Do you agree that the villian isn't likely to be bluffing if he thinks over pairs are not folding? Or is the snap rip leaning you to think he is jamming with something like AhKh?
@thehasuprobe11 ай бұрын
I’m thinking AhKh… but who knows it really depends on the player type, some people just call with KK. Dont think AA though.
@nitemareman111 ай бұрын
Difficult to attribute "he thinks over pairs are not folding" to a relatively unknown player. I would need to know someone pretty well to get there. There's no way I can fold here in hero's spot on turn. I would be calling here just because, like you always say, I've seen so much crazy shit.
@MikeTidman11 ай бұрын
There are more AA KK than AhKh AhQh
@MikeTidman11 ай бұрын
This particular AA KK prob wants to raise to structure an all in on a non H turn.
@patrickjordan223311 ай бұрын
Being OP & given stack depths, I feel it's either jam/fold (to flop raise) -shallow playability -... There's a segment of players who don't have 5 bets...even w/aces & kings (their idea of "balanced"?)... Edit: I've seen a lot more of this lately.... Not so much decades ago... Still, I lean towards thinking V playing AA more as a flop call-call-AI (flop/turn/river)? That only leaves the combos of KK, or AhKh (Pocket 9s wouldn't play this way unless they considered us a total fish..), or air... If it was a bluff/semi-bluff (as played + folded) tap the table? But I don't fold face up, like in the last 20+ (give away Way more than we gain... IMO...)
@thaThRONe11 ай бұрын
The only option I don't like is calling. I'm more on the all in or fold on this flop raise.
@GotoyourhomeBall11 ай бұрын
If I’m villain and give Hero a narrow 4bet range pre, I’m peeling almost every heart draw except AKhh otf given the spr. The small 2.5X flop raise in position on 933 screams strength. Once we call flop I think we station the rest off. Call flop + fold turn probably the worst line.
@pot_kivach16011 ай бұрын
If I plan to fold on a brick turn shove, then I'm folding the flop raise.
@ramon374210 ай бұрын
Right like wth does he want to happen? So im going to call and on a brick turn I fold but on a turn that hits the flush I’m going to fold lol. sounds like you said here goes my money on the flop
@mkader249411 ай бұрын
That was a fantastic bluff.
@justinjames780111 ай бұрын
This hand reaks of AK AQ of hearts. feels like a semi bluff. AA 5 bets pre, KK could call make sure the flop is clean
@hymnofashes11 ай бұрын
On the flop, V has a lot of AK, sometimes with a heart, or hearts, JJ, TT, and partials of AA, KK, and 99 which we lose to, but, I don't think this is a tough spot at all. If you aren't putting it in with QQ, then what are you continuing with? AA and KK only?
@ChrisM-wv4gs11 ай бұрын
Agreed caller is a disgusting nit
@virajsahu993611 ай бұрын
I think a lot of players would three bet the pot to check back the turn with their bluffs. So that would include a very wide range of hands with a low probability of someone making that play at 2/5
@danwestphal186210 ай бұрын
No way pocket 99 does that, full house would bleed you a little
@Chemissed-qc1bt11 ай бұрын
I think jam or fold flop makes your life easier. What clean turns are there? 9,10,J,K,A and hearts all put you in a bad spot
@Steveyyyidk11 ай бұрын
I'm wondering why there wasn't more discussion on the chances that CO smooths the 4bet with AA-KK preflop, cause that seems to be the defining question. I also would've liked to hear posters thoughts on whether he had a plan if 5bet. Would he fold QQ preflop or shove?
@richardklein956811 ай бұрын
Seems to me that it was played like a flush draw, once the turn bricked I am all in NEVER folding. AA, KK and 99 would never be played this way.
@dfrank313d11 ай бұрын
9s might but AA & KK never play this way
@webguy94311 ай бұрын
Need more info on villain does he ever bluff? I would have checked the flop instead of betting cuz we want to get to showdown as cheaply as possible.
@CN4891-c1z11 ай бұрын
If that's the case, why 4-bet with QQ in the first place? 933 is a top 10% flop in this situation.
