Beryl Update: Northward Trend Continues. Texas And Louisiana In The Cone

Hurricane Beryl has weakened to a tropical storm in this tropics update. The northward trend continues and Beryl is expected to become a hurricane again over the weekend before making landfall in Texas, outside shot of Louisiana, sometime Monday. Those along the Texas coast should begin preparations for hurricane conditions Monday. Hurricane season 2024 update.
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Chapters:
00:00: Intro
00:30: Tropical Storm Beryl Latest
01:02: Tropical Storm Beryl Environment
02:00: Official National Hurricane Center Forecast
03:15: Beryl Models
04:14: How Are The Ensemble Models Doing With Hurricane Beryl04:44: 04:44: Hurricane Beryl Euro Ensembles
05:55: Structure Of Hurricane Beryl (Intensity Forecast For Texas)
11:28: Icon Model For Hurricane Beryl
14:42: Water Temperature In Gulf Of Mexico
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[@just_weather]

Hi friends! This is looking more and more likely that Beryl is coming to Texas. If the storm gets strong quick after the Yucatan...north Texas and Southwest Louisiana are in play for landfall. If it gets stronger at the very end (I think will happen for reasons mentioned in video) more like southeast Texas...CC to Rockport area for biggest impacts. Worst of the storm is northeast loaded. If you are along the Texas coast you should take the weekend to prepare...maybe even for something stronger than what is currently forecast. Be safe! - Jonathan

[@hwylady10865]

I think you’re spot on and the most honest forthright weatherman. I agree with your projections. I live between San Antonio and Austin so just rain but lots of friends from CC to Beaumont for me.

[@chefgromano5025]

Galveston?

[@rosamckinney5451]

Does it hit strong on San Antonio and Eagle Pass ?

[@LOTBoxTV-xw1bq]

What are your thoughts on on a cruise I’m supposed to take leaving Sunday afternoon from Galveston, and headed to Hondorus

[@rosamckinney5451]

Does it will hit strong on San Antonio and Eagle Pas

[@gamingtonight1526]

Good luck Texas. I am British, but I lived and worked in Houston for 7 years, so I know the people and have good friends there, I care about - so please take those precautions, folks!

[@johhnycatengland-jx5id]

Hey there Liverpool,I’m swimming in a pool of bloody liver!

[@HappyHermitt]

South Louisiana here. I've seen enough hurricanes. May the Lord protect every soul in its path.

[@HopeLives2012]

I lost everything in Katrina but God spared my family and 1 closet with my photos. I can't help but have a little PTSD - I moved from my hometown of New Orleans to Houston. I really do not want to relocate again 😢😢

[@yvonnegooden4367]

May God be with you all .I'm from jamaica 🇯🇲

[@melodygodbey3092]

I pray that you farewell through BERYL BERYLLIUM 🌀🇺🇸now we are in Texas USA 🇺🇸🛸👽🦍💕 🙏 seems like it will be here next. May God bless you and your family abundantly 😇🌅💓🌅💓🌅💓🌅

[@AngelaG-ly7xu]

May God Bless you and beautiful island. Stay well. I'm praying for all that have been affected by this hurricane. 🙏

[@Angthefrog]

Man, we just finished Hurricane Laura repairs at our house in Lake Charles about 6 months ago. Please no severe weather.

[@Lilith218]

If you keep building and rebuilding in the same place, prone to hurricanes, what do you think will eventually happen. Lol

[@Angthefrog]

@@Lilith218 Really? You don't know everyone's situation. Not everyone can just move away

[@darrellrichard9800]

Wow, what a reply. Laughing at people when they are concerned.

[@TigerT8679]

I'm over by abbeville, i have a bayou behind my house and the water is high from all the rain if that thing comes we may see 2016 flooding again, I hope it stays by texas.

[@SamSamson-kj9bk]

Plus with biden economics, inflation is on a rise. That cheap gas that burns alot quicker ain't worth a fk either

[@DavidWilson-tr2qj]

Hey, brother, thank you for your reporting!!! I'm from Houston and the description of the probability of Beryl making landfall near Corpus Christi and Rockport is very reminiscent of the path Harvey took in 2017!!! Praying that this is NOT a repeat of that!!!!

[@chuckfin]

Me neither. I waded through chest high water near Beaumont during that.

