[Monday] Historic Hurricane Beryl now Entering the Caribbean

[@mahomeymike]

Dr. Cowan is awesome and yes if he uses words like horrifying experience then you know it’s horrifying. I don’t think he used words like that with Ian and I was in it in SWFL. It was a brutal experience so I can not even imagine those people on the small islands today. My heart goes out to them. Thank you Dr. Cowan.

[@Pluscelamemechose]

We live in concrete houses. We do this every year. Their up island sisters will send aid. We do that yearly, too.

[@Oracle13]

Can't click your videos fast enough during the hurricane season

[@ReeferMadman]

Don't worry about tech quality, I would listen to you through a can and string if I had to. Thanks Mr Dr Levi!

[@KlamathRiverMedia]

Last time I was this early to a tropical tidbits video, hurricane Dorian was just a dust devil in Senegal, West Africa.

[@effective_cmpote]

Same. When he uses words like historic I know it's serious. Because he means it.

[@ryanford7331]

@@effective_cmpoteTwo words : Climate Change

[@blizzardwuffy]

Tut & Beryl sounds like the name of a high end fashion boutique

[@aleronupstill9816]

Bespoke Indo-Guranian furniture store.

[@johnnymayo8534]

Safe travels! Thanks for all you do! Although I no longer live in a hurricane-vulnerable area, I still watch your videos and recommend your channel to my friends who still live on the East Coast.

[@adlihkristopher2906]

Praying for everyone in Hurricane 🌀 Beryl path 🙏

[@bandislife2004]

Yes🙏

[@MM-yl9gn]

🙏

[@cassydee5196]

Thank you for the update ❤️ New orleans

[@PhilLewis-xg7iv]

its the 8th july now and i've decided to come back and see how accurate you've been. well done you did very well. i'll be back.

[@richard1835]

Saw the video at WXChasing channei and they stopped recording right at the eyewalls winds. I saw it coming. Just like hurricane Charley waiting for that first gust of wind letting you know your in the eyewall. Let me tell you Hurricanes are nothing to play with Cat 5's are serious business. Those winds have to be respected. Appreciate your Hurricane updates. People need you because you give them ample warning, saving lives. Thank you

[@bcsurfstyles]

I love that when there is something to say about canes you are here for us. A beakon. Well balanced honouring of the devastation these storm cause to us humans, while presenting the science, the data, the calmness and the experience that only you bring. You are the gold standard sir. And we appreciate you.

[@metalmamasue3680]

Happy travels and I hope you enjoy the east coast. I'm in PA and I like the rural area I live in. 😊 Best wishes and prayers for everyone in Beryl's path. 🙏❤️

[@skipsandvig8888]

I’m at the southern border of Texas watching closely!

[@BiaMartin777]

Thank you for helping so many!

[@rmreader8810]

Levi is an international treasure and this is coming from a Pacific coast gal. I imagine what it would mean to me to have such a consistent, calm and reliable expert to report on wildfire and earthquake projections. Never prone to hyperbole, nor sugarcoating, nor "doubling down". I am so grateful that someone of his caliber is sharing his knowledge for free.

[@heidimccarthy5127]

Safe Travels Dr.Levi! Prayers for all those affected by this storm 🙏

[@paulstein916]

Thank you for updating us. Safe travels and a Happy July 4th holiday!

[@jeffersonspace]

Thanks for the update today, and safe travels to you. Watching from Miami

[@colibri59]

Will wait for your next update no matter the hour, THANK YOU!

[@richard1835]

We have July, August, September to go yet. This season be set more records. We shall see. Have a safe flight. Be successful.

[@SoItGoesCAL34]

Thanks for this timely update.Have a great flight & fun travels

[@melissakay6143]

Thank you Dr. Cowan -- yes, we hope for the best for all affected by Beryl. ❤

[@VestedUTuber]

Seeing as though Beryl continues to exceed expectations and causes difficulty for the simulations due to its compact size, I'm questioning whether the simulation models are sufficiently reliable in this particular situation. I'm not questioning their general accuracy, just their accuracy for this particular storm.