@webguy94311 ай бұрын
@@CN4891-c1z 4 bet cuz we think we have the best hand but when villain calls a 4 bet we must evaluate. Again it depends on villain playstyle. If villain is solid hes not gonna give up that easily even if he has AK so hes not gonna fold to a Cbet. Plus we tread cautiously incase villain already has us beat.
@barbrothers211 ай бұрын
have you ever heard of getting value?
@JohnSmith-nx7zj11 ай бұрын
@@webguy943if villain is not going to fold AK to a C-bet then that’s exactly why you should be betting.
@bobbyhill82611 ай бұрын
Any chance you could add all the new call-in videos to the playlist? I listen to them at work all day
@Ggoodlad111 ай бұрын
You nailed it at ~14:45 - if he had AA or KK, he would never raise that flop in position. Worst case he stumbled into A3. He's raising with 10-10 or JJ out of fear of an overcard on the turn! JAM that raise and take it down or hopefully double up. 🍀💪
@Stockhandle12311 ай бұрын
I'm only on the the flop so far in the video but I just called the flop and then call the turn if he jams. I don't see much value in jamming over the raise on the flop.
@KINGBOSS08-mmk9 ай бұрын
Just curious, wouldn't A2 or A4 of hearts have more equity than AK of hearts? I don't think I would've folded the queens here.
@PSPCRemy6 ай бұрын
Sounds like a bluff for sure lol the trailing “ehhhhhhhh…”
@mr.doriangrey339411 ай бұрын
I like a jam after he gets raised on flop . KK or 2 hearts for villain
@johnwright782311 ай бұрын
Sometimes you just have to say nice hand and pay the guy off
@rocky2324rocky11 ай бұрын
Calling is indeed the best option on the flop . Jamming and folding are both not optimal. The raise on flop means 2 things . He either has a heart draw or a very strong hand like 9s or sometimes aces ( which I very much doubt). All the heart draws will fold and most value hands will beat your hands . You dont want to be in a spot where when you jam you only get called by better and fold by worse. If he has a heart draw just call and evaluate on later streets. The only worse hands you can get called by is jacks and 10s ( which I think is very unlikely to raise the flop as well) . I am def leaning towards missed heart draw .
@yoseftigger11 ай бұрын
Why would any hand of value raise flop? This seems more like flush draw, air, or JJ/TT that called and noticed you tanked on flop
@randompianist835911 ай бұрын
AA 99 raise to get value from KK QQ, and AK hearts
@yoseftigger11 ай бұрын
@@randompianist8359 99 Def shouldn’t raise as you are in position and everything is drawing near dead. AA can just call down or let AK catch up. KK and QQ should bet turn partially anyway to get value from JJ/TT or flush draws
@harrycardillo867111 ай бұрын
AA KK afraid of a hero's AK hearts or his flush draw are possible. 99 is never a raise. So two hands here that beat you.
@ANTxWAll11 ай бұрын
more & more starting to think 78hh with improved equity on the turn rip vs unimproved check back?
@bobbybeef6911 ай бұрын
Why not check call flop?
@supersmoo737711 ай бұрын
After caller discussed it with opponent afterwards, it sounds like A3 of spades or diamonds to me. I could see a player trying to over-protect their trips here.
@Jermo48411 ай бұрын
Folding this flop would be wild against a reg. They just love to put people who 3/4 bet on AK and you always talk about live players not having 5 betting ranges but I see way, way, way more 5/6 bet jams with AA, KK, AK than I see traps with those hands. Playing KK the way he did would be pretty bad - he couldn't even get called by QQ. Playing 99 that way would be an all time punt and no sane person could think that's a good play. This is also why I'm not folding here. It doesn't seem to make any sense to raise with any hands here besides complete airballs maybe or entirely because for some reason they decided you're weak (AK or AQ probably). You covered pretty well in the video why AK or AQhh don't really have incentive to raise (not that live players wouldn't, but still) and why there's no real reason to do it with AA. I'm sure plenty would with KK, but that also seems mediocre and only the most scared money fools would do it with 99.
