2025 Oscar Predictions - Craft Categories | November 2024

[@rohithmoolakatt9256]

respect that you went back to the side by side because of the comments. idk its just nice

[@guysimchony309]

It’s fascinating how The Substance is either gonna REALLY happen or not gonna happen at all. Comes out where I live in 2 weeks, can’t wait

[@harmenmoes9138]

i think there is an third paith and that’s just makeup

[@adrianhaynes5315]

It’s the best film I’ve seen this year; Anora second best, Dune2 third

[@ejsmovietalk2388]

It's not going to happen. A great great and crazy cult feeling movie but it would be a miracle if it gets any recognition from The Academy.

[@monkeyangelo717]

The first half is excellent but my girlfriend and I agreed that the second half is kind of a mess 😅

[@guysimchony309]

@@monkeyangelo717 please no more details 🙏

[@ethancooney3331]

The Brutalist absolutely deserves Cinematography. It's gorgeous. And I think its chances are also boosted with the VistaVision narrative.

[@roman-cq1si]

babe wake up, oscar expert dropped!!!

[@naeemdollie6836]

are they like a religious duo ... brother bro !! what is that all about . cool dudes

[@veras2902]

I loved how you played the few seconds of the song in the video, you should do this more. Probably a lot of more editing but if you'd also show like a production design shot, that would be so cool.

[@GareBare90]

Thank you for your services, Twins. I love y'all, even the cat ❤

[@beqamarsagishvili6988]

Cinematography in Maria is brilliant and should be nominated also its costume design is incredible.

[@schmortyy]

And when Caroline Polachek performs 'Starburned and Unkissed' live at the Oscars before winning the award then what

[@Lamidemonami7891]

Not even the best song in the movie

[@MTheWho6]

I think A Real Pain should be in the 15 for Editing, if not the top 10. I can see it getting into Editing and being win-competitive for Picture and Screenplay too, in addition to Culkin, pulling a CODA.

[@kylejohnson4615]

The Wicked surge after sitting in these comments the last few months saying it was gonna work is so vindicating 😭

[@damdaniel5106]

Agreed. Everyone is finally joining the party!

[@dayvaughnmonroe9540]

Right!

[@yeahiagree1070]

everything i have seen from that film looks ugly as hell

[@jbjob2218]

@@yeahiagree1070 because it is not the final looks a lot of people confirm about it

[@dayvaughnmonroe9540]

@ which is funny cuz you havent seen it yet

[@joser1853]

an hour video for the tech categories... thank you!

[@haemaincinema6331]

Democracy died in America but lives on Oscar Expert channel

[@slimnave4846]

Lol - ya when a majority of people vote for one candidate over the other, clearly democracy is dead.

[@dsp8363]

Trump by landslide! Hope Stan gets nominated somewhere.

[@haemaincinema6331]

@@dsp8363 I am actually wondering if The Apprentice will get some additional attention from award voters just because of the election results XD

[@tonyg76]

Neither side cares about democracy. Also this is a movie channel, not a political one!

[@tonyg76]

@hae no interest in a trump movie before or after the election. 🤮

[@CallumMyers1995]

I hope Nosferatu gets some love at the Oscars. Haven’t seen it yet obviously but the trailer and the early reactions makes me confident about its chances and more excited to see it in the cinema. Also the best that I think Joker 2 could do is Cinematography, Hair & Make-Up and Best Original Song for Folie A Deux.

[@Sharpe1502]

I love how slowly and begrudgingly y’all are starting to put Wicked into your predictions. It’s happening guys. It’s going to be huge in techs. Just predict it for everything. Get it over with.

[@gracefulgrizzly39]

I'm going to write a movie called "Editing" about editing that has a lot of editing for the sole purpose of winning best editing.

[@lorcan545]

Michal Dymek, who shot The Girl with the Needle, also shot A Real Pain this year. Camer Image festival hasn’t happened yet. He’s Polish, he’s sure to be heavily celebrated there, so it’s easily conceivable he begins to be looked at like Lukas Zal.

