Russia's Frontline Tradeoffs: The Strategy of Every Current Battle in Ukraine

[@Alexander-yb1zc]

The butterfly of the century "Taylor swift lead to Putins downfall...let me explain"

[@deborahgarry9363]

and all the notables and influencers that are urging everyone to VOTE BLUE"

[@eikonise]

I can't imagine Taylor's endorsement having a net positive effect. Overall , I expect this election to be a close run thing, and Celebrity endorsements tend to backfire at least as much as they help their intended candidate.

[@andytroo]

@@eikonise Taylor Swift said "Trump misused my image without my permission. To be clear, I am not going to vote for him. Go and do research, and go and vote". She didn't actually say for other people to vote for anyone, only explained that she personally did not think the guy who violated her rights should run the USA.

[@RolandOnnaRiver]

"Everything's connected, man!"

[@nvelsen1975]

@@eikonise Anyone who somehow hates Taylor Swift enough to have their behaviour changed by such a general statement as she did, was already marching around right arm up shouting "Heil Putin, heil MAGA", only stopping to clean their brown shirt, anyway.

[@albarnie1168]

Would be helpful to have a distance scale in the corner, to understand the scale at play.

[@robertdeen8741]

Brings to mind Black Adder 4. The 3D map of their gains in the trenches. Look at all the land we Concord. What is the scale Cpt Darling. 1 to 1 sir.

[@thetawaves247]

Viewers named Andrew and Kurt are absolutely fuming right now

[@johnyoung4163]

69 likes…nice

[@Organic_Chemistry_Junkie]

Funny how one of my favorite bloggers on the war is named Andrew M. Tanner, he runs the Rogue Systems Recon blog on Substack.

[@andrewjohnston1834]

im in great pain

[@raj_2005_]

​@@andrewjohnston1834LMAO

[@demos113]

Spaniel for the lines & Perun for the PowerPoint. 🙃

[@baltulielkungsgunarsmiezis9714]

An enlightening combination.

[@deborahferguson1163]

Aren’t we lucky!

[@Lxcx311]

And suchomimus for the satellite and drone video analysis on a daily basis !!

[@baltulielkungsgunarsmiezis9714]

@@Lxcx311 I like Covert Cabal for first hand reaserch of Russijan reserves.

[@nnonotnow]

We've heard this take before

[@OManoDIT26]

Willian Spinel when lines are moving or smth

[@NegBPlusMinusSqrtB2Minus4ac-2a]

willem spine wen line mov or smn

[@dfsdh432v9]

this guy has no clue,

[@nicoEmt187]

@@GenuineAccounting FTFY: "Retreat or Surrender are the only two options the RAF have"

[@legrandfromage6450]

@@OManoDIT26 spinel is one of my favourite mineral groups

[@petefrys545]

​@@GenuineAccountingSo you say

[@Amradar123]

Oh wow, you got your own personal russian troll assigned to your channel. Congratualtions 🎉 😂

[@loonowolf2160]

What?

[@johnjingleheimersmith9259]

the zbots have invaded the comments. seems like they think if they cope hard enough it will bring toropets back.

[@TonyDSG]

Anyone I disagree with is a bot

[@Gazkhuul]

" I only want to hear things that agree with me and when I don't they are a bot. No, I am not the bot."

[@tonyf3431]

the number of non-sequitur comments talking about how Ukraine is doomed is pretty suspicious

[@Corvinwhite]

I am legally blind thank you for the informative Contin your videos are very helpful keep up the good work

[@stanislavstef]

Oh, don't worry... most of the UKI bots here are also blind. It's a sort of an epidemic.

[@WYRPODCAST]

@@stanislavstefI don’t think he can see your comment

[@ncp321]

Then how do you see the Lines on Maps?

[@danielhale1]

The russia bots and trolls hate this channel so much, and it's hilarious watching them try to insert their own narratives. Buzzing little mosquitoes. Thank you as always for the really interesting deep dive into what's happening on the front lines, and what drives those events.

[@JeffGordon-ph4vz]

I literally haven’t seen any though like 95% of these comments are praising the video its not even biased 😂

[@Mr.Funnyman273]

Da pososi huyaku uzhe i uspokoisya, hohlina tuporylaya.

[@danielhale1]

@@JeffGordon-ph4vz A lot of comments disappear quickly because people report 'em, but as I've found in previous videos, that's a manual process and disinformation spam can be automated (and the fleshlings are doing it as a job or pseudo-religion). The early moments of a video have more active community reporting, but eventually stuff will start to get through.

