THE FALL OF VUHLEDAR and the PINCERS FROM HEL... MORDOR... - Strategic Analysis

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[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

FRONTLINE CHANGES IS OUT!!! Watch on DPA War : kzbin.info/www/bejne/f56XeolqmJqlrtk (published after this Analysis )

[@24hourjukebox55]

Coming soon...''Vuhledar was never strategically important''. 😊

[@alessandrolombardi9329]

Already saying just a 1000 people village

[@sirex9244]

Yeah they just said already lol

[@jonet5946]

Thank you, I'm happy now.

[@charlottemay8074]

you are fantastic.. all this time .. look forward to seeing your podcasts every day .. !

[@tomweiss9600]

If Ukraine and Russia ever worked together, they could take Paris without a sweat after this.

[@ЯБезымянный-о5ф]

Which is not much, as it was easily taken by disorganized hordes of migrants already.

[@veusterviala9135]

😂😊😅😂😊

[@wat-ch]

Once upon a time in 1814...

[@generalsdragons6952]

@MotherRussia-ZOV I think France fucked Paris up just fine.

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

Thats why Yugoslavia happened, and now why Ukraine happened. USSR created these countries to be strong and powerful on their own... but they are too dumb to stay together as one people in their own country....

[@jerrybriardy]

Those apartment buildings have got to be hell on earth. Both sides have incredible courage to live through this.

[@SarielSol]

Both sides are soldiers, they went there to fight even if they don’t have much choice now. But I have seen bombed streets in Lebanon, hundreds of people, children, killed in their homes and on the streets in front of their homes. That is hell

[@sirex9244]

Its an interesting image that make american propaganda about USSR look bad Middle East building literally turned to dust after one guided bomb Soviet building that is atleast 60-70 y.o. standing still after months of bombs like fab1500. How did bad and poor USSR build such " Bad and poor" building that stands still even after almost century and also after 2 years of war? Cia dont have an answer

[@pedroborda6552]

Thank you bro. Your work is excellent 👍

[@TurtleChad1]

NAFO bots: Russia will never take ugledar Russia: Close to taking ugledar as well as multiple other towns...

[@alexnderrrthewoke4479]

Nafo bots: it was meaningless land anyways.

[@danielhutchinson6604]

@@alexnderrrthewoke4479 Kyiv appeared to assume the region was Meaningful.... They did have 10 years to build defenses. They may be pretty well covered. BOT's is a meaninless term anyway.................Right?

[@GTR003121]

@@alexnderrrthewoke4479 Exactly this, I'm seeing this exact cope all over X

[@denxero]

@@danielhutchinson6604 wtf are you even saying? do you have a point? Or did you just get triggered like a simpleton and went into verbose mode?

[@danielhutchinson6604]

@@denxero I have been rather Chatty for a lot of my existence. Some folks even assume I do not properly present my case...... Do you have a lot of problems with abstract Thinking? You may have a point? I do get triggered by simpleton statements? But we should chat like this more often.....

[@adraelborkadi9423]

DPA always keeps it real

[@connectingthedots5987]

The only problem for us Americans is that, our houses are made of wood which gets wiped out by strong wind called Tornado. Can you imagine us fighting a war against another country, our neighbors won’t stand except government buildings.

[@Rick8191-tv8pg]

There's no way my local apartment buildings here in North Eastern Ohio can take the damage that those old communist buildings can .

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

I'm totally surprised by the latest footages that the buildings are ALL still standing....

[@GurniHallek]

Communism broke before the khruschovka did.

[@AH-ly2cq]

A lot of western apartment blocks are only held together by thick layers taggers paint. 🤣

[@gregnelson5022]

Greeting from southwest Ohio

[@jimbraatz4514]

about a quarter of my apt building here in wi did collapse a few years ago lol. One load bearing wall was taken out and 8 apt's caved in.

[@mehmetihsantezemir5931]

Thanks Wyatt...

[@blubard6105]

Excellent report Commander Wyatt!!

[@lorenzolitterio]

E-motional damage!!

[@alanmcbride6658]

Cheers Wyatt.

[@theone3792thatis]

Slava dpa

[@dinnerwithfranklin2451]

I agree. Say what you want about the Soviets they built things to last.

