This is some great analysis. The consumer is holding up the economy right now and a lot of the employment reports we see are lagging indicators.
@trentpetersen3072Ай бұрын
Trillion dollars every 100 days or GDP would be massively negative.
@waltlowry4297Ай бұрын
Administration need to stop spending and giving money away.
@BubbaBlackmonАй бұрын
Every analyst has an opinion but here are the facts: The average return of the S&P 500 12 months after the first rate cut is 15%. For small caps it's 27%. These include periods of recession and non recession.
@faizanhaque2070Ай бұрын
She’s breathing deep during those pause. I usually don’t comment this type of thing but it’s was crazy noticing
@wolfpackforlife1Ай бұрын
Shes really smart. She needs the oxygen to feed her enlarged brain.
@SimonTemplarDudeАй бұрын
I feel maybe she's a smoker?
@prolific1518Ай бұрын
@@SimonTemplarDude definitely lol
@swaggitypigfig8413Ай бұрын
Jesus Christ chill man 🤣 @@wolfpackforlife1
@okok-uc8hiАй бұрын
She’s probably nervous, plus she’s talking very fast. It’s normal, stop harping on things that don’t matter
@knowthyself690Ай бұрын
When I saw that GDP numbers where coming out this week, I decided to prepare for a down day. The math is mathing for a slowdown on all things consumer
@sxs88Ай бұрын
I seem to recall a certain market whisperer predict a coming recessionary print in Q3-Q4 2023 and then again in Mar 2024 (massive tech layoffs would have precipitated it supposedly), and now the third time must be the right call! Oh my!
@ralphjessee2688Ай бұрын
When ALL of the data is either a survey, or completely fabricated. It is hard to get it right.
@AsuSun-k6rАй бұрын
Smart real analysis..
@thomastang3140Ай бұрын
What would be Harris's response on the soft-landing scenario? "I grew up in a middle class family and we need to create hope in the community, and to support small business. More importantly, to realize the significance of the passage of time!" Anyone understand? Precisely!
@tterb777Ай бұрын
Well, once again as a reminder, the economy always does better with Democrats in power. If Trump got empower and increased tariffs and extended, the tax breaks or even increased tax break for the rich, it would only cause a huge deficit that we’ve never seen before.
@ralphjessee2688Ай бұрын
@@tterb777 Your comment doesn't seem to reflect the reality most experience. The deficit and borrowing have exploded under the Harris/Biden regime.
@aceyageАй бұрын
@@ralphjessee2688Result of Trump/COVID.
@patrickm6012Ай бұрын
@@ralphjessee2688the deficit skyrocketed under Trump. Also the bond market was inverted in 2019, signaling a recession prior to COVID and his bungled response to it.
@ralphjessee2688Ай бұрын
@@aceyage Trump didn't create Covid and the initial Cares Act was under 2 trillion. The balance of the debt explosion was all Harris/Biden.
@Muricans1776Ай бұрын
Seems like an unhinged conspiracy theorist trying to make her family prepare for the Terminator…..
@paulevans4905Ай бұрын
Deficit spending has a way of propping up things.
@jb3995Ай бұрын
This segment would never be aired in the US 😂😂😂😂
@gen-X-traderАй бұрын
I'm just going to point out in all the years I've watched her talk she has never not been worried and scared about some impending doom scenario 😂 I'm not sure she's ever been bullish equities, like ever
@AuraAraucariaceaeАй бұрын
DIMARTINI BOOTH 🔥🔥🔥🔥 ANALYSIS
@thep751Ай бұрын
Consumer expenditure PCE actually rose for last June and July. The most troubled indicator would be unemployment rate which triggered Sahm rule but she did not articulated that.
@danielhutchinson6604Ай бұрын
The GDP has been sustained above neutral since the 3rd quarter of 2022, by European Consumers being forced to buy overpriced LNG. So any variation of the figures brings you back to ask, where is the real Baseline for this economy? Is Europe going to continue to support the USA?
@thep751Ай бұрын
@@danielhutchinson6604 Are you Russian troll? LNG sales to Europe from US is about $35 billions a year, and US GDP is $27+ trillions. US GDP is hardly supported by LNG sales. Domestic consumer spending is 70% of the US economy, that is where the critical component of US economy is.
@dannypowers4995Ай бұрын
Our government lowering the prime rate will only encourage the consumer to take on more debt. The rate should automatically be raised when consumer debt reaches a level agreed by the public vote. Discouraging our consumer to take on more debt. Banks have to pass a stress test each yr. The consumer as a whole nation should have to pass a stress test determining the prime interests rate. The higher the debt level the higher the prime rate. That will Discourage the consumer from going bankrupt.
