How they did- Picture- 10/10 Director- 4/5, triet instead of Payne Actor- 5/5 Actress- 4/5, benning instead of Robbie Sup actress- 4/5, ferrera instead of huller Sup actor- 4/5, brown instead of dafoe Original screenplay- 5/5 Adapted screenplay- 4/5, zone instead of killers Cinematography- 4/5- el conde instead of zone Editing- 4/5, poor things instead of Barbie PD- 4/5, napoleon instead of zone Costume- 5/5 Makeup - 5/5 Score- 3/5, Indy and AF instead of spiderverse and zone Sound- 3/5, mission and creator instead of Ferrari and killers Visual effects- 4/5, Godzilla instead of Indy Animated- 4/5, robot instead of tmnt Docu- 3/5 International- 2/5 Song 4/5 La short- 3/5 Docu short- 3/5 Animated short- 2/5
@nickxyx28797 ай бұрын
We wait for this video the whole year!
@BrettD20137 ай бұрын
This and the video of them screaming when the actual noms come out!
@pdgf7 ай бұрын
Righhhhttttt 😂😂😂
@eliasjohansson21957 ай бұрын
Yea😂
@Eljettto18777 ай бұрын
And now we begin waiting for the next one
@jus10627 ай бұрын
That’s exactly what I said we I got the notification lol
@enightchang42667 ай бұрын
0:22 Picture 6:15 Director 11:15 Actor 16:26 Actress 21:06 Supporting Actress 29:43 Supporting Actor 33:49 Original Screenplay 35:57 Adapted Screenplay 36:58 Cinematography 39:33 Editing 41:25 Production Design 43:18 Costume Design 45:16 Makeup and Hairstyling 46:55 Score 49:15 Sound 53:02 Visual Effects 1:01:06 Animated Feature 1:04:18 Documentary Feature 1:06:52 International Feature 1:08:03 Original Song 1:09:10 Live Action Short 1:12:28 Documentary Short 1:14:11 Animated Short
@bojackboys7 ай бұрын
thanks
@Wesleyminaker7 ай бұрын
MVP🙏🏻
@bngln17127 ай бұрын
@@Wesleyminaker Go Barbenheimer! 💖🖤
@CeliniacForLife7 ай бұрын
Thank you because they were doing too much talking and this video was entirely too long.
@farisraza19027 ай бұрын
If Anatomy of a Fall was up against the Zone of Interest in the international category, it would have been an amazing race
@bpure25607 ай бұрын
Anatomy of a Fall wasn't submitted by the French committee. They submitted The Taste of Things instead.
@davidquiroga25677 ай бұрын
@@bpure2560that's why it says "it would have been an amazing race"
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
@@bpure2560That‘s why it says „If Anatomy of a Fall was up against…“
@freja2017 ай бұрын
i think anatomy would have won
@bpure25607 ай бұрын
I know what it says. I can read. 😒I was posting that information for those who didn't know that it wasn't submitted in the International category. @@pb.j.1753
@criss88367 ай бұрын
Actor 5/5 Actress 4/5 Supporting Actress 4/5 Supporting Actor 4/5 Original Screenplay 5/5 Adapted Screenplay 4/5 Director 4/5 Movie 10/10 Good job guys!!! Good luck to all the nominees!!!
@seankoontz42357 ай бұрын
They did well, but the “5 out of 5” confidence in adapted screenplay is hilarious
@felipesilvagonzalez19817 ай бұрын
The Society of The Snow with 4 nominations? I would cry fr
@106andie7 ай бұрын
My favorite part of Oscar Nominations day are the surprise noms.. hopefully there’s some Tuesday.
@dusterrant93327 ай бұрын
That and said reaction to surprise noms. The more surprising the better.
@noseofsauron2367 ай бұрын
Oh there will be. Man, I miss the To Leslie debacle from last year
@felipecarvalho3167 ай бұрын
This year’s acting categories are INSANE
@freja2017 ай бұрын
i think leading actress is locked. it's the other three categories that are up in the air until tuesday
@felipecarvalho3167 ай бұрын
@@freja201 I think is the most locked, but I don’t think is impossible especially Greta Lee knocking out someone who is NOT margot Robbie
@freja2017 ай бұрын
@@felipecarvalho316 if Greta knocks Sandra out I’m killing myself
@poett88757 ай бұрын
I agree. If Lee was to knock someone out, I don’t think it would be Robbie. Plot Twist: Neither one got in😭
@rebekahp40837 ай бұрын
I’m so excited!!!!
@rick02237 ай бұрын
still believe that joe hisaishi will sneak in the best score simply for his achievements and the score itself, just finished zone of interest, mica levi’s score is fucking haunting and amazing, wish it could be nominated yet I think oscar voters might not notice such low-key work since the film not heavily rely on the score for every scene.
@jonathanvelazquezph.d.27197 ай бұрын
It's interesting how May December started strong (even getting into AFI and Globes) but then fizzled out. The Color Purple started and ended weak. Oppenheimer has been able to maintain its frontrunner status. And then we have a movie like The Holdovers which was was doing good to begin but has been increasing strength as the season goes on. Can't wait for the Oscar nominations!
