FINAL 2024 Oscar Nomination Predictions!!

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[@ad-sd-vids5332]

How they did- Picture- 10/10 Director- 4/5, triet instead of Payne Actor- 5/5 Actress- 4/5, benning instead of Robbie Sup actress- 4/5, ferrera instead of huller Sup actor- 4/5, brown instead of dafoe Original screenplay- 5/5 Adapted screenplay- 4/5, zone instead of killers Cinematography- 4/5- el conde instead of zone Editing- 4/5, poor things instead of Barbie PD- 4/5, napoleon instead of zone Costume- 5/5 Makeup - 5/5 Score- 3/5, Indy and AF instead of spiderverse and zone Sound- 3/5, mission and creator instead of Ferrari and killers Visual effects- 4/5, Godzilla instead of Indy Animated- 4/5, robot instead of tmnt Docu- 3/5 International- 2/5 Song 4/5 La short- 3/5 Docu short- 3/5 Animated short- 2/5

[@nickxyx2879]

We wait for this video the whole year!

[@BrettD2013]

This and the video of them screaming when the actual noms come out!

[@pdgf]

Righhhhttttt 😂😂😂

[@eliasjohansson2195]

Yea😂

[@Eljettto1877]

And now we begin waiting for the next one

[@jus1062]

That’s exactly what I said we I got the notification lol

[@enightchang4266]

0:22 Picture 6:15 Director 11:15 Actor 16:26 Actress 21:06 Supporting Actress 29:43 Supporting Actor 33:49 Original Screenplay 35:57 Adapted Screenplay 36:58 Cinematography 39:33 Editing 41:25 Production Design 43:18 Costume Design 45:16 Makeup and Hairstyling 46:55 Score 49:15 Sound 53:02 Visual Effects 1:01:06 Animated Feature 1:04:18 Documentary Feature 1:06:52 International Feature 1:08:03 Original Song 1:09:10 Live Action Short 1:12:28 Documentary Short 1:14:11 Animated Short

[@bojackboys]

thanks

[@Wesleyminaker]

MVP🙏🏻

[@bngln1712]

​@@Wesleyminaker Go Barbenheimer! 💖🖤

[@CeliniacForLife]

Thank you because they were doing too much talking and this video was entirely too long.

[@farisraza1902]

If Anatomy of a Fall was up against the Zone of Interest in the international category, it would have been an amazing race

[@bpure2560]

Anatomy of a Fall wasn't submitted by the French committee. They submitted The Taste of Things instead.

[@davidquiroga2567]

​@@bpure2560that's why it says "it would have been an amazing race"

[@pb.j.1753]

@@bpure2560That‘s why it says „If Anatomy of a Fall was up against…“

[@freja201]

i think anatomy would have won

[@bpure2560]

I know what it says. I can read. 😒I was posting that information for those who didn't know that it wasn't submitted in the International category. @@pb.j.1753

[@criss8836]

Actor 5/5 Actress 4/5 Supporting Actress 4/5 Supporting Actor 4/5 Original Screenplay 5/5 Adapted Screenplay 4/5 Director 4/5 Movie 10/10 Good job guys!!! Good luck to all the nominees!!!

[@seankoontz4235]

They did well, but the “5 out of 5” confidence in adapted screenplay is hilarious

[@felipesilvagonzalez1981]

The Society of The Snow with 4 nominations? I would cry fr

[@106andie]

My favorite part of Oscar Nominations day are the surprise noms.. hopefully there’s some Tuesday.

[@dusterrant9332]

That and said reaction to surprise noms. The more surprising the better.

[@noseofsauron236]

Oh there will be. Man, I miss the To Leslie debacle from last year

[@felipecarvalho316]

This year’s acting categories are INSANE

[@freja201]

i think leading actress is locked. it's the other three categories that are up in the air until tuesday

[@felipecarvalho316]

@@freja201 I think is the most locked, but I don’t think is impossible especially Greta Lee knocking out someone who is NOT margot Robbie

[@freja201]

@@felipecarvalho316 if Greta knocks Sandra out I’m killing myself

[@poett8875]

I agree. If Lee was to knock someone out, I don’t think it would be Robbie. Plot Twist: Neither one got in😭

[@rebekahp4083]

I’m so excited!!!!

[@rick0223]

still believe that joe hisaishi will sneak in the best score simply for his achievements and the score itself, just finished zone of interest, mica levi’s score is fucking haunting and amazing, wish it could be nominated yet I think oscar voters might not notice such low-key work since the film not heavily rely on the score for every scene.

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

It's interesting how May December started strong (even getting into AFI and Globes) but then fizzled out. The Color Purple started and ended weak. Oppenheimer has been able to maintain its frontrunner status. And then we have a movie like The Holdovers which was was doing good to begin but has been increasing strength as the season goes on. Can't wait for the Oscar nominations!

[@davidmckesey7119]

The movie sucks

[@CalRoberts-gx3jt]

Todd Haynes is too weird & controversial for the Oscars

[@brettsinger9565]

​@@CalRoberts-gx3jt I would attribute it more to being a Netflix release. Those films are extreme all-or-nothing in the awards circuit.