[@Tropical-Tidbits]

Models are imperfect with all storms, but thankfully they are dramatically better than even 10 years ago. Forecasts can always shift around though.

[@johnmoore3504]

Intensity forecasting has lagged behind location forecasting for awhile now, the NHC admits this in its seasonal reports. The 5 day has gotten better but the 3 day has proven very accurate. Other than strength so far Beryl has been well with the guidance envelope.

[@VestedUTuber]

@@Tropical-Tidbits Oh yeah, they're definitely an improvement. I'm just noting that Beryl might be particularly unpredictable. I can't remember if it was this video or the previous one but you mentioned that the large-scale simulations were having trouble with Beryl's compact size.

[@edbergman2351]

Thank you, sir! Safe travels ✌️

[@sece1121]

That time of the year for Tropical Tidbits!

[@artemismoon7655]

I hope everyone affected by the storm is safe. It reminds me so much of what happened with hurricane Michael with the crazy rapid development. Thankfully this moved through faster than Michael.

[@HughLlewellyn]

Thanks Levi. Safe travels.

[@deepquake9]

As if Beryl wasn’t unique enough she decided to beef up at the last minute. Geez. Excellent work Levi. Guatemala is trying to hide. Lol

[@falcon8531]

You can tell even Dr Cowan ain’t used to this

[@joeg4707]

🤡

[@mdog86]

Agh as a south Texan the worst is being in that limbo state of not knowing if it'll completely miss us or head directly for us. I was thinking we were in the clear, but it seems it's still too early to tell.

[@BoBuilds]

It’s a cat 5 now! Looking forward to updates. I’m telling my Houston peeps if it cross the north tip of Yucatán and the high pressure moves off to the right in the US it has a chance at Texas!

[@MegaMikeylikes]

Lets see how the wind shear affects this now well protected outflow x 29/30 degree water temps. Great job Dr. Levi Cowan as always.

[@GMBlunderfish1]

As if moderate (15-20kt) shear over 12 hours has a CHANCE of weakening a category 5 hurricane that underwent eyewall replacement cycle beforehand and is over 29-30* waters. Read the extract below from when Ian became a category 4 after eyewall replacement. Although there is some moderate shear over the hurricane, this is not likely to affect Ian very much due to its large size. Ian later became a category 5 under moderate shear (~15kt) just after this advisory. It’s gonna be Jamaica that kills this.

[@maggiebirmingham]

Thank you

[@XCBen]

Still strengthening. Might be a cat 5 soon. Doesn't matter. Horrible situation.

[@kattmilk]

Thank you for including the Cayman Islands in your forcast! A lot of meteorologists have been focused on Jamaica while forgetting Cayman. Prayers from Florida for all in the path of this historic beast! I hope it doesn't hit Texas. 🙏🏾

[@BodieOutdoors]

Stay safeOne love.

[@stevecooper7883]

The police station in Grenada's capital had it's roof ripped off

[@Pluscelamemechose]

Probably inevitable. How old was it? Roofing goes. It's the water that kills. Islanders know that. We built at 350' elevation.

[@GMBlunderfish1]

350 foot elevation was safe from the water, but it was the wind that killed there. It’s *usually* the water that kills but this time 165mph winds ripped off the roof.

[@Pluscelamemechose]

@GMBlunderfish1 Hugo and Maria ripped off just about every roof on our island. Zero deaths from that. They don't collapse. They fly away.

[@Pluscelamemechose]

@@GMBlunderfish1 it's unfortunate if life was lost. It's rare.

[@GMBlunderfish1]

@@Pluscelamemechose because people might be blown away. The people that get picked up and thrown into the water DIE.

[@bobmurphy2216]

Wild. The storm just intensified again to cat 5.

[@jsamerican38]

Wowww this system is doing rapidly intensifying so quickly!!

[@vaderjones357]

Thanks Levi!💜🌀

[@rowleyma]

Thanks for the update! Welcome to the East Coast Dr Cowan.

[@scorpian1960mz]

Thank you Doc.

