OVER 1.5 GOALS STRATEGY - BetFair Football Trading

[@FirstHandFinances]

Hey Guys! Please let me know what content you want to see next I'm open to anything!

[@jamesmcdevitt5327]

This is a good one instead of match v match look at manager v manager head to head stats that’s even better . But I can’t seem to get the head head table anywhere

[@FirstHandFinances]

Keep an eye out for Thursday I’ve got a site with more stats that you’ll ever dream of!

[@jamesmcdevitt5327]

@@FirstHandFinances ok cool something to take my mind of the dentist lol

[@FirstHandFinances]

Oh nice, hopefully it goes all well bro!

[@burpeesandbells]

Nice presentation...I'll give it a try 👍👍

[@W4ndererBen]

This has been my "go to" strategy for a while now. Honestly, it is worth waiting 5-10 mins after the goal goes in rather than cashing out straight away especially if you have managed to get all of your stake matched before the goal 💥

[@FirstHandFinances]

Good tip! Feel like I always worry that another goal is going straight in but you’re right if you’ve already got your stake then may as well wait

[@fly757able]

Thanks this worked for me I placed 4 trades on 4 matches made a profit on all 4 cashed out on the last one and then a goal went in. Ah well. Taking into account of variance you are going to win. Thanks once again love the channel ! Simple and works :-)

[@BenjaminK123]

I love the over 1.5 and really feel i have cracked it, heres what i do, i will spend an hour in the morning looking at the games being played that day and pick ones that how a high chance of goals generally 1.5 then ill have my list all loaded in bet angel and then just work my way through them i enter the over 1.5 at 1.49 then at around 2.1 i out the rest of my stake on i will trade out at 70 minutes for a loss or if a goal goes in i will take the green and get out of there. this is so simple to do and gerneally brings me about £200 a week using small £50 stakes split into 2, the reason this took me so long to make work was the human factor theres many times there you will get lots of wins then your hyped up and starting boosting your stakes then it goes worng you will also miss many games as goals will go in before you get matched at 1.49 and this can play with the head and make you feel like your missing so you might just jump in the over 2.5 think shit there must be another goal and not your just not thinking right and theres other little things like not sticking to the entry and exit plan and even now theres somes trades i dont like the feel off and exit early but the goal comes and i didnt neede to take the loss. if i have 15 games loaded i will generally get on 5 of them becuse of early goals but thats fine. its a slow build up not every day is a profit out of the month i may have 3 days that are at a loss and it will take me about 2 days to bring that loss back but i just trade the same i dont up my stakes are anything like that and i know by the end of the week i will be fine again just by sticking to the process. The reason this works is you have the odds on your side firstly the starting odds on allot of my games are super low like 1.12 meaning its very likly there will be goals but once your 20 minutes into the match them odds will get upto the 1.49 asking price in my eyes that is higher then it should be as the goals will still come they just have not come instantly also most goals go in during 20 to 70 minutes and thats the window your in but at a much better price. the strike right is stupid high.

[@0kimbc28]

So if you get in at 1.49 and the first goal goes in before 70 minutes and you have not made your second bet, do you just cash out? I assume you wouldn't wait for the odds to hit 2.1 again for the second bet? Wouldn't you do better if you let your first bet run , expecting the second goal to go in? Thanks in advance

[@billyhawkins9273]

How many games per week do you do? Bank roll amount around £2000+ I'd imagine...

[@tomleach1428]

With football trading you want to have a opening position and a closing position thought out before you place the first trade I the past I've lost trades because I've been sitting there after a goal has gone in in a ltd(lay the draw) getting greedy then the game ends a draw so I suggest getting out at the moment a goal is scored The idea of trading is to make a profit if u are sitting there waiting for the bet to win it's no longer a trade but a bet

[@FirstHandFinances]

Completely agree!

[@V_Kint.]

Bro , you seem very honest person and great guy . Thanks for the tips in this strategy . I appreciate it .

[@FirstHandFinances]

Thank you man!

