Reacting To My 2024 Formula 1 Driver Transfer Predictions

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I made some Driver Transfer predictions ahead of the 2023 F1 season. The year is now done, we know who the teams will be running for 2024... so let's talk about it.
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Copyright Disclaimer: Under Section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, allowance is made for "fair use" for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, and research. Fair use is a use permitted by copyright statute that might otherwise be infringing. There are certain scenes from the Formula 1 calendar where race footage is used. All those rights are property of FOM. Other photos and news elements are used solely for the purpose of assisting the original content illuminate a more in depth story.
#TommoF1

[@tuna5618]

The last time I was this early, checo was being talked about as a "title contender".

[@justaregularguy1234]

Well, he was the closest, though with a big asterisk

[@yahmfyeet184]

haha so funny this makes me suicidal 😝

[@DavidsSanity]

@@justaregularguy1234 if winning only two races in the fastest car in the F1 history is close. I don’t know anymore it shows checo is lacking.

[@Polytopiagod]

He would have been but RB were sabotaging him and favoring max

[@rbmtopgear7682]

@@Polytopiagodeven if they did he should have podiumed a lot lot more 😂😂

[@SilkyDimi]

Tbf not a single soul could have predicted that there would be more changes mid season than there was post season. This is not normal. I can’t wait for next years silly season

[@TommoMcCluskey]

2025 will make up for the lack of silliness this season.

[@pppphillip]

I honestly expect Alex rather go to Mercedes, when Lewis steps away instead of Audi/Sauber. He's quite safe at Williams atm and I guess that Lewis won't be on the grid for too long anymore

[@TommoMcCluskey]

Depends how well Audi could sell the project to him I guess. Because a clear lead at Audi COULD be more appealing than fighting with George for supremacy at Mercedes. Also, Kimi Antonelli is looking generational...

[@Xzibitfreek]

What makes you think Merc would want Alex? Alex hasnt had a proper benchmark as teammate since joining Williams. Sure he had a good season but his teammate is by far the worst driver on the grid. For the second year in a row. Anybody would look great vs Sargeant, so how do we really know HOW good exactly Albon is right now? We dont. Surely a team like Mercedes would either go for a more established driver or a very promising rookie

[@sofianhassaineyear1177]

Personally don't believe Lewis would've retired if he got the 8th, I think he wouldn't have stopped and will not stop till he turns 41-42 y.o

[@TommoMcCluskey]

I think he would've if he'd won his 8th in 2021. If he can turn this Merc around and win his 8th in 2024, it's probably less likely. I still think he'd go mind you.

[@mehuljain3464]

if Perez as you say is there because of his sponsors then that just makes him a pay driver doesn't it ?@@TommoMcCluskey

[@jbaidley]

The disillusionment after the Abu Dhabi fiasco might have given him thoughts of retirement, but now I think he'll go on as long as he can. I don't believe for a moment he'd have retired after a win in 2021, it was one of his best seasons.

[@peterporkeresq.2817]

@@jbaidley He practically won that championship in an inferior car, but F1 had other ideas ...

[@kokohanahana]

at least he got square space right

[@TommoMcCluskey]

🫡

[@mackenzieswartz-boyd]

I think for 2025 if Kimi Antonelli proves himself as a force in F2 and Logan doesnt close the gap to Albon further, Antonelli will get that Williams seat

[@sauceeonem5255]

The day I don’t hear “This video is sponsored by square space” at the start of a tommo vid is the day life is no longer worth living

[@dlake1224]

Everytime Tommo says "drag and drop" I hear dragon drop 😂

[@TommoMcCluskey]

It'll be on me gravestone fr

[@tayuno]

@@TommoMcCluskey "This gravestone was sponsored by Squarespace."

[@blobfishking941]

I honestly think Ritomo Miyata should walk this F2 season. He's won Super Formula ahead of Liam Lawson and that is a superior series to F2 so he's taken a step down to get a better chance at F1. Hopefully will see him do well

[@billhoult3262]

Being 6 years older than Bearman, and 7 years older than Antonelli won't help his case even if he beats them; but he is seriously talented and obviously dedicated, he's my favourite for the title next year.

[@vikaskulkarni375]

Hey I remember how you made a video considering just 2nd half of constructors points table of 2022, which made sense as the cars were getting developed. Can you make a similar video of only 2nd half of constructors points table for 2023.