[@CalRoberts-gx3jt]

@brettsinger9565 You might have a point but also seriously avant garde directors don't get a lot of support with the Oscars Carol was smothered in BAFTA, Golden Globe & Critics Choice nominations, yet it missed out at Oscar because of its non-linear narrative & also the idea of a lesbian cougar dating an innocent, aspergic Church girl obviously put voters off

[@brettsinger9565]

@CalRoberts-gx3jt Or maybe 2015 was a very competitive year in which it was almost anyone's race to lose? I followed that Oscar race fanatically that year and sometimes there's a simpler explanation than politics.

[@seankoontz4235]

I’m still doing Cillian Murphy number 1 for Actor but God, it’s close. You guys were ahead of the curve having Giamatti number 1 in August!

[@rebekahp4083]

I think the other thing that’s working for Jodie Foster is that she’s not just getting attention for Nyad, but that she’s also the star of the new True Detective season and has a lot more eyes on her for that as well. I think that Matthew McConaughey definitely got a boost for his Oscar win by having True Detective premier at the same time that Oscar voting was happening. Update post nominations: True Detective and Oscar correlation is my new favorite conspiracy theory.

[@pb.j.1753]

No one cares what the actors are doing in TV.

[@thefilmseeker]

Hmmm, between that and Mahershala Ali's second win, there might be some unspoken connection between Oscar buzz and starring on True Detective at the same time...

[@rebekahp4083]

@@thefilmseeker That is also an excellent example! I definitely think it’s more of an example of correlation over causation, but being in a high profile and highly respected character drama like True Detective seems to bode well for the actors that are also in the conversation for critically acclaimed film roles….

[@thefilmseeker]

@@rebekahp4083 Oh it's 100% correlation over causation, I just thought it was a funny observation.

[@rebekahp4083]

@@thefilmseeker Oh 100%you’re so right. Since we are taking this and running with it though, even for season 2 of True Detective (by far the most controversial) Rachel McAdams was nominated for her to this date only Oscar nomination in Spotlight.

[@eyesoneverything9142]

Dominic Sessa won the Critics Choice "Rising Star" and received a BAFTA nomination. I think he has a better chance than Charles Melton at this point. The Holdovers is catching momentum as more people are watching it. And I'll never forget Lakeith Stanfield's last minute Oscar nomination. I could see Sessa pulling through for an Oscar nom, more so hoping for it lol

[@pb.j.1753]

Melton has been dead in the race for a while now, thank god

[@martin3980]

sucks cause Melton delivered a way better performance than Sessa.

[@freja201]

@@martin3980 he did but both of them delivered better performances than the locks lol. and milo was better than all of them, including melton

[@freja201]

i personally think it will be both poor things guys at the end. or one of them and sterling k brown. but if a newcomer gets in it's dominic, not charles.

[@dariussalepetru6770]

@@pb.j.1753 I was predicted Melton over Ruffalo

[@Anne_Elizabeth]

10 for 10 on Best Picture predictions! Well done!

[@LeroyBickerstaff4]

Here to tell everyone I told you so about El Conde. Rule #1: DO NOT DISMISS THE BLACK AND WHITE CINEMATOGRAPHY ON OSCAR MORNING!

[@jamielee7943]

CILLIAN MURPHY & Oppenheimer!!!! Let them win everything I beg of the Oscar gods. 🙌🙏😃

[@felipecarvalho316]

The thing about Penelope Cruz, is not only she got in with parallel mothers when she wasn’t predicted, every nomination she’s got(including her win) was for a weak film with no more than one or two noms. Volver she was a single nominee, VCB she won being the film’s single nomination, nine was TOTALLY dead and she still got in, and with parallel mothers, even with kind of a shocking nomination the secret ballots were praising her left and right, she could easily have gotten this nomination without sag, wich reminded voters at the perfect time she was a viable option

[@tomgleeson813]

I disagree, quite a few people were predicting her for Parallel Mothers - she was the passion pick and it prevailed. I don’t think this year is comparable to that. Also, Ferrari is likely to get craft nominees, at least sound.

[@manantial773]

@@tomgleeson813 What you disagree on?! Parallel Mothers algo got a craft nomination - Score.

[@tomgleeson813]

@@manantial773I said I disagree that no one was predicting she would get a nom for PM

[@VinelSeason]

Guys I just saw The Zone of Interest. Loved it

[@davy209]

What I’m really hoping for is that Japan gets representation at the Oscars. They have so many great movies out last year with Godzilla: Minus One, The Boy and the Heron, Suzume, and Perfect Days, and I would love to see all of those four films at least get one nomination!

[@pb.j.1753]

And they picked the one film for International Film that was directed by a white German guy lol

[@Little1Cave]

For the first time in Oscar history, THREE Japanese films are nominated for Oscars! 👍👍

[@purekinema]

Mark Ruffalo looks very weak after the BAFTA snub. I think Sterling K Brown or Sessa (with The Holdovers strength) definitely get in over him.

