SET Over SET For $561,800! Patrik Antonius Falls Right Into Tom Dwan's Trap

It's a classic cooler situation. Kings versus tens in a 3-bet pot. This time, however, there are several twists and turns. Tom Dwan slowplays his pocket kings, unaware that he's crushed by Patrik Antonius's flopped set. The turn brings even more surprises, and the pot swells to a record size for Poker After Dark in this insane high stakes cash game.
As always on Poker Hands, Doug breaks down each street of action and shares his thoughts on how each player made their decisions.
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#GrindNation

[@MrWorldwideification]

I want someone to look at me as Dwan looks at Antonius

[@meepoacademy8614]

;)

[@bartserra187]

And He ISNT like hundred of thousands other players who are wearing sunglasses to do it!

[@natedavidoff668]

top rated comment.

[@MrMartinmozz]

I love the way Tom always looks kinda shady/nervous even when he is destroying his opponents lol! Thanks for these vids, awesome stuff :)

[@RoadTripperrr]

I like how respectful Dwan is whenever he wins a big pot, especially in cooler situations. I don't think I've ever even seen him celebrate one. He was the absolute classiest guy on the table in televised poker. I repeat - on the table, in case I get replies to this re: jungleman etc.

[@TheChrist559]

RoadTripperrr nobody should feel good about taking others money so it’s respectful to not goal crazy in joy

[@SlaveKnightGael]

Marco Schaub LOOOOOOOOOOOL

[@brucesmith596]

That’s not class it’s autism

[@hue9962]

Marco Schaub 😂

[@davidk3567]

who celebrates in cash, you only celebrate in tourneys.

[@Jets613]

Has Antonius ever won a hand on High Stakes Poker? Unlucky bastard

[@backyardjuggler]

This is Polker After Dark, I believe.

[@TheNeweN24]

Hard to win any if you barely play any.

[@TheBoldImperator]

Don't cry too hard for Mr. Antonius, otherwise known as the 2nd and 6th winningest players (yes both) ranked on HighStakesDB and also the winner of the largest pot in the history of online cash poker.

[@seago101]

Ya AA v AQ vs Robl all in pre 300k pot i believe, gift wrapped. Also he won a 280k pot vs Phil Laak with 3rd pair, stationing him down all 3 streets. Also he won 3/4 of the million dollar pot against farha in a flip

[@overgme]

There's an Aussie Millions episode where he sucks out after going all in KK vs. Dwan's AA. There's also a PAD episode where they go all in in the dark, Patrick wins the first times they do it, and then sits out the rest of the flips (of which there were several). All in all, I think he came out okay on televised poker. If you search the 2+2 forums, someone, somewhere, actually calculated everyone's televised winnings.

[@robertshawnmitchell]

Can we see a Poker Hands where Antonius raises from the button and takes down the blinds? I'm starting to feel bad for the poor guy.

[@DougPolkPoker]

lol thats actually quite funny

[@alicwkd]

Me too. Then I remembered he's worth more than my house and has the face of a fucking angel.

[@TheTrandeberg]

vs doug polk flops straight with 68

[@mattewcheng]

I remember that 68 he called against that big bluff with a painful face and turned out he is the winner not doug polk

[@IIIrandomIII]

alicwkd Why does the angel have to be fucking?

[@Herv3]

of course Dwan has top set on the set over set. If Antonious was the one with a set of kings, Dwan would have had AJ.

[@marlon7826]

true hahahaah

[@marlon7826]

but when it matters most, dwan didnt got lucky, losing a 20milion pot with set over set in Macau, these guys that dont have a good bankroll management and think that their edge will define always if they win on lose , they dont last long in the poker world

[@yvesm.8855]

Marlon Bomfim Lost A 20m pot. Holy crap. I guess he had a sleepless night then. Or maybe not :-D

[@marlon7826]

haha xD

[@nuggzay8556]

nope. dwan would have the set and antonius would have the straight. except they run it twice and dwan boats up both times

[@effortlessawareness8778]

