Prepare for S&P 6000 (And Higher) In The Coming Years-Long Bull Market | Ed Yardeni

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Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

Күн бұрын

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Stocks have delivered a great ride over the past year and a half.
That has attracted retail investors back into the markets with a vengeance. Household equity ownership is currently near an all-time high.
Does this bull market still have plenty of room left to run?
And if so, what are the skeptics misunderstanding?
For insight, we have the good fortune to turn to Dr. Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research.
While not dismissive of the many potential risks to the market's momentum, Ed maintains price targets on the S&P 500 index of 5,400 for 2024 (we're nearly there, so he may need to raise it soon), 6,000 for 2025 and 6,500 for 2026.
Follow Ed at yardeni.com/ or yardeniquicktakes.com/
#bullmarket #ai #cloudcomputing
_____________________________________________
Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Solicitor.
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Пікірлер: 320
@adam.taggart
@adam.taggart Ай бұрын
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@heldaneurbanus5135
@heldaneurbanus5135 Ай бұрын
I greatly appreciate the effort to bring optimists to the discussion and he raised some great points about mid-caps and private equity. However, this is not the first time Dr. Yardeni gives prognosis with so much as the bare minimum evidence or reasoning to support it. Not to mention his frequent self-contradiction without any nuance or indication of probability. He also diminished the 90s/00s internet development to "word and excel" - apparently forgetting the internet, email, VOIP, skype, Cisco, Amazon (not to mention the major changes with Microsoft and Apple more generally) as if they had no impact on productivity. Not to mention conflating markets and the economy. I expect better of someone who holds a PhD. I hold one, I back up my arguments with data and some explanation of my thinking. This is not up to the standard of your other guests.
@fiets38
@fiets38 Ай бұрын
I love how at the end Ed says "If you look at the data, paychecks keep getting more and better etc." And then immediately follows up with "From personal experience, my kids can't afford to live without me personally supporting them." If paychecks keep getting more and everything keeps getting better, how come the younger generations keep getting less and less money at their disposal?
@standinginthegap7118
@standinginthegap7118 Ай бұрын
Because laws are tilted toward old people
@daytonkohler9069
@daytonkohler9069 Ай бұрын
Because wages are a price. They are the price of labor. Inflation is making them rise just like everything else.
@kevinobrien9271
@kevinobrien9271 Ай бұрын
Inflation is rising more than the income. The government inflation numbers are deliberately underestimating the inflation rate.
@joefer5360
@joefer5360 Ай бұрын
@@kevinobrien9271 History has shown private sector wages and salaries are the last to rise in an inflationary environment.
@tonykehl9481
@tonykehl9481 Ай бұрын
Money printing by Fed is the main culprit. I believe 2024 deficit will be approx $2.5T and thats money being printed and added to the current supply for more spending. Balance budget would be painful (maybe intolerable by some) however it would stabilize the inflation and eventually our dollar will stop devaluing.
@davidcollins8150
@davidcollins8150 Ай бұрын
Ed must live in a gated community as he does not trip over the homeless on his way to the supermarket
@SR-ob3wn
@SR-ob3wn Ай бұрын
Maybe he just doesn’t live on the west coast.
@tactileslut
@tactileslut Ай бұрын
Uber eats? Walmart delivers. Maybe he doesn't have to go to the supermarket.
@cvgguy98
@cvgguy98 Ай бұрын
There are homeless in downtown Cincinnati, too
@trudy6132
@trudy6132 Ай бұрын
@@SR-ob3wnI live in California- the weather is fabulous & I rarely see homeless people. Not all areas of California have homeless people
@SR-ob3wn
@SR-ob3wn Ай бұрын
@@trudy6132 Good for you, you found a small oasis. I’m from California, have been all over every region of the west coast and 98% of it has turned into a dystopian hellhole.
@patat007
@patat007 Ай бұрын
No bullmarket starts at highest earnings ever.
@Canadian_Eh_I
@Canadian_Eh_I Ай бұрын
Starts? We've been in a bull market since last October....
@patat007
@patat007 Ай бұрын
@@Canadian_Eh_I exactly, at highest earnings ever...
@Canadian_Eh_I
@Canadian_Eh_I Ай бұрын
@@patat007 Yep, closer to the end than the beginning now, but still a ways to go.
@bradhamacher9869
@bradhamacher9869 Ай бұрын
Highest earnings for who? When you lower guidance 80% and "beat it" that is no cause for celebration
@patat007
@patat007 Ай бұрын
@@bradhamacher9869 stockmarket does not care obvio. Or not yet.
