Shocking New Jobs Report (Crash Prediction)

[@darnellcapriccioso]

Every crash/collapse brings with it an equivalent market chance if you are early informed and equipped, I've seen folks amass up to $1m amid crisis, and even pull it off easily in a favourable economy. Unequivocally, the bubble/collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich.

[@EmilyMoore-n7n]

I do not disagree, there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such execution are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience since the 08' crash.

[@richardhudson1243]

completely agree. I have been consistent with my profit regardless of the market conditions. I got into the market early in 2019 and the constant downtrends and losses discouraged me, so I sold off. I got back in December 2020 and this time with guidance from an investment adviser who was recommended by a colleague

[@richardhudson1243]

Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with Annette Marie Holt for about 4 years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.

[@AdamGreene222]

Excellent share, thank you! just copied and pasted her full name on my browser, at once came across her site and skimmed through credentials, she looks very distinguished

[@karinaoliveira3988]

I work as a dental hygienist in Boston and let me tell you that I was SHOCKED when my employer asked me to be home Friday because the day was SLOW! This never happened before and I am shocked because they gave me a $4 dollar raise but are cutting my hours!!!!

[@sanbetski]

noice. now you are getting to the root of the problem!

[@SLRModShop]

I said the word "broke" in a conversation with my colleague. She's Indian, I'm French, she thought I meant "broke" as in I don't have money. She opened up to me and started crying about her financial situation. I love how I'm supposed to wait for "experts" to tell me that what I can see all around me is indeed happening... This all sounds like a very cruel farce at this point.

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

It's an eeelection year, I'd elaborate further but doing so would just get me censored by KZbin again.

[@dennisleise5393]

THE STOCK MARKET IS NOT THE ECONOMY.

[@JackCarsonite]

Someone's (take your pick) is proping up the market. P:E ratios are infinite. The VIX gets crushed in real time, even when reasonable corrections happen. RIP when the money flows stop.

[@DK12_]

Its a lagging indicator. What do you think people are gonna do with their stocks once they start losing their jobs?

[@mrguiltyfool]

​@@DK12_majority of stocks are owned by institutions

[@DK12_]

@@mrguiltyfool Yup and if people have less money, those institutions will in turn have less money as well or turn to alternative investments.

[@consciouscrypto3090]

Yes, but the problem is, the Fed is trying to break the stock market (and RE market) but can't seem to do it without hurting the real economy.

[@michaelm1573]

I have a lawn service business in South Florida and I get random phone calls for people looking for work and I don't even advertise my business anywhere.

[@LiberatedMind1]

I am calling you.

[@bertblue9683]

Neat story. Kindergarten class is over.

[@KippinCollars]

Housing prices are too high for these wages. People are broke but cost of living just keeps going up.

[@simone_maya]

The avg. American is having a tough time, I know I am not alone. There are others in same position as me. By certain statistics: 22% of americans have no retirement savings.

[@simone_maya]

64% are worried that they will not have money in latter years while 47% of adults who are not yet retired think they have to work part-time in retirement. 200k, seperately outside retirement access depleted over the years? what can I do?

[@FranciszekPawal]

In my opinion, create a budget including income and expenses, do this with a financial advisor.

[@FranciszekPawal]

170% in a conservative investment the last 11months under guidance.

[@FranciszekPawal]

monica mary strigle. . .

[@RyanBen-zc7bi]

In retirement red zone, if you haven’t saved enough, cut expense. Don’t celebrate and buy a car when you get a promotion. Use science and math when it comes to money, sock away more money.

[@AminaCasazza]

It's like Wall Street has its own set of mood swings - when the job market slows down, it's like they're throwing a party. It's a curious dance between economic indicators and market behavior, where bad news for workers becomes good news for investors. It's a reminder that what's good for Main Street isn't always aligned with what's good for Wall Street.

[@ChloeMacy-je1nu]

l've always found it baffling how Wall Street seems to celebrate when there's bad news for workers. It's like they're living in a different reality altogether

[@Ericbabacan]

Yeah, it's pretty wild. You'd think a struggling job market would be cause for concern, but instead, it's like they're popping champagne. It really highlights the disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street

[@maxjames223-hl4se]

guess it all comes down to profits for them. A weaker job market often means lower labor costs and potentially higher profits for corporations. It's a harsh reality, but it's the game they play

[@rickoxford9531]

Real inflation is running rampant for middle and poor Americans

[@urimtefiki226]

Welcome to my world since 2020. You were laughing with me, you remember.