[@shueyk2320]

OK Zogbot 👍

[@gustavlicht9620]

I noticed that in the last 4 days or so Russian/Trump trolls are working overtime on any Internet forum related to Ukraine war and US presidential election. The fact that both subjects (Ukraine and presidential election) see a lot of information operations at the same time suggests that the same actor is behind them.

[@jole5468]

it would be cool if you made videos about some of the lesser covered conflicts still going on as well as the ukraine war. it feels like nobody is covering whats going on in africa anymore, as well as syria and countries that have had military coups relatively recently in asia.

[@kjj26k]

It's literally Star Wars/Just Cause/Far Cry in Myanmar/Burma right now.

[@pogo8050]

Africa? Literally just the whole conflict of Africa?

[@MohamedAli-eo2iz]

​@@pogo8050 literally the whole country of Africa is on fire

[@pogo8050]

@@MohamedAli-eo2iz the Maginot line of Africa stretches from Lake Victoria to Carthage

[@zongdong266]

you got any small wars you would like to cover?

[@marlenfras5490]

Good reporting. Many thanks. Strong Ukraine. Strong NATO. Strong Poland.

[@andresfelipeod6819]

after 3 years, poor Wiliam Spaniel didnt Learn anything. This War is not about Maps, or Lines, or Terrytory. this War is about Destroying the enemy on the BattleField, just like the old Russian Zarists doctrines. or Prussians. once you destroy the army , you get the entire nation of the Enemy. so, is not a war measured on meters or miles. is a war meassured on the almost 760,000 Ucranian Soldiers (according to Colonell McGregor and his Pentagon Leaks) front of the 120,000 K,I.A. of the Russians (according to the Portal of Mediazone , from the British intelligence open Sources)

[@carlflaherty2215]

And, hopefully, the United States government can stay strong too.

[@andresfelipeod6819]

after 3 years, poor Wiliam Spaniel didnt Learn anything. This War is not about Maps, or Lines, or Terrytory. this War is about Destroying the enemy on the BattleField, just like the old Russian Zarists doctrines. or Prussians. once you destroy the army , you get the entire nation of the Enemy. so, is not a war measured on meters or miles. is a war meassured on the almost 760,000 Ucranian Soldiers (according to Colonell McGregor and his Pentagon Leaks) front of the 120,000 K,I.A. of the Russians (according to the Portal of Mediazone , from the British intelligence open Sources)

[@andresfelipeod6819]

and yes. @@carlflaherty2215 hope the Stupid Goberment of Biden Administration do not Harm so much the power of the Goverment. , this Loss of Ucraine had been devastating for all the American interests, in Asia. Hope Trump made ammendments when he win.

[@RepublicaSindicalista_doBrasil]

I hope things change. Better later than never.

[@sinancothebest]

Aww that was a sudden end, left me craving for more analysis where exactly Russia's prospective lines would be in case of success in these fronts. One front you totally ignored is Toretsk-Niu York front, which is also very important and makes up the middle of the triangular defense line of Pokrovsk-Toretsk-Chasiv Yar

[@Prometheus-Unbound]

One of the things making Saturday interesting - lines on Maps 🙂

[@RW-qg5rj]

The sweeping assumption that the Kremlin could continue at its current pace of burning through its military resources at the current levels that it has left significantly overestimates Moscow's capacity to wage war in this regard unless this aspect is covered somewhere that I missed. I suspect that Budanov's estimates that mid-2025 or early 2026 is not far off. Coupled with soaring inflation, destruction of energy refining, production and transmission capacity, fuel storage, and munitions, these are a few factors that significantly affect the outlook of what is sure to unfold on the Kremlin's side of the ledger.

[@horstnietzsche1923]

😂 yaay both types of idiot are here.

[@LarsDlw]

@@kazinozlatnik🤡

[@ateampossible]

Depends if OPEC i.e Saudi Arabia continues pumping

[@tuehojbjerg969]

@@kazinozlatnik So all the satelitepictures that show the storage is starting to empty dont mean anything to you?? all the modern stuff is gone, they are pulling material form the 1950 and 1960 out of storage now and that will run out next year

[@FloridaMan.84]

😂😂Russia has endless resources 😂😂😂

[@kshitizbhargava-h6l]

Vulhedar fell today.

[@equalsCMsquared]

Technically the war between north and South Korea never ended.

[@vez3834]

De facto did though

[@equalsCMsquared]

I’ve been to the DMZ. Google “DMZ plaque” and it’s the pic with all the different country flags on it. States the Korean War was brought to a halt, but not over.

[@yarnickgoovaerts]

Same thing with China and Taiwan

[@TheBigWall3284]

​@@vez3834it's just a ceasefire (with incidents happening from time to time)

[@allanflippin2453]

William, Do you have any analysis on the impact of Ukraine taking out those ammo depots? It seems like eventually, that stuff would add up. Or maybe China is taking up the slack?

