Undertale Speedrun, but I have ANTI DREAM LUCK...

A while ago, I made a video where I had the best possible luck in a speedrun to replicate Minecraft speedrunner Dream's "luck" in his cheated Minecraft speedruns. This time, it's the opposite - I have the worst possible luck. Can I still finish the game in a decent time?
~~~
Music -
Undertale OST by Toby Fox / Materia Collective
It Has To Be This Way Kazoo Cover - • It has to be this way ...
TWITTER - / shayy_tv
TWITCH - / shayy
DISCORD - / discord
MOD BY - / benjaminurquhrt
Special Thanks to willyjwillyj for statistics help again!

[@simpli_A]

Nice to see a normal, unmodded speedrun for once

[@witherstorm-kx9lj]

complete vanilla, unlike the one on april 1st, very crazy mod, so crazy in fact it was hidden

[@quinnzgamez7463]

Yes very normal

[@amandacourtney3519]

Are you sure about that

[@sanstheskeleton1.]

6:16

[@wl5420]

I can’t tell if I should like or dislike.

[@ChristopherMoom]

20:30 - 21:08 I can't believe Shayy even hired anti-astrophysicists to do incorrect math and spread misinformation about this run's odds, that's dedication Props on finding a way to make your viewers age faster, I've gone from 18 to 180 from these highlights alone

[@_eden333]

chris pratt vs chris moon

[@K1rb0.]

the legend is here

[@gavins6419]

Everywhere I go, I see your face...

[@WindowsMalfunction]

Yooo it's Christopher Moon

[@Glarestar]

OMG IT’ THE LEGEND EMSELF

[@lefthandedscout9923]

FUN should've been rigged to 66 to get the corridor to make you lose 4 seconds in Waterfall

[@pacifistichuman82649]

and also Gaster.

[@Goodguy442]

​@@pacifistichuman82649 it has 10% chance for gray door to appear and 90% chance for the room to appear without the gray door

[@june9914]

It’s a shame that fun is disabled in geno

[@lefthandedscout9923]

@@june9914 nope, only clamgirl is disabled on murder run. Just as one example, Vaughan XV has a video with 48 views of getting the hallway on a murder run, albeit without the door, and then being confused when after rebooting the game, the hallway was gone, because the game sets your FUN to zero when you leave the hallway.

[@Sandstheskeleton]

@@june9914it isn’t

[@blazingbuizel7194]

Streamer, you seem to be behind on time due to your bad luck. I would suggest resetting the run

[@retroaspectgaming]

Lol

[@insertjokehere9064]

Streamer, you seem to have ignored the tip. I still suggest resetting the run.

[@nuclearnoob6412]

Streamer, your run is sub optimal, reset

[@nuclearnoob6412]

Now

[@MitzoSchizo]

:Pepegamegaphone: STREAMER :pepegamegaphone: STREAMER RESET, BAD RNG

[@jakabrobert96]

I laughed so hard when the triple moldsmals appeared at 19 kills even though I was expecting it.

[@theworldsbiggestnerd]

uRiS10 egz magzAr!!!11!111!111!

[@blokos_]

@@theworldsbiggestnerd understandable

[@Streetcleanergaming]

​@@theworldsbiggestnerd average sentence in Ohio 💀

[@ultraflanfan]

@@theworldsbiggestnerd Godzilla had a stroke trying to read this and died

[@theworldsbiggestnerd]

* Úristen egy magyar

[@spi231]

I can't believe nothing changed between this mod and the luck of your normal runs.

[@NutBreadMSMC]

yeowch

[@zHydro12]

💀

[@ItsAllStarGolden]

I cant believe u have no luck in minecraft like irl for a women 💀

[@olinolivia]

@@ItsAllStarGolden GET THEIR ASS

[@trash6985]

@@ItsAllStarGolden this shit was ass😭 u dont know how to word shit

[@cirnocard5710]

Considered how the odds in the luckiest speedrun was like 1 in a sextillion or something...shit man the odds for this run are innumerably lower wtf

[@nathanielkershner5904]

I would argue that it is an entirely numerable amount lower, and that though that number is incomprehensible, it would be fairly easy to calculate.

