Russian Invasion of Ukraine - 80 day update - Cold War Special

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In this Cold War Special we will talk about the Russian Invasion of Ukraine and give an update on what is going on
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#Ukraine #Russian #ColdWar

[@BHuang92]

How about covering Ukraine industry under the Soviet Union during the Cold War?

[@nikolapetrovic1073]

YEAAAAA

[@Aristocrat1cs]

Yes. Ukraine is where most of the Soviets most advanced technology has built in the Ukraine.

[@arfanmedni7294]

Some industrial capacity. Not the most. Lies in Soviet Ukraine.

[@fabreezethefaintinggoat5484]

Look up the duran

[@buffewo6386]

I seem to remember the Donetsk region being a major production center for the USSR.

[@Bigsmoke11001]

80 days already. Time goes fast.

[@shaggycan]

Anyone living in the North knew that the Russian land army was in bad shape. It takes twice the maintenance (time, money) to keep ground vehicles operational in an enviroment that goes though such drastic temperature and humidity changes. Come to Canada see if you can spot the cars that are older than 10 years. Not many. And most of the Russian land army is far older.

[@DobroDed76]

you do understand that Russia is not Canada right Canada is Siberia, while Russia has European part which is pretty moderate. And ofc, your pathetic western cars crash in -5, while Soviet, 30 years old Zhiguly can start up in -35 Another funny claim from a person who does not understand anything, yet tries to show that he does

[@whyjnot420]

I am in New England and while the change of the seasons is the proximate cause of the cancer that murders the frames of so many vehicles here... however it is the crap they use to manage snow, which makes salt look like fun in comparison, which is the ultimate cause of so much rust, so so so much rust.

[@akenji47]

Don't you agree US has been spending more money than Russians?

[@DobroDed76]

@@akenji47 not only USA, but NATO in general. Russia has more captured NLAWs then UK had in their army in 2019

[@Asahamana]

I live in Finland and here you can see people having 20 year old cars. Maybe our winters arent that Bad after all. 🤔😄

[@landotter]

One of the horrors of war is that once it begins, it becomes difficult to find a way out.

[@guitarhausdoesntknowwhatac3285]

It's actually incredibly easy: Russia started this war for bullshit reasons and they can end them for similar reasons at any time. Sure it will be humiliating to putin but it's not like their is a functional democracy that he has to worry about it.

[@ZaJaClt]

It's actually pretty simple to get out of, stop giving ukraine weapons, which in turn only kills more ukrainians

[@guitarhausdoesntknowwhatac3285]

@@ZaJaClt Nah, weapons are fine. They're being used to defend the Ukrainian's right to self determination as a people. Real problem is that acknowledging that Russia is not now and is unlikely to ever again be a great power makes Putin's pee pee small. Particularly since putin is obliterating his economy, military and international standing with this insane quest.

[@ZaJaClt]

@@guitarhausdoesntknowwhatac3285 you can use your updoot reddit logic all you want, reality is there's no longer an azov, infrastructure is heavily damaged and all that won't be replaced any time soon

[@guitarhausdoesntknowwhatac3285]

@@ZaJaClt The reality is that while thing's ain't great for Ukraine and they're going to be looking at years of recovery russia is hosed; They can' replace the equipment losses they've suffered, China and India are their only real trading partners (and given the changes to shipping insurance they can't do that much with India), their population growth has been stagnant for decades, and no major company is going to do business with them after this. Like, they got about 3 months left before they're pretty well tapped out. Smartest play for them is to withdraw from ukraine proper and hope that they can hold onto crimea because that's the best they can hope for barring a catastrophic error on ukraine's part.

[@kristianfischer9814]

We're not gonna see the T-14 in Ukraine. There's maybe 20 of them in existence and they're waaaaaaaaay too expensive to risk getting destroyed.

[@BHuang92]

Plus, some of the technologies used in the T-14 are now hampered by the sanctions.

[@kristianfischer9814]

@@BHuang92 Yup.

[@cptrelentless80085]

Drivetrain is apparently unreliable

[@longyu9336]

@@cptrelentless80085 The Panther A of modern times

[@easyk03]

Same with the Su-57. Russia doesn’t have any combat ready squadrons (not to mention they only ever made 4 or 5), and it will probably never be massed produced. Along with the T-14 at this rate.

[@DefaultProphet]

Russia has ~10 T14s, they’re not going to be used in this conflict. Same for the SU-57.

[@LighthouseCape]

The sense of calm examination of the current situation and sticking to the facts, especially that it's not too biased on neither side, is one of the main reasons I watch this channel even for the topic of this on-going war. As stated in the vid, I also really hope that this hot mess will meet some sort of a peaceful ending in the near future, and not by flinging nukes or bio-chemical weapons all over European continent resulting in a third "great war"...

[@homerj806]

Of course the T-14 Armata was seen. I saw it in the Victory Day parade rolling down Red Square. Didn't you notice it was washed, waxed and nicely detailed. Armatas are awesome in parades.

[@abedmarachli7345]

The Russians do not care about appearance at all, but rather with durability, performance and simplicity. Look at Lada cars, the same design until Renault bought them and they started changing the design. The same story in space, NASA manufactured a special pen for writing, but the Russians brought with them a pencil that does not cost 10 cents.

[@bluesrocker91]

@@abedmarachli7345 The space pen story is largely a myth... Both the Russians and Americans used pencils early in their space programs, but the graphite dust produced by them is a real problem for electrical equipment in a zero-G environment. The Russians switched to using grease pencils, and the Americans used felt-tip pens for a while. The actual Space Pen was developed privately by a guy called Paul Fisher, and both NASA and the Russian space program bought them, but astronauts do still use regular ball point pens in space.

[@homerj806]

@@abedmarachli7345 You missed the point. If the Armata is their newest kick ass tank they have why are the not deployed. Yes they only have less than 2 dozen but this war is a great opportunity to test a few under combat conditions since Armatas are also to be exported. Instead they keep them for parades. They are afraid that the can lose the few Armatas they have and that would affect their potential sales due to bad publicity.