[@OperationDarkside]

Quick Maths tells me, that russia now has less ammo. Captain Obvious, out.

[@redvirusexe]

In the short run, probably reduced Russian’s strike capability. In the long run, probably insignificant since Russia’s production is still more than what NATO is supplying to Ukraine. Ukraine still has a disadvantage in terms of manpower, artillery ammunitions and even supply of military equipment

[@kingace6186]

China is only sending dual-use goods. Ammo only has one use: war.

[@kingace6186]

Less ammo and equipment, but still more soldiers.

[@allanflippin2453]

@@OperationDarkside Not so obvious: how significant is the ammo loss? Enough to matter to the war? Or just a bragging point for Ukraine's capabilities?

[@jcdisci]

The more frequently you post, the better I like it.

[@thexalon]

If I recall correctly, there was reporting on how Ukraine's war plan assumed fighting continuing until at least 2026, with a lot of the thinking being "we'll keep getting western supplies, while Russia will start running out of stuff to throw at us". Russia's efforts to push west taking another 2.5 years suggests that their predictions weren't wrong.

[@PappaTom-ub3ht]

Ukraines intelligence claim that russia will run out of equipment in 2026. with continued support from the west until then, the tide will turn on the main front lines as well.

[@mikelthemafia]

One small issue: russia outproduces europe and america by at least 150%

[@lordofshades9852]

​@mikelthemafia at what cost? If you can pump out 20 tanks a month but their quality is shit it won't matter.

[@mikelthemafia]

@@lordofshades9852 if russia only produces shit, then why the fuck are there so many destroyed ukrainian vehicles in kursk? Why are the f16 wrecked? and the himars? And the bradleys?

[@Oppen1945]

​@@mikelthemafialol Russia at full war economy is barely "outproducing" Europe and the US who aren't having a war economy in barely anything.

[@TheSunBro]

Ugh I hate to hear all this but at least you give it to us straight. Love ya

[@buttzkrieg3919]

I expect putin to go on another begging tour of the third-world after all that ammo went off over the weekend

[@lysandroabelcher2592]

-viewers-named-Andrew-or-Kurt- hahahahaha

[@itsthatoneguy2921]

Mmmmmmm lines❤

[@monkemode8128]

Ruck Fussia

[@AAAAAA-tj1nq]

Ukraine is a lost cause

[@nateghast6456]

Cgree aomrade.

[@nateghast6456]

@@AAAAAA-tj1nq Suck an egg.

[@nicklindberg90]

​@@AAAAAA-tj1nqhow's the 3 day SMO going? Over yet?

[@unstoppabletigertalukan6710]

​@@nicklindberg90 high intensify warfare was never easy Especially when a lot of the previous leaders are blood relatives of the ancient russian family Durakov

[@baltulielkungsgunarsmiezis9714]

You cant say Pokrovsk? How strange... Just stop trying to diphongize the o. Its o not ou. Pokrovsk not Prokrouvsk.

[@mariusvanc]

I dunno, everyone is copying Perun and trying to pronounce things with a fake accent, which just makes it worse. Just read it the way it's written.

[@UGNAvalon]

@mariusvanc “Just read it the way it is written”. - Are you aware of just how inconsistent English pronunciations are?? Let me give you a clue: “-ough” Is it “tough”? “Though”? “Thought”? “Drought”? If we were Spanish-speakers, then we could “read it as it is written”, but English-speakers have no such luxury.

[@jenswetter251]

I'm sure we can put this on artificial stupidity, aka autocorrect. I have difficulties pronouncing POKROVKS either, DIPHONGIZING the o or not, but luckily it's Pokrovsk and not Pokrovks, and it's diphthongize instead of diphongize. I'm struggling hard not to get autocorrected too, but let's agree to call the town POKROVSK and the linguistic intricacy DIPHTHONGIZE. By the way, autocorrect replaced without asking my "linguistic" with "linguini" and "intricacy" with "inticarcy" and then with "intimacy". Writers of all nations, unite! (Against Autocorrect)

[@jenswetter251]

​@@UGNAvalonI am, but English speakers have a terrible retribution: any word, name or expression from a non-English language, be it French, Latin, German, Greek or Hindi, is fed into the FLG (foreign language grinder) from which it emerges as if it had been pronounced since, well, practically ever like an english word. Medical or legal expressions, French names, German writers, Italian wines: you name it, the FLG grinds it. Foreign language users cringe, and English language users assume that it's pronounced like that wherever they go.

[@baltulielkungsgunarsmiezis9714]

@@mariusvanc I dont know what you mean. But yes the english should learn to read.