[@arrizalstiller6041]

Unpopular opinion. Iwasa in Prema, MP or ART is actually winning F2. Same thing can said about Doohan. The gap between them and their 2nd drivers is huge, even tho they drive the same car..

[@GlobalNomadPete]

Williams 2025 Bottas (I was gonna say Checo but I think Valterri would be a better fit) and Albon? I think that car will continue to improve over 2024 under Vowles they will look towards a driver with chops to get it in a place for contention in 2026. Having two drivers to lean on with experience, one younger for the future and one with a few years left to prove something, would be great.

[@darksider4736]

Gasly's season was remarkable considering he had the most obsessive teammate and the whole team against him. He kept it cool so kudos to him. Also ahead in the drivers standings.

[@YoungDolan]

Albon or Ocon will be a Ferrari driver in 2025 replacing Sainz I’m calling it

[@Joserider123]

New video idea for the liverly designs: Predesign vs Redesign vs real then you can compare all pf them (also good idea for redesigning Mclaren with the monster partnership and Sauber not being with Alfa Romeo anymore)

[@martinavery3979]

I don't think the question is what Danny is worth in Red Bull, but what is he worth to Racing Bulls? Either way, I think Riccardo is the better number tow for RB

[@elsviec]

i'm not convinced that hamilton will ever retire?

[@izz9535]

Not a driver transfer prediction but I bloody predicted that Russel was gonna win the championship Crickey!

[@The_ZeroLine]

🇨🇳 is crazy important to VW/Audi, which is Zhou’s only hope of getting a seat w/Audi. If he beats Bottas in 2024 (and not just w/like 10 points to 8 due to luck), I’d say there’s a 50/50 chance he gets a 1-yr chance at Audi.

[@oskariselinheimo4647]

He hates VB😂

[@renezunigajr.3060]

And checo lol

[@98MTBiker]

Who doesn't? Bottas is fast in qualifying but he sucks at overtaking and defending. Watching him in the race is always a disappointment. And I'm Finnish so don't claim bias.

[@98MTBiker]

@@renezunigajr.3060Checo is anti-Bottas. Better on race day but so bad at quali that every race is a comeback drive.

[@banathey]

Question Why don't RB just give Checo a car that suits his type of setup like Haas that have two specs ? Unless they think Checo and Max will clash coz the gap will decrease

[@bl4ckst0ne]

million dollar question

[@Elliott185]

Because they cant develop 2 different cars

[@bl4ckst0ne]

@@Elliott185 they could, but they won't. They only care about what Max wants, which I don't blame them for.

[@SkyDecks]

How does this video have 30k views and 60k likes?

[@tiagoferreira5368]

Checo WILL finish 2024 because Yuki WILL beat Ricciardo or at least be on par with him. RB will not be able to justify promoting Ric. That's my feeling, nothing against Ric, I love him.

[@benvirg]

Piastri goat

[@Zacahorse]

Wish he'd never had the injury... RICSTAPPEN is gold

[@PixelParanoid]

Funny didnt charles just extend his contract till 2029

[@Oblivion9873]

You weren't that off with Perez to Williams. If RB had kicked him Williams were planning on replacing Sargent with him. Source: a convo with someone at Williams (so kinda "just trust me bro")

[@RegionalRadioShackManager]

Nice dream

[@ashirwadd646]

hi

[@francesco153]

4:41 unpopular opinion: McLaren won't be that good as many expect next season for me.

[@chinmaysardesai623]

Tommooooooooooo!!!

[@selder_7]

Tough year for getting these predictions right. Predicting no changes would’ve made for a boring predictions video

[@joshgee8714]

My fanny hurts

[@psyrtemis]

To be fair no-one would have predicted 0 transfers.

[@furorceltica185]

Not even a single transfer happened

[@paulodecarvalho8965]

Andretti should have all their facilities in the US or else we won’t accept them as a fully American team

[@never1163]

2027: Antonelli destroys Russel in his 2nd F1 season, just like Max destroys checo right now.

[@ChrilleWA]

First👍

[@sofianhassaineyear1177]

NOOO I WAS SO CLOSE

[@barrymckockinner8476]

As a Charles fan you have to take every win you can

[@ChrilleWA]

@@barrymckockinner8476 🤣😭

[@menace1thegoat747]

Lewis will not retire after winning his 8th. He's going to try to make F1 suffer for stealing it in 2021. F1 created a bigger monster without even knowing it.