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

The jobs aren't there. The jobs are publish but are "ghost jobs", jobs that are "open" but not being interviewed for or filled. My employer has had ghost jobs published for over a year, even while we laid off those very same jobs. I wonder what this disappointed, but inflated jobs number will look like after revision months from now.

[@r4dity404]

They don't care about the middle class getting destroyed, no more middle class i guess 😂

[@thefonzies6895]

Spot on this didn't happen over the last 4 years. During the bush jr era we shipped jobs to China while we scammed young Americans with student loan debt. Ruined the credit of millenials now we will be first generation that will be poorer than our parents amd grandparents. Everyone should've saw this coming when no one could afford to pay back student loans. Wage growth stagnated for 50 years. Then when the working class gets a raise everything inflates. This whole capitalism thing is designed to keep 1% controlling 99% of the resources IT WILL NEVER ADD UP NEVER.

[@foodhoarder9434]

​@ace9840I was born in the mid 80's, so I have never experienced anything but the managed Western decline. Sucks, but I'm ready. Honestly kind of getting pumped. I wish it was different, but if things gonna get rough I'm gonna get rougher.

[@bobsacamano7653]

there are 2 classes old class and young class. old class was able to buy a house before prices went exponential. Now greedflation has set in

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

You'll be much easier to control when you have nothing to lose and hungry children staring up at you.

[@bobsacamano7653]

@ace9840 The inflation started with housing now everything else is following

[@AlenAbdula]

Pharmaceutical industry in Boston already had first round of layoffs. More are coming. The numbers will be widely revised. And I don't even believe those numbers. Lag is a biaaatch!

[@Triangletox]

But the housing market will simply keep going up in price. No problem?

[@AlenAbdula]

@@Triangletox idk what housing will do, it's hard to predict or believe what anyone is saying when too many policies affect so many things, so many special interests have their hands in it. All I know that, the housing is rinse and repeat. I got my house from someone that couldn't afford it in 2009, and best believe it's likely I'll be in same situation when am at their age. It's sad reality of American dream. Many people have their retirement in equity. Their 401k and everything that's bubbled up will crash those people will be wiped out. Then the government will give low interest to stimulate economic growth pushing costs even higher after the correction. How big of a correction is dependant on where you live. Location. Location. Location.

[@pa9121]

It's not just a number a**hole. It is PEOPLE not being able to find a job

[@angeladansie4378]

If somebody can't find a job right now, they're unemployable. There are open positions EVERYWHERE

[@Superformance]

@@angeladansie4378 go apply to one and see if you get a call back

[@owenson7969]

@@angeladansie4378You seem to be unaware of what's happening nationwide. There are hundreds of thousands of jobs that are "hiring" online throughout all of the popular job applications. But they aren't actually hiring. I know people with amazing job history and credentials that have applied hundreds of times with no response. Jobs keep the applications up for certain tax reasons as well as a few other things. My wifes job isnt hiring but they have had their postings all over the internet for months now.

[@kreed1415]

@@angeladansie4378 Indeed job postings are down 70% and it's a known fact that employers are posting false advertisements for jobs to say they are "growing" but they never hire. This is a well known problem.

[@LiberatedMind1]

@@angeladansie4378 Bullshit, unless you want to clean crap off bathroom floors.

[@jonathantaylor6926]

Unemployment is bullish.

[@1Skeptik1]

Robust "official" employment numbers = market up. Soft employment "official" numbers = market up. S&P 500 is up over 26% past 12 months or about triple its historic 8.5% ROI of the past 40 years. Something has got to give!

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

It's that $3.5T a year in deficit spending the fed is still doing, two years after the world's economy reopened that is keeping the economy afloat, nothing else.

[@jimbobarooney2861]

We are right back to 2019, on the cusp of a recession, but now everything is 50% more expensive, the Fed/Gov/Treasury pulled off the greatest hoist yet known

[@angeladansie4378]

Oh, yeah, I'll totally believe somebody who doesn't know the difference between a hoist & a heist, LOL

[@timothygibney159]

@ace9840it’s not 2008. Banks are healthy and homes are safe due to PMI

[@thedilladude]

​@@timothygibney159Banks are NOT healthy!

[@timothygibney159]

@@thedilladude Yes they are 😅. Look at their financial statements. You have been on the crash bro side of KZbin too long. They got trillions of free money when interest rates were 0 and hence created the inflation by buying up homes, oil, wheat and other farm commodities. They have so much cash they didn’t know what to do with so they raised it on us

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

You mean 2021. Things were not anywhere near as bad in 2019 as they are today.

