Can Russia win in Ukraine with nuclear weapons?

  Рет қаралды 248,533

Anders Puck Nielsen

Anders Puck Nielsen

Күн бұрын

The nuclear talk is back. Russia is again threatening the West with nuclear retaliation, but how close are we actually to nuclear war? In this video I discuss what will happen if Russia uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine, and I argue that it will more likely lead to Russian defeat than victory. But unfortunately that does not mean that we can ignore the danger of nuclear escalation as a result of the conflict.
0:00 Nuclear rhetoric is back
2:01 A weapon of weakness
2:40 Less confident about Ukraine strategy
4:00 Not a wonder weapon
5:15 Could lead to Putin's downfall
7:47 The International explanation
8:20 A nonproliferation nightmare
11:04 When might Russia use nuclear weapons?

Пікірлер: 3 000
@anderspuck
@anderspuck 24 күн бұрын
If you want to support the channel, please consider subscribing to my newsletter on www.logicofwar.com. And remember to be careful about attempts at impersonation scams in the comments section where someone uses my profile picture from a different account. I will never ask you to contact me on private platforms like Telegram or WhatsApp.
@Thewestcoastshooter
@Thewestcoastshooter 24 күн бұрын
We apprciate your thoughtful and balanced commentary Anders.
@tektkite7255
@tektkite7255 24 күн бұрын
you seem pretty daft: 1. 2 nukes on kiev and the war is over 2. Dear russian slaves and meat, NATO has attacked (for added effect stage a false flag operation) us and we beat them by sending nukes. they are now scared and defeated
@lagrangewei
@lagrangewei 24 күн бұрын
can you be abit less dellusional. after so many years of hyping of ukraine, can you just acknowledge defeat is inevitable without NATO entering the war, in which if NATO enters the war, we will have WWIII and a nuclear exchange? you are not helping the Ukrainian by lying about their conditions, the more you hype them up, the more europe will see thing as under control and the less money and resources they will focus on Ukraine. it is way better to be honest and tell them the truth, then to lie and prolong the slatemate. NATO must consider the possibility of a nuclear war.
@ThePearsson
@ThePearsson 24 күн бұрын
@@lagrangewei Why Ukraine has already liberated 50% of Ukraine. Europe is ramping up the defense industry, the US aid will keep coming. Russia has two years left in the fight, if the west start sanction India and Russia the support to Russia will be gone. Russia is alone in this against Ukraine supported by the richest and biggest military power in the world. If we in the west decide that Russia will lose, then Russia will lose, if Russia uses 1 nuke Putler and Russia is over as a nation. There is no way out of this for Russia anymore, Surrender or total downfall is whats waiting Russia.
@madisondines7441
@madisondines7441 24 күн бұрын
Russia making a nuclear escalation gambit is actually highly detrimental to them as long as the West sticks to a proportional retaliation strategy.
@mawkishdave
@mawkishdave 24 күн бұрын
Nuclear weapons are most useful when you don't use them.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
Last week Putin threatened to nuke a McDonald's because they got his value meal order wrong😂 Russia is nothing more than a joke at this point lol
@TheMrCougarful
@TheMrCougarful 24 күн бұрын
They are also useful if you have no other choice to avoid defeat.
@sage8573
@sage8573 24 күн бұрын
Putin has been threatening the weather with Nukes for 20 years. Maybe the rhetoric has increased but its always been there in some regard
@flixri726
@flixri726 24 күн бұрын
Are they? I mean, they were quite effective when the US used them if you want to be cynical about it.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
@@TheMrCougarful Not even nuclear weapons can help the russian military, it's such a complete joke lol
@donixion4368
@donixion4368 24 күн бұрын
For those of us who remember the Cold War, this kind of threat is familiar and not something we tend to worry about. For the younger ones who have never known constant nuclear threats, this kind of threat is scary. If we are heading into another cold war, everyone is going to have to get used to these threats because they will be far more constant, even without a war going on.
@praveendreamer
@praveendreamer 24 күн бұрын
Coldwar times are over ...! Remember Russia is not big threat to us its china wait n watch on coming October brics + expansion n their plan to kill dollar dominance with centralised currency bwn southeast asian african and middle eastern countries... west hegemony nearing its end !
@snyde02
@snyde02 24 күн бұрын
Oh, we are already in a cold war with Russia. Hints: continuous cyber attacks, misinformation, assassination in Germany, exploding ammo storage in Bulgaria, extensive drone usage on oil platforms in the north sea, buying up real estate in Finland close to military installation, etc etc
@TDurden527
@TDurden527 24 күн бұрын
I lived through the Cold War and all this nuclear bomb talk is so ho hum, rofl.
@michaelnielsen5573
@michaelnielsen5573 24 күн бұрын
I believe that knowledge about nuclear weapons and how (and why) they can be used is the key to cope with a new cold war - at the end of the day, war is still business and ned to give an outcome ;)
@perchristophersen8966
@perchristophersen8966 24 күн бұрын
Served in the DK Army 4 years 63-67 as engineer large part of the training was decontamination as the Russians was expected to hit our radars towards the Baltic Sea as later told by the Polish after 91 the plan was to use a 2megaton bomb first if did not succeed then a 5megaton half the main island would be destroyed as soldiers were told if they came life expectancy would be approximately 4 hours glad they were broke and stayed home,never imagined these times would come the Russians have never been rational and trustworthy now in Canada since 70 and glad for 👍it 🇩🇰🇨🇦👨🏼‍🦳
@flaviucalin
@flaviucalin 23 күн бұрын
THIS IS MY FAVORITE CHANNEL about war in Ukraine. Greetings from Romania
@Marko9515
@Marko9515 21 күн бұрын
How can you consider this guy credible after he accused russia for destroying nord stream 2? When i saw that video i knew he is not objective at all.
