Texas Rain Chances Rise As Heat Dome Retreats; Hurricane Beryl's Impact Looms For Sunday

The weather is changing across Texas, and a wetter pattern will develop by the end of the week. With an uptick in popup storms, chances come more folks getting in on rain-cooled outflow and a temporary reprieve from the summer heat. Unfortunately, we also have to deal with the increasing potential impacts of Hurricane Beryl this weekend.
Our upper-level high pressure, known as the heat dome in the summer months, has begun moving into the western United States. By Friday and the weekend, it’ll be far enough away to allow scattered thunderstorms to return to more of Texas. A weak, not-as-hot-front will sag into the northwestern half of Texas this weekend. That boundary will also promote an uptick in scattered showers and thunderstorms. Widespread severe storms are not expected, but some strong winds, pocket-change-size hail, and locally heavy rainfall are a good bet. Some folks won’t see a drop of rain; others may end up with a gully-washer.
Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected across the western third of Texas on Thursday, July 4th. Some tropical popup showers are also possible across the eastern half of Texas during the afternoon. As we approach sunset, most folks will be dry, with temperatures in the upper 80s and 90s.
Major Hurricane Beryl continues to quickly churn west in the central Caribbean. Weakening is expected as the system encounters moderate wind shear. Nevertheless, Beryl will remain a formidable hurricane, impacting Jamaica today and approaching Cancun and the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday. Beryl will likely weaken to a tropical storm as it moves over the Yucatan on Friday. The system will reach the Bay of Campeche, or southwestern Gulf of Mexico, by Saturday morning. What happens from there is a big question and a low-confidence forecast element.
The latest National Hurricane Center forecasts bring Beryl back to hurricane status as it moves over the western Gulf of Mexico on Saturday. Continued west/northwest movement is probable, and the current forecast has landfall around 80 miles south of Brownsville by Sunday morning. We note several pieces of data suggest a further north track, and thus, the Texas Gulf Coast must remain vigilant and in tune with forecast updates this week. Even if Beryl does take a southern track, direct impacts to the Lower Rio Grande Valley and the Lower Texas Gulf Coast are probable. A northern track would expand direct hurricane impacts farther north to encompass the Lower and Middle Texas Gulf Coast and the Coastal Bend.
We’ll be watching for the threat of strong winds, storm surge, heavy rainfall, and a tornado threat. Much will depend on the eventual track, and we hope to get a much better idea of that over the coming days. The further north Beryl tracks in the Gulf of Mexico, the more time it will have over warm waters - and the stronger the hurricane could become. Beryl's impacts could extend several hundred miles north from the landfall location, especially for coastal flooding, tropical moisture, and the potential for spinup tornadoes on Sunday and Monday.
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[@TexasWeatherCenter]

​​If you appreciate the weather information, be sure to give us a like, and subscribe for continued updates on Beryl's potential impacts to Texas. Our next video will be released by dinner-time today. Have a great Hump-Day!

[@ikonseesmrno7300]

Lunch dinner or supper dinner? 🤔

[@JakeKoenig]

Highs in the EIGHTIES in the Texas Hill Country all next week! Are you kidding me? That's April weather around here. Anybody needs me, I'll be OUTSIDE. 😎

[@lastcrazyhorn]

Same

[@dr.markevers8331]

Might need a jacket😂

[@lastcrazyhorn]

@@dr.markevers8331 😂

[@raymondfrank9202]

Texas can always use the rain.

[@GypsyIndigoBlu]

Negative. Certain parts of Texas can use some rain. Please leave Houston out of that conversation

[@darlapremeaux7006]

Yes because Houston has got to much already

[@ThunderStruck94660]

Please for the love of God bring clouds and rain to Dallas!

[@jamescummings9089]

David Morning. Stress Level Is Up. You keep us up to date with this major weather ☁️. I'm located in Raymondville Tx, Deep South Texas. 🤔 ??? God Is Good, David Keep Up The Good Work 👍🏽 🙏🏽 God Is Good!

[@Jiuilean]

Don’t want other HARVEY’S happening 😔 - brownsville tx

[@TXTeacher1111]

San Antonio has a bubble dome over it. So sad. We actually need the rain.😢

[@Aggie-zs1qi]

We really do need the rain!

[@dr.markevers8331]

Maybe the hurricane will help…this map is only until 7am Monday.

[@JenneeB927]

Thanks, David! Sorry I missed the live. Keep weather aware, y'all.

[@brittnyrv5087]

Ty for the info as always! I may have to put my chickens in the garage this weekend in the coastal bend.

[@EK--ry3lr]

Thanks for the update; looking forward to a break from the heat.

[@jonesey1981]

Good morning David!

[@Objective-Observer]

I appreciate how you keep it real, and transparent. Thanks for watching out for us.

[@ScottishLadyFae]

Good Morning!

[@nickd920]

When I read the title "Texas Rain Chances Rise", I'm like, no duh. lol I've been watching the reports on Berly's move, and I just thought it was funny because I had a guess for rain here in Texas. Thank you for the video.

[@TimBenich]

Keep up the great work. It’s appreciated.

[@susanswinny588]

Thanks, Dave & Company...from Houston❤

[@Ash-qg2rf]

Oh so excited for sweet relief from the heat!

[@carolineatkins2900]

We could use some rain for the 4th. Fire Works.

[@denisekoltys3019]

I just hope it churns itself out before landing in Texas. Not thinking we need a hurricane after all the spring tornadoes. This beast could even spin up some more swirlies of doom.

[@josephwagner3224]

I found myself about 3:20 into the podcast when you share where it's gonna rain, and when you paused I thought, The Golden Triangle, and then you said exactly that. LOL. Keep on keepin' on BIC!