[@hyperion3135]

Us westerners are the only peoples who are arguing whether we should defend ourselves while a enemy is trying to exterminate us.

[@sammiller6631]

They're also the ones arguing whether immigrants are eating dogs in Springfield, Ohio.

[@Aqueox]

@@sammiller6631Seriously. Everyone knows the uncivilized… “immigrants”… are. Doesn’t take a genius to figure it out. Anyone defending the immigration bullshit really just hates White people.

[@pierresaslawsky1723]

Thank you. Clear and enlightening as always.

[@saphironkindris]

I no longer think that Russia taking Donetsk is plausible, assuming that everything continues predictably (A dangerous assumption during a war, I know.) They do not have the steam left. Not all land is created equal, and they have a lot of really dense urban environments left to go through, many of which have not been leveled to the ground yet. At the current rate of equipment attrition, even assuming they get as much land as they did in August for every month going forwards, They do not have 30 months worth of equipment left, nor can they use it at as high of a rate. Ukraine also faces this problem too, obviously, but Foreign aid hasn't yet shut off. I think the big thing to watch for right now is, as ever, the US elections. If Trump wins and shuts off the tap that will be a big blow that will drag this war on for a very long time. I don't see any path to victory for Russia assuming a Kamala win where she continues along with Biden's policies on Ukraine.

[@phillipgohorns]

Ukraine is running out of men. Who will man the defense of Ukraine?

[@phillipgohorns]

You are assuming that Trump will not put pressure on Putin - he has ALOT OF LEVERS TO PULL - the US will end this war and both sides will accept less than what they aspired to - that is the nature of compromise.

[@phillipgohorns]

The election of Kamala Harris will magically create a 2M man sophisticated NATO army for Ukraine!!!!!! THAT IS CRAZY

[@ctOrEANt]

​@@phillipgohornsUkraine hasn't even started conscripting 20-25 year olds yet, it has plenty of manpower left

[@ReichLife]

"They do not have the steam left." Bruh, this nonsense again?

[@teorloges315]

"Good news everyone!" wasnt futuristic enough

[@herrgreubel2584]

As a viewer called André which translates to Andrew, I´m feeling very offended by the animation at 2:31. Unsubscribed!!11!

[@herrgreubel2584]

Worst thing is, my uncle is actually called Kurt (it´s a common German name). Can´t even show him the video...

[@MuhammadakbarAK47]

1:51 It's strange there are no motorbikes here.

[@TheVaporEyes]

I miss the hidden pictures in these videos! Any chance of bringing them back? (Or are they still there and I'm just not noticing? )

[@Princip777]

Vuhledar has fallen?

[@SabinStargem]

I expect that the internal change for Russia would be their vehicle endurance when compared to Ukraine. According to Covert Cabal, the vehicle parks are emptying at a trickle now - which suggests that there are no working machines left. IIRC it was roughly 2026 that it was speculated that Russia's operating vehicle fleet would be shattered. There isn't enough spare machinery, be it from parks or the factories, to keep things in alright shape. Ukraine, on the other paw, can regenerate their vehicle power through western suppliers. While they probably won't gain strength, they also won't lose nearly as much when compared to Russia.

[@davidzachmeyer1957]

EAST of Bakhmut? Don't you mean _west_ of Bakhmut?

[@jandrews7329]

Fantastic video. I love your videos on the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Incredibly informative and accessible. I could happily watch one every day. Infact I check daily to see if there are any new ones. Thanks!

[@crazydrifter13]

Hehe I saw this video was uploaded only 21s ago and I clicked super quickly

[@matto4228]

i was faster

[@SuperMagnum2011]

Thanks William. 🇬🇧🇺🇦🇬🇧🇺🇦🇬🇧🇺🇦

[@DEMONiCKRUSH]

Love your videos, I havent missed one since 2020! Can you cover a little more about the conflict currently going on in lebanon/bierut?

[@trifonivanov3174]

the vid is very informative and interesting. I have just 1 small problem. I don't believe Putin needs to justify to anyone attacking territories that are not part of Russia even in Russian law. These territories can be used as a bargaining chip. Also Russian territory in the Kursk Region is in Ukranian hands so i really don't think any Russian would look at the law there and say "hey we're invading a foreign country, we shouldn't do that"

[@hamster8706]

Wake up, William Spaniel just uploaded

[@kkyrezis]

Your profile picture had me questioning my eyes

[@yarnickgoovaerts]

My hypothesis for the lack of movement on the Zaporizhzhia front is that Russia plans to reactivate it when Ukraine goes trough another round of mobilization so the new recruits are forced to be deployed before they’ve received proper training and on a part of the frontline where they have limited effect on the larger war

[@Golden-lc6oi]

I already see one person/bot spreading misinformation.

