Great video. Unfortunately, not too many people are able to acknowledge their mistakes in real life and learn from them and on KZbin it is even more rare! Kudos to you Sven for doing this video - you have earned a lot of respect by doing this!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks George, coming from you it is really something!
@caucasianafrican1435 Жыл бұрын
And, allow his audience to learn.
@overnightgrowth2 жыл бұрын
Every investor should strive to make a video like this. If only for him or herself. Facing your past decisions and trying to learn from them is very hard to do in this space.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@maiasalyamani2 жыл бұрын
Huge thanks. The value of this video is unbelievable.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
happy to hear that!
@timotejcernak70862 жыл бұрын
I usually dont watch videos through my account, but after watching this, I had to sign in and say: Thanks a lot for this gem!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
happy to hear that!
@ayurdal2 жыл бұрын
I love it when finance KZbinrs reveal their failures instead of pretending to be godly beings. It is a true manifestation of self esteem and respect to viewers. Kudos Sven for being transparent.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@jimcramer3232 жыл бұрын
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@joelatallah36462 жыл бұрын
I agree 100%. It's human tendency to brag about wins and diminish mistakes, even though mistakes are where we do more learning! This is a great video with valuable insight
@caucasianafrican1435 Жыл бұрын
100%. It's what really gives an investor like Sven, and Buffett, credibility.
@kristinakolev5679 Жыл бұрын
Interesting
@miellamborghini70032 жыл бұрын
So much value here, really learned a lot. Thank you Sven.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Glad to hear it!
@landi22442 жыл бұрын
Thank you for your transparency, Sven. You are a winner in my book.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@javiergz57672 жыл бұрын
Thanks for this video Sven! I've seen more than 100 hundred of yours and this is likely the best for me. Very personal, which is something to appreciate. Hope you stay that personal in the future, It will help people engaging with you.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Wow, thanks!
@bozolito1082 жыл бұрын
Man this was a trip down memory lane. It was like getting closure after a bad breakup. Lol. Good stuff sir
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-) Now we can go on after the closure :-)))
@investingsimplified24522 жыл бұрын
I personally did many of those mistakes. No shame, it s part of the game. I respect your transparency Sven
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@proracingproracing69312 жыл бұрын
Thank you Sven, well done, appreciate your honesty!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@thomashelveg75632 жыл бұрын
I think this is your best educational video ever. I find patience as the most difficult skill. It is also very difficult not to copy people you are mesmerized of, for example I blindly followed Ray Dalio, as many people blindly follow and copy Munger or Pabrai choices without having an own real convinction or knowledge in that choice.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
you always think they know more than you as they are professionals with all the info - but the truth is the unknown is impossible to know, also their risk tolerance!
@sanc98082 жыл бұрын
This needs more views.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@fingerprint19912 жыл бұрын
Probably the best video I have ever seen. If you are not planning to include this in your next book you should definitely consider since it's a pure gold mine.. Taking a step backwards and comparing your mistakes against with my little journey I could clearly see similar mistakes in my investing behavior. So thank you!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks, will add or make a list or something!