[@abedmarachli7345]

@@homerj806 The Russian defense program made a recommendation not to adopt the Armata as the main battle tank of the army, and requested 20-30 tanks annually until 2025 + 100 tanks that were previously ordered. Was the tank tested in Ukraine? I think this is information for Russian national security. Few will know, and it is like bravado. Aiding Ukraine with 40 billion dollars, According to Bolton's statement on one of the TV channels This is a word for words, so who can check and calculate the number of the amount and how the supply operations will take place and from where?

[@TheTrueDeitel]

​@@abedmarachli7345 Hey buddy where u getting your copium from, I'm fresh out after the embargo, help a brother out.

[@SmokeJam]

Favourite quote of the video: "[...] Putin really believed that this would be a 3 day operation, maybe 4, you need time to get gas."

[@TheBarca1889]

There is zero proof for that claim, purely made up.

[@number1360]

Worst take ive heard on Crimea.

[@ernestbatiy1070]

It's not "what they consider" their territory. It IS Ukrainian territory by law and by the values upheld supposedly by all nations under the UN charter. Yes ethnically there is conflict. But that is true for so many countries. Validating annexation by population lean leads to Sudetenland and Danzig style situations. However I appreciate your opinion on this and your information is very important to listen to. -the grandson of a Crimean man.

[@yasserbencheikh2626]

What you say may be true under the assumption that the UN is the legislative and the enforcer of that legislation in the world...but it's not. Even though this might be considered as a case of Whabaoutism but precedent sometimes can be used as law.... some countries were invaded for absolutely no 'acceptable' reason and yet nobody said anything (or at least didn't protest to the level the west is right now). I agree tht validating annexation based on population would lead to another Sudetenland, but hasn't it been the case all over the world? we accept and condemn based on western interests, that is the sad truth. if Russia was friendly to the US (emphasis on if) we would have seen a mild reaction - something like the world's reaction to the invasion of Yemen

[@ernestbatiy1070]

@@yasserbencheikh2626 you have many valid statements here. I can see the hypocrisy of the western powers for sure. The Imperial mindset is toxic and exudes from many places. Thank you for your thoughts.

[@tylerbozinovski427]

The Sudetenland and Danzig aren't really good comparisons, since one was initially denied the right to self-determination after WWI, and the other was stripped from Germany after the war (despite its German-speaking majority). Meanwhile, the Russians have tried to colonise Crimea over the past couple and a half centuries, and they themselves (since they are the legal successor state of the USSR) technically gave it to Ukraine. But in saying that, there's also no sign that Ukraine will try to remove ethnic Russians from Crimea if they ever were able to take it back.

[@starmix1846]

Exactly

[@thunberbolttwo3953]

Untill Khrustevs time as leader of the USSR. The Crimean penesula was not Ukrainian teritory. Plus most of the people living there are Russian not Ukrainian. So they have no desire to be ruled by Kiev.

[@LogieT2K]

I really dont think the use of nuclear weapons benefits russia in any way And therefore i dont even think its on the table unless ukraine pushes into russia proper

[@raycearcher5794]

Yeah even if you aren't scared of global annihilation, using nukes right next to your own border isn't a great idea.

[@robertday4029]

Propaganda is heavy on both sides (the first loss in war is truth) who knows under theses circumstances who is winning/losing. Before I’m called a Russian troll I’d like to clarify that I hope Ukraine dose ultimately defeats Russia but the information deficit we currently have is not helpful.

[@annehersey9895]

I feel that the truth is more easily obtained today than in other conflicts just by the rise of the internet and social media. We have seen it in cell phone postings from soldiers involved in the immediate action. Filming real time what is happening and posting to their social media. With the use of vpn's it is easier to surf many different in country news sources to enable us to piece together what is fact from fiction. Governments and military have great use of satellites to glean accurate current information also. In the age of the internet, it is almost impossible to keep anything a secret-for better or worse.

[@bordedup546]

the thing is we can see maps of the battlefield from, hopefully neutral, open source intelligence sources. they indicate, to me atleast, that russia is taking ground in the donbas but at very slow speeds which indicates that ukraine isn't losing and that russia isn't winning. the southern front seems to be halted at kherson and in kharkiv ukraine is actually making gains which threaten russia supply lines in the donbas. it'd be hard for ukraine to hide from the entire world that major city has been taken and not to mention how the russian media would use the capture for propaganda. of course, vice versa for towns & cities that ukraine recaptures

[@forickgrimaldus8301]

Also general Fog of War reasons I think both heavily over state the losses of the other side. (Which can happen on both sides even without propaganda reasons as its hard being truthful with numbers of enemy losses when you can barely touch them most of the time.) P.S most people that call people that others are Russian Bots by even slightly giving Russia a fair shake and not say that Russia is just a literal bunch of nuckleheads are likely Ukranian while understandable you can't underestimate your enemy or worse think for the slightest they are all dumb or not willing to fight just look at Russia at the start of this war or how WW2 went for the Axis.

[@Captainkebbles1392]

Three things that still are forever unbeaten in warfare. Good coms, accurate artillery, and the mighty shovel Poor pathetic little Russia

[@DobroDed76]

That's why Russia is winning, I guess

[@Captainkebbles1392]

@@DobroDed76 in what world 😂😂

[@DobroDed76]

@@Captainkebbles1392 ours. Azovstal, Severodonetsk, Popasnaya, Izum, Kherson and Gulaipolie say hello

[@DobroDed76]

@@Captainkebbles1392 and what you described are Russian tactics. They are also fighting on their land with relentless spirit and a relatively small force against massive, low-moraled untrained civilians with reminants of regular army units

[@Captainkebbles1392]

@@DobroDed76 no. The Russian army has no coms. Bad indirect and has barly dug in resulting in massive losses to relatively light artillery fire. Do any amount of research lol

[@iannarita9816]

Rewritten comments: One thing about Soviet combat units. During WWII Soviet units were not withdrawn from the line until their commander considered the unit unfit for combat. This would mean that units would take large losses before being withdrawn for refit and rest. 70-80 % losses not being uncommon. Also, especially in 1941-1943 period, unit commanders would be 2 or 3 grades below what was called for. Example there were many combat battalions with a Captain or Senior Lieutenant in command. Normally a battalion sized unit would have a Lieutenant Colonel in command. There were many artillery batteries commanded by a senior NCO, there not having a commisioned officer to command. The learning curve against the Germans being very sharp. Commanders learned fast, and frequently had been in the position of if I did this I would do better. Well they got their chance. Reading some current commentary about current Russian units, if the shooting stops for any length of time, I would expect the Russians will do a large purge of the Russian Army.

