July Liberal Values Lab: America's Political Transition with Peter Zeihan

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Күн бұрын

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@Bareego 3 ай бұрын

Thank you for posting what time this was done in your thumbnail. There are so many reposting channels on youtube now that just regurgitate old material.

@TheOpus_1 2 ай бұрын

Here is a rewritten version of the transcript in simpler terms: Peter Zeihan, a geopolitical expert, discussed various topics, including: * The impact of the assassination attempt on Trump's political future. * The Republican party's coalition and Trump's influence. * The Democratic party's motivation to vote and potential candidates. * The need for an industrial policy to build out the industrial plant and electrical grid. * The significance of relations with Mexico for American manufacturing. * The future of NATO and the potential impact of a Trump presidency. Some key points from the discussion include: * Trump's influence on the Republican party and his potential to break with traditional alliances. * The Democratic party's lack of coherence and reliance on opposition to Trump. * The importance of independent voters in the election. * The need for the US to develop an industrial policy to remain competitive. * The significance of relations with Mexico for American manufacturing. * The potential for a breakdown in relations with Mexico under a Trump presidency. * The future of NATO and the potential impact of a Trump presidency on the alliance. Overall, the discussion focused on the current state of American politics, the potential impact of a Trump presidency, and the significance of various geopolitical relationships for the US.

@carlettodibronzo 3 ай бұрын

I love your comment on AMLO at 50:00 you described him perfectly! Thanks!

@dukedijon-ks4qt 3 ай бұрын

So unmarried men vs unmarried women. Sounds like we need to bring back dating-themed game shows. Make America talk to each other again.

@jeanlamb5026 3 ай бұрын

It would be nice if unmarried men cared about women having a choice about having children or dying in childbirth, or even geting the right kind of chemo for cancer. All of which are denied by red states.

@108chapin 3 ай бұрын

You could be one of the first contestants!

@dukedijon-ks4qt 3 ай бұрын

@@108chapin omg that would be so rad. i hope she likes medieval trivia

@forklaundry 3 ай бұрын

Make America Date Again?

@jeanlamb5026 3 ай бұрын

@@forklaundry And no women will show up for the guys who are ok with banning birth control etc.

@EddieEidee 3 ай бұрын

Shouldn’t use the term “economic liberals” to describe those wanting more government economic regulation. That’s a common mistake. “Liberal” means “freedom” which means less regulations. Free market capitalists are actually “economic liberals.” For instance, Reagan and thatcher were called “economic Neo-liberals.” Instead, you should use the term “economic socialists” or “economic progressives” or “economic regulationists.”

@paulbradford6475 3 ай бұрын

Agreed, but it's in any liberals DNA to use the precise opposite term to soften the meaning of what their true intentions are, which is, of course, more regulation and less freedom.

@crystalhelton9812 3 ай бұрын

I have seen people refer to "small l liberal" as freedom from government interference and "capital L Liberal" for the socialist/progressive modern movement. No doubt it's confusing and I had to re-watch that part to understand how he interpreted that graph. I agree we need better language on this distinction.

@uprebel5150 3 ай бұрын

Apparently Peter doesn’t have the “Travel Machine” that people think he has. Not a great time for him to be in the back country of Yosemite.

@Mike-jm5wt 3 ай бұрын

I'm a very reasonable middle of the road voter and I did not vote for Trump in either election but things have changed so much in this country he has my support this time around. I don't think the political talking heads are connected to reality anymore and I don't trust Peter's take on politics at all.

@sarge12212 2 ай бұрын

This was a month ago. Decades have happened in that month. We need an update with Peter Zeihan.

@sethbenge 3 ай бұрын

It's good that the different two-party structures is getting more attention. There's a good podcast from Airship - American Elections: Wicked Game, which has the six two party structure as one of the main themes.

