Why Devendra Fadnavis won't celebrate, no matter who wins October polls in Maharashtra

BJP is caught in its own trap in Maharashtra. It has a lot to lose and little to gain in Assembly polls, ThePrint's Political Editor DK Singh explains in this episode of #PoliticallyCorrect
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Exclusive content, special privileges & more - Subscribe to ThePrint for Special benefits: theprint.in/subscribe/
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Connect with ThePrint
» Subscribe to ThePrint: theprint.in/subscribe/
» Subscribe to our KZbin Channel: bit.ly/3nCMpht
» Like us on Facebook: / theprintindia
» Tweet us on Twitter: / theprintindia
» Follow us on Instagram: / theprintindia
» Find us on LinkedIn : / theprint
» Subscribe to ThePrint on Telegram: t.me/ThePrintIndia
» Find us on Spotify: spoti.fi/2NMVlnB
» Find us on Apple Podcasts: apple.co/3pEOta8

[@GururajBN]

2024 Lok sabha election is a lesson for BJP. It must shed the high-command culture and develop local leaders. Its wrong decisions in UP and Maharashtra has cost dearly. There was absolutely no need for bringing in Ajit Pawar. BJP in Maharashtra was weighed down with another millstone around the neck.

[@Mylozzzz]

Dont write off anyone in poltics(Fadnavis)he is a capable leader and can bounce back.

[@earthling017]

The recent Lok Sabha mandate in Maharashtra is a combined result of anti BJP sentiment due to all the political gimmicks that were played in the state as well as the perception that all important industrial projects were being diverted to Gujarat. The BJP and Sena have been unsuccessful in building on Maharashtra's strength as an industrial state. When asked the question by Nana Patekar regarding this, the Deputy CM had answered that Maharashtra is the highest recepient of FDI ignoring the fact that Gujarat is the fastest growing economy in India. If they are going to hide behind such statistics, then they will never get the success they wish for.

[@raw726]

Maharashtra me bhi sabko free hi chahiye to kahe ka industrialization ki baat karte ho

[@earthling017]

Bhai, ho sakta hai kuch logon ko freebie chahiye. Lekin jyadatar logon ko jobs aur economic progress chahiye. Aap Lallantop ke pre election videos dekhiye jisme Maharashtra ke logon ne yehi batane ki koshish ki thi.

[@manjulashanmugasundaram706]

That "important industrial projects were being diverted to Gujarat" is a fact, not perception.

[@raw726]

@@manjulashanmugasundaram706 accha gaandu jo state accha perform karega jahan business friendly environment hoga industry wahi to jayegi tum gaanduo me utna hi bheja hai jitna pappu me hai jake german shepherd ki tatti kha

[@rajx7120]

What industrialized state? It is a sugarcane lobby state. All the politicians own sugar mills, cooperative banks and an engg college. Sugar mills get tax money bailouts from the govt. Non-sugarcane farmers are deprived of water due to water-guzzling nature of sugarcane and the heavy usage by mills. This also causes drought in Vidarbha. Cooperative banks give loans to sugarcane farmers only. Sometimes, these banks like PMC bank collapse. And those who can't make any money in farming are trying to be engineers by giving donations to colleges. Total loot machinery by politicians. Ruchir Sharma, the famous investor says, Maharashtra has fallen in ranking of GDP per capita among Indian states. The day this powerful fixation on sugarcane is broken, only then many parts of Maharashtra will develop.

[@prakashraghunathan2685]

Thank you Dr singh sir for the Good video on Maharashtra.

[@harshadmahadik3022]

Fadnavis & BJP High Command both are confused in MH about their future because they haven't been benefited by Shinde & Ajit Pawar & on BJP support Shinde won 7 seat & no vote share of Shinde was transfer to BJP , as SHIVSENA UBt votes transfer to Congress & NCP that's why they won. Now BJP is coming with freebies to survive in upcoming polls.

[@surajs5913]

Accusing bjp of revadi politics is hypocritical when the centre has successfully reduced fiscal deficit and reformed bankong sector while 1000% literate state lile kerala needs to borrow for daily functioning and is caught up in various bank scams...