@davidmckesey71197 ай бұрын
The movie sucks
@CalRoberts-gx3jt7 ай бұрын
Todd Haynes is too weird & controversial for the Oscars
@brettsinger95657 ай бұрын
@@CalRoberts-gx3jt I would attribute it more to being a Netflix release. Those films are extreme all-or-nothing in the awards circuit.
@CalRoberts-gx3jt7 ай бұрын
@brettsinger9565 You might have a point but also seriously avant garde directors don't get a lot of support with the Oscars Carol was smothered in BAFTA, Golden Globe & Critics Choice nominations, yet it missed out at Oscar because of its non-linear narrative & also the idea of a lesbian cougar dating an innocent, aspergic Church girl obviously put voters off
@brettsinger95657 ай бұрын
@CalRoberts-gx3jt Or maybe 2015 was a very competitive year in which it was almost anyone's race to lose? I followed that Oscar race fanatically that year and sometimes there's a simpler explanation than politics.
@seankoontz42357 ай бұрын
I’m still doing Cillian Murphy number 1 for Actor but God, it’s close. You guys were ahead of the curve having Giamatti number 1 in August!
@rebekahp40837 ай бұрын
I think the other thing that’s working for Jodie Foster is that she’s not just getting attention for Nyad, but that she’s also the star of the new True Detective season and has a lot more eyes on her for that as well. I think that Matthew McConaughey definitely got a boost for his Oscar win by having True Detective premier at the same time that Oscar voting was happening. Update post nominations: True Detective and Oscar correlation is my new favorite conspiracy theory.
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
No one cares what the actors are doing in TV.
@thefilmseeker7 ай бұрын
Hmmm, between that and Mahershala Ali's second win, there might be some unspoken connection between Oscar buzz and starring on True Detective at the same time...
@rebekahp40837 ай бұрын
@@thefilmseeker That is also an excellent example! I definitely think it’s more of an example of correlation over causation, but being in a high profile and highly respected character drama like True Detective seems to bode well for the actors that are also in the conversation for critically acclaimed film roles….
@thefilmseeker7 ай бұрын
@@rebekahp4083 Oh it's 100% correlation over causation, I just thought it was a funny observation.
@rebekahp40837 ай бұрын
@@thefilmseeker Oh 100%you’re so right. Since we are taking this and running with it though, even for season 2 of True Detective (by far the most controversial) Rachel McAdams was nominated for her to this date only Oscar nomination in Spotlight.
@eyesoneverything91427 ай бұрын
Dominic Sessa won the Critics Choice "Rising Star" and received a BAFTA nomination. I think he has a better chance than Charles Melton at this point. The Holdovers is catching momentum as more people are watching it. And I'll never forget Lakeith Stanfield's last minute Oscar nomination. I could see Sessa pulling through for an Oscar nom, more so hoping for it lol
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
Melton has been dead in the race for a while now, thank god
@martin39807 ай бұрын
sucks cause Melton delivered a way better performance than Sessa.
@freja2017 ай бұрын
@@martin3980 he did but both of them delivered better performances than the locks lol. and milo was better than all of them, including melton
@freja2017 ай бұрын
i personally think it will be both poor things guys at the end. or one of them and sterling k brown. but if a newcomer gets in it's dominic, not charles.
@dariussalepetru67707 ай бұрын
@@pb.j.1753 I was predicted Melton over Ruffalo
@Anne_Elizabeth7 ай бұрын
10 for 10 on Best Picture predictions! Well done!
@LeroyBickerstaff47 ай бұрын
Here to tell everyone I told you so about El Conde. Rule #1: DO NOT DISMISS THE BLACK AND WHITE CINEMATOGRAPHY ON OSCAR MORNING!
@jamielee79437 ай бұрын
CILLIAN MURPHY & Oppenheimer!!!! Let them win everything I beg of the Oscar gods. 🙌🙏😃
@felipecarvalho3167 ай бұрын
The thing about Penelope Cruz, is not only she got in with parallel mothers when she wasn’t predicted, every nomination she’s got(including her win) was for a weak film with no more than one or two noms. Volver she was a single nominee, VCB she won being the film’s single nomination, nine was TOTALLY dead and she still got in, and with parallel mothers, even with kind of a shocking nomination the secret ballots were praising her left and right, she could easily have gotten this nomination without sag, wich reminded voters at the perfect time she was a viable option
@tomgleeson8137 ай бұрын
I disagree, quite a few people were predicting her for Parallel Mothers - she was the passion pick and it prevailed. I don’t think this year is comparable to that. Also, Ferrari is likely to get craft nominees, at least sound.
@manantial7737 ай бұрын
@@tomgleeson813 What you disagree on?! Parallel Mothers algo got a craft nomination - Score.
@tomgleeson8137 ай бұрын
@@manantial773I said I disagree that no one was predicting she would get a nom for PM
@VinelSeason7 ай бұрын
Guys I just saw The Zone of Interest. Loved it
@davy2097 ай бұрын
What I’m really hoping for is that Japan gets representation at the Oscars. They have so many great movies out last year with Godzilla: Minus One, The Boy and the Heron, Suzume, and Perfect Days, and I would love to see all of those four films at least get one nomination!
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
And they picked the one film for International Film that was directed by a white German guy lol
@Little1Cave7 ай бұрын
For the first time in Oscar history, THREE Japanese films are nominated for Oscars! 👍👍
@purekinema7 ай бұрын
Mark Ruffalo looks very weak after the BAFTA snub. I think Sterling K Brown or Sessa (with The Holdovers strength) definitely get in over him.