[@longyu9336]

Yes and no. The Soviets during ww2 did learn. The Russians didn't, 1917 followed 1905, the Chechen wars happened but they did not significantly improve in tactics and combined arms use.

[@KrolKaz]

People don't understand that Russians don't give a fuck about human losses as long as it's backed by land gains.

[@animal16365]

When your fighting for your country. You have a lot to lose. If your fighting in another country. You only have your life to lose.

[@deku812]

If the Armatas show up, it means they have nothing left. They never built very many of those due to sanctions post-2014. Probably don't want to risk them falling to Ukranian hands

[@forickgrimaldus8301]

Also they still want to export those so not really likely

[@shaggycan]

I think something has been learned from this conflict regarding airpower. If you have nothing larger than a drone in the sky, you are free to instantly shoot down anything else. You don't need a complex joint command structure to prevent FF. That coupled with tracking the enemy with sat images, gives the defenders an initiative advantage. The portable anti air and anti armour weapons are a huge gamechanger.

[@bordedup546]

i don't think so. stinger and javlin technology is decades old so it's not really a game changer in that sense. i think the impact of drones, MANPADs and current-gen anti tank speaks to russia's incompetence of not protecting their assets. drones are easy for air defense, MANPADs have limited range so only low flying jets are vulnerable and anti-tank squads should be engaged by infantry tasked with protecting valuable armour

[@pikmaniac2643]

I’d like to take a moment to just admire the image at 12:32 with the rigorously professional labeling of “Clusterf**k”

[@smoofbrain]

"a.k.a not great, not terrible"

[@tando6266]

It would be awesome if you did a special on 'political capitol', what is it? how is it generated in different countries under different leaders? how has it changed things throughout the cold war?

[@WVzombie138]

Thank you David and the @TheColdWar gang for this. I like, and very much appreciate your analysis and explanation of the situation. Best around for sure. Thanks again buddies, will talk soon - Jason

[@Andrew-ob5ij]

So glad you guys are covering this war

[@rick7424]

"THESE are the times that try men's souls. The summer soldier and the sunshine patriot will, in this crisis, shrink from the service of their country; but he that stands by it now, deserves the love and thanks of man and woman. Tyranny, like hell, is not easily conquered; yet we have this consolation with us, that the harder the conflict, the more glorious the triumph. What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too lightly: it is dearness only that gives every thing its value. Heaven knows how to put a proper price upon its goods; and it would be strange indeed if so celestial an article as FREEDOM should not be highly rated" -Thomas Paine

[@paulceglinski3087]

Here, here!

[@chadthundercock4806]

Tyrant vs tyrant, no freedom here.

[@paulceglinski3087]

These are words that all Americans should know. Sadly, in this country denial and misinformation flows from the Trumpites. A little tin plated strong man wanna be. Just like his hero, Putin. These are whom we must watch for they profess to be patriots. Patriots do not riot to try and take over the seat of government

[@nataliekennedy4646]

Nice quite

[@kjj26k]

This

[@marrs1013]

The moment I realized it's another non-scripted talk, like was sent. And a well deserved one, once again, as it turned out later. Thank you guys!

[@danielmalone4446]

I don't much care for these ones I only like David :/

[@hobbie100]

lost me with T-14 comment. They have 10 max and no foreign buyers. It will never probably see combat

[@lewisk3725]

They're not using Armata, because it can't be used besides parades. Their "premier units" are either committed or chewed up.

[@Zapper-kq1zg]

Proofs

[@BartJBols]

Do more content like this, doesn't need to be so long if that is difficult.

[@jimsackmanbusinesscoaching1344]

As to the end of the war and about Crimea specifically, there needs to be accommodations on both sides if it sticks with Russia. Part of what Russia was upset with is that a canal that provided most of Crimea's water was cut off by Ukraine. If Crimea sticks with Russia, that water needs to flow. So, what will Russia do to sweeten the pot for Ukraine on that topic?

[@richdobbs6595]

I don't think that Russia can do anything to "sweeten the pot". It has neither the will nor capacity to rebuild Ukraine. Hard to see the west getting rid of sanctions or not making the transition off of Russian natural gas. So my guess is that Russia just occupies Kherson Oblast outside of Kherson city and it goes into a frozen conflict. Even if shelling continues, it is probably possible to keep water flowing through the canal if it is physically occupied.

[@jimsackmanbusinesscoaching1344]

@@richdobbs6595 Ukraine does not have to agree to that and if this goes into a static war then Russia loses.

[@richdobbs6595]

@@jimsackmanbusinesscoaching1344 Does Moldova agree to Transnistria? Does Georgia agree to Southern Ossetia? Yet active war in these areas has stopped.

[@jimsackmanbusinesscoaching1344]

@@richdobbs6595 There is a huge difference here and you know that. This is a LARGE active conflict where 10s of thousands have died. Both sides have agency at this point and ending the war will require both parties. Russian war crimes have made this much more difficult. I can't imagine that if Russia stops attacking at this point that Ukraine will halt their counterattacks.

[@kamukameh]

If Putin would give Crimea back he wouldn't have the problem with water there

[@brendanobrien8198]

11:20 that’s an Armando Ianucci level joke

[@scottkrater2131]

Given the history of the region, Ukrainian resistance was not surprising to me. What was was the poor performance of the Russian army. I thought they were much better trained than they apparently are.

[@Cortesevasive]

Donbas is heavily fortified. Lets be real. Ukraine has massive army and Nato equipment. Are Russians losing? , they got Popasna, they got mariupol, Severodonetsk is next in line.