[@timber-rider]

Just the beginning.

[@jhull5870]

This is where we have been for more than a decade where the markets go up on poor economic news. The FEDs easy money and past low rates have completely distorted fundamentals.

[@honkhonkler7732]

Exactly. The markets (and the fed) are absolutely delusional and using this report as a source of hopium for rate cuts before the inflation data even comes out on the 15th. Interest rates are just now at historically normal levels and have come nowhere near the peak inflation %. Meanwhile congress continues to spend like we're in the great depression. Last month, we got March reports indicating both slower growth and more aggressive inflation than projected. I wouldn't be surprised if both these trends accelerate in the April data. Long story short, there's far too many dollars floating around in the economy and I think the inflation report on the 15th may bring a much needed dose of reality.

[@bertblue9683]

Nothing is behaving as it should.

[@jeffreymassey5541]

The economy needs to adjust to REAL PRICE DISCOVERY. Based on the real cash people have in the bank and in their pockets. Tired of this debt driven economy. That is point blank where the inflation is. Easy debt.

[@AZ-697]

Unemployment is actually closer to 25%.

[@LiberatedMind1]

Great depression.

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

100% in agreement. Further elaboration would just get this post censored.

[@nnaaaaaa]

@@LiberatedMind1 eternal depression

[@AZ-697]

@@Shadow_Banned_Conservative Exactly. Most of my posts are auto shadow banned as well. I don’t even get notifications when people comment on my posts anymore.

[@burntxela1258]

@@LiberatedMind1greater depression

[@Slide61]

Starbucks indicated that reduced stimulus spending is the reason for reduced sales? How disconnected can they be? The stimulus ran out when credit card balances began to rocket up.

[@foodhoarder9434]

Why doesn't this make sense? Stimulus ended in March of 21, so 1 year for accrued stimmy money to get spent thru and 2 years of racking up CC debt.

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

@@foodhoarder9434 Stimulus didn't end March of 2021, it just goes by a different names and methods now. It's hidden in our $3.5T deficit spending each year since 2021.

[@foodhoarder9434]

@@Shadow_Banned_Conservative Oh, I agree, and it's massively inflationary Still, in the context of Starbucks sales, this really isn't the same thing as giving otherwise low income individuals thousands of dollars in direct payments to go blow on stupid things like crappy $12 coffees.

[@dancox3251]

Many states had their own stimulus plans. In addition many states are still spending through the Federal relief money. They are only just now starting to finally run out...

[@jerrywong5960]

IBM can talk about technology, but economic? Really? Interest rate is coming down?

[@consciouscrypto3090]

They need to raise rates to get us to a pullback in the RE market, which will help first time homebuyers and also people in fixed incomes getting slaughtered by inflated property taxes. But anything they do toward that end will further tighten the screws on the main street economy, hurting the middle class and working poor most of all. So they can't raise rates. There are just too many dollars out there with nowhere to go, so they will stay in the stock market and RE market at these rate ranges. Powell is between a rock and a hard place. He dare not cut, or this inequality will get even worse. Can you say 'stagflation?' And he dare not raise because average people are already at their breaking point.

[@Leningrad_Underground]

Does this remind me of "Nero" playing his lyre as Rome burns.

[@toddlippincott2070]

You do a fantastic job. New subscriber. Will watch every new released video. Thank you

[@bobsacamano7653]

They need to raise rates

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

It's a s"election" year, they're not going to do that.

[@getinthespace7715]

Just wait until they revise the jobs numbers down 30%. The market thinks if the market softens powell will drop rates... But he can't because inflation is still increasing. YTD Core CPI is approaching 5%, and YTD Core PCE is approaching 4%. Check out the Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast quarterly plots for Q1 and Q2 2024. Everything is going wrong right now. Gdp coming down. Inflation going up. Unemployment going up.

[@honkhonkler7732]

That's my thought exactly. They're high on hopium before the inflation report has come in on the 15th. We already saw slower growth and stronger inflation on the last report and I don't see why that would change on the 15th given rates are the same and government spending spirals ever further out of control. I think we're going to see stagflation or an inflationary recession and the fed is boxed in.

[@smdutt]

Agreed. Inflation -> Stagflation -> Deflation is how it tends to go. If the fed actually did its job properly we would skip over stage 2 quickly, but they seem intent on prolonging it as much as possible for some reason

[@LiberatedMind1]

@@smdutt 👏

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

They're going to drop rates regardless of what it does to the economy, look for late summer or just before the "event" that happens in November.