[@vivekthunoli3571]

I think Kerala has paid off all the debt last month despite not receiving funds from center

[@surajs5913]

@@vivekthunoli3571 so it avoided bankruptcy without the centres help, i am certain that its a great acheivement for the ultra literate communist govt of kerala to pass the bare minimum of financial responcsibility

[@vivekthunoli3571]

​@@surajs5913 yes, apparently. They had to reduce their spending on social welfare schemes to get to this. Bankruptcy was just a propaganda.

[@berserkhorimiya]

DK what do you expect Modi to do when people keep voting for a freebie model of governance ? Modi is correct, these are short term solutions which is basically stealing money from future generations. It's the people who are pathetically short sighted.

[@Dividerinchief]

You can't compete with freebies.. we are indians we love discounts and freebies

[@kuta4444]

Shivraj singh chauhan is married and modi isn't thats why 1.24-1.54

[@anuragdandekar6064]

Fadnavis is highly able politician and administrator suffering for the high handedness of Shah Nadda..

[@tasibsharar7357]

Amd modi

[@anuragdandekar6064]

@@tasibsharar7357 no Modi is fine

[@srinivasangkailasam8952]

The disadvantage he has is that despite his Commitment , Vision, he is a Brahmin.

[@anuragdandekar6064]

@@srinivasangkailasam8952 that's true for almost all politicians

[@rmzr4824]

@@anuragdandekar6064 caste, high command and sidelining obc leaders in maha r the reasons for the downfall of fadnavis,

[@ab20037]

SAD REALITY People don't vote on Infrastructure development BJP didn't announce any freebies before elections that is the result of BJP performing badly in Rural India Freebies from both parties will increase & destroy the Economy 🙏

[@dranilheroor]

Agree .. more than any political party it's a comment on the electorate voting for caste creed and revdis instead of development

[@jaishree701]

@@dranilheroor revdis are important try travelling in unreserved coach of train

[@samruddhasalvi1555]

many didnt vote for BJP corruption via electroal bond scams..

[@gormhatre]

BJP is struggling in rural areas cause they screwed over farmers.

[@gAuTis_VLoGs]

If the common people are not matured enough yet to understand the disadvantages of these Revdis, What can the BJP do? Stick to their point and loose elections? Not happening Sir! Why do you not showcase this point in your analysis?

[@sbaskaran7638]

Modi’s “ Revdi” comment is not cast in stone. If “ targetted” revdi is what people want so be it.

[@amitavasaha2851]

Common peole do not understand the language of fiscal prudence. So Modi is compelled to adopt a path that has potential to get votes.

[@bilalbaig8586]

The daily wage labourer working 15 hours a day for six days a week for 300 rupees per day does not care for "fiscal prudence". Can you tell me how many people has Modi lifte out of poverty in the last 10 years? How much wage growth has happened for the working class in the last 10 years?

[@nitinpatel1039]

@@bilalbaig8586 almost 24 crore between 2013-14 to 2022-23, from 29% to 11% people came out multiple poverty

[@kunti_putra]

@@bilalbaig8586 Facts! Well said. Most people here assume that everyone should share their views and how they see the world. Modi won with handsome majority in 2019 is because he implemented social schemes that actually benefitted people in rural areas and poor. Not because of the achievements of ISRO or DRDO or any strategic moves that were made by India or those high-flying GDP numbers. After 2019, Modi got completely disconnected from ground! Central government worked only for Corporates. And the result is for everyone to see. Hopefully, he'll return back to roots this time.

[@raghuramant8507]

Even if BJP does it in Maharashtra still it is wrong.But see what happened in UP. Women brought out Congress guarantee cards. When u r amongst wolves , you can not b a sheep flock?

[@AjitJoshi686]

DK is assuming congress, UBT, NCP SP will always remain together. Or the uncle nephew of NCP will remain separated. So there is more action ahead. Devendra ji should be worried about Vidharbha first.