[@netta358able]

Thank you so much for the update you are a blessing💜

[@PremierCCGuyMMXVI]

As destructive as it is, very beautiful from space

[@bandislife2004]

Safe travels Dr. C ❤

[@sshine1234]

Clicked right away when I saw this video drop

[@aleronupstill9816]

My friends Jamaican cruise got rescheduled to this weekend because of high wind and swells back in February. The carribean doesn't want your big boats. If you must, take a ship from Alaska. Its much cooler.

[@deepquake9]

Safe travels. Last time you recorded en route it looked like a drunken sailor on rough seas. 😅 bless.

[@cozdiver]

We all are getting ready here in Cozumel, it looks like we might just get the rain from this one anyway! Thanks for all your work!

[@ShadowGamingReviews]

I'm hoping and praying that Houston does not get hit.

[@rowanbarrows7724]

Thx Doc

[@barbiebeckford2988]

Thank you!

[@Pluscelamemechose]

PR is like the usvi, there's a nice layer of dust over us. I flew home Saturday, and it looked thick like pollution. Always a happy sight in summer.

[@TroyRubert]

Brutal. Let’s get some help ready to send down.

[@bcsurfstyles]

Mega brutal. Whats the help look like?

[@TroyRubert]

@@bcsurfstyles Money, people, and equipment.

[@georgedoolittle7574]

Brutally thrashing a massive body of water..

[@Pluscelamemechose]

This hurricane will cool the water for the next storm. And so on. If this continues, August will find cooler water for the big September storms that go near my island.

[@brendag1482]

Beryl has been moving too quickly to create much upwelling. SSTs won't change much and any change won't last long.

[@JJ-ec4cq]

Awesome 👏 info New subscriber here ☝️!!!

[@toothlessonthetrail8893]

I knew that ERC would be bad. Please continue to inform us.

[@douglascooper1987]

THX Sir 👍👍

[@fearandloathingmedia2051]

❤

[@CAPNMAC82]

The amount to seawater humped up under a 950mB storm beggars my imagination. That looks to be something of a significant gale up around Bermuda, for not being very organized (and being extra-tropical)

[@thesalamnder]

Early TT? Must be big news

[@richard1835]

I am hoping you can give us more updates as Beryl moves west. Hurricanes can last for 2 weeks or more. That track looks good with every model in agreement. I hope Jamaica is spared the worst of this storm. The Yucatan looks vulnerable.

[@Xray.71]

So are we still in a El Niño pattern? Invests generally form in the gulf during June/July and head northeast or am I wrong? I know that high pressure is over Florida but it seems we are in a El Niño state

[@lunaticfringe7791]

La Niña

[@Nonliberal.]

It should have been spelled Barrow

[@silkeden1]

What makes this particular storm 'historic'?

[@Tropical-Tidbits]

This portion of the Windward Islands has never seen a Cat 4 hurricane, at least since records began in 1851. Beryl is also the earliest Cat 4 hurricane to ever form anywhere in the Atlantic.

[@silkeden1]

@@Tropical-Tidbits Thank you for clarifying. I should have known better that it wasn't used for sensationalism. I appreciate your scruples and expertise.

[@skippingrhyme4386]

Don't count out the worst case, where the tut splits stronger on the Yucatan Side and steers Beryl through the gap of Cuba and The Yucatan and it takes a clean path into the Gulf and curves up west of Florida. I know it's a small chance, but given how this storm has behaved vs. predictions, Im not counting it out

[@johnmoore3504]

It’s behaved exactly as predicted minus the rapid strengthening. But location wise it’s right on target, maybe a little sooner with faster western motion.

[@FindYourFree]

this is sad

[@4sstg]

Meteorological charts are not as interesting as seeing the areas being impacted in real time.

[@nickjordan8996]

Caribbean got wrek'd.

[@UchihaSumairu]

Its sad something so beautiful and mesmerizing is so destructive :( I guess pretty things tend to be dangerous..