[@Lamidemonami7891]

The work is unfortunately nowhere close to Zal’s. The Girl with the Needle is a pretty underwhelming film visually in spite of its B&W

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

A couple of notes on the recent Grammy 2025 nominations: 1. Challengers just got nominated for score. Although so did Dune Part 2 🤔 2. Right now, I don't see it, but... Ain’t No Love In Oklahoma [From “Twisters: The Album”] just got in for Original Song. Just my two cents for now. Excellent take on the tech categories.

[@wavy5839]

actually cole, jacques audiard has clarified the actors do in fact sing live in emilia perez and that’s evident when you’ve seen the movie vs listening to the soundtrack that just dropped on streaming

[@13frank13]

Yes! There are clear differences. I feel like the songs in the movie sound more raw and passionate. Great soundtrack too!

[@alechats5184]

selena gomez stans have found the oscar expert

[@patriciascolafeleppa5542]

Pat Scola, for Sing Sing should be nominated for Cinematography. If your saying Nickel Boys deserves the nomination that so does Pat Scola. Nickel Boys is a extremely similar to his style in Sing, Sing, We Grown Now, and Pig . The images from the trailer are some of the same Scola uses in Sing, Sing. The out stretched hand, the face close ups, the shots of the beautiful scenery outside of Sing, Sing with the train tracks, ect... I think you need to take a look at Sing Sing again and choose for the right reason not because you think that it should win. I just sayin.

[@hm2011100]

Love the brotherly bickering re Challengers for Original Score. And Brother Bro’s silent statement with the shirt🫡

[@naimurrahmanporag]

there's something to be said about me leaving a comment about The Substance under every vid so far so, the most optimistic scenario- BP, Director, Actress, Supp Actress, Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Sound, Score, Makeup, Visual effects most likely- BP, Actress, Screenplay, Sound, Makeup

[@marcochen9117]

The oscar expert's impressions always crack me up, el mal lmao

[@lizwithoutbuildings]

A Different Man might mostly be one thing but then again, so was Poor Things. I also have it getting nominated for makeup. I also have Better Man winning VFX which might be insane, but it's one of those bizarre gut feelings I have.

[@cm5575]

It’s mad the confusion with Dune 2 score ineligibility. GoldDerby even completely removed it from its predictions for score.

[@oskari7121]

Emilia Perez missing Best Film Editing nomination is something I know in my gut will happen. Kind of like Barbie last year.

[@reecejennings9637]

Exactly how I feel. Had it at #2 for a bit, but now I just can't imagine it getting in. Think The Substance makes a greater case for an out there editing choice, and I think Brutalist, Anora, Conclave and Dune Part II are just automatically there by default

[@DanielRester]

I could see A Complete Unknown getting the editing and sound combo like Sound of Metal

[@cedvu]

I started playing the Challengers score while watching you guys debate whether or not the Challengers score has a shot to get nominated, and it was as riveting as the film

[@purekinema]

Anora for editing depends on whether Oscar votes think it was a good choice for Baker to let the invasion and search scenes drag on as long as they did. Many people seem to love those scenes. I did not, they dragged like crazy and were the worst part of the movie for me. I think Oscar voters will be on my side.

[@patriciascolafeleppa5542]

Sing Sing should also be nominated for best picture and you believed that but because A25 lack of distribution you allowed it to fall behind and not promote it any longer.

[@piadox]

For original song, Lin Manuel Miranda is doing Mufasa so I have that in instead of Better Man.

[@ReviewsOnReels]

Better Man is def not just '1 ape'. He ages through the film and the dance sequences use a lot of visual effects. Don't sleep on that.

[@manassinghbhati6]

We'll probably find out in a few weeks, but what do y'all think about Wicked in the Best Original Score category? It sounds really promising (from what I can gather from socials and their website), and since there isn't an Original Song, they could focus more of their energy for getting John Powell his second nom. I'm just surprised that barely anyone is even considering this.

