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India Election Results: What Does It Mean for Nepal?
If no unexpected political twist occurs, Narendra Modi is set to be sworn in as India’s Prime Minister for a third term. Previously, only Jawaharlal Nehru, India’s first Prime Minister, held the position for three consecutive terms. In this context, Modi’s current success is a record in itself. However, despite his victory, Modi does not appear very happy. The main reason is that Modi's party, the BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party), did not secure as many seats in Parliament as anticipated. The BJP did not even achieve a simple majority. He can form a new government only with the support of allied parties.
As a result, Narendra Modi will not be as powerful a Prime Minister as before. Why did this happen? How did Modi suddenly seem weak? What does this mean for India? And what is the message for Nepal? If there is a relatively weak government in India, will there be any fundamental changes in its policy towards Nepal?
This analysis focuses on these issues.
अकस्मात कुनै नयाँ राजनीतिक घट्नाक्रम विकसित भएन भने भारतमा फेरि तेस्रोपटक नरेन्द्र मोदी प्रधानमन्त्री बन्दैछन् । यसअघि भारतका प्रथम प्रधानमन्त्री जवाहरलाल नेहरुमात्र लगातार तीनचोटी प्रधानमन्त्री हुन पाएका थिए । त्यस अर्थमा मोदीले अहिले पाएको सफलता आफैंमा एक कीर्तिमान हो । तर उनी जितेर पनि धेरै खुशी देखिदैनन् । यसको मुख्य कारण हो, मोदीको पार्टी- भाजपा अर्थात् भारतीय जनता पार्टीले संसदमा सोचेजति सीट ल्याउन नसक्नु । भाजपाले सामान्य बहुमतसमेत प्राप्त गर्न सकेको छैन । उसले आफ्नो गठबन्धनमा रहेका दलहरूको सहयोग लिएरमात्र नयाँ सरकार बनाउन सक्छ ।
त्यसैले अब नरेन्द्र मोदी पहिलेझैं शक्तिशाली प्रधानमन्त्री हुनेवाला छैनन् । यस्तो अवस्था किन आयो ? किन र कसरी मोदी एकाएक कमजोर देखिन पुगे ? भारतका निम्ति यसको अर्थ के हो ? अनि नेपालका निम्ति सन्देश के हो ? भारतमा तुलनात्मक रुपले कमजोर सरकार बन्दा उसको नेपाल-नीतिमा कुनै तात्विक अन्तर आउँछ कि आउँदैन ?
यो विश्लेषण यिनै बिषयहरुको वरिपरी केन्द्रित छ ।
#sudheersharma #indiaelections2024 #indiaelectionresult #india #nepal #nepalindia #indianepal #geopolitics #anlysis #explained #southasia #politics #narendramodi #modi #rahulgandhi #bjp #congress #foreignpolicy #internationalrelations
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