[@rtg_onefourtwoeightfiveseven]

More time means a lot more RNG calls you have to fail.

[@luditheuber]

one in two

[@sarahspeedrun6419]

Ik this is like super late but the reason is cuz this mod changed step counts while the best rng one didn’t. Step counts have so much variance that it was most of the odds.

[@SemiHypercube]

Thank goodness the bits and pieces health bar coloring was there, or else it would be really hard to tell this was modded considering their luck

[@dwerical]

Now this feels more like a realistic Undertale speedrun.

[@shitposter2124]

6:17

[@nal929]

@@shitposter2124 it's a joke

[@lemons38]

@@shitposter2124 23:51

[@pinagalaxia]

As of April 1st, 2023, the speedrun leaderboard mods for Undertale have determined that Shayy, MrLink2k, and fixylol are Too Goated at the game and have an unfair advantage. As such, the mods have summoned every leprechaun in Ireland to curse these three people with the worst possible luck in Undertale. We hope that the greater Undertale speedrun community understands and accepts this decision.

[@Dragonfly-in9uu]

XD

[@green_ender1907]

Can't believe its actually been two years since the original dream luck video wtf

[@spiriox]

ITS WHAT

[@Abtesaam]

EXCUSE ME?

[@Stefan2010a]

Its 1 doe?

[@pacifistichuman82649]

WHAT THE FUUuuuuUuu

[@Baldebot]

If it had to be maximum unlucky, wouldn’t you also have to encounter one of the “fun” encounters? Either the extended gaster corridor, or the pizza order or the fridge prank thingy?

[@rare6477]

Fun isnt based on rng, there are multiple factors that influence it, kills, gold, health, encounters, love, xp, etc.

[@ibbyrahim7039]

@@rare6477 i thought fun value was rng

[@pkoolaid4038]

Once you start a Genocide Route, the fun value gets set to 0 so you can't get any "fun" events

[@eeveegirl791]

​@@rare6477 iirc fun value is assigned at save file creation, so it couldn't be determined by any of those

[@pkoolaid4038]

@@eeveegirl791 Yup, you're correct

[@krisonthefamilycomputer]

should’ve had jerry for every encounter, now THAT would’ve been some anti dream luck

[@Tree_-wp5zn]

Prophet

[@dergecko92]

You can flee from him tho

[@SimmiusDeltane]

@@dergecko92 True, but if he's EVERY encounter, he's your only option to gain LV and do a geno run, other than the bosses.

[@cendronhawk977]

But he always appears with others. (Although he does make attacks 1 second longer)

[@SimmiusDeltane]

@@cendronhawk977 I took the original comment to mean that he is the only enemy (or enemy type, gosh, imagine fighting three Jerries at once) who appears in a non-boss encounter, so I'd say we're both right depending on the interpretation.

[@StarfieldDisarray]

27:18 Calculating using the average Geno Ruins on a Shayy stream, it's 1 in 3.

[@comradealita]

In my headcannon, when using the ballet shoes I imagine frisk using them like nunchucks. Like they tie the laces together and is swinging them around bruce lee style

[@damarionne4103]

"PAPYRUS, HOLY SHI-" -Shayy 2023

[@AdoggerGamer]

It catches me off guard ever time and it’s never not funny

[@vincentvincent5966]

Shadow pfp based

[@awmmusicofficial8014]

Your the best Shayy! Hopefully I can catch one of your streams soon.

[@-wiseguy]

Damn no reply?