@leviwhatever619211 ай бұрын
I see lots of folks saying A-K hearts, but nobody is suggesting A4-A5 hearts. Why ? Seems almost as likely with hero making a relatively small 3 bet pre
@lircox11 ай бұрын
Hero is saying he believes villain is a competent player so he can't really make preflop sizing reads, as they shouldn't exist
@mikedangelo800311 ай бұрын
Snap rip on the flop all day and twice on Tuesdays. If he turns over AA or KK you tap the table and leave the casino
@Daniel-fo9jf11 ай бұрын
yep, the fold to me doesn't make much sense.
@calebrandal891511 ай бұрын
Why tho, like yeah it’s easy to brush it off as a cooler but just look at the line, hero looks super overpair heavy, and V is allowed to have AA and KK. Not 5 betting pre and then waiting for a safe flop to stack a lower overpair seems to make sense from this guy. H saved himself half his stack
@davidculhane438811 ай бұрын
It would actually be 4th street chicken not 2nd street chicken. It should be a pre-requisite to play other variations of poker before calling in so we don't have to hear ridiculous comments like that lol
@intrepidus337811 ай бұрын
I paused at 9:44 before the turn. I think this is a fold. Call and evaluate sucks on so many levels I just don't even want to go there. The villain is a competent player. His floor is nut flush draws and we're losing against those hands about 50% of the time if we get it in here. Against the rest of his range, we're in big trouble. I know it's tight - but live to fight another day.
@calebkoeller958611 ай бұрын
200 more into an 800 dollar pot isn't worth it? V almost certainly doesn't have a 3 and 99 is an insignificant portion of the range. Sure he could be trapping with kings or aces but you only have to be good here like 1/4 times to make the call
@CN4891-c1z11 ай бұрын
@@calebkoeller9586Those pot odds are pretty irrelevant if we end up folding to a turn shove on a brick.
@calebkoeller958611 ай бұрын
@@CN4891-c1z I agree but I still think you gotta peel
@CN4891-c1z11 ай бұрын
@@calebkoeller9586 I feel you, I'm never 4-betting in this spot against someone that I can't happily shrug-get it in against on 933hh. Looking at the turn SPR, this hand is just kind of a disaster.
@calebkoeller958611 ай бұрын
@cj7139 yeah it's definitely a worst case scenario and it's pretty sick but I don't think anyone is actually folding to such a small raise on the flop. You probably suspect you're beat but folding would take discipline that I don't think anybody has
@chauncieextreme851411 ай бұрын
at 200 BBs, you could play this 2 ways….as an all in on flop, or an all in on the turn (clue: he doesn’t have a 3)
@qazzaqstan11 ай бұрын
So many people are saying call because AA and 99 shouldn't raise the flop, but most people are calling all their over-pairs those hands really should fast play before a scare card comes out and they can't get the money in.
@nonenonerson713011 ай бұрын
I would never, ever, ever fold this face up.
@a_canal11 ай бұрын
Think he had AA.KK & 99 seem less likely. Could also have heart bluffs considering your narrow range in a 4 bet pot
@chelseafanfromasia10 ай бұрын
Looks like the villian had some kind of Ace high flush draw to me. If he flopped the boat with 9s, he would want the opponent to catch up or make a flush, so raising the flop in position make little sense. Raising the flop in position with relatively shorter stack screams a combo draw to me. He has decent equity against most pairs, and he can make hero fold out non paired ak aq. I think hero calling the flop is totally fine if he intend to stack off a brick turn. If he geniuely believe his oponent has a better hand then i dont see a peoblem with folding on the flop either. If the villain called heros shove, i think hero is flipping at best against a flush draw and overcards
@stevenundisclosed609111 ай бұрын
Villain clearly has seven deuce here.
@hogi995 ай бұрын
Of ❤'s 😂
@JohnSmith-nx7zj11 ай бұрын
Weird hand. V’s value range is so narrow. KK almost feels like an overplay since hero folded QQ. Raising 99 just feels completely unnecessary. Maybe AA without a heart might raise to charge heart draws I guess. But AhAx feels like it can just call this down and still get stacks in.