[@scottkrater2131]

@@Cortesevasive They got a heap of trash, and an un usable port. Russian forces are still bogged down. They may not be losing yet, but they aren't winning. Can you say Afghanistan?

[@TheTrueDeitel]

​@@Cortesevasive Russia is fielding and losing WW1 era armored trains in the southern axis to guerilla warfare. Holding territory is not the same as taking it. See: The failed attempt to take/hold Kyiv.

[@Cortesevasive]

@@TheTrueDeitel Thats the thing that Donbas people support Russians, and also join DPR and LPR militaries, most of the terrorists get catched. also nobody really had Kyiv as its primary objective its a 3million city, why would somebody attack it with mere 30k troops. Ukrainians lost the will to fight, why would Azov surrender ? they had one of the biggest nuclear bunkers in Europe, and 300k city and they surrendered after just 80days. ..

[@TheTrueDeitel]

@@Cortesevasive Pffft, ok buddy. Next you'll tell me Moskva sinking was just bad weather and poor user error. How much does the Kremlin pay you guys an hour? Just curious.

[@gpaskey1]

"Are they (Ukraine) looking to push into Russia itself?" What??? There is no evidence that the Ukrainian army has this capability.

[@ucube33]

Many in the today-occupied Crimea was pro-Russian, but today, a few years later of Russian rule, I think it might be a different story, is there any true data on this?

[@fromthefire4176]

Exactly. I swear I heard of protests there in the past decade that were violently put down. And Putin’s government encourages people to keep their heads down and look out for their families, not oppose the state. People that live under that, would they really fight in the first place? Especially if it’s just to return to that? I think he is surprising off base to take the position he did here in the vid, at the least we need to admit nobody can know enough to make a truly informed judgement currently.

[@archermahou8910]

There are a few possibilites either way. It is worth keeping in mind that: 1) Ukraine dammed the river providing water to Crimea and 2) Russia has the habit of bringing their own people to occupied territories to 'colonize' them. The Crimeans of today may be different from 2014 and not necessarily is Ukraine's favour.

[@ucube33]

@@archermahou8910 true, they fake protests and relocate populations of areas they imperialize. In the early days of the current war ruzzians blew up the dam so crimea should now have water again

[@odycz]

@@archermahou8910 Also they saw how the Kievs regime marked Luhansk and Donetsk people as terrorists and waged war against them for 8 years. Crimea can feal that Russia "saved" them from a similar fate

[@ville7762]

I really like the intro sound. What is the sound exactly?

[@abedmarachli7345]

As for the Armata tanks, I think that the Russian army contracted them only in small quantities, all of their idea was commercial, and the army was satisfied with developing armor for the T-70 and T-90, the idea of the Armata is to avoid design errors in the T-70, where they removed the ammunition compartment from the bottom of the crew to a special room in the tower to avoid The so-called flying turrets in Russian tanks, then they increased the thickness of the armor in the front and on the turret. For the cannon, they faced many problems, and I think until this moment the cannon assigned to them has not finished designing and they are still in the prototypes, but the existing one is the T-90 cannon

[@MRFlackAttack1]

To paraphrase Talleyrand, it was worse than a miscalculation, it was a mistake.

[@lonerangerv1224]

A lot of the "premier" Russian tech like the T 14 exist only a propaganda pieces and are not battlefield viable in readiness or numbers.

[@kristianfischer9814]

I remember the damn thing breaking down during dress rehearsal for the parade when it was first going to be revealed to the public.

[@longyu9336]

Like the Nazis, Russia has a lot of parade weapons that only look good on Wochenschau/RT. Scratch that, King Tigers and V2s did eventually enter actual combat by the hundreds whilst T-14s only get deployed for Red Square parades for the last 7 years.

[@fromthefire4176]

Long Yu well by that point the King Tiger and V2 weren’t efficient choices, they were directed by out of touch leaders while they’d have been better off devoting that production to other weapons like infantry arms and other tanks. Likewise, Russia has sunk so much money into new flashy systems they can’t afford or produce, while they should be designing something not meant to beat Nato gear head on but challenge it in other ways and be affordable, reliable, survivable and fully domestically produced. But the state of their military reflects their leaders understanding of reality.

[@bigglesbiggles1]

@@fromthefire4176 very good points. I had heard a pithy phrase that somewhat encapsulates some of what you said. "The Russian Army is large and modern.....it's just the modern bit isn't large and the large bit isn't modern"

[@Grimenoughtomaketherobotcry]

I'm no fan of Vlad's, but it would be a tragic miscalculation to ignore what he can do with what he still has, conventional, tactical and strategic. And he has lots more; some cannot be redployed to Ukraine, but I wouldn't rule out Lavrov cutting deals with those countries on who's borders Russia keeps forces, even if relations with them are iffy (cheap gas can get you a lot these days). And he still has options, politically difficult ones, to increase personnel in Ukraine ie., conscript high school and university/ college students who graduate this spring to serve on the Chinese or Mongolian borders, and move the more trained, if not necessarily "better" forces, to the Ukrainian theatre. If he's going for a war of attrition, it may well be the Ukrainians who run out of soldiers first. On the other hand, another logistics failure like the drive on Kyiv could see Russian forces disintegrate on at least one front, and I doubt the command will be as lucky in keeping a revolt from snowballing if that's repeated. I'm guessing both sides are getting pretty tired, and morale will plummet for them if this drags into the autumn.

[@davidjohansson1459]

Speaking of Sweden 🇸🇪. I am a Swede.

[@cptrelentless80085]

Thanks for sharing

[@Monatio79]

Looking forward to joining NATO ? Looks like Turkey's Erdogan wants a quid pro quo...

[@user-bk3gj1he3o]

Sweden is very tolerant.

[@flamurmahmutxhiku9110]

Better music selection in the background

[@mustangmcc]

It seems to be going like the vietnam war for the Us

[@gerdforster883]

I wouldn't get hung up on the possibility of tactical nukes being used. Russia has enough conventional means to wreak havoc. While the ukrainian aa-capabilities seem to be working well so far, they only have to fight off tactical air attacks so far. Russia has a shitton of conventional "dumb bombs", as well as the means to deliver them. They can just carpet bomb ukrainian cities. That won't really help much in the russian war effort, but can have devastating effects on the civilian population.