@Andrei-YT01
@Andrei-YT01 20 күн бұрын
salutari
@thegreatujo
@thegreatujo 22 күн бұрын
Appreciate the (relatively) short format of these analysis videos. There are quite a few other excellent channels like Perun and Wlliam Spaniel who do explainers but they all produce one hour long materials that not everybody has the time to listen to. You fill a much needed gap for people interested in the conflict.
@mayberryastronomy6335
@mayberryastronomy6335 24 күн бұрын
Wow. Someone delivering facts and not fear mongering. I’m impressed.
@markbryant4641
@markbryant4641 24 күн бұрын
A very strange channel.
@katiehettinger7857
@katiehettinger7857 24 күн бұрын
Anyone old enough to remember the Cold War knows nuclear weapons are useless in reality. How long would it take for any of Russia's neighbors to normalize relationships and resume trade? China, India, all the Russian friends in Africa or Middle East would fear being branded a pariah, being cut out of global trade and turn their backs on Russia as soon as the fist bomb blew.
@tomk3732
@tomk3732 23 күн бұрын
This guy is to facts as pig is to flying.
@markbryant4641
@markbryant4641 23 күн бұрын
@@tomk3732. Yeah. Bizarre. It's like listening to interviews with Ben Hodges. He was the highest ranking American NATO member in Europe but he has absolutely no idea about Russia, Putin, Russia's military strategies, Russia's M.I.C. capabilities, Russia's military equipment, Russia's economy... NOTHING!! It's unbelievable. I watch these experts get it wrong over and over and over again and wonder, are they really this incompetent? Or are they lying?
@reneblom2160
@reneblom2160 23 күн бұрын
@@tomk3732 Then you should rather watch Russian state TV, instead of wasting your time here. The facts being presented there are probably more to your liking. But Z-patriots seem to be constantly drawn towards YT-channels like this one, like moths are drawn towards a flame. Somehow, they simply can't stay away. 😆
@RickTheClipper
@RickTheClipper 24 күн бұрын
You are one of the best sources on YT. Always balanced, clear and informed
@b_lumenkraft
@b_lumenkraft 24 күн бұрын
True!
@MeBallerman
@MeBallerman 24 күн бұрын
He is spokesman of NATO. He's a Danish NATO officer, he can't say one word that contradicts anything that NATO, or the Danish govenrment, says. But he might be more well-spoken than the childish "reporters" you know from your own country, Edited for typos
@vikalmarentes4376
@vikalmarentes4376 24 күн бұрын
You guys are clueless. Weak minds
@zeljkopopovic2662
@zeljkopopovic2662 24 күн бұрын
@@MeBallerman Finally somebody using the brains. NATO is pushing planet towards nuclear abyss.
@rorychivers8769
@rorychivers8769 24 күн бұрын
@@MeBallerman Oh that's such a good argument, I had better watch RT for half an hour to balance out my opinion, there's no reason at all that Russia might want to twist the facts and bend the narrative when they are obviously doing so well
@residentgeardo
@residentgeardo 23 күн бұрын
This channel always delivers a calm analysis without the hysterical fear mongering of many media outlets. Really like the content! 👍
@StyleXtube
@StyleXtube 23 күн бұрын
You explain this so calmly and clearly, I needed this. Thank you.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
Recently a man was investigated by the russian police during a putin rally. The man said, "Putin gave me the happiest childhood you could ever have!" The policeman looked at him and said "You're 60, putin wasn't president when you were a child!" The man looked at him and said "yes! He wasn't there, this is why I had a happy childhood!"😂
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
@user873kak I'm still laughing about him screaming "Kyiv in 3 days"😂😂😂
@boxingsense3459
@boxingsense3459 24 күн бұрын
​@@dpelpal Putin never said Kyiv in 3 days. You can actually search the whole catalog of KZbin videos right now and you won't find it. That statement was said by western media over and over again.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
​@@boxingsense3459 Oh yes comrade and the MOSKVA still sails as well!!!😂
@BratBugarin
@BratBugarin 24 күн бұрын
It is fortunate that there are no such fools, like you, in Russia.
@boxingsense3459
@boxingsense3459 24 күн бұрын
@@dpelpal 😂😂😂 Yeah, and 20% of Ukraine is now under NATO control after more than $200 billion dollars.
@underdog578
@underdog578 24 күн бұрын
In order to preserve non proliferation countries must not only make it clear that they would respond strongly if one were used, but also clearly and transparently ignore nuclear blackmail. If we want to keep a lid on the number of nuclear powers, it must be clear to all countries that there are no real advantages to possessing them.
@geronimo5537
@geronimo5537 24 күн бұрын
Nato is amassing and stacking massive forces all over the western border of Russia. Of course Russia is going to be talking about deterrents.
@richdobbs6595
@richdobbs6595 24 күн бұрын
Yeah, but it is clear from North Korea that is advantageous to possess them if you are going to be isolated regardless. At least with the current dynamics, nuclear proliferation is going to occur. Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey are probably the current lineup. If Taiwan falls, you've got South Korea, Japan, and Indonesia.