[@awmmusicofficial8014]

@@-wiseguy guess not this time, but I did end up catching a stream 😅

[@anonymoususer188]

Wow. That number was 155 digits long. Yes, I counted. Carefully. I was expecting a 20-to-30-digit number which would have been insanely high already. The actual number was more than 5 times the upper bound of what I expected. That many digits is insane.

[@cherrychip_]

A realistic representation of what most speedrun attempts are actually like! :)

[@Averi0]

4:18 YOO there I am Remember kids, it's always okay to drive over the speed limit if Free Bird is playing 5:40 Foreshadowing

[@3emad.065]

i predicted it would be 30 minutes more than the normal run but the results surprised me actually

[@mikehxzlindao1]

hey Shayy! I recently started watching your content and I can say that I already love it so much! you make me laugh and bring a smile to my face when i'm feeling down! keep it up streamer!!!! 😁

[@ShayyTV]

[@Mzoyagon]

6:56 YOU TOOK ME SO OFF GUARD WITH THAT ONE

[@Delph1Oracl3]

Shayy: “Isn’t the entire coding industry gay and trans?” Me: “Then call me the entire coding industry”

[@LeeSpork]

I find it funny that the coloured health bars do the same thing that Minecraft used to do with its durability bars, that is, go from green to red through a sickly brown instead of yellow, due to the RGB colourspace. Kinda nostalgic for it tbh

[@hundredLeech]

Wait does it not do that anymore? I never noticed

[@LeeSpork]

@@hundredLeech Yeah, in Java Edition 1.11 they fixed it so now the durability bar stays brightly coloured, going through yellow instead of dark orange

[@hundredLeech]

@@LeeSpork Huh. Guess I'm just REALLY used to 1.8.9.

[@SilverFoxeGames]

This is just what speedruns that don’t make the channel look like

[@Ash.47]

16:48 for some reason it took me until Shayy mentioned that chara is kicking their enemies to realize that this child is traipsing through waterfall and hotlands in point shoes. I am a dancer and I would cry, can’t imagine how bad charas feet must hurt

[@coboat6508]

It’s frisk that’s wearing them lol Chara is the person at the end

[@ShadowBulb]

The chance for the core solo majiks was 6.0e-54 according to chat, that is almost 1 vigintillionth

[@ShadowBulb]

though I also so -2.03e23 so chat has lots of different answers

[@yoboimaxedman6444]

Bro majors in rng

[@ShadowBulb]

@@yoboimaxedman6444 it wasnt hard, he said it was 6% and I just did ^ of how many majiks

[@kydaa_]

it was actially 120%+ to get 13+ madjicks in a row since its 6% and u add more 6% each madjick

[@ShadowBulb]

@@kydaa_ on a scale of 1-10, your wrong

[@jaysondavis9693]

They should've aso set your fun value to 66. Just a bit extra walking time

[@Following1000]

Good video as always, although that title is a little odd since this is just a normal Shayy Genocide Speedrun.

[@kalimatronix]

27:19 A quick check for probability to meet 27 single Madjicks already gives approximately 1e-33 chance. At this point I'm too scared to predict the total probability.

[@Lunarcreeper]

16:45 ngl i always thought of it as if they were wearing the ballet shoes a gloves to have a stronger punch. plus it just sounded funny 💀

[@sagacious03]

Commenting before I watch: This is an intriguing premise, although it leaves me a bit conflicted; I love "Worst luck possible" runs because they often radically change the run, but for UT, I have a hard time imagining how this makes UT any more challenging, as opposed to just making encounters take longer, & splitting up enemies, which I doubt makes them harder. So I'm wondering if the worst possible RNG would have any notable increase to difficulty besides, I dunno, maybe worse attack damage? Anyway, okay run video! Thanks for uploading! Also, were the odds really that high for JUST the really bad encounter luck??

[@Zexceeda]

Well it was at least way higher than the best luck because there were more encounters, more step count checks, and more attack rolls to get the worst possible chances on... all together, I think it makes sense.