[@stischer47]

And Russian cities are now within range of Ukrainian artillery. Tit for tat?

[@Grimenoughtomaketherobotcry]

Yeah, well, I never thought he'd invade, so I'm out of the prediction business.

[@alexsfercoci9942]

Do a 200 day update, we will be there soon

[@maschwab63]

The Winter War 1939-40 between Finland and USSR went horribly for the USSR. But it did get them ready to fight Germany.

[@aidenhall8593]

But they also had the industrial capacity and manpower to suffer the losses of that war, this is not true for russia

[@TheTrueDeitel]

Right, that's why they suffered such heavy losses during Barbarossa and continued to.lose ground until the Soviets underwent massive doctrinal change. They sure learned a LOT from that phyrric victory over Finland 😏

[@maschwab63]

@@TheTrueDeitel They had started training and cleaning out non productive officers. Might have collapsed without it.

[@TheTrueDeitel]

@@maschwab63 I'll take: "Tell me you know nothing about soviet military doctrine without saying it" for 1000, Alex The answer: your reply!

[@HowBoutUHandleDeezNutz]

🙏

[@the1ghost764]

I don’t know how much I can agreed with his assessment.

[@stischer47]

And?

[@the1ghost764]

@@stischer47 and what? Ukraine 🇺🇦 deserves what is going on with Russia 🇷🇺. Ukraine 🇺🇦 is stupid for believing NATO and the West.

[@gmxealot6236]

It's funny how much this invasion affected Cold War II

[@vulcanjoe8258]

It’s a very different looking Ukrainian army then 80 days ago is an understatement. It’s more like a very looking different Ukrainian army compared to 4 years ago.

[@aeiro5390]

Can you please add captions to this and other Ukraine specials?

[@daria_daria_p]

When it comes to Crimea, there is one very important topic that was overlooked in this video. Crimean penninsula is the land of Crimean tatars. On May 18 1944 almost the half of all their population was deported from Crimea into Central Asia. Since Crimean annexation in 2014 Russian government has been increasingly destroying what was left of tatar culture and identity - their organizations are being prohibited, their proactive population put into prisons. However Ukraine supports Crimean tatars and a lot of Crimean leaders, musicians, journalists have moved to Ukraine. For example, Jamala - the winner of Eurovision 2016. Or Mustafa Dzhemilev - the former Chairman of the Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar People. Crimean tatars desire to take back the land they were forcefully deported from and the whole Ukraine believes Crimea must not be a part of Russia. I would really like to see the video on the persecution of Crimean tatars on this channel, could you maybe look into this? And also Slava Ukraini!

[@toniwilson6210]

Somebody share this with Turkish dictator. I think he’s forgotten about it.

[@gamervibes6454]

Why the Crimean Tatars why not the Scythians? The Scythians were there first, no? This is a stupid line of thought. Crimea belongs to whom can control it, thats it.

[@samuelk842]

Good idea

[@daria_daria_p]

@@gamervibes6454 , by Crimean tatars I mean people who actually identify themselves as Crimean tatars. They have their own culture and social structures up to this day. They were a bigger part of penninsula's population until 1944 deportation. They lived there for hundreds of years, so should it not be considered their home because USSR decided it no longer will be?

[@danielbromwich1827]

@@daria_daria_p Everyone knows that. but they're not indigenous. they've been in crimea less than 1000 years like all turkic people in the near east they're relatively recent arrivals, conquering and colonising it like all the people before them. overall they have a fairly weak claim.

[@deshaun9473]

I don't think surgery side will "win". The most likely outcome here is a bitter stalemate.

[@nicholasconder4703]

I have seen a couple of videos discussing this war, and they producers of the videos suggest that Putin is following the doctrine of "Russkiy Mir" as outlined in Dugin's "Foundations of Geopolitics". I know that Putin's speech from a couple of days before the war started could have been lifted right out of the pages of the latter. As are his actions. I am wondering what your views are on this.

[@rumo893]

Most certainly yes, especially if you see „Russkiy“ as including Belarus, Ukraine and the Baltics. His rhetoric would make sense if Ukraine were actually part of the Russian Federation. Then it would be a NATO attack and activity of Nazis would be his concern. If you look at his speeches, it is always implied that it is on „our land“.

[@nicholasconder4703]

@@rumo893 I think he does, especially if you look at "Foundations of Geopolitics". It's scary stuff. Here are a few gems from this according to Wikipedia: Finland should be absorbed into Russia. Southern Finland will be combined with the Republic of Karelia and northern Finland will be "donated to Murmansk Oblast". Estonia should be given to Germany's sphere of influence. Latvia and Lithuania should be given a "special status" in the Eurasian-Russian sphere, although he later writes that they should be integrated into Russia. Belarus and Moldova are to become part of Russia. Poland should be granted a "special status" in the Eurasian sphere. Romania, North Macedonia, Serbia, "Serbian Bosnia" and Greece - "Orthodox collectivist East" - will unite with "Moscow the Third Rome" and reject the "rational-individualistic West". Ukraine should be annexed by Russia because "Ukraine as a state has no geopolitical meaning, no particular cultural import or universal significance, no geographic uniqueness, no ethnic exclusiveness, its certain territorial ambitions represents an enormous danger for all of Eurasia and, without resolving the Ukrainian problem, it is in general senseless to speak about continental politics". Ukraine should not be allowed to remain independent, unless it is cordon sanitaire, which would be inadmissible. I think you can already see some of this happening in Ukraine and Belarus right now, plus that little tidbit that Lukashenko gave us (perhaps accidentally) with regards to Moldova. Also explains why he is annoyed with Finland joining NATO (and why Finland is suddenly determined to join NATO). It also explains why he told NATO to pull out of Eastern Europe as well - he wants if for a new Greater Russia.

[@falconmclenny7284]

@@nicholasconder4703 very ambitious for a broke arse 2nd rate dictatorship with obsolete military equipment and the whole world against him. You'd almost call it delusional.. insane even. Also "rationalist-individualism"... you mean how literally every human being who isn't brainwashed wants to live? Collectivism in any forms is evil, I think the rest of eastern Europe remembers that, no wonder they are tooling up.

