This is NOT Going to End Well…

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DISCLAIMER: This video is for entertainment purposes only. We are not financial advisers, and you should do your own research and go through your own thought process before investing in a position. Trading is risky; best of luck!

[@stlouisian]

So when is the crash coming? Lol you have been saying this every single day for the past 2 years.

[@areadevalorTV]

When the FED lowers interest rates, other stocks will rise on the news and then fall on the fact that the economy is deteriorating

[@ren1018]

Seems like initially when the rate cut happens they temporarily go up but like 2-3 months later the decline starts

[@WizeGuyz2023]

It's the housing bubble that's going to suck the most. Lot of people buying houses right now that are not worth what they paid, and a ton of these homes purchased are rentals with landlords dependent on that money. Once that bursts you'll have a homelessness crisis and a larger crash then what happened in 08.

[@joo02]

@@WizeGuyz2023who says there is housing bubble?

[@betterlifekings]

Neutral reverse iron condor 3-6 months will do good

[@jonathantaylor6926]

Na recessions are bullish now.

[@TRXST.ISSUES]

I wouldn’t underestimate hype cycles. They always go longer than we think they should. Interest rate cuts plus election pandemonium.

[@royalmellon6811]

Why are people so afraid of crashes if you are holding 30 years? Especially index funds

[@aaronquadd3019]

Either way, buy more stocks do it now and do it when it crashes. Keep buying, time is the most important asset

[@rossgeller729]

Sp500 is going to 1,000,000 by year end. Everyone will be billionaires.

[@systemx4]

It's going higher🎉

[@user-ue8dc5mk6i]

When the Fed pivots, the party will end

[@Sondan1988]

I don't think the rise is done yet because the recent news saying inflation had decreased slightly. The only problem for me though is that NOTHING in the economy is telling me it is improving. We don't go out to eat very often and prices for most things still seem pretty high.

[@eatcake3073]

But did you expect those prices are going down too? Lowering inflation is ongoing inflation and not lowering prices (!). Only deflation by a crisis or a bullwhip effect in supply chains will cause price decline. I think we have already had a bullwhip when businesses were running again after the covid crisis. For example in my place lots of bicycles were being sold with big discounts. Those prizes are normalizing again nowadays.

[@marcelorachevsky8944]

Russell 2000 going up! SP 500 bullish!

[@jordanp.2558]

78% of people are paycheck to paycheck…and that percentage is increasing every day. I think this bull run has a little more time before an abrupt ending.

[@weho_brian]

yeah but you underestimate the other 22%, the ultra wealthy who basically contribute the most to GDP. They dont give a shit if inflation is 24%. This bull market can continue for a very long time

[@danparish1344]

So many investment firms are highly leveraged, borrowing too buy up all the houses and land. There’s no way they’re going to get screwed. Their buddies at the fed Will inflation their way out of it. Inflation is a borrowers best friend.

[@ILoveTinfoilHats]

They owe so much there's no way out of it except letting inflation run a little high for a while

[@LeafDew]

Another great video! It's especially enlightening to have a full picture of market participation in theses rallies. Even when this channel is 'worried' about the economy it backs its findings up with evidence. The information given here is always laid out clearly and concisely!

[@kobezcarz4558]

Love these videos. But if I had sold when I expected a pull back. ... 😮 I'm staying im equities

[@VanPelt54u7fcyde57]

In Today’s era of volatility, there is no other way but to re-invent. the only sustainable advantage you can have over others is agility, that’s it. Because nothing else is sustainable, everything else you create, somebody else will replicate

[@liszt77777]

stocks are still super bullish

[@jonathantaylor6926]

The only metric that will lower the market is hot inflation prints. Nothing else matters.

[@weho_brian]

i dont think we get a massive correction until september

[@bobbyricelatinjazzbigband]

I always love your charts and videos. Great job!

[@GameofTrades]

Thanks you!

[@michaellalanae7228]

Ai machine manipulation.

[@neooutdamatrix]

They'll keep printing. Buy the dip.

[@juancpt]

The same AI mania that caused the bubble will also crash this market. Enjoying inflation beating income growth until the stock market corrects. First LT entry at lower trendline @ around 4600 on SPX. When that breaks, and I believe it will, then it will go back to Oct 2022 lows . The US stock market is in LALALAND. Also, do not rely on technical analysis only and consider the current valuation levels of US indices, such as Buffet Indicator, Shiller PE Ratio, Revert to mean. What are the future returns from these levels? The stock market already borrowed too much from the the future. I rest my case.