[@lunaticfringe7791]

Are we talking about women, hurricanes or both here? 😁

[@UchihaSumairu]

@@lunaticfringe7791 yes

[@dellchica2373]

Why is the hurricane hunters flight track shaped like a pentagram😮

[@Nanaof_8]

Oh ffs😂

[@dellchica2373]

​@@Nanaof_8ooops😂😂

[@lunaticfringe7791]

👹👹👹...lmao

[@carloscortes5570]

We got so lucky in Puerto Rico!! We can't stand 30mph winds without our outdated corrupted electrical grid goes out off line and takes 4 weeks to restore!! POS corrupted Governor. I have to fly to PR and cover my glass windows with the metal storm blinds..hopefully in 4 weeks

[@riggingpots3453]

Poor people

[@carpathus]

What is tut?

[@Tropical-Tidbits]

TUTT = tropical upper tropospheric trough. It's a semipermanent feature in the western Atlantic

[@carpathus]

@@Tropical-Tidbits Thank you very much. Cheers!

[@97warlock]

kinda wish it would move up very slight northern just a little bit so that florida buys up the gas & water etc. It kinda gets the excitement going, trust me, I dont want it to directly come here but just ................ Barely skirt the edge of florida, Id be good with that.

[@johnmoore3504]

No thank you insurance rates are high enough here. Not going to happen due the high pressure building in the SE US.

[@Pluscelamemechose]

I don't know about horrifying. Hugo was horrifying. Maria was scary. Dorian was wicked bad.

[@Tropical-Tidbits]

All of these storms possessing winds and storm surge capable of destroying structures are horrifying

[@rickinlaughlin5697]

duuuhhhhh.. if its a named hurricane is automatically part of history

[@hsew]

It’s now officially the earliest to reach category 5 on record.

[@TheTerminatorex]

* Puerto Rico sees a hurricane “we need $20 billion!” Five minutes later: “we hate America and their colonizers!”

[@VestedUTuber]

You need to remember that Puerto Rico has a very split opinion of the US among its population. There's actually three factions there - one that wants statehood, one that wants to remain a US outlying territory, and one that wants to break away from being a US outlying territory and claim full independence.

[@sgtsillyass1575]

*B O R I N G*

[@sandrabentley8111]

N O T

[@sgtsillyass1575]

@@sandrabentley8111 You don't get out much do you. Most fat people don't.

[@ONLINEWARRIORSFORCHRIST]

We're seeing more and more evidence that normal isn't coming back! Jesus is! Get on the ark of salvation today! You really don't want to miss the rapture! Read John: 3:15-17, 1 Corinthians 15:1-4, Romans 10:9-10, Romans 3:22-28, Romans 5:8-9, Ephesians 2:8-9, Ephesians 1:13-14. Come Lord Jesus! Maranatha! Amen!

[@xanderjaymez8188]

Please do not do this. It's not the place. People are here for information not having religion stuffed down their throat

[@lounaj7184]

Amen

[@catherinebreitfeller669]

people need to know that they’re right with GOD !!

[@ONLINEWARRIORSFORCHRIST]

@@xanderjaymez8188 Hello Xander. I'm not stuffing anything down anyone's throat and I'm not religious. All religions are a man-made lie to keep people confused and so that they don't stumble upon the true gospel. I'm just sharing the gospel of salvation with a sense of urgency because we can clearly see by what is happening in this world when comparing it to what the Bible tells us; that we're in the final days and Jesus is coming any day now. So if you have not yet received the FREE GIFT from God of eternal salvation through faith alone in the blood of Jesus Christ, then please pull up the scriptures I mentioned in the post above and get saved today. For tomorrow isn't promised and Jesus is coming any day to rapture His bride out of this world. May the Lord bless you and yours in Jesus' name.

[@xanderjaymez8188]

This isn't about your thoughts on religion though. This is Dr. Levi trying to help keep people safe and give information. Not spread religious propaganda. I see it everywhere and it irritates me to no end

[@PeteDavidson-yl3ps]

TOO Much DRAMA with this storm, ALL Islanders have been through these events, there is NO need to create PANIC.... If the Boss says to stay home, then start the BBQ and get some Rasta Spit Chicken Cook'n invite da neighbors over for a beverage, let the kids play as schools closed too. Remember " Don't Worry Be Happy, cuz Every Little Thing Gonna Be Alright '

[@magicspider76]

Thank you