This Nintendo Switch 2 Leak Suggests 2025 Will Be HUGE Apparently...

[@evermillcreek]

I have a theory that Switch 2 will use DLSS only to upscale from 720p to 1080p, then the dock will have a 4K Gamer Pro equivalent upscaler to bring it up to 4K. That means the developers only need to concentrate on the two power profiles that were rumoured, eliminating performance differences between handheld and docked. But crucially, pretty much any 3rd party game can perform well if devs make the right compromises, targeting native 720p.

[@Даниил-з4ь4ф]

Well, I have a theory that NS1 successor (not the fake & overspeculated "Switch 2") won't have DLSS features, cuz it would rise the price for the console SIGNIFICALLY & we all know that Nintendo likes to go the cheap way. So what AR is talking about in this video is BS & garbage & believing these "leakers" is not smart to say the least, especially Nash Weedle😓😤

[@ohword3333]

@@Даниил-з4ь4фi think it's confirmed that nvda is making a unique chip for the next gen switch to run dlss, the cost saving will come from the lcd screen instead of the oled

[@BorisWright]

@@ohword3333 When did Nintendo confirm the chip in the system ?

[@ohword3333]

@ T239 by nvidia, with dlss upscaling. It stays cheap with decent handheld parts but beast out docked

[@Даниил-з4ь4ф]

@@BorisWright Never😓

[@dannypalin9583]

They'll capitalise on the success of The Super Mario Bros Movie by giving the stars special treatment. I can see a new 3D Mario and Luigi’s Mansion 4 being released as launch titles or early on into the new console's lifespan.

[@Pyrple]

2025 will be one of the biggest years in gaming ever. GTA 6 will be the biggest game launch of all time, but since the Switch 2 almost certainly won't be getting it at launch, they're going to have to get gamers attention with their own host of next gen games. It's going to be crazy. It's going to blow 2023 out of the water, and be the biggest year since at least 2018.

[@birdbig6852]

I believe GTA6 will help to sell more Switch 2 because gaming in general will reach a bigger audience. In the world of financial and news, Switch 2 is more important than GTA6 but I think most gamers prefer the game over the console.

[@Даниил-з4ь4ф]

No it won't🤪😈

[@amygeer2217]

If that’s the case then we’ll just have to wait and find out.

[@djjoycie27]

While I’m extremely curious about Switch 2, it’s the games I want! Once we know what S2 can do, it’ll be fun to speculate on what the games will look like.

[@borisgrishenko9430]

I am only interested in the games. Don't care about the console.

[@yoshi1981]

Water, Air, Fire and Dirt. Fucking Magnets! How do they work???

[@lilisaur]

I think they could launch in March, if they wanted to (but find it unlikely without a reveal yet.) Its simply mathematics based on their production capacity. Nintendo had something around 2 million Switch 1s ready for March 2017. We know some of these were built in late 2016 from the serial labels (my March 2017 purchase has a 2016 date on the label.) Assuming three months of production time, they averaged around 700K units per month prior to launch. And a 14.6 million number by end of year indicates they reached an average of 1.4 million units per month April-December after fully scaling-up. However, Nintendo's production capacity is even greater now. At maximum capacity of Switch 1 production circa 2021-2022, they were churning out around 2.4 million units per month. Granted some of their capacity (about 400K a month) would likely still be dedicated to Switch 1 production to satisfy 2025 demand, and there's a few hundred thousand units of Alarmos to be built per month (which may not even be built in the same factories as Switch 1 and Switch 2), its fair to say they can safely approach 1.8 million per month once ramped up. And perhaps even more given they spent a lot of money in the last year to improve the factories, presumably to prepare for Switch 2 manufacture. Now, assuming this 2.5 number scales to all territories evenly (probably won't), this leak seems to indicate Nintendo would desire 5 million Switch 2s at launch across the globe. Taking the Switch 1 ramp-up capacity as half of the expected fully-ramped-up capacity, or 900K per month, means about five and half months production in a worst-case scenario. If the factory improvements led to a 25% improvement in capacity, or they just simply pump the breaks on Switch 1 production a bit more, or Alarmo needs don't factor in, resulting in a volume closer to 1.25 million/month, that drops the production time to just 4 months. If production started in September or October (or is even just now starting or about to), which both the shipping manifest data and financial working product numbers seem to indicate may have happened, they could get to 5 million by March. If they've been secretly producing it for several weeks already, and get production rates even higher, or ramp up even quicker (since it took around three months to ramp up Switch 1 and we've still four and half until end of March for Switch 2), they might even be pushing to 6 or 7 million units available by end of March. I'd personally rather see 8-10 million to combat scalpers, but if Nintendo is happy with a 5 million number, all the better because that means an earlier release and thus more months for a powerful game lineup before holiday season 2025. I'd still put my money on an April-June timeframe, since Nintendo will want several months of high-profile build-up and media coverage and might not want to squash Xenoblade X in same month. But if they've got their hearts set on March they can absolutely make it happen.