Doug if you had been watching this entire session you'd see durr when raising or 3betting pots preflop was checking when he missed flops and he was missing alot of flops so I think his idea was to check to induce a bet from antonious. It made it look like durr was just trying to steal the pot from the straddle with a variety of hands, also gives balance to durr who may be checking JJ AK OOp on this board vs Antonious's 3bet calling range against Durr. It also balances his range by checking overpairs on this board and Im sure he doesn't do this enough against Antonious (they likely have ALOT of history) and so he checks so as to not play his hand as face up especially because he was checking alot of flops after being the agressor preflop. So it's hard to critique this aspect of his play given we don't know the entirety of his history against Antonius and given the overall dynamic if durr checking alot of flops in this live session. Most of the time he was checking & check calling because he had been missing alot of boards so he wants to balance that by checking his overpairs in this scenario. Antonious is not calling his 3bet with a standard 3bet calling range 6 handed, they have too much dynamic with each other. So we can't even assume that QQ JJ TT are the main hands in Antonious's 3bet calling range especially in position against Tom Dwan. But the check on the flop is brilliant it allows antonious to be bettimg with a bigger range of his 3bet calling range in position which consists of alot of suited connectors, Suited aces, and underpairs to the board.

[@lovelybeautiful-nd9jk]

You still can consider that kk isnt the nuts there… and yes its a safe check, even tho you check raise

[@jeffshackleford3152]

I also think Tom was using that flop bet as a way to " see " what Antonius had. Like would he take a card IP if he had a draw?

[@garrettthecrispy584]

dude Antonius is always getting coolered or sucked out on.

[@yvesm.8855]

I once saw an Aussie Millions hand. Two chinese guys and an almost 1 million dollar pot. The one who lost was actually laughing and seemed to be enjoying himself when he pushed his chips over. The other one was eating noodles with chopsticks. Priceless!

[@dennisreynolds2122]

I can't really call this a trap. Dwan check called the flop believing he was way ahead. He was just fortunate to hit his two outer on the turn thus creating a cooler of a hand. I mean, Antonious could maybe get away from it, but his turn bet pretty much committed him to the pot. Obviously a set is the only hand he doesn't want Dwan to have as that means 1 out.

[@DougPolkPoker]

Man, its almost like the title was being a bit sarcastic :D

[@dennisreynolds2122]

Doug Polk Poker touche...

[@BartoszKosiarski]

Dude he is not commited after turn bet.....

[@dennisreynolds2122]

BartoszKosiarski With a set there, Antonious is 100% committed after his turn bet is raised all in. I mean, the only hands beating him are obviously higher sets (2 possible combos), and 2 possible straights. So, even if up against straight, it's a must call.

[@BartoszKosiarski]

Higher sets are 6 combos, not 2. But y, it seems kind-of-standard call ;p

[@camdensworld0516]

50% less talking and 50% more action, and I’d watch these every day.

[@ununseptium7961]

If a person who is new to poker only watched this youtube series for the past two months, they would think that Antonius was the biggest loser in history.

[@48tho-averysalak39]

unun septium and Dwan would look like one of the biggest winners lol

[@MCFoultier]

or not... polk almost never stresses results of singular hands

[@Despond]

The guy lost a lot of money in big cash games against Chinese business men. Like a lot of money. He plays beyond his means and is reckless.

[@48tho-averysalak39]

Despond we know

[@tooltime8250]

he is

[@Thspinnage]

shoutout to Tom Dwan for holding there, and for managing to have kings

[@runlikejosh1364]

PA's Inner Monolgue: "Kangs!!! How you have Kangs!?"

[@alfredgreeneiv]

Tom Dwan has one of the best images in poker imo. No one ever believes the guy so they pay him pre flop ALWAYS. and he so good post flop they can never tell when he's bluffing or holding the nuts. i hate to be a fan boy but i love watching that guy play. Ever since Helmuth got beat and told him "We'll see where you are in 5 years bud" LOL .. been about 10 years and still taking money from you Phil. haha

[@RobsWorld]

I think I saw this episode a while ago and after Antonius left, Dwan actually had put him on a flopped set of 10s if I recall

[@Teasquared27]

Yes which makes the check call on the flop make more sense. From Dwans perspective check call is the best play, I disagree with Doug on the flop. Also, Viffer pretty much would have had to go all in with his stack size pre flop. Would be silly to just flat.

[@clintonmanning6433]

Yeah or 9 5. Either that or trip 2’s

[@dhinton1]

and it makes sense that Dwan could put Antonius on a flopped set, based off what happened preflop. Antonius raised from 1st to act position, then flat-called Dwan's 3-bet ... so that probably put him in the 10's/JJ/QQ range (Dwan having KK reduced the number of AK combos Antonius could have) ... and the board hit two of those three hands I mentioned.