[@kalinaevreva7424]

The academy loves Penelope Cruz, so she is definetly the dark horse in the race for Supporting actress

[@tml184]

no nomination

[@kalinaevreva7424]

@@tml184 yep, very sad, honesty, America Fererra's nomination is a joke

[@seankoontz4235]

@kalinaevreva7424 It’s a (mostly) weak lineup tbh

[@aagold76]

Lily was proclaimed the winner of the supporting category for 4-5 months, then they switched her to lead- like they did with Michelle Williams last year. Didn't work for Michelle (she'd be an Oscar winner if they didn't do that), but Lily has more of a 'narrative'... Lily probably would have been a lock for supporting.

[@singstreetcar5881]

They? She is the one who forced herself into the lead actress category just like Michelle Williams. She did this to herself

[@pb.j.1753]

I still can’t believe Williams got the lead nomination.

[@thrawncaedusl717]

@@singstreetcar5881 did she though? I noticed the shift happened at the same time Scorsese started to sell the movie as “not just another white guy movie”. I suspect the producers then noticed how bad those claims would look if the only lead was a white guy and pushed for moving Gladstone to lead.

[@xViSi0nZx]

If Lily is not the lead actress then who tf is 😂

[@thrawncaedusl717]

@@xViSi0nZx you know you can have a movie with just one lead, right? There’s no other real option for female lead in Oppenheimer, but I still wouldn’t consider Emily Blunt a lead actress in it… Leo was the one and only lead in Killers (at least by my standard, as I consider “lead” to mean protagonist; drawing the line anywhere else feels very arbitrary to me).

[@pb.j.1753]

Greta Lee gave the most subtly riveting and emotional performance - similar to Ruth Negga in Loving who also only got Globe and CC nominations before getting the Oscar nomination! Fingers crossed for Greta Lee, one of the best actors working today.

[@nickxyx2879]

I think we all remember that year and know why Ruth got nominated...

[@caasi4969]

@@nickxyx2879I dont, what happened?

[@pb.j.1753]

@@caasi4969 He/She is referring to the prior year when all acting nominees were white which caused criticism. It’s a common narrative white supremacists love to spin. White people achieve anything: Deserved, worked hard for, based on merit, just happens to be the best🎉🎉🎉 People of Color achieve anything: Politics, Quotas, Tokenism, Diversity PR😡😡😡 It’s the always the same clown show from whites and it is boring.

[@seankoontz4235]

@nickxyx2879 I think I know what you’re trying to say and just, no

[@ThomasFreeman2004]

19:51 This is why I still have Greta Lee in. Past Lives getting picture and screenplay only just doesn’t compute for me.

[@pb.j.1753]

💯

[@nicoleann0703]

I agree

[@seankoontz4235]

Well…

[@nickxyx2879]

56:28 actually, BAFTA nominated more animated movies for the visual effects than the Oscars. For example they nominated Chicken Run, Toy Story 3, Toy Story, The Adventures of Tintin, A Bug's Life, Aladdin (1992) and Beauty and the Beast (1991).

[@dahomey2001]

Of course Margot made it to baftas, she was a jury vote Her movie, she produced, gave a lot of jobs in the UK

[@outdoorcats]

I have seen Tótem and it is one of my favorite movies from last year. But I think it's a dark horse at best for an International Feature nomination. The best way to describe it is that it's a lot like Aftersun, to the point that if you loved Aftersun, you will likely love Tótem (right down to the incredibly emotional scenes that not everyone will get because the film only hints, rather than directly tells, why they are so emotional). Similar to Aftersun though, while some people are incredibly passionate about it, many others will shrug their shoulders and go "I don't get it." I definitely think The Promised Land is a more obvious choice.

[@jesusangelespinosasalgado9430]

As a mexican I would love it... One of the best entries in recent years. Very moving yet not manipulative... Really beautiful

[@outdoorcats]

Yes! The best compliment I can give it is that even if you know the incredibly rich history of Mexican cinema going back 100+ years, Tótem deserves its place in the canon of greatest films. It is such a masterfully directed film.@@jesusangelespinosasalgado9430

[@rick0223]

those penelope cruz impression was spot-on 😂

[@no9031]

Yeah, if you are a white person with no idea what Italian sounds like

[@ali3n.sup3rstar]

@@no9031”i’m not white i’m italian”

[@manantial773]

She is a grieving mother, not an angry and grumpy woman, so NO, they were not.

[@98LucasFG]

I don’t know why but I think Greta Lee is the same as Paul Mescal last year, he also missed a SAG nomination but was nominated in the Oscars. It just make sense for me for her to be the solo nomination for Past Lives at the Oscars… 2023: Mescal had Critics Choice and BAFTA before The Oscars. 2024: Greta Lee had Critics Choice and Golden Globe before The Oscars.

[@RA-hx9uc]

Paul Giamatti winning best actor this year will be the only thing that matters. I care nothing about a single other category as long as that hits.