[@Даниил-з4ь4ф]

We don't factually know anything about the manufacturing/production process of NS1 successor, except rumours which are presented to us as "leaks", almost as "facts"😤 & some very vague & unveryfiable datamines, so it's hard to analyse something😓😠

[@lilisaur]

​@@Даниил-з4ь4ф So the shipping logs and Nintendo's own financial information is fake? You have proof these companies are breaking the law by misreporting imports and exports and misleading investors? Seems unlikely Nintendo or Hosiden would take such unnecessary risks so we can assume this information is truthful. Unless you've got some evidence to suggest these are all parts for something that isn't Switch 2. If Switch 1, why do they need to be producing 2-2.5 million of them per month this late in the life cycle to account for such a high parts shipment and working inventory value? They already said in the investors meeting their target is about 7 million units through March 31. I don't think Nintendo wants to get stuck with an extra 8 million or so Switches come March 31 so these components probably aren't being used to make that many Switch 1s.* Five million Alarmo's per month? If they had that kind of production volume, why isn't in retail stores for the holiday season? Why would Nintendo produce 15+ million of them, and stock them in a warehouse until finally getting them to retail stores in January? That's not happening. The Alarmo capacity just isn't anywhere near that number so it can't account for the volume of parts or working inventory value either. Perhaps another piece of hardware Nintendo hasn't told us about, like an N64 Classic? NES Classic only did 3.56 million and SNES Classic 5.28, so they don't wouldn't need to be making a whole lot of N64 Classics. And like Alarmo, an N64 Classic gets into the situation of why isn't it in stores for holiday if they could have made enough of them already to at least make for a comfortable Christmas sale-through. By process of elimination, that material and the reported value of that material is almost certainly being used for Switch 2s. The 2017 capacity is easily resolved from how many units were actually sold, and since it was effectively sale-through we can assume Nintendo was selling them as fast as they could possibly make them. We know the 2020-2021 volume by same measures. So we know the 2024 capacity is at least as much. These aren't vague, unverifiable quantities: this is public information based on Nintendo's reported sales for these years (which no one is refuting.) We also know Hosiden had a large expenditure in factory improvements over the last year, which they claimed was in support of their primary entertainment customer, which is Nintendo. I'm speculating here, but I think a 25% increase in capacity could be realistic. So I gave the numbers for both the known capacity, and a theoretical higher capacity. The only unverifiable bit of info I used was that 2.5 number. That's the only "leak." But that's also what the video was about. If that's an accurate number, then Nintendo's publicly known capacity allows them to get there by March. I'm astonished by this too because I thought for sure they'd make a reveal around the time production began, but I can't deny the information that's being published for public entities, such as the investors. Nintendo's keeping a good secret, but they just can't hide the money being spent any longer. The investor's meeting stuff had to describe too much, and it lines up well to the shipping data that had already been leaked. I don't really trust the leakers, but when the leaker's info agrees with Nintendo's, it becomes much harder to refute. * I will concede one point that could explain things, and that is a massive spike in Switch 1 production now, so they can build all the remaining 2024 and all of 2025/2026 capacity they think they'll need (12 million-ish is my guess) by end of this year, so that they can fully flip all their lines to Switch 2 production early in 2025 and not be manufacturing some 400K Switch 1s aside 2 million Switch 2s next year. However, if they did this, that means having to store many millions of Switch 1s for months and months, when that warehouse space could be better used warehousing Switch 2s prior to release. Its much more costly to do this than build both units side-by-side and slowly transition Switch 1 capacity to Switch 2 through 2024, so I really don't think this is the plan. (And if it is the plan, then it means the lines are completely freed up sooner, so instead of an average pre-launch ramp-up pace of 900K per month, they'll be 1.1 or 1.2 million and by late Spring get fully up to 2.3 million or so, so first half 2025 launch date with 5 to 7 million units still isn't ruled out.)

