Probably my favourite youtuber at the moment. Were basically getting CIA briefs for free. Please continue what you do its amazing
@warmonger250015 сағат бұрын
I'm willing to bet the CIA checks their numbers with his.
@CaptainBrawnson13 сағат бұрын
@@warmonger2500 I have no doubt that there are CIA analysts looking at open source intelligence to help validate their own data and methodologies for more publicly visible stuff like this, and probably to get a more quantified idea of the information advantage they hold for other areas OSINT can't really peer into.
@NandiCollector11 сағат бұрын
*My same exact thought! it's like you are for a free ride in Langley. ;)*
@martenkahr336510 сағат бұрын
@@warmonger2500 CIA probably also has access to internal Russian documents, as well as much better satellite images. So actual CIA briefs would tell not only the real state of these bases, but also how much the Russian chain of command is lying to itself.
@somelokyguy64668 сағат бұрын
@@warmonger2500 You're almost certainly right. Just last year the CIA put out a recruitment notice looking for open source analysts, because getting information from all angles is the key to success.
@196cupcake20 сағат бұрын
pretty smart about the shadows
@196cupcake5 сағат бұрын
@@bcde Snow accumulation would have to accumulate more in the hole where the turret was than on the rest of the tank, which isn't very realistic. Remember, we're doing an estimate here, so it never had to be perfect.
@thegeneralist75273 сағат бұрын
Pretty easy to make the satellite imagery lie. Just make a bunch of inflatable BMPs. Even coat them in tin foil to fake the infrared signature. Its a cat and mouse game since the first aerial observation balloons. Patton's ghost army in England was a great decoy in the D-day deception plan. You want to look strong where you are weak and weak where you are strong. Military intelligence is about the truth in spite of the enemy trying to conceal the truth and decieve you.
@derrickstorm69763 сағат бұрын
"Pretty smart" bro he literally took a look at the obvious
@196cupcake20 минут бұрын
@@derrickstorm6976 the best tricks seem obvious in hindsight
@sixstringedthing18 сағат бұрын
Using an artificially lit reference model to help in counting missing turrets via the positioning of shadows/contrast boundaries is pretty damn smart. Really emphasises that this work is not just about being able to pay for privately commissioned satellite imagery (as amazing as that is), it's also about how cleverly you can interpret the received data. Great work once again guys. Edit: Hate to admit it, but increasing the minimum order coverage from 1 to 5 square k's, while perhaps technically legitimate in terms of efficient tasking, is also a pretty Evil Genius way of discouraging "enthusiastic amateurs" from making requests for potentially sensitive imagery.
@luca-pk5ff20 сағат бұрын
Love your work covert
@luca-pk5ff20 сағат бұрын
Thanks for the 3 likes 🥹
@rogerwilco218 сағат бұрын
Indeed. Covert Cabal and his contributors do an amazing job.
@PapaProtein18 сағат бұрын
Here before the Russian bots try and shit on this comment LOL
@luca-pk5ff18 сағат бұрын
@@PapaProtein150 likes 🥵 Covert content is extraordinary to me
@kanoritaziuri3 сағат бұрын
Thats mr Cabal to you 😂
@GARDENER4219 сағат бұрын
I prefer this focus on individual bases - gives some real depth to the information.
@cthulhudreams757819 сағат бұрын
I like the individual base model as well
@TheDudeMaaaan18 сағат бұрын
yea real indepth coping for ya to suck on LMAAO
@darrenmx17 сағат бұрын
The 3D models are a great way of documenting too, makes changes really easy to track
@IndustrisasiIndonesia17 сағат бұрын
How many Ukraine tank left
@lesliegossner68116 сағат бұрын
@IndustrisasiIndonesia Depends how many the west wants to send them. Short answer is as many as is needed as long as we have the will. Australia just upgraded its tank fleet so is sending their old M1A1s for example.
@AlexejGubin19 сағат бұрын
Thanks a lot! I really admire your diligence: counting newer images, recounting old ones, keeping track of all of them, this is huge amount of work.
@jenskmigselv20 сағат бұрын
Fantastic and exciting work. Those "trends over time" you mention would be great to see per base and as a whole.
@zer0cool190919 сағат бұрын
What he said
@hannesbaum931820 сағат бұрын
These more in depth reports about each storage base are so cool, to see the process of your work and way more in depth detail of your work!
