This Candidate Could Spoil Republican's Senate Plans | Luke Goldstein | TMR

Luke Goldstein, writing fellow at The American Prospect, discusses the Nebraska Senate race, particularly independent candidate Dan Osborn.
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[@MatthewGreer-h3k]

I’ve met Osborn before and he has good policy like overturning citizens United and is pro Union and pro choice.

[@nelsonhamilton8262]

If he was the tying member would he caucus with Dems though?

[@apolloforabetterfuture4814]

Anyone taking the union fight to the Senate needs our support. Cornhusksers go vote for Osborn!!

[@HKim0072]

I’m hoping the abortion referendum in FL gives the Dem candidate a hidden boost.

[@gingernightmare9152]

Got Weed too in Florida. 🚬

[@zachmasters7397]

​@@gingernightmare9152Republicans are for legalized Marijuana, I'm as conservative as they come, so are all my friends and family, we smoke, that part of the Republican party that's against legalized Marijuana are a dying breed, litterally the Boomers are all on deaths doorstep 😅

[@Dakota-d4n]

I m from Omaha Nebraska I’m voting for is guy

[@crozetisles8315]

I'm from the first district, and I and my immediate family are all voting for him as well.

[@joshuakeller634]

Nebraskan here: Deb Fisher is completely useless and I really want to see her disappear. Also, remember the Primary election? Kowalski took 20% of the vote against her.

[@hughquigley5337]

That’s actually amazing.

[@brothermine2292]

This discussion buried the lede, which is that red states should be thought of as "anti-blue" instead of red. (And blue states should be thought of as "anti-red" instead of blue.) In other words, an independent can win in an "anti-blue" state that a Democrat can't win, assuming no Democrat is on the ballot to split the coalition who prefer the independent over the Republican. In Utah in 2022, independent (former Republican) Evan McMullin showed it makes sense for Democrats to not compete in anti-blue states and anti-blue districts. The Utah Democratic Party chose not to nominate anyone to run for Senate against MAGA Republican Mike Lee so that McMullin could compete against Lee head-to-head, with no Democrat on the ballot to split the anti-Lee coalition. Although McMullin didn't win, he received a larger percentage of the vote than any Democrat ever did in Utah. Unfortunately, the Democratic Party is either too deluded to understand the value of not nominating a Democrat who can't win, or they won't put the interests of the nation ahead of the interests of the party. Donors too need to learn to support candidates who can defeat Republicans, not just support Democrats. That strategy is also a way to knock down the R majorities in state governments. Let independent candidates run head-to-head against Republicans in the anti-blue districts.

[@thedavidcarney]

I don't know if it makes sense to boil it down to entire states being anti-blue. In the 2nd District where I live, Democrat Tony Vargas is polling neck and neck, or even ahead of Republican Don Bacon. That said, I'm definitely glad the nebraska dem party chilled out about Osborne snubbing them.

[@brothermine2292]

@@thedavidcarney : I agree. What I meant was anti-blue states in _statewide_ elections, and anti-blue districts in _district_ elections. That's what I meant where I wrote "it makes sense for Democrats to not compete in anti-blue states and anti-blue districts." In other words, in any election where a Democrat would be doomed to lose. The "nominate no Democrat" strategy also makes sense in an election where a Democrat has a chance to win, but it would be catastrophic if the Republican wins and an independent would have a _better_ chance than the Democrat has in a head-to-head contest against the Republican. In particular, it would be catastrophic if Trump wins, and Liz Cheney or Larry Hogan running as an independent with no Democrat on the ballot would probably have a much better chance of winning than Harris has (or Biden had). The coalition for Cheney over Trump or for Hogan over Trump would presumably include the following cohorts: 1. Most Harris supporters, because Harris supporters' order of preference is surely "Harris Cheney Hogan Trump" or "Harris Hogan Cheney Trump," and most voters understand the importance of voting for a "lesser of evils" compromise in order to defeat a "greater evil." 2. All swing voters who prefer Trump over Harris. 3. Voters whose reason for voting R is that they're anti-blue... maybe they associate the D label with socialism or communism. Larry Hogan ruled out running as a third-party candidate when he was courted by No Labels. But he was never offered the option by the Democrats to run head-to-head against Trump.

[@riceburner4747]

It's not Democrat or Republican. Like Emma said, it's issues that work for US. That's how we NEED to vote. And choose Independents who WORK with Democrats. 👍✊️🖖🇺🇸

[@exvangelica4271]

As a Nebraskan, I am very hopeful about this election. I'm sure we'll split the electoral vote again, and it would be great if we get get Deb Fischer out.

[@faybancollins]

Sounds like he has some Tim Wallz energy

[@TaniaShipman]

I hope this candidate wins. It's funny as an Australian listening to Emma and Luke talking about this independent Senatorial candidate who could vote Democrat on issues that would help the people of his state, and against or negotiate on things like the border. That's what Independents are supposed to do. We don't have the two-party system the US does. In fact, at our last election, the Green party added seats, an independent group (Teals) picked up 8 seats from conservatives, and other independents won seats. Our two main parties struggled for votes. We are used to Independents. I hope America can get used to them, too.