@ameeetbareek90982 жыл бұрын
what a classic video. Honest and very helpful. Thank you for sharing. Sharing my summary and notes for others: Summary: - apply common sense when buying business - is business providing true value to its customers right now? if not, thats speculation. - stick to low risk/high reward. avoid high risk. identify high risk as low probability in future, geopolitical risk, IPO, value trap, scammers, cyclic businesses - Value investing is about patience - wait and wait to bet big - Stay within your circle, apply first principle - The best investments are buying quality businesses heavily concentrated patiently waiting for the right price Details: - Peter Lynch - Its okay to do mistakes, keep looking for the top stocks, even if 6-7 out of 10 perform as expected, you are a winner. - FRAUD: If something smells fishy, avoid it. Look for short seller report, balance sheet. Stay away from bad business model - SELLING TOO EARLY: Stay anchored if you believe in your analysis. Adjust the thesis if necessary when stock booms, might be even better value (for self, I remember selling Tesla because everyone around me was telling me to sell) - HIGH RISK: - Stay away from High risk - e.g. IPO, few qtrs of growth doesn’t mean shit. People look at 10 year history and only them invest. There are many businesses in the world, focus on the best ones if you can find same high return with low risk - Geopolitical risk - China, Argentina, etc. Avoid them if possible - Identify the size of the risk 1st - If its too high, or the probability is high or even ≥ 30% then, avoid it. - Stay away from Shady management - especially if they have track record. - Avoid Value Trap - How to tell if a value or cheap stock is a trap? - If its unclear what true business value it will give to its customer. (apply common sense) - Avoid cyclic business - especially do not buy cyclic business in their peak or high side. - **INVEST HEAVY IN YOUR CURRENT PORTFOLIO**: Buy more of good that you already own that keeping the size small (e.g. I bought Apple, but only few shares, I should be buying more) - GROWTH WILL STOP EVENTUALLY - Growth stocks end up becoming Value stock - **INVEST IN YOUR CIRCLE OF COMPETENCE** - THAT YOU UNDERSTAND - DO NOT JUST TAKE ANYONE’s WORD. People in KZbin and new channels have incentive to tell you to buy buy buy, thats how they get more views, hence don’t take anyones advice just as-is, even Warren Buffet - APPLY FIRST PRINCIPLE ALWAYS. - **BE CONCENTRATED AND FOCUSED**, NOT DILUTED - Make your investing boring - Buying too early when you know it can go lower - Patience and Discipline is value investing - **Value investing is about waiting for 1 out of 10 of your great ideas to reach absolute bargain with little downside and very high upside** - Avoid taking speculative bets or keep that to minimum (== none) - Be clear are you investing in speculation or value - If a **business is providing immediate value** (e.g. revenue, dividend), **then its not speculation**, but if there are future speculation that this business will go 100x in future, future being unknown, then reduce that risk - (e.g. BAIDU in robotaxi, Facebook in META) - **The best investments are buying quality businesses heavily concentrated patiently waiting for the right price**. Focus on great business at fair price, not fair business at great price
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
good summary!
@АндрійШульга-ъ4к Жыл бұрын
Great respect to a person who described his mistakes in such an open way, admitting unwise decisions and categorizing them. Thank you, sir, indeed, a lot to learn here.
@Value-Investing Жыл бұрын
thank you!
@tsonez2 жыл бұрын
Great video. So much to learn here. Great Buffett clip. “Swing you bum!” Thank you!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)))
@maxjames000772 жыл бұрын
Amazing video! Loved all 51 minutes!
@susymay78313 ай бұрын
One of your best videos! ❤ We must learn from our mistakes, both our mistakes and the mistakes of others!
@alvarodehais17842 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the video and the free lunch! As Monish Pabrai said: don't water the weeds and cut the flowers!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Peter Lynch said that:-)
@Marniarno2 жыл бұрын
Thx, Sven! A lot of wisdom and value in this video. Well done :)
@phd_angel3 күн бұрын
Excellent video, thanks for sharing, Sven. On 37:02, do you really think that 15 stocks is too many?!...
@Value-Investing2 күн бұрын
3 is max for quality...
@phd_angel2 күн бұрын
@ 3 stocks?? Well, your portfolio is for testing only then? having more than 10% of your portfolio in a single company is quite risky.
@kentvandervelden2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@russellditchfield-agboh8382 жыл бұрын
Great content Sven! Would you please analyze ASOS? There appears to be very deep value here. It’s a favorite of Nick Sleep’s.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
It depends on whether they can return to growth and scale - who knows - maybe Nick can also be wrong - time will tell!
