To quote myself from the video: "the only reason this works rn is that not many people know about it" And I have no idea how did you even managed to, in less than an hour make the price of the frags two times higher than even the peak during the end update but I can't imagine it's gonna help you still profit from it xd you have to wait until everyone forgets about it again sorry xd also discord if you want: discord: discord.gg/suweRaE99H
@iniquous9 ай бұрын
vburger
@frivolesss9 ай бұрын
i met a group of players that was doing the same thing as me like 3 months ago so it was known for a while, but made it not profitable sometimes when whales would buy out the market. i guess now it really is dead.
@frivolesss9 ай бұрын
i just checked bazaar tracker and yeah ur losing money now. >5.5k / holyfrag is not worth it
@Redeam.9 ай бұрын
So technicly java.util.Random is open source and i could reverse enginner seed by drops and then we could figure out if seed is based on something in the game but there is also a chance that hypxiel devs just used public Random() { this(System.currentTimeMillis()); } and the didn't set the seed so in that case we really cant predict exact ms a server is running on becose ping isn't a static number. And as a guy who enjoys coding i could say that we have like a 90% chance that they just used Random() witchout seed. But there still is hope 👀 Edit: I think i might have got something... Edit 2: I'm sure i got it.
@erisuvt9 ай бұрын
Waiting until everyone forgets about it is honestly such a real thing in skyblock. There's been so many profit methods that die when entering the public view, but as soon as everyone assumes "oh it's dead." The methods resurface, sometimes only to a portion of their previous effectiveness, other times all the way back to their original form. It almost moves in cycles and it's usually work checking old methods like this to see if anything has changed. One such example is enchanted golden carrot craft flip which goes through phases of being very profitable.
@thatdelta9 ай бұрын
The fact that the percentages correlated to religious groups in poland in 2011 makes me think there is a plethora of hidden lore in hypixel which noone has uncovered cus that would be crazy.. or is it (Vsauce music plays)
@the_silent_one_9 ай бұрын
But that's a theory, A GAME THEORY.
@hiddenguy679 ай бұрын
a
@johnjohnjohnson77209 ай бұрын
d
@vindi1679 ай бұрын
o
@the_terraria_guy90109 ай бұрын
the chances in bedrocks chest in f7 is the chances of skyblock players having a loving father figure as chance of handle and everyone else as any other drop
@person81689 ай бұрын
The opening is a lie gambling is always a win as long as you don’t quit before you hit it big and skyblock is no exception stay strong.
@B.Cypher9 ай бұрын
90% of gamblers quit before there big win
@jamielus9 ай бұрын
so true, i will now sell my house to gamble
@geoffreytian39699 ай бұрын
when gambling you can win up to 2000% of your money but you can only lose 100% do the math
@fruitsalad58659 ай бұрын
@@B.CypherNah it‘s 99% never stop gambling guys!!!
@iphoneapple56239 ай бұрын
i meannnnn you can lose 200% Just loan some money to gamble!
@zero1up1up59 ай бұрын
To test your hypothesis that something is wrong with the alter, you should try a p-value test on the transition probability P(Bonus now | Not Bonus previous) and P(Not Bonus now | Bonus Previous). If the probability of Bonus is independent each time you sacrifice just like a coin flip, P(Bonus now | Not Bonus previous) = P(Bonus) and P(Not Bonus now | Bonus previous) = P(Not Bonus). But if it isn't, that would prove that the alter doesn't work like a coin flip and depends on initial drop or lobby code, etc.