@embreis2257
@embreis2257 23 күн бұрын
Anders didn't mention it but the US and president Biden already made it clear if Russia uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine, then the US will respond 'very strongly' to it (making sure Russia will regret having done it) and China too already signalled to Putin what will happen if he dares to use nuclear weapons
@embreis2257
@embreis2257 23 күн бұрын
@@richdobbs6595 Taiwan will be one of the first if Russia gets away with the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine - and China told Putin they won't like it one bit
@nommchompsky
@nommchompsky 23 күн бұрын
​@@embreis2257 That was my thinking. Taiwan, South Korea and, Japan probably have everything you need to start a nuclear program and detailed plans on how to get that program started ASAP. Both China and North Korea really don't want that to happen
@marcelholan6983
@marcelholan6983 23 күн бұрын
Thank you Anders, fantastic summary
@IAmTheAce5
@IAmTheAce5 24 күн бұрын
Russian Vatniks talk about nukes the way ‘billionare tech-bros talk about pods
@Thewestcoastshooter
@Thewestcoastshooter 24 күн бұрын
Bluffing. All day long. Dont give the bastards an inch. They will never stop.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
I think they stripped the parts out of most of their nuclear in the 1990s and sold them on ebay to get food money😂😂😂
@CyberBeep_kenshi
@CyberBeep_kenshi 24 күн бұрын
absolutely agree. call their bluff
@Thewestcoastshooter
@Thewestcoastshooter 24 күн бұрын
@@dpelpal As I understand it, they took whatever little funding they had and used it to maintain and even grow their nuclear deterrent as best they could during that time to the detriment of their conventional forces. I do not think Russias nuclear forces are are anything to scoff at... But im also certain they will not use them in this stage of the. conflict. Putin may be the lowest form of life on earth but hes not going to commit suicide.
@Thewestcoastshooter
@Thewestcoastshooter 24 күн бұрын
@@dpelpal As i understand it, they took whatever little funding they had and used it to maintain and even enhance a core of their nuclear deterrent. We should not underestimate their nuclear arsenal. Theyre still bluffing, but their nuclear forces are no joke.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
​@@Thewestcoastshooter They spent all the money on their military and it's still a complete joke? 😂
@HR_8035_YEA
@HR_8035_YEA 24 күн бұрын
When your bluff has been called a dozen times already, how effective is it any longer?
@ghostlightx9005
@ghostlightx9005 23 күн бұрын
"Wolf! Wolf! Wolf!"
@delboyg01
@delboyg01 23 күн бұрын
Foolish Western talking point. Our leaders don't seem to understand the difference between a 'warning' and a 'threat'.!!
@Omgiamsotriggered
@Omgiamsotriggered 23 күн бұрын
As long as they have nuclear arsenal u can never call a bluff.
@santoriniblue8413
@santoriniblue8413 23 күн бұрын
That is now called "strategic ambiguity". You never when the other side has set the thresholds of its red lines. Happened with Ukraine in 2008, 2014 and 2022. In all those occasions, the West ignored Russia's previous warnings, later followed by disbelief. The current Israeli-Iranian crisis is another example. Israel never expected such a reaction from Iran.
@ghostlightx9005
@ghostlightx9005 23 күн бұрын
@@santoriniblue8413 I think Israel did tbh. I mean the net result of that was Iran looking very stupid and embarrassed.
@stevendaugherty7590
@stevendaugherty7590 24 күн бұрын
Very interesting & informative video Mr Nielsen. Thank you for your analysis!
@johnboardman4820
@johnboardman4820 22 күн бұрын
Anders. Thank you. A very interesting and thought provoking insight. I love your videos. Muvh appreciated. John from UK
@blasterrax5621
@blasterrax5621 24 күн бұрын
TY Anders for your great videos. 🎉🎉❤
@PovlKvols
@PovlKvols 24 күн бұрын
Always good food for thought! Thank you for sharing, @Anders.
@chrislong3938
@chrislong3938 23 күн бұрын
Very well laid out! Thanks!
@CNCTEMATIC
@CNCTEMATIC 23 күн бұрын
Great presentation Anders, thank you.
@fraumahler5934
@fraumahler5934 24 күн бұрын
Thank you for this thoughtful perpective
@paulhaynes8045
@paulhaynes8045 24 күн бұрын
What a wonderfully argued explanation, I'm quite blown away by the way you simplify and explain such an overwhelming and worrying topic. I've long held the view that Putin will not (can not) use nuclear weapons, but never been able to argue clearly why, so it was a great relief to hear you break the question down with such clear and concise logic. Thank you.
@hasansarhan9296
@hasansarhan9296 24 күн бұрын
He will not if he does he will be faced with nuclae weapons from the west
@gazzarafalemozzy4766
@gazzarafalemozzy4766 24 күн бұрын
except the expert is full of contradictions...russia use nuke means russia weak..america NUKED 2 civillian japanese cities..so strong..PROPOGANDA
@fdllicks
@fdllicks 24 күн бұрын
Yep. I have watched him from day 1 of this war and he is spot on each time. The US president should hire him.
@Jimbo2193
@Jimbo2193 22 күн бұрын
After the US backed coup the whole issue for the Russians is security. if NATO enters Ukraine and install missiles...Russia has about 5 minutes to react. Whether you believe it or not Russia sees this as an existential threat and they most likely would use nuclear weapons if pressured. But contrary to what Anders says, Russia is winning and was always going to win. Obama warned against any conflict in Ukraine as the Russians ability to escalate was greater than NATO's. He was right.