[@TheOscarExpert]

Most of the time musicals get nominated it's for original musicals and not adaptations, but I guess it should be looked out for, maybe there is something there.

[@manassinghbhati6]

@@TheOscarExpert Ah, that makes sense. Thanks for the reply, and awesome video!

[@nicoleann0703]

I agree totally about the score for The Brutalist and can't wait to hear it for myself/see the film. As a photographer hobbyist, I would also love to see it win cinematography too, personally. (I'm partial to the Emilia Perez soundtrack as well... It will be interesting to see who wins).

[@mati.p172]

18:50 "Emilia Perez" is gonna be hated at the BAFTA's and they'll only nominate Saldaña

[@emmybm15]

Thank you for at the very least now, seeing the potential of "Wicked" ❤ For me the musical has been in my life for about 8 years, (when I first saw it on stage in the West End) for others it's 20 years, if there's anyone who was going to be critical about the films finally coming out, it was us. Every trailer I have seen, I have cried. I get the fact it is a two parter people were going to be like "why?" We were the same! My favourite songs are in act two and I am annoyed that I have to wait a year to see them on screen but I will, because it seems worth it. I am genuinely scared that we are only days away because I have hyped it up in my head so much 😅 Sorry for the long comment 💚💗💎🐐

[@cinematicenergy6631]

Hey you two! I am a HUGE fan and have been following the channel for years now. I have an interesting question for you both. Since "A Complete Unknown" is not being released until Christmas, and it did not appear at any fall festivals, how will the movie perform at the Golden Globes since the nominations are December 9th? You both currently have the movie predicted for a Best Actor - Drama nomination, and Brother Bro, you have it predicted for a Best Supporting Actor nomination. With very few critics and other people having seen the movie before it is released, how can it secure those nominations? I personally do not predict the movie to receive any Golden Globes recognition. Thanks for all that the two of you do! I would love to hear back from you!!!

[@danielchampion5264]

my favorite movie of CHIFF was “the end”, i dont think it could get anything else but i would love to see it in best song, maybe the one thats in the trailer

[@mackinjosh]

do you think Emilia Perez has a chance to drop off significantly with all the hate and divisiveness it's gonna (and already has) receive? people already comparing it to crash. do you think it drops off in director/screenplay and makes room for ramell ross/coralie

[@gracefulgrizzly39]

Remember when y'all were predicting Supremes at Earl's All You Can Eat? Did not age well...

[@nigelbrigden4364]

I saw The Brutalist at my local film festival, and I can say the opening sequence of the film is stunning. Definitely wouldn't complain if it wins cinematography.

[@megamoviez]

I rewatched The Substance on Mubi last night and do NOT underestimate it for sound. There’s some otherworldly sound design in there.

[@TheHannahcast]

Loved the video! I love the below the line stuff. Okay, time to get crazy. Here's my case for Beetlejuice 2 winning Production Design, because JESUS it could actually win. Lemme break down the stats (strictly in production design). * Number of Tim Burton films nominated: 4 (Batman, Sleepy Hollow, Sweeney Todd, Alice in Wonderland) * Number of Tim Burton films that won: 4 * Number of Tim Burton films that won off of precursors: 1 (Sleepy Hollow) Even Batman didn't win at BAFTA and they loved Batman so much to where they nominated Jack Nicholson for Supporting Actor. * Number of Tim Burton films that only won Production Design: 3 (Batman, Sleepy Hollow, and Sweeney Todd) * Number of Tim Burton films that won Production Design off that being its only nomination: 2 (Batman, Sweeney Todd) None of these were Best Picture nominees. It is true that the first Beetlejuice didn't get nominated, but the sequel just has waaaay more sets. There's a train station, a mail office, even the contemporary sets in the land of the living stick out in a unique way, like this art gallery. Also, Beetlejuice isn't going to be Babylon, because unlike Babylon, people actually DID like Beetlejuice AND it made more money than it was anticipated to make. Sure, Beetlejuice would never be in the Best Picture conversation, but it's better to be a film everyone already knew wasnt going to be a Best Picture contender than being a Best Picture disappointment. Sorta like Cruella in that sense. No one had high expectations, so it can avoid any rambling articles about "what went wrong". Babylon might be more likely to get more Best Picture nominations from those who like it, but Beetlejuice is more likely to have broad appeal from everyone. Also, while it is true that a Tim Burton film has not been nominated for Production Design since Alice in Wonderland, think about Burton's recent filmography. Beetlejuice 2 is by far the most Tim Burton-y film we've seen since Frankenweenie. Everything else like Big Eyes, Ms. Peragrine's Home for Peculiar Children, and Dumbo have more of a corporate hand to them that doesn't let Tim Burton just do his thing. The sets don't FEEL like true Tim Burton sets. This has been hailed as a return to form for Tim Burton, and i honestly think the only thing stopping Beetlejuice from winning is simply if it doesnt get nominated. Tim Burton seems to break so many stats when it comes to winning this category to the point where he's become his own stat, and considering this is way more acclaimed than Alice in Wonderland, it carries a lot less critical baggage.