[@waltgreen8759]

new subscriber. glad I found it. 😀

[@goon3rJO]

So Ukraine is winning ?

[@sinancothebest]

Ukraine's Donetsk front has been crumbling significantly in the last two months, with Vuhledar, Pokrovsk, Toretsk and Chasiv Yar being important points of contention where Russia has been slowly advancing. Surely the season and urban warfare will slow down their push but at this rate I see a bit of wavering on the Ukraine side, at least in Donetsk.

[@7ITZDANGER7]

Russia is winning

[@reedschrichte800]

The oblast borders are as a rule just arbitrary lines on a map. Either side can redraw the borders at any time. The exception is Crimea, which is a geographically distinct entity.

[@mikeku825]

Oh, great youtube algorithm.. Take this comment as tribute. May your hunger be satisfied.

[@kimanddanahaagenson5595]

😂😂😂

[@CoronelOcioso]

Congrats on Russian troll/bots! S.U.

[@roblegendary8154]

Russia may be able to keep mobilizing men at a huge cost but weaponry will be their biggest issue in the long war seeing it is already becoming an issue now.

[@davidford3115]

Indeed. Production can't keep up despite what the Kremlin shill claim. New T-90 builds only account for 10% at best of the "fresh" equipment being sent to the front line. And all the other categories show similar numbers. Perun went TWICE into the numbers for Russian military production.

[@frankgulla2335]

Thank you , William for this updating of the situation in Ukraine. I do wish you had cheerier news from time to time.

[@JohnnyChronic18]

Giggity

[@paulfalke6227]

"Political Feasibility" is a nice little problem for Putin. I think, "Political Survival" is the bigger problem for Putin. Up to today, his "special operation" had very high cost for Russia (and Ukraine, too). This cost will increase for years, even if Russia stops all activities today. Russia has lost many men, has injured men. Russia has lost most of its military material and, last but not least, has inflation. Ukraine military and partisans have demonstrated their ability to destroy military targets or "dual purpose" targets like bridges deep in Russia. Can Russia stop these "terrorist attacks" (russian word use)? I think not.

[@ГалинаФетисова-ю4м]

Sounds cool, when you forget Ukraine lost much more men, territory, equipment and population in general. Of course Russia will suffer from this, but Ukraine may never recover.

[@LynxTheDemonOfThePride]

​@@ГалинаФетисова-ю4мИнфо из Рен ТВ? Первого канала? Ну откуда ты знаешь сколько погибло украинцев,а сколько россиян? Двум сторонам говорят о потерях,но не ихних,и потери с украинской стороны явно раз в 5 меньше,учитывая факта,что на фронте всего было замечено приблизительно 200 тысяч украинских военных. Ну а россицских военных пртблизительно уже более 650 тысяч,и ге говори,что источник с украинских сайтов,ибо в отличии от россиян я не только украинские источники смотрю,но сверяя с вашими мне хочется поржать. Если 1,5 тысяч уже умирает россиян каждый день за одно село? И это каждый день. Лишь для того что бы просочиться в одно уходит 15 тысяч россиян.

[@ГалинаФетисова-ю4м]

@@LynxTheDemonOfThePride Это называет логика и наличие мозгов. ВСУ была больше в 5 раз в 2022м году, чем контингент РФ (миллион против 200к), в РФ после прошла 1 мобилизация на 300к и набор добровольцев идёт уже полтора года, но общее число где-то + еще тысяч 200-300, итого 800к солдат. потеряли русские в районе 200к мертвыми и раненными. Украина мобилизовать людей не прекращает всю войну, силком отправляют мужиков на фронт уже тысячами, это значит потери, КАК МИНИМУМ, в полтора-два раза выше чем у РФ, так как народу люто не хватает. Ну а учитывая потерянные территории и выехавшие из страны 10 миллионов человек (большая часть из которых никогда не вернется), можете сделать выводы, что останется от страны.

[@LynxTheDemonOfThePride]

@@ГалинаФетисова-ю4м Могу,и также могу не только российские источники смотреть в отличии от некоторых,ведь по такой логике,если у вас говорится,что Украина миллион мобилизоровала,советую почитать другие источники. Но если бы на фронте и вправду миллион было,фронт бы намного больше удерживался,но вот что я скажу,именно Россия мобилизоровала более миллиона,так как потери настоящие больше 600 тысяч,зетников не хватает,вот и обычных россиян начали призывать,плюс естественно Украина будет мобилизовать людей,но уже явно не силой. Советую просто почитать другие источники,лишь для интереса,узнать больше информации,нежели говорит бред,о котором говорят Соловьева и Соловьев.

