This Time is NOT Different.

[@wmpete5096]

It's just my opinion, but changing your name is a mistake. Game of trades is catchy, the new one, not so much. Good luck with that.

[@Jetstreamer0]

Game of Trades is a far superior name to Bravos Research...

[@tann_man]

October 22 1907 October 24 1929 October 26 1973 October 19 1987 October 27 1997 September 29, 2008 Market crashes tend to be around October. This is my bet and it's a sort of self fulfilling prophecy.

[@JamesWilliamson-w8y]

So hold your gold through October.

[@roro-v3z]

I have a feeling it will be next year, October, 2025

[@Aspirational123]

6 times in 125 years? The more I hear there's a crash impending the more likely it is that retail are wrong again.

[@korbekleeninc.974]

march 2020

[@elephantmoney]

Bravos research, why?

[@financecap]

In the market, remember: "This time is different" are the four most dangerous words. History shows that chasing new trends without a solid foundation can lead to risky outcomes. Stay informed and cautious!

[@dansmif]

Why change the name? Game of Trades is a great brand, and ties in perfectly with the chess piece bull logo.

[@rjam7760]

It's amazing how Retail Investors keep forgetting about the fact, The FED needs a Crisis to drastically reduce Rates,, As the latest Economic Data Revisions confirms US have already been in Recession since March 2023

[@simonsays2774]

The big companies don't, but mid and small caps do. And also the industry and therefore also the transportation sector.

[@orangedrone]

Well it should be over then

[@ernestocastillo4033]

Underrated comment.

[@bitcoindaddy1]

recession then more money printing....this time is NOT different. never use leverage.*

[@Dan16673]

Over and over

[@graveyarddoji9620]

Game of trades is much better

[@moby1kanob]

this is why inflation is going to come back, this is literally the poster boy economy of Stagflation.

[@DefinitelyNotRin]

Need inflation to pay off the US debt

[@samblakeslee2023]

Don't change the name. It stands out. It's a great way of thinking about trading stocks also!

[@shipso6116]

Good name, but why Bravos Research and not Braavos Research? If we are continuing referencing the Song of Ice and Fire there's two 'a' there. Inaccurate reference is damaging.

[@cupid3808]

I see there are some game of thrones influence in the name

[@m_m_m_m_m_m_m_m_m_m_m]

I wish there was a "Game of Trades - Canada"

[@RationalTrade]

Every currency is denominated in US dollars. Honestly US market matters the most.

[@makethingshappen8427]

Only unemployment rate matters. We had a little taste in July when the market dropped by 1k with slightly higher unemployment rate. Once unemployment keeps climbing month after month everyone will realize what’s going on and flood gates will be opened. Everyone has their finger on the trigger to get out and time bottom to get back in.

[@ilikeboringthings9]

I can't believe this is actually happening!

[@digitaldeepak21]

No mention of bitcoin in any of the videos. Surprising.

[@jamesvr3527]

What is interesting, is that the top 1% of investors now hold a majority (50-55%) of the stock market wealth. Which is where the Fed wanted to be, since that 1% is just a handful investors deciding the way of the stock market, and why the bottom 90% (we) never get the prediction right. The stock market will crash when it knows it can take the most out retail.

[@handlemonium]

Rate cuts are reactionary, not a true and effective anticipatory lever of control. Lower or negative rates may make loans more affordable, but true long-term economic prosperity for the average consumer will need to be fueled by a decentralized free market and a government that prioritizes fostering upward mobility for it's citizens rather than bending to the will of corporate lobbyists.

[@KarenLynnOlsen]

In my opinion moves in market have to be precise at times like this, the US economy is already putting pressure on everyone’s pockets so moves have to be thought with precision. Move wisely

[@dgaray42]

Tired of the dam fed let that shit drop. There making things worst always interfering

[@benjaming.2218]

We have +GDP growth, low unemployment, and low inflation, where’s the recession?…

[@ThrowBackZone]

When the Fed cuts rates, the market drops. But hey, maybe THIS time will be different… right? 🙃

[@Jdog667.]

Nevermind Suppression, were going thru a Recession to the greatest Depression session 😮

[@chasejones8302]

It is different.

[@MrRetobor]

can you do the hindenburg indicator for recent days?

[@devinjackson7670]

“This time is not different” can you explain more? I mean in the 60’s economic research was substantially less sophisticated than it is today. They were just printing money and then Nixon pulled us off the gold standard such that TBILLS weren’t backed by anything. The other thing we aren’t considering is that unemployment rates are lower relative to the environment we see today, that could change but the dollar is still the world’s reserve currency. But with congress’s inactions particularly post 2009 could lead us into a minsky moment where the risks taken by institutional investors and their investments could put us under

[@freesk8]

Thanks!

[@kirill4531]

Could someone hint me please, when should I sell my TLTs? I should not wait for the bottom of the market, right? Because TLT surges when the rates are cut but then goes down, from what i understand

[@jwil4286]

If this time is different, it will be worse.