@George-jm4rn
@George-jm4rn Ай бұрын
Kudos to Adam for having a bull on and not succumbing to Adam's bearish bias by excluding guests who don't walk the bearish line.
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
Indeed. It's great to hear from insane top signals like this. Being bullish at record-level all-time highs is not a bet any savvy investor in any market would ever make. Gamblers do though, so there's that.
@scheuermann11
@scheuermann11 Ай бұрын
@@BPoweredLove BULL MARKETS last for years , not wanting to buy at new highs seems illogical
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
@@scheuermann11 I mean crazy fast new all-time highs that destroyed the previous highs at an alarmingly fast rate. In my mind, that was implied, but I didn't really type that out. I certainly didn't simply mean ANY all-time high. That would be ridiculous. Inflation alone can create new ATHs regardless of market cap growth, etc.
@scheuermann11
@scheuermann11 Ай бұрын
@@BPoweredLove I get it, bull markets often do end with fast, climatic, parabolic blow off top, I don't think we quite met that threshold yet. Crazy times with so much Fed/government intervention I don't even know if we can count on historical precedence.
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
@@scheuermann11 Yep. And we're in an election year, so it wouldn't surprise me that new ATHs are made this year and I also suspect the NBER won't have any scary recession news for us until Dec 2024 and they might backdate a year again. These are wild times, for sure. And that's only talking about the US. When the global economy is factored in, it's even crazier.
@FastCar5
@FastCar5 Ай бұрын
The corrupt get richer and poor get poorer...I think that covers it.
@FlashFinanceDaily
@FlashFinanceDaily Ай бұрын
Hi FastCar5, Point well taken but I believe it’s much more than that. 😅
@jackgoldman1
@jackgoldman1 Ай бұрын
All due to dishonest corrupt and evil IOUs, dishonest measures. We need honest money.
@joycekoch5746
@joycekoch5746 Ай бұрын
Ed is missing something key. A.I. and technology are not going to revolutionize anyone's lives if people cannot afford to go to McDonald's for lunch.
@3rett115
@3rett115 Ай бұрын
He even says he canceled his GPT subscription because it was useless, lol. Something is not right with his logic or he is trolling us.
@standinginthegap7118
@standinginthegap7118 Ай бұрын
Great point
@haldriver1378
@haldriver1378 Ай бұрын
Fasting vs eating deadly processed garbage may actually revolutionize your life by warding off T2D, cardiovascular disease and dementia. I know... Not to your point, but hey, it is a silver lining.
@joycekoch5746
@joycekoch5746 Ай бұрын
@@solskengroupllp2758 Yes, but A.I. can cast Arnold as Dorothy In The Wizard of Oz or Arnold as Annie. Worth a look on KZbin - rather impressive.
@mattg8431
@mattg8431 Ай бұрын
I wish I was born an eternal optimist like Ed or Tom Lee, instead I'm a pessimist who always see glass half empty 😅 But seriously, we have a government running 7% deficit, printing a trillion dollars every 100 days and somehow bulls think it's natural and sustainable? We have stocks and cryptos going parabolic and they don't see it as a sign of euphoria and top? Oh well, they'll probably be right again, back to my hole 😢
@dudewheresmyguitar21
@dudewheresmyguitar21 Ай бұрын
Thats how we all feel.
@Thomas-wn7cl
@Thomas-wn7cl Ай бұрын
😆
@chickenwing43
@chickenwing43 Ай бұрын
If the government keeps weakening the dollar they essentially force us to preserve our wealth in assets such as stocks or real estate. Or alternatives such as gold or bitcoin.
@martintheguitarist
@martintheguitarist Ай бұрын
It will be over once shale starts depleting. When you have unlimited energy you can get away with a lot of stupid things. See Saudi Arabia.
@timothyha2854
@timothyha2854 Ай бұрын
Everything that you listed is bullish….
@Sitti2300
@Sitti2300 Ай бұрын
This is a sign. Every time bull cycles come closer to the end, there will always be some people would come with much much higher targets.
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
Top signal. And these top signals say things like "I guess I'm optimistic because I had a happy childhood". What sheer lunacy is this? I'm glad Adam had this maniac on though!