[@jorgecaballerocastillo2435]

I am a regular viewer of your videos. I feel this video was not able to conclude. The introduction and the body of the video are there but the conclusion, not really.

[@SerenityMae11]

Nice English there

[@royrieder2113]

​@@SerenityMae11 His English is good.

[@jorgecaballerocastillo2435]

@royrieder2113 Thanks. I have become self-conscious about my English since getting better in German.

[@lysandroabelcher2592]

There is seldom a conclusion on most of his video essays. The situation keeps being open ended.

[@erikstolzenberger1517]

Yeah, that's how good journalism should be, just like education: being served the variables, given the tools to work with them...and then left to conclude and think yourself.Tabloids are for idiots. ;)

[@yad-thaddag]

It would be a major setback for Ukraine if it loses the tourism board of Zaporizhzhia.

[@petersouthernboy6327]

Cool beans 🫘

[@carkawalakhatulistiwa]

1:51 It's strange there are no motorbikes here.

[@moflefermin6265]

Yessss!

[@sirsplintfastthepungent1373]

"Luke, you done gone too far when you mess with The Map With No Lines." - DragLINE

[@AndrewTJ31]

I will not stand for this insult.

[@Borjigin.]

'Political Will' was great

[@LegaliseFinland]

Absolute banger

[@RogerK9883]

Curious, how can there be lines too not cross, if Russia has no borders?

[@ulrichbrodowsky5016]

I'm waiting for the thought process of a viewer called "Andrew or Kurt". Seems like a strange name

[@pyrophobia133]

Russians are slow to saddle but fast to ride -Bismarck

[@JM-ym8mm]

Aviators in hand, let's go Jack!

[@Gametheory101]

Okay, but we’re going to the ice cream shop, right?

[@robertdeen8741]

I for one wasn't surprised by Ivan's incompetence. Can't recall the name of the book or the wrriter. Was written by a defected Russian tanker after he helped "liberate" Hungery. What he wrote about how bad the T55s were and the poor state of the army. I think the Pentagon tried to cover it up. Would of been very hard to justify their budget when everyone knew over half the tanks couldn't move but were dug in hulldown on the border.

[@pan2990]

12 minute gang. What kind of heathen places his aviators lens down on a surface?

[@zanzan2738]

Don't talk nonsense about conscripts. Partial mobilization in the fall of 2022 in Russia was not aimed at conscripts, it was a mobilization of the military "reserve" - ​​people with a specific military education, rank and experience, who relatively regularly underwent training and shooting, who all this time before the war received additional payments "for their readiness to join the ranks in case of need".

[@kniazjarema8587]

I've read that Russia has wasted around 2/3 of it's soviet weapon stockpiles up to now. If only Ukraine survives 1 year, or 1,5, Russia's capability will dwindle. Or that's what I believe. After that, Ukraine will stabilize itself and slowly take the land back. US weapons production is only going to grow, and with that weapons packages. + Everyone knows we can't allow Russia eat Ukraine, no matter the cost (Lines on maps?)

[@davidford3115]

Agreed. Perun's analysis of Russia's military production indicates that it is that legacy equipment that is sustaining this war. When it run out, Russia is up a creek without a paddle.

[@kartikeyatiwari2502]

Russia produces a ton of military equipment

[@stanislavstef]

:) yep, and the moon is made of cheese. I just wonder - when will you people/bots stop? When there's no Ukraine? When country is left with half of population and ZERO industry and infrastructure? What will be enough for your thirst?

[@rv8804]

​@@kartikeyatiwari2502not at the replacement rate though. Which needs to be higher than the rate of losses. So you can keep going and not cause retreats. Russia can't do that. The west is increasing capacity while Russia is going down.

[@vez3834]

​@@kartikeyatiwari2502 I'm not sure if Russia can afford to go even more into a war-time economy. They need domestic production of a lot of things and the Kremlin's money pile isn't infinite.

[@kentriat2426]

Reasonable video but leaves out the key changes between 2922 and 2024 in the way Russia is conducting the limited conflict in Ukraine. Today we see Russia using its airforce and rocket/missile units far far more effectively in destroying Ukraine resupply from NATO countries. I would estimate only one third of resupplies actually gets to front line troops. This will reduce further during the coming mud season and then winter snow storms. Long range missile and drone strikes will further reduce Ukraine military operations as rear rest areas come under increasing attacks particularly training areas for new recruits and mercenaries integration into units. Couple this sigh directed attacks onto any airfield capable of operating the F-16’s from. The pace of the conflict is about to accelerate in Russias favour.

