The Next Hundred Years of Your Life | Pedro Domingos | TEDxLA

  Рет қаралды 51,348

TEDx Talks

TEDx Talks

Күн бұрын

You'll live a lot longer than you think, thanks to the progress that medicine will make in your lifetime. And because progress is accelerating, you'll see a lot more new things in the next decades than in your life to date.
Pedro Domingos takes you on a whirlwind tour of the new superpowers you'll acquire, the technologies that will underpin them, and what you'll do with them. Fasten your seatbelt - from controlling the world with your mind to editing your own genes, the next hundred years of your life are going to be a wild ride.
Pedro Domingos is Professor at University of Washington and the author of “The Master Algorithm”. He is a winner of the SIGKDD Innovation Award, the highest honor in data science. He is a Fellow of the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence, and has received a Fulbright Scholarship, a Sloan Fellowship, the National Science Foundation’s CAREER Award, and numerous best paper awards.
His research spans a wide variety of topics in machine learning, artificial intelligence, and data science, including scaling learning algorithms to big data, maximizing word of mouth in social networks, unifying logic and probability, and deep learning.
This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at www.ted.com/tedx

Пікірлер: 122
@DarkNinja-24
@DarkNinja-24 4 жыл бұрын
Reminds me of something said in "21 Lessons in 21 Century", if the technology of controlling your own evolution becomes available but at an expensive cost, then different social classes may develop into different species.
@natehaas1346
@natehaas1346 5 ай бұрын
crazy line
@kyokushinfighter78
@kyokushinfighter78 6 жыл бұрын
You can control everything with your mind and yet you still COMMUTE TO WORK. LOL.
@schalazeal07
@schalazeal07 7 жыл бұрын
This topic is sooo fascinating!!! The possibilities are endless!! I think we can reach our fullest potential and more as transhumans.. Great talk!!
@JeremyHelm
@JeremyHelm 10 ай бұрын
I'm sorry you have come to believe this
@JeremyHelm
@JeremyHelm 10 ай бұрын
3:53 all reality will be augmented reality… Already is… But without big brother who is quickly growing up, which is now what you call augmented
@JM-us3fr
@JM-us3fr 7 жыл бұрын
I'm down. I think we'll download our brains before most of these things though. I also doubt his timescales, but the creative imagining of the future is my kind of futurist. All these sci-fi movies and games that are essentially Jetson's copies are stupid and uninspired. The future will be far weirder than just the same world but shinier.
@DzaMiQ
@DzaMiQ 5 жыл бұрын
Exactly... As soon as we get the ability to connect minds with the internet, the biological era of humans will end. Why would you stay in your limited body anyway, when you basicaly know everything about everything and you can do anything you want. I think the singularity will occur just right when we do that. Deppends on what comes first the sentient AI or BCIs.
@JeremyHelm
@JeremyHelm 10 ай бұрын
8:04 2020 Oliver Tree
@CheechSander
@CheechSander 6 жыл бұрын
Counterpoint: Tide Pod challenge
@banurarich3854
@banurarich3854 4 жыл бұрын
This guy should be writing science fiction movies not giving lectures about reality...
@acdnan
@acdnan 6 жыл бұрын
He completely ignored nantechnology
@PoeRacing
@PoeRacing 6 жыл бұрын
If his talk were longer so he could drill down on the concepts then nanotech would certainly be under the 3d printers with a network of tubes transporting raw materials.
@ton1
@ton1 7 жыл бұрын
Nice ideas, No content.
@vulcan9482
@vulcan9482 6 жыл бұрын
Looks at comments section ...this is why aliens won't talk to us.
@sonofhendrix1618
@sonofhendrix1618 7 жыл бұрын
I pack boxes into boxes at a boxes factory, that has barely any automation, that is my full time job today in 2017 UK. I wish i could surf the internet all day or research or study.
@TOOOOOTIGHT
@TOOOOOTIGHT 5 жыл бұрын
ur time will come
@kaizakiarata9313
@kaizakiarata9313 3 жыл бұрын
What r u doing now? Just curious
@ElvenWisdom
@ElvenWisdom 6 жыл бұрын
This is NOT the ideal future for all. I get bored of technology...headaches from being online, and "tapped" in to the net all the time, give me Nature forever and silence within the forests. Use robots and technology in moderate amounts.
@migueldomingos4570
@migueldomingos4570 4 жыл бұрын
With the technologies he is describing when we reach that point of tech then you will probably be able to simulate a forest and you won''t even notice you are in a front of a screen.
@pakodiale6286
@pakodiale6286 4 жыл бұрын
What's scary is that he's saying all this with a straight face
@SkylordLuke
@SkylordLuke 7 жыл бұрын
I was with him..until he said you will have near LIGHT SPEED subways
@infinidominion
@infinidominion 7 жыл бұрын
and that thing about being on venus
@igorgonopolskiy
@igorgonopolskiy 7 жыл бұрын
My thought exactly!