[@michaelosipczuk3649]

Well.. pretty much lines up for early summer.. summer madness!💢. I kept thinking about May/June/July.. April would be plausible, but a little longer do to switch 1 sales record. But yeah, you seem to be spot on with your analysis.. riiight around mid-year. Kool. ❤

[@lilisaur]

@@michaelosipczuk3649 I don't think the sales record matters. Its only a "nice to have". 800 million to a billion dollars more in revenue for each month earlier in the year the new system arrives, plus several hundred million in extra game sales for each new title, probably matters a lot more to them.

[@michaelosipczuk3649]

@lilisaur yes. Pretty much having the two switches at the same time should take care of the types of market sales.. God bless, family,.❤️

[@TomHolmes197]

If speculations are consoles, we’d have the Switch 2 already.

[@sneedis9909]

I love these fake leaks. I know they aren't real but I can't stand the lack of information nintendo is giving us. At least we can play pretend to ease our minds.

[@Даниил-з4ь4ф]

There is one thing you should definitely learn, pal. It's called PATIENCE😅😓

[@CutMan567]

Nintendo can literally only release Prime 4 and nothing else, not even another console, and it will be the best year in the history of gaming

[@borisgrishenko9430]

Not interested.

[@JoiningIrons3306]

The Switch 2 probably won’t be revealed until January 2025. But don’t worry, we just need to show patience. Maybe we’ll have a new Mario Kart game at launch or Prime 4, Legends: Z-A or Xenoblade X could launch with the console. Mario Kart could launch with 32 tracks and no crossover characters and get DLC packs adding crossover characters and double up the tracks to 48. It’s weird that the Blue Falcon is in the series but Captain Falcon isn’t. So why don’t they come in form of the DLC? I want them to ditch the Coin Item and bring the Fake Item Box back, add commentary as the Arcade GP series has it and bring Mission Mode back as it was supposed to return in Wii. By March 2026, we could get a new 3D Kirby game, possibly a Sequel to Forgotten Land. We could get to see playable Elfilin and Clawroline for the first time and they could bring back the Dream Palace Allies as well. Halfway through 2026, we could get Splatoon 4 and by the end of the year, we could get Super Smash Bros. 6 and hopefully they’ll ditch World of Light, bring Subspace Emissary back and update the movesets of some characters. We could get Super Mario Maker 3 and Luigi’s Mansion 4 and a successor to Super Mario Party Jamboree by 2027 as it’s been 5 years since we had Super Mario Maker 2 and Luigi’s Mansion 3. They could add a Mario Wonder game style to Super Mario Maker 3 so 3D World isn’t just the extra game style and they could bring the Amiibo costumes and the Weird Mushroom back, and for Luigi’s Mansion 4, the game could be in an Airbnb and we might get to see Luigi save Daisy for the first time in the series. By 2028, we could get a successor to Paper Mario: The Origami King as the TTYD remake came out this year. So why not another one in the next 4 years? I hope the console sells well. I probably won’t get it day one, or maybe not at all. I might wait for Smash 6 to be announced and then get the console with Mario Kart and get other games later on.

[@RetroCheats]

only way GTA6 would be on switch 2 year 1, is if Nintendo worked with Rockstar on development (to get it running as decent as possible), and Nintendo offered them some money.

[@ddripgod6965]

If gta 6 comes to the series s there’s a high possibility it’ll come to the switch 2

[@RetroCheats]

@@ddripgod6965 I did not say it won't ever come. I said year 1.

[@borisgrishenko9430]

In your dreams.

[@COFFEEBREAKRACING]

The switch 2 will fail miserably, most casual players are more than happy playing Mario Kart on the original switch, they don’t need another one. Casual players don’t upgrade their systems very often. Plus the Switch 2 won’t be that much better graphically than the original switch. Plus Nintendo needs to address the obvious lack of racial and gender diversity in their games. We want a black Mario and a gay Luigi. Plus princess peach needs to be the main protagonist not Mario cus that’s sexist

[@DANCERcow]

Well yes, because if you are a casual gamer, you aren't playing videogames often, in fact infrequently! What do you mean by casual? Because this implies by definition not playing frequently.

[@COFFEEBREAKRACING]

@ casual gamer = not playing frequently or only playing a few selected games

[@OurHeroXero]

I absolutely believe 2025 will be a baller year for Nintendo

[@darkron288]

Ah yes, like when 2024 was gonna be the switch release year, yeah gonna be blunt until nintendo shows the damn thing with a release date i ain't buying anything from leakers because they have been CONSISTENTLY wrong in regards to switch 2

[@Даниил-з4ь4ф]

Yup, don't believe the hype!😅

[@borisgrishenko9430]

I only believe Nintendo and no one else.