@pressvinyl4420
@pressvinyl4420 Ай бұрын
@@BPoweredLove This 'maniac' is balanced and he's been right for 2 years running. All of the doomers have been wrong. All of them. I think not being able to revise a position is a stronger sign of lunacy than someone who admits that they could be wrong. His is an unpopular opinion on a channel that's usually the equivalent of Statler and Waldorf -- two guys congratulating each other about how bad things are. But if you followed Yardeni two years you're up 25% and the usual 10% market correction would be no big deal. The world's best investors don't worry about markets anyway. They buy good companies at good valuations and sleep well at night. I'm up 40% in a 'fun money' position and put a tight trailing stop on it. I won't move from my long term holds because of market conditions. This market can do what it wants.
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
@@pressvinyl4420 "been right 2 years running" is hilarious! What do you think this is? Day-trading? Two years is nothing. The GFC occurred after years and years of the bubble growing too large. This is hardly different. What you're implying is "he's been right for 2 years, so he will continue to be right for more years to come", which is the most absurd argument ever posed. And calling those who are reading the conditions correctly as "doomers" is childish and amateurish to say the least. "The world's best investors don't worry about markets anyway" is too much. You have to be trolling at this point. I cannot believe I'm actually replying to you. 😂😂
@elliotthovanetz1945
@elliotthovanetz1945 Ай бұрын
It could be the 1920s, or it could be the 1970s, or it could be the 1990s. So this guy is saying, "Well, anything could happen". Great analytical advice fella
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
@@elliotthovanetz1945 Wow. I replied to this pressvinyl guy this morning, but someone deleted the comment. Interesting.
@davidpatterson4024
@davidpatterson4024 Ай бұрын
Ed has been right so far unlike many of your other guests…😊
@briannewman6216
@briannewman6216 Ай бұрын
The only reason why the US economy is growing is the 4 trillion dollar annual federal government expenditure deficit combined with what is probably an equivalent amount of expenditure deficits in the state, municipal and private sector. GDP is basically a measurement of consumption. Borrowing to consume will eventually not end well.
@Shuguiis
@Shuguiis Ай бұрын
Yep and everyone ignores this when they are making money,like weapons manufacturers they know it’s for killing but business it’s business or tobacco for that matter
@kevintran5035
@kevintran5035 Ай бұрын
Nobody look on mountain debts. Debts are not a problem, but if you borrow $10 and make only 8, then it is huge problems US have to borrow over 1 trillions for just pay interest, how long they can continue to borrow?
@SomeUserNameBlahBlah
@SomeUserNameBlahBlah Ай бұрын
Is the government buying Nvidia chips?
@DrBlood-cq2cm
@DrBlood-cq2cm Ай бұрын
@@SomeUserNameBlahBlahI bet they are. The govt is also PAYING chip companies to make chips (you know, the chips act?). Healthcare (paid for by govt) will be buying Nvidia AI chips. Defense dept (paid for by govt) will be buying Nvidia AI chips. IRS (paid by govt) will be buying Nvidia AI chips. Public universities (funded by govt) will be buying Nvidia AI chips. Any industry that depends on the govt for its existence will be using tax $ to buy chips.
@gussoldtimeradioshows4902
@gussoldtimeradioshows4902 Ай бұрын
What is your point. This can go on for another 100 years
@Casey-rr7th
@Casey-rr7th Ай бұрын
Ed will be right...until he's not. And the "not" this time around is going to be epic.
@Yetified_Mayhem
@Yetified_Mayhem Ай бұрын
So don't make money and just wait for hell to take over?
@billadama
@billadama Ай бұрын
Use stop losses!
@standinginthegap7118
@standinginthegap7118 Ай бұрын
Well spoken
@junglecat7263
@junglecat7263 Ай бұрын
Adam has been wrong... until he's not. Which of them made more money over the past year?
@tomkk1000
@tomkk1000 Ай бұрын
Adam, I am very glad that you invited Ed Yardeni. He is one of the brightest economic analysts and forecasters worldwide. He should provide a needed antidote to pessimistic views others may have. Thank you!
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
LOL!
@eliotness107
@eliotness107 Ай бұрын
Im glad that you are happy about your paycheck having less and less power on top of taxation to death and priced out of the housing market! Who needs food right?! Thats so last year! Rejoice in poverty! Yaay!!
@martintheguitarist
@martintheguitarist Ай бұрын
He is another intellectual with no skin in the game. How did he do in the 2000-2015 bear market?
@omanyquestions5135
@omanyquestions5135 Ай бұрын
I know we don't have a stock market without bears & bulls. I appreciate the counterbalance & thank you for providing that. I wish I could be that optimistic, but the realist in me will not allow it. His dismissive comments on the wealth gap were kind of shocking. Sounded like something somebody at the top would say. As a 44 year-old making $40k/year in small town Ohio, I can assure you that the GDP & economic data do not tell the story of the majority of our country. Mean vs median does matter. I don't mean this as a knock & I'm sure Ed is a great guy, but a lot of folks lose empathy when they accumulate a certain amount of wealth & get stuck in their bubble. The squeeze we feel is real.