[@pb.j.1753]

The Academy has snubbed two strong Best Picture contenders before and they both were Netflix Music Biopics: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom and Tick Tick Boom. Maestro is right up that alley!

[@virgiliomartinezerickson8044]

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom would have been nominated if there were ten slots.

[@leandrocordeiro3739]

They weren't Netflix top priority though. For Ma Rainey's, they had Mank and Trial above it and for tick tick boom, they had power of the dog and a last minute surge of don't look up. Maestro is their number one and presumably their only nominee in best picture (unless May December miraculously shows up). I'd be very shocked if it missed.

[@K0m30ng]

At this point, any actor that will unlikely get a nomination like Zac Efron for The Iron Claw or Rachel McAdams for Are You There God? It's Me Margaret, my only question is, "Where's Francis Fisher when you need her the most???" 😂😂😂

[@pb.j.1753]

Francis Fisher made a push for Origin this season. And I think Aunjeanu Ellis actually would be a deserving Best Actress nominee.

[@seankoontz4235]

Efron is done, but McAdams benefits from all of the critics nominations and second-most wins after Da’Vine Joy Randolph. She can still swoop in

[@seankoontz4235]

*Ok I take it back, don’t think Efron is “done” but I’d be surprised. I would love it though

[@chriscarmichael4306]

Origin would be the extremely loud and incredibly close of 2024.

[@sama2086]

Really appreciate all the effort you guys put into this video w all the lost BAFTA additions 👍

[@SoulKnightKing]

Ferrari is getting Sound. Cruz also missed bafta longlist for parallel mothers as well

[@PowerDiva]

I think this a solid 10 for Best Picture. If this is wrong, here's how I see the 'after 10' rankings. 11. The Color Purple - Brother Bro makes some good points and if it still snags an acting nomination (or two) and possible tech noms, it would make sense. Let's remember Women Talking got into Best Picture with a lone screenplay nomination. 12. Saltburn - I know it hasn't done well in many other awards bodies, but you have to take into account the more recent surge of buzz about it. Ever since it hit streaming, it's been talked about a lot and more people are seeing it. I can see some tech nominations for it and if Barry Keoghan or Rosamund Pike somehow manage to be surprise acting noms, then it's fair to say it could stand a chance at Best Picture too. 13. May December - This is probably far less likely and Charles Melton isn't getting as much attention as he first was.... but if manages to sneak into Supporting Actor anyway, and it scores a screenplay nomination. Best Picture becomes a little more possible. 14. All of Us Strangers - this one SHOULD be getting far more attention than it is. Andrew Scott SHOULD be in the Best Actor conversation. His snub at the BAFTAS was one of the biggest shocks I've had in a while. But, the reality is.... doesn't matter how good it is, people just aren't talking about it enough. So it probably won't show up in Best Picture, but I'll cross my fingers and say that if enough voters actually did see it, maybe it could be a surprise entry.

[@kitchenaidwhiskeyjones]

I'm pleased that I've seen most of the likely nominees, particularly in the major categories. Two years ago, my friend and I watched all of the Best Picture Nominees and a few others, and last year, we watched all of the nominees across all categories. This year, we're hoping to do the same, so this was very helpful. I still need to see American Fiction and Zone of Interest, but I hope to see those very soon. We will likely have to focus most of our attention on Best Docs, Best Shorts and Best Foreign Film. We're also going to predict winners like last year (I won haha). Thanks so much, guys!

[@RodrigoMenezesss]

The Zone of Interest missing Adapted Screenplay would be a tragedy, but I see it happening unfortunately

[@gocinema252]

54:48 there are reports from the VFX bake off and notably the film that had by far the most enthusiastic response from the VFX branch was Godzilla: Minus One, other notable standouts were Spider-Verse, Society of the Snow and Mission Impossible, unsurprisingly The Creator and Guardians did very well too.

[@jonathanscores6478]

Said it a lot before but I'm just genuinely happy for how strong Daniel Pemberton's campaign has been throughout this season and objectively it's no surprise how much recognition he's gotten cause I felt this was going as it has been since Spider-Verse's release. They didn't even need to do the live concert but y'all are right cause the attention after really helped him out. Daniel getting his 1st score nomination in the Academy is gonna be amazing to see

[@grovers_paradise]

I saw the notification on my yt app and I’m like omg it just has to be the Oscar experts final Oscar predictions

[@leor7800]

The way I jumped when I saw the video

[@RA-hx9uc]

Pike has a silly caricature of a performance. Voters eat that up. And she does it well. Not like so many before her who get in and sometimes win (renee zellwegger, allison janney). I think she's in. I don't think Huller is big enough for people to double nom her and in such a competitive year, i can see voters avoiding putting her in both categories.

[@thefilmseeker]

I love this Director stat of the "Cannes pick," especially when it favours someone like Glazer, but there's one thing we're forgetting... Technically speaking, Scorsese counts as a Cannes pick this time around.

[@pb.j.1753]

Let's call it Cannes competition pick

[@thefilmseeker]

@@pb.j.1753 Here's hoping...

