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QI Research founder and former Dallas Fed adviser Danielle DiMartino Booth discusses recession signals, how America lost its ability to budget, and whether we’re barreling toward stagflation.
Danielle unpacks a litany of troubling economic data in our interview. Layoffs are spreading from tech to retail, manufacturing, and transportation. And for the first time ever, Americans are paying more to service their non-mortgage debt than their mortgage debt.
Danielle and I also cover AI’s impact on jobs, short-sighted Covid-era policies, and the coming “condo-mageddon.”
Investors, watch to the end for Danielle’s thoughtful guidance on what this all means for the markets and where to look for safe havens.
Learn about Danielle DiMartino Booth’s letter, The Daily Feather, here: dimartinobooth.substack.com/GMU
Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on LinkedIn here: / dimartinobooth
Learn more about Danielle DiMartino Booth here: quillintelligence.com
Subscribe to Ed D’Agostino’s free weekly e-letter here: www.mauldineconomics.com/go/J...
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Time stamps:
00:00 - Introduction
01:30 - The Fed’s dual mandate is back
05:23 - Are we already in a recession?
08:17 - Layoffs spread across the economy
13:08 - Essentials inflation and “condo-mageddon”
14:45 - Is stagflation coming?
16:31 - How COVID stimulus money changed Americans
22:27 - The danger of letting teachers’ unions set policy
25:26 - How investors should prepare
29:12 - Research on leading indicators