@justinhoang62939 ай бұрын
He should instead run a binomial test to see if the proportion of not bonus is reasonably close to what it is said to be. Would work much better as we are trying to find if it stays true to listed probabilities vs being affected by previous event
@zerotimeleft4 ай бұрын
i just learned about this omg
@alexanderheubel73668 ай бұрын
Here’s the thing with randomness, people expect a certain level of variation, otherwise it doesn’t feel truly random. Apple had to redesign their shuffle feature because people complained that it didn’t feel random enough and some songs played more than other. There was also a professor in a statistics class that told their students to flip a coin 100 times and record the results, but they were also allowed to make up results. The professor was almost always able to make out who faked it because almost every person who did the coin flip had a repeating result of 6 or more. I guess what I am trying to say is that we can’t get a long with truly random results
@njjv49 ай бұрын
POLAND MENTIONED 2:43 😳😳😳😳😳
@1ndiraHD9 ай бұрын
its always a good year when slt uploads
@AssemblyCSharp9 ай бұрын
Nothing you do in game will influence the randomness. Here's how randomness is implemented in code: Random random = new Random(); random.nextFloat(); basically, what happens is, java will make a "Random" object, used to generate random values. This will reach down to a core interrupt in the CPU to get a more true random number to use as a seed, which will be like the starting point for a pseudo-randomness equation. Basically, the equation is just super complex and LOOKS random, so one number after the next has no noticable pattern, but it does, on a massive scale. The seed is used so that the equation isn't always the same when creating a new random object, it acts as another factor to this equation, because if the equation was always the same, then the outputs would start the same, and be predictable. but yeah, in general, your actions won't influence the output. the only time that might happen is if the server uses one random object for multiple events, say, for summoning eye chances, every zealot kill would move on the next step in that equation, thought that wouldn't inherently help or hurt you, as the chances remain the same.
@theguy27599 ай бұрын
this sounds like something that the spiffing brit would do, great work
@DeltaTitan9 ай бұрын
The reflection in your eyes was really cool! I don't think I've seen that before
@pikaland38527 ай бұрын
3:00 I, a nerd HAVE BEEN CALLED! (Joke done, but yes I do that)
@thatcat17629 ай бұрын
Im so dumb i just realised he did this so he could sell all the frags for a massive stepup
@KaiineW9 ай бұрын
"i dont gamble. and im gonna bet-"
@SolarPlaysall6 ай бұрын
''It's only random until you found out the chances'' -Something like that
@Noromdiputs9 ай бұрын
You probably don't have your own dedicated RNG you probably share it with every other player on the same hypixel thread. so every time someone else on the same server does anything calling RNG the state advances. that means you almost certainly can't figure out and manipulate the RNG state. Stranger things have happened though, it's entirely possible they did something really stupid and introduced a weakness to the RNG.
@everythingwithed42328 ай бұрын
Has this been fixed or crashed?
@crab_with_no_legs9 ай бұрын
With all these plot twists, this video is basically a prezel at this point!
@chopczyk3749 ай бұрын
now I am googling the life span of snail because of you.
@scp5007de9 ай бұрын
I can imagine, that in the time of 4 days by upload, the server was inflating like 40% minimum
@alphapro22913 ай бұрын
Tbh hypixel probaly has a box where they are despensing a chicken egg
@joosh_rocks9 ай бұрын
this might be a silly question, but do you buy a bunch of frags before you release the video knowing the price will go up after you release the video? Thanks
@maxwild66629 ай бұрын
''I don't Gamble and i bet you $5 you don't either'' - SomethingLT 2023
@d4vil_4788 ай бұрын
Bro called me dumb in every way possible
@ParthSus0009 ай бұрын
I did this gambling like 2-3 months ago and made like 300-400m but The prices went down so I stopped and 2 days ago I got wiped For some random reason :-:
@Smurken9 ай бұрын
Might be commenting late, but I hope that @somethingLT bought alot of drops from the altar to later sell after the video
@PolandDoge9 ай бұрын
oh boy buy the holy drag frags cause the price will be signficantly inflated in a few hours
@CarterB80109 ай бұрын
Bro we need a 10 hr vid of ur outro
@xitz27083 ай бұрын
"i dont gamble, and im gonna bet 5 bucks"
@juliantheivysaur31379 ай бұрын
You just majorly upset the 3 people who swore eachother to secrecy so this method doesn't get leaked
@humble65489 ай бұрын
I think the randomness of hypixel is probably just from a random function in java
@vindognz9 ай бұрын
i need to know what font you are using @SomethingLT
@RandomIdiot699 ай бұрын
He definitely figured it out and is hiding the fact hes making over 360m/h
@thatcat17629 ай бұрын
He was prob told by an admin not to disclose it
@crimson36739 ай бұрын
People were doing this like 4-5 months ago. Well me and my friends were, we found it on accident. Some people caught on randomly. You can kind of see when people figured it out based on the Holy Dragon market.
@MMM456989 ай бұрын
@@crimson3673Glad I decided to get my holy dragon frags before then, how much were they during that spike?