@bobwilson75819 сағат бұрын
Rust , corrosion , wasted wiring , ruined electrical systems , junk barrels , locked - up & worn out Diesel engines - mold - rats - hydraulic systems that couldn’t hold your beer 🍺 oil leaks , Fungus - bums , homeless gang - thieves … It’s a complete joke !
@andrewbaluk166318 сағат бұрын
come now! we arent talking about your daily beater here....
@davidlium933813 сағат бұрын
No, we’re talking about my daily driver car.
@lucaseric867912 сағат бұрын
It was hard enough keeping my LAV up and running when I was driver/gunner/commander and that's as a crew. I couldn't imagine how many issues these last ones have. I suspect that's why so many bases are reaching a point where their numbers don't change. At that point it's just a spare parts yard.
@henryrollins917712 сағат бұрын
It doesn't look like a joke on the battlefield thou...
@HereticalKitsune8 сағат бұрын
This feels like lyrics to a song, something like "We Didn't Start The Fire".
@malloc710819 сағат бұрын
thanks for continuing this series, the retrospective is especially useful for seeing the more recent changes
@dylanp409219 сағат бұрын
I just discovered this channel earlier today and honestly its so freaking fascinating. Keep up the good work!
@davidhalliday777619 сағат бұрын
Love these videos, keep them rolling.I also like the single base deeper dive format. Though rolling up periodically to totals for the whole of Russia like you do periodically is still needed.
@Peaky172 сағат бұрын
Two notes about this video: - Really clever that shadow method. - Love these individual analysis and why not have both? Deeper dives into each base and a "summary" video every trimester or something. Love your content
@MayaPosch19 сағат бұрын
Having both in-depth and summary videos is rather useful, I think. Each individual base deserves attention, and to get some background on its history and changes over time, while you also want to take a look at the bigger picture.
@wishingb585918 сағат бұрын
Wow, another Covert Cabal video. This process is my favorite! Thanks for doing this!
@LK-jl3pc19 сағат бұрын
Simply fantastic work you do. So much effort, but result is just great!
@petrogcracker671819 сағат бұрын
I enjoy your videos and also appreciate your work. The new idea with updating every base is much better and doesn't get rushed. It would be great if you could make updates like each 3 months from each base or something like that.
@Digmen119 сағат бұрын
Wow that 3D model is amazing. You are doing great work. I cant believe how they still use those old tanks!
6 сағат бұрын
I was baffled too, but you start to understand that it's not about the age but whether it still shoots, you won't use a gun to kill a fly
@jukeseyable10 сағат бұрын
The quality and depth of your analysis work is 2nd to none, Perun would buy you beers on the basis of this
@howtoappearincompletely973918 сағат бұрын
Wow! The quality of your work is jaw-dropping.
@NobbsAndVagene20 сағат бұрын
Hi Covert Cabal! Here's one for the algorithm.
@albertofoti415219 сағат бұрын
Makes sense the reason why not covering all bases. But having an idea of the overall numbers was the reason why people follow your channel. So try to make a recap of the overall situation very now and then
@RogerKaptunik20 сағат бұрын
Ah, the Rainman of storage facilities is back with a new video
@geedon119 сағат бұрын
I love these base stock count videos! Keep them coming. 🎉
@CleverSmart12316 сағат бұрын
Your in-depth analysis is of amazing quality. Thank you!
@rogerk618020 сағат бұрын
I was just thinking about this channel 15 minutes ago. And now a new video. Perfect!
@mcguigan9718 сағат бұрын
Thanks so much for all your hard work
@danheaton252216 сағат бұрын
Excellent work again, you and your friends that collaborate are the gold standard for vehicle numbers analysis. I definitely agree that the vast majority of the remaining vehicles are only fit for scrap or parting out otherwise, they would have been shipped to the front by now.
@hellboundchaoscommand756720 сағат бұрын
Last time I was this early Russia was considered a serious threat to western militaries. Edit: I managed to piss off the tankies and the bots Hallelujah
@bigblue691720 сағат бұрын
Did they have KZbin 40 years ago 🤨
@LeonardTavast20 сағат бұрын
They can be a serious nuisance even if they can't technically win a war against us. And their propeaganda is controlling MAGA which is bad enough.