[@nicholasconder4703]

@@falconmclenny7284 Well, I would disagree that "collectivism in any form is evil" - you might want to talk to the 12 Apostles about that one (Acts 2: 42-47). Then again, in their case, it was voluntary, not forced by armed individuals However, I completely agree with you that communism and any form of extremist socialism will never work. For the same reason the Apostles had issues with the early Christian community - human nature. Any system that ignores base human nature will fail.

[@buddermonger2000]

2:26 T-14 Armata is a meme. It's basically a prototype with only 20 built and still working it out. They HAVE sent their best. Honestly Perun has covered this very well and basically just blew up from like 3 videos that initially covered it.

[@braith117]

They only had a few in working order for their parade and they can only build a few a year as they smuggle in the parts. They're running low enough on tanks now that they're rolling out T-62's.

[@KrolKaz]

Turns out Russia don't need the t14 armada to take back thier lands

[@braith117]

@@KrolKaz you mean the land that was never theirs and has cost over 100,000 young men their lives and limbs trying to take?

[@TheEngwall]

Great to hear the great Shirvan from Caspian Report on here. Love his channel!

[@ggtt2547]

Well, that channel (Caspian Report) was spreading *known* Russian propaganda *before* the start of the war (namely that Finland and Sweden were aiming to join NATO *before* the war, that's why poor Russia feels threatened etc etc) which forced me to unsubscribe...

[@dmytrodelen]

@@ggtt2547 i loved Shirvan too, but i really couldn't help but notice so much of unjustified russian narratives in his videos prior and right after the full scale invasion.

[@varana]

Shirvan/CR was not in this video. ;D

[@TheEngwall]

@@varana Sounded just like him? Accent, voice and all.

[@TheEngwall]

@@ggtt2547 I think I remember that video. He was just stating facts, bc talks about Nato have been going on here in Sweden for the last few years since 2010-ish. About "pro Russian narrative", I think he's been balanced, not biased at all about the war. Refusing to take a stance, unlike other channels and media.

[@i_smoke_ghosts]

thank you David love your work thank you

[@ScotsIrishman]

This channel never stops amazing me!!

[@greer2005168]

Imagine that after day 80 we would be asking ourselves if the Ukrainians would advance into Russia.

[@ThatGuyWhoLivesinChina]

The Nike Story, David. No. Not the shoes.

[@BaltimoresBerzerker]

Crimea could go the route of dual taxation and administration, as chaotic as that could be. If I remember correctly, the two nations did split the economic benefits of Crimea recently.

[@sk-sg1dd]

These mini dovergent videos is a nice change up. It would be interesting if you did a cold war episode about Putin's activities during the Cold War.

[@terruwuism]

Damn Cold War 2 kinda hot

[@brokenbridge6316]

Hey what you think of the current President of Ukraine, David?

[@kabodra]

Honest criticism - your thumbnails are bad. Too many images, which makes them confusing. And colors are not lively (they look "dead")

[@SDZ675]

I have a feeling that it's going to be more or less a stalemate for at least a few months until either Russia escalates or Ukraine gets enough heavy weapons to launch a major offensive. Also agreed that Ukraine shouldn't try to go into Crimea, but it looks like they're more focused on the East atm anyways.

[@topperis1501]

They are determined to take Crimea back

[@marrs1013]

@@topperis1501 Seemingly yes. But you never know what sort of 'instructions' went with the weapon shipments. If the Ukranians want to push too far, turning the war into an offensive war, the West might change its stance. For the West this is so far the proverbial 'early Christmass gift' from the Universe as a great proxy war to severly weaken Russia and even possibly get rid of Putin himself. And that's all they want from it, whatever the Ukranians dream of.

[@fromthefire4176]

He’s really being quick to judge the situation in Crimea. I think the Kremlin would get, at best apathetic support, some sporadic terrorists and protests maybe, but most wouldn’t care. But it’s very hard to say, you can’t trust Russian sources saying they support Putin, that’s something that’ll need tested in practice. Many Russians just want to keep their heads down and not draw the attention of the state on them or their families, a traditional outlook, one Putin has reinforced, and it could be a double edged sword.

[@AnteCashovina]

Defense Politics Asia - sub to the channel that covers ru and uk forces in donbass Ukraine is done...stop buying into the propaganda, look at the situation on the field , uk army is being destroyed little by little every day, Severodonetsk being enveloped, then kramatorsk and the east side will be over. In the end everyone will ask what happend like dummies

[@marrs1013]

@@AnteCashovina Dude! You don't even know that 'uk' means United Kingdom, 'ua' means Ukraine. How much you actually know about the world?

[@ggtt2547]

Hey, Cold War, great video. I absolutely love your current war analysis and general thoughts. It's like sitting down to talk with a sensible, knowledgable and polite friend!! Would love to understand how come Crimea wasn't pro Russian before 2015, but now is??? What do you mean by that?

[@smoofbrain]

Whenever I see mockery directed towards any side of any conflict, a (genuine) question pops up in the back of my mind, asking: "Without hindsight, would other nations/coalitions (with near-equivalent resources, infrastructure, etc.,) truly fare any better?" _ But I don't know, maybe it's just a futile question to have after all.

[@falconmclenny7284]

Yeah, absolutely they would. Russian military doctrine is not set up for modern war. The west uses air power, that's what wins wars.

[@baneofbanes]

Despite dialing the unreal invasion of Iraq didn’t go anywhere near as badly for America and its allies.

[@lolroflroflcakes]

Ya Iraq was one of the largest militaries in the world, they hard recent experience in large scale warfare and they, in theory, had the equipment and ammunition to fight. At this point everyone has probably heard about the doom and gloom predictions of the casualties the US and its allies were expecting to take only to smash the entire Iraqi military in a matter of a couple of days. Putin was clearly expecting this to be his own desert storm except Russian forces were nowhere near up to the task.

[@falconmclenny7284]

@@lolroflroflcakes it makes me laugh when people think the west can't fight a conventional war. Desert storm was just.. a thing of beauty.. other than all the dead people.