@robgrey6183
@robgrey6183 Ай бұрын
So, everything is hunky dory?
@s.h8062
@s.h8062 Ай бұрын
Yes
@kauaifishing1365
@kauaifishing1365 Ай бұрын
Nope
@SomeUserNameBlahBlah
@SomeUserNameBlahBlah Ай бұрын
Relative to other countries? Yes. That doesn't mean things aren't still going downhill.
@douglash.8862
@douglash.8862 Ай бұрын
YEP,.. For a WHILE,.. Longer ! NO, "Sell in May and Go Away",.. THIS,.. Time ! I'm,.. HOLDING Thru,.. the Election !
@douglash.8862
@douglash.8862 Ай бұрын
Interest Rates and Inflation, WILL Be, coming,. Down ( Eventually ) and the Markets,.. KNOW,.. THIS ! TRILLIONS Of, Dollars ON the Side Lines are still HELD By,.. NON - Believers ! More,.. MO Mo and FOMO,.. IS, coming !
@free-qe6wx
@free-qe6wx Ай бұрын
One reason why I think 6000+ the S&P is possible is that the funds rate is not restrictive, yields all throughout the curve are still quite low, inflation is raging away well above target and the Fed seems to be ok with it, unemployment is still incredibly low, and the consumer keeps spending. I am not calling this a bull market or that we have avoided a recession. This is just a repricing to reflect the current reality. Adjusted for inflation the S&P index is actually down in real terms and in consideration of the risk free rate over the last 27 months. This can totally keep happening for many years. IMHO, a bull market is when the S&P index goes up in real terms and by more than the risk free rate. Otherwise, your risk adjusted returns are negative.
@rogerhorner7431
@rogerhorner7431 Ай бұрын
Thanks super important point.
@Shuguiis
@Shuguiis Ай бұрын
Anything it’s possible once fantasy gets detached from reality,why not S&P 8000 it’s all the same ,I’m not playing this you big boys go right ahead it’s yours for the taking
@robertmcmanus8465
@robertmcmanus8465 Ай бұрын
As long as fiscal dominance continues ed will be right. If it stops the pessimists will be right. Essentially borrowing from the future leaves a huge hole to be back filled however you can in theory borrow 1000 years into th3 futur3
@larrycardenas6122
@larrycardenas6122 Ай бұрын
Best interview to date. Thank you Adam. You’re the best.
@sewnsew6770
@sewnsew6770 Ай бұрын
Ed Yardeni has been correct there are two economies
@a.r.4416
@a.r.4416 Ай бұрын
This was very refreshing. I like to listen to all guests with dofferent views. We cannot say bulls or bears are wrong until we wait and see, folks.
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
LOL!!
@rexmundi273
@rexmundi273 Ай бұрын
Yardeni also pushed people into stocks in the Dotcom bubble.
@dontworrybehappy518
@dontworrybehappy518 Ай бұрын
If people don't hear 'everything is crashing down hard' - they call the guest a clown. He is not the only one with a different view and I enjoy listening to different opinions! Great Interview!!!
@TheMountainBeyondTheWoods
@TheMountainBeyondTheWoods Ай бұрын
Indeed, and those people can be wrong for years and years, they can be losing money while others are making money, and they still lash out and attack those that have been more right than them. The stupidity of the perma bears.
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
@@TheMountainBeyondTheWoods I sure hope you're buying and going long right now. If you're not, then your comment is meaningless. People are bullish and should be during HEALTHY bull market cycles. This isn't that. This is insanely over-valued, overbought conditions and very unhealthy. I have a hunch that you're erroneously lumping in current ppl with bearish sentiments with "perma bears".
@drew9312
@drew9312 Ай бұрын
Excellent guest- always value listening to the wisdom of Ed Yardeni. Great questions as always Adam. Thank you.
@rickferyok2462
@rickferyok2462 Ай бұрын
Again, ED says "wages are tied at the hip to productivity" 1;04:15, NOTHING COULD BE FURTHER FROM THE TRUTH, AND IT'S THE WHOLE PROBLEM.
@marcfd3756
@marcfd3756 Ай бұрын
Ed is awesome. Brings great balance to the analysis! Thank you both for a great program.
