Felix Zulauf’s Dire Warning: End of the Unipolar World

When Felix Zulauf has a hunch, he’s usually right. Mauldin Economics Publisher Ed D’Agostino interviews Zulauf, the former head of UBS’s institutional portfolio management group and the founder of Zulauf Consulting, about the end of the multipolar world and where the markets are headed.
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Time stamps:
00:00 - Introduction
01:55 - Recession forecast for US economy
06:23 - Will something else like SVB break?
10:53 - A wave of debt issuance coming
12:42 - Can unprofitable small caps continue?
13:26 - The trouble with extreme concentration in a few stocks
15:47 - When Zulauf expects a rebalancing
18:38 - The decade of the rollercoasters
19:53 - What happens if the war in the Middle East escalates?
21:50 - The unipolar world is over
23:36 - Israel, Ukraine, and Guyana
26:17 - Russia/Syria/Iran military agreements
27:44 - China’s effect on commodity prices
30:34 - Europe will be the geopolitical loser
32:53 - Zulauf on gold

[@sunnygee3712]

Thank you gents! What a wonderful interview of great minds!

[@bobhill4582]

Thank you Ed! Another great interview and guest! I remember thinking with the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 that the world got a little safer. Indeed I think that it did but it sure didn’t last. The political infighting in the States serves to to weaken the West at the wrong time. There will be a price to pay!

[@crouchhill]

I'm greatful to Felix everytime this time of the year on various podcasts, where he imparts his expert Macro and geopolitical view,man is second to none 😊

[@christianreidt3711]

Great talk with a guest who knows about what he is talking!

[@juliorivas7428]

Great analysis. Thank you. What is missing in this discussion, and it is very important, is that China, Europe, some of the BRICs, and Russia have dismal demographics, and horrible climate dangers.

[@jaygreenakajackstax9345]

He explains the demographics of China in one of the other vids that are cruising around on KZbin

[@ggttuuxx]

That's the Kool Aid from the dishonest US Politicians. Demographics play out in decades. By then, China will have a smaller population that is sustainable for its land. Why did you think China embarked on the difficult One Child Policy? For sustainability! By then, the US will be in too much debt and too late to turn back. And India will have too many people to feed. More people is not "better". That was the hard lesson China learnt decades ago. The West don't care to learn it; they prefer to avoid thinking the tough questions.

[@stephenburnage7687]

The demographic issue is real, but takes decades to play out. However, anyone that has looked into the subject knows that the CO2 climate change thesis has no basis in fact.

[@samruda23]

After listening to this, I am reminded of something that a global ports/terminals senior executive said to me: "China is the factory, America the consumer, Brazil the kitchen, and Europe is irrelevant." And person that said this is European. I suspect as well that Mr. Zulauf connected the dots in the Middle East and Ukraine with precision.

[@mirceacrisan4108]

500 mil europeans are irrelevant? People are having a better life in Europe than in America/China..

[@ReasonableHuman1]

Thank you!

[@longgowhereto]

I heard Felix already twice, but who would say no to Mauldin Economics? I have been three hours in a 35 minutes talk. Reminds me in former Barron's RT moments. Thank you very much for such a rich time!

[@aloisbueycot1637]

Great comentary!!!!!!ThankYou

[@advocate1563]

FZ talks, I listen. Once a year and on multiple platforms. The reason the recession is still not with us is quiet liquidity going on in the background. Of course that only helps those with assets, so we see metrics associated with poorer groups worsening but not the aggregate. A view.

[@billhammett174]

outstanding interview...

[@slavavoronin4767]

Thank you indeed Felix and Ed, - all is just superb 👍👏👍

[@Lightmr23]

Mister Felix is mind-blowing when it comes to talk about geopolitics! I loce it how he thinks!

[@florianewu7256]

Felix, how can we Americans pivot and become the great “producers” once again? 🙏🏻🕊️💪🏻

[@andymartelli3440]

excelent conference

[@ggttuuxx]

Great interview Ed. Felix may be right or may be wrong. But regardless, following his thoughts' rabbit hole gets one thinking and reexamine our assumptions. Useful.

[@mlbull2000]

Felix you have some bold predictions. Let’s see how it turns out.

[@47allenr]

Another outstanding interview from EdD. I had never heard the view that the U.S. sought to encourage Russia's invasion of the Ukraine in order to prevent, or at least hamper, Europe's further integration with Asia's Sino-Soviet bloc.

[@micheldegroot5750]

Why do you think the US did everything to prevent Russia to deliver natural gas to Europe? And do you know that Russia also tries to prevent Europe from taking east Ukraine for their huge Lithium ore deposits? It is all about commodities.

[@aleaiactaest8354]

Great guest!

[@aleaiactaest8354]

Economy strong? have you seen the budget deficit?

[@kgupta2205]

33:00 gold

[@josemaenzo]

Nice interview. I miss a take on Bitcoin.

[@000mch]

Riveting!

[@robbyh7037]

Does congress needs to approve QE or can the fed take that decision without? Basically can Republicans block QE in 2024

[@sencercorlu]

When exactly was this recorded?

[@MauldinEconomicsYouTube]

Monday, December 4th

[@willem-harrywillaert8986]

👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏼👌👌👌🙏🙏🙏👍👍👍❤️

[@nohopeequalsnofear3242]

They turned our dollar into confetti

[@jaygreenakajackstax9345]

Great great great

[@KonradKrakow]

Can we expect subtitles to be available soon?

[@lambertois11]

KZbin is now full of doomsday, end-of-the-world videos! These videos are tailor-made for the people who enjoy horror movies! Profound common sense quotes from a real experience investor, Warren Buffett: “Forecasts may tell you a great deal about the forecaster; they tell you nothing about the future. “We’ve long felt that the only value of stock forecasters is to make fortune-tellers look good. Even now, I continue to believe that short-term market forecasts are poison and should be kept locked up in a safe place, away from children and also from grown-ups who behave in the market like children.” -

[@trudy6132]

Nothing doomsday about. Markets correct, that’s healthy and a great buying opportunity

[@lowtech_1]

Very different view to Claudia 😅

[@MauldinEconomicsYouTube]

Indeed. I like to hear from all sides when forming my own view and investment strategy. Thanks for watching!

[@theproverbialbeef5641]

This host looks like Peter diamantis

[@MauldinEconomicsYouTube]

I think I have more grey hair than Peter.

[@Quilustrucu]

Zulauf pronounced Tsulauf

[@greatrunner7665]

Who cares 😂😂

[@kbmblizz1940]

AI algorithm trading is making the market schizophrenic. The norm now, crash in the morning, FOMO in the afternoon.😧

[@ali_2023x]

He speaks alot more than once a year, what marketing hyperbole is this

[@oldernu1250]

Zulauf is a Swiss troll who has kneaded too much Russian dough. His world view has not changed in decades and his forecasts have not been accurate. He was right in 2008, but has cried wolf several times since then. If Iran closes Gulf of Hormuz, the EU might awake from its post war tupor--with Arabs' blessings. Dry powder is always smart.

[@user-qr8up6jw2k]

Yeah, that guy is a real troll

[@nordlystom]

Ukraine is not lost; Putin is not in a stable situation and doesn't have the trained manpower to last another year.

[@nordlystom]

kzbin.info/www/bejne/bWfSh4d-eamUrM0