[@donnalee2310]

Amen to that! This storm seems to keep surprising them. That concerns me!

[@deborahcooper9085]

Hopefully it will move thru faster than Harvey. I believe Harvey moved 2 mph.

[@Toddis]

In Austin, TX thinking some rain would be nice 🌧️ 👍

[@andrewhayes8847]

Watching from Houston, TX. Thanks for the update!!

[@just_weather]

You’re very welcome! - Jonathan

[@ericwilliams4279]

Me too I feel like it's coming

[@earthworm7346]

I hope it stops right on top of you guys, and doesn't keep heading north into DFW where we are 😁

[@bulufish8208]

It's coming directly for your house 🏠 😉

[@earthworm7346]

@@bulufish8208 😱!!!!!!

[@Anvilbanger]

Word from my friends in the Yucatan is that it came ashore and sort of broke apart. Prayers for NE Mexico, Texas and Louisiana!

[@just_weather]

Thanks for that report! - Jonathan

[@bentonroach9528]

Good reporting. Much appreciated. Texas native here. Been through every Hurricane since Alicia in 83'. Best time to get to know your neighbors and BBQ.

[@just_weather]

Appreciate that! No doubt about it! Be safe! - Jonathan

[@DaHa-rv6hn]

Damn.. makes me want to head on over there with the dog and eat some Texas BBQ

[@bentonroach9528]

@@DaHa-rv6hn C'mon. I'll feed ya. Just don't put your plate on top of your head. Your tongue will beat your brains out trying to get to it...

[@sw-en7wb]

I'm a little older than you....born in palacios, my family was scattered from there to Rockport and the first one I recall was Carla. I'm NW of Houston so we are keeping a close eye on this one. Take care and best wishes. Stay safe

[@bentonroach9528]

@@sw-en7wb My parents talk about Carla. My Daddy was raised in Tivoli. Carla wiped out the causeway.

[@rubensoto1484]

Watching from the Rio Grande Valley . Thanks for the fantastic weather update !!! God Bless .

[@Nehpets94]

Watching from Brownsville TX. Neighbors are already boarding up. I should probably as well

[@guytwombly2955]

My kids are in Premont near Kingsville, and I don’t think they have yet to experience one of these monsters? I say kids but we’re talking 39 and 40😂

[@charlessaunders1217]

Good luck, from Florida

[@rogerlindsey1973]

I'm in Rockport, Texas, and this will be my first hurricane to experience. We're making plans to leave if we need to.

[@just_weather]

That’s a good idea! Keep watching closely. - Jonathan

[@rogerlindsey1973]

@@just_weather I just found your channel and subscribed, so keep bringing it!!!

[@SailingSarah]

We won't judge you for skeedaddling 🤠👌

[@rogerlindsey1973]

@@SailingSarah I've been here a little over 3 years now, and I have waited for a hurricane to hit just so I can say that I have been through one, but if it is strengthening too much, we're outta here!!!

[@Jen-wo6on]

I moved from Florida to Round Rock , so im staying , i’m use to this lol, but hoping we get little rain from this

[@Barbara-s3b9m]

Neither under estimate a Hurricance or Tropical Storms🌀 Thank You for Informative Weather Statistics 👍🙏

[@just_weather]

Great advice for sure! - Jonathan

[@justsaying4303]

include tropical waves in that advice for their size they can punch above their weight

[@JG731BADASSBODYMAN]

Wait till tomorrow night, this storm is unprecedented

[@JG731BADASSBODYMAN]

I lived through Ian don't think predict 24 hours

[@JG731BADASSBODYMAN]

It's hard to believe anything. It's gonna go where it's gonna go!😢

[@rudyrodriguez264]

South Texas here.

[@dougkinne1192]

Long Island Village Port Isabel. Must say thanks for getting this to us!

[@just_weather]

You are very welcome! Thank you for tuning in! - Jonathan

[@rickhale6396]

Thanks for the report from west of Corpus. Been through a lot of storms living here so I'm ready.

[@Satan97458]

I live in Brownsville Texas and it’s expected rain and some winds and possible flooding.

[@pedrogonzales4669]

Watching alertly from Bishop Tx

[@yaysoocool]

You are the best weatherman. I don’t watch anyone else!🎉

[@hwylady10865]

I live between San Antonio and Austin, TX. I have a lot of friends in Corpus all the way to Beaumont TX. I wish you would update more frequently right now. I very much enjoy your narrative. I think Beryl is a wildcard and will hit at no less than Cat 2.