[@ad-ko5iy]

Today in Figaro, french reference right newspaper : the russian are obviously close to the break, they're short of men and are forced to recruit prisonners to fill the gap... They still are going fast forward for an army on the verge of defeat...

[@tdzack]

It really helps to step back like this in order to see the overall thrust of the RAF and what they are going for.

[@gs1042]

Whoah, arrows with shadows?? We getting triple A content here. Good job!

[@ivanbadaev6621]

I think it's not a coincidence that as soon as we saw Russian troops start pushing south from Novohrodivka, essentially shfiting the direction of the Pokrovsk offensive southwards, Russian troops also started making gains in Vuhledar. The whole thing looks like a strategic three-pronged operation aimed at collapsing the whole Kurakhove defense region. The northern front is in Ukrainsk and Hirnk, trying to squeeze Ukraine from cities to the north of Kurakhove and potentially flank it from the west. The central front is Ostroe, and it's essentially a frontal attack meant to probe Ukrainian defenses in the center, pin down significant Ukrainian forces there and sever the logistics between Hirnik and Kurakhove. It's curious how it came alive last of the three, as soon as Russia started having success in Ukrainsk and towns north of Hirnik. The whole move is a second pincer which was meant to be activated as soon as Ukraine started falling back in Ukrainsk. This way Russia intendes to collapse the Nevelske salient and help the northern front keep up the momentum southwestward, with the final aim of storming Kurakhivka and linking up. The southern front is Vuhledar, obviously. It's the hardest of the three and was perhaps the most uncertain of the three. If Vuhledar held, Ukraine would have still collapsed in Hirnik and Kurakhivka, but they would have a prepared defense line in Kurakhove so it would be a tolerable defeat. However, with the fall of Vuhledar Russia gets the opportunity to strike Kurakhove from the south if they manage to breach several other, albeit weaker, defense lines. If Kurakhove falls, the whole Southern Donetsk oblast is basically doomed. There are few major cities and water bodies west of the current Ukrainian HQ. To make matters worse, there are no ready defense lines. Naturally, Ukraine will attempt to build up some if the push comes to shove, but these won't be nearly as effective as those Russia was facing in Nevelske, Konstantinivka or Vuhledar. If Kurakhove falls, the south Donetsk front will become a mess like during the Pokrovsk breakthrough, but 3 - 4 times wider Edit: I might be underestimating Russia though. If they play their cards right, they might reach Kurakhove from the south in just a few weeks. If this happens, Ukraine is cooked 💀

[@simonpetrikov3992]

Hmm would that have any effects on the rest of the front lines beyond southern Donetsk?

[@ivanbadaev6621]

@@simonpetrikov3992Of course it would! I mean, every fortress serves as a force multiplier. A fort defended by one batallion would be just as effective at holding back the enemy as three batallions in open terrain. The same in Donbass. Once the frontline moves past Kurakhove, Ukraine will have to defend "open fields". They can do this with three options: 1. Send in the reserves 2. Conscript and train more brigades 3. Fight with what they have left. Option one will, naturally, deplete the Ukrainian reserve a lot. This means that if Russian troops achieve another breakthrough somewhere else, Ukraine will have much harder time sealing the Russian advance. Think the Khrakhiv counteroffensive kind of situation. Option two will allow Ukraine to retain the reserves, but it will come at a cost of provoking social outrage at more mobilizations. Furthermore, each mobilization wave brings in troops of worse and worse quality. When Russia stormed Ocheretine, they were dealing with auch conscripts and this generated a local disaster, the reverberations of which we see today. At some point Ukraine will either have to conscript the youth, or their new formations will simply become incapable of combat and only hold back on the rest of the army. Option three will lead to a progressive cascade of defeats in the southeastern part of Donbass. If Ukraine doesn't address this, Russian troops will sooner or later reach Ukrainian rear positions in Zaporizhia and northern Donetsk oblast, gradually collapsing the frontline with flanking strikes (think Novohrodivka and Ukrainsk a month ago, but on a grander scale). Ukraine has a lot of territory, but if they go on this route, the more they delay, the worse it will get for the whole frontline. Hope this somes it up nicely. Thx for asking :^

[@simonpetrikov3992]

@@ivanbadaev6621 which option do you think Ukraine is going to take?