@squido28 ай бұрын
@@crimson3673 I just lost all my money trying to do this :(
@at_7 ай бұрын
The position of the glass panes help indicate the time cycle allowing you to get repeat cycles of items consistently but I never figured how to get one single result consistently
@Axe8799 ай бұрын
I wouldn't be surprised if there is going to be a part 2 to this.
@SomethingLT9 ай бұрын
👀
@nokia-gm8gv9 ай бұрын
yeah its been like whole hour after this video got uploaded, he surely figured this out already
@God-gi9iu9 ай бұрын
😮
@AniBerry19 ай бұрын
This isnt the only thing like this, high class dice cost around 30-40 mil on ah, so lets say 35m and since they cost 6.66m to roll lets say 7m to make the math easier, 7x6 equals 42 million so lets say 40 mil because we rounded to 7 mil so 35 mil plus 40 mil is 75 mil of cost and you gain 100 mil for getting it sooooooo.@@SomethingLT this prob also works with the lower tier dice but i havent played in a while and forgot their prices
@macquaria68209 ай бұрын
@@AniBerry1 you dont have a 1 in 6 chance of rolling a 6 lmao
@alphapro22913 ай бұрын
Actually setting a snail back 10 meters would remove 12.5 minutes of their movement because the average snail travels 0.048 kph being 4.8 10 meters/ hour which equates to 12.5 minutes every 10 meters
@unit00239 ай бұрын
13:19 the rates listed on the wiki give a greater than 1 in 10 chance, and with no ender mite there’s a 5.8% chance of getting 5 residue out of 20 rituals, with a mythic lvl 100 this is raised to 8.1%. Neither of those numbers are rare at all over such scales. The issue here seems to be simply that nobody ever bothered calculating the expected value of sacrifices since it is terminally unfun.
@magicalrevolverwieldingsta1854 ай бұрын
its 5 out of 12 so its much more unlikely
@augustinmichez88749 ай бұрын
bro really leaked that just after I discovered it and made 10m only, casualty ruining this method 😂😭 great video(as always)
@CommentPositionInformer9 ай бұрын
I mean, I suppose this method works in waves, as long as the admins don't patch it. Because yes, a lot of people will try it, which will ruin prices. But, with prices ruined, then it will no longer be profitable, meaning prices will eventually return to what they were, making it profitable again. And Holy Frags in particular will return to being cheap very quickly, since Dungeons provides a steady supply and they are otherwise worthless.
@banananar38019 ай бұрын
We will find how the hypixel randomness works - your dedication fascinates me
@Hibban.9 ай бұрын
I'm a simple man, I see Something Like That, I click.
@mthia27 күн бұрын
0:16 you just lost 5 bucks
@johndolenc76589 ай бұрын
The randomness could also be based on your Minecraft mood level. Since the ground is endstone your mood will still rise. It’s basically a clock and your position could be another variable in that statistic.
@Mr.Gamerz-cv6cp8 ай бұрын
what should i say this is Too mathy or too minecrafty?
@xzyphcc58335 ай бұрын
its not, time is the best indication as they can have the seed on the server side. The default Minecraft Randomness genorator uses time. There is no reason they would do it on anything else as thats manipulatable, you cant change server time
@joopozo9 ай бұрын
You know its a good video when slt uploads
@Chalkapple8 ай бұрын
I don't gamble. And i'm gonna bet 5 bucks
@matoustucnak52599 ай бұрын
I love that you incriesed the price of the cheap dragons fragment from about 1800coins to like 14k. This man is actually crazy
@arkt0s_9 ай бұрын
i literaly gambled a whole inventory of dragon boots (different type of them) and i didn't win a single thing. that means the odds are now in my favor (time to gamble some more)
@squido28 ай бұрын
Does it matter what type of boots you put in?