[@mikaelkomu2026]

How do you fit "set over set" and trap into same sentence? :D

[@MikeGreenwood51]

Set over set traps Antonihim.

[@Notconceitedjustbetterthanyou]

It’s not hard numbnuts

[@jakewilliam15]

Have you ever considered naming this series "Polker hands"? get it?

[@georgez2804]

Bro you’re talking too much

[@martymasters1894]

Douglas, I watched your video with Papi about charity & I agree with you that most of them are mismanaged, I'm sure you've helped out a lot of people but one thing nobody can't take away from you is that $111,111 got donated to a great charity because you played the one drop even though you didn't have 100% of yourself its still awesome

[@martymasters1894]

*nobody CAN take away from you* damn voice text

[@Cross810]

I didnt know vanessa selbst did walk throughs

[@renato4551]

I heard Tom has been kidnapped by the Triads. Seriously, thanks for the hand break down, Doug.

[@vncrunescape]

Why is Antonius not taking into concideration, that this hand is a Polker Hand? In Polker Hands often monsters are featured. Having said that, it is much more likely to put Tom on AJ or even a Full House. Clear fold...

[@dennisreynolds2122]

Much more likely to put Tom Dwan on AJ or full house? You can't just assume your opponent called 30K post flop and hit a gut shot straight with the AJ. Also, even with AJ for the straight, that would give Antonious 10 outs to the full house on the river and with the turn bet and money in the pot, you can never fold there as you are pot committed and have to hope to hit. Now, your second part was "EVEN A FULL HOUSE". A full house is impossible on the board, only higher sets, which while unfortunate is considered a cooler and Antonious is paying those off as well.

[@1985gvs]

Dude you just can't get sarcasm can you?

[@dennisreynolds2122]

1985gvs That is a horrible attempt at sarcasm

[@untouchable360x]

Few things. Tom is a loose aggressive player. He can have 72 for all that matter. They play against each other all the time. Dwan is usually bluffing and Patrik knows it. Dwan just happens to have it this time. That's it. You can't expect to be holding strong hands to win in poker in the long run.

[@dennisreynolds2122]

untouchable360x When he shoves all in over the top on the turn, the only real bluffs he could have are like JJ, AK,AQ, or AA.

[@klmorg63]

The check on the flop was masterful! Drrr has such a wide range of starting hands that when he has a real hand he wants action. If Patrick shoves on a post flop bet, Drrr is in a tough position because what could Patrick have other than a set. Once again analysis of hands is so easy when you know the outcome, your specialty in these videos, and saying you like this or that play is ridiculous because in the moment you wouldn’t do anything that you said. Guess that’s why you “retired”, your to good lol. Lot of Hellmuth in you Doug!

[@jimduggan8382]

you are guilty of what you accuse Doug of dummy

[@TheTransmaster92]

why is he talking we can see whats going on

[@DougPolkPoker]

Yeah whats up with that

[@holdyourplums4204]

+Herbert It's called giving us his opinion on the hand, which is why most of us are watching this. If I come across a poker channel where someone just stares at the camera & you get to use your psychic abilities to ascertain his/her thoughts, I will put up a link for you.

[@TheTransmaster92]

your a funny guy goes good with your hair

[@TheTransmaster92]

you look like gumby

[@kingcoopa5186]

I agree, who tf needs commentary over the already dumb-downed commentary provided by the commentators. Stupid.

[@davespellbound6167]

strategising an arsey hand is inane. As is Doug "something-about -mary" Polk. Bizzare luck won this hand not a "trap"

[@MasterKalkkuna]

You should analyze the hand between Antonius and Laak where Antonius calls with pair of fours in the river.

[@dhinton1]

I remember the FIRST time I saw this on TV ....... and when Dwan hit that turn King, the commentator said: this one's gonna get ugly ... before I did aloud. lol .... that's just disgusting 😂

[@raminguseynov8806]

Hey Doug. Thanks for review. Not that it's too important but I think QQ is also can be in Dwan's range. You didn't mention that one.

[@fedea82]

True, I noticed that as well. In Antonious shoes I would lean towards a fold. There are 28 combos that beat us (QQ, KK, and AJ which definitely falls under Dwan's squeezing range), and the fact that Dwan is superaggressive SCREAMS a monster hand with the unusual passive-aggressive line he took (check/call flop, check/jam turn). Having said that, one has to ponder about that night's table dynamic until that point...maybe Dwan had been bluffing and shoving back and forth, which wouldn't surprise me.