@kalinaevreva74247 ай бұрын
The academy loves Penelope Cruz, so she is definetly the dark horse in the race for Supporting actress
@tml1847 ай бұрын
no nomination
@kalinaevreva74247 ай бұрын
@@tml184 yep, very sad, honesty, America Fererra's nomination is a joke
@seankoontz42357 ай бұрын
@kalinaevreva7424 It’s a (mostly) weak lineup tbh
@aagold767 ай бұрын
Lily was proclaimed the winner of the supporting category for 4-5 months, then they switched her to lead- like they did with Michelle Williams last year. Didn't work for Michelle (she'd be an Oscar winner if they didn't do that), but Lily has more of a 'narrative'... Lily probably would have been a lock for supporting.
@singstreetcar58817 ай бұрын
They? She is the one who forced herself into the lead actress category just like Michelle Williams. She did this to herself
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
I still can’t believe Williams got the lead nomination.
@thrawncaedusl7177 ай бұрын
@@singstreetcar5881 did she though? I noticed the shift happened at the same time Scorsese started to sell the movie as “not just another white guy movie”. I suspect the producers then noticed how bad those claims would look if the only lead was a white guy and pushed for moving Gladstone to lead.
@xViSi0nZx7 ай бұрын
If Lily is not the lead actress then who tf is 😂
@thrawncaedusl7177 ай бұрын
@@xViSi0nZx you know you can have a movie with just one lead, right? There’s no other real option for female lead in Oppenheimer, but I still wouldn’t consider Emily Blunt a lead actress in it… Leo was the one and only lead in Killers (at least by my standard, as I consider “lead” to mean protagonist; drawing the line anywhere else feels very arbitrary to me).
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
Greta Lee gave the most subtly riveting and emotional performance - similar to Ruth Negga in Loving who also only got Globe and CC nominations before getting the Oscar nomination! Fingers crossed for Greta Lee, one of the best actors working today.
@nickxyx28797 ай бұрын
I think we all remember that year and know why Ruth got nominated...
@caasi49697 ай бұрын
@@nickxyx2879I dont, what happened?
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
@@caasi4969 He/She is referring to the prior year when all acting nominees were white which caused criticism. It’s a common narrative white supremacists love to spin. White people achieve anything: Deserved, worked hard for, based on merit, just happens to be the best🎉🎉🎉 People of Color achieve anything: Politics, Quotas, Tokenism, Diversity PR😡😡😡 It’s the always the same clown show from whites and it is boring.
@seankoontz42357 ай бұрын
@nickxyx2879 I think I know what you’re trying to say and just, no
@ThomasFreeman20047 ай бұрын
19:51 This is why I still have Greta Lee in. Past Lives getting picture and screenplay only just doesn’t compute for me.
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
💯
@nicoleann07037 ай бұрын
I agree
@seankoontz42357 ай бұрын
Well…
@nickxyx28797 ай бұрын
56:28 actually, BAFTA nominated more animated movies for the visual effects than the Oscars. For example they nominated Chicken Run, Toy Story 3, Toy Story, The Adventures of Tintin, A Bug's Life, Aladdin (1992) and Beauty and the Beast (1991).
@dahomey20017 ай бұрын
Of course Margot made it to baftas, she was a jury vote Her movie, she produced, gave a lot of jobs in the UK
@outdoorcats7 ай бұрын
I have seen Tótem and it is one of my favorite movies from last year. But I think it's a dark horse at best for an International Feature nomination. The best way to describe it is that it's a lot like Aftersun, to the point that if you loved Aftersun, you will likely love Tótem (right down to the incredibly emotional scenes that not everyone will get because the film only hints, rather than directly tells, why they are so emotional). Similar to Aftersun though, while some people are incredibly passionate about it, many others will shrug their shoulders and go "I don't get it." I definitely think The Promised Land is a more obvious choice.
@jesusangelespinosasalgado94307 ай бұрын
As a mexican I would love it... One of the best entries in recent years. Very moving yet not manipulative... Really beautiful
@outdoorcats7 ай бұрын
Yes! The best compliment I can give it is that even if you know the incredibly rich history of Mexican cinema going back 100+ years, Tótem deserves its place in the canon of greatest films. It is such a masterfully directed film.@@jesusangelespinosasalgado9430
@rick02237 ай бұрын
those penelope cruz impression was spot-on 😂
@no90317 ай бұрын
Yeah, if you are a white person with no idea what Italian sounds like
@ali3n.sup3rstar7 ай бұрын
@@no9031”i’m not white i’m italian”
@manantial7737 ай бұрын
She is a grieving mother, not an angry and grumpy woman, so NO, they were not.
@98LucasFG7 ай бұрын
I don’t know why but I think Greta Lee is the same as Paul Mescal last year, he also missed a SAG nomination but was nominated in the Oscars. It just make sense for me for her to be the solo nomination for Past Lives at the Oscars… 2023: Mescal had Critics Choice and BAFTA before The Oscars. 2024: Greta Lee had Critics Choice and Golden Globe before The Oscars.
@RA-hx9uc7 ай бұрын
Paul Giamatti winning best actor this year will be the only thing that matters. I care nothing about a single other category as long as that hits.