[@pb.j.1753]

I hope for Celine Song to be the Sundance pick after the Beasts of the Southern Wild director

[@isapaley9340]

I feel like The Holdovers is rising to #2 for picture especially if Payne gets in as well as Giamatti and Randolph being potential winners it’s hard t understand how Sessa misses

[@eccentricexploringape1246]

One thing to remember about Animated Short is that they love the NFB and Canada, so if there’s a film that is from them, there is a high chance it will be nominated

[@moviehusbands]

I know I basically comment this on every one of your prediction videos but if Glazer doesn't get into director I'm going to lose my mind.

[@eseroma]

My predictions: Actor- Giamatti or Murphy Actress- Stone Supporting- Downey and Randolph(obviously) Picture- Oppenheimer Director- Nolan (they can't have anyone else win like come on) Screenplay- Anatomy of a Fall(Original) and American Fiction(Adapted) I hope that in the coming years another film wins the big five awards👏

[@quirkyjoeAnimated]

Animated Feature is pretty competitive thanks to mixed precursors and weak Disney and Pixar films. I hope the final five is... 1. The Boy and the Heron 2. Across the Spider-Verse 3. Nimona 4. Suzume 5. Robot Dreams ...but that feels unlikely

[@jonathanscores6478]

That'd be the best selection of films the Academy has done in a long time for the category. Hope it'll be true

[@alinkbetweengames4328]

36:51 "I've never been more sure about a 5/5" LOL

[@js7dragon]

You two better werk! Your predictions with he major categories were spot on.

[@benjamintillema3572]

I'm glad that Triet got in for director I just wish Greta Lee got in for actress.

[@yanjulio]

Longer than an hour video!? Hell yes!

[@paulalucatelli4943]

"no one can name another Triet film" AKA "Americans can't name another Triet film"

[@98LucasFG]

In supporting actor I have downey jr, gosling, De Niro, Melton and K. Brown…. I know the two from Poor Things are strong but I think I can get 4/5 this way also, cuz I think only one from poor things will get the nom and then the 5th slot is definitely Melton or K. Brown right?!

[@RA-hx9uc]

Origin, if Ava would have done the work, could have had a ton of noms, even supporting actress for Neicy, but Ava does not campaign hard for her films then gets butthurt when it gets little to no noms.

[@singstreetcar5881]

Anytime things aren't given to her, she starts complaining. Smh.

[@RA-hx9uc]

@singstreetcar5881 exactly.... and it screws her stars and crew!!! And in the case of Origin, in my opinion, many are very worthy, much more so than those we currently getting nominated for everything.

[@jtarheel99]

Tuesday is gonna be insane omg

[@poihpioakarp8845]