[@steerpike2781]

Hi, an interesting strategy Do you have any suggestions on match and/or team selections or do you say; have a look on reputable stats sites for the U/O's etc and then look to the Exchange U/O markets and perhaps the AH markets as a guide to see what the market expects? TIA

[@FirstHandFinances]

I do normally just look at stats sites, but honestly I haven’t really figured out a good match selection technique yet, best thing to do is just watch the games live and use your own judgement

[@calmandtranquility9668]

down to earth and straight forward. defiantly a sub

[@FirstHandFinances]

Thank you! If you’ve ever got a request give me a shout!

[@calmandtranquility9668]

@@FirstHandFinances will do mate, love the live trades.

[@phoenixstudios7520]

Hey there, thanks for this informative video. I was wondering, since in my country all betting exchanges like betfair are not allowed, can this strategy work with bookie sites?

[@martintubbs4814]

Thanks for content, interested to see which of these trading strats you think has the highest EV. Quick question can you do this on any exchange? Belfair has commission so you lose some of your winnings right?

[@FirstHandFinances]

Yep you can do it on any exchange, Betfair takes 5% Smarkets takes 2%, but I’ve just always used Betfair so feel comfortable with it and with me only trading £10 it doesn’t make too much of a difference

[@cupidstunt70]

@@FirstHandFinances Betfair is 2% commission if you select that option in their rewards scheme.

[@FirstHandFinances]

Thank you for this, someone pointed it out to be a few days ago, I’d always recommend lower commission but for me who doesn’t do loads of trading, I like the little benefit of having some free spins and an Accra each month. Thanks you for your comment! If you’ve got any requests for videos or any tips then just let me know :)

[@bassaseven]

Thanks for this really explained well! Will try it out 😄 One that I do is 0-0 HT over 0.5 odds 1.51 which works well for me!

[@FirstHandFinances]

Great tip! I'll definitely look into that and thank you :)

[@jamesmcdevitt5327]

I’m doing a Turkish game at the moment still 00 60 min 1.45 terrible odds

[@jamesmcdevitt5327]

A Israel game 0/0 halt time 1.40

[@bassaseven]

@@jamesmcdevitt5327 Try multiple 00 HT with 2 games odds will be better ok 😉

[@jamesmcdevitt5327]

@@bassaseven thanks this is so hard keep hitting the 00

[@gleniotreichel3347]

subscribed, i came for betfair videos, stay safe.

[@FirstHandFinances]

Cheers for the support! If you ever have any requests just give me a shout!

[@MrDominic152]

Good video... Have you tried Smarkets for between 0-2% commission.

[@FirstHandFinances]

I have looked into it yea, but with Betfair you can select 2% commission! And I do normally prefer Betfair but I know both have their pros and cons!

[@CGboxingBets]

Nice 1 mate, could do some betting tipsters there’s a few about like the betting man, or mr tipster

[@FirstHandFinances]

Definitely something I can look into doing for a week!

[@reinhardgolatsch604]

Nice strategy I simple Play on multiple Results on Games Thats also more save couse u have all options Picking games with a favorite to win max 1.50 not under And then I put on this game simple results Mostly 2:1 1:1 2:0 and 1:2 non of this results pays under 6-7 odds and the 1-2 to the outsider team is about 14-20 odds !

[@FirstHandFinances]

Nice! Very interesting strategy I'll be sure to give it a go sometime!

[@YaNykyta]

And again :)) 25, 25, 50. Or 4 portions of Match budget (because that is not stake but budget!): 21%, 23%, 26%, 30%. But I am doing that per all match and some other market. Perhaps 3 portions are more than enough for one half.

[@robinwilliams925]

Hi mate , I'm just getting into this and I think I need to settle down and maybe stick to one strategy instead of trying lots of different ones ! Is there one that you would recommend a beginner who's been enjoying sports betting for years but is new to trading ... cheers

[@FirstHandFinances]

I'd definitely go for either under 2.5 goals, or laying the draw - I do recommend just learning one or two early on, and keep your stakes low at the start - let me know how you get on!

[@YaNykyta]

You should try next: 30% -> 30% -> 40%, Smaller loss if any, and larger max profit (if any). Simple: invest more money to buy the most profitable odds (in your case: >4). Profit gain: about 7%.