[@ThereMayBeLions]

That's even IF he makes it to 8th

[@opupfg]

you are delusional. Sumacher and Rosberg built that team/car up not hamilton. he only jumped ship the best time possible to the best car. and what 8th championship youre talking about. Thats rather 5 and a half.... but even that probably get stripped because the toto wolf cheats..

[@The_ZeroLine]

I think Checo will get the boot in 2024, unless he’s getting on the podium at least 75% of the time and Ricciardo is looking bad.

[@mini69]

With how james is running that team, it would be foolish to alex to leave williams

[@alifpr]

Honestly, the number of driver pairings you got right were quite impressive! Now the real challenge… predict the 2025 grid. 😂

[@amdp6277]

Talking about Checo like he's a paid driver is disrespectful. You could clearly see what a frustrating season it was for Checo, regarding addapting to the upgrades. Considering him a paid driver just for this one season is exagerated.

[@OS-19]

Looking forward to seeing your 2025 predictions 👀

[@cheese2742]

Pourchaire on the grid hopefully

[@OS-19]

@@cheese2742 Yes and I think Lawson too

[@dlake1224]

Could be a crazy year. I'm not sure I've ever known so many drivers out of contract in one season. On the other hand, I still can't see teams like Ferrari and Alpine change their lineup

[@TommoMcCluskey]

Gonna go ham

[@muffinland]

@@TommoMcCluskey HAM stays at Mercedes though, that's a freebie.

[@F4LCoN13]

I feel like having older and more experienced drivers for car development is so overrated in F1. Haas has had it for most of their time in F1 and they are still nowhere.

[@oeszedtm]

Good point tho. It's not everything in car development, but a good team can profit from it. Aston and Vettel (who couldn't grasp the fruits of his work in 2023), Merc and Hamilton from like 2017 onwards...

[@F4LCoN13]

@@oeszedtm Both of your examples had some type of new investment involved which I think is the main reason the teams got better. Both Aston and Mercedes had experienced drivers for multiple years without getting anywhere until they got a boost financially

[@josiahboatengmyrie]

Lewis has said himself before that he would never retire after winning a title and he even said this season that the 8th title doesn’t necessarily mean the end for him

[@TommoMcCluskey]

Perhaps. Depends if you take his words as gospel.

[@ogflunky]

⁠@@TommoMcCluskeyI think what else does he have to prove if he secures the 8th. He’s widely looked as the goat. 8th title would more than solidify that

[@josiahboatengmyrie]

@@TommoMcCluskey I do believe him for the most part but there is always that part of me that knows that things can change at the drop of a coin for example no one even expected Lewis to still be racing at this point as recently as say 5 years ago

[@pedrobordin5383]

Let's goooooooo..... I want to see a Brazilian on the grid soon

[@dlake1224]

Just looked at Drugovich's F2 2022 season, he was about 100 points clear of 2nd but his only option seems to be if Alonso or Stroll retires

[@TommoMcCluskey]

Bortoleto vs Drugovich?

[@justaregularguy1234]

Iwasa smoked his teammates to char but it's DAMS that weren't competitive.

[@theforcy2252]

Straight up First team aged like fine milk 😅

[@tiagoferreira5368]

My most wrong prediction was : Logan will be close Albon. Yeah.

[@Ponchov009]

The english speaking content creators and media are so bias for Ricciardo is actually pathetic. 🙄

[@TommoMcCluskey]

You sound pretty bias

[@miltonalejandrohernandezlo4204]

@@TommoMcCluskey just like you mate, you want DR in the RedBull seat when he has showed nothing the last 3 years, if someone is going to replace Checo then it should be Yuki.