[@rebeccahannah117]

2025 is gonna be a great year for gamers! I’m hoping that with the Nintendo Switch 2 getting revealed soon, it will be even more exciting! And I’m very excited to see what else gets announced next year! XCX DE and Prime 4 are probably going to be my most played games next year!

[@superluigikong]

I got DK Country Returns and XCX on preorder. I’m really excited for Prime 4

[@rebeccahannah117]

@ I only have XCX DE on preorder. I really hope that Prime 4 wins most anticipated game of the year at TGAs. It would also be a good opportunity for them to show off a new trailer of the game. But I’m guessing we probably won’t see a new trailer until first Nintendo direct next year.

[@michaelfunke749]

If it's not called the Super Nintendo Switch I'll be disappointed lol

[@GamingMyWholeLife]

The Switch and Zelda BOTW surprised everyone, especially coming off the Wii U where some people still thought it was just an add on to the Wii. The Switch 2 is coming off of Nintendo's most successful console and it's THE most successful console of all time, I'm sure it will pass the PS2 even. Nintendo will come out, fists swinging like they did with the Super Nintendo, after the original Nintendo system. More of what we love but everything will look much better 😎

[@BorisWright]

The Switch 2 is nothing but an overclocked Switch. Hope it flops like the Wii U.

[@shantaehalf-geniehero4318]

@@BorisWrightin your dreams kid, it’s gonna be selling just fine.

[@BorisWright]

@@shantaehalf-geniehero4318 We shall see. Well I'm seeking fake news about the Switch 2 regularly like you guys.

[@kierenbuckley370]

assuming "Switch 2" releases next year which I now strongly doubt

[@Даниил-з4ь4ф]

Not the "Switch 2" (which we all know is fake) but NS successor console & it will supposedly (& more realistically) launch, I think, on Holiday 2025 at the earliest. The best scenario is Spring 2026 option😅

[@kierenbuckley370]

​@Даниил-з4ь4ф I don't want it to release in 2026 I don't trust Nintendo to do the right thing

[@Даниил-з4ь4ф]

@@kierenbuckley370Oh, but it will😏😈

[@BorisWright]

@@kierenbuckley370 Don't worry Nintendo will stuff up for sure.

[@RayofSunshineAR]

I'm so excited for tomorrow or Saturday video about mario galaxy 2 that nash weedle told me about!!!

[@kennycarter5682]

The year should be huge if it's the switches last full year alone, lol

[@shantaehalf-geniehero4318]

Well the year is almost over, they didn’t have much this year.

[@BorisWright]

Next year is looking lame. Nothing but overclocked Switch.

[@AnthonySmith-bj9mo]

hi AndresRestart

[@10k-Noodles]

Between PS5 Pro and Switch 2’s launch stock it’s gonna be a bad time for would-be scalpers. Ya love to see it.

[@borisgrishenko9430]

I hear that scalpers are losing money on the PS5 pro.

[@BorisWright]

What would the scalpers do if the Switch 2 sells the Wii U ?

[@TornadoWhirl33]

Will Xenoblade Chronicles X Definitive Edition get a trailer at TGAs?

[@PaulGaleNetwork]

2025 has the makings of something epic for this industry.

[@borisgrishenko9430]

2025 is looking like a lame year.

[@borisgrishenko9430]

When did Nintendo says it's going to released next year ?

[@Даниил-з4ь4ф]

Nintendo never said when it will be released. They only mentioned that they'll announce the console WITHIN the fiscal year which ends on March' 30/31 2025

[@borisgrishenko9430]

@@Даниил-з4ь4ф People are acting like its confirmed that it will be released next year.

[@officialserenityzen]

27 seconds ago lmao

[@boomini5606]

First!!!!!!!

[@LinouGertz]

Yeah 2025 will be huge gaming year and the Switch 2 will only add to it! It will go down in gaming history for sure!

[@84bombsjetpack23]

Well, we knew it's gonna be huge a year ago so it doesn't say much...

[@RetroCheats]

is there going to be a brand new Zelda in 2025? No? Then won't beat 2017.

[@borisgrishenko9430]

BOTW is a piece of crap.

[@BorisWright]

2017 is the worst year in Switch history. Zelda sucks.

[@RetroCheats]

@@BorisWright You trolling? Even without Zelda, there were a lot of other good games in year 1.

[@BorisWright]

@@RetroCheats The only acceptable game was Mario Kart 8.

[@minislayer3241]

It better be