@mattevans437720 сағат бұрын
It still is, while also somehow a joke too. The contradictions are wild
@cherrypoptart200120 сағат бұрын
i mean, if 30+ countries gotta make an alliance to fight 1 country then it is
@LonelySidTheSloth19 сағат бұрын
Well lets see, you take out USA out of Nato and just as Europe against them well, They have more personal , more arty and vehicles , now their soldiers and commanders gained combat experience in Ukraine, they have also adapted with Electronic warfare and their AA assets( you done see anymore bayraktar videos or any drones killing their AA systems), They have same military command command and they also speak the same language (compared to EU with many different militaries and commands and objectives and multi languages harder to command). Sure we got technology and training on our side , but they pretty much have everything else. I mean if USA starts doing "why get involved in that war " or "we got china to worry about" "Europeans didint put enough money in their defense why should American tax payer spend billions now" or any other political BS and doesn't come immediately to assist we would be in a very hard fight against russians unless they are stupid enough to engage Nato before finishing Ukraine. Currently I would say Ukrainian military is the strongest in Europe and they are barely holding them back.
@Erik_Ice_Fang18 сағат бұрын
While the quality may be poor for many of these storage bases, the quantity of both the remaining and taken equipment is mind boggling. Meanwhile here in the USA, we dithered and delayed on sending a mere 31 Abrams, even though we have nearly 2500 in storage
@luciusartorius343718 сағат бұрын
Don't worry about the quality, it's fully cleaned of any components and only the armored hull remains which doesn't deteriorate, which then has internals installed
@nikolaideianov509210 сағат бұрын
@@luciusartorius3437 sooo The litteral cheapest part is what remains? (Also yes rust matters on the hulls)
@aitorbleda82678 сағат бұрын
While yes, the cheapest part remains, there is a bottleneck in production. Producing high quality steel, laminating, and adding composites would limit the production a lot. Also, the us insisted on modified abrams, and that takes time.@@nikolaideianov5092
@luciusartorius34377 сағат бұрын
@nikolaideianov5092 hulls are literally the most expensive part, most countries don't even produce tank hulls anymore, last leclerc hull, last leopard hull were produced in 90-00s just for your knowledge, also textolite doesn't rust
@nikolaideianov50927 сағат бұрын
@luciusartorius3437 bruh in the video you can see the rusted hulls T55s and bmps dont use textolite + are you trying to tell me that the engine, transmission ,gun, electronics are cheaper to make then a litteral metal box? (This is what all armored vehicles are in the emd, a metal box)
@Jambitjigs20 сағат бұрын
I wait for your videos to come out more than any other KZbinr, amazing work, keep it up mate ❤
@patallen50952 минут бұрын
The analysis here is top notch! 3-D modelling is icing on the cake!!
@nitroxinfinity20 сағат бұрын
Any chance for a video on Russia's airforce? How much they've got left, the flight hours on each frame and the 'maximum', etc.
@sjonnieplayfull585918 сағат бұрын
They don't have any real storages, just active planes or parked inactive ones, all at airfields. The number of airfields is higher than the number of these storage facilities, with more shelters as a percentage, compared to the tank storages. Since many fly around a lot it's harder to say which plane parked where, and with satellite images you can't tell how many hours an airframe has flown. I agree that it would be really interesting, and valuable to Ukraine, it just does not sound feasible at the moment
@maxfmfdm15 сағат бұрын
Insane. You just do really valuable research and share it with everyone? Blessed
@j.johnson352011 минут бұрын
You guys really are super professional. Thanks for the great work and videos.
@stevenniccoli59675 сағат бұрын
I love the 3 D model of the Storage Base! Great Job 👍
@ptonpc16 сағат бұрын
Thank you for doing these.
@craigstewart20582 сағат бұрын
Another fantastic video. Thank you for all the time and effort you put into your research.
@FacitOmniaVoluntas.4 сағат бұрын
Regardless of the outcome of this war, Russia can no longer be classified as a major military power after this war. This classification was always dubious but it was based on Russia’s massive resources and reserves, but those are now gone.
@edyslavico37615 сағат бұрын
these BMPs look straight out of Chernobyl lol
@TheGunnarRoxen3 сағат бұрын
Excellent work! Crazy, detailed work.
@MartinSheckelstorm20 сағат бұрын
Nice analysis..well done
@sparhawk551520 сағат бұрын
Excellent work, as always
@HereticalKitsune8 сағат бұрын
Great work with the simulation and shadows! Very cool.
@chrisjeffery958220 сағат бұрын
Appreciate the work!
@Stabu20 сағат бұрын
Amazing work once again.