[@vikrantinc]

Doesn’t matter.. the nephew is just as useful as a paperweight right now

[@LeoDas688]

Congress and ncp are natural allies, and as long as Shinde Shiva Sena is with bjp , uddav will stay with congress, and Ajith is useless to both

[@pratapmane692]

Always love your analysis ❤👌

[@FVivekBNair]

BJP ❤

[@nagbalkur1365]

good analysis though few items that I think need mentioning. 1) BJP lost votes because of "no freebies", and voters not caring for infrastructure like sea bridge in Mumbai, which is a monumental achievement considering that it's been pending for decades 2) considering that Sharad Pawar is in his 80s, this election will likely be his last too. what happens in post Sharad Pawer in state ? 3) what happens if Congress gets more seats than Sena UBT and claims CM post ? where does that leave Sena UBT ? so, MVA winning too might leave Sena UBT not on high note.

[@kunti_putra]

Rule no. 1: Don't blame voters for your bad and failed strategies. The same voters had voted BJP with full majority in past two LS elections. Do an honest self-introspection and improve. Rule no. 2: After supporting for 10 years, it is not wrong for voters to ask for ROI. Voters only care about infrastructure that actually makes a difference to their life. Not an infrastructure project that is just an eye candy. Metro project made a huge difference in everyone lives. But Atal Setu Bridge, not really. That project has a huge future potential, but as of today - it is not much use to large majority of people. Plus, don't expect common people to think like economists. You can launch as many Chandrayan and Mangalyaan as you may want, make as many smart strategic geo-political moves as you want, brag about sky-high GDP figures, etc. etc. But if I'm struggling to put food on the table and if I'm overburdened by taxes - sorry, you won't get my vote any further. Time for a change. Whatever happens to Sharad Pawar will happen, but BJP made a complete strategic mess by importing Ajit Pawar and his bunch of '40 thieves' in its fold. You simply cannot blame someone of theft in one election and share bed with the same person in the next election. Sorry, you don't get to make a 🤡 out of common man. If UBT backstabbed people, then BJP too backstabbed people by importing Ajit Pawar. BJP lost the moral high ground this time. For UBT, defeating BJP would be a much bigger prize than a token CM post. Because that will give him much needed oxygen to claw back a lot of his men and lost ground. Also, I don't think Congress High Command is very assertive about CM post in MH. They have largely resigned to Sharad Pawar to drive the show. I am 100% sure, SP will decide who becomes CM. Neither Congress, nor UBT.

[@rajx7120]

What is interesting is, they have cut petrol taxes, despite the revdis. In comparison, petrol tax is high in Madhya Pradesh and Karnataka which have high revdis. I wonder what is the idea? Increase debt for the time being?

[@DrSudhirBisht]

अगर PM रेवड़ी कल्चर के ख़िलाफ़ थे, तो आपने उनका सपोर्ट किया था? क्या जनता ने रेवड़ी कल्चर को सर-माथे नहीं बैठाया? क्या आपके ऐडिटर-इन-चीफ हमेशा मोदी की छवि बिगाड़ने में नहीं लगे रहते? अगर मोदी को भी रेवड़ी कल्चर का सहारा लेना पड़ रहा है तो इसमें आप जैसे मोदी विरोधियों और जनता का हाथ है

[@ininjad24]

Excellent analysis DK Ji 👍 The Maharashtra state election is going to be interesting. It will show, how the momentum of the loksabha election, and the central politics thereafter, pan's out in Maharashtra. Some pertinent questions are, - Will the BJP really invest in the Maharashtra election or give up? - Will the central budget throw in more Revdi's at Maharashtra? - Will the Shinde Sena stick together? - Will the Pawar's come together? - How is the seat sharing going to develop in both camps? Looking forward to follow up episodes DK Ji 🤔

[@FVivekBNair]

Bro jai bjp 😊🚩🔥🤗☺️❤️💪🏿🙂

[@FVivekBNair]

Anyways bjp will be the single largest party in Maharashtra with 25 vp plus vote share!..❤😊🙂👍

[@siddharthkarnataki9464]

Being from Maharashtra I don't think this analysis is as good as what I usually get from the Print.