@unktzor2 жыл бұрын
The value in this one is insane!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@MrFrescocotone2 ай бұрын
Excellent video. We all learn more from mistakes than from big wins. Thanks for the transparency
@Value-Investing2 ай бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it
@TaKa-uq6us2 жыл бұрын
Awesome honest video Sven would love to see this periodically
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
I hope not, I hope to make mistakes only to make such a video every 5 years :-)
@ernhonglim2 жыл бұрын
Thank you very much Sven. Finally you made the content that I want the most. Hehe
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@user-jc1yx9of9p2 жыл бұрын
One hour Sven on sunday is better than one hour of formula 1 on sunday;-) Sven, great video!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)))
@JanBruunAndersen2 жыл бұрын
Sven, you convinced me to buy Baidu and Alibaba, but you also gave me Albemarle. I have sold Baidu, I am still hanging on to Alibaba hoping for better times, and I grin 🤑 every time I look at the gains from Albemarle.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
that is investing, at the end it is about sizing the positions properly!
@herokorai83462 жыл бұрын
Best video that I've watched Sven! Best lessons are through mistakes :)
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Thanks! 😃
@tomislavhorvatseo2 жыл бұрын
Very informative stuff, Sven! Thanks!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@augustus3312 жыл бұрын
Hoop dat je een mooie zomer hebt gehad Sven! Working on my thesis now so only scanning this 50-min video, I'll do a deeper dive later!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
success met jou afmak... thesis!
@marklalonde79962 жыл бұрын
By far your most valuable video. I learned that you should trade where the winds are blowing. Try to find value in something that will be in high demand and has political tailwinds. For sure learned a bunch from mistakes investing in Chinese stocks!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!!!
@juanprodriguez28132 жыл бұрын
One if the best videos ever. Thanks Svan.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Wow, thanks!
@larrygerry9852 жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing. Failure is a great learning point.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@Theo_Sot_93602 жыл бұрын
Without skin in the game y never can become an investor, especially a value one. Congrats Sven😎
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
that is how it is, but it also depends how much skin!
@giuseppeo772 жыл бұрын
At 0:40 "Please support the channel so I can put some food on the table" You previously said that all youtube revenue was going to charity! What happened to that Sven? 🤔 I still hit the like button.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
that was a joke!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
I mean, the food on the table :-))
@giuseppeo772 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing Nothing wrong with keeping the money from youtube, it's all about walking the talk...😉
@Noveshento2 жыл бұрын
This was your best video to date Sven. Congrats for the courage and candidness. I see a great future for grandpa Sven
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
I will do my best, so let's see!!!
@vardanarakelyan5214 Жыл бұрын
Thank you very much for sharing such valuable knowledge, we all do mistakes, the important is to realize it quick and then review and change the strategy of entire portfolio.
@jakelo10452 жыл бұрын
This video is packed with information. I will have to watch it a few times to fully digest. This may be your magnum opus!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks, enjoy it!
@patrickshanghai20642 жыл бұрын
very interesting video. will watch it a couple more times. always hard to learn the right lessons from mistakes. i followed you on several of those stocks. got better returns than my own pics, haha. glad i exited the Russian stocks before the war. thx for the hard work.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@thezenguy95092 жыл бұрын
Probably best video so far, love it !!!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@GHIBaal8 ай бұрын
Thank you so much ! So much value for a 24yo Investor from Germany! Learning from others mistake feels like a cheat code for life ! ;D
@Value-Investing8 ай бұрын
great to hear!
@christianh.riiser28072 жыл бұрын
Excellent video - transparency on your mistakes - great !!!!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
I appreciate that!
@siggiAg862 жыл бұрын
Ok this is one of your best videos imo
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@RemiStardust2 жыл бұрын
15:05 "Yes, I invested also in that shit" :) Nice, Sven brings some spicy language!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-(((( :-)))))
@gsabic2 жыл бұрын
hi Sven, great video, very honest, we all make mistakes. You forgot to mention all the money you miss in TSLA :)
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
hahahahaha:-)) Tesla has always been too risky, so I don't consider it a mistake :-)))
@jerzyfilipek41002 жыл бұрын
Hello Sven, I have been watching you from beggining - this is best video ever. Thanks.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@RedVSBlueIsCewl Жыл бұрын
Thanks for honest talk - videos like these make it easy to spot you as one of the few knowledgeable people on here out of all the idiots who talk about some shitty stocks they think are a buy. Maybe videos like these don‘t resonate well with the YT algorithm, but real recognise real. I‘m convinced it helps you grow a more lasting, loyal viewerbase. I started with ETFs because I am lazy, but the new economic environment made me realize I need to pick and research winning stocks. So even though I won‘t earn a share in your business I invest the power of my like and sub to increase the value and hopefully the earned knowledge will pay dividend in the future.
