Happy Friday to you too. Hope, that it remains happy
@ipekozkardeskaya1383Ай бұрын
Cheers 😊
@murtazanazham7730Ай бұрын
With the greatest respect, El Erian does not run the FED, nor is he their chief economist. He always seem to speaks in typically self-aggrandising fashion about his ability. Bless him.
@cris471Ай бұрын
Have a great weekend, dear Ipek
@ipekozkardeskaya1383Ай бұрын
You too Cris !
@kostask8851Ай бұрын
Thanks Ipek have a great weekend.
@ipekozkardeskaya1383Ай бұрын
Thanks Kostas, you too 😊
@johnnycomelately6341Ай бұрын
Hi Ipek, a couple of particular factors I was hoping for you to comment on soon: The Kamala factor and Deutsch Bank fiasco (ongoing for years) But thank you for these great overviews which are helping learn about the relativity of asset classes and market cycles.
@ipekozkardeskaya1383Ай бұрын
Cheers! Kamala Harris is the continuation of the Biden’s policies and I prefer to wait until I see concrete polls. Otherwise it’s too political for the show :) but that discussion will come often into November don’t worry. For DB, I prefer to focus on micro news that have a macro impact…
@efrenmariscalАй бұрын
Good analisis, thanks and wait to see FED desicion next week, Tks
@samthedoorАй бұрын
I have a feeling we will get a bounce today in the S&P but I agree that the trend is in, basically short Nasdaq, long Russell. I feel like there will have to be a time soon, where the Russell will also fail. Oil seems to be holding up to me, even if it has been weak. Looking forward towards September for oil. We may see these market trends until we get a rate cut, and then the weather will change again. PCE was stronger again but I'm sure they will cut by September. Lululemon didn't do well and makes sense that neither did Louis Vuitton. No yoga pants and fancy purses this year lol
@ipekozkardeskaya1383Ай бұрын
Haha yes, and no more expensive vacations, no flights. We are getting there. They will certainly ou cut in September, unless something big happens to prevent them 🤞🏻
@samthedoorАй бұрын
@@ipekozkardeskaya1383 Yeah, no vacay spending that's for sure. I think too that rate cuts could actually continue to put us in a downtrend or rotation, just because the market is nasty like that, full of counterintuitive behaviours due to positioning. I sold my BLDR stock for a small gain, I don't trust the Russel way up here. Oil looking like it will bounce next week
@sidmehra5431Ай бұрын
Rotation??? That certainly is a nice name for corrupt trading practices! Not this time though! I sold out of all my positions last week. I think this is where the downturn begins. Inflation is not going to back down because the Americans will not stop spending money. They need to feel serious financial pain in order to stop. Mohammed El-Arian (great respect and very learned) is really great at speculation and sitting on a fence … but he never takes a hard position so that blink of an eye is all the takes for him to change his position. The Fed really won’t be able to cut till the December time frames
@ipekozkardeskaya1383Ай бұрын
It looks topping to me too, but you never now with the rising dovish fed expectations. I will be surprised that the fed takes a step back now (for September) unless we see a very big warning calling for a no action. If they delay, it could be disastrous…
@sidmehra5431Ай бұрын
@@ipekozkardeskaya1383 - If they dont delay & come in now... there will be an unwinding of all the good work done with inflation rising again. On the other hand they need to pull consumer and corporate spending back and the only way to do is to deplete cash reserves... which is going to cost everyone dearly. Either which way... how does the Nasdaq sitting at 20,000 make it ok for it be there... The fact that the entire world has lost sight of any semblance of normalcy is going to be our downfall. Ok so I get it... Its pulled back to 18,900 but it belongs at 9,000!!!! Not this level...
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