[@joakimfredriksson3889]

Fede A it really looks queens, kings or jacks to me, with dwans style I really think he would lead with any kind of straight draw on the flop

[@fedea82]

I agree Joakim, Tom would lead with a straight draw, maybe...Or maybe he would be scared of getting check raised on the flop, Antonious is pretty aggressive too after all, and on this flop a reasonable squeeze calling range in position connects almost 100% of the time to allow him to value bet or semibluff...(J9, JT, TT, JJ, JQ, QQ, KQ, AJ, AQ...or even slowplayed AA), so after a check raise on the flop from said range Tom wouldn't know if he's ahead or behind. Also, these two guys in particular have played thousands of hands online against each other, so that's another reason why Dwan might have chosen to change his lines. The leveling between players of this caliber goes beyond what meets the eye.

[@oyuyuy]

I guess Dwan could bluff with J10 and QJ as well after checking the flop, honestly I think it's hard not to assume that you have enough equity in the pot vs Dwan in Antonius spot. We need to find ~5-6 bluff combos in Dwans range, just put Dwan's standard 3 bet hand J4o in there and it's covered two fold!

[@samwilson7784]

12:05 wow that was fast

[@jesiboiatienza2497]

fast forward to the game. haha

[@P90Guy2]

Why did the dealer pull 2 river cards and the commentator said “Strike 1/2”?

[@ummareli2791]

they're running it twice, two rivers come out forming 2 different boards and each one is worth half the pot. so had one of the two cards been a 10, antonius wouldve won half the pot

[@MrJoosebawkz]

Is 3bet sizing just smaller than it was 6yrs ago? or should you be 3betting 5x? i thought it was like 3x ish?

[@jeyfreeman7045]

Doug Polk makes no sense here, he doesn't take live reads into account, and we've seen him bash Tom Dwan for lesser things so, overall, not so surprised from his analysis. I thought Tom Dwan played this the best he could.

[@lehtinen21]

I wonder if Durr had some sort of read on Antonius that he was strong on the flop.

[@CodeProvider]

why so many dislikes? doug polk is the man and this vid is great

[@michaelb4538]

Iys because it wasn't a trap

[@christophermoyer6103]

Love these videos and to hear your thoughts on specific actions. Notably, I don't think you've said anything about the decision to straddle, which has been a key element in a couple of these monster hands you've presented. It would be illuminating to hear your specific thoughts on straddling, especially as it relates to specific players, situations, and dynamics.

[@christophermoyer6103]

I would even be interested in a whole video about straddling. Your audience likely knows the basics - that it's a -EV move in a vacuum. But even in the low/mid stakes live games I play in, it looks to me like it can be +EV and maybe even very +EV when taking certain table dynamics into consideration. Would like your advanced take on the subject.

[@overgme]

At that particular table, it would have been very +EV for both Dwan and Antonius to have everyone doing it (and I think this was one of the games were it was "on" for everyone . . . although Dwan would do it on his own from time to time during these games). Dwan and Antionius were both better players, and deeper, than the rest of the table, so anything which increased the stakes would have been to their benefit.

[@n3wbarrowspker]

hey at 7 minutes, i wanted to know something you didnt explain. i dont know if its important or not. why did he all in there rather than play for the next card? is it out of his favour to wait it out or would it of been better to make a decently valued bet instead of an all in? @Doug Polk Poker

[@cohan000]

If you want to skip the Polk: 00:19 - 02:46 - 04:53 - 11:20

[@mariogasparini7473]

I'm so impressed to see this pot so important . I can't believe it

[@Unseen_presence.]

Somebdy tell this guy to stop talking 🙊

[@qaikodiateo8449]

why

[@liorrubin8456]

I think dwan can have Qs (i expect that more likely than Ks). Checking the flop protects your range, but it also makes sence because you crush the board so heavily

[@tonyb1610]

Yeah set of QQQ can check and raised when the KK came because unless u have the set of QQQ u can’t check and raised into a set of KKK. You check raised the KKK if u think the other player have a set of QQQ on the flop

[@superdave7507]

keep the vids up doug...good stuff man.