[@RobertGillontheinterweb]

Wouldn’t be surprised if we get a rate cut in august things go parabolic and then a severe crash in October after disappointing Q3 earnings and increasing layoffs / unemployment. Could also add in a liquidity crunch for good measure

[@waqidj]

Everyone missed the part where he says this could all change quickly 🤣

[@huunguyen5280]

SELL SELL rate cut mean economy tank stock down happen every time sell buy Treasury wait for big drop then come back in

[@chriswyer8741]

Thanx for this brilliant analysis… it sheds some light on a timing indicator for the turning point.

[@SirManselus]

Recently bought some recommended stocks and now they are just penny stocks. There seems to be more negative portfolios in the last 3rd half of 2023 with markets tumbling, soaring inflation, and banks going out of business. My concern is how can the rapid interest-rate hike be of favor to a value investor, or is it better avoiding stocks for a while?

[@meadows5367]

Markets are melting up.

[@Andreallln]

I'm now avoiding new purchases to avoid slipping into a bear trap. However, I'd like to know where the best investment opportunities are during a downturn. My goal is to retire comfortably on around $1.2 million.

[@philb7942]

Great analysis and fantastic graphics. Would you mind saying what tools you use for the graph animations? I work in a government accounting team and would like to include some animations in my presentations. Thanks.

[@goat9199]

which one is it?

[@chriso5842]

It’s always just probabilities

[@andrewlee1275]

It depends on whether they implement rates cuts before the economy significantly deteriorates or in advance when the economy slows

[@BB-sf7jv]

Unlike the past mentioned the FED now buys the markets and as owners will not allow it to crash. When and if they stop buying debt and or the dollar crashes only then will the markets tank. Until then enjoy the ride.

[@seanhipe]

What about in 1995 when the market continued to melt up for an extended period of time?

[@simonsays2774]

buy the rumor sell the news...The fantasy of falling interest rates will cause stocks to rise, the fact of falling interest rates will cause stocks to collapse. It has always been the case in the past that when interest rates actually fell, the stock market also corrected.

[@mackrobertson2187]

The crash will be monumental.

[@awwfishsticks]

We’re already in a higher p/e ratio than before the 2022 crash

[@jonathantaylor6926]

I am starting to think the stock market is too dumb to crash at this point. What if there is a recession but no trader cares?

[@oezbackable]

@@jonathantaylor6926 i may agree with this. too many newb joined trading after pandemics. also so many investors from failed nations buying us stocks with everything they have: Turkey for example. some dynamics have been changed.

[@colbyharrington6166]

​@@jonathantaylor6926That is because the officials that report recessions have changed their definition once again. We were in a recession in 2022. 2 negative quarters of GDP growth. This is why it is difficult to price recessions.

[@tuckerbugeater]

@@jonathantaylor6926the fed has a plunge protection squad. it looks like they're only crashing parts of the market.

[@RandyShelton1]

I guess my question is how does inflation change this thesis.

[@cheersmodreams691]

A most excellent analysis.

[@mikeks1421]

I just realized the level of work and detail you put into your videos. Very underrated channel. You guys do a lot of great work. Although some may disagree with your thesis at times, you guys put in the time and effort to make a great point.

[@amirbazal9897]

In 6 to 9 months run for the hills Great video as usual ❤

[@Spadesshovel]

I'm waiting for it. I've got 12 Oz of pure nz gold to sell just for the pain

[@ifyousayso4526]

What would happend if you dca forever?

[@c-h.n6906]

so should i sell all my positions on this ETF and wait for the correction? im new to investing so i dont really know what to do^^'

[@MartinD9999]

On what ETF?

[@KenW418]

If you are young, keep buying. Dollar cost average into a few diverse ETFs until retirement and don't even worry about trying to time the market. If you want to try to time the market or buy a few speculative stocks you are looking at, do it with a SMALL portion of your portfolio.

[@chenterios5099]

Gonna load up on Tesla

[@lowkokwee1551]

Who's the ppl buying at these prices? No decent pullback for 7 months

[@EmptyZoo393]

Automated 401k contributions will be a chunk of it. Pension plans, there's a few others that are set and forget, keep investing a chunk every two weeks.

[@willaerley7140]

Money managers need to outperform the SP500 to get their bonus. The only way is to load up on tech.

[@LorriSanga]

What's the point of cash on the sidelines? Hedge the draw down.

[@mc1996]

I am, 200$ every month, automatically

[@Danieltkb25]

Nike

[@ck-vu4rl]

great analysis. thank you

[@brian-jv1nw]

The dollar is breaking down. Fakeout?