@No_one_cares_about_Ukraine
@No_one_cares_about_Ukraine 22 күн бұрын
Nah
@RogerMillerInVA
@RogerMillerInVA 23 күн бұрын
I appreciate your analysis so much. Thank you for your insights.
@martinelzen5127
@martinelzen5127 23 күн бұрын
Hiya AP, thanks for this explanation.
@Chiller11
@Chiller11 24 күн бұрын
I look to this channel for the most consistently cogent analysis of the war in Ukraine.
@larsrons7937
@larsrons7937 24 күн бұрын
I agree.
@heatrayzvideo3007
@heatrayzvideo3007 23 күн бұрын
Telegraph Ukraine daily is recommended too
@tomk3732
@tomk3732 23 күн бұрын
Comedy - same as Denys.
@sot11cat
@sot11cat 23 күн бұрын
​@@tomk3732If this comedy, you are the circus clown.
@tomk3732
@tomk3732 23 күн бұрын
@@sot11cat No, video author is the performing clown - I am in the audience and I am in on the joke. You seem to not get it.
@alandoherty5237
@alandoherty5237 24 күн бұрын
Great video thank you
@craigbenson398
@craigbenson398 23 күн бұрын
Great points. Thanks for doing this.
@splzeug
@splzeug 23 күн бұрын
I really appreciate your insight and analysis of these important issues. You deliver the material well and are a true professional. Keep up the good work!
@tamasgyorffy1
@tamasgyorffy1 24 күн бұрын
Thanks! Important subject especially the closing sentences
@velox__
@velox__ 24 күн бұрын
Clear as ever Anders, thanks and keep it up
@MorfarsSprutFest
@MorfarsSprutFest 16 күн бұрын
This channel is great! Your analytics and knowledge is on top, thank you for contribution in these crazy times.
@Chimp_No_1
@Chimp_No_1 23 күн бұрын
Great analysis ! Thank you for sharing !
@ThePearsson
@ThePearsson 24 күн бұрын
Tack!
@jojjeja9371
@jojjeja9371 16 күн бұрын
You do understand Russia will Winn this war?
@ThePearsson
@ThePearsson 16 күн бұрын
@@jojjeja9371 Will never happen, Ukraine and the west will never trow away a world order since 1946 that would open up for dictatorships and, pure evil like Russia, China, North Korea and Iran to do as they want to their neighbors. Thats not even a possibility. Russia is weak and the sanctions bites like never before, we are slowly boiling the frog. Russia has all ready lost this war they just don’t understand it. Russia has a life line by China and India. A lufe line that will end the day the west says stop or we will not bye your gods anymore. These country’s are going down to if they don’t stop supporting the genocide in Ukraine. And if Ukraine would lose against all odds that means WW3 and boots on the ground for Nato. The west has has 30/1 in resources and military power and as you know the will to support Ukraine has gone up the last month. When Ukraine liberates their lands from the Russian Nazis, Russia will collapse. China will then take a big bite of Russia and all the country’s inside Russia that want to leave Russia, like the stolen parts of Georgia, Chechenia, and many other minority’s Russia will brake up in pieces. These regions hate Pution because he send them first as canon food and don’t pay their familys. And I don’t care what you heard at RT or some other Russian fake Nazi state media. You don’t invade other country’s thats a fact. 500 000 dead or wounded Russian soldiers 709-1800 dead a day compared to 100 000 dead UA-soldiers, a totally failed invasion of Ukraine, a Russian Black sea navy taken out by a country without a navy. And last Ukraine has all ready taken back 50%. Yes Russia will take some small grounds the upcoming weeks but then the US aid will arrive, and Europe are starting up the war production at the same time as Russias war industry will be blown to peaces now when the ban on bombing Russia with western weapons are lifted. Russia is weak and have all ready sold their soul to china. Putin is wanted iver half of the world, Nato has started to expend even more. The Russian economy and export is falling like a dead bird and you think Russia is winning 😂😂😂 Ukraine don’t need to win the war, they need to hold the line, Russia will destroy itself from the inside. Let’s see what happened now when 7 Nato country’s is about to send its soldiers in to Ukraine to release them to the front, and when the mobilization is on. Russia is digging its own grave in Ukraine just like they did in Afghanistan. We all know when Russia are afraid and we are doing something right and that when Russia starts threatening the worlds with nukes.
@Jemacaza
@Jemacaza 24 күн бұрын
Amazing video again. Your viewpoint on topics like these are very refreshing. Thank you for these very informative videos. 👍🏻
@Lamarck922
@Lamarck922 2 күн бұрын
Yeah, his viewpoint is refreshing and very wrongheaded. He has no idea what he's talking about. He's just a goofball with an opinion that happens to be wrong. Remember what they told you Ukraine was going to win Ukraine is going to be completely destroyed. They already have 500,000 dead people.
@jamesowens7176
@jamesowens7176 22 күн бұрын
Love your logical analysis of the situation as always! It really does help process the noise and see clearly! Please continue with your excellent work!
@jimdale9143
@jimdale9143 24 күн бұрын
Thoughtful and informative as always. Thank you!
@LukVik
@LukVik 24 күн бұрын
It is getting tiresome 😣 the nuclear ☢️ blackmail !!!!