[@DougPolkPoker]

Thanks Dave :D

[@yangmalone3369]

Always so sick ,set over set

[@otaconz1147]

please DOUG don`t spoiler the hands in your title - TX mate

[@DougPolkPoker]

If you look at the titles, theres a mix of saying what does or doesnt happen. Will keep this in mind.

[@otaconz1147]

great and GL WPT Five Diamond

[@FullTiltRico]

Golden Kappa check

[@TheDaleraka]

I love your gramma and granma)

[@tryNtryAGAIN]

Doug that check call is beautiful, I do that at times to ,sometimes you want to win a small pot or lose a small pot with an over pair ..not a wonderful flop for kings in that situation and trips and big draws that could re raise if you bet out on the flop .Dwan has the experience to know what the best thing to do was on that flop and he did it ,when you could only have two outs on the flop good to keep the pot small there ,perfect play from Dwan plain n simple

[@furdiebant]

Gabe is such a beast.

[@chumbawumba2898]

I agree. I think this is just one of those spots where Dwans image banks him a nice little return. I think Patrick realises that there aren't that many good bluff cards in this spot when Dwan decides to ship it for all the chips, at which point he's prob praying that Dwan is bluffing (in typical 'duuur fashion) that said, I'm not a huge fan of Dwans shove either. Given the action on both the flop and turn, both straights make for reasonable holdings and if Antonius does find a call, I think the worst hand that should be calling in that spot ought to be the J9. For those reasons, I'd be learning towards a check call with top set. Supremely done as Douglas!

[@joakimfredriksson3889]

Timothy Fitzpatrick seriously you think the worst hand he should call with is the low straight?

[@jonit3366]

can you analyze a stu ungar hand?

[@jonit3366]

cochiselol1232 yes like the final hand wsop 1997 a4 - a9

[@kacper765]

Ok, if we are in PAD segment of Polker Hands - then I suggest Durrr vs Bob Safai bluff.

[@이민우-g3t]

탐트완이 쳐다보는거 왤케 귀엽노 ㅋㅋ

[@0ptimal]

Fully man

[@bot-ip1lu]

Doug please tell me what you think Supposing durr only bluffs with JJ here(and does that 100%):antonius have AJ(8) J9s(2) KQ(9) 44(3) TT(3) and probably no KJ.That's 25combos. Durr risks 231 to win 158,optimal call frequencie is 41%.41% of 25combo it's 10combos to call.So AJ(8) J9s(2) and he can't exploit bluff antonius with any 2. So antonius shouldn't theorically call TT,should he? In this scenario the only reason to call is to deviate cause durr is bluffing to much here.If he 3bets AJs(4) and let say he just 3b pf 50% of his AJo(6combos)=10combos total and bluffs all his JJ. antonius has to call 172 in order to win 389 optimal bluffing frequencie is 30%. here 6/16=37% so antonius should call cause durr is bluffing too much on that spot. And still i think durr won't check call 100% of his AJ flop so he might have less AJ in his range and bluff more thant 37% here. But this scenario is not accurate cause durr is checkraising turn KK wich he isn't suppose to..But me might do the same with KQ and that's 9 combos TT beats compare to the 3 KK.. if durr checkraise 100% of his KQ KK and JJ antonius beats him 53% of the time and calling is super winning with TT

[@harlanpepper6848]

I got trapped again by another Doug polk video..

[@cIeetz]

the best part about watching these events happen on poker after dark was not having to have some dork know it all commentating. ps cool vid~!

[@punkrock5]

next doug polk life goal: take a picture with mark hoppus

[@Harbz]

Feel better Doug, good stuff as usual!

[@Spacevet]

If you not talking in this Video it had been great!

[@ricpo8683]

hey Doug, what would u do in a hypethetical situation where, you have TPTK, theres no flushes or straights possible, the turn went check check and u bet about 1/3rd pot for value because you suspect your opponent has a weak hand and want to get called,, you're facing an aggressive opponent who raises because he views the small bet as weakness.. do you call or fold?

[@least_bw1775]

Ric Poitras please don't tell me you folded. it'd be one thing if it was an ultra tight player, as most of his range raising on the river is 2 pair+. against an aggressive player, however, it's entirely possibly they're playing with 2nd pair, top pair lower kicker, etc. you just have to call and if you get coolered by a set or two pair so be it.