[@mohammedhamud3687]

What is a person supposed to do in a market crash?

[@goober-ll1wx]

Cry harder...

[@Charlotte-ew6sw]

I think investors should always put their cash to work, especially In 2024, we'll start to see more market diversification. I'm hoping to invest about $350k of my savings in stocks against next year. Hope to make millions in 2024.

[@xxx-eg6dv]

Thanks for videos 1st

[@Yoyoy08]

Oh wells lets keep pumping

[@LuIsSaNcHeZ510]

Amazing. You sir, are amazing.

[@lox4482]

buy the dip. whats about msci world? could u please compare it to s&p 500? the world is bigger than just america, in europe everyone is buying msci world not s&p 500

[@SamOween]

Good question, MSCI World has around 70% exposure to the SP500 so it's still highly influenced by what happens in the States.

[@cenzoredworld]

Yeah as SamOween stated, msci world has significant US equity weight, as the US is the most capitalized equity-wise globally. You have to look at msci world ex USA MSCI ACWI ex USA (Net MA Tax) Annualized Return 1-month: -0.08% 3-month: +1.04% YTD: +5.83% 1-year: +11.82% 3-year: +0.63% 5-year: +5.72% 10-year: +4.01% As you can see above, not the best historical averages, not much better than the Russell 2k (depending on timeframes, R2k has a 7% on its 10-year). I would acquire specific stocks throughout the world, pinpoint that company that has strong profitability. There are some really high yielding dividend stocks outside usa that are great, not sure of now to buy, but I did well with Equinor several years back, that has a 12.64% annual yield (have to pay a dividend tax if you are US based, so knocks it down to "only" 8%). With a little risk, take a look at Sasol (SSL symbol) right now, the thing tanked and historically bargain basement (for a reason), but could run back up, has a high yield too. Don't buy the msci world ex USA index funds though, they suck.

[@Fastcarsdriveslow]

Demand is gone. Stocks hit higher highs!

[@drek273]

just shut up. youre just saying random shit

[@paulinevanderbilt713]

Economy is not relevant to stock market.

[@carreview6595]

I agree.

[@LiberatedMind1]

Oh yeah, so why does the stock market follow the business cycle and crash during every single recession?

[@jasondillon2567]

Facts.

[@aryanmanjunatha9265]

great stuff

[@JSCDofGB]

Interesting. Thanks for sharing your research.

[@walterwojton]

An incredible opportunity to buy index puts way out of the money.

[@chandanchauhan4346]

Watching ur videos to manage my altcoins 😅

[@pvtm00nGaming]

great job

[@dimitristripakis7364]

SP500 is up 20% this year. A correction is almost 100% certain, so what. It has been doing the same since forever.

[@sauljimenez6738]

I GUESS YOU FOLLOW J BRAVO? HE TOO JUST SPOKE ABOUT THIS

[@FrankBurgos]

Quality video as always.

[@mmmom6469]

Bull forever; stock never drop;

[@freesk8]

Thanks so much!

[@juaneramirez3350]

At this point it’s the dumbest money buying the indexes 😂 There’s no real growth since 2022

[@wh0_am_152]

The AI bubble is going to pop

[@alexanderrazuri967]

Thanks again, it should go higher, as smart money is selling and will sell. It's time to hoard money.

[@sssbbb]

Three words: DCA

[@jonesmatthew7511]

So are you in the "melt up" camp?

[@midwestcannabis]

😮😮😮

[@yboumaiza7]

AI bubble

[@CrashBr0]

🎉🎉🎉

[@Dan16673]

The crash woild have happened when the banks failed but since the fed can bailout quietly without congress they skipped it

[@markhoward3803]

Thanks to Joe Biden's economy, I'm going to be able to retire 10 years early!!! Thanks Joe!!!!!

[@ryangustin2195]

Thanks to Trump I’ll be able to retire 20 years early

[@LiberatedMind1]

😆It's Jerome Powell's economy.

[@jackalopewright5343]

Thanks to Joe Biden’s economy, I’ll never get to retire.

[@Oakbeast]

@@ryangustin2195 yeah right with Monopoly money??

[@adamblack_forex]

You might be on to something here, my brother

[@DaviMKim]

🚩📉 🎯🦈

[@roberttaylor662]

I'm now avoiding new purchases to avoid slipping into a bear trap. However, I'd like to know where the best investment opportunities are during a downturn. My goal is to retire comfortably on around $1.2 million.