[@RobertBurns71405]

I for one love Kiss The Sky from Wild Robot, it touched me personally and I have listened to it repeatedly since it was released!

[@chucho_qmp]

Noooo, I did love the new (now defunct) setup 😭😭😭

[@stephenlambros3286]

I believe the song that would show up for Twisters would be "Out of Oklahoma" by Lainey Wilson instead of "Ain't No Love in Oklahoma."

[@steve9833]

Please let "Kiss The Sky", be nominated just to irritate the Oscar Expert.

[@crazydouglasb]

Honestly, I think Wicked and The Substance are messing up the predictions right now. I can't take it seriously.

[@marianne5055]

If Kiss the Sky doesnt get nominated for Best Song, I'll rage.

[@Jessie75x]

Really really hope The Room Next Door gets score. Its beyond beautiful and memorable unlike Emilia Perez and Dune 2 can't remember a single note from them

[@danielmalchovichcorleone4031]

Don't sleep on Pedro Páramo surprising with an ASC nom, and gets in like El Conde. I know is not as stunning like El Conde or Bardo, but still is Rodrigo Prieto, and it has amazing camera work, something to be considered!

[@alanalan-tc8no]

For me best cinematography this year is the italian movie Vermiglio thanks to the work of Mikhail Krichman

[@rocco3605]

I am not ready for Inside Out 2 to be snubbed in everything except Best Animated Feature and probably not even win that. ;-; Beyond from Moana 2 sounds like a really good song from what I’ve heard, though (I like to experience the songs in a musical film *in full* for the first time during the actual movie). It’s definitely the Let It Go/How Far I’ll Go/Into the Unknown of the movie. also 500th like yay

[@frank8738]

The Substance deserves a score nom

[@benjamintillema3572]

Love the movie but the score is all over the place at the end and not in a good way.

[@ScottVanWell]

The absolute guarantee that I am calling now since I seen the movie is the substance winning best makeup however it should be nominated for a few other categories as well Demi Moore for best actress if not best picture as well

[@CinematicDiva]

Love this ♥️

[@zachclark3519]

not putting challengers in score is ABSURD

[@AnxiousMumblecore]

It's not really. It seems it won't be Oscar player in other categories and that type of score is not in line with usual choices of this branch. Sounds like snub that will be obvious in retrospect to me.

[@SlenWash]

I'm still not convinced that The Substance can be nominated for anything outside of Makeup and Hairstyling. I REALLY liked The Substance but I just don't see it.

[@danielmalchovichcorleone4031]

Maybe just maybe Demi Moore, but that's it! People are getting they hopes high, but The Academy just won't touch it outside those 2 categories. It will be a miracle if it has the luck to enter the picture 10. It's my favorite of the year by far, but man we have to be realistic.