@merlinthelemurian3197
@merlinthelemurian3197 7 жыл бұрын
yeah being on venus or mars for a vacation in 40 years is a bit of a stretch, maybe in 100 years
@sbastos01
@sbastos01 6 жыл бұрын
Seems a nightmare...
@bonvabriones
@bonvabriones 6 жыл бұрын
Skylord Luke maybe if you rent an avatar there? Lol
@keithjames753
@keithjames753 7 жыл бұрын
Pedro's predictions seem amazing, but the 20 year prediction of no more highways, and traveling at near light speeds throughout the planet, and to Venus seems like a bit of a stretch. I would be 68 years old at that time, and I have a hard to believing that people would give up their freedoms like having a convertible mustang, truck etc. I think that man will definitely hinder progress because we are spoiled with our current luxuries....
@confesorvalentin3687
@confesorvalentin3687 Жыл бұрын
Pedro needs to lay off star trek the next generation
@Kynareth6
@Kynareth6 2 жыл бұрын
I agree with him, but it will all take about twice as long to happen.
@leongooorg
@leongooorg 7 жыл бұрын
Big Brother will be controlling you, and you won't even know.
@DarkNinja-24
@DarkNinja-24 4 жыл бұрын
Yep, China is a good lesson for all of us.
@ud2hb4
@ud2hb4 7 жыл бұрын
Hey, this already happend, thats why we exist so a.i. can figure out what went wrong.
@wuwv-m8h
@wuwv-m8h 7 жыл бұрын
fascinating even if not completely true... who could even imagine youtube just 15 years ago ?
@BinuJasim
@BinuJasim 4 жыл бұрын
This is nuts. Let's see after 10 or 20 years! Mark 2027.
@justmightbeokay
@justmightbeokay 7 жыл бұрын
Your mum will be considered beautiful in 40-50 years time.
@gustavomartinez6892
@gustavomartinez6892 4 жыл бұрын
Pedro Domingos I don't know what is he talking about, but I'm certain that he really knows, one of the best books that I read.
@Desianimevibes1
@Desianimevibes1 2 ай бұрын
Now It's is 2024 age of AI started
@philt6800
@philt6800 2 жыл бұрын
Hrmm sounds too crazy the further he goes
@kameronwilliams7635
@kameronwilliams7635 7 жыл бұрын
Sounds good, but that's about it. Remember that we haven't even found a cure for baldness yet. Interest theory, though, even if it is a bit ambitious.
@matthewlake182
@matthewlake182 7 жыл бұрын
Yah, but we've not always had the tools available to do something about it. These days, we have the computing power, the tools like CRISPR, and maturing biotechnology like stem cells... A lot of what was done before took a LOT more time to test and implement than it does today.... and will take even less time in the future. So it's possibly we could see a huge amount of progress in a short time, because of the tools we now have.
@JM-us3fr
@JM-us3fr 7 жыл бұрын
Kameron Williams Bosley
@jkey2847
@jkey2847 6 жыл бұрын
Actually we already did already :)
@squamish4244
@squamish4244 6 жыл бұрын
Actually, they probably can cure baldness :P But this presentation is still full of a lot of unknowns.
@igoromelchenko3482
@igoromelchenko3482 2 жыл бұрын
Speech built as a fairytale :)
@facundomarino10
@facundomarino10 6 жыл бұрын
Remember how people in the 60's believed that future would be? This is like that.
@azuurasmr7937
@azuurasmr7937 2 жыл бұрын
Even being able to live past 100 with most of the years being healthy and youthful would be amazing...
@yunfeichen9255
@yunfeichen9255 7 жыл бұрын
Basically in 30 years we will become gods and immortal based on this guys logic....
@bryancable7764
@bryancable7764 6 жыл бұрын
30 years multiplied by 25,000 if you were listening
@ChispyReddit
@ChispyReddit 7 жыл бұрын
This is way too mindblowing.
@byronrudnik2621
@byronrudnik2621 6 жыл бұрын
Lots of Kool-Aid here.
@cardcode8345
@cardcode8345 6 жыл бұрын
I am gonna be the richest most powerful most athletic man with most interesting and focused man.The most genius man ever lived
@pamosioannidis8601
@pamosioannidis8601 3 жыл бұрын
Having the technology and the technology being widely available and adopted are three different things
@bspenn
@bspenn 6 жыл бұрын
In 200 years, people won't laugh at us for what we didn't know, but for the things we thought we knew.