[@paulceglinski3087]

Thanks Cold War for covering the longest undeclared conflict ever. As a former Cold Warrior (78-90) with 2 operations (Urgent Fury and Just Cause) I'm grateful that there's someone who covers this era. As an ardent anti-communist, I really love the Soviet life videos. Although I hold no animosity towards the Russian people, their autocratic government needs to go. Hopefully the Ukraine fiasco will bring about the fall of Putin.

[@treystewart731]

@lati long You mean like how Putin has been revising history to justify his invasion?

[@tylernilson7021]

@lati long yeah, they got respect by making putin and russian military look like clowns

[@paulceglinski3087]

@lati long I think that Ukraine has legit historical grievances with Russia. Regarding Stalin's forced famine on Ukraine in the '30's, deportations and all the wonderful things Stalin did. But, at the same time I think Ukraine has tried to co-exist with Russia, but Putin is a dictator in the end and dictators need confict to aggrandize and glorify themselves so they can remain in power. P-O-W-E-R is the game of all despots. I know my country just got rid of a wannabe despot, Trump. And who was his pal, Putin. I think January 6th proved that. One can only hope the Russian people see the emperor's new clothes and realize that Russia is greater than that.

[@fromthefire4176]

lati long I’ll just say I once heard Kremlin talking points described as “pseudo-rational gibberish” and you know, I think that’s the best way to sum it up. Ukraine is not Russian and never will be, those that disagree need to cope with the fact that the Ukrainians are determined not to be conquered, assimilated, and exterminated, they’ll make sure Russia can never threaten them again one way or another.

[@fromthefire4176]

joe k honestly, are you genuinely asking or are you just trying to take some weird pro-russian angle?

[@saturnv2419]

Forbes article title in Feb.: "Will Russia invade Ukraine?" Forbes article title now: "Will Ukraine Army invade Russia?"

[@koismiah30]

A random conversation

[@emilymiller7827]

Return to the Crimean Khanate, you say.... honestly while it would be a major unstable compromise, administering it like BiH could be a short-term option.

[@gerdforster883]

The problem with a BiH-like compromise is that it will most likely become a more or less permanent solution. We see it in BiH, where the status quo is still being preserved since the alternatives on offer are worse.

[@emilymiller7827]

@@gerdforster883 every word you just typed is absolutely correct.

[@emilymiller7827]

@@gerdforster883 but also, Christmas in Priboj was not a happy holiday this year. the alternatives are much, much worse.

[@Adaetro]

Great video. Could you please consider showing on screen both interviewer and interviewee?

[@ahahuehafook4207]

T-14 shouldnt be acknowledged whatsoever

[@ciuyr2510]

During WW2 everyone was worried about gas. Now everyone worried about nukes. Its a give/get weapon now, obsolete.

[@Monatio79]

But people are worried about gas now. Worried that they'd be cut off from a steady supply of natural gas which they've become dependent upon ;)

[@ciuyr2510]

@@Monatio79 gas attacks from WW1. Not gasoline or natural gas

[@nobodyherepal3292]

I wouldn’t throw chemical weapons off the table just yet. Though I am very surprised they haven’t been used as of yet. I was always told the old Soviet army would use an insane amount of chemical weapons in there advances during hypothetical “Cold War gone hot” scenarios. It’s strange that modern Russia doesn’t do the same.

[@kelvinpell4571]

The main issue appears to be that the Russian army aren't very good at military operations.....

[@spasjt]

Excellent video, straightforward and very informative.

[@reticenti6365]

Is Crimeria still pro russian?? After seeing the behavior of the Russian army, are they still pro Russian?

[@TheTrueDeitel]

Crimea? Pro-Russian? I'll believe it when I see it in a survey or protest that wasn't stuffed by the FSB

[@williammiller7799]

Doesn't Russia use tanks as support to mechanized infantry divisions? Why not use WW2 German tactics and make actual tank divisions to spearhead and surround the Ukrainian army? Would that work in this scenario?

[@Grimenoughtomaketherobotcry]

Don't know who thought the costant noise in the background was a good idea, but it wasn't.

[@benmerrill2207]

Really enjoying these videos on the current war in Ukraine. Keep up the great work David and co.!

[@johnsteiner3417]

Could you talk about how the Ukrainian approach to- rather than outright winning, keep fighting just to not lose will grind down Russia's resolve, if not necessarily Putin's resolve.

[@zsmarine0831]

Every time I click on these videos I can’t wait to see what will be reported. But then the dude behind the camera talks and I click off 😂 do these updates in the same format as the weekly eps

[@c128stuff]

There is an alarmingly high number of 'missing people' in their early 20s in Russia currently. It is suspected at least part of them ended up in Ukraine.

[@user-bk3gj1he3o]

That's sad.

[@longyu9336]

Many more simply fled the country, not just because they fear conscription but because they do not see a future for them in Putin's country anymore.

[@c128stuff]

@@longyu9336 Many of them are also well educated, and this is causing a bit of a brain drain. Sadly, their opportunities in other countries aren't very good either, as they do not get the same kind of welcome refugees from Ukraine are getting. I understand why, but.. that is still a bit of a problem.

[@longyu9336]

@@c128stuff I fear that in the current climate, where people are (very understandably) wary of russia, these emigres will face unjustified anger directed at them and be unwelcomed.

[@c128stuff]

@@longyu9336 Yes, that is exactly what we see happening overhere. Somewhat surprising, it is often Ukrainian refugees or eastern European emigrants who call out this situation and try to get those Russians accepted.

[@campelodemagalhaes]

I also thought Russia was going to win during the first week…

[@BlackPhillip666]

Wtf is with this background muzak?

[@StalinTheMan0fSteel]

One thing you can count on coming out of this conflict.... no Nation again is going to give up it's nuclear weapons for a "guarantee" of security.