[@FirstHandFinances]

I’ll definitely give it a try!

[@marcusfranconium3392]

over 0.5 goals work just fine just wait a minute or 2 the odds rise ad then you back. easy money

[@MAXIMILAN2QAT]

+1👍

[@finalting5049]

Can you do a video about Clickworker and Lionbridge? Might be worth combining the two because apparently the amount of tasks you can do vary. If you google "clickworker make money online" and "lionbridge make money online" you should find the details

[@FirstHandFinances]

Yes of course! - Cheers for the suggestion I'll get on it!

[@mathewevans7535]

Awesome mate cheers!

[@theowleater]

Yesterday i laid under 3.5 goals on all the English games in the national league that were 0.0 at half time, 8 games and odds were 1.11 down to 1.04 so very little liability and 4 of the 8 games finished with over 3.5 and another had 3 goals, only had 1 from 7 the week before but still made a profit just letting them all run until the end

[@sjewitt22]

Just tried this for the first time in the Italy v Spain game, Italy score after I\d put my first lot in, so not huge profit, but profit is always good.

[@sjewitt22]

I'd guess if it's not 0-0 or 1-0 at half time, then this isn't as good to do, as 4 goal matches are way rarer than 1,2,3 goal matches.

[@sc5200]

Yuo will get to heavens. You are the honest person. Thank you.

[@FirstHandFinances]

Thank you :)

[@Scott_Raynor]

If you're thinking in terms of "I think there's going to be a goal" or "I think there isn't going to be a goal", then stop throwing your money away. The question is "what is the chance that there will be a goal?", not "will there/won't there be a goal?"

[@vidsime3910]

Can the bookers limit your account if you making around 2000$ profit every month and losing 2 bets on every week that means I’m betting 7 days a week with one 1 bet every day and I’m losing 2 bets every week but still making profit at the end?

[@fer10marco]

not if you are betting in the exchange, they dont care about that only if u win at the sportsbook, then ur account will be limited

[@alandimery3379]

Just came across this. Nice vid er I and interesting. Can you tell me please, can I do this with Smarkets or does it have to be Betfair?

[@FirstHandFinances]

Thanks man! Doesn't just have to be with BetFair you can use smarkets or any betting exchange!

[@cunningflop]

strategy: pick randomly and hope for the best

[@FirstHandFinances]

Not quite ahah

[@igor9360]

It's easy to make a profit live because odds are not representing what's happening on the pitch. For example there could be a game with a lot of chances, and minute after minute odds on over 6 Will go up. So find a game with a lot of opportunities and bet over after 15-20 minutes. It's best to watch game live and usually you can see where there will be a goal, goal is to place a bet just before goal is scored so you don't get too low odds

[@sangphamminh431]

Could i bet back all three options 1x2 in same match

[@FirstHandFinances]

I suppose you could yes, but I’d always recommend trying to keep it as simple as possible

[@lucacrl8728]

Non è bloccato ora Exchange??

[@mvdpropertyservices7500]

Love the videos and content but need to condense the talking as kept skipping to the main bit. Just a tip.

[@FirstHandFinances]

Thanks man! Cheers for the tip - still fairly new but hopefully I'll get better!

[@sjewitt22]

Why do people pay 5% instead of the 2% commission with betfiar?

[@FirstHandFinances]

There’s some extra bonuses you get such as like a free Acca but since I’ve heard about the 2% option I have moved it across

[@mohamedismail-vp5gz]

please help me wanna add a new tipster to my list but it is too expensive

[@omalnoah8802]

how can I go through,cos have been lossing money

[@atz075]

Use software hedge £ would be greater.

[@zaklloyd4335]

With many games, when there's loads of action and the goal is early enough, hedging immediately is - in my opinion - not ideal. Look at the graphs. The price, after the plunge, can stay pretty much stationary for 5-6 minutes. I researched 30,000 matches and over 2,200 had another goal within that 5-6m minute window. You might take a 5% hit on profits by waiting an extra five minutes, but you'll make 100% more profits 1 in 14 times. Especially important - as you say - to get out with software.

[@tdew12]

@@zaklloyd4335 Nice research Zak, very useful to know.