[@indythevulkin]

The purpose of this run isn't to be challenging; it's to theorize what the slowest possible genocide speedrun would look like. The interesting thing that this is showing is how much difference in time there is between the best possible luck and the worst; the Dream Luck run got a time of around 1:01, whereas this Reverse Dream Luck run got a 1:12. It puts into perspective just how much luck is required for a genocide speedrun, as even getting from a 1:12 to a 1:03 requires a very large portion of luck.

[@sagacious03]

@@indythevulkin Fair enough. Thanks for answering.

[@yean4573]

good job on 56th Shayy! You seem like you could be a great runner some day!

[@crazycanyon3028]

The funny thing about this is that this wouldn’t be a problem if someone wasn’t speed running

[@sumthinorother9615]

Funnier thing would be casual worst luck pacifist: instant* random encounters. Hardest encounter always. Fleeing becomes impossible(?) without bandage. Boring flavor text?!

[@spl420]

​@@sumthinorother9615 fuck, now i want it.

[@macmadness5932]

i love that "it has to be this way" is consistently played at least once in each video

[@crazycanyon3028]

I’d love to see a speed run category for more games where it’s just this

[@strangeandinteresting]

Video dropped exactly as I sat down with my food looking for smth to watch while I eat, iconic timing

[@SirPembertonS.Crevalius]

I feel with such luck, it's more along the lines of a slowrun than a speedrun :P

[@oofley8346]

A bit closer to a power walk than a run

[@oofedultra]

it's more of walk

[@lordradiance2530]

i kinda wanna watch the dream one, but done now, because shayys times have improved considerably since that run, and now

[@plasmaflippy9376]

I honestly think this video is great, ignoring the fun part of it, I think its really amazing that it shows how much skill and how much rng is in the speedrun.

[@TheManWhoIsAMan]

I never realised but the music in Snowdin in Genocide is like the music that plays when you fight Snowdrake’s mother in true lab

[@kylelovespenguins6762]

The theme is called snowy and its generated by the game, during snowdrakes mother fight. I like the normal theme

[@shaadow3242]

if this were truely the unluckiest run, not only would it consist of the luck in this run but also, your internet/power should have gone out, keyboard magically died, hand cramped up, your bladder required emptying right then and there, the sky starts falling, the sun goes out and the moon lands in the ocean. That would be amongst the unluckiest runs... hehe amongus

[@MidnightPawsteps]

And something glitches and you get 2 fun events

[@TSG-The-swedish-guy]

Your youtube videos are realy good, i like them! As a undertale fan i understand the luck. :)

[@coleminer8847]

I have been cursed by deltatraveler For some reason i thought he had to fight flowey in ruins

[@mikubrot]

i love how getting worst possible luck is luckier than getting best possible luck lmao

[@fireorc8410]

Can't be any worse than jerry only encounter

[@cendronhawk977]

That... Doesn't exist. (Jerry is never solo)

[@fireorc8410]

@@cendronhawk977 it does exist, go watch Shayy who did a jerry only speedrun

[@jijonbreaker]

For fucks sake. I just found this channel today, just finished watching the dream luck video and went "I wonder if there's an inverse of that" and here it is literally just uploaded.

[@GREENGAMER2143]

24:20 bro sounded like blitzo for a second

[@drascia]

I realized that with the Royal Guards, Muffet, Neo, and nearly 40 other enemies in Hotland, plus Asgore not expecting you, Alphys did a pretty bad job warning the king and evacuating everyone.