My FINAL GoldDerby predictions: (warning: wrong take abound!) *Best Picture:* 10. May December 9. Air 8. Anatomy of a Fall 7. Past Lives 6. American Fiction 5. Killers of the Flower Moon 4. Poor Things 3. The Holdovers 2. Barbie 1. Oppenheimer Kinda lost faith in The Color Purple. *Best Director:* 5. Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall) 4. Greta Gerwig (Barbie) 3. Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things) 2. Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon) 1. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) Dude I'm gonna make soooo many points off this category. I got Yorgos at 70/1 odds and Greta at 46/1 odds. *Best Leading Actress:* 5. Greta Lee (Past Lives) 4. Sandra Hüller (Anatomy of a Fall) 3. Margot Robbie (Barbie) 2. Emma Stone (Poor Things) 1. Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) Constantly flip-flopping on 1 and 2, but I feel pretty good with the 5. *Best Leading Actor:* 5. Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of the Flower Moon) 4. Colman Domingo (Rustin) 3. Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction) 2. Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) 1. Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) Of all the Maestro coping I'm commiting, this is probably the hardest one. *Best Supporting Actress:* 5. America Ferrera (Barbie) 4. Julianne Moore (May December) 3. Jodie Foster (Nyad) 2. Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple) 1. Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers) There's a *lot* of other women who can get in. *Best Supporting Actor:* 5. Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction) 4. Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things) 3. Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon) 2. Ryan Gosling (Barbie) 1. Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) How the Melton has fallen. *Best Original Screenplay:* 5. Alex Convery (Air) 4. Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik (May December) 3. Justine Triet and Arthur Harari (Anatomy of a Fall) 2. David Hemingson (The Holdovers) 1. Celine Song (Past Lives) Brought Air back in after the Barbie shift. *Best Adapted Screenplay:* (SUPERBET) 5. Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach (Barbie) 4. Martin Scorsese and Eric Roth (Killers of the Flower Moon) 3. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) 2. Cord Jefferson (American Fiction) 1. Tony McNamara (Poor Things) Nothing to add. *Best Cinematoraphy:* 5. Matthew Libatique (Maestro) 4. Linus Sandgren (Saltburn) 3. Rodrigo Prieto (Killers of the Flower Moon) 2. Robbie Ryan (Poor Things) 1. Hoyte Van Hoytema (Oppenheimer) Zone of Interest is a strong 6# here. *Best Editing:* 5. William Goldenberg (Air) 4. Yorgos Mavropsaridis (Poor Things) 3. Nick Houy (Barbie) 2. Thelma Schoonmaker (Killers of the Flower Moon) 1. Jennifer Lame (Oppenheimer) *Best Production Design:* 5. Asteroid City 4. Oppenheimer 3. Killers of the Flower Moon 2. Poor Things 1. Barbie *Best Costume Design:* 5. Wonka 4. Killers of the Flower Moon 3. Napoleon 2. Poor Things 1. Barbie *Best Makeup & Hairstyling:* 5. The Last Voyage of the Demeter 4. Golda (shoutout to my man Guy Nattiv 🇮🇱) 3. Poor Things 2. Maestro 1. Oppenheimer Gotta predict something off the beaten path 🤷‍♂️ *Best Score:* 5. Joe Hisaishi (The Boy and the Heron) 4. John Williams (Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny) 3. Daniel Pemberton (Spiderman: Across the Spider Verse) 2. Jerskin Fendrix (Poor Things) 1. Ludwig Göransson (Oppenheimer) *Best Sound:* 5. The Killer 4. The Zone of Interest 3. Maestro 2. Ferrari 1. Oppenheimer *Best Visual Effects:* 5. Poor Things 4. Society of the Snow 3. Godzilla Minus One 2. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3 1. The Creator *Best Animated Picture:* 5. Elemental 4. Nimona 3. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 2. The Boy and the Heron 1. Spiderman: Across the Spider Verse *Best Documentary Picture:* 5. American Symphony 4. Going to Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Project 3. Four Daughters 2. Beyond Utopia 1. 20 Days in Mariupol The Bobby Wine movie is a strong 6#. *Best International Picture*: 5. Perfect Days (Japan) 4. Fallen Leaves (Finland) 3. The Taste of Things (France) 2. Society of the Snow (Spain) 1. The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom) *Best Original Song:* (SUPERBET) 5. It Never Went Away (American Symphony) 4. Road to Freedom (Rustin) 3. The Fire Inside (Flamin' Hot) 2. What Was I Made for? (Barbie) 1. I'm Just Ken (Barbie) *Best Animated Short:* 3. Letter to a Pig 2. WAR IS OVER! Inspired By the Music of John and Yoko 1. Once Upon a Studio My ignorance is showing here. 1# is the only one I know, 2# I picked only for the title, and 3# I only picked for the Expert's explanation of it. *Best Live Action Short:* 5. The Sheperd 4. Red, White and Blue 3. An Avocado Pit 2. The Anne Frank Gift Shop 1. The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar Same description here as in the last category.

[@user-ig5cb6yy6o]

I think Poor Things will win both production and costume.

[@reeldeal3227]

Incredibly creative film. I hope The Academy recognizes that. Yorgos' team lost to Black Panther last time around, so fingers crossed that Poor Things doesn't suffer the same fate as the Favourite on that front.

[@ovandothack]

i feel like it’s just the favourite all over again… it’s not winning anything but actress

[@RA-hx9uc]

Agreed. I think Barbie gets zero wins....hopefully!

[@ovandothack]

@@RA-hx9uc oh brother

[@RA-hx9uc]

I take it back. Barbie deserves best song, and not for that stupid Ken song. BILLIE should win her 2nd. But in the other categories, I still believe there are more creative films than Barbie with better techs.

[@javiercachero7213]

Cruz is in. I doubt Sandra Huller is both supporting and best actress

[@RA-hx9uc]

Supporting actress, I feel, is the place where the most surprises can happen..i thin DaVine is the only safe nom and early in the season, i didn't get it. I had to rewatch...now I get it.

[@rick0223]

for vfx, godzilla minus one being snub would be disappointing but based on the reviews and box office performance, I guess there’s still a slight chance being resurrected with the welcomeness for asian films, oscars voters are changing so it might be no surprise with the first Japanese film nominated best original score and vfx this year.

[@osofilms1319]

I really don’t see Sandra Huller getting Supporting. But we’ll see on Tuesday morning 🫣

[@criley8594]

Great picks guys i value your opinion more than any other channels love the app bro👍 excited for a big Oppenheimer night!

[@SimplisticGrace]

A Sunday surprise! I’m so happy Colman got in everywhere. Also this year has a lot of good movies and I’m not sure who’s winning some of these which is exciting!

[@RA-hx9uc]

He's better in The Color Purple but he's a straight up characiture in Rustin, so that's the performance people mention. If only he could be the double nom this year.

[@ad-sd-vids5332]

For the shorts, Cole just went and said the short that celebrates 100 years of Disney and the one that 5000 people on gold derby are predicting to win, it’s gonna get snubbed Update- it got snubbed lol

[@Little1Cave]

It doesn’t make sense to have a Best Animated film lineup without at least one short from a major studio/company. Since Disney is gonna hella miss out on Wish, that studio’s nomination is gonna go to Once Upon a Studio. It’d be one thing if reception to it was lukewarm, but people LOVE that short, saying it’s a better celebration of Disney’s 100 years than Wish was. Why wouldn’t it get nominated?