@stephanie42058 ай бұрын
I've seen a lot of people play JJ like this. They go crazy with JJ and they always say "because I wanted to get you out of the hand". It's like all sense goes out the window.
@swordofallah112911 ай бұрын
200bb deep most pleyers are gonna put in the max with AA and they should . There is no better pre flop situation than AA vs any hand. Being cute and betting AA softly will get the ace buster hands to come along .
@EllieBanks33311 ай бұрын
I need help from you, my poker peeps!!! I think I might be getting out of touch with casino play by playing almost exclusively home games. Are people betting this small on heads up flops often? As to the hand in question, I really need more info here than just the cards in play. If I want to decide just based on that, I think this is simply a jam on the flop. But I really want to know my impression of villain. I really want to know what I think my own table image is. If I was the hero here, with my table image & against a villain who is competent, this is just a fold to the flop raise. On the other hand, I'm never in this spot. I don't open UTG for 3X. I also don't bet $125 into $385 heads up here. I understand that the villain is showing the kind of strength that makes us think he has AA or KK. But I also think that represents very poor play. I mean I guess it's not terrible if villain has KK no heart. But look at where we are at SPR wise if villain just calls the flop. Final note, the math here is totally hinky. If hero calls the flop raise he has 740 left & the pot is 1045.
@1vailchris11 ай бұрын
Hi Ellie - it seems pretty "industry standard" for flop c-bets to range from 1/3 pot to 2/3 pot, depending on various factors, with some more extreme cases indicating much smaller than 1/3 or much larger than 2/3 pot bets. In theory, 4B pots should be c-bet for a small size close to 100% frequency. This is kind of a weird spot for hero, because both his open and his 4B size pre were a little small. I'd wonder whether or not V has a 5B range, at all, ever, or just here, IP, with these stack depths. I'd also wonder if V 3B's 99 or A3s pre, over LJ's call. If we think V might 3B with 99 or A3s pre, and we think he's just never 5B'ing pre, then I think we could actually check, or bet small. If we think V isn't 3B'ing 99 or A3s, and we think V has a 5B range with AA/KK pre, then I think I might size up, to target JJ/TT and V's flush draws. Hero's smallish sizing pre leads to the questions about V's 3B/5B range pre, which leads to questioning how big to c-bet this flop, and of course whether or not hero should call or jam over V's flop raise, or call V's turn jam. If hero opened larger, LJ might not have called, and / or V might have 3B with 99/A3s, hero probably would have 4B larger, V's continue range would have less 99/A3, and probably less AA/KK, because maybe then V 5B's. In that scenario, I'd be c-betting huge on this flop.
@1vailchris11 ай бұрын
Responding to the rest - I recently stepped up to 2/5 from 1/3, and have been experimenting with my RFI sizing, going $15 or $20, depending on the table dynamics. I think $15 is fine, generally, in most 2/5 games. But if the standard open in this specific game is $20, and hero opened $15, that would affect my post-flop analysis. Here, if V doesn't have a 5B range pre, and might 3B 99 or A3s, I could see folding flop. If V has a 5B range, and isn't 3B'ing 99 or A3s, then I think we just jam over this raise. If he 3B's 99/A3s pre, and doesn't have a 5B range at all, I'm giving him 30 combos - 17 that beat us (AA/KK/99/A3s), and 13 we beat (AK/AQ/AJ/AT/A5/A4/A2 of hearts, and TT/JJ with a heart). If he's not 3B'ing 99/A3s pre, and he has a 5B range with AA/KK/AKs, then this is just 12 combos we beat, and nothing we don't. The obvious challenge is that we have no idea what V is doing here. Maybe he 3B's 99 but not A2s-A4s, and 5B's AA/KK but not AKs. Maybe he's not jamming TT/JJ with a heart here.
@jdsr4c11 ай бұрын
This guy needs to go back to the $1/$2 tables.