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
And laughable lol. Last week putin threatened to nuke a McDonald's for getting his value meal order wrong
@God-ub8fn
@God-ub8fn 24 күн бұрын
Its not blackmail its a reaction ,warning to Nato trups if they put boots on ukraine and I BET they are serious
@JZsBFF
@JZsBFF 24 күн бұрын
Rather things being tiresome than things lightiing up in the dark.
@jeremybunn8473
@jeremybunn8473 24 күн бұрын
@@dpelpal Yes and the McDonald's is only 1 mile from his bunker.😄
@gazzarafalemozzy4766
@gazzarafalemozzy4766 24 күн бұрын
this expert is full of contradicing propoganda..russia cant use weapons without looking weak..yet america nuked 2 cities war crimes diud they also not look weak????????????????????????
@Rath-Angkor-Thom
@Rath-Angkor-Thom 24 күн бұрын
Thank you 😊
@rowanhaigh8782
@rowanhaigh8782 24 күн бұрын
Thank you for your excellent work. ❤
@PeanutsDadForever
@PeanutsDadForever 23 күн бұрын
Thank you for another excellent video!
@teddyhansen9178
@teddyhansen9178 22 күн бұрын
Fantastic explanation. Its the best nonnuclear picture I have ever seen. Thanks a lot.
@hamlinsondra
@hamlinsondra 23 күн бұрын
Thank you for your insight throughout this conflict. It's reassuring to find that there are sane people in the world.
@user-ck2hw8vz2z
@user-ck2hw8vz2z 23 күн бұрын
Excellent analyses...Thank You!!!
@stevenjohnston7809
@stevenjohnston7809 23 күн бұрын
Thanks for the video
@christopherseidl444
@christopherseidl444 24 күн бұрын
Thanks as always for such wonderful and structured analysis. I am visiting Denmark in July I hope to bump into you in Kopenhagen.
@TheFbiFilesRepeat
@TheFbiFilesRepeat 23 күн бұрын
Stalker
@krede77
@krede77 24 күн бұрын
Great video Anders . Can you do a video on hybrid warfare? . Why isn't the west responding to russian cyber attacks ?
@jooseppib1082
@jooseppib1082 24 күн бұрын
Hybrid or Cyber?
@BeardLAD
@BeardLAD 24 күн бұрын
The West are actively involved in hybrid warfare against their own nations… …The West = kleptocratic komrades ie the 1% are like a worm that got a taste for the apple they’ve all but gorged on the guts of. The non-supplicant members of the 99% need to establish a rational meritocratic capitalism with an aim for egalitarianism… …that Beautiful Undiscovered Country, which evil - in all its perversity - is repulsed by.
@falten2
@falten2 24 күн бұрын
How do you know they aren't responding or planning a response?
@krede77
@krede77 24 күн бұрын
@@falten2 obviously something is being done about it , but i would like to know more about how the west could/would handle that kind of attacks
@falten2
@falten2 24 күн бұрын
@@krede77 You did say that nothing was happening, hence my question. But your second post makes alot more sense. Guess we will just have to wait and see.. Im sure there is alot of cloak and dagger in this game.
@bethanyrae001
@bethanyrae001 23 күн бұрын
Great analysis. Thank you
@CamilleCullen-ow6qj
@CamilleCullen-ow6qj 24 күн бұрын
great video as always!
@ralphhardie7492
@ralphhardie7492 24 күн бұрын
Good one Insight and logic 🎉🎉🎉🎉 Thanks 🙏
@garyoconnor6131
@garyoconnor6131 24 күн бұрын
Love your analysis and how you look at things. Your oversight and insights are so high level.
@VitalityJolt
@VitalityJolt 24 күн бұрын
We got this Ukraine!🇺🇦
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
What is the difference between russian and English fairy tales? English fairy tales begin with "Once upon a time," but russian fairy tales begin with "It will be soon...." 🤣
@gagecee5129
@gagecee5129 24 күн бұрын
😂
@JamboniUk
@JamboniUk 24 күн бұрын
You got nothing
@bigboyhova
@bigboyhova 24 күн бұрын
You got palestine as well ja
@marinblaze
@marinblaze 24 күн бұрын
Ukraine lost the legs to stand on.
@luisekjeldsen1515
@luisekjeldsen1515 24 күн бұрын
Thats was very informative ,and about time someone talked about this. Thanks Anders !!
@mike_oe
@mike_oe 23 күн бұрын
Another great and clear-eyed analysis, thank you!
@UncleJoeLITE
@UncleJoeLITE 23 күн бұрын
Very well explained, thanks.
@richardmiddleton4634
@richardmiddleton4634 24 күн бұрын
I fail to see how using nuclear weapons in Ukraine is a win. For one I thought the point was to retake Ukraine. You can't occupy irradiated land. Also, the political fallout would be worse than from the bombs. Total embargo, kicked out of the UN, etc. It's hard to run a country when nobody will trade with you.
@intractablemaskvpmGy
@intractablemaskvpmGy 24 күн бұрын
You can occupy irradiated land. In fact, it may be easier to occupy irradiated land. Besides Russia doesn't want Ukraine but to control access to Russia, and that is in Western Ukraine and Poland. Remember people never stopped working at Chernobyl, and human activity has continued in the surrounding area to this very day. I think the threat of NATO responding if Putin does such a thing will prevent tactical nukes. I believe Sullivan or Kirby have already alluded to this last time he threatened
@pastuh
@pastuh 24 күн бұрын
hundred thousands dead and you can ask question if its holocoust.