[@alext5285]

Logistics decides everything. Look at the railway map. Having approached Pokrovsk station at the artillery range, the Russians bled dry the logistics of Ugledar. Now the nearest station is Gulyaipole more than a hundred kilometers to the west. The Southern Railway is under the control of the Russians. Moreover, they built an additional branch bypassing a potentially dangerous section. The Ukrainians have not built anything during this time.

[@ivanbadaev6621]

​@@alext5285 I'm not sure that railway lines are relevant here. Pokrovsk is a hub that connects the Kramatorsk aglomeration, an enormous Ukrainian defense node. It is absolutely vital for Northern Donetsk - Chasiv Yar and the big cities northwards. However, the whole Southern Donetsk oblast is supplied with motorized transport (trucks, basically). It has been for almost the whole war, actually. Didn't stop Russia from getting absolutely demolished in Vuhledar before.

[@tonyhero1628]

GoodNews!

[@samuel5742]

"If yesterday is the time where the toilet is too far and the shit has hit the pants, has all came out in the pants, now the shit has dropped out of the pants and it's now everywhere. You know? It's horrible."

[@JacquesBiantouari-tv5cx]

Hi thanks for information

[@northdacota2692]

It is what it is bro

[@emilioesdabes7086]

And Elensky is still begging for arms and money…😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@maximturcan1722]

I hope this is how history remembers him. They had good leaders like Yaroslav the Wise, Vladimir the Great. Now it's time for Volodymyr the Beggar

[@nuurulbasarmohdbaki6046]

Wow overtime

[@Y6287]

🖤💙❤️Z🖤💙❤️

[@SBG172]

Hell yeah 🔥

[@canadiancombatwombatthe3rd782]

The sh!t has hit the pants.

[@bernfrank3966]

Thank you 👍

[@wlcrutch]

Finally, an under-10-minute-video…

[@RobertELee-nx7di]

Don't forget to smash the like button ...

[@LaFemme6345]

Au revoir, Vuhledar! ❤🤍🇷🇺🖤💙

[@24hourjukebox55]

every time puketube deletes my comment Russaia takes more of Ukraine...lol

[@marinkovacevic8732]

Standard "collapse the front" situation. I wanna see how they will deal with Kurahove.

[@denxero]

Every new town that falls falls faster/easier than the previous ones. The pattern is pretty clear and understandable.

[@marinkovacevic8732]

@@denxero From tactical point of view as it's different than other cities.

[@AH-ly2cq]

Yep, The Fall of Vuhledar and the Pinchers from Hel...Mordor...for sure, all right. Yep, stockpile of arrows replenished...all right, for sure.

[@fredachildiev]

Baba Yaga? Could be, but I think this is Kirdik sneaking up subtly. We shell see! 😂

[@Amun-Re]

I think Russia will try to capture the Road Junction north west of the Vuhledar first, so as to encircle it. The place I don't think will fall this side of Friday. Maybe some time this weekend.

[@janneman7710]

next week is october 1st will many of the fronts not come to a standstill within the next few weeks? with the arrival of the rasputitsa, especially in the farmers' fields there that also makes VUHLEDAR impossible to supply I guess, because all paved roads there seem to come under Russian control but for the rest of what you draw there is that not more something for mid-winter or spring? I would expect that in places like Toretsk the front will remain in motion, because it is an urban area

[@jamesgornall5731]

If youre in TOS-1A range, youre too close

[@emperor_sunshine]

Last!

[@DuncanAsa-q8x]

Stamm Tunnel

[@apostolosderakis9840]

Arrowman drew more arrows today than AFU bullets

[@UgandanWarriorofHell]

pincers of hell 👺

[@sirex9244]

Thats Russian local checkmate over there

[@lostpony4885]

Enough arrows to play cowboys and indians!

[@chorus5062]

After thousands of deaths in Uglerdar, they gave something.

[@henrygwese7549]

We might be looking at another Bakhmud situation in vulglida

[@martinhuhn7813]

How? The place is already mostly insignificant and the Ukrainian side does not have a close supply hub or supply lines any more. The place is also tiny in comparison. There are not going to be any more prolonged or massive battles for Vughledar.

