarsBjerregaard]

This was remarkably good

[@khubza8999]

A REGIONAL hegemon does not mean or imply a GLOBAL hegemon. Why can't the US accept its hemispheric supremacy and leave Chins ITS HEMISPHERIC or REGIONAL supremacy?

[@harshitsingh1600]

Because US fully understands the cost of leaving china alone . And the cost is they will roam around soon enough in the western hemisphere if they are not contained or so called " pinned down" in their own region by creating a counterbalacing coalition. Now let me explain to you this is the reason US pokes it's nose in everybody's affair all around the world because they're are incredibly secure in their hemisphere. If China is allowed to be that secure in their hemisphere then they would too roam around the world poking their noses in everybody's affairs and which US is not going to tolerate so the entire effort from the US in foreseeable future would be to "contain " China in Asia and never allow it to come out of it's own region. That's the reason tighten your seatbelts and wish that these two elephants don't lead the world up to the abyss in their fight of global dominance.

[@KassandraFuria13]

Because they are bancrupt and now go robbing like pirates as anglosaxons always did.

[@SJ-ds8lp]

@@harshitsingh1600 do some balle balle, like an idiot.

[@Buckzoo2030]

Simple, as a bully, you don’t give up you playground voluntarily. There regional resources you can tap into in and products to sell to them with much less efforts.

[@mensrea1251]

There has never in the history of the world been anything even remotely close to a true global hegemon. The US fear of a regional hegemon elsewhere is the potential threat and interference into their own sphere of influence. Look at the way the US initiates military and economic incursions into all parts of the world, despite those regions being outside its direct sphere of influence. The Middle East is a prime example. If China becomes a regional hegemon the way the U.S. is to the West, there is always a danger that China will take shots into the US spheres of influence and disrupt the well being and prosperity of the U.S. No regional hegemon would tolerate that potential future. And so they disrupt and if necessary go to war today.

[@kony8449]

After Nato bombed Serbia unilaterly I realized what they really are about . RUSSIA HAS NEVER DONE THAT ! I TRUST RUSSIA FOR PEACE IN THE REGION FAR MORE THAN NATO AND US.!!

[@ronsimpson8666]

#1 Since the breakup of the USSR Nato was not needed. If a soviet nato happened in Mexico we wouldn't have waited since 2014 to invade. That's a fact.

[@Rysdan]

I like how one of the questions is treating realism like its an obscure theory not like the first thing you learn in IR. The smart thing is to use the theory as analytical lens and compare with other competing theories, but sadly you don't see that in these lectures.

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

We are talk about this until we are blue in the face or until hell freezes over or whatever. Actually, things are rather simple. Mearsheimer is "moral idiot" and "useful idiot". Many of his admirers are also "moral idiots".

[@folker44]

Wise man ! Thanks for the record. Greetings from Germany !

[@alexsartre2453]

The Noble Prize lecture!!

[@vladimirmedjimorec1810]

Mearsheimer is really not important at all, nor are we. We could talk about this until hell freezes over. Neoliberals this, neoliberals that, NATO this, NATO that, and like that ad infinitum. But, only thing that matters now is this: what Putin is doing to Ukraine is GENOCIDE and he chose to do it. Nobody can force you to do GENOCIDE. He will be remembered as one of greatest criminals in history. And then there are with him his supporters, fellow travellers, useful idiots ...

[@alexsartre2453]

@@vladimirmedjimorec1810 My advice to you, use your brain and learn to think and analyze what is going on! Make efforts to understand Mearsheimer, i know it not easy for you. .

[@jjbiggmann5576]

DO IDIOTS GET PRIZES..??