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
The Academy has snubbed two strong Best Picture contenders before and they both were Netflix Music Biopics: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom and Tick Tick Boom. Maestro is right up that alley!
@virgiliomartinezerickson80447 ай бұрын
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom would have been nominated if there were ten slots.
@leandrocordeiro37397 ай бұрын
They weren't Netflix top priority though. For Ma Rainey's, they had Mank and Trial above it and for tick tick boom, they had power of the dog and a last minute surge of don't look up. Maestro is their number one and presumably their only nominee in best picture (unless May December miraculously shows up). I'd be very shocked if it missed.
@K0m30ng7 ай бұрын
At this point, any actor that will unlikely get a nomination like Zac Efron for The Iron Claw or Rachel McAdams for Are You There God? It's Me Margaret, my only question is, "Where's Francis Fisher when you need her the most???" 😂😂😂
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
Francis Fisher made a push for Origin this season. And I think Aunjeanu Ellis actually would be a deserving Best Actress nominee.
@seankoontz42357 ай бұрын
Efron is done, but McAdams benefits from all of the critics nominations and second-most wins after Da’Vine Joy Randolph. She can still swoop in
@seankoontz42357 ай бұрын
*Ok I take it back, don’t think Efron is “done” but I’d be surprised. I would love it though
@chriscarmichael43067 ай бұрын
Origin would be the extremely loud and incredibly close of 2024.
@sama20867 ай бұрын
Really appreciate all the effort you guys put into this video w all the lost BAFTA additions 👍
@SoulKnightKing7 ай бұрын
Ferrari is getting Sound. Cruz also missed bafta longlist for parallel mothers as well
@PowerDiva7 ай бұрын
I think this a solid 10 for Best Picture. If this is wrong, here's how I see the 'after 10' rankings. 11. The Color Purple - Brother Bro makes some good points and if it still snags an acting nomination (or two) and possible tech noms, it would make sense. Let's remember Women Talking got into Best Picture with a lone screenplay nomination. 12. Saltburn - I know it hasn't done well in many other awards bodies, but you have to take into account the more recent surge of buzz about it. Ever since it hit streaming, it's been talked about a lot and more people are seeing it. I can see some tech nominations for it and if Barry Keoghan or Rosamund Pike somehow manage to be surprise acting noms, then it's fair to say it could stand a chance at Best Picture too. 13. May December - This is probably far less likely and Charles Melton isn't getting as much attention as he first was.... but if manages to sneak into Supporting Actor anyway, and it scores a screenplay nomination. Best Picture becomes a little more possible. 14. All of Us Strangers - this one SHOULD be getting far more attention than it is. Andrew Scott SHOULD be in the Best Actor conversation. His snub at the BAFTAS was one of the biggest shocks I've had in a while. But, the reality is.... doesn't matter how good it is, people just aren't talking about it enough. So it probably won't show up in Best Picture, but I'll cross my fingers and say that if enough voters actually did see it, maybe it could be a surprise entry.
@kitchenaidwhiskeyjones7 ай бұрын
I'm pleased that I've seen most of the likely nominees, particularly in the major categories. Two years ago, my friend and I watched all of the Best Picture Nominees and a few others, and last year, we watched all of the nominees across all categories. This year, we're hoping to do the same, so this was very helpful. I still need to see American Fiction and Zone of Interest, but I hope to see those very soon. We will likely have to focus most of our attention on Best Docs, Best Shorts and Best Foreign Film. We're also going to predict winners like last year (I won haha). Thanks so much, guys!
@RodrigoMenezesss7 ай бұрын
The Zone of Interest missing Adapted Screenplay would be a tragedy, but I see it happening unfortunately
@gocinema2527 ай бұрын
54:48 there are reports from the VFX bake off and notably the film that had by far the most enthusiastic response from the VFX branch was Godzilla: Minus One, other notable standouts were Spider-Verse, Society of the Snow and Mission Impossible, unsurprisingly The Creator and Guardians did very well too.
@jonathanscores64787 ай бұрын
Said it a lot before but I'm just genuinely happy for how strong Daniel Pemberton's campaign has been throughout this season and objectively it's no surprise how much recognition he's gotten cause I felt this was going as it has been since Spider-Verse's release. They didn't even need to do the live concert but y'all are right cause the attention after really helped him out. Daniel getting his 1st score nomination in the Academy is gonna be amazing to see
@grovers_paradise7 ай бұрын
I saw the notification on my yt app and I’m like omg it just has to be the Oscar experts final Oscar predictions
@leor78007 ай бұрын
The way I jumped when I saw the video
@RA-hx9uc7 ай бұрын
Pike has a silly caricature of a performance. Voters eat that up. And she does it well. Not like so many before her who get in and sometimes win (renee zellwegger, allison janney). I think she's in. I don't think Huller is big enough for people to double nom her and in such a competitive year, i can see voters avoiding putting her in both categories.
@thefilmseeker7 ай бұрын
I love this Director stat of the "Cannes pick," especially when it favours someone like Glazer, but there's one thing we're forgetting... Technically speaking, Scorsese counts as a Cannes pick this time around.
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
Let's call it Cannes competition pick
@thefilmseeker7 ай бұрын
@@pb.j.1753 Here's hoping...