@PeteGasser4 сағат бұрын
Great stuff guys! Thank you 😊
@BlackSkorpion199120 сағат бұрын
20 seconds ago is crazy ! 😮
@RunnerRunnerRunСағат бұрын
hye man, just figured i'd give my two cents - these "one base per video" videos are great, if this is more fun for you, keep it up! love your work, and don't let complainers get to you
@patricaristide76784 сағат бұрын
Outstanding as always!
@markmonaghan230919 сағат бұрын
Fantastic thanks again
@Glogcke19 сағат бұрын
Man this work is so valuable.
@jansenart018 сағат бұрын
Bro, the layout at 5:18 would make a sick CoD map.
@simoc2414 сағат бұрын
Thanks for the details I prefer for you to do both: deep dive into individual base and a big picture summary 👍 Both are good info 👍 thanks
@playofpcoldwar17 сағат бұрын
Amazing work, smart idea about using shadows. Would’ve never thought of that!
@randomviewer34949 сағат бұрын
While I like the focus on individual bases, I think its also nice to see a country wide recap every once in a while. Less in dept, but a good general overview.
@henricomonterosa45345 сағат бұрын
I imagine your overview is more accurate than that of the russian ministry of defence :D
@JeffKogut18 сағат бұрын
Would love to see the potential number of tanks for each base in those storage sheds.
@sjonnieplayfull585918 сағат бұрын
I remember one base where he did that, noting buildings that had holes in the roofs showing nothing inside, as well as pictures on social media showing them empty or filled, giving a grand total of 200 possible extra tanks iirc. I think he also looked at snow remaining on top of the roof indicating nothing happening inside at all Several bases don't really have garages or just a handful, so at the moment the best guess is: Not much compared to the total number
@ponz-16 сағат бұрын
Loving the 3D models! Thanks for the video
@rtqii6 сағат бұрын
Excellent work!
@juju81199 сағат бұрын
In depth is super, thanks
@fdk701419 сағат бұрын
If the outside of the BMP's look like that then the inside equipment and motor is going to be completely ruined. All hoses and belts and whatever else must be completely wilted. These are pure scrap, they won't run again.
@standupstraight96919 сағат бұрын
non-mechanical people dont take that into account. water in the wiring, rodents, not to mention the havoc that a frozen winter plays.
@adriangabrieljones8812 сағат бұрын
Thank you for the hard work!
@b1air774 сағат бұрын
The shadows via digital modeling is very impressive for OSINT. Bravo!
@_HADE_20 сағат бұрын
Excellent work. It would be neat to do a video on the naval or aerial assets, although probably more difficult as they move around.
@NothernNate19 сағат бұрын
Ruxxia has to be feeling this war in the worst way. 👌 They are taking serious losses
@7171jay19 сағат бұрын
With Russia fast approaching 700,000 casualties, 9000+ tanks 18,000 armored personnel carriers, and 20,000 pieces of artillery lost in the attempt Putin's folly is a simply giant brutal disaster that is destroying Russia even more than Ukraine. Even if Russia managed to somehow win this war the spoils of Ukraine would not make up for what Putin has spent not only in Russian lives but the destruction of the Russian army and the Russian economy. When Ukraine eventually prevails (and they will) they will have the help of the west to recover from this war but Russia will have nothing. The next few decades in Russia will be extremely bleak even by Russian standards.
@bc-guy85216 сағат бұрын
Thank you for the excellent work you and your associates achieve for us! I'm sure it takes a TON of time - even with your 3D model and software - which in itself must take a ton of time!
@brettbenson769020 сағат бұрын
Love your work. Thank you.
@stratosphericozone264520 сағат бұрын
Thanks. It is great to see the better images of the bases. Please continue! Since the video at the start of July, which I think found 700 tanks in decent condition and 1856 in poor condition, Ukraine have reported destroying around 1000 more tanks. I think the October losses from Ukraine support that Russia are having to fight with fewer tanks. The month of October saw the highest number of combat engagements, the highest losses of troops, equipment, APVs, vehicles, UAVs since the start of the war but fewer tanks losses than Sept 2024 and the 2nd fewest month since Sept 2023.
@wolven77720 сағат бұрын
destroyed a 1000 more tanks?! Are russians painting their tanks in yellow and lining them up for the ukrainians to destroy? The official channels really think they are talking to fools!