[@jakemensik2842]

You can't really constantly update on these things. You have to wait for the data to normalize before making a report. There are things we won't know until 6-12 hours after the initial report. A report every few hours would more or less be the same.

[@hwylady10865]

@@jakemensik2842 ty.

[@susanwhite1789]

Can do without the winds but the Hill Country can use some sustaining rain!!!

[@CherylDailyNews]

Jonathan, 👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻. Thanks sooooo much for ur layman explanations - weather is fascinating to me but most of the time I just can't grasp why it does what it does - ur helping me understand. I was concerned about what was out there to keep Beryl going west/northwest and not just moving straight north up to SW La - and u showed us what is happening for now. I'm definitely listening to u and I'm still in alert mode. God's protection for those in the path of Beryl and God's healing for those who already went thru Beryl. God's blessings to u Jonathan. 🙏🏻🤗🙏🏻

[@just_weather]

You as well! Watching closely for ya! - Jonathan

[@CherylDailyNews]

@@just_weather I appreciate u. 🤗

[@joshdelcomyn8274]

Watching from Rockport.... Almost ready to leave......

[@jeffburger786]

Ya in Matagorda no telling

[@joshdelcomyn8274]

@@jeffburger786 good luck bro. Hope you and your family stay safe. Likewise to your house

[@RyanLopez-dp7vs]

Looks like Galveston/Houston. May God bless and protect us all,,,🤲

[@just_weather]

Certainly a possibility. - Jonathan

[@ellymessina6744]

I'm from Seabrook, Tx

[@SailingSarah]

League City and my yacht is anchored near Lakewood Yacht Club

[@DustinHeath-mq6dy]

Here in rockport, trying to convince the family we should go stay with relatives in the Austin area.. thanks for the info 🙏🏽

[@davidortte9314]

Advice from a Cajun.. leave before roads jam up with evacuation traffic..

[@Rooster361]

Advice from a fellow Rockporter, I wouldn't worry, I wouldn't waste the gas.

[@Figjam36328]

Great forecast! Thank you.

[@jessicadelarosa831]

Watching from the hill country. My sister and brother-in-law live in Corpus Christi TX. Area.

[@criss0rz]

Tuning in for my family in Houston + Lake Charles. Hope it doesn't keep drifting east!

[@janabloomfield4151]

Watching from Beaumont, TX. Thank you for your detailed and timely updates!

[@laug6237]

Super thumbs UP!!! Excellent explanation really congratulations! Im nervous I live in Brownsville. 🙏 hope everyone be safe

[@HeatherB-z5b]

Watching from Conroe Tx.

[@margaretdonogriche3195]

Watching from Biloxi Mississippi, we don't need another Katrina here.❤

[@stellabailey2449]

Agreed

[@roxannehudson7410]

That storm is no where near katrina.im from new Orleans that storm is not even coming our way.do u don't have to worry

[@dorothyreade8591]

My sister lives in Bellaire TX and is planning to fly to Buffalo NY from Hobby on Tues 7/9. We are keeping a close eye on Beryl!

[@NOLAdizzle]

Dang. Not really all that big of a deal

[@mew19forever]

I have family in Bellaire , just down the road from Houston Uptown, sure hope we are all safe.

[@ritafuentes4150]

Watching in Albuquerque NM

[@just_weather]

Hello! Welcome! - Jonathan

[@AdriHnz-so8wn]

I'm from Pharr,TX! We all r waiting for this storm!!

[@Kingishumble]

My elderly parents live south of Matamoros Mex , on my way to bring them back to Brownsville Tx so they can ride out the storm in my home .