[@Ponchov009]

@@TommoMcCluskey Looks like I touch a nerve. Youve been uderrating Perez every year. But well see in your 2025 predictions/wishes if you retire Perez or someone else in favor of Ricciardo or Norris or Albon. My guess is that youre going to predict Perez out midseason for Ricc 😂

[@tayuno]

​@@miltonalejandrohernandezlo4204 Danny hasn't showed anything in those three years because the Mclaren is a car that simply does not fit his driving style. The difference between RB and Renault was not that huge, hence why he was still able to grab the odd Podium or two with them, but the Mclaren was such a big difference that he just couldn't adapt to. As soon as he got back to familiar territory in Alpha Tauri, he started being more like his old self again. I mean, were you even awake during the Mexico weekend? Perez on the other hand was... not too great. Sure, he's just way too bad to be on par with Max, nobody is expecting him to be on pace with Max at all. But being down 19:2 in the quali duel, with those two wins being Max having issues in Saudi Arabia and Miami where Max didn't set a time... and also, only being in Q3 13 times in total, in one of the most dominant cars the sport has seen in recent history, while someone like Hülkenberg managed Q3 a total of 8 times, or Albon with 7x Q3, and that in WAY inferior machinery, just doesn't speak too well for Perez. He's not a bad driver, but he's also not a good fit for RB. Luckily Max can carry the team on his back, but if RB suddenly gets more competition while Checo continiues to qualify P13 or P17 in this Rocket of a car, then he's just doing harm to them. He'd be better at another team honestly. It's not about being biased, it's about seeing the bigger picture. And that bigger picture is that Danny, while having had a hard time at Mclaren, is still not a bad driver, while Checo, while not being a bad driver, is incompatible with RB. With that being said, Ricciardo is the only logical choice. Lawson is too inexperienced. Norris is really good with the Mclaren, and given the differences between Mclaren and RB, he'd probably also struggle at RB (and with that in mind it's smart for him to not be tempted to go to them). Albon already was with RB but cracked under pressure, and is no longer a part of the RB family. I don't think he'll go back. And Perez, as I've said, just doesn't work. Other drivers have better options than the environment of RB where everyone gets smacked by Max, so I highly doubt it's gonna be anyone else other than Ricciardo, as he seems to be the only one who is actually aiming to get into that second seat, while most other drivers prefer to stay in their current team like Leclerc, Hamilton or Alonso.

[@Ponchov009]

@@tayuno "Danny hasnt showed anything in those 3 years because the Mclaren is a car that simply does not fit his driving style". Really? That same argument can be applied to Perez 😂 For Ricciardo the car was the problem but for Perez, he is the problem 🤦‍♂️ Bias bias bias, the rest is just blah blah blah if you use different standards

[@abu-omaral-bakr392]

Mick Schumacher to Ferrari? 🙏🏻

[@dennissuijkerbuijk172]

Alex is so much better than Zhou. If he made that move, he would clearly be the no. 1 driver at Sauber.

[@RachelSchloer]

0:48 What happened to the editing 😭😭

[@KeithCaptain]

Four seconds after upload. Woohoo! [Rubs hands together]

[@aashishrao9141]

VB would smoke Alex in the same car and if it is a half decent one

[@JoePCool14]

Well, I was kind of right with my prediction. You did put Albono on the thumbnail.

[@vatsaldvora]

Daniel Ricciardo should be nowhere near the F1 grid let alone the Red Bull seat. New fans cry about him being “an eight time race winner” like they are talking about eight championships but in reality he has nothing to offer to a team now. He is finished.

[@98MTBiker]

And Checo? Driving the most dominant car of all time and only 5 times in the top 4 in quali.

[@vatsaldvora]

@@98MTBiker Imagine if Perez is struggling then Ricciardo will completely drown against Verstappen.

[@98MTBiker]

@@vatsaldvora Ricciardo remains to this day the driver who has gotten closest to Max as teammates. Many also considered him to be the 4th best driver in 2020 with that amazing Renault season. What happened at McLaren is a stain in his career, but you don't lose talent just like that. Ricciardo in 2020 was better than Perez and there is every chance that he still is. Don't get me wrong Perez had a very good 2020 as well but not better than Ricciardo.

[@vatsaldvora]

@@98MTBiker Ricciardo beat Verstappen when he was barely a rookie and when there was no Netflix to distract. Today’s Max and Ricciardo are not same as 2016

[@98MTBiker]

@@vatsaldvora Ricciardo could also have beaten Max in 2018, but he had a lot more DNFs outside of his control while Max DNFs were crashes mostly. Sure, Max was faster already then but he made mistakes. He cleaned up the mistakes sure, but Ricciardo doesn't have to beat Max. Just needs to be closer than Perez.

[@jonaslerbacka2600]

M8 tommo. where would Oscar and Logan rank on your best to worst rookie season list you did two years ago?