@kjellrogerjgensen60
@kjellrogerjgensen60 24 күн бұрын
Russians so afraid of shadows they attac eweryone, they surely live in the past. As a result they repeat it themselves, and make shadows threathening. With their foggy logic they will newe feel safe. They are a victim of their own halusination.
@saltzkruber732
@saltzkruber732 24 күн бұрын
Nuclear weapons dont have as much radiation as people think and they would be detonated in the air so the radiation would not be absorbed as much into the ground, Japan was hit twice and safe to live in a very short time after
@nvelsen1975
@nvelsen1975 24 күн бұрын
The UN is defunct and no longer matters in any way, shape or form. Case in point: Hamas was just recognized as a country by the UN.
@eudaenomic
@eudaenomic 24 күн бұрын
Thank you for providing sanity and clarity.
@littlepea1325
@littlepea1325 21 күн бұрын
As usual greatly instructive
@TheDaveRout
@TheDaveRout 23 күн бұрын
I really appreciate your calm analysis
@IMBlakeley
@IMBlakeley 24 күн бұрын
Playing the nuke card would be inherently risky, the US has at least eight SSBN constantly at sea, the UK one, the French one any one of which could make a mess of Russia no one is winning if all that's left is a smoking cinder.
@obisanchez5286
@obisanchez5286 24 күн бұрын
Bullshit, Russia has none, right? Nitwit.
@geronimo5537
@geronimo5537 24 күн бұрын
Nato is amassing and stacking massive forces all over the western border of Russia. Of course Russia is going to be talking about deterrents.
@noahway13
@noahway13 24 күн бұрын
And how many Russian nuke subs?
@michaelillingworth6433
@michaelillingworth6433 24 күн бұрын
​@@noahway13I think you miss the point. Nobody wins in a nuclear exchange, it's MAD to think differently.
@IMBlakeley
@IMBlakeley 24 күн бұрын
@@noahway13 Allegedly 4 or 5 at sea, given their maintenance prob 1/2 that.
@thomaskrenn3808
@thomaskrenn3808 24 күн бұрын
as always: clear thoughts evolved
@andrewhumphries4029
@andrewhumphries4029 23 күн бұрын
Nice, objective, clear analysis. Thank you
@davidbowie1996
@davidbowie1996 20 күн бұрын
Thanks!
@AirB-101
@AirB-101 24 күн бұрын
Thank you Sir!
@kirk34
@kirk34 24 күн бұрын
👍👊
@dunwitch
@dunwitch 22 күн бұрын
Excellent analysis
@ronb8066
@ronb8066 17 күн бұрын
Excellent and down to earth analysis, probably the best on Russian nukes I have heard so far.
@deckearns
@deckearns 24 күн бұрын
Who wants to deploy nukes on their doorstep? That's nuts.
@mirror452
@mirror452 24 күн бұрын
The nukes would actually not target Ukraine.
@johannesvalterdivizzini1523
@johannesvalterdivizzini1523 23 күн бұрын
Putano cares not one iota for anybody, including his own people. "Nuts" or not, that's the reality we have.
@cookiecola5852
@cookiecola5852 23 күн бұрын
@@johannesvalterdivizzini1523, for Putin this is a game of who can be the craziest...
@yamaneko-ex8fy
@yamaneko-ex8fy 24 күн бұрын
Thank you for your explenation. Since the start of the full scale war against Ukraine I thought briefly about this nuclear threat and then decided that it is a bluff. Glad my own thoughts about that are about the same as your. I wish your explenation would be broadcasted by the mass media as far too many people still fall for it.
@delboyg01
@delboyg01 21 күн бұрын
People seem to be mistaking a warning for a threat. Contrary to what the video states, Putin nor anyone else has spoken about using nukes in Ukraine, why would they? They are doing fine on the battlefield, it is Ukraine which is getting devastated. Putin's warning was about the use of NATO weapons to attack Russian territory, the warning is that it risks Russia considering the country which supplied the weapons as a party to the war, then there will be no problem to hit them on home soil, using whatever weapons they deem fit. In that situation everyone seems to jump direct to nukes, but Russia has a lot of none nuke missiles, able to avoid NATO air defences and strike anywhere in Europe.
@q-tuber7034
@q-tuber7034 23 күн бұрын
Great analysis, as usual
@racebiketuner
@racebiketuner 21 күн бұрын
You make some good points.
@diverboy70
@diverboy70 24 күн бұрын
When Saurons orchs are performing badly on the battlefield you can see two sure signs, 1. Sauron ratteling his nuke threats and 2. the photos of Sauron are looking more like Gollum, when he is losing his ring (Ukraine) in the River.
@tsugumorihoney2288
@tsugumorihoney2288 24 күн бұрын
Till today we have only 1 country which used nukes against enemies and it were not "evil empire" of USSR/Russia, it made light democratic USA, just remember it
@joeperkowski
@joeperkowski 24 күн бұрын
@@tsugumorihoney2288so
@davidsawyer1599
@davidsawyer1599 24 күн бұрын
​@tsugumorihoney2288 ,absolutely remember. The point was to end that instantly. Save millions of lives using conventional warfare. Your point is taken as it is. Hello Bot!
@nicklindberg90
@nicklindberg90 24 күн бұрын
​@@davidsawyer1599it's nice of the bots to undermine their own arguments lol
@tsugumorihoney2288
@tsugumorihoney2288 24 күн бұрын
@@davidsawyer1599 so according to your logic, Russia must use nuke to end war fast and same millions of lives?