[@gabwood1514]

I think I read somewhere someone brought up the point that Flowey might have intercepted whatever call or message she might have tried to reach him, and she didn't know. The Royal Guards were there as a back up plan in case Undyne died, and if you go through the entire Muffet fight, Muffet says that Alphys tried to get her to leave with her, and when Muffet refused, Alphys promised to leave an escape route for her, and once she got down to the lab or wherever Alphys was hiding everyone, then she'd close off all the elevators. And Muffet regrets not having just eaten her Mettaton was there because he wanted to protect Alphys and humanity, but there's no canonical reason for the Core enemies to still be there as far as I'm aware 🤷🏽 I always kinda figured that since they're mercenaries that Mettaton hired to kill you in neutral runs, the fact that they were mercenaries meant that they wanted to stay to try to stop you?? Or maybe Mettaton hired them again to do that?? The very few Hotland monsters that you encounter though besides the guards and Muffet I figured were probably stragglers who accidentally got left behind to find their own way to the lab, but you got to them before they could make it or something

[@Rockety521]

This looks like the April 1st speedrun, no mods.. just pure undertale

[@somerando8745]

If someone had gotten that run legit, they'd be either be the unluckiest person or the luckiest person, probably ever lmao.

[@NotMuchToDoToday]

i dont know why, but when i heard of the sequel to atlas shrugged being called douglas supposed in this video, it made me laugh and i ended up having chatgpt generate an entire like 200 page book of it. its bad, but so is atlas shrugged so eh

[@dray784]

I watched this and all I could think of was: Shayy: why is my life hell?! Madjick & Jerry: it was us Barry.

[@buddybud_bud]

This is the 90% of Shayy’s geno attempts Lmao

[@AspieOld]

more like 99%

[@Bamni]

I've been wondering, is there a way now to do a true reset on the steam version i cant seem to disable the steam cloud it keeps returning the files whatever i do and i'd like to speedrun the game

[@anijay64]

I’d be proud to be this unlucky if it’s this low of odds lol! 27:27 - 28:23

[@eligaming26.]

So unlucky it’s lucky

[@dazcarrr]

man, this challenge sounds like a nightmare

[@lamxdblessed3383]

It would have been cool if you also got fun events that make your progress slower, like the sans phone call

[@Nathan55411]

So I gotta ask, has Shayy streamed the Bits and Pieces mod? Does anybody know where I can find a VOD if so?

[@papergamesproductions]

The number at the end, which is about 3.4x10e-154, is comparable to rolling a 1 on a d20 (5%) 118 times in a row (0.05e118). However, you only get a maximum of 94 encounters (actually less because a few a scripted), and none of them have a

[@Fluicitea]

I know this is very late, but he also mentioned that the time between encounters is random, and he got the slowest possible time between encounters, in addition to the encounters being the most unlucky encounter possible. This would likely explain the much lower number, as this would at minimum double the number of random events to (a little less than, considering scripted encounters) 188, if these were the only random events effected. Given this, if each event had a 10% chance of happening, this would only require a total of 155 random events in order for the 3.4e-154 value to be plausible. That being said, from a programming perspective I would personally assume that for the time between encounters to be random, it would roll for an encounter once per game tick after a certain point, possibly with increasing odds each time an encounter fails to appear. If each roll was a set 50% chance, it would only require 4 checks to result in a 6.25% chance, or 3 checks to result in a 12.5% chance. If checks began at a 50% chance, and increased in chance by 10% up to a guaranteed encounter, it would result in a chance of 0.1% to reach the guaranteed encounter. If they began at 60% chance and increased by 20% before getting a guaranteed encounter, this would still result in a chance of 8% to reach the guaranteed encounter, which would seem much more likely.

[@user-uc7ee9gx4n]

odds of this happening is 1 in 1 for shayy

[@claudette_main9779]

I had a dream where I was walking on the street with a friend and we went to this wierd place where you can eat pizza and watch TV. The friend left me in the building because he had to go. I ran into the room with the pizza and the TVs and I ate all the pizza. the manager got mad at me so I left the building. But then, I walked back in. Then you were working there. I told you how much of a fan I was and you taught me how to play IRL undertale which was wierd as hell and really scuffed. I have wierd ass dreams sometimes.