@RedVSBlueIsCewl Жыл бұрын
Also thinking about tattooing „I‘m an idiot but hopefully a lesser idiot“ on my forehead. What a great motto for life
@fredo1192 жыл бұрын
Sven, that's your best video ever !
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Glad you think so!
@AssociateEquity2 жыл бұрын
Another great video. Thank you. Are you going to write an update to your book ‘Modern Value Investing’? Why don’t you have it on the bookshelf? May I suggest: 1. Include references to your book when making important points about investing such as the meaning of risk and the importance of the value/price relationship. 2. The red ‘pen’ doesn’t add as much as hoped for. 3. Using the dotted ‘box tool’ was ok.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the suggestion!!! Will lower the red pen!
@levelupwithsam2 жыл бұрын
This was an incredibly valuable video. I love these lessons of what not to do!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@levimachado Жыл бұрын
great video sven. Followed you years ago, but now will be back seeing what you are up to. Would love your educational content.
@Michael-Wil2 жыл бұрын
The lesson I learned from this video was just to buy Berkshire Hathaway. Then there's no need to watch KZbin investing channels for stock ideas, free up loads of time and avoid all the mistakes.
@jessehamlin34202 жыл бұрын
berkshire makes mistakes too - buffet admitted he missed a massive opportunity to load up at the beginning of covid - just buy the index thats less risky
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Investing in BRK is great, but the returns depend on price paid!
@Michael-Wil2 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing Yes, I think you got that from Warren Buffett, you showed the clip of him saying he only swings when he want to.
@Michael-Wil2 жыл бұрын
@@jessehamlin3420 That works great if you’re in your 20-30 and have decades to compound, I wish I was in that position.
@AdrianVaju2 жыл бұрын
Thanks! I'm really curious why you sold your positions, I really hope you are not a new Michael Burry, even if he's right at some point in time 🌈
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
video coming soon - nothing in relation to Burry!
@styx8142 жыл бұрын
Appreciate your honesty, Sven...and the sense of humour Vladimirovich Putinovich lol
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@RonPaulBot12342 жыл бұрын
Great video with lots of value and examples!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@Jod4light2 жыл бұрын
Thank you sven, this video is super valuable!
@linusjacobsson24192 жыл бұрын
This is awesome value. Thanks Sven
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@roarslot2 жыл бұрын
Great value at a fair price!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)))
@Poco20992 жыл бұрын
Stocks I watch never go as low as I think they should, so if I avoid buying too early, I invariably buy too late or not at all.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@josebarron14222 жыл бұрын
Nice video!! I really like how you analyze your investments and reflect on them
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed!
@TheAcharyaa2 жыл бұрын
Your best video to date. Thank you!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Wow, thanks!
@AlekseyShevchuk2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for hones insights into lessons learned!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@francescobaroncini54032 жыл бұрын
Best video of the year, congrats!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
THanks!
@georgegogolan84722 жыл бұрын
Amazing video! Keep up the good work! Thanks!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@slimjimjimslim59232 жыл бұрын
Thanks Sven. It takes a lot of pain and courage to analyze one’s past mistake. : )
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@slimjimjimslim59232 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing at least sven wasn't pressured into investing in NFTs. 😁
@LDP..2 жыл бұрын
great video ! How is it that your stock platform was in dutch 13:50 but you have a eastern accent ? Just interested as a dutchie 😉
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
toen woonde ik in Nederland :-))
@pongop2 жыл бұрын
Thank you for this great video! This is very helpful.
@imba694202 жыл бұрын
Great to own your mistakes! Still with you Sven!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
THANKS!