[@Suntree7]

The kingdom of the United States will fall at any moment. The entire Church of Christ will be taken up to The Lord and disappear, it will happen very soon, the Christians are going to disappear. Jesus Christ will come quickly and take away all who believe in Him before the Wrath of the Lord begins. Repent, put your faith in Jesus Christ only, this is the truth, remember this message. Jhon 3:-16-18 16 For God so loved the world that he gave his one and only Son, that whoever believes in him shall not perish but have eternal life. 17 For God did not send his Son into the world to condemn the world, but to save the world through him. 18 Whoever believes in him is not condemned, but whoever does not believe stands condemned already because they have not believed in the name of God’s one and only Son. Mathew 24:29-31 29 “Immediately after the distress of those days “‘the sun will be darkened, and the moon will not give its light; the stars will fall from the sky, and the heavenly bodies will be shaken.’ 30 “Then will appear the sign of the Son of Man in heaven. And then all the peoples of the earth will mourn when they see the Son of Man coming on the clouds of heaven, with power and great glory. 31 And he will send his angels with a loud trumpet call, and they will gather his elect from the four winds, from one end of the heavens to the other. This is certain and will happen at any time. But those who have not received Jesus Christ nor repented of their sins will remain on earth and will receive each and every one of the plagues that our Eternal Father has prepared for this moment. There will be 7 years of Wrath on the earth, resist until the end, put your faith in Jesus Christ and you will save your soul. Revelation 13:16-17 16 And he causeth all, both small and great, rich and poor, free and bond, to receive a mark in their right hand or in their foreheads, 17 that no man might buy or sell, save he that had the mark or the name of the beast or the number of his name. Revelation14:9-10 9 And the third angel followed them, saying with a loud voice, “If any man worship the beast and his image, and receive his mark in his forehead or in his hand, 10 the same shall drink of the wine of the wrath of God, which is poured out unmixed into the cup of His indignation; and he shall be tormented with fire and brimstone in the presence of the holy angels and in the presence of the Lamb. Do NOT take the mark of the beast , there is no coming back from it. 2Tessalonians 2:7-12 7 For the secret power of lawlessness is already at work; but the one who now holds it back will continue to do so till he is taken out of the way. 8 And then the lawless one will be revealed, whom the Lord Jesus will overthrow with the breath of his mouth and destroy by the splendor of his coming. 9 The coming of the lawless one will be in accordance with how Satan works. He will use all sorts of displays of power through signs and wonders that serve the lie, 10 and all the ways that wickedness deceives those who are perishing. They perish because they refused to love the truth and so be saved. 11 For this reason God sends them a powerful delusion so that they will believe the lie 12 and so that all will be condemned who have not believed the truth but have delighted in wickedness. DO NOT BELIEVE ON THOSE THINGS YOU SEE ON TV AND THOSE (UFO 🛸 objects), THOSE THINGS ARE PART OF THE GREAT DELUSION, DO NOT BELIEVE ON WHAT THEY COME UP WITH SAYING ABOUT IT. PUT YOUR FAITH AND TRUST IN JESUS CHRIST ONLY, THE CHURCH IS ABOUT TO GO HOME AND WHOEVER TELLS THE LIE WILL MOST LIKELY BLAME THOSE THINGS FOR OUR DISAPPEARANCE. I have warned you ahead of time. BE READY! May our Heavenly Father GOD keep you and your family safe, in Jesus' name. Amen.

[@johnDBoone]

Greetings from Corpus Christi Texas.

[@pamalacooper]

Tuning in from Houston...

[@just_weather]

Welcome! Make sure you watch KPRC for all of the information leading up to this storm! - Jonathan

[@waller0100]

Checking in from Houston.

[@Ksinclair440]

Not good for South Houston

[@candyjames1075]

Same here

[@The_Defiant_One]

We need the rain. My hay fields and grazing pastures are getting a bit dry.

[@ReneeBoyer-lu5zz]

Weather geek from Montana here

[@just_weather]

Hey! I love that! Love Montana so much! - Jonathan

[@davidmunson1154]

Watching from Beaumont, Texas.

[@just_weather]

Welcome! - Jonathan

[@chantzarcher4807]

Looks like it wants to split into two storms

[@jenihansen7201]

Thank you so much for the updates Jonathan. We appreciate you.

[@just_weather]

I appreciate you watching! - Jonathan

[@zackscruggs4543]

Tuning in from South Texas. I'm interested in seeing how this hurricane turns out

[@eduardooramaeddie4006]

Hello 👋 Jonathan thank you buddy for the weather updates in the carribean hurricane season 2024 🌏🇺🇸🇵🇷🌀🌀🌀🌊🌪🌧⚡️ have a great weekend Eddie

[@just_weather]

Hope you have a great weekend as well! - Jonathan

[@1mydesertrose]

Here in Texas. Watch you hourly

[@Ryan_1997]

Cc tx. Let’s see what happens. Work two jobs, and preping for both companies. Be safe everyone

[@facediaper09]

You're the best Jonathan!!! You're getting the views you deserve.