[@jamesgornall5731]

​@martinhuhn7813 that depends IF they decide to continue to pointlessly reinforce the place as with Bakhmut

[@martinhuhn7813]

@@jamesgornall5731 No, it doesn´t. In Bakhmuth they could do that, in Vughledar it is no longer an option. It would not even be an option, if Ukraine still had the troups for that. Even pointless reinforcements need a logistics base for them to get there. Check the map. For the Ukrainians it is 10km+ to the next pretty insignificant villages, there is no equivalent of Chasiv Yar close to Vughledar and the villages which do exist have nothing like the Sloviansk/Kramatorsk line to back them up. There is only Kurachove - which is also already under pressure from the north and the east.The days, when Vughledar was connected to a decent line of defense together with Kostyantynivka and Vodyane are over.

[@alext5285]

@@martinhuhn7813 True. Chasov Yar is a major railway station. Ugledar was supplied via Pokrovsk, which is now under fire.

[@bluikkso]

"Ugledar was never strategically important anyways" coming in 3... 2... 1...

[@outback109]

But Denys tells me they will be in Moscow by lunchtime 😂

[@haijekroodsma4587]

I wonder when you are listening to Dennis. He still thinks Pokrowsk will be Russian with Christmas. He is much more reality than you are. Of course it is a blame for the second strong army of the world that it takes 3 years to conquer Pokrowsk.

[@Chris.M.-vi4ci]

🤙

[@bojanveljovic559]

😮

[@gitmoholliday5764]

I wonder who is more dumbed down the EU leaders or Bellendski.

[@randomguy7175]

🎉

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

Check out the latest SITREP here: kzbin.info/www/bejne/jpiceKZ7i6aXfdk

[@pnvidusa]

You're out of date, dude! Haven't you heard yet that the Russians have captured a quarter of Vulhedar? 🤣

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

I usually dont do breaking news. I do summary of previous day's actions. Breaking news is usually full of wrong info....

[@condocord7544]

These Russians are BIG men. They place one pair of big Russian Soldier Boots on the front line and the Ukres run like hell! The US soldiers will run so fast they could almost beat Usain Bolt!

[@mr.erichgodways334]

ROASTED

[@adraelborkadi9423]

Never disappoint the truth is wat it is no fairy tails

[@glintongordon6811]

How large is vuledar exactly?

[@pete531]

its nto big

[@RiseOfTheMachines-s7u]

You can measure it on Google Maps. It is about 1 Km from East to West and also 1 Km from North to South. For comparison, Bakhmut is about 6 Km East West and North South. So Bakhmut has an area nearly 40 times bigger than Vuhledar.

[@GTR003121]

Slava Rusland!

[@ИванЕвдокимов-в4м]

THICC arrows! 🤣

[@catalinul5700]

Vuhledar is falling like it used to fall a month, two months or three months ago?

[@spoonikle]

happy? make us happy??

[@NoPantsBaby]

He ate the Arrow-Arrow fruit. Turning him into an Arrow man!

[@aniksamiurrahman6365]

Bring us the news you're the arrow man, bring us the news tonight. We're all in mode of a memory, and you got us filling all right.

[@yvau]

They less and less talk about Ukraine war....when it was about the kursk incursion it was all over the place

[@corto6914]

🙈

[@Arag0n]

the fortress city no more?

[@pete531]

pretty impressive if you think about it that RF managed to go thru prepared fortesses like these, and with brute force, like a ram (animal) into the door

[@Slowv8Fiero]

ANOTHER EMBARRASSING DAY FOR ADF ZELENSKY. EXPECT REGIME CHANGE IN KIEV SOON

[@bluikkso]

Worry not, the comedian-in-coce has finished his magnum opus the "Victory Plan". Same as the old "piss plan", more begging, more wyeepoons, more begging, more myooney, more kidnapping from the streets, repeat. "Snort. Beg. Repeat"

[@reddot_22]

What happens if NATO sends expeditionary force to mantain the frontline at the request of Ukraine? Technically Ukraine is free for all. Would China intervene then, similar to Korean War?

[@prossi4216]

US won't send troops, at least not anytime soon. The only NATO countries who might like to to do that are UK and eastern european countries, but without US support they would be doomed soon. So nobody would do it.

[@djames693]

Zelensky: How's the situation in Ugledar? Sirsky: It's Ugly, Sir. Zelensky: And? Sirsky: And dark, Sir. Sirsky: Ugledar is now ugly and dark, Sir. Putin: 😂😂😂

[@TheAntsNest]

Its gettn hairy out there!!!