[@ricpo8683]

its not a specific scenario that I can remember, but it does happen often as I try to go for thin value sometimes, I usually make the call depending on the players, theres been times ive induced a bluff and other times they slow played a better hand

[@Kamilkk2007]

Hey Doug, could you analyze the Holz(K8) vs Greenwood(88) hand @ EPT13 Barcelona SUPER HIGH ROLLER FINAL TABLE!!! Please ;)

[@nuggzay8556]

+1

[@JC-ig4xy]

Is this a standard 3 bet size in lets say zone poker on ignition? I always thought a 3b raise should be 3x in this case + 3x + 3,300 for around 15k to 16k. Tell me why its standard to go bigger here

[@carrotsusu5404]

You talk wayyyyyyyyyyy toooo much. Danggit !

[@St3v3z]

Don't see how its a Dwan trap. Antonius didn't commit any massive amounts of money until he hit his set and thus almost certainly was an overwhelming favourite to win the hand. Durrr just got lucky on the turn.

[@TraneFrancks]

These spots are sick and it doesn't get easier when you run the numbers of your set against your opponent's expected range. As a non-live player who has never faced a straddle, thinking over preflop is an interesting situation. We have Antonius playing what we would expect to be an RFI CO range who then faces a reraise from HJ. We know Dwan (#SaveTom) is unpredictably wide, so we might not be inclined to be too worried. Given the strength of pocket 10s preflop, we're happy to call. Tom's View: ========== Once Antonius calls HJ's reraise, we can narrow his range. As we're in HJ with pocket kangs, we look forward to seeing a dry flop. We've played a lot of hands against Antonius and he knows we're loose, so we'll give him a range that includes the Upswing raise/fold hands. We'll remove AA & KK from his range, as we expect these hands to 4-bet. (I don't know PA's tendency to 4-bet QQ, so we'll just leave that and JJ in his 3-bet flatting range.) Against PA's expected calling range, Dwan sees himself as a huge favourite with 77% equity. Immediately upon seeing the flop, our equity against CO's range inches upward to nearly 80%. We're feeling trappy (I personally wouldn't), so we check. CO bets and this gives us a chance to evaluate what hands offer potential to either beat us or improve. CO's semi-bluffs include AKo, AKs, KJs and J9s. 44, TT, QQ and QTs all currently beat us. Time to call and play the turn. The Ks OTT against CO's expected flop-continuation range gives us ~79% equity and we're happy enough. That said, there is a risk that AJo, AJs and J9s all got there and these hands are all very much in CO's range. Despite the risk of those nutted hands trumping us, we've got loads of equity and we're happy to get our money in hoping to get unstuck. Patrik's View: =========== We open our TT happy enough to see Viffer on the BTN calling, but taking a moment to consider Dwan's 3-bet from HJ. With our history and his dossier of crazy bluffs, we're happy enough to call and see a flop to re-evaluate our strategy. The flop brings us what looks to be Teh Nutz against HJ's general RFI range. We might be inclined to tighten HJ's range given the reraise, but #SaveTom is unpredictable and can show up with nearly anything. Against a generic RFI range from HJ, we expect we have 98% equity and crush just about everything. With Dwan deferring to us OTF, we lead out feeling more confident about our strength, but not yet removing any hands from his range. We chop with TT and he's only beating us on this flop with QQ. We're good, so far. The Ks OTT drops our equity by a chunk. Dwan has all the Ax, Jx and 9x in his range to make the nuts. We're a little less sure of our situation, but we can't forget HJ's check OTF. Was it trappy? Was it a semi-bluff hoping to improve and didn't? Was it a semi-bluff hoping to improve and did? Ultimately, we think we're just way ahead and we bet for value. Durr gives us that throw-up in our mouth moment by going all-in and committing our stack should we decide to call. We think we're the favourite here. Sets are hard to come by and we expect HJ's range to only come up with trips 5% of the time. Heavy sigh and call. TL;DR takeaway: I love analyzing these hands with emphasis on playing our ranges correctly. When running the numbers, I consistently see where we need to be calling off lest we be folding our premium hands too frequently and, therefore, leave ourself vulnerable to exploit. If we're always playing our range correctly, we can expect to be profitable in the long term.

[@TraneFrancks]

Max Payne ROTFLMAO - That was pure gold.

[@TraneFrancks]

Boss Meanwhile, it's a highlighted comment. Methinks thou doth protest too much.