@Daniel-fo9jf11 ай бұрын
If villain actually had AA or 99 then he played it horribly by raising, there is literally no reason to be raising the flop when the SPR is less than 3 and you have the nuts. AK and KK are much more likely in my opinion and I'm never folding in hero's position unless villain is an uber NIT. Live players will spaz out here with JJ, AK and random hands, folding here is a tremendous mistake against the average live reg.
@stevenmcwilliam69459 ай бұрын
If he flopped a full House with nines, why would he raise ? Aces or kings maybe but if nines he’d slow play it I’d think.
@peterdembowy445911 ай бұрын
Sounds a lot like AA, KK, 99 or AK/AQhh
@gbpg201611 ай бұрын
I’m by no means a regular player but it seems the villain knew how nitty this caller was. He was going all in on the turn before the flop against him. No way would I fold even if he somehow had a better hand. I’d rather lose the money going down with a fight than be scared to lose it if he somehow had a better hand.
@Dynamice133711 ай бұрын
These ambiguous decisions vs a flop raise are exactly why I would play this as a call preflop. You are OOP and every street is going to be harder and harder to play in a very big pot. I am most profitable when I can pick my spots and have an advantage against my opponent, here you are on the back foot the whole way.
@Bawookles11 ай бұрын
Villain bluffed his paints off. You know what's going on when someone raises a paired flop against a preflop raiser? 90% of the time it's a bluff.
@brock8399511 ай бұрын
I play at Hollywood in Columbus all the time, wish I knew who this hand was against
@RiverRat699611 ай бұрын
AhKh or 7h8h for sure if he is a competent player. he would have realized pretty quickly hero plays scared and over folds so why would he take this line with real value. it was either a semi bluff or maybe even a complete air ball if he took him for a weak player that overfolds.
@hogi995 ай бұрын
Shove or fold on flop raise. Move on to the next hand.
@info768111 ай бұрын
We dont really know what kind of player villian is and what the reputation of hero is. He only says my 4 bet range utg is polarized but i think thats always the case any 4 bet.. he says im a donkey but how can you believe that if he folds in this spot. Everyone here in the comments screaming semi bluf need to play there 1c/2c online this one no one really can know
@danielmeuler287711 ай бұрын
I find that 3 bets are Rare enough at low stakes (1/3-2/5) that when ever it happens its one of 3 Hands AA, KK and AK suited. People also are not calling those kinds of Bets without 5 specific hands. Unless the Hero really knows the Villian to be a "Spew Box", a fold is the move here.
@WesBundy8211 ай бұрын
I find it hilarious that the caller is so confident that he knows his opponent had either AA or KK or 9's full.. . ..
@pranendrasingh483911 ай бұрын
Cutoff opens 2bb, I call with 55 in the BB, flop comes 542 all hearts, flop goes check check, turn is the 3 of hearts, I check and he bets half pot and I call, and the river is another 5, and he snap shoves 50bb and I end up calling, of course he shows a straight flush, how can I find a fold here
@williamr405311 ай бұрын
Tough spot, but that always has to be in the back of your mind with a tiny preflop raise and 4 to the straight flush draw on the board. If you’re putting it all in with quads, you’re going to run into A high flush, straight flush, or some kind of boat combination. With the small open, and you call, expect any combination of hands to be in the pot with you.
@pot_kivach16011 ай бұрын
wrong question. There are two answers you must find before this one. If you find these two answers, this one would've been answered by itself. Or: there would be no need to answer this one at all. A1: I MUST bet flop. A2: I MUST fold the turn bet (IF he called your flop bet). . No other answers you need (to handle this hand successfully).
@AT-bw4cm11 ай бұрын
200bb deep 99% of 2-5 players are 5 betting AA preflop. If he is the trapping type with AA, then why would he raise the flop in position? Why on earth would a competent player raise 99 on the flop? He most likely had a flush draw.