@radiodare 3 ай бұрын

Zeihan is all over the chessboard here. He definitely slept well the night before

@bm1588 3 ай бұрын

If they had anybody but trump as their figurehead they'd have a real shot at winning

@mayer14474 3 ай бұрын

The guy's a GENIUS

@p.d.stanhope7088 3 ай бұрын

That new US centered industrial plants will be in states that are not friendly towards traditional oriented unions. (e.g Texas & Louisiana) A new era of organized labor outside of traditional 20th Century style unions. Also I could see these new manufacturing companies taking a page from Google and create their own "union" for their workers. Essentially keeping independent labor union entities out of the management-labor issues within a company.

@alpacamaster5992 2 ай бұрын

We had a big shift in 1968-1980

@rtperrett 3 ай бұрын

If the US ever uses a system of proportional Representation, the Single Transferable Vote used in Ireland, Australia, and Malta would be a great fit. It is the only system of PR where voters number ranked candidates that elect politicians in small multimember districts. The great thing about this system is that politicians are dependent on vote transfers to get elected.

@Bareego 3 ай бұрын

the added big advantage is that you can vote for a smaller party and still through your preference put your vote on the scales for the main parties. So for example if you want to vote for the Greens, and the Greens don't win that location, your preference can still go to labor and this can prevent the right wing liberals to win that location. This goes for the right side of politics as well. This throws a spanner in many of the shenanigans that major parties employ to unjustly win locations.

@k54dhKJFGiht 3 ай бұрын

That chart showing the axis of economics and social issues is great for a general sweeping overview. However, it doesn't address real concerns over power abuses, and a general breakdown of checks and balances to hold them in check. Voters are concerned about that too. Do charts for THOSE concerns exist?

@fh5926 3 ай бұрын

Why are we surprised at the Unions voting for the GOP? Has everyone forgotten about Reagan crushing the Democrats in union voters??? Such short memories! Economic liberals but social conservatives.

@jeanlamb5026 3 ай бұрын

That is odd since Project 2025 pretty much breaks up all the unions (unless you voted for Trump).

@theuglybiker 3 ай бұрын

Union leadership has always been Democrat, but the rank and file leans more Republican.

@charleswomack2166 3 ай бұрын

I am still voting for Chase Oliver the Libertarian party candidate. I live in California so it is automatically a blue state. I am in the top all the way to the right.

@user-ws2gn3wp4s 3 ай бұрын

Peter!

@darachilds6817 3 ай бұрын

Peter is wrong about the polls. The polls were dispositive in 2020 for most of the election cycle, although Trump did out perform. They showed Biden up and he maintained that and won. Peter wants to waive that away in an effort to support his theory that Trump will lose this election. The polls can change of course but if they hold Trump will win.

@dales8536 3 ай бұрын

I love watching MAGA cling to the polls for copium. Did you forget about 2022? Or how Hillary was up 5%-7% the day before the election in 2016? You are backing a rapist felon with zero decency. Three of your RNC convention speaker have their own public sex tapes. Good god.

@jeanlamb5026 3 ай бұрын

Trump has been buying polls so he can convince his people to go to war (and prison) when he loses again.

@SonnyBubba Ай бұрын

34:00 well that didn’t go as planned…

@douglasvoncannon3073 3 ай бұрын

The Fourth Turning.

@juniorjames7076 3 ай бұрын

The Inversion.

@jeanlamb5026 3 ай бұрын

The 80 year gap between crises. The American Revolution was an external crisis. 80 years later, the Civil war was an internal crisis. 80 years later, we have the external crisis. 80 years later--covid and Trump. Right on schedule.

@UGADawgl1337 3 ай бұрын

I remember when earlier this year that he predicted that Biden would beat Trump

@holtcrowder 3 ай бұрын

Peter, please come back in 1 year and look back on what you are espousing just for S and giggles.

@dre6289 3 ай бұрын

He surely will. Regardless of who wins, his overall thesis remains intact. He'll look fine either way.

@luminyam6145 3 ай бұрын

Kamala better court the unions and not just pay them lip service.

@dennisthemenace2341 3 ай бұрын

But Peter insisted that Biden would be re-elected unless he died. He was quite insistent.