[@christopher6547]

Regarding Crimea, I imagine Russians would consider it an integral part of their country. Therefore Ukraine attempting to take it back helps Russia, turning an unpopular war of aggression into a popular war of national defense. I think the smartest move for Ukraine would be to leave the matter unsettled. Assuming Ukraine wins, the post war trajectory for them will be up and Russia will be down, making a long term diplomatic effort after the war more likely to be successful. Above all else, even if Ukraine could take Crimea, having a large pro-Russia population would probably have catastrophic effects on Ukrainian internal politics.

[@christopher6547]

Anyway, excellent video. Very thoughtful.

[@maemorri]

A big problem is that Crimea is not self-sufficient. One of Russia's war aims was to create a land corridor and cut off Ukraine's sea of Azov coast. Crimea cannot be sustained without a land bridge.

[@westrim]

@@maemorri Sounds like a good opportunity to be magnanimous in victory to Crimea and realign their expectations.

[@grizzerotwofour7858]

I like these vids. Interesting to here a historians perspective

[@joeruth123]

The T14 is a myth

[@albert_obey3151]

welcome to month 3 of Russia's 3 day operation

[@mikhailv67tv]

The strong leader story will fall through as the level of casualties is becoming apparent. Ukraine Forces with the confidence of victory may push RF out of Donbas & Crimea. Once that happens Putin ends up with his very own Port Arthur. Putin has only 20 years, the Romanovs had 300 years . So a major loss will end this period of authoritarian democracy.

[@adarret]

Putin got high on his own supply of maskirovka. 🤷🏻‍♂️

[@chrismccoll2269]

Your videos would be better with more graphics, maps, and video. Not sure I want to look at you for the entire video. No offence.

[@bigsarge2085]

Interesting.

[@alex007219]

Purely propaganda and not a single word of Truth! I had watched carefully all your vids before now! It's really a kind of disgrace what you show and say here, in this video!

[@davidjohansson1459]

I am Swedish.

[@prastagus3]

In the last few days, Russia had some significant gains in the Donetsk region and closing in on Sievierdonetsk on 3 sides. I'm not sure he's actually losing now that he changed the strategy into a gradual advance one.

[@zight99user]

It's funny listening to predictions from someone who has predicted everything wrong so far

[@InferKnow]

I agree and had thought myself about a prediction regarding Putin’s rational, position, and desires right now that was very similar if not broadly the same as yours. I agree also with the actions that could be taken by Putin and the likelihood and result of it was the exact same escalatory outcome no one really wants including Putin.

[@JR-gp2zk]

15:35 the Crimea issue does worry me. I think Putin and Russia will not give up the military bases on Crimea. It is like the US losing Pearl Harbor or San Diego. I want Ukraine to win, but I think if the Ukrainians take it, Russian will use tactical nukes.

[@cptrelentless80085]

If the failure rate on their nukes is as bad as their shells, by the time they land one that actually detonates what’s left of their army will be vaporised by NATO. Any NBC weapon will result in a full scale attack. Russia cannot afford to try and use nukes overtly. Maybe covertly but not battlefield ones.

[@westrim]

I agree with you, but the Russian valuation on Crimea has always seemed strange to me, historically and today. Russia has expended far more trying to get and keep naval bases and assets than it has ever gained from having them. The Black Sea fleet is effectively a lake fleet that can barely serve abroad, because in any major conflict it's needed Turkey will close the straits to military traffic, as it is now. It's more like Subic bay in the Philippines; realistically, expendable. And the fleet did just fine in the two decades before 2014; the rental money paid to Ukraine for the docks and facilities is miniscule compared to the costs of war.

[@flyme777]

David, what concerns me most, is the question of Putin not being able to accept defeat. Many countries are now supplying Ukraine with arms, recently these have become more powerful and effective, as long as this continues, I cannot see how Putin will be able to deliver a so called victory to the Russian population. Putins has a great deal of support, but cracks are beginning to show, military veterans have been on at least one Russian TV programme, outlining failures in the strategy of their military, in addition younger citizens are also far more aware of the damage that is being done to their country.

[@RexGalilae]

Part of the blame is on the West. It's clear that Ukraine was a repeat of the Pearl Harbor gambit. The West is just piling on punishments at Russia and its people and is continuing to push Putin into a corner. How many mediation attempts have you seen being made by Biden, Macron and Johnson? How many delegations sent to discuss peace settlements? None. How can we expect peace when no-one is working to enable it? Just endless provocation and needless Ukrainian suffering. PS. Armenia and Yemen suffered the same way. The US didn't bother sanctioning its allies over it

[@CMAzeriah]

The Ukrainians should only push to to the border and hold. The moment they occupy Russian soil, the Russians may be able to garner some of the support they desperately need.

[@valera4176]

Pro russian population of Crimea is overstimated and fueled by Russian propaganda. In Crimea you can be locked up if you anyhow express your pro-Ukrainian or pro-Tatar position. Crimea was a part of Ukraine for at least 50 years, and there wasn't any kind of problems with its population, moreover it was an authonomy with its own goverment.

[@Denis_Komarrov]

I am sorry but it is not fully true. We had problems there when Tatars where returning to they homes( from what i was told). But we managed to keep it civil. I agree that support for joining rusia was low.... Aksenov(yes guy who running place now) got less then 2% of votes if i remember correctly. Also even Girkin(Strelkov) said that they had to force Crimea parliament to vote.

[@lungeranon7645]

Things I like are true and things I dont like are Russian propaganda.

[@agaspversilia]

And honestly, who the hell wants to be living in Russia or any place under the Russian boot when the alternative is to be part of Europe? I find it bizarre and unbelievable that those Ukrainians living under Russian rule are happy about it and prefer Russia instead of Europe

[@valera4176]

​@@lungeranon7645 there were no ethnic organised anti-Ukrainian resistance groups in Crimea for 25 years in Ukraine (like IRA or Chechnya for comparison). At the last election to Crimean Parliament in Ukraine, the active pro-Russian party gained a little more than 5% of the voters. I am not saying, that Crimea was entirely pro-Ukrainian, but the assumption that they hate Ukraine so much that there is a possibility of guerrilla warfare is clearly an overexaderation.

[@valera4176]

@@joek600 strangely enough, in the places where russian forces were not present, people never expressed a wish to join Russia for higher pensions, even in highly sympathetic to Russia regions.