@aifan6148
@aifan6148 6 жыл бұрын
Evolution decoupling from reproduction 👍
@CasperYourGhost
@CasperYourGhost 3 жыл бұрын
Oh boy you are so optimist
@bryancable7764
@bryancable7764 6 жыл бұрын
It's as if most of you commenting are forgetting the fact that he broke 40 years into 100,000 years, so as he goes into the future every 10 years is 25,000 years
@Martin-hn4jq
@Martin-hn4jq 7 жыл бұрын
He forgot some critical things. He gave an example of going on a date and altering the surroundings etc. What if one can't get a date. Due to having a restraining order for trying to get a date in the first place. Why not just skip the date and go straight for " the kill"? He left out sex robots, artificial humans/wombs, designer mates that comply with direct orders by the master and ones part man part machine capable of reproducing etc.
@merlinthelemurian3197
@merlinthelemurian3197 7 жыл бұрын
humans may deem many of the things you mention immoral and ban them, everything discussed in this talk is guaranteed to happen as long as progress continues at its current rate
@Rohankumar-dd2ss
@Rohankumar-dd2ss 6 жыл бұрын
In next 100 year, i will be dead.
@muhammedalghamdi4363
@muhammedalghamdi4363 4 жыл бұрын
Very optimistic, did you consider the Trump factor ??
@hedgehogthesonic3181
@hedgehogthesonic3181 7 жыл бұрын
Amazing !!
@brkuldeep
@brkuldeep 7 жыл бұрын
seriously ?
@hedgehogthesonic3181
@hedgehogthesonic3181 7 жыл бұрын
Yes
@brkuldeep
@brkuldeep 7 жыл бұрын
Alen Spyctaron proof ?
@Shivshankar-vh6tj
@Shivshankar-vh6tj 7 жыл бұрын
Basic Thought of Pedro match with possible evolution shared by Dr. Bruce Goldberg in his book and, collaborating with ETs. Michael Desmarquet, journalist shares his experience of 9 days at Thiaoouba Planet having much much advance technology.
@yokedupbra
@yokedupbra 7 жыл бұрын
I can believe the AR
@cardcode8345
@cardcode8345 6 жыл бұрын
We are going to create the future of super humans.Yah we are gonna be type 3 species and I am going to be the biggest pioneer of the future
@debankandas9511
@debankandas9511 5 жыл бұрын
this should happen for every human on earth.will it????
@cokecamilo
@cokecamilo 6 жыл бұрын
Speech outdated in 20 years? Rap music is here to stay, sorry.
@Maehedrose
@Maehedrose 6 жыл бұрын
Sounds interesting but I think you'll need to tack about 40-100 years onto the timeline of most (not all) of these predictions.
@Ronan1692
@Ronan1692 6 жыл бұрын
I used to think that the need for energy was mankind's biggest problem. But I now believe it is finding the systems that will allow us the all share that is are greatest challenge.
@shanemartin2491
@shanemartin2491 4 жыл бұрын
He is describing everything someone could want except the one thing no one wants to answer. How many people will be needed and how many people can this new world support?
@jimbartz1356
@jimbartz1356 7 жыл бұрын
I think this guy is off base in many of his assumptions. Illogical reasoning.
@DKD76
@DKD76 4 жыл бұрын
Whoa slow down world aint go that far in just decades
@julianpozzo6592
@julianpozzo6592 7 жыл бұрын
:)
@josseppie
@josseppie 6 жыл бұрын
Interesting look at a possible next 100 years. Most of which I agree with and at 44 the timetable fits my life.
@istvansipos9940
@istvansipos9940 6 жыл бұрын
perhaps. but not this soon
@joeyork9907
@joeyork9907 5 жыл бұрын
Great presentation! Ah, to be human, more or less.
@Dynamics556
@Dynamics556 4 жыл бұрын
Unlike 🤧
@debburton1
@debburton1 6 жыл бұрын
Satan comes as an angel of light.
@deeplearningpartnership
@deeplearningpartnership 4 жыл бұрын
Pretty cool.
@cardcode8345
@cardcode8345 6 жыл бұрын
I will change the world to make it better
@aliiogimioo8115
@aliiogimioo8115 5 жыл бұрын
Hahaha i hope you get the chance. And we all live in Utopia
@getsglobalengineering7723
@getsglobalengineering7723 6 жыл бұрын
Hard Facts
@killap3nguin
@killap3nguin 6 жыл бұрын
50 years for any of these things The medical field advances are snail pace. This guy hasn’t seen the small changes over the last 20 years
@brian_mcnulty
@brian_mcnulty 6 жыл бұрын
I don't believe this because I just watched a futurism lecture from the 80's with Stephen Hawking and Carl Sagan and they didn't think we'd go beyond a few years from then. This is no different. Its just the same rehashed and failed predictions those in the past have so inaccurately foresaw.