@jeanlamb5026 3 ай бұрын

He didn't expect the media billionaires to be short-sighted enough to pound on Biden that hard. Alas, the media billionaires never think they will be the ones to face high windows.

@SamStam12 3 ай бұрын

Came here to see if Peter Z. would eat his words - his absolute prior declarative statement that Biden would win in an absolute "landslide". But I don't have 56 minutes. Can someone let me know?

@Longlius 3 ай бұрын

He said Biden would win if he didn't die or drop out due to health problems.

@paulrowe4502 3 ай бұрын

Never, he's a liberal. And they never voluntarily admit fault, unless backed into a corner with in controvertible evidence of which the alternative to not admitting it is worse than admitting it. He's just as guilty as propagandizing through narratives as people in the administration.

@jeffreywj7773 3 ай бұрын

I would say he backed off on the "landslide" outcome, but still firmly believes Biden could have won the election. Of course Biden has removed himself from the race after this interview occurred. He postulated on that possibility if that would happen and stands firm on a Democratic victory. How large of a victory that will be depends on who the Democrats go with as there eventual candidate. He was talking up the possibility of some state governor becoming the candidate as being potentially huge.

@GK-wn6ur 3 ай бұрын

Well, perhaps we should be glad this clown can't predict the next sunset given his expectation that the world would be in the grips of a famine due to the Ukraine war. He needs to pump out these fees for his appearances as he's lost his a$z on wheat futures.

@kin2naruto 3 ай бұрын

Peter has ALWAYS clarified that claim with "if Biden is still alive/running at the time of the election". And very specifically reserved his right to change his mind if the ticket changed. I predict he won't make another prediction until after the convention finalizes who is going against Trump.

@williamgrosbach4237 3 ай бұрын

(41:10) Peter! Why have you never told us that you're a clinical psychologist?

@GoneGolfing 3 ай бұрын

The reasons for these recent policies of international trade (a.k.a. globalization) is more about nations not following the international fair trade practices concerning government subsidies, IP theft, human rights abuses, etc. which is probably why the Biden administration “institutionalized” trade policies from the previous administration. That is, if we go populist simply because certain parts of the world do not subscribe to these norms in fair-trade, taxes, law and order, rule of law, national border/sovereignty, etc., it maybe hard to convince voters as we hold certain values and norms. Quite frankly, it was wrong with the Kissinger/Nixon realm where you “hope” they will subscribe to these norms once economic prosperity sinks in. Right now, I would like to hear more of Zeihan’s views on the future of these countries (who don’t subscribe to these norms) post 2024.

@Steelblaidd 3 ай бұрын

I'm not sure that economics is the best axis to use right now, though understandable why Peter keeps it. I have seen ethical traditionalism vs. ethical novelty proposed as a more relevant axis in the current climate.

@gregjuva 3 ай бұрын

Dissolution of the EU is underpriced

@ndwilliams6630 3 ай бұрын

Its really a vote on egalitarianism (dems) vs meritocracy (repubs).

@PeterFamiko-lw8ue 3 ай бұрын

They should mention trump age

@texasjack 3 ай бұрын

What is this excuse about being away in the woods??? You're there 24 X 7 based on your other videos!!!

@Flyingclam 3 ай бұрын

This lady is a bit hysterical

@__________5737 3 ай бұрын

You need chapter breaks to improve quality. AI will do it for you if you don’t know.

@michaelgill1301 3 ай бұрын

I am more than hesitant to listen today from one who infers he did not note Biden's mental degradation until after the debate.

@arcmasterarcmaster 3 ай бұрын

Imagine not being satisfied when Zeihan criticized Biden for being "confused, lost, and it wasn't clear he knew exactly where he was," in a video he made feeling saying he felt sick to his stomach about the current state of his mind. Trump's only getting older so I'm sure you've already criticized trump's state of mind before his rambling speech at the RNC too right?

@michaelgill1301 3 ай бұрын

@@arcmasterarcmaster - In reference to Trump, I would say that you perhaps can't distinguish between dementia and entertainment.