[@adrianoalves20]

Epic video once again. So, About Tom's line on the flop. Obv your arguments make sense btw. Could he maybe be pot controlling or checking to induce thinking he had the best hand? And the check-raise jam on the turn I mean he loses to AJ and J9s like you said but thats about it right? I guess he put Antonious on a set or KQ and discounted AK, since he has 2 and one on the flop and maybe felt he had value there since he called pre and fired flop and turn...well Im sure he has his on way of thinking poker.

[@andreilouisdango8859]

I cant really enjoy the poker plays when u start talking

[@michaelnguyen5100]

Great analysis from Doug. IMO if I was Antonius I’d be putting my opponent on AJ, but Dwan is a different opponent where his range is anything. Bad beat in the end

[@nathantran9040]

if i knew this channel from this guy i wouldn't click on it,,, talk too much,,

[@vijayakumar9463]

yes

[@kanezulueta8654]

I have not encounter strike 1 strike 2 in poker. Can someone explain.

[@piotrczary4072]

Why so many dislikes?

[@americanredneck8686]

The commentators are a PAIN in the you know what.

[@dahilpfithu]

Stop talking, stop explaining dude... It's simply irritating!!!!....

[@CipherSerpico]

Dahil Pfithu Ya, getting information on how to play from one of the best players in the world is really irritating.

[@dahilpfithu]

@@CipherSerpico lol 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@dahilpfithu]

@@CipherSerpico another comedian!.. 😂😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣

[@anvayupadhye]

What do you think of durr's turn line? If both players have bunch of straights in there range then what worse hands are calling him? TT and may be some QQ that didn't 4bet pre. Probably a thin shove.

[@kurtdavis7272]

I feel like you throw jargon around and like to hear yourself talk...it gets irritating

[@hodylin4473]

How come no one (including Doung) mentioned the possibility of Tom can have QQ? If I were Antonius, actually that will be my #1 suspect. And then #2 is AJ suited, KK is #3 instead of #2 mainly like Doung said: checking the flop with KK is a bit weird, you can easily lose 1 street of value to a top pair. Or lose the pot to free card GS straight. KQ and J9 is just too lose to reraised preflop out of position, and a strong player with a strong hand behind you. yes, Tom is capable of that, just saying it’s less likely than QQ, KK, and AJ.

[@yudista9241]

Too much talking deepshit. I can see it with my eyes!

[@patl4416]

Doug, the live read is invaluable

[@IBGavin]

Is Dwan's turn c/r the correct line if it's so thin that even TT can consider folding and Antonius can have so many combos of straights?

[@user-kf4gp1jt3d]

In 3 bet pot. why tom does not lead in the flop with overpair? if turn and river is not k , i think it's very hard check call flop turn and river with a strong bet .

[@antjoshwww]

What hands would dwan re-raise with pre. 99-AA AJs AQ AK would be a a re raise because it's Tom dwan. The bet oop on the flop should have bothered Antonius with hands like 10-Q AQ JJ JQ J-10 AA which he could beat but not QQ KK AJs the check on the flop from the opener was standard. Antonio's who would continue was called by hands like 10Q 10J JJ QQ KK AA The turn all in was the key in this hand for Antonius. Call or fold with the turn that has a high and a low straight. QQ KK AJs. 3 hands that beat Patrick against all possible starting hands that dwan could have. 9j is unlikely since it's weak starting hand. Given the preponderance of evidence facing an all in bet with 20% equity is a fold. Loss 50k

[@caio7487]

Hey Doug, dd you mean JJ would be a good hand to check-call planning on check-raise on a K turn or JJ would be a good hand to check-call and on the turn it would become a good spot to check-raise with this hand?

[@rbaddict2947]

Antonious did nothing wrong except get unlucky. Dwan bluff's so much it wouldn't be smart to throw away sets against him head's up unless you had some sort of read that he had a better hand. In Antonious eye's he's prob thining Dwan's not calling that much money on the flop with a gut shot and/or an ace? And Antonious would prob think Dwan would have bet KK (very clever for Dwan to check) on the flop so in his mind it's hard to put Dwan on that hand. What if Antonious had AQ? That would eliminate 2 outs for Dwan, so basically I would think if I Antonious put himselef in Dwan's shoes he prob would fold AJ so from Antonious perspective that elminates both KK and AJ...I don't blame Antonious for the call, I think he was just unlucky and he can't read Dwan. Only hand I would think could beat me in that spot (if I'm Antonious thinking in that spot) is QQ or J9. He just got unlucky. If you're not willing to lose all your chips dont go heads up against someone you can't read because you could just get unlucky and lose it all like he did. That's why poker is great, you can out think your opponent but he can still beat you with luck.