[@rohitashwanigam]

👏 👏

[@dnyaneshwarrindhe3974]

I do not agree with analysis on Shinde. Modi magic have worked in negative way in Maharashtra. Check where ever Modi have take. Rallies all the seats lost. If seat sharing was done a month before Shinde would have easily added 3 more seats. All the Maharashtra projects are going to Gujarat this is narrative build on the ground successfully.

[@kunti_putra]

Project being stolen by Gujarat, with the help of Center, is not a narrative, it's a fact.

[@sibimathen1451]

Had BJP let MVA complete its term, BJP by itself would have gotten majority. However that hasty nasty hunger for power has dented BJP and has destroyed Fadnavis' political ambitions. If MVA makes this is a Maharashtra Vs Gujarat fight, I see MVA winning 200-220 seats in the assembly. Modi/Shah's biased politics has destroyed their own prospects. Even BJP workers in Maharashtra are tired of the clear favouritism. Bangalore/hyderabad/Gurugram/Noida have grown at the expense of Mumbai, but deservingly so in last 3 decades. Just look at Surat Diamond Bourse, you can't force people to shift. And Ahmedabad Olympics will ensure rest of country will soon feel the same.

[@zga3020]

Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore are oversaturated. Other states should be given opportunities too

[@sibimathen1451]

@@zga3020 Absolutely! Based on merit, we need 10 metros like Mumbai/Delhi/bangalore, but pushing one state at the expense of all others is not the answer. One example look at stats on sport funding statewide. State sthat win Olympic medals or even national games are not the ones getting the most funding and facilitates. Check which states actually tops the list...

[@MaheshPatel-zu6jp]

Surat diamond bourse 100% funded by private player.

[@Puresoul647]

Other states are not India, only maharshtra shuld develop? Other people shuld be undeveloped. Projects choose the policies based on state policies

[@yashthakar9441]

Bringing Ajit Powar was a mistake and hope Maya Yuti looses this time. Fadnavis is not interested and shinde and pawar cannot win 100 seats together.

[@FVivekBNair]

Bro jai bjp 😊🚩🔥 ,fadnavis lead nda Maharashtra 160 seats ❤😊

[@samanya_manus]

Fadanvis was never a mass leader, he is so strong because party leadership favoured him. Without the support from leadership Fadanvis cannot be a prominent figure in Maharashtra BJP.

[@nitinpatel1039]

No one really is in maharashtra all have their limited vote abse that's the reason u don't have clear majority for any party, but what fadnavis has better administrative skills, which he has shown between 2014-19

[@nitishmr2613]

Another masterpiece by our Political master blaster DK with super class. I guess Mr. Fadanwis is actually running out of the options and sort of miracle can revive his stature... DK sir can we request for a scoop on why fadanwis did Whats he did in 2014 - 2019 as far as cutting short some of BJP leaders.. I guess Pankaja Munde's name also can be added in this list Also DK sir, please make a video on Rahul being new kejriwal... Blame blame and blames without substance on his first LOP speech... Probably Rahul and his PR team has realised the success of Kejriwal and I am sure he is following his footsteps Lot of people will get attracted with this strategy.. as old saying goes that if 38% voted in govt favor then 62% voted for oppose .. For now as Kejriwal in jail he is trying to get his core voter back from AAP or some bigger agenda. I personally find Rahul's speech as LOP as local politician talks on his political Rally.

[@nitinpatel1039]

He is Better than any bjp leader in maharashtra, might not have massive caste base with him but he is efficient administrator which he has displayed from 2014-19,rss trust him and he is just in his 50's he can gain his stature with good showing in assembly election

[@jayanpatel7529]

After 10 years in power, Modi can still blame Congress for anything and everything but god forbid an opposition leader criticise the govt, it is blame game politics. Do you know any Modi speech in parliament that did not have any blame on congress?