[@chrissheppard3023]

The most interesting thing for me recently is a report on how the Ukrainian military changed it's tactics in the kharkiv battle from mass infantry battles to special operations. This way thay manipuleted the Russians in Vovchansk and isolated a group in the aggregate plant, then slowly starved them into submission. And I believe this is their tactic in Kursk only on a larger scale. As for China replacing all the ammo in the recent destruction of some of the largest depots in Russia,, that's a bots vodka hallucinations.😊

[@davidford3115]

That is the dirty little detail that most pundits have blatantly ignored. Even during the 2023 summer offense, Ukraine rapidly changed and adapted their tactics as the situation progressed. People chastise Ukraine for failing to make gains, but they ignore the dirty details which show how Ukraine went from massed mobility attacks which were ineffective to "bit and hold" of WW1 which while slow, were far less devastating in combat losses than meat wave attacks.

[@kartikeyatiwari2502]

Well how is this tactic going for them in Kursk?

[@davidford3115]

@@kartikeyatiwari2502 Rather well, actually. Russia has FAILED to dislodge the UAF.

[@kartikeyatiwari2502]

@@davidford3115 Why hasn't Ukraine captured kursk city then ? Whats their goal?

[@chrissheppard3023]

Their goals are to destroy the Russian heavy stuff and create a buffer in Russia not Ukraine. Then SLOWLY link up with Belgorod and luhansk behind the enemy lines and reduce the Russian logistics to the so-called front lines. This is my theory of course

[@cantandwont6636]

One good thing about russian bots is they give the video engagement making it go out to more people

[@louisquatorze9280]

One thing that is a given: If Trump wins the presidency, Ukraine will be brokered to the highest bidder. Zelensky didn't look very comfortable in that presser with Trump where Trump did all the talking and said, "We are going to have a great meeting."

[@PappaTom-ub3ht]

"Ukraine will be brokered to the highest bidder. " What does that mean?

[@Theanimeisforme]

Trump is most likely to draw a line in the sand, and leverage greater support for an end to the war. I suspect russia won't exactly like the deal and will try to delay or will say no, since any end will most likely see Ukraine entered into nato or the EU.

[@shueyk2320]

They already sold themselves and wrecked the country. How much worse could it get

[@Buconoir]

​@@PappaTom-ub3ht just what he said. You'll know he's right when Jared Kushner lands in Kiev. God help us if trump wins.

[@davidford3115]

Considering that Zelensky was used as a campaign prop, he SHOULD be looking uncomfortable. Despite the overall anti-war position of Trump supporters, many are actually VERY sympathetic to Ukraine's plight. They just don't want American blood spilled over the whole affair. Zelensky shilling for Que-mala greatly damaged that sympathy.

[@emilyking9558]

❤the lines. Seriously though thank you for the excellent explanation

[@siregglot4996]

40 seconds ago is crazy

[@GThu1]

Why they not creating a game about... hmm... Jeanne d’Arc? Who will argue when it turns out that the lead character is a woman? Even a girlboss? No one! Because she was both! I just don't understand why they want convert male heros to female, instead of just create a game about someone who fits to their needs without any bending.

[@Raygamamaama1234]

Meanwhile back at the Gremlin...

[@loslegos]

You are my favorite political Will.

[@vonries]

Written by Political "Will"

[@thesillyone3837]

0:53 says lines on maps

[@bj6515]

20:12 Russia doesn't have the Battle Wagons of all types to carry on for another 2.5 years. They also don't have the ability to make new ones at a their present one for one loss rate. They may have the men for meat grinder assaults but eventually Putler will find Russia will turn on him.

[@crsakib9455]

That can be said for ukraine as well. Ukraine doesn't even have the people to meat grind

[@sammiller6631]

@@crsakib9455 Ukraine does have millions of young men if they choose to lower the age of conscription from 28 to 20 years or even 18 years old.

[@crsakib9455]

@@sammiller6631 If that happens, the country will be in ruin. I am not even going to point out that russia can do the same too

[@sammiller6631]

@@crsakib9455 You just did point out that Russia can do the same, so why did you say you weren't going point that out?

[@sammiller6631]

@@crsakib9455 Everyone saw the million young male Russians who left during the partial mobilisation. How many more will leave Russia if there's a second one? The traffic to get into Georgia was kilometers long for days.

[@PeanutsDadForever]

Thanks for your great videos. 🇦🇺👴🏻

[@Т1000-м1и]

These are getting a bit weirder each time

[@jonathanballoch]

10 Explanations sounds good!

[@xinmingli9320]

Detailed analysis of kurakove and toresk niuyork front when

[@MaxHeinrich-u1g]

Great content. Very much enjoyed.