[@just_weather]

Appreciate you my friend! - Jonathan

[@tedcole9936]

Excellent update. Watching from Houston.

[@dark12ain]

Yay finally some more rain ❤💪🏿 hopefully

[@gloriaalvarez3283]

From RGV - Brownville...

[@VLuee]

The aliens will protect us 👽

[@Jeffrey-ed8sz]

Thank you Sir.

[@Susan-t3n]

Watching as I live in the RGV, Tx.

[@paulasueInChrist]

Thank you from Breaux Bridge, Louisiana.

[@roxannehudson7410]

Y'all not getting nothing in breaux bridge. it's going to texas

[@carolinah.1794]

Keeping an eye out on things from Lake Jackson, TX! Getting ready for what appears likely to be an active season on the gulf coast ahead! 😅

[@Sooners2025]

Hi, from New Braunfels!

[@sergpie]

The past couple of years, I’ve noticed, that those random, singular spaghetti lines from the models that go completely off-track compared to other lines, end-up being the actual trajectory of a storm. Texas, better gear-up for some super-soaking; I feel like this one may end up siphoning a lot of moisture from the relatively warm water off the gulf.

[@ColocasiaCorm]

That’s what you call a complex system. High sensitivity to initial conditions

[@KOLD504]

A few days ago, one single line went against all of the other models and took it straight to New Orleans 😳

[@edithbischoff7765]

Watching from Rockport, TX. After Harvey I am very concerned.

[@just_weather]

Hopefully it doesn’t sit there like Harvey but definitely a shot to intensify into landfall. Best to be prepared with this one. - Jonathan

[@Rooster361]

Yeah this definitely will not be a Harvey but I hear what you're saying we're still feeling that.

[@AngelaG-ly7xu]

I'm in Mcallen amd many people here think that our area is "out of the woods". I'm not convinced. Prayers to everyone! 🙏❤

[@doraarriagaputney9310]

Watching from New Braunfels Texas

[@beefeater777]

Tuning in from Houston.

[@rhiannonrede]

Watching from Corpus Christi.

[@Borninasmalltown]

Houston Texas here ..that puts us on the “dirty side” …smh

[@just_weather]

Welcome! Make sure you watch KPRC through the weekend for updates! - Jonathan

[@ConservativeGenX]

Appreciate the information. From Harlingen Texas

[@just_weather]

You’re welcome! - Jonathan

[@momdoesstuff]

Watching from Louisiana

[@iglapsu88]

Phenomenal coverage. Great job!

[@amoreenaflorida4093]

We love ya! Thank you for all you do. ❤

[@Sassy2025]

Louisiana here

[@just_weather]

Hello! - Jonathan

[@jeaniegohmert8278]

New subscriber from South Central Texas

[@just_weather]

Welcome to the team! Appreciate that! - Jonathan

[@chadi2402]

Hey Im watching from Corpus Christi Texas

[@lauranacada12]

Watching from Beaumont Texas

[@lulugarcia3055]

Here in Corpus Christi TX, getting ready for flooding/storm.

[@nereida116]

From Houston Texas

[@gerriosbornford4857]

Everyone mentions houston what about galveston

[@just_weather]

I mentioned Galveston! Still too early to tell but I would get preps done for a hurricane over the weekend. - Jonathan

[@YodpilotID]

This guys knowledge is tight tight tight

[@just_weather]

Haha thanks! - Jonathan

[@YodpilotID]

@@just_weather I was trained by Archie Trammel. Airborne radar. Love your channel

[@just_weather]

Appreciate that! - Jonathan

[@carolynoliver5033]

Watching from Tarpon Springs FL, 1.5 miles from Anclote River. Really appreciate your channel! Thans!!!!

[@just_weather]

Hey! Welcome! I’m in the Orlando area! Really appreciate you watching. - Jonathan

[@JSFGuy]

The plot thickens, send some of that over here to SoCal...