[@hughquigley5337]

I agree! America should get used to some more independents.

[@independent-ts6ys]

Me too 🙏

[@et34t34fdf]

You should have him on the show, if you can.

[@AngelusaNobilis]

I'm a volunteer for his campaign and any Nebraskan that is reading this I want you to do one thing for me: volunteer so we can spread the word about Dan since there is no party infrastructure that will spread the word for us

[@marybardmess7953]

Thank you from Washington

[@MaribelMendez-be7gy]

God I wish, he would visit, small towns in Nebraska, Auburn ,Humboldt, Pawnee areas

[@japaNebraska]

and he just happens to have one of the best names for running in NE

[@crozetisles8315]

True dat.

[@dilettanter]

How so? Not from Nebraska myself:)

[@crozetisles8315]

@@dilettanter Osborn is also the last name of beloved former game winning Nebraska Cornhusker football coach of great fame. And football is like religion in Nebraska.

[@japaNebraska]

@@dilettanter Tom Osborne is a beloved football coach from back when the Huskers were good.

[@dilettanter]

@@crozetisles8315 thank you !

[@donveto5164]

Enjoyed the in depth coverage of this being from Nebraska

[@rexdink]

Reading the electorate, and willing to represent them? Crazy like a fox.

[@frankbyrne6069]

I wonder if the fact that he has the same last name as Tom Osborn helps him in some small way?

[@1017sold]

Sasse was vocally anti-trump and won historical margins in the senate. To give a sense of Nebraska politics.

[@crozetisles8315]

And then the new governor gave the old governor Sasse's seat when Sasse parachuted into that univeristy presidency down in Florida in that corrupt backroom deal.

[@reptilez]

Ten thousand hell yeah's isn't enough! Brother sounds legit. 💪💪💪

[@deanrao4805]

There is a yard sign for Osborn one house away from me. I assumed an independent candidate in this county would most likely be worse than the Republican. But I got a postcard from his campaign, and looked his website. Maybe I can vote for a candidate this year, rather than skip it. Many Republicans run unopposed here.

[@AngelusaNobilis]

Yes please, please consider voting even if it's just for Dan and the legal medical marijuana referendum. I don't care who you vote for president I don't care if you like Vargas versus bacon just help this damn country by voting for Dan and help this damn state by voting for weed. You would have my undying love forever

[@anahata8285]

He came to my job at a factory for a q and a earlier in the year. I asked directly his thoughts on gaza and he called for a ceasefire when a lot of other politicians were only giving unconditional support to isreal. He has my vote

[@jaredjones6292]

Ask any Nebraskan what Deb has done for our state and there is about ten minutes of silence. There isn't one thing anyone can point to.

[@termsofusepolice]

Yet the majority of Nebraskan's keep voting for her. Go figure.

[@robertshonk518]

The platform page on his no-frills website is unusual. He puts forth modest but progressive positions. He defends them with appeals to fairness and common sense, not not the usual liberal moralizing. It's a style that red state Democrats could learn from.

[@sidwilkins3078]

I would vote for a trained monkey, because it would be better than Deb Fischer. Hope he wins.

[@MaribelMendez-be7gy]

A nyc dem, now living in Nebraska now, voting for Osborn!

[@hughquigley5337]

Osborn supports the workers! I think that resonates a lot with working class republicans. I think he could win especially since he’s up against such a weak opponent!

[@georgedeleon4740]

Good luck

[@threeofeight197]

I’d take him over a Sinema/Machin 100%. A secure border doesn’t hurt my feelings as a leftist either. My problem w the border talking points is usually only about how it ignores the other issues around it.

[@mikem201]

He's got my vote.

[@DHa-og5dx]

Vote blue up and down the ballot. 💙💙🇺🇲🇺🇲

[@robertcoren7318]

Thank you making me aware of Osborn’s candidacy.

[@waterandafter]

FYI the Kellogg's plant in Omaha has announced they are pulling out of the city.

[@AngelusaNobilis]

I think it's retaliatory

[@crozetisles8315]

It is going to Mexico from what I have heard.

[@waterandafter]

@@AngelusaNobilis It's absolutely retaliation.

[@waterandafter]

@@crozetisles8315 Maybe it'll be healthier? They have stricter food regulations.

[@matthewwebb6001]

Very familiar with D.C. Steamfitter's Local 602 !

[@independent-ts6ys]

How does that governor Fisher hold up against Tim Walz, who as a governor too, implemented multiple pieces of legislation that helped the people, like a governor is supposed to do.