@arkt0s_8 ай бұрын
@@squido2 no
@digo94379 ай бұрын
90% of gambles quit before big win is a bad thing since 90% of gamblers NEVER WIN
@hdwq7 ай бұрын
3:40 actually average speed of snail is 5cm/minute so it would take about 3-4 hours of his life to walk that 10meters back
@hinzki079 ай бұрын
jokes on you, every money making method in this game is just clicking one single button over and over again (or hold it down)
@erisuvt9 ай бұрын
I actually have a section of my own personal spreadsheet where I concluded that it was profit as well. However sadly I realized that I thought the chance of Ritual Residue being rolled was 10.84% when the wiki says that there is a "45% chance of bonus items being rolled" which could be boosted by 10% with Endermite passive. Which I figured meant at most it had a 4.878% chance of being rolled. Then I concluded that it would actually be a loss. However I didn't do extensive actual testing in-game. So I never realized how much money could actually be made from it.
@macios5029 ай бұрын
Zajebisty materiał, wstawka o randomości przypominała takiego Vsauca, dawaj więcej takich rzeczy, nikt na YT nie ma takiej jakości
@Judzislaw9 ай бұрын
on jest polakiem? xD
@Borshyy9 ай бұрын
Didn't you just gamble by betting us 5 bucks that we don't gamble though?????????????????????
@IronInitial9 ай бұрын
why must you show the world my money making method? I thought I was the only one who knew about the existence of this altar, but now everyone does......
@timmauchle82809 ай бұрын
Dose it still work rn?
@bena144028 күн бұрын
3:39 Google said the average garden snail can travel at 0.048km/h if we divide this value by 3.6 we get that it can travel 0.013333m/s And using that displacement = speed *time We can rearrange to find Time = distance/speed Knowing this if we set the snail back 10m and the speed of the snail is 0.013333m/s(converted from km/h because units must be the same) Time = 10/0.013333 Time = 750s Dividing by 60 to get minutes then 60 again to get hours then 24 to get days and 7 to get weeks Time = 0.00124 weeks Or about 12 and a half minutes Anybody who believes it would take 2 weeks for a snail to travel 10 m has never seen a snail because yes they travel slow but they don’t travel that slow
@LarsVDS-VA9 ай бұрын
A snail travels about 25 meters in a full day, meaning that’s about 1 meter per hour(some snails go faster), so setting it back 10 meters means you have cost that snail about 10+- hours of work.
@musiplayz73057 ай бұрын
NO I FEEL BAD NOW
@the64threalm9 ай бұрын
Perhaps look into player seeds? The player seed changes every time you create particles, which happens when you sprint.
@incription8 ай бұрын
hypixel runs on spigot which has fixed that exploit a long time ago
@sugihara50918 ай бұрын
@@incription its like you almost understand but still dont. why would any form of server sided randomness change per-player. it just calls a default java rand method for a number up to 100, then compares it to the drop table (1-10 being a drop, 11-30 being another, etc) the seed for this is probably set when the JVM is initialized
@incription8 ай бұрын
@@sugihara5091 that's not true, look up minecraft enchantment exploit. There is a player seed that only changes when youdo certain actions like sprint eat food drop items etc
@jamessmith41727 ай бұрын
@@sugihara5091What makes you think this is how it calculates rand? Some of the values for these RNG drops are less than 1-100.
@sugihara50916 ай бұрын
@@jamessmith4172 the point is randomness cannot be changed per player or by doing any of the goofy things that was happening in the video. there is a seed tied to the JVM and thats it. i just gave the simplest way to make drops. (you could also generate a number from 1-50 or whatever you need, idk why you fixated on that tbh)
@link2g7159 ай бұрын
frags more than doubled in price from this video... what if he was just chilling with a bunch of them
@itztaken9 ай бұрын
13:55 how do people fall for AI hallucinations in this day and age
@ruki_tryuki51058 ай бұрын
how about SkyBlock level 100 in one week on new profile?
@snabars9 ай бұрын
Why would you do this? I have been profiting with this for 6 months.
@snabars9 ай бұрын
Saw u like 13 hours ago at the altar
@Skinz696968 ай бұрын
remember guys never give up always keep gambling dont listen to your family and therapists just keep going you'll win eventually
@McSpicyYT9 ай бұрын
There are so many IRL traders and people just doing skyblock for irl money via making/duping coins and selling coins that you'd think one of them by now would've found out how to overcome hypixel's randomness code. But not yet.
@DrkFighta9 ай бұрын
The editing quality of this video is simply superb.
@ThatOneTusk9 ай бұрын
Yo dude, halfway into the video and just wanna say your videos have always been amazing. Genuinely love em!