@kreur
@kreur 24 күн бұрын
Non-proliferation part is obvious, but when it comes to selling use of nuclear weapons to domestic audience cant Putin simply say something like it is to save lives of Russian soldiers that would otherwise die trying to "denazify" Ukraine using conventional means? He can point out that it worked for USA in WW2 and blame west for escalation as usual.
@pierman4858
@pierman4858 23 күн бұрын
Non proliferation wasn't the issue back then it is today. It was assumed the Russians would get the bomb no matter what.
@nic.h
@nic.h 22 күн бұрын
Russia's own policy on the use of nuclear weapons would not consider that a valid situation for there use
@pRahvi0
@pRahvi0 22 күн бұрын
@@nic.h Putin has already been a president many times longer than Russian laws would've allowed when he started. Turns out he can just change the laws when he feels like it. That said, even he can't do that without some preparation, which is where he could potentially be overthrown if the change is too unpopular.
@nic.h
@nic.h 22 күн бұрын
@@pRahvi0 yes fair point dictators don't tend to care about rules
@mejon5498
@mejon5498 19 күн бұрын
Well said.
@chrismartin5662
@chrismartin5662 24 күн бұрын
Putin's like a schoolyard kid saying he'll get his big brother just because he's losing
@ashton1952
@ashton1952 23 күн бұрын
Have you looked into what independent journalists are reporting? Maybe it's a good idea.
@nathanhazlehurst484
@nathanhazlehurst484 23 күн бұрын
Losing? Ok you guy's have lost all credibility. See ya!
@brianrichardson3331
@brianrichardson3331 23 күн бұрын
He’s not losing
@-Highlander-42
@-Highlander-42 23 күн бұрын
@@nathanhazlehurst484 What he is winning?. tell me...
@-Highlander-42
@-Highlander-42 23 күн бұрын
@@brianrichardson3331 What he is winning tell me?. He lost land sinds the start of the invasion..He lose men and armor everyday at a high rate. what he get back for it?. check the land he lost 2023 after the gain 2022 after a attack ukraine did not now...U look the war map now. What diod Putin win?. Tell me....Nothing!!. In this rate it will take 80 a 100 years..
@hansleijonmarck9768
@hansleijonmarck9768 24 күн бұрын
I too feel this time around of nuclear blackmail it is a sign of weakness.
@tomk3732
@tomk3732 23 күн бұрын
Strong nations send warning first.
@Jimbo2193
@Jimbo2193 22 күн бұрын
@@tomk3732 which they have done.. agree.
@blackterminal
@blackterminal 24 күн бұрын
Thank you.
@classifiedsecret6383
@classifiedsecret6383 2 күн бұрын
I am seriously impressed with your logic and reasoning. To the extent that I will even forgive you for wearing a tie. (lol) Seriously though, keep up the good work! Cheers
@1Fmarcel
@1Fmarcel 24 күн бұрын
It's all very logic, unfortunately Putin isn't.
@sogerc1
@sogerc1 24 күн бұрын
But what is the thing that Putin can't destroy with an Iskander but if he destroyed it with a nuke would restore Russia's superpower status? I can't think of anything.
@pierman4858
@pierman4858 23 күн бұрын
When it comes to his own survival as dictator of Russia he is logical. Of course from the perspective of the people of Russia not.
@user-tc1by7un3k
@user-tc1by7un3k 24 күн бұрын
Thank you 👍🇺🇦❤
@haroldsmith45302
@haroldsmith45302 22 күн бұрын
Thank you for this rational and articulate explanation.
@itwasntme9687
@itwasntme9687 23 күн бұрын
Thank you very much for sharing your thoughts with, it's always helpful! 💙💛
@nerdynautilus5373
@nerdynautilus5373 24 күн бұрын
Did the USA use nuclear weapons against Japan from a position of weakness?
@tessaninetails8065
@tessaninetails8065 22 күн бұрын
Nobody else had them at the time so there was no risk of retaliation. And yes, they kinda did. The US didn't want to accept Japans terms for surrender, didn't want to fight a prolonged war in Japan and wanted to end the Soviet advance into Asia
@marcusmoonstein242
@marcusmoonstein242 24 күн бұрын
A clear sign of desperation on Russia's part. It just means that Ukraine is winning.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
Does this mean they're not going to take "Kyiv in THREE DAYS!"? 🤭
@JamboniUk
@JamboniUk 24 күн бұрын
Explain that about America nuking Japan? Huh? shush up skimpy.
@JZsBFF
@JZsBFF 24 күн бұрын
Because at some point in time Ukraine will be drained of manpower and will lose this war of attrition, NATO will have to decide to put boots on the ground, That's why Russia calls Wolf so now and then, they know that victory will slip away from them when NATO shows up.
@scottfay3553
@scottfay3553 24 күн бұрын
Are you insane? Ukraine has 600,000 kia. Losing ground everyday . Ukraine hasn't took any territory since september 2022. American and Ukraine Generals and Nato leaders admit this. Stop falling for propaganda
@ChrisM541
@ChrisM541 24 күн бұрын
@phaedrussocrates7636
@phaedrussocrates7636 24 күн бұрын
Thank you
@pamelahalstead
@pamelahalstead 24 күн бұрын
Anders, you are both brilliant and so articulate. We await your every broadcast! Greetings from Connecticut USA!
@loudtim265
@loudtim265 24 күн бұрын
I watched a video yesterday where Russia was making nuclear threats, from 2016.
@petersinclair3997
@petersinclair3997 23 күн бұрын
Threats go back to the USSR.