@peterdonner2440
@peterdonner2440 Ай бұрын
Ed's great, thx for having him on. And he's been right, so far. Balanced, aware valuations are stretched, arguing the economy is not going into recession any time soon. You really should get Barry Knapp to bolster you stock of guests in the sky is NOT falling camp. It will be good to hear what Darius Dale is thinking when you get him on this month.
@ats89117
@ats89117 Ай бұрын
Not Adam's best interview. I would have liked to see him push back on the assertion that maybe 21 is now a reasonable P/E ratio in the event that interest rates don't go back to near zero. It seems axiomatic in the current interest rate environment that the high ratios can only be justified for the fastest growing companies...
@mrsterling5306
@mrsterling5306 Ай бұрын
Not believing a single thing this guy said!
@SerialNerdery1825
@SerialNerdery1825 Ай бұрын
This is the thing bears overlook: the skill at whackamole. So much more has been researched and studied and households and corporations have so many more tools and knowledge than before. They underestimate the reaction to crises. Maybe going back to 2008, Lehman may have been a mistake and Bernake may have been a bigger genius than we thought. This has made me much more neutral than bearish over the last few months.
@mattanderson6672
@mattanderson6672 Ай бұрын
Brilliant interview, thank you both!!
@annL5251
@annL5251 Ай бұрын
I watched this twice. Great conversation with Ed, a brilliant guy. And Adam, great job fielding the awesome questions.
@erikbusenbark4865
@erikbusenbark4865 Ай бұрын
Things have changed Ed!
@billadama
@billadama Ай бұрын
Exactly. This time is completely different.
@petergozinya6122
@petergozinya6122 Ай бұрын
Thank you Adam
@chriseustace9734
@chriseustace9734 Ай бұрын
The comment of the Chinese property market collapsing being detrimental to their economy, fails to add the same is applicable to the US Economy with a more concerning issue on the Massive Government Inflationary Debt which is unsustainable, occasioning an eventual collapse on pension funds and their ability to maintain retirees with expected retirement payments !
@rednorwood6441
@rednorwood6441 Ай бұрын
Really nice to have a balanced expert on this channel. Thanks.
@StockGenius152
@StockGenius152 Ай бұрын
Glad he shut down that idiotic mag 7 narrative that I’ve been trying to tell everyone is complete nonsense
@SyrioFlorel
@SyrioFlorel Ай бұрын
Adam - Thanks for having Ed on TM. It is always good to get the bull case, as flawed as it is imo.
@scottprice4813
@scottprice4813 Ай бұрын
Is Warren buying in this market ? Would John Templeton be buying ? Not in the US he wouldn’t .
@lawLess-fs1qx
@lawLess-fs1qx Ай бұрын
Great interview. Ed is a breath of fresh air. No talk of interest rates or yelllen's TGA. I agree. It's 1995 and we have a 5 year bull market in front of us rather than a 1999 Top, followed by recession. Not convinced wages are going up. Inflation was caused by 100 dollar oil, China offline and MMT experiment. Powell is only screwing the poor keeping rates so high. one of my credit cards is an obscene 23% interest rate.
@robertratz5305
@robertratz5305 Ай бұрын
Thanks! Great show🎉
@adam.taggart
@adam.taggart Ай бұрын
Thank you very much!!
@morebaloney1539
@morebaloney1539 Ай бұрын
So which is it?
@noztik1649
@noztik1649 Ай бұрын
Thanks Adam (and Ed), great interview 👍 👏 🙏 ❤️ to all. Cheers 🍻
@victorsperandeo3609
@victorsperandeo3609 Ай бұрын
Nothing like the 1920’s ???? !!!!!!! Gov’t Spending went DOWN as CAL Coolidge balanced the budget with a surplus every year . Literally no deficits in any year . No inflation ?? What the heck is ed talking about?
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
Ed is either "stupid or liar". He doesn't seem stupid to me, so he's likely just another charlatan who wants more retail money to come in the market to provide more of his exit liquidity.
@zacklewis342
@zacklewis342 Ай бұрын
He sees what he wants to see. That's why Adam had to reply "the decades you just mentioned didn't end well."
@meeradad
@meeradad Ай бұрын
Very enlightening and entertaining at the same time!
@user-99.99
@user-99.99 Ай бұрын
That was a breath of fresh air. Thank you. ❤🙏 💪
@pvtrout
@pvtrout Ай бұрын
Great guest with a different perspective.
@mr.188
@mr.188 Ай бұрын
"K" shape recovery is BEAUTIFUL for those on the upward/incline part of the K...those on the downward/decline...GOOD LUCK 👍🏿& GOD BLESS🙏🏽!