@mathgeniuszach6 ай бұрын
You can perform a statistical test on the results to see different kinds of probabilities in the numbers. For example, testing what the probability of a number showing up given the previous number is a one or zero. That is, checking the probabilities of pairs of digits. It's a small sample, but you can get a little insight from it this way. Lets call the two sets of data you provided C (for the coin flip) and H (for hypixel), a success a "1" and a failure a "0". In C, there are 41 1's and 31 0's, while in H there are 35 1's and 37 0's. Nothing strange. Looking further, though, in C there are 17 "11"s, 23 "10"s, 23 "01"s, and 8 "00"s. In H there are 22 "11"s, 12 "10"s, 12 "01"s, and 25 "00"s. There's more pairs of equivalent digits than non-equivalent digits in H... but it could be sample bias. In a perfectly uniform rng, you would expect there to be an equal amount of all pairs of digits; however, if this pattern continued in H, then you could reasonably expect that if you fail or succeed, you will achieve the same result again more often than not. As you evaluate more and more groupings (n=3, n=4, and so on), you'll find that in H larger groupings of the same result occur more often than other groupings ("0000" and "1111" are way more common than anything else in the sequence). If you take advantage of this, you would be better off betting on whatever was the last outcome than just randomly betting on the same outcome. There's probably some deeper prediction you can put into place, but this would allow you to abuse the system without much effort or research.
@jsgamerarmy65599 ай бұрын
Crazy shit, I invested 300million and made over 700mil thankyou sooo much
@unhealthyer9 ай бұрын
and that is 1 of my secret money making methods gone ig :P still a awesome vid like always! keep it up.
@user-gh2gw8cx2b9 ай бұрын
ah same, back to investing
@joxinbox86979 ай бұрын
Imagine staying in one spot in Crypts and dont moving and just slaying revs for rng xD
@SomethingLT9 ай бұрын
xD
@rus43096 ай бұрын
"I don't gamble." I'm gonna bet 5 dollars..-
@soulhacker69819 ай бұрын
i love these train of thought mania where you MUST figure out how something really works, rng in games is a very interesting thing, technically makes truth the "if you fail a lot on something cheap, gives u higher chances of succeed on something expensive later"
@maroonsheep13479 ай бұрын
The chance of a getting an item is based of probability and each time you roll a dragon residue is a 5.42% chance. So essentially after many many attempts the odds will be closer to the theoretical probability. Another example is the coin flip the theoretical probability is 50% for heads and tails and each time you have 50% shot at landing heads or tails. You have to conduct many trials to reach the theoretical probability example equation is 0.5^100 you use the power 100 to the chance 0.5. Someone can fix my math I am pretty sure what I am saying is right I don’t have my notes to check.
@maroonsheep13479 ай бұрын
I am surprised no one corrected the video 😅
@QuinnB39 ай бұрын
This man has turned from just trying to make an interesting video, into a person that's insane to spend hours of their life clicking a simple button..
@Ivel02229 ай бұрын
Bro me and my friend used to do this and my friend made millions doing this
@xoptic9857 ай бұрын
"Part 2, how I made billions from reselling frags to the bazaar"
@punishedgwynie8 ай бұрын
the religious groups thing is a result of the pareto principle.
@emiisthepro10849 ай бұрын
Found a way to surpass it with 171k per click
@lilandch4rr9 ай бұрын
yep. I found this out and now a buncha yters killed it yay!
@u12bdragon6 ай бұрын
What waste of time he constantly baits that he found the answer, but if he did he did not share it. I don't even play the game so this isn't even me being annoyed that I can't do it either, it's just the fact that it's a bad video because you expect him to talk about it but he never actually does. Oh well. Guess I'll block his recommendations
@VoxFlows9 ай бұрын
You honestly make the highest quality hypixel skyblock videos
@dylan_13139 ай бұрын
Jokes on you, I don’t even have to click a button for Mithril mining, I just hold it down and move my mouse 😂
@RedLifeMC9 ай бұрын
Even better money making method for SLT find some obscurbe money making method invest billions in that item then make video then sell
@Marijus19779 ай бұрын
Rip the most broken money making method on hypixel skyblock that anyone can do. I was aware of this money making method for like 5-6 months and in total i've spent on this like 400m coins for fun and i can say i nearly doubled my money. Well this is it then.