[@Mylozzzz]

​@jayanpatel7529 Just when we write off someone ,they come back strongly .A few months ago, CBN was down,then guess what happened

[@berserkhorimiya]

@@jayanpatel7529 Those expecting miracles in 10 years, did nothing in their 60 years in power.

[@balakrishnansubramanian2130]

The comedy is not to talk about. MahAyudhi of. Cong group agenda is working good luck

[@ayon221]

Beautiful❤

[@sanketsudke2617]

If BJP was in opposition it would have easily won the upcoming elections. But splitting Shiv Sena and NCP has tarnished its image and now wining an election would be very difficult

[@rdivakar6576]

Great analysis and prediction of politics that matters

[@oldngolddays6177]

In democracy Yatha praja tatha raja Govt has to behave as people want Takatak Takatak Takatak

[@sakshambhadoria9998]

Three assembly polls of Maharashtra, Haryana and Jharkhand are going to be a big litmus test for the BJP. LS polls dealt a huge blow to Modi's invincible image and party's fortunes which were well poised and confident of coming to power again on a brute majority before the polls. The BJP has a lot of odds stacked against it in the coming round of elections. Just focusing on Maharashtra which is a crucial political state and a resource rich region saffron outfit is on a weak wicket with Maratha anger, local discontent, brewing factionalism within the state unit, lack of synergy among the alliances and lacklustre performance of the government and narrative to go to the masses with.

[@prasad5679]

Extremely and abject situation in M'rashtra

[@Ed85323]

DK sing lost face after his godi type approach before elections... There will be few who can feel the undercurrent, DK is not one of them. There will be many who will go with the flow, DK is one of them. Hope wire brings more talented people into its ranks in big positions.

[@APK81]

Amit Shah has destroyed Phadnavis and also BJP Maharashtra

[@FVivekBNair]

Inc supporter ?

[@omkarbhise380]

There is no chance of the Mahayuti government returning to power if anyone believes this, they are living in la la land. Always remember Maharashtra does not forget the backstabbers. The biggest mistake Modi has made in his career is to pick a fight against regional Maharashtra parties.

[@abhi32789]

During 2022-24, Maharashtra BJP was busy breaking parties while Karnataka, Gujarat were making progress.

[@b18harshsinha83]

Uddhav thackerey also backstabbed by joining congress alliance

[@ananthuajay6470]

​@@b18harshsinha83No he didn't. From Atal-Balasaheb times, It was decided that Shiva Sena will lead in state and BJP in centre... Power Hungry Motabhai disrespected that tradition, and then Uddhav choose Dignity of Marathi manoos over Clown Show lead by BJP.

[@ankushdoshi8947]

And what did uddhav do ???

[@shauryakhanna2051]

Marathis would rather choose who send cops to Delhi to enforce Sharia law than real hindutva parties

[@venkannabindusarikela6009]

Now bjp party is siding with tdp party which is giving revdis a 😇😇😇😇😇lot

[@2010anilshukla]

The print has nothing to say about the falsehoods spread by the congress - the khatakhat paisa, the abolition of reservations etc. Why?

[@earthling017]

They have criticised the Congress on many occasions as well.

[@ArreSidu]

Awaz toh ruling govt pe uthegi.

[@raosaheb5637]

maharashtra pays the highest tax revenue of any state and receives the lowest share back. if other states still manage to provide revdis, why not the marathi people should expect some relief. maharashtra never whines like southern politicians who remind about the tax revvenue share

[@mskworld1]

content is so lame and tiny but acting is as if this is deeply researched point of view. Sirji, put more efforts and do good research like your boss

[@rks.]

The BJP is more interested in other issues than in development. They seem to have forgotten why people kicked out the Congress ten years ago.

[@berserkhorimiya]

BJP has done more development in Maharashtra in past 10 years than Congress did in the previous 15 before that, mumbai metro alone accounts for most of the metro construction in India. MH has second most number of expressways being built after UP.