@77magicbus2 жыл бұрын
Great video. This is how we learn. And learn from these common mistakes . Many of your mistakes were because of a lack of patience. Buffett says the stock market is a machine that transfers wealth from the patient to the impatient. Sven , you are too hard on yourself here. You will do fine going forward. Warren says if you had only 20 stock trades in a lifetime you would do much better. Be extremely careful before investing. Also I believe that most all investors should make a portfolio of Index funds the core of the portfolio and reinvest all dividends and cap gains. Build alpha around that with individual stocks using extreme care. Thanks
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
I would be still a poor kid with index funds, so there is a lot to discuss and analyze the to find the best for yourself!
@Isendir12342 жыл бұрын
This is rich in value Dr. Carlin!! Thank you for sharing your mistakes. Hopefully, we can learn from them (or we will repeat them uh-ho!).
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
In 5 years, if my next mistakes videos lasts less than this one, I am happy :-)))
@elrevesyelderecho2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for this video. Taking a lot of notes.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
a lot of notes for sure!
@coderslang2 жыл бұрын
Bought Amira back in the day after watching one of your videos, Sven. Still sits in my portfolio at a shining -100% loss
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
sorry to hear that, I made a video about selling it, you must have missed it :-(
@coderslang2 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing I heard that the 2 main mistakes that investors make are panic buying and panic selling. I decided to eliminate at least one :)
@nufaa53132 жыл бұрын
Great video Sven, I'm a member of your research platform. I wish my mistakes we were more like yours. Thought you still did pretty well
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
we will work to lower all of those in the future!
@nufaa53132 жыл бұрын
My biggest mistakes were holding Russian stocks, also heavy investments in BABA, and BIDu
@explorerjlc17432 жыл бұрын
43:55 how would you know how low BABA would go? at the time you made the first video, it still seemed like a bargain as the company was still growing and earning money. That is why Munger bought around there too. Would be good if you can go into specifics and how you can mitigate this in the future.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
I knew there are risks and I took them :-( So, it might be a sizing error etc... But taking risks is about possibilities and patience too!
@explorerjlc17432 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing how would you never know when the bottom would be. There is also risk in waiting for something that will never happen and it goes 5x because it was still a value buy at the time of your first video. What are your thoughts on this?
@chrisok70572 жыл бұрын
Best video so far.. will rewatch it multiple times for sure. One on biases would be great as well ^^ thanks a lot sven
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
that is a good suggestion!!!!
@tater65732 жыл бұрын
Good to hear from an honest man
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Hope so...
@louisking112 жыл бұрын
Probably one of the most useful videos you could find on the net. Mistakes help investors to improve their method and process.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@marcb9342 жыл бұрын
Great video, Sven. „Man will err while yet he strives.” Goethe‘s Faust
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
yep!
@hvidtsted2 жыл бұрын
I havn't seen this one yet - but sharing mistakes: Respect. I'll watch later.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Thanks, enjoy!!!
@Xtefanno2 жыл бұрын
the new lighting is very very good!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
great to hear!
@miellamborghini70032 жыл бұрын
Now this, this is epic!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
:-)
@jurgenmeyer76022 жыл бұрын
I bought Qudian this year when it started showing up in my net-net screener and sold for a nice 110% gain. Goes to show that anything can be a buy at the right price
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
great to hear!
@JohnSmith-wg6fy2 жыл бұрын
Sven you just hit the top people from KZbin for me with this material. Very well done 👏 ✔ 👍 👌. Most of KZbin rs belive ar better then Buffett or Linch🤣🤣
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@pieromalutta84572 жыл бұрын
Sempre ben druze Sven , te resti sempre El re' del rame , come i zingani... grazie per il servizio
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
grazie :-)))
@balazszentai33642 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the summary of your mistakes, lessons. My biggest mistake was underestimating the geopolitical risk about Russia. I had a 20% exposure to Russian ADR stocks in my portfolio. I got stuck. What do you think? Will western investors get their stocks back in the future? What do you suggest?
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
depends on the development! I have some minor positions too so we are watching, for now all is blocked!
@ricardodangelo46392 жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing Sven. Regards from Argentina and excuse my country for your loses 🙏😄
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
not your fault, my risk taking!