[@LivinwithPat]

early as my audi getting serviced

[@sjRolak]

»your favourite political Will« nice 😀 and thanks for the Willingly informative clips!

[@venlox.4]

SPANIELLL !!!! I see i click

[@snodoubt]

This is a nice little Saturday surprise. I was going to go to Home Depot, buy some wallpaper, maybe get some flooring. Maybe bed bath and beyond. But now I don’t know if I’ll have enough time. There’s lines and maps with lines on the maps.

[@martingrzanna2005]

Taylor Swifts view on the case would be a nice topic for a future video 😅

[@orion3253]

I'd say Taylor Swift is a good primary source to research.

[@memirandawong]

Just got here, hope I'm not missing anything....hey move over so I can sit down!

[@PeterPan-ev7dr]

1. Taking bets "Putin will be out before the end of the year". 2. If Kamela wins "There will be nothing left to smile for Putin".

[@nobody2416]

Don't focus on media coverage, I think that's not quite strategic and thus deciding for the conflict. It's strategic for Selensky but not really interesting for us.

[@kratozaku]

You magnificent bastard with your magnificently blunt and apparently subtle promotion of your books. Well, what do you know, it seems creative repetition worked. I've done it I have bought them books ! Satisfied ? Keep the videos flowing and thank you for the videos and the seemingly irrational and quirky rational approach to this dramatic unforgivable offence which is this war. (PS. how am I doing with wording of this passive-non-aggressive post of support and encouragement at my wallet's expense ?)

[@Gametheory101]

I am satisfied, thank you! 😅

[@kratozaku]

@@Gametheory101 Sempai noticed me ! :) so I am also

[@maxvaessen]

You’re my favorite, Will 😄❤ thanks for all you do

[@berdeter]

Do you really think Russia can hold the war economy rhythm for 2.5 more years? Really?

[@davidford3115]

If Perun's analysis of Russia's military production is any indication, once the Soviet Legacy stockpiles run out, Putin will be up a creek without a paddle.

[@kartikeyatiwari2502]

Why not?

[@flipw3605]

@@kartikeyatiwari2502 There are a couple of things that will make it more difficult. Now, they will not suit your narrative, but facts are facts. 1. Oil refining loss. They were built using Western know-how, and Russia did not develop its own abilities; it just bought in knowledge. 2. Oil pumping slowing down has a knock-on effect on pipe maintenance. As the pipes are in the permafrost zone, the oil will freeze if it slows too much. The small amount of water added to crude oil to help with the flow will freeze and expand, cracking the pipe. 3. Killing off a large portion of the young and able workforce is somewhat self-destructive. It is more difficult to replace people. 4. When 70% of their GDP is tied to oil, it will take little or no time for deficits to build up. 5. Even the Russians have a limit on what they will accept, and then there will be unrest; i.e. the fall of the Soviet Union and the Revolution of 1917. 6. The government will want to repress, but if you are killing off the men who might be able to be roped in for a defense force, it makes it more challenging to have a large enough force to use. 7. It is only a matter of time before countries like China and Iran stop funding them, as they have their own economic issues to deal with.

[@stanislavstef]

How well do you understand Russian economy? Or - do you? At all?

[@Baebon6259]

@@stanislavstef and you do?

[@peterxyz3541]

“Political Will” must be your URL and email!!! Or your DJ name

[@kaamelott0847]

I suspect in 2025 Russia would use new equipement or old with more new part. I doubt the production will sustain the war effort.

[@orion3253]

I don't understand what you mean by "use new equipment or old with more new part". Are you saying that Russia will continue to deploy newly produced tanks and continue to refurbish mothballed vehicles? If so, I'd agree with you but I also don't think this will be anything new. As for whether Russia's ability (or inability) to replace equipment forces will be the decisive factor in this war remains to be seen, and will depend heavily on what Ukraine's foreign allies are willing to commit to their cause, as well as how Ukraine's deep strike and penetration capabilities evolve over the next few months.

[@davidford3115]

Perun has done at least TWO analysis of Russia's military production. They are NOT keeping up with the losses and are burning through the legacy Soviet Stockpiles. When T-90 production can only cover 10% of the loss rates for tanks, that is unsustainable. Putin WANTS a ceasefire so he can rearm and re-equip over the next 5-10 years before going back on the attack.

[@saphironkindris]

Oh man lines on maps I can't wait

[@RobinTheBot]

How much Ukraine has lost due to western cowards... It breaks my heart.

[@andresfelipeod6819]

763.thousand soldiers death, this is the actual loss of the UAF

[@nigelgarrett7970]

​@@andresfelipeod6819 Misinformation.