[@anuragdandekar6064]

BJP is equally interested in development and Hindutva. Both are equally important

[@oldngolddays6177]

Bjp will be number 1 party in upcoming VS . By a margin

[@surendrabarsode8959]

1. What PM is right and yet what is being done BJP Govts is also right! But the difference is BJP Govts delivered the benefits without violating fiscal discipline unlike Congress or Communist Govts. So DK can take some potshots but makes no sense!! 2. Lok Sabha elections turned out to be wrong decisions for BJP. But for the upcoming assembly elections, BJP will gear up and with Sena, come back to power. DK can keep taking pot shots at Fadnavis or Shinde but BJP Sena will work together. If a man like Fadnavis can break up 2 well established parties with strong leaders, rebuilding from set back would not an issue for him. 3. Anyway, let us talk after the elections results.

[@sreedharreddyabbidi5374]

A popular saying goes as "It's hard to build and easy to break".

[@pratikkhobragade2870]

Fadnavis days are done

[@nitinpatel1039]

Right now focus is and should be to win maximum seat for bjp, if they can retain what they have right now they can always go back to uddhav thackrey, after poll, if shinde becomes too greedy, u talked about revadi this stupidity of modi and nirmala costed them 50 seats in lok sabha not announcing any big scheme in interim budget party was left with no big promise to fight khata khat narrative of indi alliance, modi should keep his bs with himself, rules of game shave changed party need to adapt to these changes, those will help a lot especially in party stronghold where they faced set back due to farm anger, waiving off electricity bills, providing high prices for cotton will all help, women cash dolls are two ways sword, it worked for them in mp but their is no guarantee it work in maharashtra but if it work like it did for Mamata in west bengal even after facing so much incumbency, Nda is set for 3rd term comfortably

[@anirudhrao874]

You gujjus think everyone is for sale. Thats why vegetarian class of India have zero morals. Fucking pathetic

[@dukhi_aatma372]

MH politics is not so simple to be fixed by distributing freebies. There are other major issues like Maratha reservation (that is impossible for BJP to solve in less than 6-month timeframe), the emotional outrage amongst the Maharashtrian community due to split in SS, emotional outrage in those areas where NCP was traditionally strong due to NCP split, lack of jobs and high taxes that angered middle class in major cities like Mumbai and Pune (where even the traditional North Indian voters didn't fully back the BJP). There are extremely high chances that BJP will lose MH assembly elections very badly. It would take humongous and do-or-die kind of coordinated efforts of Center+State leadership to pacify MH voters.

[@NSq12]

​@@anirudhrao874exactly

[@raw726]

​@@dukhi_aatma372haan to saalo ja tum marathiyo ko reservation chahiye to tumko free bhi chahiye hi hoga agar bjp free na de to bhi congress free to degi hi

[@Bengal2923]

@@dukhi_aatma372 but why people are still be believing in one family controlled party?

[@AjayPatil-gf7jz]

Until manoj jarange patil demands fulfilled we will not for shinde fadnavis......

[@Dik.Muhammad.quranovirus]

Ekda sharad pawar ala na power madhe mag kalel tula jarange patil cha rang tyo tyachi tijori bharel ani tu bas taalya wajwat😂

[@ajaygarg1139]

Mr DK you are living in a country called india.. and for Hinduism to survive, bjp has to retain states.. that is a truth..

[@NSq12]

Yeah there wasn't Hinduism before 2014 Keep this bs within your WhatsApp university

[@Jamesbond-oc2qp]

Hindus r being converted to Christianity and islam in opposition ruled state.hindu population is decreasing ​@@NSq12

[@ajaygarg1139]

@@NSq12 mr nonsense.. look at the map and you'll know it yourself.. india is cut into partition almost every 100 yrs.. and each separated land becomes a muslim nation..

[@ajaygarg1139]

@@NSq12 Afghanistan Pakistan iran Indonesia Bangladesh.. these all were cut before 2014..

[@NSq12]

​@@ajaygarg1139sums up my point that you graduated from the WhatsApp university 😂

[@fi1158]

does anyone know who manufactures orange BJP logo themed rattlers that modi or bjp supporters had during the election campaign?