@kaveeone 3 ай бұрын

@@michaelgill1301 He's not running to be entertainer in chief. He's running to be commander in chief. 😐

@michaelgill1301 3 ай бұрын

@@kaveeone - You haven't been to one of his rallies !!

@spencerbixby7819 Ай бұрын

@@michaelgill1301The latter comment responding to you went right over your head. The problem being that Trump is running (again) for the highest office in the land, not a game show, and he clearly has zero respect for the office of the Presidency as evidenced by his behavior in that office; and you’ve practically admitted as much by your response! Your suggestion is “You haven’t been to one of his rallies: Trump is merely an entertainer.” That’s exactly the issue here! I also disagree with that line of thinking because if he’s ‘merely’ anything, he’s merely in it for himself and his brand. He couldn’t care less about America as long as he “gets his.” That is an absolutely destructive attitude for someone managing a McDonald’s, let alone the PRESIDENT.

@corinm6567 3 ай бұрын

Law and order is no longer a part of the republican platform?

@jeanlamb5026 3 ай бұрын

Well, when they support a convicted felon a rapist, apparently not. Also, the Court has said it's ok to break the law (but only if you're a Republican).

@corinm6567 3 ай бұрын

Well I mean more like police unions and the border patrol unions. I understand your point ideologically but these people are certainly majority republican voting.

@jeanlamb5026 3 ай бұрын

@@corinm6567 Good point. But even they are going to have a hard time hating a topnotch prosecutor over a felon. I'm sure they'll manage it somehow, but they'll have to work at it.

@chimeragothic7498 3 ай бұрын

Harris has a very bad record as Calif AG. It has never really been exploited the way it is about to be exploited. She has a past and it is not good. @jeanlamb5026

@jeanlamb5026 3 ай бұрын

@@corinm6567 Sure. But trashing a bill even the border patrol people liked, that's special.

@TheRustyLM 3 ай бұрын

Sniffing cocaine? So 80s!

@tobytaylor5542 3 ай бұрын

RNC got Punked in the Union Speech

@rajeshraut6447 3 ай бұрын

What's the difference between the Democrat Party and the Republican Party? The Democrats care if their nominee appears unfit for office.

@SandLapper 3 ай бұрын

Is that why they hid Biden's decline for years?

@EpicMother249 3 ай бұрын

@@SandLapperShhhhh. The adults are talking

@brianswiencinski8974 3 ай бұрын

Both parties are trying to win. Nominating Kamala isn't a winning ticket..

@TorpedoEight 3 ай бұрын

What's the difference between the Democrat Party and the Republican Party? The democratic nominee is unfit for office.

@paulrowe4502 3 ай бұрын

No, they don't, they've been covering up this guy's condition for more than a year, they just got exposed at the debate, and his poll numbers are tanking. For them it's a practical matter, nothing heroic.

@KristopherBaker 3 ай бұрын

you can't get the population up if it's too expensive and you don't have the room. get out into the rural lands and start a small family farm. have kids and have fun!

@Longlius 3 ай бұрын

Farming is neither fun nor profitable.

@easypeasy2938 3 ай бұрын

@@Longlius just like any business, farming can be very profitable...if you pick the right model, hire good people and develop tactical and strategic plans.

@jeanlamb5026 3 ай бұрын

The corporations own all the farmland now, good luck with that.

@KristopherBaker 3 ай бұрын

@@Longlius i don't care in the slightest if it is profitable. I'm putting money and time into producing food for my family that isn't controlled by any corporation. do you know what is in YOUR food?

@johnnydavis5896 3 ай бұрын

A coaliton can't last based on a cult of personality.

@bobchannell3553 3 ай бұрын

The Democratic primaries are fixed by the super delegates and other forces. If it doesn't happen in the first runoff, it will happen in the second. That's what's so disappointing. We see promising candidates in the first round only to have them all voted out in the second.

@juniorjames7076 3 ай бұрын

I stopped paying attention after Ross Perot. Realized it was rigged back in '93.