@javierfernandez1126
@javierfernandez1126 7 жыл бұрын
I'll paint you a different picture. In 50 years we will start to see the real effects of global warming in the world we were so focused exploiting and abusing for centuries to build "cool tech". We will not have much water an war and famine will be pretty common throughout the globe. Because of the way the economy is run, wealth and income inequality will be way worse than it has ever been, a tiny group of techies will control precisely what you see and hear and they will have so much money and power that revolting against them will me almost impossible. The common human being will be useless because everything will be replaced by automation done by a tiny group of giant companies, population size will keep increasing and most of us will live in tiny apartments paying huge amounts of money just for food and shelter. The use of antidepressants and opiods will generalize because of this and everyone of us, being thrown out of the economy, will start to either commit suicide or take huge amounts of drugs (like we see in mayor developed countries right now). In the end, the companies will probably give us some money just to keep consuming crap food and entertaining ourselves with wonderful show like "Keeping up with the Kardashians" and of course, the god ol' soccer. Don't believe any of the crap this guy is saying, they are just replacing religion with technology, talking about it as an all-applying cure for difficult and real problems, just like religion does.
@suncat9
@suncat9 7 жыл бұрын
In 50 years climate alarmists will be a footnote in history.
@SomoneOfNowhere
@SomoneOfNowhere 6 жыл бұрын
Javier Fernández There is all ready multiple solutions to climate change because of TECHNOLOGY.
@DugganSean
@DugganSean 6 жыл бұрын
Technology is the answer to climate change. And if we don't have work to do I'll be looking forward to answering the question "what do you do?" with something like "I cycle tour and mountain bike with my daughter and friends a lot, what do you do?" seems far better than saying I sit at a desk and fix computer problems.
@suncat9
@suncat9 6 жыл бұрын
There is no "answer" needed for climate change. The climate has ALWAYS been changing; in fact, it's impossible for it NOT to change. Mankind's contribution to climate change is statistically insignificant. The earth was far warmer, and CO2 levels far higher, long before man had an industrial civilization.
@SomoneOfNowhere
@SomoneOfNowhere 6 жыл бұрын
Michael Davidson True, earth goes through warming and ice age periods all the time. Climate change is based off THEORIES.
@Locrian08
@Locrian08 3 жыл бұрын
You'll be accelerated and decelerated to meaningful fractions of the speed of light in 'subways' without being crushed by the increase in gforce. I'm still waiting for all the stuff I was promised in the 80s, like a flying car and a casual trip to the moon.
@BGasperov
@BGasperov 6 жыл бұрын
Many things simply aren't going to happen, like immortality and near LIGHT speed subways.
@migueldomingos4570
@migueldomingos4570 4 жыл бұрын
Who knows?
@_mandelein
@_mandelein 7 жыл бұрын
first!!!
@عمر-ح1ف
@عمر-ح1ف 7 жыл бұрын
Mandelein Diaz second
@mephandr6479
@mephandr6479 7 жыл бұрын
Based on his rationality and predictions he'll be alive in 100 years, and we'll be able to go back and read these comments....However, reality is that the world could be close to destruction or destroyed by then, due to so much control greed and by weapons created by humans..yet he is not mentioning that.. and he wants us to believe all he talked about, which sounds interesting only for minds that want to do good work for humanity which are sadly the minority. His biggest miss in his talk is that he failed to realize that destructive humans minds have great impact in this planet. Yes ideally would be to have an AI superintelligence like in the movie Transcendence, but reality is different and he should watch one of the last videos from one of the best visionaries: Carl Sagan and his views on Nuclear wars and how the world is going to end because of it...that most likely will happen in about 100 years if things in this world continue the way they are going...
@duartewhitedog
@duartewhitedog 2 жыл бұрын
Lol no, the world is not going to end, every century humans think they are so special that they are going to be the last generation, spoiler aler, you're not. Technology has never affected the whole human race in a negative way. bUt wHaT aBoUt gUnS? Guns are the way we protect ourselves from predators. bUt What aBoUt NucLeAr wEaPons? Nuclear fission research for the building of atomic weapons has allowed us to no only stop giant wars forever ( assured mutual destruction etc etc) but also showed us how to make fusion reactors for incredibly clean energy
The Quest for the Master Algorithm | Pedro Domingos | TEDxUofW
19:21
🍉😋 #shorts
00:24
Денис Кукояка
Рет қаралды 3,5 МЛН
Шок. Никокадо Авокадо похудел на 110 кг
00:44
Why the majority is always wrong | Paul Rulkens | TEDxMaastricht
11:26
Whose stories are we living? | John Sautelle | TEDxCanberra
16:18
Industries Of The Future | Alec Ross | TEDxBaltimore
14:53
TEDx Talks
Рет қаралды 172 М.
The coming transhuman era: Jason Sosa at TEDxGrandRapids
15:38
TEDx Talks
Рет қаралды 281 М.