[@lomagibson664]

Thanks so much for the update! GOD BLESS ❤

[@TheBeachMawMaw]

Thank you, David! Hopefully the hurricane goes south, no more rain for Central East Texas. God bless you!

[@thelmaavila3685]

We appreciate you guys so much! Thank you

[@jroar123]

These storms that end up in the bay of king Che often turn north before hitting land. The possible land strikes are anywhere from Brownsville to port Arthur Texas if I had to place money on a bit, I would say that the eye wall is going to make sure somewhere south of Houston and Galveston. This puts the dirty side of a hurricane, right smack dab into Houston Texas. However, the storms are like it’s filling top and you never know where they’re going to really go.

[@brendaskipper2526]

Everyone HIT the like button

[@2KADz]

Good morning..David..!!

[@amsohn1]

Thanks David, blessings ❤

[@soulshine8531]

Hope for rain! Comal county.

[@sandraarmstrong8413]

Morning watching from shamrock ☘️

[@Spacecowboy1101]

Morning 😊

[@nicolebenton2283]

Watching from Stafford Texas ❤❤❤

[@brianburge3349]

THANKS DAVID

[@ReckFamily]

Really love your channel - thanks!

[@spacecase5257]

That outro was so serious 😮

[@MarcusBarnabassisSystersSonne]

You saved us from a tornado, forever greatful and subscriber.

[@user-fd1lj2ln7o]

Thank you sir.

[@jonathanr2830]

Very interesting!

[@gregfloyd3407]

Ooh, dramatic music... Thanks , david y'all have a happy fourth of july

[@pistolpackingmama1487]

Thank you David!

[@danimi361]

Roll out the Beryl!

[@ashleehouse5204]

Tropical mischief hahaha.

[@kathrynw6373]

Thank you!

[@TheRealMiamiman70]

hurricane barrel

[@ToyManFlyer1100]

😊😊😊.... Let it Snow...!!!... Let it Snow...!!!

[@gottawatch1932]

“Weather Weenie” lol- I like your humor-

[@tracygraham5379]

The hill country and highland lakes watershed need the rain.

[@tinamarie0701]

I'm visiting family in Missouri and I'm due to drive back to Central Texas on Saturday. Am I coming back at the right time to beat the rain

[@TrixieJFerguson]

What is the deal with the big dome of nothing-ness over the San Antonio area? 😢

[@RaisaHargrow]

what was that noise🤣🤣2:23

[@PaulMetheny-vv6zn]

🤣🤣🤣 What was that list again please, I didn't hear the first part. Hee Hee..... Thank You Sir!!!! Houston Texas 🇨🇱🤠

[@curtisthomas2457]

Thx

[@SuspiciousGanymede]

There's a nice breeze blowing on the gulf. Probably from the storm that hit Mexico. I'll take it!

[@JeffGes]

"Bring rain to Texas in summertime?" OH PLEASE YES.

[@curtisstewart3179]

Hope that tropical system goes up the Rio Grande to North of Del Rio then makes a hard right then sets in south of Lubbock and breaks this drought.

[@TruthMurks]

I consider Brownsville Mexico so it's really a Mexico issue. 😂😂😂

[@lastcrazyhorn]

😂

[@Kelz1136]

I have a question...when a hurricane makes landfall, is that using the leading edge or the eye? Thank you!

[@kc8718]

☕️🥰

[@learnedhat2587]

Where might the storm (or remnants of) go after landfall? Assume La Pesca, S. Padre, Port Mansfield scenarios. I am look for rain around Harper, Tx

[@jason6919]

Well thought out presentation. I immediately accept recommendations from people of knowledge shall I say some what. This model says this abd another says that. Zoom out and offer general advice fits well . Come a day before and my phone rings and message do you have extra X. I'll listen to you but you didn't listen. Now your stuck putting yourself to find an item that you can't find that's not my issue. Keep up the good work and everyone have a great 4th of July weekend.

[@JoseCruz-kb9fw]

Mannnn this hurricane is moving like hurricane beulah

[@davidmauldin6295]

Heat Dome or area of high pressure?

[@lastcrazyhorn]

David, you’re sounding like you work for npr. Not a criticism

[@redline1916]

Dallas is never gonna get cooler or rain

[@xavierburnsATX94]

How come you not showing spaghetti models? You just show cone tracks.

[@lastcrazyhorn]

He did in the last video

[@xavierburnsATX94]

@@lastcrazyhorn idc about last video there is an update every day luckily he isn’t the only source I watch or get updates on so

[@ripposty7535]

@@xavierburnsATX94because spaghetti models are extremely inaccurate.

[@clutch5sp989]

EEK EEK glooobe heat melting the planet surface will doom inhabitants being burnt to ashes.....wait what? it will cool off for a spell?

[@mc-qx6ue]

And they said this hurricane season was supposed to be impressive. Beryl is a joke, and so was the last little storm that came through the Gulf.

[@threedogzz]

@@mc-qx6ue May you have a funny day, joke man

[@kristaalmand1574]

This hurricane season is just starting. I’m not sure you’ve been keeping up with Beryl if you think it’s a joke because it built itself into a category 5 FAST.

[@ainou2001]

???

[@sherylwilson865]

Maybe you should go live on the Caribbean islands and get direct hits from cat 5 hurricanes. Guarantee you that they don't think Beryl was a joke.

[@sport07-o2l]

I can tell you’ve never been in a hurricane or had your home destroyed by one. Have a jokey day, pal.

[@capt.america7126]

great forecasts , but we really don't need to see you , just map

[@lastcrazyhorn]

😮

[@sport07-o2l]

Been like that all your life?

[@ikonseesmrno7300]

IF anything, KZbin algorithm will promote videos more if someone appears in it. Same with the thumbnail for the vid.