@sivakumaran125Ай бұрын
US economy is not strong enough to bear higher interest rates(fragile economy that breaks too often)
@ralphjessee2688Ай бұрын
Exactly - If the economy is chugging along so well, why cut rates?
@patrickm6012Ай бұрын
You don’t read much do you. Inflation is under control but their focus is on the unemployment rate. It’s a balancing act.
@sivakumaran125Ай бұрын
@@patrickm6012 Are you in the US? I am in India but I know inflation is still high than what it is reported in the US US is in recession already possibly from Q1 of 2024 wait and see after elections lots of data will be revised on the downside
@ralphjessee2688Ай бұрын
@@patrickm6012 You were mumbling, again. Yeah, I read plenty. And I'm told the economy is robust and the consumer is doing well.
@kurdi98kАй бұрын
The market can remain irrational for very long, hence it doesn't even matter what you do
@tterb777Ай бұрын
People have been talking about a recession or even even depression frankly since 1995. I still remember the day when interest rates were going down and people were fearful that there was a problem because they decrease the interest rates only in their mind to predict a massive recession down the road once the interest rates stopped, dropping or worse, yet went up. This chatter is old news
@djcj7379Ай бұрын
The economic backdrop at at time was totally different, yield curve was never inverted, but dont feel bad theres plenty of talking heads comparing unalike datapoints
@Sammy517Ай бұрын
Right.... And there were NO recessions since 1995!! 😂
@incipidsigninsetupАй бұрын
She may be right, but there still will be a massive rally between now and the end of the year.
@ralphjessee2688Ай бұрын
Just like the '07 rally?
@foolsleadtheworld578Ай бұрын
@@ralphjessee2688 🤣🤣👍👍
@darrellh4259Ай бұрын
They not listening
@kevinwaters5872Ай бұрын
A wise person once cautioned : you cannot spend your way out of a recession. Guess we will see , huh ? I am with the wise man on this one.
@winglam6438Ай бұрын
Who actually takes this woman seriously, she's been screaming for a US rescission for the past 2 years. She couldn't predict the winner of a one man race. 🤡
@tterb777Ай бұрын
We’ve been hearing cries of recession since 1995. I’ve been watching this almost daily people freaking out on social media and even business media sites.
@Jjkal899Ай бұрын
Totally agree. Fear sells.
@NunYa953Ай бұрын
We've been in a recession for the last 2 years.
@---dm4vxАй бұрын
The blonde lady has arms like hulk Hogan
@restassuredworshipАй бұрын
Sahm rule and uninverted 10\2 yr yield curve recently should have everyone worried. Add threat of war, elections and and downward revisions... Yeah you should be thinking about hedging at the very least!
@giantessmariaАй бұрын
comical! shes literally been saying this same kind of doom and gloom for 2solid years now...
@bradleysmith4984Ай бұрын
Alarmist hysteria.....
@fred-n6fАй бұрын
wow, she is so wrong. and no good track record proves it
@prolific1518Ай бұрын
4 week account. Bot
@Fried52Ай бұрын
Finally, thought I was the only one who noticed.
@RalphCarl-t6xАй бұрын
Leta Hills
@KungPowEnterFistАй бұрын
Its been at least 40 straight months that she is been 100% wrong. Maybe she should get a Ph.D, so that maybe she'll at least be right some of the time. She just keeps repeating the same wrong information/predictions over and over and over again.
@prolific1518Ай бұрын
You believe data heading into an election. You're a good lil sheep
@ziprlineАй бұрын
If she had sex with Jim Cramer and they had an offspring, you would have the 100% perfect market contra indicator.
@AlanSmith88888Ай бұрын
Bears 😂😂😂
@tterb777Ай бұрын
All of her argument boils down to consumer spending. So since that is the case, and we put more cash in peoples hands by lowering the interest rates… To me sounds like it will be addressing the consumer confidence.
@dgaz3057Ай бұрын
spending will increase when the Hurricane hits...
@jacqueslucas8616Ай бұрын
Cnbs always pushing soft landing 😂😂😂
@hareshbhirudАй бұрын
She is a joke. CNBC’s timepass.
@ssuwandi3240Ай бұрын
Indeed. A bunch of overpaid Phd😊
@JenniferThomas-z7lАй бұрын
Garcia Kevin Harris Timothy Hernandez Jessica
@ziprlineАй бұрын
This person needs to duck into the shadows. She's always wrong or off timing. So sick of people being given MSM credibility just because of their race or gender.
@LouiseLegault-w6zАй бұрын
Dibbert Club
@ClaraIda-x1eАй бұрын
Wilson Sharon Perez Maria Anderson Linda
@harischsood5479Ай бұрын
She has been always wrong and never in doubt. She is a marginal figure at the Fed and somehow has parlayed this into being an expert on the markets. She manages no money and is basically a dilettante. Listen to her and lose money.