@josephdeutsch
@josephdeutsch Ай бұрын
Listening to Ed over the interview I also felt optimistic...then I looked at the technicals. I actually agree over the long run, however the drawdown before that can spoil the rosy future. When that spoilage happens is when the real long term blossoming happens
@danielorzech4563
@danielorzech4563 Ай бұрын
Another great one. Thanks.
@stevencezus3987
@stevencezus3987 Ай бұрын
Great interview, as usual !
@FlashFinanceDaily
@FlashFinanceDaily Ай бұрын
GOSH! Dr. Yardeni, such an interesting man.
@keimo2007
@keimo2007 Ай бұрын
Great video as usual, but timestamps would be appreciated! Cheers!
@derekbinstock8769
@derekbinstock8769 Ай бұрын
Phenomenal interview!❤❤❤
@theinflationsituation8870
@theinflationsituation8870 Ай бұрын
Hey, hey... Mr. Yardeni is back! 🥳
@stevenblack122
@stevenblack122 Ай бұрын
Heard him back in the 80’s…maybe 70’s? On Wall Street with Louis Rukeyser. Typical Wall Street insider type. Roses and sunshine. No clue what he said in 1980, 2000, or 2007. Probably same story. No worries no problems. Calm, like he knows future. Not helpful as he is not a problem identifier or problem solver. He has apparently been long and not worried about it. ….Lucky Him .. He seems intelligent and informed but just not helpful . I prefer more inquisitive, cautious scenario thinking interviewers. “The yeah there are lots of problems ..just ride the waves attitude” is not helpful. Feels like typical easy story line many old time Wall Street advisors have used for years… I assume this is his standard approach anytime, anywhere…. I have heard worse guests on this show….i won’t listen to all this talk. Better things to do …. But Thanks Adam. You Have to book these guys to see what they are saying….bet it’s hard not to challenge this guys on the depth of their assumptions… versus just listen….. til next time.
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
He'll gladly take exitting positions as more retailer money comes in with pipedreams. Anyone buying this bubble now is a crazier gambler than most in Vegas casinos.
@eikoGoldstein
@eikoGoldstein Ай бұрын
@stevenblack. Ed Yardeni was one of the economists who remained calm in the face of the Y2K fears that surfaced in 1999. In general, his track record is good. He's had a long career. For us amateurs, stock investing is the only way to supplement your savings, social security, and secure your financial retirement. Pick the allocation of stock which meets your needs....monitor it and keep reinvesting your dividends. Let time in the market do the heavy lifting. (P=e^rt) If you think prices are high now, wait till you see them in 25 years! Best wishes.
@thach0x0
@thach0x0 Ай бұрын
A Fabulous presentation .Pragmatic
@basimms79
@basimms79 Ай бұрын
Eddy, a classic boomer.
@stevetaylor1593
@stevetaylor1593 Ай бұрын
Great show love it. Still seems to be a large disconnect between the common person and the market. Just a thought.
@darioazul
@darioazul Ай бұрын
Another great interview. He has nailed it. Would you please consider interviewing Mr. JL Collins, author of the Simple Path to Wealth?
@xrayeyes2023
@xrayeyes2023 Ай бұрын
Americans have yet to see lower prices groceries, gas, etc.
@rickferyok2462
@rickferyok2462 Ай бұрын
AT 57:03 Eddie says the MINIMUM WAGE HAS GONE UP A LOT OVER THE LAST COUPLE YEARS. What a lie, the federal minimum wage hasn't gone up for almost 20 years. What is he saying? Well, he's dissembling - he is making things harder to understand. Is he saying that there is no one in this country making the federal minimum wage? He's saying the job market is tight and everyone who wants to work is doing better. What I'll say is that most of the people living in poverty work. I'll use a word he'll never use - exploitation.
@detectiveofmoneypolitics
@detectiveofmoneypolitics Ай бұрын
Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia is following this informative content cheers Frank 😊
@jasonport2907
@jasonport2907 Ай бұрын
Where can I get one of those vests?
@bryanupton9872
@bryanupton9872 Ай бұрын
Revealed his bias with that personal relationship to Yellen. He might consider her smart, but she’s certainly not morally sound.
@dennisedson6864
@dennisedson6864 Ай бұрын
I thought it was nice to hear from an optimist's view of the market. His views are contrary to many of your guests but he also has a good track record. Remember he doesn't discount that there may be a recession, he just says it will need to be because of an energy crisis or a credit crisis. However, all that being said there appear to be logical reasons to believer either of those could happen in the near future.