[@eyesoneverything9142]

@@danielmalchovichcorleone4031 Honestly, I don't even think it's because of the genre. It just wasn't that good of a movie. What was that ending? LOL. I the premise was good, first half had me engaged, the second half tanked. If Toni Collette couldn't get a much deserved Oscar nom, I don't think Demi is getting one.

[@singstreetcar5881]

Blitz is not happening this award season. People are disappointed by how safe the movie is especially coming from a director like steve mcqueen who is know for taking risks

[@benjamintillema3572]

Saw it yesterday. Definitely messy and inelegant at times but it's still beautifully shot and it has its moments. If it got a cinematography nom I wouldn't be upset. I would be upset if it got editing though because it might be the clunkiest films I've seen in a while.

[@tonyg76]

lol. Blitz is better than anora, dune part 2, sing sing, conclave. Should win best picture!

[@thefilmseeker]

@@tonyg76 L take after L take...

[@ClarksCreek]

I'm someone who likes the Wizard of Oz prequel Oz: The Great and Powerful starring my all-time favorite actor Michelle Williams. Wicked doesn't look particularly appealing to me, but I plan to see it, so I guess I've accepted it into my life. Speaking of widely reviled films that I enjoy, I have loved all five entries in the SPUMC thus far (two of which starred Michelle as well) and very much anticipate liking Kraven the Hunter.

[@jmakowsky7715]

I heard that Scott Mantz say an A24 rep told him that they will be campaigning Sing Sing

[@minchin6924]

fyi, score rules changed after the last star wars to stop that happening in the future

[@baraka92]

I just don’t see the Robbie Williams monkey biopic getting 2 noms. I can picture that at the Baftas though.

[@DurpyKraken]

I would much rather Nosferatu be campaigned for than Wicked tbh. It looks like they both have many aspects that could take noms for techs. I def prefer the more stylized movie vs the over cgi disney looking movie

[@friendlypup5650]

Even though it’s stacked, it’s tough for me to imagine Nosferatu missing production design. It does look massive in the same way Sweeney Todd did (won). Maybe if take out the brutalist for that

[@ploshoploshm1582]

Wicked is part 1 because it is adaption the novel instead of the musical, so this film adaptation is gonna have more detail. Wicked being a part 1 makes sense similar to Dune part 1.

[@BenPaz]

Iirc the disqualification score percentage thing happened right after Star Wars was getting those noms a couple of years ago so that's the answer to the question.

[@Kilamanola]

Having seen Deadpool & Wolverine, no freaking way it gets Visual Effects, the hand stuff is the most impressive part of the visual effects but they are not enough to overshadow some very obvious blemishes on the effects.

[@mrsrdan]

Challengers just got a grammy nomination

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

Very well deserved

[@haroldandmod]

Girl with the needle seems undeniable the problem is the studio isn’t as strong

[@bronsonhatch]

Challengers’ score was nominated for a Grammy!!!! Also Compress/Repress is probably the only original song that’s memorable from this year and I’ve seen 48 of this years releases.

[@seansanguinet3822]

I have the boldest take. I think Nosferatu is getting in for picture. I don't think it'll win, but I think the Oscars will come out for it.

[@singstreetcar5881]

Emelia perez is giving me may December. Hyped up at the beginning but got side lined towards the end

[@ad-sd-vids5332]

The Oscars aren’t cool enough to nominate the substance for best picture and loads of techs

[@benjamintillema3572]

People made similar arguments about Everything Everywhere All at Once

[@Mai-jt6us]

The new oscars loved EEAAO and poor things.

[@israelhanssen846]

To answer your question: Why did Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker get nominated for best original score and Dune Part 2 might not be eligible for a nomination because it might be using more than 20% of the score from the first movie. This rule that franchise films and sequels must include and minimum of 80% new music first took effect four years ago, the year after The Rise of Skywalker came out. Many believe this rule was put in place because John Williams got nominated for all three Star Wars sequels (The Force Awakens, The Last Jedi and The Rise of Skywalker) where he uses a lot of the same music in all three films.