[@MOBROOKS]

Love you guys. Keep doing great work.

[@oscarshmuck5416]

Hey Justin, any chance with ur app that u could add a “next category” function? It’ll just make it so much easier to update or fill out ur predictions. ATM u hav to exit back to the overview before doing each category.

[@jakemihailovic8764]

POST-NOMINATIONS 36:51 ‘I’ve never been more sure about a five from five category in my whole life……….…”

[@leannebrown02]

I love how the "chicken rugget" gag is still going. It's sad to know this is probably the last video we get to hear the joke

[@user-mm3mm6qx8f]

Greetings from Japan. I love this chanel since 2019! I have my own video too!

[@mallelouis1960]

Nice video! Thank you!

[@K0m30ng]

I really hope Rosamund Pike for Saltburn and Charles Melton for May December could get a nomination. I'm scared by their chances but i'm still remain optimistic for their nomination. If they are nominated, i'd be happy, if they aren't, i'm not surprised

[@maryelizaabeth_]

Cillian is still number one for me. Even though he lost CCA (which still boggles my mind), he can still win everything else. Kinda reminds me of Clooney in 2012 who won GG and CCA but Dujardin won everything else. Or even Bale vs Malek in 2019. Oppenheimer is too strong for Murphy to be left out.

[@dariussalepetru6770]

Me too

[@johncra8982]

a lot of CCA voters are awards pundits who've been desperate to "spice up" as many categories as they can ever since it became clear that Killers of the Flower Moon couldn't edge out Oppenheimer in any major categories. The Holdovers is just the film they settled on as the spanner they'd throw in the works. I wouldn't really care about this, since Oppenheimer will win most categories anyway and Cillian's performance is going to end up being the year's most iconic Lead Actor performance regardless of the results, except that the attention that's been shoveled on The Holdovers snuffed out a TON of the profile that Past Lives had been building all year long. incredibly frustrating to watch as Celine Song and all the other people that brought that film to life get sidelined for one of the least challenging, most bog-standard, paint-by-the-numbers twee films of the year.

[@Little1Cave]

Taking out Once Upon a Studio seems like a VERY bizarre choice. A short by a major studio/company always gets in, whether it’s Disney, Pixar, Netflix, or even Google or Apple. Regardless which way your opinion goes about it, not having Once Upon a Studio even nominated just makes no sense. You can make the argument it might not win, sure. But it’s most likely going to get recognized with a nomination, especially because of how much high praise it got compared to Wish. EDIT: I stand corrected.

[@pb.j.1753]

I wouldn't be surprised if Lily Gladstone gets snubbed.

[@ryanhopkins5239]

Penelope Cruz wouldn't be a lone nominations if you think Ferrari is getting in for sound

[@no9031]

And hair and makeup. Like how is that a lone nomination lol

[@johncra8982]

not having Hisaishi for Best Score for The Boy and The Heron even in your potentials, while Spiderverse is in your list of nominees, is wild.

[@juanktaboada3190]

Cillian Murphy should win Best Actor.

[@dahomey2001]

I'm praying Greta Lee gets to the final 5 She got 40 nominations and 2 wins for best actress during the whole awards season Her and Sandra Huller should be locks already.

[@Mr.WhitesTypewriterTease-bb7fp]

It’s a movie about BARBIE dolls……

[@hawkeyenfl]

Anyone here after nominations were announced to see how correct they were?

[@MrGMovieReviews]

Any chance Gladstone gets LaKeith Stanfielded?

[@bryanalstoncoxing]

That would really shake up the Oscars!

[@ber2704]

gladstone is strong enough in lead so they'll default to that, but she could get enough for supporting too with how weak it is lol we'll never know unfortunately

[@freja201]

that would suck for both lily and da'vine

[@maryelizaabeth_]

That would shake everything up omg

[@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719]

If that happens, DaVine would suffer the consequences. Although I would still vote for DaVine over Gladstone, just saying

[@nafischowdhury7375]

Oppenheimer is atleast in top 3 if not top 2 in adapted screenplay. it's your best picture frontrunner after all. also stop trying to make Barbie happen. it's laughable to think it'll win screenplay over other contenders.

[@chucho_qmp]

Yay, Totem🇲🇽 and Humo🇲🇽 predicted 🙌🏼🙌🏼🙌🏼

[@notchuckproductions5029]

I always go by the Annies for Animated feature predictions, and considering Elementals massive underperformance, there, I could see it being another finding dory, where it's good but not oscar worthy( Besides Dose a Pixar movie always need to be nominated for an oscar ) Normally, i would pick the front runner for best indie film at the Annies witch is Robot Dreams, as the front runner for that award allways gets a nomaniton however i'm not sure how well Neon has been campaigning it and it feels like it hasn't made buzz anywere else but the festivals (even though I think it should becuse i best animated should exist to help give recognition and promotion to a movie like Robot Dreams) so currently i have the Annie top 5 for feature, meaning Suzume makes it in over Elmental. Witch seems werid considering they have never done two features from Japan, but the fact it got 7 nominations at the Annies and has gotten some support from the Globes.