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
I hope for Celine Song to be the Sundance pick after the Beasts of the Southern Wild director
@isapaley93407 ай бұрын
I feel like The Holdovers is rising to #2 for picture especially if Payne gets in as well as Giamatti and Randolph being potential winners it’s hard t understand how Sessa misses
@eccentricexploringape12467 ай бұрын
One thing to remember about Animated Short is that they love the NFB and Canada, so if there’s a film that is from them, there is a high chance it will be nominated
@moviehusbands7 ай бұрын
I know I basically comment this on every one of your prediction videos but if Glazer doesn't get into director I'm going to lose my mind.
@eseroma7 ай бұрын
My predictions: Actor- Giamatti or Murphy Actress- Stone Supporting- Downey and Randolph(obviously) Picture- Oppenheimer Director- Nolan (they can't have anyone else win like come on) Screenplay- Anatomy of a Fall(Original) and American Fiction(Adapted) I hope that in the coming years another film wins the big five awards👏
@quirkyjoeAnimated7 ай бұрын
Animated Feature is pretty competitive thanks to mixed precursors and weak Disney and Pixar films. I hope the final five is... 1. The Boy and the Heron 2. Across the Spider-Verse 3. Nimona 4. Suzume 5. Robot Dreams ...but that feels unlikely
@jonathanscores64787 ай бұрын
That'd be the best selection of films the Academy has done in a long time for the category. Hope it'll be true
@alinkbetweengames43284 ай бұрын
36:51 "I've never been more sure about a 5/5" LOL
@js7dragon7 ай бұрын
You two better werk! Your predictions with he major categories were spot on.
@benjamintillema35727 ай бұрын
I'm glad that Triet got in for director I just wish Greta Lee got in for actress.
@yanjulio7 ай бұрын
Longer than an hour video!? Hell yes!
@paulalucatelli49437 ай бұрын
"no one can name another Triet film" AKA "Americans can't name another Triet film"
@98LucasFG7 ай бұрын
In supporting actor I have downey jr, gosling, De Niro, Melton and K. Brown…. I know the two from Poor Things are strong but I think I can get 4/5 this way also, cuz I think only one from poor things will get the nom and then the 5th slot is definitely Melton or K. Brown right?!
@RA-hx9uc7 ай бұрын
Origin, if Ava would have done the work, could have had a ton of noms, even supporting actress for Neicy, but Ava does not campaign hard for her films then gets butthurt when it gets little to no noms.
@singstreetcar58817 ай бұрын
Anytime things aren't given to her, she starts complaining. Smh.
@RA-hx9uc7 ай бұрын
@singstreetcar5881 exactly.... and it screws her stars and crew!!! And in the case of Origin, in my opinion, many are very worthy, much more so than those we currently getting nominated for everything.
@jtarheel997 ай бұрын
Tuesday is gonna be insane omg
@poihpioakarp88457 ай бұрын
My FINAL GoldDerby predictions: (warning: wrong take abound!) *Best Picture:* 10. May December 9. Air 8. Anatomy of a Fall 7. Past Lives 6. American Fiction 5. Killers of the Flower Moon 4. Poor Things 3. The Holdovers 2. Barbie 1. Oppenheimer Kinda lost faith in The Color Purple. *Best Director:* 5. Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall) 4. Greta Gerwig (Barbie) 3. Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things) 2. Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon) 1. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) Dude I'm gonna make soooo many points off this category. I got Yorgos at 70/1 odds and Greta at 46/1 odds. *Best Leading Actress:* 5. Greta Lee (Past Lives) 4. Sandra Hüller (Anatomy of a Fall) 3. Margot Robbie (Barbie) 2. Emma Stone (Poor Things) 1. Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) Constantly flip-flopping on 1 and 2, but I feel pretty good with the 5. *Best Leading Actor:* 5. Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of the Flower Moon) 4. Colman Domingo (Rustin) 3. Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction) 2. Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) 1. Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) Of all the Maestro coping I'm commiting, this is probably the hardest one. *Best Supporting Actress:* 5. America Ferrera (Barbie) 4. Julianne Moore (May December) 3. Jodie Foster (Nyad) 2. Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple) 1. Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers) There's a *lot* of other women who can get in. *Best Supporting Actor:* 5. Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction) 4. Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things) 3. Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon) 2. Ryan Gosling (Barbie) 1. Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) How the Melton has fallen. *Best Original Screenplay:* 5. Alex Convery (Air) 4. Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik (May December) 3. Justine Triet and Arthur Harari (Anatomy of a Fall) 2. David Hemingson (The Holdovers) 1. Celine Song (Past Lives) Brought Air back in after the Barbie shift. *Best Adapted Screenplay:* (SUPERBET) 5. Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach (Barbie) 4. Martin Scorsese and Eric Roth (Killers of the Flower Moon) 3. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) 2. Cord Jefferson (American Fiction) 1. Tony McNamara (Poor Things) Nothing to add. *Best Cinematoraphy:* 5. Matthew Libatique (Maestro) 4. Linus Sandgren (Saltburn) 3. Rodrigo Prieto (Killers of the Flower Moon) 2. Robbie Ryan (Poor Things) 1. Hoyte Van Hoytema (Oppenheimer) Zone of Interest is a strong 6# here. *Best Editing:* 5. William Goldenberg (Air) 4. Yorgos Mavropsaridis (Poor Things) 3. Nick Houy (Barbie) 2. Thelma Schoonmaker (Killers of the Flower Moon) 1. Jennifer Lame (Oppenheimer) *Best Production Design:* 5. Asteroid City 4. Oppenheimer 3. Killers of the Flower Moon 2. Poor Things 1. Barbie *Best Costume Design:* 5. Wonka 4. Killers of the Flower Moon 3. Napoleon 2. Poor Things 1. Barbie *Best Makeup & Hairstyling:* 5. The Last Voyage of the Demeter 4. Golda (shoutout to my man Guy Nattiv 🇮🇱) 3. Poor Things 2. Maestro 1. Oppenheimer Gotta predict something off the beaten path 🤷♂️ *Best Score:* 5. Joe Hisaishi (The Boy and the Heron) 4. John Williams (Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny) 3. Daniel Pemberton (Spiderman: Across the Spider Verse) 2. Jerskin Fendrix (Poor Things) 1. Ludwig Göransson (Oppenheimer) *Best Sound:* 5. The Killer 4. The Zone of Interest 3. Maestro 2. Ferrari 1. Oppenheimer *Best Visual Effects:* 5. Poor Things 4. Society of the Snow 3. Godzilla Minus One 2. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3 1. The Creator *Best Animated Picture:* 5. Elemental 4. Nimona 3. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 2. The Boy and the Heron 1. Spiderman: Across the Spider Verse *Best Documentary Picture:* 5. American Symphony 4. Going to Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Project 3. Four Daughters 2. Beyond Utopia 1. 20 Days in Mariupol The Bobby Wine movie is a strong 6#. *Best International Picture*: 5. Perfect Days (Japan) 4. Fallen Leaves (Finland) 3. The Taste of Things (France) 2. Society of the Snow (Spain) 1. The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom) *Best Original Song:* (SUPERBET) 5. It Never Went Away (American Symphony) 4. Road to Freedom (Rustin) 3. The Fire Inside (Flamin' Hot) 2. What Was I Made for? (Barbie) 1. I'm Just Ken (Barbie) *Best Animated Short:* 3. Letter to a Pig 2. WAR IS OVER! Inspired By the Music of John and Yoko 1. Once Upon a Studio My ignorance is showing here. 1# is the only one I know, 2# I picked only for the title, and 3# I only picked for the Expert's explanation of it. *Best Live Action Short:* 5. The Sheperd 4. Red, White and Blue 3. An Avocado Pit 2. The Anne Frank Gift Shop 1. The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar Same description here as in the last category.
@user-ig5cb6yy6o7 ай бұрын
I think Poor Things will win both production and costume.
@reeldeal32277 ай бұрын
Incredibly creative film. I hope The Academy recognizes that. Yorgos' team lost to Black Panther last time around, so fingers crossed that Poor Things doesn't suffer the same fate as the Favourite on that front.
@ovandothack7 ай бұрын
i feel like it’s just the favourite all over again… it’s not winning anything but actress
@RA-hx9uc7 ай бұрын
Agreed. I think Barbie gets zero wins....hopefully!
@ovandothack7 ай бұрын
@@RA-hx9uc oh brother
@RA-hx9uc7 ай бұрын
I take it back. Barbie deserves best song, and not for that stupid Ken song. BILLIE should win her 2nd. But in the other categories, I still believe there are more creative films than Barbie with better techs.
@javiercachero72137 ай бұрын
Cruz is in. I doubt Sandra Huller is both supporting and best actress
@RA-hx9uc7 ай бұрын
Supporting actress, I feel, is the place where the most surprises can happen..i thin DaVine is the only safe nom and early in the season, i didn't get it. I had to rewatch...now I get it.
@rick02237 ай бұрын
for vfx, godzilla minus one being snub would be disappointing but based on the reviews and box office performance, I guess there’s still a slight chance being resurrected with the welcomeness for asian films, oscars voters are changing so it might be no surprise with the first Japanese film nominated best original score and vfx this year.
@osofilms13197 ай бұрын
I really don’t see Sandra Huller getting Supporting. But we’ll see on Tuesday morning 🫣
@criley85947 ай бұрын
Great picks guys i value your opinion more than any other channels love the app bro👍 excited for a big Oppenheimer night!
@SimplisticGrace7 ай бұрын
A Sunday surprise! I’m so happy Colman got in everywhere. Also this year has a lot of good movies and I’m not sure who’s winning some of these which is exciting!
@RA-hx9uc7 ай бұрын
He's better in The Color Purple but he's a straight up characiture in Rustin, so that's the performance people mention. If only he could be the double nom this year.
@ad-sd-vids53327 ай бұрын
For the shorts, Cole just went and said the short that celebrates 100 years of Disney and the one that 5000 people on gold derby are predicting to win, it’s gonna get snubbed Update- it got snubbed lol
@Little1Cave7 ай бұрын
It doesn’t make sense to have a Best Animated film lineup without at least one short from a major studio/company. Since Disney is gonna hella miss out on Wish, that studio’s nomination is gonna go to Once Upon a Studio. It’d be one thing if reception to it was lukewarm, but people LOVE that short, saying it’s a better celebration of Disney’s 100 years than Wish was. Why wouldn’t it get nominated?
@MOBROOKS7 ай бұрын
Love you guys. Keep doing great work.