@redacted82209 ай бұрын
Twoje umiejętności storytellingu są zdumiewające! Bardzo chcę zobaczyć gdzie będziesz za kilka lat i czy będziesz z tego talentu korzystać. przepraszam za użycie polskiego ale to powininem ćwiczyć xd a no i losowość już tak ma że trolluje podejrzanymi rezultatami - można znaleźć na ten temat tysiące prac, a szanse że w danym ciągu będzie ileś pod rząd itp się raczej liczy inaczej niż to robiłeś ale nie jestem pewien
@seven_superior9 ай бұрын
Your storytelling skills are amazing! I really want to see where you will be in a few years and whether you will use this talent. I'm sorry for using Polish but I should practice xd and yes, it's random and it trolls with suspicious results - you can find thousands of works on this topic, and the chances that there will be several in a row in a given sequence, etc. are rather calculated differently than what you did, but I'm not sure
@NatiiixLP5 ай бұрын
While randomly generated numbers can be completely predictable, that knowledge alone is almost never useful because the same exact RNG is being used for all events across the entire server. In cryptography, there are other methods, vastly superior in terms of their randomness, but much less performant. In almost all other software, the most basic RNG is used, typically based exclusively on the last generated value.
@wintersoldier5389 ай бұрын
Ah well its now public and going to die. :( anyway congrats on optimising it past what i managed i think the most i hit was around 90m an hour from it
@screaming_cat_9 ай бұрын
If you gave this guy a week, he would ruin the economy
@szalabalo9 ай бұрын
Poland mentioned POLSKA GUROM
@zombieplayskyblock8 ай бұрын
hi something. its grassisascam from the skyblock lobby, I'm just wondering what you wanted me to change my minecraft username to, i wasnt joking about that lol, i will actually change it to whatever you reply to this comment with
@44Hd229 ай бұрын
11:59 maybe the player count in the lobby multiplied by like the time or something.
@tigerhint38159 ай бұрын
Dad says it's my time to get pinned.
@asteriau9 ай бұрын
fun fact - holy boots are now skyrocketing in price and are 800k at the time of writing this lol
@chickenspaceprogramАй бұрын
If you did actually get 5/12 when the expected rate is 1/20, the z-score of that is roughly 2.57 and the p-value is roughly 0.0051, so that would actually be statistically significant (unless I did the math wrong).
@ixenderous9 ай бұрын
I have suspected that an rng exploit like this would exist with something like archfiend dice but i never got around to testing it. Using an alt to start a sacrifice chain could be considered against the no multiboxing rule. Also I would highly recommend not advertising even the possibility of a game breaking economy altering exploit such as an rng exploit if you don't want to get pigicialed
@JustARandom_9 ай бұрын
Pigicialed?
@ixenderous9 ай бұрын
@@JustARandom_ pigicial youtuber advertised a dupe exploit and got banned for a week or something
@sqwishy18879 ай бұрын
Great vid, but it could've been 2-3 minutes.
@justinmurray50395 ай бұрын
Short attention span much?
@michael628779 ай бұрын
miałem przeczucie po akcencie ze jestes polakiem
@purecleanvibes9 ай бұрын
13:45 "Apart from learning for some other worldly reason it is the same exact distribution as the religious groups in poland according to national cencus in 2011"
@Netherrave9 ай бұрын
I literally spent all my in game life's savings on this lol. I guess I didn't have good luck... Is there something else I'm missing? I literally have nothing now
@judahomg21889 ай бұрын
If only you had the ability of Laplace’s Demon
@nexusempire.3 ай бұрын
I pulled out a spreadsheet, got to work and found out per 100 sup sets you *should* make 14,636,228.45 though while it shouldn't be true.
@SleepyLinu9 ай бұрын
gambling is like a coin flip you may make it your way or the other way, but by doing it so you win in a certian angle over, and over, And over, just then may you figure out how to glitch the coin flip making the odds 51/49 or 99/1.
@TNTspaz8 ай бұрын
It's a great gold sink and the game desperately needs more of them. The biggest issue with how hypixel skyblock is this never ending need for things to be more and more profitable causing the economy to hyperinflate. Also. This worked since it came out. You just could only do it like once a week. Since it requires you to basically buy out the entire market