[@MutualistSoc]

Bottom Up, Middle out, Top-down. Maybe the we need a culture to where all the gains don't go to Wallstreet and that workers should get a better deal at the S&P's expense of stopping ever increasing profits.

[@hayseedfarmboy]

from what ive looked at we are going need the interest rate below 3.5 % or have another bank bail out , and USD needs renewed global confidence or we are going to have added inflation because of a global currency devaluation , so they need to cut quickly and just hold at reasonable level for few years

[@WithMunchkins]

We have been in a recession

[@work6542]

ath today lol

[@piedude333ify]

can you do a video about whether or not the 50bp cut will trigger another wave of inflation.

[@liszt77777]

Remember, rate cuts are good for business. They are bullish events over the long term until they hike rates to raise the cost of borrowing. Rate cuts may be bearish in the short term because it shows the economy is not doing well, dont panic, stay invested.

[@bt4dapeople]

Ive leversged my kids college fund 100% short. If wrong trade school is an option

[@deseosuho]

I like your use of the 1yr/3mo spread as a measure of "how behind is the fed?" Most of the time, the fed funds rate just follows the 2yr market rate. When even the 1yr market interest rate is tanking, that's evidence that the fed has gotten way offsides.

[@shanejets]

Fed funds follows the 03MY

[@alantan79]

FED is way too late, it is never political...

[@jimbobbillybob]

1 million thumbs down on the name change. Keep Game of Trades!

[@lakecityransom]

We aren't in a recession simply because we're being told we aren't in a recession. When the other shoe drops.. hooboy. Goodbye retirement fund.

[@oraclechallenge]

😂 we have been in a recession and about to get out of it. Retail is sitting on the sidelines once again.

[@nicolastheo2313]

According to this analysis, (which I absolutely agree) recession is coming any time soon. I am 25 and I some money on vuaa. Given that us economy will slightly slip downwards, what is an asset that i should move my money to temporary, in order to avoid the drop? Im relatively new on this environment so feel free to suggest what u believe!

[@kieragard]

I wouldn't worry about it. Recession in the stock market is how people like Warren Buffett got super rich.

[@joesoap8125]

Buy at the bottom. Then wait

[@Larsonaut]

Only when you are able to roughly time it with luck or insider knowledge

[@gordongekko2781]

Well, Warren would say you shouldn't try to time the market....Of course he does it all the time.

[@wayne5120]

Retail never learns always trying to take the bear trade and just get smoked year after year.

[@ΓιαννηςΚ-δ9ι]

RECESSION RECESSION RECESSION RECESSION RECESSION ECESSION SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL THIS TIME AINT DIFFERENT

[@GutsFreedom]

When you showed that chart of the S&p 500, it in fsct did break that trendline today. Wtf??

[@kk-in5jb]

What if no recession is going to happen ???

[@megame6274]

borderlining rescession

[@12q8]

Why the name change?

[@Agent77X]

Recession or depression?😂

[@greatchannel9056]

This mean Gold eurusd gbpusd audusd nzdusd will crash

[@dandan9603]

everybody is talking about that, so........ it will not happen

[@artemonstrick]

man how many recessions you have been predicting?

[@lillenisy3622]

The great reset

[@georgevukelich607]

It's comming... prepare your reserves for deployment.

[@Gmel405]

Booooo to the name change Appreciate ya work tho as always

[@Notsam12345]

Do not change the name

[@liepeeliao]

I want to see some serious recession

[@max-ed1kk]

Who da hell is bravo???

[@bravotrades5614]

Glad you didn't pick Bravo Trades... Shewww... lol.

[@chrisraymond2234]

Again you are not telling the truth…. The US01Y-US03MY is now at -0.85, same as in 1981. Somehow your chart is wrong……. Not saying it’s not bad but you are not correct.

[@mmmom6469]

Forever bull

[@Chosima]

👍

[@abcsoup9661]

Hope someone can help enlighten me. Yeah I know several Recession Indicator had been warning us economic is proceeding toward recession/ But what could possible trigger this speculative recession? But how?? Based on history it always triggered by some event. After browsing over the internet interest rate coming down, major company are doing fine financially, Inflation in control, unemployment lowest (Lagging indicator, does seem to have upward trend), voltality index seem fine, comsumer spending seem fine. As a software engineer myself, this AI is definately a hype. But the hype just look like "Metaverse" kind of hype which i believe will cool down eventually rather then bursting. Job hunting in tech industry is harsh, worst in history. Other than that all seem to be healthy af.

[@seanp3555]

Still unsure when will be the recession after started 4 months? you can continue fancying a no landing forever then😂

[@UniNetwork]

what about crypto and what if Trump wins, how does it affect all this and factor it?

[@Icky781]

❤

[@RonBlauvelt-j7q]

Buy assets and wait for the hyper inflation to kick in and cash in 🤑… assets fill grow faster then the rate of inflation which is why they are preferred over cash

[@grantgoldberg1663]

They're going to zero by the end of the year.