[@just_weather]

I know you guys can use some and a cooldown! - Jonathan

[@SailingSarah]

Have it 😂

[@mirandelf]

I’ve been watching all these updates and changes on the track and strength of Beryl. I use the Meteoblue weather app and it’s been consistently predicting hitting near Houston since before Beryl entered the Caribbean.

[@ob1smom]

Watching from League City/Kemah, TX

[@G_Elliott]

Stop telling it where to go. It needs to come towards San Antonio. The area needs the rain.

[@melodygodbey3092]

❤️🎯❤️🎯❤️🎯❤️🎯❤️🎯❤️🎯❤️ Looks like it will come through IH 35 at San Antonio then Waco then East Texas......I'm in Central Texas USA 🇺🇸🛸👽🦍💕🙏 and purple sage Bush is in full bloom. It's so going to ☔🌧️ God bless everyone 😇🌅💓🌅💓🌅💓🌅

[@RockScissorsRock]

Looks very similiar to the path that Harvey took. Definitely Prepare HTOWN!

[@annietoups5531]

New Orleans here!

[@just_weather]

Welcome! Thanks for tuning in! - Jonathan

[@roxannehudson7410]

Baby don't worry that hurricane is not coming mo where near new Orleans.my home.

[@Whatt787]

Even more northward now, hurricane watch up for Texas

[@just_weather]

It is! - Jonathan

[@xavierjmj]

The Yucatan is shredding Beryl, for now.

[@tamarar.4642]

I’m watching from Northeast Louisiana. I have family in Port Aurthor , Dallas, Huston, and C.C. I think I may get some rain but I don’t think nothing too bad. I’m worried about all my family in Texas! Just praying and checking on everybody.

[@kaykay730]

best analysis of the patterns thanks

[@lorimcintyre360]

Live in San Antonio, news here is already predicting rain and flooding beginning Sunday/ Monday

[@Eurocatbaby]

Just so it doesn't stall over Houston. We don't need that.

[@xxmidnightxx3822]

😺

[@jeffthacker4899]

I live in the Bear Creek / Katy area. Yeah we don't need this!! Stay safe!!

[@sidequestsally]

Man, Houston always gets it :( If there's an opportunity for flooding, count on Houston. Maybe you'll act as a magnet to save our butts down here in Kingsville lol

[@jeffthacker4899]

@@sidequestsally I hope it breaks up and spares all of us.

[@Wbrundog]

I am a northerner who lived in Houston for 2.5 years. After Ike, I left and came home. I am glad I didn't experience Harvey. You guys stay safe down there. Great people in H Town.

[@lisarodriguez4397]

Watching from AR.

[@deborahgarcia7548]

Love your channel! Watching from San Antonio, Texas

[@just_weather]

I appreciate that!! Keep watching KSAT this weekend for more updates! - Jonathan

[@Jeff-ow9lp]

Here watching in the Florida panhandle

[@mackiemccauley4647]

Thanks for the great coverage and your channel. I subscribed 👌

[@just_weather]

Really appreciate that! Welcome to the team! Thanks for watching! - Jonathan

[@melodygodbey3092]

I'm in Central Texas USA and 70 miles east of Austin TX.......and All week we have PurPle 🟣 Sage Bush and they are all blooming. Full bloom. Actually never seen it the whole bush blooming. They do it when it rains.....😮 Ok you heard it here........we actually need the ☔ rain. God bless everyone in the path of BERYL BERYLLIUM 🌀🙏☔❤️😁🛸👽🎇🎆🔙🇺🇸🎯

[@just_weather]

Hoping it’s weak and the rain is beneficial! - Jonathan

[@donnenemcbride5273]

Here from Louisiana close to the Sabine River and Gulf of Mexico.

[@just_weather]

Welcome! - Jonathan

[@Nepcat4-qt5kz]

This is going to put a lot of rain in lakes and aquifers, right in the middle of a hot summer. This will be a win for the US. We may wish we could order one of these up in the future.

[@captbad9313]

Star base looks to be right in its path. This will be interesting.

[@vertaharper284]

Just moved to Houston area trying to figure out how concerned I should be. Never experienced a hurricane..

[@just_weather]

Still some uncertainty for Houston at the moment. I would just pay attention to what local meteorologists and officials are telling you. KPRC is the station you should watch there for the best information. Will know a lot more tomorrow on if Houston will take a direct hit. - Jonathan

[@DonJulio-k2v]

Thanks