[@MasterofPlay7]

​@@Shadow_Banned_Conservative I bet it will never happen

[@JS-jh4cy]

Time to grab a tent at Walmart and move to California beach

[@RustyAwalt]

Thank you for covering this

[@BobManginoSellsNaples]

Florida and Texas have had big increases in inventory and a lot of price decreases.

[@snakeplissken3063]

Wall Street: "Everything's fine. Keep buying stuff."

[@ChristineSpringerElaine]

Used to be a big fan of Starbucks. They changed their rewards program to remove stainless steel tumblers. You can still get the plastic ones, but most of those are ugly. Their merch has not been pretty in years. Also, the in store experience is just not the same.

[@oloplyflapdar7384]

Look up the concept "capital strike", this can be informative to power large employers can hold over the economy, and often multiple businesses can employ this tactic in "solidarity" with other businesses.

[@robertveronese4405]

Most new jobs are government ones, pretty soon everyone will work for them?

[@oas8766]

In my job, these are just over reactions, at least till now my company is hiring and there is too much work and not enough skilled engineers.

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

How heavy in government contracts is your employer? $3.5T of deficit spending a year now is what's keeping the economy afloat.

[@JonSmith531]

Lol. This guy is looking to refinance his overpriced mortgage.

[@somethingsomethingsomethingdar]

Wages evened out? I’m sorry what?! Evened out would be 25-40% raises.

[@Jim-xs2fl]

Trouble with data is that it’s always history.

[@firstlast1732]

Real inflation is 30 percent not 3

[@LiberatedMind1]

Yeah 3% is just an aggregate. Specifics like housing and food have rocketed upwards.

[@naps3386]

MHFIN has predicted 100 of the last 2 crashes, perma-bear in everything. Bad news sells, fear gets clicks...

[@a19spyro95]

3:39 CNBC created an awful graph

[@timothygibney159]

We had 2 low gains last year. How is this one different

[@haroldgilbert6707]

Who’s providing number unemployed 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣how many new jobs are second jobs so not to starve ??

[@Shadow_Banned_Conservative]

How many new jobs are "ghost jobs", jobs that are advertised but aren't being filled?

[@wemustbecomemachines2012]

this time is different....because the Left redefined the same as different...

[@DavidM-h7c]

If you look at this months job numbers there was an extremely abnormal low amount of government jobs added. Bet you anything these numbers get revised back up.

[@BrigCommander]

so this is just a daily click bait channel?

[@pictureworksdenver]

Cowbell! Risk on!

[@mythoughtsonfaith1031]

No they cant lower rates, regardless of jobs. They wont do that well into the jobs decline. If they lower rates, inflation will shoot back up. The rate should be at 9% for the next 12 months, then it should go down to 5 % over the next 3 years. After that the rate should be set equal to a real calculation of inflation. Then our economy would be an auto regulating stable system.

[@davidstetson3805]

INFLATION IS NOT ANYWHERE NEAR 3%!!!!!

[@thedilladude]

Yes, it's much higher!

[@Jeff-i4y9t]

Be careful!! It’s not suppose to happen, but a slowing economy doesn’t always lead to a decrease in inflation. 😮

[@chrisl1873]

There's two months lower than April before April. Are those contributing to this theory or in contradiction to it?

[@davidthomas2278]

Isn't low job creation and higher unemployment a sign to WS that business margins improve because less competition for workers, lower costs

[@LiberatedMind1]

It's a sign of an impending recession, which tanks business margins. People have less to spend so nothing is improved.

[@Fokker53]

Employment numbers only include people actively looking for work. A better number to hang your hat on is the percentage of working age adults fully employed. That number is ugly. The stock market is frequently wrong on the overall state and trajectory of the economy. Wages have NOT equalized with inflation as prices have absolutely not corrected, particularly housing. The inflation number is also garbage as it is only CPI. Conveniently for the government, this ignores the things that crush the regular guy on a daily basis.

[@dimagass7801]

Surprise to who? CEOs?🤨💀💀💀

[@joelballard4955]

Unemployment and bankruptcies need to soar. We need a massive decline in all things economy.

[@FortisPolyPlastics]

In May of 2022, J Powell sat down with Biden and discussed what he wanted to see quote “stop wage growth and job growth”. Your video was hovering around those points. Except businesses do not turn on a dime. It’s obvious consumer spending is becoming more and more sparse on items they perceive as a luxury or add on. Which is fair because consumer debt is standing at new highs. The government doesn’t get many things right unfortunately. They will miss the mark here. But recessions are healthy and natural, that is the silver lining. Things will grow anew afterwards.