@danielnestorio2 жыл бұрын
Great video! Thank you
@MarinovBG2 жыл бұрын
Best video in this channel!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Wow, thanks!
@DiogoSilva-ii9ws2 жыл бұрын
This might be the best financial education video ever! Really appreciate the honesty. Thank you very much!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Glad you think so!
@polishfish2 жыл бұрын
Just a nitpick on your last two lessons- Alibaba was a mistake because you didn’t wait for it to fall further, and the final was a mistake because you waited? While they’re obviously contradictory lessons, they both depend purely on price action to learn from them, and the lessons are opposing in their wisdom. Truly a small complaint from me- I appreciate you and your channel!
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
yes, but then you also have to analyze the risk and reward to decide on waiting!
@SvenEisold2 жыл бұрын
Of course you could do better, but what is wrong with an annual return above 12%? Thanks for the self critical analysis.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
you always must look to do better!!!
@frankle2462 жыл бұрын
Thank you very much. I like this topic a lot. we learn more from mistakes than success. Please do more on this topic in future. Thank you much. Is INTC under value now, Sven? If Intc drops another 20% or mCap around 100B, will you go all in, Sven?
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
Video next week :-))
@THEchrisse952 жыл бұрын
Intel is building their plants so next 2 years (6 quarters) will be a lot of CAPEX. Normally they will increase their prices for the coming quarter what they didn't do their latest quarter causing the stock to drop. Dividend is still safe. So if it get's lower might be a good dividend stock. For the long term it depends on if their plan of making extra factories pays off.
@jdr46742 жыл бұрын
I find no signs of a turnaround. And INTC is not cheap now. On the opposite, now with companies creating production redundancies in the west, either oversupply or misinvestment is guaranteed. I'd get out of all semiconductor stocks.
@frankle2462 жыл бұрын
@@THEchrisse95 we are here to learn from Sven and others. So please don't misunderstood these: I think your logic has a problem; 1. " Normally....": mean you " based" on the past behavior of the market or the price. To me, I simply cannot predict the market behavior. But if you can, then you are good. 2. "dividend is still safe" : what is your reasons ? this conflicts with " future depends on..." mean you are not sure about its future. Yes, future is difficult to predict. So, a simple solution is normalizing E conservatively (MOS) in the time frame 7 yrs like: the low year E is 10B and the high is 2OB. So, ave is 15B for 7 yrs. Is this conservative? So, with ave E 15B and mcap 115B( 10% drop) or 100B(20% drop), return is 13%-15%( not a compound) conservatively. Sven, please give some thoughts about this.
@pacocalabasa66052 жыл бұрын
@@Value-Investing Intel is a great bargain here -- if there is war in Taiwan and TSMC goes up in literal smoke. Not something you would wish for though, and definitely speculating not investing.
@Motorrad-Auf-YouTube2 жыл бұрын
It is easy to say to do value investing but it is very hard to actually do it. I have seen people on youtube trying to outperform the S&P, researchimg a lot but failing hard. And what is true, there are not that many great ideas for a single person doing occational research. I found two or three great buys last year and should have simply stayed with them, instead of diversifying into nonsense, because somebody said it is a good idea. Eather you buy an ETF or you do not diversify. Nobody would buy 20 fractions of different houses because buying one is too risky. You buy one house, which you think is the best buy in the market and then you live in it.
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
two or three great buys last year might also be too much!
@faridrottigni2 жыл бұрын
You are the best professor ever!
@RemiStardust2 жыл бұрын
50:07 I doubt very much there is any book Warren Buffett reads 'almost daily'. I think you meant once a year? And did he really say he reads Seth Klarman?
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
yes, he said it in some conference!
@christianlollmann9537 Жыл бұрын
Oh that's very nice, now I feel much better, cause I'm not the only one... 😊
@Ruudjee2 жыл бұрын
About geopolitical risks? What is your outlook on the tensions between China and US considering Taiwan? What is the risk having Alibaba stocks?
@Value-Investing2 жыл бұрын
nobody knows what will happen, there is certainly risk, but how much risk is also hard to quantify!