@oscarshmuck54167 ай бұрын
Hey Justin, any chance with ur app that u could add a “next category” function? It’ll just make it so much easier to update or fill out ur predictions. ATM u hav to exit back to the overview before doing each category.
@jakemihailovic87647 ай бұрын
POST-NOMINATIONS 36:51 ‘I’ve never been more sure about a five from five category in my whole life……….…”
@leannebrown027 ай бұрын
I love how the "chicken rugget" gag is still going. It's sad to know this is probably the last video we get to hear the joke
@user-mm3mm6qx8f7 ай бұрын
Greetings from Japan. I love this chanel since 2019! I have my own video too!
@mallelouis19607 ай бұрын
Nice video! Thank you!
@K0m30ng7 ай бұрын
I really hope Rosamund Pike for Saltburn and Charles Melton for May December could get a nomination. I'm scared by their chances but i'm still remain optimistic for their nomination. If they are nominated, i'd be happy, if they aren't, i'm not surprised
@maryelizaabeth_7 ай бұрын
Cillian is still number one for me. Even though he lost CCA (which still boggles my mind), he can still win everything else. Kinda reminds me of Clooney in 2012 who won GG and CCA but Dujardin won everything else. Or even Bale vs Malek in 2019. Oppenheimer is too strong for Murphy to be left out.
@dariussalepetru67707 ай бұрын
Me too
@johncra89827 ай бұрын
a lot of CCA voters are awards pundits who've been desperate to "spice up" as many categories as they can ever since it became clear that Killers of the Flower Moon couldn't edge out Oppenheimer in any major categories. The Holdovers is just the film they settled on as the spanner they'd throw in the works. I wouldn't really care about this, since Oppenheimer will win most categories anyway and Cillian's performance is going to end up being the year's most iconic Lead Actor performance regardless of the results, except that the attention that's been shoveled on The Holdovers snuffed out a TON of the profile that Past Lives had been building all year long. incredibly frustrating to watch as Celine Song and all the other people that brought that film to life get sidelined for one of the least challenging, most bog-standard, paint-by-the-numbers twee films of the year.
@Little1Cave7 ай бұрын
Taking out Once Upon a Studio seems like a VERY bizarre choice. A short by a major studio/company always gets in, whether it’s Disney, Pixar, Netflix, or even Google or Apple. Regardless which way your opinion goes about it, not having Once Upon a Studio even nominated just makes no sense. You can make the argument it might not win, sure. But it’s most likely going to get recognized with a nomination, especially because of how much high praise it got compared to Wish. EDIT: I stand corrected.
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
I wouldn't be surprised if Lily Gladstone gets snubbed.
@ryanhopkins52397 ай бұрын
Penelope Cruz wouldn't be a lone nominations if you think Ferrari is getting in for sound
@no90317 ай бұрын
And hair and makeup. Like how is that a lone nomination lol
@johncra89827 ай бұрын
not having Hisaishi for Best Score for The Boy and The Heron even in your potentials, while Spiderverse is in your list of nominees, is wild.
@juanktaboada31907 ай бұрын
Cillian Murphy should win Best Actor.
@dahomey20017 ай бұрын
I'm praying Greta Lee gets to the final 5 She got 40 nominations and 2 wins for best actress during the whole awards season Her and Sandra Huller should be locks already.
@Mr.WhitesTypewriterTease-bb7fp7 ай бұрын
It’s a movie about BARBIE dolls……
@hawkeyenfl7 ай бұрын
Anyone here after nominations were announced to see how correct they were?
@MrGMovieReviews7 ай бұрын
Any chance Gladstone gets LaKeith Stanfielded?
@bryanalstoncoxing7 ай бұрын
That would really shake up the Oscars!
@ber27047 ай бұрын
gladstone is strong enough in lead so they'll default to that, but she could get enough for supporting too with how weak it is lol we'll never know unfortunately
@freja2017 ай бұрын
that would suck for both lily and da'vine
@maryelizaabeth_7 ай бұрын
That would shake everything up omg
@jonathanvelazquezph.d.27197 ай бұрын
If that happens, DaVine would suffer the consequences. Although I would still vote for DaVine over Gladstone, just saying
@nafischowdhury73757 ай бұрын
Oppenheimer is atleast in top 3 if not top 2 in adapted screenplay. it's your best picture frontrunner after all. also stop trying to make Barbie happen. it's laughable to think it'll win screenplay over other contenders.
@chucho_qmp7 ай бұрын
Yay, Totem🇲🇽 and Humo🇲🇽 predicted 🙌🏼🙌🏼🙌🏼
@notchuckproductions50297 ай бұрын
I always go by the Annies for Animated feature predictions, and considering Elementals massive underperformance, there, I could see it being another finding dory, where it's good but not oscar worthy( Besides Dose a Pixar movie always need to be nominated for an oscar ) Normally, i would pick the front runner for best indie film at the Annies witch is Robot Dreams, as the front runner for that award allways gets a nomaniton however i'm not sure how well Neon has been campaigning it and it feels like it hasn't made buzz anywere else but the festivals (even though I think it should becuse i best animated should exist to help give recognition and promotion to a movie like Robot Dreams) so currently i have the Annie top 5 for feature, meaning Suzume makes it in over Elmental. Witch seems werid considering they have never done two features from Japan, but the fact it got 7 nominations at the Annies and has gotten some support from the Globes.