[@uranovayakilka2484]

*Suzume

[@notchuckproductions5029]

@@uranovayakilka2484 Thanks, Sorry dysgraphia, so I miss spell things

[@uranovayakilka2484]

@@notchuckproductions5029 It’s totally fine, I just love the film so I felt like I should correct you

[@purekinema]

I think Danielle Brooks was a jury pick at BAFTA and Rosamund Pike was a voter pick, so I'm predicting Pike over Brooks. I'm torn between Foster and Penelope Cruz.

[@noebevillon1455]

I take a huge risk: i’m predicting All of us Strangers instead of Barbie in the Adapted Screenplay catagory !!!

[@dariussalepetru6770]

That's not happening

[@rick0223]

feel like scorsese and nolan are sure in, payne seems like on top 3 with that dga and bafta nomination, then lanthimos and gerwig would be replaced by triet and glazer with the british and european arthouse film supporters, I guess at least one female director will end up be nominated and i truly guess triet will be the one with a stronger directorial sense but who knows.

[@memorieswithouthomes1438]

Damn, we’re pretty much aligned with the main categories.

[@WhatSmada]

I thought there was a cat in my car

[@sainttrai]

Really hope American Symphony gets in documentary!

[@drgivings]

Thank you for the show. You combine research and experience with guesses and predictions, and a little snark for good measure. Much appreciated. ?Riddle me this: What will the Oscar surprise nomination be this year? My vote for shocker would be the kid from Anatomy of a Fall, Milo Machado Graner, getting into best supporting actor. Not gonna happen but that kind of surprise.

[@OfficialSpencer]

I’VE BEEN ANTICIPATING AND MANIFESTING THIS VIDEO AHHHH! Love from New Zealand! 🇳🇿

[@sexydirrtymoney]

I sincerely hope that #Barbie will not even get a nom for best picture....don't get me wrong it was a good movie, but so much other good/solid movies last year that is more deserving than #Barbie to be in the 10 Best Picture slot! #SorryNotSorry

[@neomohoto8861]

I completely agree.

[@bryanalstoncoxing]

Yeah the movie was so overrated and basic tbh. Interesting from a creative and production standpoint but I don’t think it’s Oscar worthy in the major categories at all

[@histubeness]

It's got so much momentum and popularity now that it'll definitely at least get in there, especially with 10 spots available now. For the record, I haven't seen it. Not my kinda movie.

[@bryanalstoncoxing]

@@histubeness it was worth watching at the time due to the cultural phenomenon and actually had a fairly interesting and clever setup but I’d say around the midway point the movie goes off the rails My friends and I saw it together and we both were checking the time for the last 45 or so mins

[@lakertime987]

We’re gonna get a lakeith stanfieild shock nom. Have a feeling

[@gipdef10]

My Brian Tyree Henry nomination out of nowhere is Peter Sarsgaard in Memory

[@pb.j.1753]

Brian had a Critics Choice nomination prior, Peter has literally nothing.

[@pb.j.1753]

Penelope Cruz is more comparable. She won Best Actress in Venice and had zero nominations before getting the Oscar nomination. Peter won Best Actor in Venice and also has zero nominations as of now.

[@gipdef10]

@@pb.j.1753 For sure. There is never an easy comparison when you're going out on a limb, but Penelope Cruz probably fits most in her profile. There's also Lakaeith Stanfield in 2020, Jacki Weaver in 2012, and my favorite Tommy Lee Jones in 2007. These things happen from time to time, and that category is such a mess that I can see the veteran actor taking the spot of one of the Poor Things vote splitters

[@freja201]

the difference is that brian campaigned a lot. peter didn't

[@gipdef10]

@@freja201 I dunno, he did the podcast thing, the interview thing. He's been out there, but it is definitely a quiet campaign

[@purekinema]

I didn't realize until now that your app is on Android! You need to publicize these types of things

[@JimmiPynk]

i honestly think. best Actor. noms. Killian, Paail, but Barry gets in

[@dsp8363]

Can hold out spiderverse for best picture but know it won’t happen. Needs to win animated it deserves it!

[@mateo6482]

Can someone explain why Color Purple is falling off? Do awards shows just hate musicals or something?

[@RB-.-]

Its like a half movie. the plot is almost non existent and just used as a stepping stone to the (mid) songs

[@mateo6482]

@@RB-.- first off aren’t the songs straight from the Broadway musical? Second isn’t the story straight from the classic book? 😂 I mean if you just fundamentally don’t like the Color Purple as a concept just say

[@RB-.-]

@@mateo6482 There is an original Color Purple from 1985 made by steven spielberg. this loosely adapted it with like 20% of the effort of that story just as a way to get to the songs that suck.

[@maxfieldfulton]

I really liked Maestro, but that screenplay does not make sense. I hope it doesn’t edge out May December, my personal favorite screenplay of the year.