@greggcal4583
@greggcal4583 Ай бұрын
"All companies are technology companies now." That is a wise statement and it is only going to get more intense.
@Nowhere-from
@Nowhere-from Ай бұрын
Guest Ed Yardeni did well through the interview until the end when questioned about liquidity. Ed flunked it out, instead of recognizing he doesn't know about the topic up front he gave an eternal-feeling speech where he showed he doesn't know, like admitting he doesn't know how to measure it. A good take on liquidity comes from Michael Howell, whom Adam has interviewed recently.
@christopherbussell8714
@christopherbussell8714 Ай бұрын
Never stop learning and earning. Find your happy places.
@gregoryleiter3018
@gregoryleiter3018 Ай бұрын
Hey Adam. Thanks for having someone on the show who has a positive view of the immediate and mid term future. I share your views but I think it's important to keep some balance so I don't have all my money in gold or hidden under my mattress!!
@mattclark6482
@mattclark6482 Ай бұрын
After NAFTA there were many workers that had to retrain for new jobs and eventually that became "learn to code" Well, AI will kill 95% of coding jobs in 5-7 years, so what is the next job you can do to sustain yourself? We can't all be plumbers and doctors and Im pretty sure any other mass occupation will be dominated by AI in short order. If someone could just explain that question to me, I might be more optimistic.
@JohnTaylor-ts8wk
@JohnTaylor-ts8wk Ай бұрын
The new jobs are all Uber delivery types, unless AI gets those too. For now though, anyone can sign up and count as employed, you just have to compete for very low paying jobs a few hours at a time.
@thach0x0
@thach0x0 Ай бұрын
Adam , Why don’t you bring more money managers who have got skins in the game with his own fund? Stan Druckenmiller,David Tepper ,Ken Griffin ? I also recommended one of the managers we have invested in for several decades ,Paco from Cobas ,who created an unprecedented records with the previous firm ,Bestinver ,Madrid Spain .
@nowwhat544
@nowwhat544 Ай бұрын
Moment, this guy said yellen is smart, I was done. I think he has never been out of rich neighborhoods and thinks everyone will have inheritance.
@user-qs1jt3hc8f
@user-qs1jt3hc8f Ай бұрын
there is the same similarities with oct/nov 1998 -> oct/nov 1999 -> March/april 2000
@douglash.8862
@douglash.8862 Ай бұрын
YUP,. AND,.. I've SEEN,.. "This Movie",.. BEFORE ! Against, ALL Odd's,.. there's, a BULL Market going,.. Onward and,.. Upwards ! With or,.. WITHOUT,. You !
@Hanginglimbs1
@Hanginglimbs1 Ай бұрын
i love how this guest is brought on specifically to give a different view than what is usually presented on the channel, and all the commenters all jump on him for not thinking like everyone else on the channel
@TheMountainBeyondTheWoods
@TheMountainBeyondTheWoods Ай бұрын
And the commenters jumping on him are the same people that have been wrong since forever.
@ChimpManJones
@ChimpManJones Ай бұрын
Glad I managed to follow you from Wealtheon. I had no idea you went to do your own thing So I've gone from seeing you do the latter half of the show with Martinson, who did absolutely amazing work covering the pandemic and has now admittedly gone off the deep end, to wealtheon, now here. What made you and Chris part ways anyways? Always interested in some good lore
@StockGenius152
@StockGenius152 Ай бұрын
SPX will hit 7,000 in august, that’s right, you heard it here first! 🚀
@Jalleur14325
@Jalleur14325 Ай бұрын
Adam, had you thought of getting Gary Gerstle on your show? Such an insightful guy, I think he could provide that deeper level analysis of the underpinnings of why we are where we are.
@nicksanta
@nicksanta Ай бұрын
Hello! Your content has shown that US GDP is less than the debt. This is a failure of our financial decision makers as well as our Politicians. Is this something we need to leave for our children? Regards
@robertharrelson5024
@robertharrelson5024 Ай бұрын
Yardini is such a huge contrast to Hanke.
@ocox8659
@ocox8659 Ай бұрын
Yin and yang
@cautiousoptimist1926
@cautiousoptimist1926 Ай бұрын
I have a simple rule. I don't buy assets when they are overpriced on the expectation that they'll become more expensive. I sell them and book profits. The unprecedented monetary expansion and low interest rates of the past several years have rendered fundamentals meaningless, but only temporarily. You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.