Vuhledar is done, the Ukrainian 72nd Black Zaporozhians brigade fled the city, leaving the less capable troops to defend the city and serve as cannon fodders.

[@cbhlde]

DPA is monitoring with 160hz! :)

[@barryshaw5660]

Keep grinding Russia 🇷🇺 you have no choice.

[@jerrybriardy]

This video from a month ago describes before hand exactly what is happening now. kzbin.info/www/bejne/aInZZXinqNuGo9U

[@rosaal2981]

Slava Uk😂

[@shimadwan8251]

Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦

[@Peacewar2020]

Slava Uranus

[@jovanmoracanin6289]

Are you crying?😂😂

[@MauroTriques]

These are very large advances. Indeed, after Avdiivka, the speed of russian advance seems to be enlarging. To me, it is the effect of low ukrainian effectives + depletion of ammunition from Nato.

[@patrickcerta4998]

🇷🇺🇷🇺🇷🇺🇷🇺

[@tst6735]

🫡

[@emeraanwingrove3494]

The Ukrainians must hold, zelensky will return with dollars 😂

[@auronedgevicks7739]

so many pen3s drawings man. are you trying to tell us something

[@locustslacker6614]

Первый?

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

CONGRATS! YOU FALL INTO A DPA FIRST MEDAL~!! SLAVA DPANI~!!!

[@JohnScott-el9gm]

Slava ukraine 🇺🇦

[@mkodyglobalsouthsoldier]

Slava 87%of the global south Slava from country A to z not in europe or aligned with europe Slava 7.1 billion people worlwide excluding--- europeans blood like europe usa australia nz canada

[@Peacewar2020]

Slava Uranus

[@aniksamiurrahman6365]

@@Peacewar2020 Slava Urine.

[@bluikkso]

Urinal slave! Found the nah zee enthusiast!

[@NagasakiNightmare]

It’s kind/diplomatic of you to make the effort to pronounce Ugledar in a Ukrainian accent😅

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

It is Ukraine afterall~

[@colml9688]

147th

[@timothypeterson1903]

😂🤣🤣🤣👍

[@roblegendary8154]

So when are you going to stop repeating the same news. I thought you said this same little town has been falling for months now 😂😂😂

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

Since when? =\ You sure you watching the correct channel?

[@emburmak]

Pls stop the clickbait....the town has not fallen....

[@timothypeterson1903]

It can be pounded to dust from three sides. They are almost cut off from their escape/supply route so it could fall at anytime

[@Toronto-Brad]

Writing is on the wall. Better for the Ukranians to leave there now, than wait for a fate uncertain.

[@aniksamiurrahman6365]

I totally agree on this. There's no need of clickbaits. Neither they're increasing the performance.

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

I never say it fell. Its falling, thus the fall. If it fell, then its "Vuhledar has fallen" You got it? =\

[@marknus89]

When it does, you can spam how it was not important 😂

[@BorisChisaEchikwa]

Report facts please and not analysis.

[@brianlowe3529]

This is not time for word twisting 😂

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

This is an analysis video. What you talking about. SITREP at DPA War channel~

[@brianlowe3529]

@@DefensePoliticsAsia I’m a bit twisted

[@ameetsharma7047]

Just report on kursk , you will be exposed as a nobody

[@aniksamiurrahman6365]

What report honey? He reports on Kursk everyday, multiple time. What happened there? Ukraine pushing more men and getting nowhere? How far is Kursk city and how close did Ukrainian forces moved towards the Kursk City in last one month honey?

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

lol.... You sleeping bro? SITREP on the DPA War channel - full kursk updates in the SITREP, every single day.

[@fred4687]

Kursk is only part of the overall conflict. Wyatt covers it when there are changes there.

[@ameetsharma7047]

You have not responded to simple questions & CONTINUE to make analysis instead of reporting FACTS

[@aniksamiurrahman6365]

What question exactly? DPA and DPA-war reports straight facts. Go watch.

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

You are being stupid. Get a life. You want to ask me direct question, just the DPA Forum, find me in my office there.

[@nledaig]

Comic.

[@vaunfestus9768]

Buh bye vuladar

[@Y6287]

Emoootional Daaamage 😂