[@bradysmith4405]

Not that it really makes that big a difference but Saturday Night moved up slightly on metacritic, it’s at 63 now

[@tthemonsterr]

First time agreeing with lil bro and it’s about The Substance 😭🙏

[@waynedexter]

Thank you for consistently championing “The Nickel Boys”.

[@signatureroles]

Ed Lachman is a monumental genius cinematographer, I think he’ll win - he’s old as dirt now and has never won. It’s a career award.

[@AdnanKhan-xq4kh]

Dune 2, Wicked & Gladiator 2 will lead this categories

[@adrianhaynes5315]

Kiss The Sky for the win! I liked Even When I’m Not equally too ☺️

[@98LucasFG]

I’m SO angry with all the support behind Emilia Perez, I finally watched it and felt it was so all over the place, and specially this year that I’m Still Here is actually on the race (I’m Brazilian) and is our first movie to do that in 25 years. I just can’t believe Emilia Perez is the frontrunner to win International Feature 😫 In 1999 we lost with Central Station but it was for the great italian film (Life is Beautiful), but I don’t even think Emilia Perez is close to I’m Still Here (which ranks in the top 10 movies of the year on Letterboxd with a 4.3 score, Emilia Perez has a 3.3 score… ☠️)

[@fentyfuls]

Wish netflix campaigned Bienvenida instead of Mi Camino for best original song its the better Selena song imo.

[@mamazakanatalakaya]

I just watched Emilia Perez and lol. El Mal is way more relevant to the story than Mi Camino. And it’s even more entertaining

[@travisspazz1624]

Just like Flower Moon, I think that 3 + hour run time is going to hold The Brutalist back. Still think Dune is the frontrunner in most tech categories.

[@Lamidemonami7891]

People thought Flower Moon was boring- no one is going to think The Brutalist is boring

[@bearwoody]

Not only will I not see Wicked, I'll never see any movie with CE. I could be wrong, but she's never apologized??? What an egoist. Just the thought of seeing her onscreen makes me nauseously pessimistic

[@dgrancastillo]

Guys, what if Blitz is some sort of Nightmare Alley? Like some irrelevant noms here and there, almost everyone think is dead and then it gets costumes, prod design, cinematography aaaaaand best picture

[@veras2902]

Lin-Manuel Miranda is writing songs for Mufasa, have some faith! And do we really think that they will just keep nominating Diane Warren?

[@yellowgal06]

I wonder if you guys are overestimating The Substance.

[@ShoeDog-12345]

Lin Manuel Miranda is doing the songs for Mufasa

[@stephenjames4098]

Will you guys predict BAFTA?

[@ausowmea7390]

Are you actionly telling me that ariana deserves an oscar😂😂😂

[@jbjob2218]

yes why not?

[@ausowmea7390]

@jbjob2218 ive seen the trailer and i think even on her nickoledeon period she was better (with all my respect)

[@crazydouglasb]

Everyone said the same thing about The Batman score and it didn't happen. 1:03:50

[@dayoftheweak]

erm... so what i'm hearing is Megalopolis underdog

[@Dragic27]

Tf? They combined the sound categories?

[@connorstevens8020]

Dude why u gotta diss Maren Morris likes that?!!

[@stevewoon6157]

It seems like you guys basically look down and ignore baby girl 🤷‍♂️

[@Jonas-qr5tf]

you two are ridiculous, always snubbing the Brazilian film I'm still here. You clearly don't know about cinema, and you favor films that are trending. An example of this is our film winning the trophy for best adapted screenplay in Venice, and it didn't even appear on their lists. Respect Fernanda Torres and respect our history

[@Jonas-qr5tf]

In the last video, you said that Fernanda Torres who worked at the central station, however, was your mother Fernanda Montenegro. Get better...

[@ashpie296]

The Substance isn't happening and I'm over listening about it.

[@millmaster413]

Anora had some of the worst editing ever why would it be nominated

[@trediaz4012]

Alien Romulus for anything?

[@pb.j.1753]

lol