@privateinvestigator4442
@privateinvestigator4442 Ай бұрын
We are facing a silent Depression... the last time we had so many who could not afford to live, despite working, so many living in tents, in hobo villages, living in cars, who cannot afford food, power, rent, a house... would be the Great Depression. It is hidden by flooding immigration, debt, and unemployment support, politicians decisions.
@seeannierun1
@seeannierun1 Ай бұрын
Would love to see you interview Peter Turchin
@trevordowney6425
@trevordowney6425 Ай бұрын
too bullish. Sure, we cold have a blow off top but, the market needs to correct after that. But then, printer go BRRRRRR!!!!
@johnweibel1128
@johnweibel1128 Ай бұрын
Problem with this guy's focus on productivity, is the "K" recovery. More and more people don't have money for food and energy, let alone to invest. They will continue to be left behind. Eventually consumer spending is going to crash. There will be no "buyers" for the additional productivity of AI.
@bpb5541
@bpb5541 Ай бұрын
Ai along with EVs will require a massive increase of electrical grid capacity. That will take years. You can have the best chips and the most bad ass cars but if you don't have the juice to power them its pointless and they become really expensive paper weights.
@spacewalktraveller1
@spacewalktraveller1 Ай бұрын
The yield curve inversion isn't the problem, the problem starts when it uninverts.
@lindaweekes8161
@lindaweekes8161 Ай бұрын
Perhaps your question regarding the wealth gap and reported consumer stress as seen in rising credit card debt and mortgage defaults, can be explained by Mr Yardeni's repeated references to the wealth of the baby boomer generation. We are supporting our grown children who have maxed out their credit and because of higher mortgages are facing bancruptcy. How many other families in North America are experiencing that same transfer of wealth to keep their grown children afloat?
@MangoFlamingo
@MangoFlamingo Ай бұрын
same odds 6000 or 4500 in the options
@PenguinInRome
@PenguinInRome Ай бұрын
Ed is one of Adam's few guests that has an empirical based bullish outlook. Adam's other guest haven't addressed the consequences of the generational transfer of assets as the baby boomers boomers die off.
@insomniactravels6185
@insomniactravels6185 Ай бұрын
With all due respect to Yardeni (who has been around forever), if rates have "normalized" and the Fed is in control, gold priced in USD would not be spiking day after day right now. (Inflationary) infrastructure-build for AI has just begun! Meaningful deflation from AI productivity gains is further down the road than he thinks. I am also surprised to hear him effectively say the Fed's perfected Whac-A-Mole will contain all future credit events and preempt any future Black Swans.
@davidmann2524
@davidmann2524 Ай бұрын
Seriously, most the chips being bought for AI are just large players trying to keep it away from their competitors, and the small guys have zero use for it, they can't be throwing away money, certainly not in this environment.
@robertbender73
@robertbender73 Ай бұрын
Wages never keep up with inflation, as the price of inflation is cost to everyone, otherwise there wouldnt be any economic pain.
@billadama
@billadama Ай бұрын
At the 45 minute mark Yardeni effectively says "this time is different" and that 15x earnings may be too conservative because of all the value AI will offer to these companies. This is right after he discussed how limited the productivity gains were from the internet and computer "revolution" from 20 years ago. I don't think this interview will age well.
@gregbrauch
@gregbrauch Ай бұрын
He is a perma bull and I mean bull.
@ImRickSanchez
@ImRickSanchez Ай бұрын
Pessimists is realistic. Law of entropy
@davidmcdevitt9071
@davidmcdevitt9071 Ай бұрын
We are living on government spending, how high can they push it until it breaks.
@joesb213
@joesb213 Ай бұрын
adam i have one question for u........why r u so uneasy with the idea of a market being bullish?.......seeing u makes me feel i think u will have been the most relieved person at the end of this interview.....cheerios
@anthracite405
@anthracite405 Ай бұрын
Maybe because everything about this market feels like a House of Cards built on nothing but deficit spending. What could possibly go wrong?
@connorferguson2269
@connorferguson2269 21 күн бұрын
the Russell 2000 has been struggling a lot more then the S&P, this index is a more honest look at Americas economy.
@user-pg9yj4be6x
@user-pg9yj4be6x Ай бұрын
They had lots of so called intelligent stock pickers in 29' and they all got caught with their pants down..............................most to just disappear forever
@simonmaverick7018
@simonmaverick7018 Ай бұрын
Nice anecdotes but I’m not sure there is anything actionable here. Yes, the stock market will go higher in peaks and troughs with all the money printing that they’ll need to do in the future. I’ll stick to Michael Howell and his liquidity cycle which peaks end of 2025; and his traffic light system for sectors as a general guide to start with for now.
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