[@KLAASTAD]

Vesti man;-; noone talks abaut him. Like literly NOONE

[@KLAASTAD]

He got a small 2 sec here but still

[@OG-512]

I think Lewis will stay in the sport until 2027, that gives time for Kimi Antonelli to grow & mature

[@Morgs7]

It’s hard to stay interested in this sport when the same guy wins by 20 seconds for 18 races in a row

[@irishwristwatch2487]

Last time I was this early Charles was nearly free of Ferrari

[@joekabak2621]

I thought Danny Ric would end up in Indy Car. That could hardly have been more wrong. 🤣

[@maurommmmm4187]

If Zhou has another stinker of a season, do you think Sauber will replace him with Theo midseason?

[@deadliner5446]

Don't think so cuz Zhou brings a lot of money they desperately need

[@WillowCreative]

What do you think about alex to ferrari?

[@rafayasfi]

Notif gang 🫡

[@hermann_the_german]

The Alfa Romeo slander is mad. HAVE YOU SEEN THE CAR?!? Average P16 to P18. You think they are slower than Sargeant on pace!?! Come on. Williams was easily the 7th fastest car, Alfa Romeo was P9 or P10.

[@paidquartz]

I never buy into the narrative that a driver would intentionally drive in retirement mode. It's always the team and the car that made the driver look bad. Just look at Alonso, when the car delivers, he can still score podiums in his 40s. And Valtteri is probably at his prime in terms of physical and experiential conditions. The Sauber team has just been a backmarker small team that always screws things up (as Kimi said in a TR message in Hungary 2021).

[@danpaton9744]

Danny Ric would get stomped just as badly as Checo

[@joshuabracero8581]

You might as well be a square space spokesman at this point 😭

[@andreherdeiro351]

2025 predictions coming!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[@dannysstart2218]

magnusen well into his 30s? he's 31...

[@cesargarcia2692]

Your disrespect for Checo is unreal.

[@valecasini]

18:32 is that a Trump reference? 😂😂

[@peterporkeresq.2817]

The moment Hamilton gets an 8th world title, before they even present him with the trophy, Jackie Stewart would have dusted up one of his tartans and start granting unsolicited interviews, asking him to retire. Maybe he'll even wear a kilt and carry a bagpipe for good measure ...

[@vanidar21]

I think if Checo should lose his seat in 25, he will probably retire. He has had a long career, and he must surely know that he cant win a World championship against the young guns.

[@going_downtown]

i’m only giving you half points for the first 6 predictions because the overwhelming majority of people were in agreement that ferrari, merc, mclaren, am, alpine, and haas were all going to stay the same.

[@danielartzer]

I mean, I don't think anybody thought there would be this little of movement this year....

[@motornaut]

Thoughts on the FIA/Susie investigation?

[@avinav007]

@tommof1 I think Valtteri saw this video cause towards the latter half of the season he pulled a half second gap over zhou in quali.

[@randomppl6380]

that crikey 😅

[@The_Pronato]

to be fair, everyone failed with their silly season predictions this year

[@ThereMayBeLions]

Say what you want about the Iwasa swing and a miss - that Perez to Williams prediction was absolutely disgusting. Put some respect on the Mexican Wunderkind's name - he was P2 in the standings and deserved it, if not by that stellar start to the season then by the strength of the car underpinning him.

[@KayJblue]

Literally anything is wrong this year 😂

[@banathey]

I think LH would've left

[@d9zirable]

0:46 confusing transition

[@este.bahn92]

18:50 lmfao Logan??? Rhe checo hate is inane

[@thekhan-gordons1200]

hi

[@miggygetright6344]

As a Haas fan, I agree, it’s the teams ineptitude that’s held them back. I’d hope they would add Otmar to the team, maybe on a more car dev focused role, I think he’d be big for them.

[@Xzibitfreek]

Well mister Haas simply doesnt put in the resources, its his team, so if he gets value from this F1 team for his Haas company, not much wrong done here.

[@GlobalNomadPete]

Otmar? IMO he is currently where he belongs in F1. They should just hire Binotto to head up engineering at Haas, with that Ferrari connection and clearly not great in the limelight it'd be perfect.

[@CharlieCF1]

leclerc out of contract - 2029

[@Wickey934]

Its gonna be 3 +2