The Trap of Raise or Fold | Poker Hand Breakdown

[@coleferraro3182]

Can you show the solver charts ? Would really make this easier to follow and take in

[@thegroke4839]

I really enjoy hearing your thought process in these videos Phil. Detailed, informative and insightful. Thank you.

[@PhilGalfond]

Thank YOU! I appreciate hearing that it was helpful.

[@RealisticWonderKid]

The best Phil in poker

[@therealexquisiteexistentia4743]

At least top 2!

[@etech4857]

@@therealexquisiteexistentia4743 Phil is the best name in poker, at least.

[@j.sarnak1391]

Still loving the content. Thanks Phil

[@boogieboy75]

It would be helpful to see the solver screens as you discuss them

[@emphyriohazzl1510]

I wonder how a J river would have changed things. Not sure if the solver plays some 9T combos like this ever but I would expect so. Villain also has a slightly stronger river range and might fold a larger portion of his bluff catchers, so the shove might become less appealing?

[@joshua-nf3rx]

Phil your great and the info is beyond appreciated. I’m an average player but I’m great at finding players worse than me. I don’t think a solver takes into consideration that a poor player is likely to call pre flop raise k/7 off suite and 10/7 off suite . Hitting a 7 on the flop and a back door straight I can tel you most of the time the player will bet or call to the end 80 percent of the time. With this in mind the Q/j was much stronger from the beginning . The queen on the river will not scare a poor player .

[@dominictang9328]

When the board pairs OTT, "I think" hero has more boats than villain and this is why we can x-r the turn. We also punish villain more with a X-R vs leading. I just finished a chapter on playing the turn OOP after x-c the flop (from a certain Janda book nearly 10 years ago). I think (I could be wrong) but Janda and modern day solvers are doing similar things!!!

[@jackmac15]

What freq does solver flat A8s pre? If he's this loose pre the play post is better? Also with villians expanded loose range would X/C river be better?

[@bozapub3507]

Interesting! As usual we just pressing buttons and hoping for the best, without being result oriented even tho we can never see the variance runs out. So we better run good.

[@jonathangoldsmith7832]

When you get called on the river, you’re beat 60% of the time. Maybe the solver still shoves the river because the amount of money in the pot compared to stacks makes it a moot point, and it wins enough for the price?

[@Flowjunkie311]

I always wonder how many sizes we are giving solver to choose from and how much that makes a difference.

[@be6011]

Phil, as someone who's never used a solver, which one is best for beginners?

[@PhilGalfond]

A poker beginner or an experienced player who wants to start studying solvers? If the former, I'd say it's too early for solvers.

[@tavishmcdonell6615]

If the EV of check-folding river is zero, how can a negative EV river shove be better? I guess because villain doesn’t always bet river? I’m still cloudy on the river play.

[@dot333333]

Too good to be free... But while you're at it I'd love to hear your thoughts on soft vs hard exploits. Like when you have had a strong read on somebody, do you exploit to the max or do you slightly exploit so as not to tip them off and start a levelling war?

[@jaeshbalachandran5766]

It's very simple my friend. If you have a goose that lays you one golden egg a day, you don't kill it to find more eggs. Enjoy that one golden egg a day forever.

[@wachtwoord5796]

@@jaeshbalachandran5766 depends. Do other players (at the table but also in the player pool of this player) know of this leak too? If so, it's probably better to frontrun them before they exploit him to exhaustion (of the leak).

[@tomrichardson9799]

You should state if these videos are covering cash or tournament play.

[@etech4857]

Phil, I'm not sure how much, as Dwan said, "Phil Galfond, decided to teach everyone how to play poker. Now the games are harder." How much of the plan here is to help players become better and how much is it to gain more players? Complex question for the common player, even good ones. Is this in your business plan?

[@berdyderg900]

It's marketing, how smooth is your brain?

[@supremeleaderarmy9164]

@@berdyderg900 Having a bad day, please open up and tell us your life problems. I was once unhappy like u. I'm here for u

[@berdyderg900]

@@supremeleaderarmy9164 seems kind of disingenuous and superior but apologies if I'm wrong. his question was just super self-evident, sorry if you're the one actually upset here for whatever reason, these things are usually projection online

[@jamiealexander7065]

It is terrible for poker in general, no question.

[@davidecaramia8567]

Like in the dark

[@timbolimbo4447]

Great, one of the best in the world. Thats pro content for free. Love it 💸❤️

[@fredsmit3481]

Phil, I liked the video, and I love the solver comparison but please show what you are looking at with the solver! You have so much room on the screen to add the solver output in an overlay. Most people watch to see the poker and your analysis and not to see your face and your arms :-) Don't let your ego get in the way and shrink your face like picture in picture. Then you will have a lot more room to show the solver output. They say a picture is worth a thousand words. It would be much better for me, and I think most viewers to see one picture than to hear 1000 words explaining what you see. They way your describe what you see with the solver, leaves a fuzzy image in my mind. Then once I see what the solver is showing, your comments would make a lot more sense to me.

[@ekw555]

"our villain has used a non-solver size on both the flop & the turn . . . " I suspect that is because . . . . no one actually plays like the solver. 🤣 (no one the typical player is going to encounter, anyway).

[@blackopal3138]

hEY, Phil. Solver could use a personality quotient, randomly attached to villains, would you agree?. The spots where you disagree with the solver, I think you both make different decisions based on your opponent. Turn for eg., That spot is totally dependent on your opponents proclivities. If one is to take full advantage of ev..... That's one problem with solvers, the other is they don't continue narratives from round to round. Each round is a new set of permutations, and what your opponent did on the previous round doesn't factor. The previous bet might factor on some, but not the previous whole hand strategy. Idk if that is coming out too clear, but when you talk about, 'well, if he WAS doing this on the flop, or if he would do that with his range..' etc., the solver is not doing that, correct? It's saying, ok, here's what I have, here's what the board is, this is what the odds are... prepared to be wrong, but I don't see how it could do that. Peace

[@richardplester]

I just can't see what value hands we're expecting to fold out on the turn with the check-raise? We're happy to race against semi bluffed straight draws and how many second pairs does villain have played like this? Maybe we get some better flush draws to fold but there can't be that many out there with our blockers and villain just flatting pre? (A-rag suited is possible as we see villain flats with that, but who folds the nut flush draw?) Gotta go with Phil vs the Solver on this one

[@richghost2897]

A7s or AQ with As is my guess