MINI LECTURE 17: Maximum Ignorance Probability (a bit more technical)

  Рет қаралды 11,189

N N Taleb's Probability Moocs

N N Taleb's Probability Moocs

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 25
@balloonredd
@balloonredd 9 ай бұрын
taleb and good audio quality are like oil and water
@QqQ-h5h
@QqQ-h5h 9 ай бұрын
ahahahahahahahh
@QqQ-h5h
@QqQ-h5h 9 ай бұрын
that's what fuck you money do you to.
@trolley2327
@trolley2327 9 ай бұрын
😂😂😂😂😂
@pedromacedo6202
@pedromacedo6202 9 ай бұрын
😂😂😂😂
@MassimoPiacere
@MassimoPiacere 7 ай бұрын
It's by design. NNT spoke about this.
@Tretyakov_Kirill
@Tretyakov_Kirill 9 ай бұрын
Dear Nassim. Your discovery and your evolutionary tool are amazing. I have just started to familiarize myself with your work, but I have seen how the world and human beings can be transformed if they really start working and living with this knowledge. For me, the word "anti-fragility" has become "grace". and "blessing" and, of course, evolution. I myself am from the niche of fitness and sports and as you understand I have long seen the fragility of this system. And I was able to make a scientific discovery in the field of physiology. I discovered a model of human movement. And I also got a tool - an algorithm to use it in practice. You may be surprised, but the scheme is Leonardo Da Vinci's drawing of a Vitruvian man. It turns out that this is not only an ideal manual for artists. He was able to put so much more into this work. He literally showed in what conditions and how our body and its capabilities can work. It's brilliantly simple, and it gives you so many possibilities. All that's left is to pass it on to people and teach them how to use it. Then the world will change in the best way, a human being will get an opportunity for evolution. If we translate this to your discovery and apply the "triad" tool. Now: body maintenance, training, rehabilitation, posture modification, and achieving any goals related to movement. Fragile will be : intuitive approach and training on all current systems and methods in fitness, from weight lifting to stretching, working with a neutral pelvis, etc. ; invulnerable will be : only accepting or knowing the human movement model and applying it in daily life, or working on the model with a small weight or your own. And anti-fragile will be : applying the model and working with maximum weights. Which of course will not give fatal results, but if the conditions are met, it will give incredible, multiple results. Now I ask your permission to agitate and train people to use your tool. The opportunity to sell your books. By promoting your KZbin channel. And I'd like to ask for your help. I need a black swan to ferret out the charlatans. Who are feigning delusions and false miracles - fooling the stupid majority. I need media attention and public involvement. I need an event. At this point, I have a finished product to educate trainers/rehabilitation therapists/doctors and massage therapists/and answer all movement related questions. Moreover there are no questions left for all sports . The model gives answers to all morphological questions for each sport (i.e. what to do and what not to do to achieve maximum results, without doing anything unnecessary, leaving intuition altogether). I can explain what are dangerous and ineffective current fitness equipment. And accordingly I can create the world's best training machines, which cannot be improved in terms of biomechanics. In the future they will only be copied by changing the design. And further conduct info business and help people around the world to know their capabilities and learn how to properly maintain their bodies. I dream of working with you in a team. And I can dream about any kind of cooperation. My mission is to give people evolution and make them invulnerable or anti-fragile to any changeability.
@EmissaryOfSmeagol
@EmissaryOfSmeagol 9 ай бұрын
Friends, All you have to do is turn up the volume!
@brycet1505
@brycet1505 9 ай бұрын
yeah, let me plug it into my guitar amplifier.
@johndavidkromkowski816
@johndavidkromkowski816 5 ай бұрын
A different proposed solution: For 61st surgery, let's ASSUME failure. 1/61 =~ 0.016 Pretty close to Taleb estimate without a lot of work. But, I think still incorrect. You have urn of red and white beads. You draw 61 beads, 1 is red and 60. What should one estimate is portion of reds in the urns is? Well non-zero with upper bound of 1/61 + 3*sqrt[(1-1/61)*(1/61)/61] =~ 0.065 with 99.7% confidence interval.
@abnermacola
@abnermacola 9 ай бұрын
the audio is really low. can you reupload it?
@shahrukhiqbal9359
@shahrukhiqbal9359 9 ай бұрын
Anyone complaining about sound quality has not read Taleb!
@RexRamos-fz9eq
@RexRamos-fz9eq 9 ай бұрын
Maximum ignorance… 50-50 & uncertain myself…and not thinking of what the most common observation would actually be. It was win or lose? My observation
@RexRamos-fz9eq
@RexRamos-fz9eq 9 ай бұрын
Just don’t wear the kango
@RexRamos-fz9eq
@RexRamos-fz9eq 9 ай бұрын
I’m talking during your lecture 😅
@abduallh90
@abduallh90 9 ай бұрын
I can barely hear you professor could you upload a clearer voice version
@MihaiNicaMath
@MihaiNicaMath 9 ай бұрын
Adobe has a great audio voice enhancer that eliminates background noise etc!
@abduallh90
@abduallh90 9 ай бұрын
@@MihaiNicaMath do for us a favor and fix the voice with adobe because not everyone has it. It is paid app.
@MihaiNicaMath
@MihaiNicaMath 9 ай бұрын
@@abduallh90 The sound fixer thing is free on their website (no app needed)!!!! (Up to 30 min of sound fixed per day) Sorry, should have mentioned in original post. You would need to download the sound though, but would be a good solution for the next video if sound is an issue
@jackcarpenters3759
@jackcarpenters3759 9 ай бұрын
My bet would be 1 in 122 is deadly. The average of deadly at patient 61 or never deadly. So that's 0,82% close enough 🙂
@ab3zradsjkhdsagwqiu
@ab3zradsjkhdsagwqiu 9 ай бұрын
He does it on purpose
@andrecarvalho1594
@andrecarvalho1594 9 ай бұрын
the goal is to induce antifragility to our hearing sense
@AnamHira11
@AnamHira11 9 ай бұрын
its a feature not a bug type beat
@timothywong4485
@timothywong4485 7 ай бұрын
Promo>SM 👀
@macraghneall6883
@macraghneall6883 9 ай бұрын
:)
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