[@hnxssss]

I think the reason durrr check the flop is because he does the same thing with missed 3bet hands like 68o 79o sth like that, also Ts Qs is in the range of antonious’ cold call for 3bet

[@notrecyborg5492]

why cant you have the 'off suit variety' of ace-jack?

[@mitch3714]

Dwan always has that scared Oh No, whatcha gonna do look on his face 😆

[@bruinsrulz]

I could not tell if they froze a picture of Tom Dwan at hte 8:30 mark or if the video was still running..

[@BartoszKosiarski]

I actually got few questions. Do You think Antonius would put Dwan on KK after he checked flop ? And also, i know it's 1 out cuz antonius has TT, but Tom could play TJ this way. J8s? J5s? He seemed to be really wild in those games, even to a point of calling 3-bet pre with 75off (lawl), so many suited jacks might make sense here, don't You think? Also, Dwan might be feeling safe, cuz after that flop line most of AJ would fold, imho. What do You think Doug? cheers

[@whoshotya117]

How can you tell what a tell would represent? If someone looks at me and either way if I have good hand or bluff, I'm always breathing faster and swallowing sometimes.

[@0ptimal]

Maybe when u hit a big hand u breathe a little bit different than when u miss, or u swallow a little different. There's usually always little differences that someone could possibly pick up if they watch u enough. Especially on big hands that cause a surge in emotions. Like Antonius here, I think durr knew he hit a big one on the flop because he's played him so much, he knows subtle changes in his expressions breathing blinking movements etc., even tho to us Antonius looks very stoic, inside his body was reacting to the set, n a surge of emotions is very difficult to hide completely. Especially when someone is right next to u inspecting your face lol

[@MrDteer]

STRADDLE. Then a raise, call, re-raise. Tend to have a hand high cards. Flop comes, Dwan spends less then a second looking at the flop, and turns his mind elsewhere.. Turn comes, count it. Spends five seconds looking at the king. Then off and then looks again calculating. I fold MOST of the time if it re patterns.

[@8095jleon]

I’d put him on queens since he checked that flop but called my bet then checked raised turn. Strange that Polk doesn’t consider such a hand.

[@Acidrain77]

Lol. Gotta crack a smile when you make a Peat shorter joke.

[@cathdan]

He actually is one of the biggest winner for cash game for being nitty. Nit does win games.

[@26bisket]

Isn't a weird line like checking with overpair fine if you do it like 1/10 times or something? Anyway, I think he did it because Patrick gave away his hand preflop by betting large and Dwan put him on tens through aces.....then decided a set was Patrick's most likely hand on the flop and turn.

[@jaywade05]

what do you think of dwans sizing on the turn c/r ..isn't he sort of announcing he has AJ/the nuts ?

[@effortlessawareness8778]

Durr put him all in on the turn even if Antonius had j9s and Aj because he can then run it twice or 3 times. If he just flat calls Antonius's bet then he doesnt have that option to run twice and he knows that he is paying antonius off if antonius has AJ or J9 on the river if the board doesnt pair and so decides that AJ or J9 he can run it twice or 3 times with ten outs and against anything besides AJ or J9 he is WAY AHEAD (2pairs and Second best sets). Its a great play. Plus he has turned top set under repped his hand massively. Durr can get called by slightly more worse hands in this spot 2pairs and sets than by number of combos of j9s and AJ.

[@dashmit5]

Why were there two river cards?? I dint understand I'm new to poker

[@Heelms]

I'm fairly new to Poker - can someone please explain why they revealed two cards on the river?

[@aamadeo]

Could it make sense for Tom to check that hand to protect his weaker check-call-range like JJ, Tx OTF ??

[@tamarasunshine386]

He is checking because he wanted to see what Antonius called him with. A very reasonable check.

[@rbaddict2947]

Not so sure about that. I think Dwan read Antonius to be strong so he checked but prob still wasn't sure if he was behind. It was very unusual check however because you risk giving a free card then if it's another straight card, you might have to consider he made a straight. Normally, not talking any "tells" into consideration I would have either bet on the flop or check raised. But I guess Dwan read him well.

[@Make-Asylums-Great-Again]

Hey Doug what’s that ratio tell you?