[@shaunsprogress]

Not quite, but we have had a breakout of the downtrend. On breakouts you look for a higher high or low. So we probably will se minus rates or thereabouts.

[@Rickyyhu]

Negative next year, followed by hyper inflation 😢

[@colbyharrington6166]

Arthur Burns 2.0. Cutting will be a mistake. Core is up still and inflation is compounding.

[@wadej769]

😂😮😢

[@italianoemigrato8245]

That s a big call😂. I just sold today my long term bonds to cash out some profit . Should have checked this before😱. Can you please justify your call ?

[@joecordoni3434]

OK great when's the crash??? I'm not believing ANY old data post great reset, all these indications are wrong, so WHEN I'd the recession gonna hit??????? °April ? Claiming a recession and not having any 60 day time frame is NOISE

[@Darcsheep]

I missed the discount window. Any chance y'all could extend it? 😅

[@GymForLifeHD]

for this doode always is recession lol one day he will be right i think 2026 we will get problems.

[@NoahFleming1]

Great video! I really do have a quick question. For someone with less than $10,000 to invest, How would you recommend we enter the market? I am looking study some traders and copy their strategy rather than investing myself and losing money emotionally. Whats your take on this approach?

[@iheuzio]

I don't think we'll go much higher, we reached the peak that has been consistent for the past 100 years in the trend line. I think tomorrow we'll see a inversion of the market and the start of a correction.

[@power1212]

For the past 12 months all your videos have been doom and gloom, it's going crash type videos and tell your clients to invest in gold and treasury bonds, mean while the S&P500 is up 26% in the last 12 months. Lessons, nobody can predict the market, no one can time the market and keep buying it through thick and thin and especially through thin (Warren Buffett quote).

[@pimacanyon6208]

any chance the Fed may cut tomorrow, say 1/4 point, then stand pat for a few months, and then start RAISING rates again due to inflation ramping up?

[@jimmehend8946]

Inflation has not gone down...prices on groceries are still up 30% since COVID!!!

[@seanmaskill]

Prices haven't come down, no. Inflation has come down though.

[@Goodyear1776]

inflation is a rate, not an absolute number. For prices to go down from here, we need to have a negative interest rate.

[@tylerdust8524]

Lol

[@Arbitrary_Moniker]

@@Goodyear1776 Negative inflation rate, you mean? Lower interest rates are bullish and inflationary, negative ones even more so. Beyond that, causes of inflation across asset classes are varied; supply chains and greedy pricing (cornering a market, buying/pushing out competition) come to mind as factors which are beyond monetary policy.

[@KenW418]

The prices will not go down ever. With high inflation prices go up really fast. With low inflation prices go up slow. In either case, prices go up.

[@KellarHalen]

The US economy is a powerhouse with a diverse range of sectors. The stock market and the dollar have traditionally been safe havens due to their long-term growth and stability. However, potential downturns are part of the economic cycle, and laws are in place to manage defaults and asset seizures. Inflation can be a concern, but remember, certain assets like stocks and Crypto’s acts as a hedge.. Long & short-term trading is generally safer, allowing investors to weather market volatility. I have managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 432k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Kerrie Farrell, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.......

[@dannymonroy4307]

🫡🫡🫡😊

[@Jovenoli]

Awesome video! I was blown away by the recent economic data! There seems to be uncertainty over inflation and the U.S. stock market is at a crucial crossroads. Despite growing concerns among investors, the economy shows signs of resilience which could help Bitcoin remain stable. Interestingly, the crypto market, which is usually correlated with the U.S. stock market, has been moving in the opposite direction. BTC and the Nasdaq are currently bouncing back. However, with the sentiment changing fast now is the perfect time to get into the crypto market..... I have managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 732k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Kerrie Farrell, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape....

[@30yearstockcycle]

You are not financial advisors, and you are giving financial advice. You can pretend that this is okay, but you are breaking securities law. All that is necessary to shut you down is someone from your country to file a complaint.

[@dderuy]

BRAVOS is a great name

[@thr0waway]

Not really. Game of Trades was much more memorable.

[@jacksanders5766]

what do you guys think about buying leaps on tlt? ive been doing it and its working but it seems too easy

[@XxSphinx140xX]

Peter, look how quickly the market topped after the Fed pivots in 2000 and 2007. Both lead to rallies that lasted 3-4 weeks and then crashes. Seems like a fairly predictable pattern. What do u think?

[@tann_man]

mid-late October tends to be when markets crash. That's my bet.

[@Jdog667.]

Nevermind Suppression, were going thru a Recession to the greatest Depression session 😮

[@WakeUpBuildUpLevelUp]

❤

[@GillianAllison1]

Great video! I really do have a quick question. For someone with less than $10,000 to invest, How would you recommend we enter the market? I am looking study some traders and copy their strategy rather than investing myself and losing money emotionally. Whats your take on this approach?