[@undefined69695]

I love how he did a video about clickbait but is now just rage spamming out clickbait lmao I know you need clicks but it’s kinda funny

[@crazyadventuresandreviews]

If you can’t find work, your the problem, cause there is plenty of jobs out there, I know so many business owners that are turning jobs down cause they don’t have enough help. Might not be the kind of jobs you want but I do what I have to. Im going work to pay my bills and put food on table.

[@BP-1972]

Lowering interest rates is not the answer it’s bubble gum on the crack in the damn. Inflation will go even higher.

[@raymond_sycamore]

LOL bye bye housing crash if they cut rates

[@jimbobarooney2861]

Might be a bit early to break out the champagne, imo interest rates will come down, but with higher unemployment, who knows how that affects prices, given everything that's happened since covid, any deflationary potential leaks have been plugged. I'm suspecting a lot of relief for distressed mortgage holders is coming, with more funny money

[@Sonofawildanimal4241]

🍾👏🏼

[@owenson7969]

You missed the entire point of the video. The fed knows they can't cut rates BECAUSE it will crash the economy. Inflation would skyrocket which would cause job loss, foreclosures, car repossessions, etc. Realistically, we need rates around 10-12% to slowly bring prices down to a reasonable level. We need a 30-40% price reduction nationwide. It's beyond inflated and hasn't mathematically made sense to buy a house for almost 2 years now.

[@DavidM-h7c]

In 2009 they dropped interest rates to 4.5% and still nobody was buying homes and prices continued to fall. If unemployment rises and home prices start to go down people will sit on the sideline no matter how low interest rates are.

[@Slide61]

Depression = 10000 S&P right?

[@LiberatedMind1]

😆

[@exee1]

We need to let in more illegal immigrants and keep giving them $10K credit cards! That will fix everything!

[@JS-jh4cy]

Or Florida

[@mhowie76]

Good for me, bad for most

[@Thomas-ff7wn]

The market has been crazy lately, a few surprises here and there.. with all the global happenings taking place I think it’s safe to say that a severe global recession is looming..

[@adcaptandumvulgus4252]

Up is down right is wrong weird times

[@MegaSnowman35]

Money printer will go hot now.

[@LiberatedMind1]

Hell fuck no

[@will.davlin]

Can this crash soon

[@frankprit3320]

I love it. The Boomers are like " If we can just layoff everyone so they're unemployed and broke, we can get a handle on this and CONTROL THE WORLD HAHAHAHA"!!

[@robertflaherty6709]

I really like ur channel. Please stop mouthing 3% inflation. Are u serious. My gas has gone up 42 cents in 1 months. That's like 25% minimum. Groceries??? 15-20%> Please step up. It may sound insane but just give the real #.. whatever it is

[@Johnny_Utah333]

silver dragons?

[@angeladansie4378]

New jobs numbers can't keep growing exponentially. Record job creation month after month followed by a leveling off does NOT mean a crash is imminent

[@GillAgainsIsland12]

What a joke. People returning to work after the pandemic craze that forced them out of work is NOT job creation.

[@LiberatedMind1]

Record job creation? Job openings have been falling off a cliff for more than 2 years. Unemployment is steadily rising, as it does before recessions, and GDP is falling as well.

[@Tonyrg1988]

Fed has made clear that they will allow higher inflation if need be. Higher inflation means higher stock prices, which is why the market goes up on any news that might force the fed to cut rates.

[@aaroncase709]

Fiery?

[@mrxiong2567]

No housing crash.

[@Sonofawildanimal4241]

🎉

[@helpAmerica1]

It's not shocking.

[@BrendaYoung-y4w]

Wilson Lisa Lopez Larry Brown Betty

[@hrothgar6832]

🙄

[@joelsnyder8177]

You think when they start lowering rates the economy will do good so in the past when rates are around this high with inflation this high what happens when they start lowering rates ? 😂 yr funny 😊

[@skyward711]

Wat do they expect they are crippling industry with high interest rates people have no munney to spend hours prises are allso going to crash

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[@edgarjunior9131]

Thanks to my co-worker (Alex) who suggested Ms Angela Christine Derle.

[@afiktion]

After I raised up to 325k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states 🇺🇸🇺🇸 also paid for my son's surgery (Andy). Glory to God.shalom.

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[@tmdrake]

Sounds good to me.