@Unhingedanduninformed11 ай бұрын
Because against a 3b range, assuming villain has 99, there’s a chunky part of hero’s range that are pairs and flush draws. 10s-QQ are calling. Two hearts are calling. It also wasn’t a huge raise. It isn’t a normal line, but villain could be making that move player dependent
@danielliu873511 ай бұрын
Because if you’re balancing around 3 value combos If you don’t raise the value combos you end up severely overbluffing. Any “competent player” that raises a flush draw would raise a set.
@AT-bw4cm11 ай бұрын
@@danielliu8735 You end up folding any of hero's bluffs. For balance a competent villian shouldn't be raising the flop because of the preflop configuration.
@JohnSmith-nx7zj11 ай бұрын
@@AT-bw4cmI was about to say, I don’t think a “balanced” player raises this flop at all. 99 can easily get the money in by the river even with a call on the flop. You wouldn’t even have to bet very large on the turn and river.
@timcarter81711 ай бұрын
Thanks for regurgitating the same damned thing he just told the caller
@Mr.Muckington11 ай бұрын
Caller has a decent voice for content online imo
@moayourlawn112611 ай бұрын
He sounds like a dork 😂😂
@barbrothers211 ай бұрын
is this sarcasm? he sounds like a woman who is on testosterone. i was questioning if this was even a real guy the entire time
@Mr.Muckington11 ай бұрын
@@moayourlawn1126 and your mom eats with a spork
@dalekerr509111 ай бұрын
caller sounds like Ryan Feldman
@billnyethebreadisrye575011 ай бұрын
Lol I agree this guy sounds like a boy that will never be a man
@skelthouser273011 ай бұрын
Damn, couldn't you at least have asked him if you folded the best hand. That's more likely to get you an answer than getting him to admit to an exact hand...
@angelsmith175611 ай бұрын
Sounds like the caller had his rent money on the table and was scared
@derejm546111 ай бұрын
Caller is the dude from HCL right ?
@yonatandavidbronznick773311 ай бұрын
WTF why not calling 700 to 1700 pot? you need like 30% winning chances, he could be TT or JJ easily
@1312Mork211 ай бұрын
He has Aces
@tattoomesam11 ай бұрын
Bro no way it’s pocket 9s. 99 would let him hit ur flush. AK hearts is my guess
@a_canal11 ай бұрын
Steve O
@benjaminlebria11 ай бұрын
This dude sounds like steve-o
@KBM_Pixel11 ай бұрын
KK for sure
@dfrank313d11 ай бұрын
IMO the worst play made was folding face up!
@poochimayne729411 ай бұрын
He MOST likely had your worst nightmare;99- landed nuts on the flop. Too bad for you. He snap/ call/ raised so he had it. End of story. Cant believe you remembered this crap. Forget it!
@squallloky11 ай бұрын
Villain had A3 of spades, case closed
@ChrisM-wv4gs11 ай бұрын
Caller is bad at poker. They go on and on about how awesome the villain. Is yet forget good players will have bluffs. They clearly see monsters under the bed and will be pushed around at the tables
@wugenius881311 ай бұрын
AK hearts or jacks or tens no way he has AA or Kings
@danwestphal186210 ай бұрын
No way 9-9 does this, full house gonna make you bleed a little
@RVGambler1111 ай бұрын
😢
@kemillionaire211 ай бұрын
Easy fold. Villian had aces or kings
@NorCal_Poker11 ай бұрын
Feels like AK of hearts or KK. Either way, shitty spot!
@jordoncarlson365011 ай бұрын
Bad fold. Villain likely had ak aq aj hearts qq jj or 1010
@liualpha69519 ай бұрын
what a fish
@paTROLLINGxD11 ай бұрын
Thizz
@cafferacer5 ай бұрын
Ok so let’s break this down. Bart can play at a high level, but if a terrible player calls in he’s like naw dude you ok. Thats a scammer because his biz is coaching and 100k KZbin subs. Scammer and liar
@cafferacer5 ай бұрын
Dude don’t play. Like dude haha ha dude like dude. I tanked forever bro then folded bro
@cafferacer5 ай бұрын
100k plus subs just keep lying is what I’d do in this spot *clear throat* and my wife prefers I keep lying to protect my wife n kids