@Ukie88
@Ukie88 24 күн бұрын
Let’s hope it never happens. call the bluff now . F16s now. Blackmail.
@zacklewis342
@zacklewis342 24 күн бұрын
F-16s already happened dummy. The process is well underway.
@RajuDas-qu1li
@RajuDas-qu1li 23 күн бұрын
Helpful indeed!
@TheDarkSnaffle
@TheDarkSnaffle 23 күн бұрын
Great video!
@lindamann4212
@lindamann4212 24 күн бұрын
They must be losing (again).
@suliemanalfuhaid1447
@suliemanalfuhaid1447 23 күн бұрын
You should make a video about the new Kharkiv offensive
@tomk3732
@tomk3732 23 күн бұрын
Oh yes, take popcorn and watch the comedian.
@markojuric4954
@markojuric4954 23 күн бұрын
He doesn't need to make a video, I already know how he would say in the video that the Russian offensive on Kharkov failed and Russians have huge losses . . . :)
@megawutt
@megawutt 23 күн бұрын
Would you watch this? This guy is a moron!
@kennethpedersen335
@kennethpedersen335 23 күн бұрын
As usual, a great video
@chrismackenzie4789
@chrismackenzie4789 23 күн бұрын
Brilliant show
@usmarine4636
@usmarine4636 24 күн бұрын
The dogs are barking Sancho, is a sign that we are moving on !!! Let the dogs bark 😂😂😂
@ewok40k
@ewok40k 24 күн бұрын
Only time nuclear weapons were used, were against country losing the war already, having no allies, and with no way to retaliate. All the opposite is true of Ukraine.
@obelic71
@obelic71 24 күн бұрын
Its seems to be a stalemate like in WW1 and nobody is winning at the moment.
@blacklion8208
@blacklion8208 24 күн бұрын
...And we know the effects now... So, it's useless crying about it unless you are going to use them hint hint russia
@danm9006
@danm9006 24 күн бұрын
Yes, Japan was losing the war when the nuclear weapons were used. But, the situation in 1945 was different than 2024, for many reasons. It's not fair to make comparisons.
@antebratincevic6764
@antebratincevic6764 24 күн бұрын
@@danm9006 Yes, now situation is worse due to total capacity of the nuclear weapons
@lucotonico
@lucotonico 23 күн бұрын
​@danm9006 lol the comparisons is not fair just because the US was the one Using it lol😂?
@peterderidder9922
@peterderidder9922 23 күн бұрын
Thanks
@cwallcw
@cwallcw 23 күн бұрын
Love ur stuff, but we’ve been down this road a few times in this “war”, same ole same ole.
@wh8787
@wh8787 21 күн бұрын
I think one of the key points is that the Chinese government would be absolutely furious. Being a pariah in the west is one thing, being isolated from China is quite another.
@Tonik-13
@Tonik-13 21 күн бұрын
What does China have to do with it?
@wh8787
@wh8787 20 күн бұрын
@@Tonik-13 loads. The Russian economy is increasingly dependent on China. President Xi, while being pretty supportive of the Russian government has been fairly explicit that any use of nuclear weapons would be unacceptable. The Chinese government doesn't want to see any kind of nuclear war, limited or otherwise for a variety of reasons. China is also pretty obviously the senior partner in any kind of alliance or partnership between Russia and China, having a vastly larger economy, military, population, etc. the only thing Russia really has over China now is access to natural resources and a far larger nuclear arsenal. That said China is expanding and modernising its own nuclear arsenal. The Chinese government certainly doesn't want to see a world where every country with the economic and scientific capacity pursues a nuclear weapons program. They already have to contend with dubious situations of Pakistan and India sabre rattling on their frontier and the DPRK with a nuclear arsenal threatening their neighbours every so often (though this was presumably pursued with Beijing's knowledge and blessing).
@Tonik-13
@Tonik-13 20 күн бұрын
@@wh8787 Buddy, you have written so much but not a single fresh thought, try to say something that is not common knowledge for a change. But still you made a mistake, Russia and China are indeed interconnected, but you overestimate China's influence on Russia. China has no power over Russia, that is the essence of the relationship between these two countries, unlike the west they preach sovereignty, and non-interference in the internal affairs of the country. Of course Russia will take into account China's opinion, but Russia will ensure its own security as it sees fit and will act at its own discretion, in its own interests and China can't and won't do anything about it. Even if it doesn't like something.
@pnwdrifter5680
@pnwdrifter5680 18 күн бұрын
@@Tonik-13 China doesn't rule Russia, this much is true. However, in a nuclear scenario, China, and many other states would no longer do trade with Russia, the Russian economy and perhaps russia itself would collapse. This would be unacceptable to the oligarchs, would see to it that Putin would be strung up. Russia can pretend it doesn't need China, but it does need China, now more than ever, and in that way, China has considerable influence of Russia.
@Tonik-13
@Tonik-13 18 күн бұрын
@@pnwdrifter5680 What kind of trade are you talking about? In the nuclear scenario, there will be no trade at all, there will be no one to trade. The West very often talks about the possible use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine. It seems that the West dreams about this and wants to provoke Russia to take this step. But I will tell you one secret - there are no targets for nuclear weapons in Ukraine. The Russian weapons of the apocalypse are aimed at the real enemies of Russia. And if it comes to its application, Russia will be least concerned about trade and China's opinion...
@neilcook4686
@neilcook4686 24 күн бұрын
Mange tak 😊
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