@1djbecker14 сағат бұрын
We are seening considerably more videos of Russians retrieving damaged combat vehicles. They are presented as Ukrainian drone attacks, but the subtext is that Russians have needed to change how they view vehicles. The cold war perspective was informed by their WW2 experience: heavy losses were expected, but that massive numbers would still be overwhelming. Broken vehicles would just be left behind, along with the destroyed ones. There wasn't a point in building vehicles to operate for thousands of hours with careful maintenance. Instead they were built inexpensively, in large numbers, and meant to last decades with little attention.
@captivahender12 сағат бұрын
The Russian lack of armoured vehicles is a clear trend visible for months. That's why they started sending people by foot, by Chinese motorbikes, golf carts... At the same time, Ukraine boosted its drone production. There are more Ukrainian drones in the sky than ever before.
@sniperduells20 сағат бұрын
Nice work. russia is really beginning to get low on old hardware.
@ux-zd6hu5 сағат бұрын
Finally it will be replaced by new models :) Russian factories are working 24/7 in 3 shifts and new ones are under construction.
@janpindak795020 сағат бұрын
Awesome job! Thank you very much!!!
@macster10008 сағат бұрын
great work guys!!
@williamlloyd376916 сағат бұрын
Got to admit, clever use of modeling software!
@RAFASOP11 сағат бұрын
May I suggest on your 3d model. Colouring the tanks. Red= Junk, Yellow=fixable and green=okay.
@themaskedarabrussian12 сағат бұрын
Mr Cabal! Welcome back! We missed you...
@christycullen23555 сағат бұрын
I much prefer these long deep dives into each individual base. The 3d models are especially good
@jameskinard18 сағат бұрын
Love the model then allowing for more exact figuring of shadows and generating more information about these sites.
@thomasstuder16245 сағат бұрын
I appreciate your work. With the base by base videos, I suggest adding a country wide tally based on the last counts of the individual bases. I suspect I am not alone in watching mainly to see how much longer Russia can keep going. Keep up the good work.
@benparker252217 сағат бұрын
Another awesome video, thanks!
@CharlesLeigh-Smith-lm1yz6 сағат бұрын
Nice imaging. Intelligent reporting.
@Tehokaksikko88829 сағат бұрын
Nice work👍
@balbalblaify20 сағат бұрын
Thanks for your work, Covert. Shoutout from Ukraine.
@Lord_Afgul6 сағат бұрын
Great stuff💪
@ImRandomDudeСағат бұрын
0:22 lol they even send hangars to the front
@sfx262718 сағат бұрын
2:42 Throwing flashbang!
@bdcochran0115 сағат бұрын
A couple of observations. Since the Special Operation commenced, there has been an effort to send tanks to specific locations based upon model of tank. . . . makes it more efficient to repair and put into service. In 2010, the scrapping of older tanks was accelerated.
@lpdirv17 сағат бұрын
Militaries should really hire these guys, amazing analysis.
@kalkuttadrop637117 сағат бұрын
Do a video on pre-T54 tanks in museums and deep storage and NK and Chinasourcing. T-34, T-44, T-26, IS-8/T-10. IS-3, IS-2, KV, BT Series, ISU-152, SU-100, 2A3 Kondensator, Object prototypes
@pavelkoudelka893410 сағат бұрын
great work :D thanks for that
@BramHeerebout20 сағат бұрын
Another great video, thank you!
@jasonmalone15513 сағат бұрын
Love the videos!
@kaszaspeter7712 сағат бұрын
Thank you for the excellent work.
@acmelka15 сағат бұрын
I am still occasionally shocked by the fact anyone can buy images that were the output of the best spy satellites for half a century
@marsspacex606515 сағат бұрын
The NRO's KH-11 satellites are hubble size telescopes pointed down they can see to a resolution of 5-10cm which is like 5x better than these images.
@dalehill61276 сағат бұрын
Very interesting, thank you.👏🏻🎉
@veritaspk12 сағат бұрын
The USSR filled these bases with equipment for decades - once it is used up, Russia has no chance of ever rebuilding these supplies.
@williamyoung940113 сағат бұрын
Counting those tanks that are probably completely inoperable, I'll bet the 111th is probably closer to 85%+ empty.
@ronb80667 сағат бұрын
Excellent and meticulous work, as always. If I were the director of the CIA, I would definitely hire you guys.
@ux-zd6hu5 сағат бұрын
You can always try to apply the intelligence services of the Nazi Ukraine, not only to CIA.
@cmdr191116 сағат бұрын
Assigning feelings to military bases is wildly entertaining to me