@uranovayakilka24847 ай бұрын
*Suzume
@notchuckproductions50297 ай бұрын
@@uranovayakilka2484 Thanks, Sorry dysgraphia, so I miss spell things
@uranovayakilka24847 ай бұрын
@@notchuckproductions5029 It’s totally fine, I just love the film so I felt like I should correct you
@purekinema7 ай бұрын
I think Danielle Brooks was a jury pick at BAFTA and Rosamund Pike was a voter pick, so I'm predicting Pike over Brooks. I'm torn between Foster and Penelope Cruz.
@noebevillon14557 ай бұрын
I take a huge risk: i’m predicting All of us Strangers instead of Barbie in the Adapted Screenplay catagory !!!
@dariussalepetru67707 ай бұрын
That's not happening
@rick02237 ай бұрын
feel like scorsese and nolan are sure in, payne seems like on top 3 with that dga and bafta nomination, then lanthimos and gerwig would be replaced by triet and glazer with the british and european arthouse film supporters, I guess at least one female director will end up be nominated and i truly guess triet will be the one with a stronger directorial sense but who knows.
@memorieswithouthomes14387 ай бұрын
Damn, we’re pretty much aligned with the main categories.
@WhatSmada7 ай бұрын
I thought there was a cat in my car
@sainttrai7 ай бұрын
Really hope American Symphony gets in documentary!
@drgivings7 ай бұрын
Thank you for the show. You combine research and experience with guesses and predictions, and a little snark for good measure. Much appreciated. ?Riddle me this: What will the Oscar surprise nomination be this year? My vote for shocker would be the kid from Anatomy of a Fall, Milo Machado Graner, getting into best supporting actor. Not gonna happen but that kind of surprise.
@OfficialSpencer7 ай бұрын
I’VE BEEN ANTICIPATING AND MANIFESTING THIS VIDEO AHHHH! Love from New Zealand! 🇳🇿
@sexydirrtymoney7 ай бұрын
I sincerely hope that #Barbie will not even get a nom for best picture....don't get me wrong it was a good movie, but so much other good/solid movies last year that is more deserving than #Barbie to be in the 10 Best Picture slot! #SorryNotSorry
@neomohoto88617 ай бұрын
I completely agree.
@bryanalstoncoxing7 ай бұрын
Yeah the movie was so overrated and basic tbh. Interesting from a creative and production standpoint but I don’t think it’s Oscar worthy in the major categories at all
@histubeness7 ай бұрын
It's got so much momentum and popularity now that it'll definitely at least get in there, especially with 10 spots available now. For the record, I haven't seen it. Not my kinda movie.
@bryanalstoncoxing7 ай бұрын
@@histubeness it was worth watching at the time due to the cultural phenomenon and actually had a fairly interesting and clever setup but I’d say around the midway point the movie goes off the rails My friends and I saw it together and we both were checking the time for the last 45 or so mins
@lakertime9877 ай бұрын
We’re gonna get a lakeith stanfieild shock nom. Have a feeling
@gipdef107 ай бұрын
My Brian Tyree Henry nomination out of nowhere is Peter Sarsgaard in Memory
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
Brian had a Critics Choice nomination prior, Peter has literally nothing.
@pb.j.17537 ай бұрын
Penelope Cruz is more comparable. She won Best Actress in Venice and had zero nominations before getting the Oscar nomination. Peter won Best Actor in Venice and also has zero nominations as of now.
@gipdef107 ай бұрын
@@pb.j.1753 For sure. There is never an easy comparison when you're going out on a limb, but Penelope Cruz probably fits most in her profile. There's also Lakaeith Stanfield in 2020, Jacki Weaver in 2012, and my favorite Tommy Lee Jones in 2007. These things happen from time to time, and that category is such a mess that I can see the veteran actor taking the spot of one of the Poor Things vote splitters
@freja2017 ай бұрын
the difference is that brian campaigned a lot. peter didn't
@gipdef107 ай бұрын
@@freja201 I dunno, he did the podcast thing, the interview thing. He's been out there, but it is definitely a quiet campaign
@purekinema7 ай бұрын
I didn't realize until now that your app is on Android! You need to publicize these types of things
@JimmiPynk7 ай бұрын
i honestly think. best Actor. noms. Killian, Paail, but Barry gets in
@dsp83637 ай бұрын
Can hold out spiderverse for best picture but know it won’t happen. Needs to win animated it deserves it!
@mateo64827 ай бұрын
Can someone explain why Color Purple is falling off? Do awards shows just hate musicals or something?
@RB-.-7 ай бұрын
Its like a half movie. the plot is almost non existent and just used as a stepping stone to the (mid) songs
@mateo64827 ай бұрын
@@RB-.- first off aren’t the songs straight from the Broadway musical? Second isn’t the story straight from the classic book? 😂 I mean if you just fundamentally don’t like the Color Purple as a concept just say
@RB-.-7 ай бұрын
@@mateo6482 There is an original Color Purple from 1985 made by steven spielberg. this loosely adapted it with like 20% of the effort of that story just as a way to get to the songs that suck.
@maxfieldfulton7 ай бұрын
I really liked Maestro, but that screenplay does not make sense. I hope it doesn’t edge out May December, my personal favorite screenplay of the year.