[@christiansmith-of7dt]

Give washington dc something to think about

[@crozetisles8315]

The strike Osborn was in the union leadership opposing to Kellog's corporate greed during the pandemic, not only revolved around wages and benefits and a two tier employment scheme, while the company enjoyed record profits. It was about an outright inhuman work environment which rank and file workers were forced to be subjecting themselves to. Treated like, cattle, or expendables, or however one might phrase it. They worked these people 12 hour work shifts, 7 days a week, with zero reprieve from all that potentially mind and body crushing labor. Acting like these people did not have lives to lead outside of work.

[@termsofusepolice]

Capitalism operates on the principle that only workers with rare, highly sought-after skills get ping pong tables, catered lunches and work/life balance considerations from their employers.

[@tylerhackner9731]

Let’s gooo!

[@ADarrell]

Osborn is the key to a functional government.

[@hectorhall82]

It's cool to see this candidate get some attention here. I donated to him a few times before.

[@KattEyl]

If everyone watching would donate at least $5 to his campaign, I’m sure it would help him out.

[@lc4011]

Dan is fundraising on ActBlue!

[@davidcwitkin6729]

How can we help publicize Dan Osborne's fight? How can we help him win?

[@acesfullmike5371]

Harris calls Israel's actions "their right to self-defense." Her statements, which come from a previous prosecutor, district attorney, and attorney general, can only be interpreted as disingenuous. The ICJ by a vote of 15 to 2, with one of the two being an Israeli judge, ruled that there was enough evidence to go forward with the charge of genocide against Israel. There is no possibility that Harris does not know and believe that genocide is occurring in Gaza. But for reasons that only she knows, she refuses to speak out against the genocide or against the many crimes that Israel is committing and the US is complicit in.

[@mechanic6682]

I think Jeffrey Epstein was only a tiny part of Israel's intelligence operations and that they have dirt on just about every person they need to control, or at the very least someone important to them. The money is the carrot and the blackmail is the stick.

[@StarGazerJim]

The big question is who he would caucus with, the Republicans or the Democrats?

[@willielee5253]

🙏🔵🙏🔵🙏🔵🙏 VOTE 🙏🔵🙏🔵🙏🔵🙏 🔵🙏🔵🙏🔵 Harris🗳🗳Walz 🔵🙏🔵🙏🔵

[@BeanieClubForMen]

With our handwoven Siberian tuque, you will be able to hide your baldness & easily tune out any dissenters calling you a Russian propagandist. They’re also water-resistant so you never have to take it off. You can comfortably wear your dunsel cap in the shower or in any federal prison without other inmates judging you for your hair loss. Take my word for it. I’m not only the president of Tuque Club for Men, I’m also a foreign client.

[@oldtimer7635]

6:02 Social Democracy (Sanders) and socialism have very little to do with each other! I don't know if even Bernie is aware of this, but that's the way it is. This from Scandinavia. ; )

[@tigmiester4248]

I'll say this i know nothing about this race but Nebraska? Nebraska? Presidential election year? They going red baby.

[@Fellowtellurian]

Kamala running a fund raiser ad on this video is hilarious. She really does not understand that without a ceasefire and Palestinian statehood, she’s not getting our money.

[@kijackson92]

Palestine is a Roman name. Plenty of room in Italy for new citizens. Surprised that isn't a solution.

[@Fellowtellurian]

@@kijackson92 Surprised your mom decided to give birth to a child with a sever developmental brain condition.

[@Fellowtellurian]

@@kijackson92 I’m surprised your mom decided to give birth to you.

[@banterj]

We are going to get another Manchin or Senema with this undecided candidate

[@whosays1977]

Only if he takes corporate owner-donor bribes and is bought by them, which it sounds unlikely.

[@theevilmoppet]

Sinema ran as a democrat and was very blatantly just bought off to essentially become the moderate who blocks everything and/or lied about her beliefs while running; Joe Manchin was always transparently in the pocket of WV coal interests. Osborn, on the other hand, will of course likely not vote with the democrats on many issues (because he’s not a democrat), but he will certainly vote with them on economically populist matters like unionism and wealth taxes. Even more importantly, unlike in Arizona, no more democratic person could ever win this election, whereas Osborn at least stands a small chance - and if he does ever become the tipping point senate vote on some important democratic issue, he is motivated to use that influence to push democrats MORE toward pro-union and populist policies, unlike Manchin and Sinema.

[@DHa-og5dx]

Don't want to do that. Have to be careful with so called Republicans who turn Democrat. They often switch midway and side with Republicans. I don't trust them.

[@SeigmeyerFreud]

Running as an independent does not make him “undecided.”

[@RainStormfront]

Doubt he would be as bad as the other Nebraska senators I can think of.

[@TerryYelmene]

VERY Interesting! You Be Your Own Man! Go Mr. Osborn!

[@JohnWoodall-sv8pm]

Every Democrat campaign ad needs to list all infrastructure bridge, internet service, road, etc, built in their communities, and the number of workers hired, and that their Republican representative voted against it!

[@eddyimplementredux]

Results beget results, control of the senate for the GOP has paid off so many dividends it's crazy, Ive seen some interviews, this guy has way too many liberal-sounding talking points to pull away republican support