[@zaineoakley5555]

That fact this run is better then my geno pb I just need a pb without undyne death tbh

[@1upgd604]

Every time, when you trying to kill Jerry: STANDIIING HEEEERE, I REALIIIIIISE😂

[@RuyVuusen]

My guess was the odds of this run happening being around 1 in a Googol (1 and 100 zeroes). I counted 154 digits after the first one, so not a bad guess (considering a precise guess within the margin of any day-to-day used number is of course unreasonable with numbers this big).

[@Lunarcreeper]

0:43 i was gonna say "Can't even" the portal 2 speedrunner who had a god run ruined by a glitch with near impossible odds

[@Odie_Nico]

What happened exactly?

[@theguythatcodes]

@@Odie_Nico spoilers for the game in the wheatley levels, there is a part with the turret cubes and a button, a very rare glitch happened where a turret cube got on the button and softlocked them (i think this is what happened i havent heard of it in a while)

[@lrssd51]

at 7:38 You said that it is impossible to miss the encounter of icecap but it already happened to me the first time I played the game to miss it and it was the only yellow name that i didn't have at the end of the game

[@Marster_Official]

19:21 the fact that you look like penguinz0 makes it 10x funnier lol😂

[@CrashCollisionCourse]

"Like starting Supernatural at season twelve-" NO. (holds up a crucifix) BAD

[@CrashCollisionCourse]

aaaaaand omori reference. YEP THIS GUY IS CERTIFIABLY COOL

[@Mannastrid]

bro you know this vid is finna be a banger

[@annesavisaboochuy]

i just finished watching the vod but okay i guess i’ll watch it again

[@4per8]

undertale but 1 in every 4096 monsters has a different color palette

[@EagleScout2019]

As someone trying to get into undertale speedrunning, I hate that this is much faster than what I’ve done so far. My fastest time was 2:30 when I was playing duo and carried my brother through genocide.

[@darkenedkie]

Yo shayy! I commented only to ask: Mind to put the link of where you got that keyboard? It seems nice!

[@DNation-jd3ns]

Hello Shayy, I love your videos and I have an idea for a challenge! I call it the modern Tik Tok challenge. Do you know how Tik Tok videos always have game play underneath to keep peoples attention? What if you tried doing a undertail speed run for both genocide and pacifist at once?

[@helton1812]

I posted a comment with this exact video idea on the dream luck video like 2 days before this came out lmao

[@kuwejtyt1680]

someone in chat said 108% for 21 madjicks. They were wrong in two different ways at once. Wow, this video made me feel like Albert Einstein

[@SleepyKatAlt]

THE VIOLIN AND STAIRCASE JOKE WAS FOUL, (#Omori)

[@bobbymiczobby]

Listen, I don't know if I'll get this answer, but I NEED to know, been asking around, as an Undertale KZbinr, I beg you for an answer, So if I True Reset a game, does my last file of my save get deleted with it, or is it only gone after I save on the new game I've started with the reset?

[@Froggyyyyyyy985]

10:48 standing here, in the light just like this too, make history

[@GennyBoy89]

hey shayy, just asking, where did you get that colored healthbars mod, I can't find it anywhere

[@MagicalFishing]

It's part of the Bits And Pieces overhaul mod. one of the lead programmers for that mod made this one

[@coding01]

Hold on, TWO videos with no mods? Dang, was looking forward to Undertale, but its Morbin' time.

[@nico_afton4984]

27:27 those are the same chances of getting the shrouded ghost in sea of thieves

[@Stupididiot-ci5gf]

Dude I never thought I would hear numbers that I didn't know the names of, mostly because I like big numbers.

[@viruscookie4440]

Do you have max encounter rate after all area kills are done to slow you even more?

[@LeDoctorBones]

My guesstimate on the chance for this in a speedrun is 6*10^(-123) (Also known as (6/100)^100) Actually pretty close (Relatively speaking). Wound up being around 1*10^(-150)

[@Danielaco23]

How the hell does this man not have 100k yet... MAKE IT HAPPEN, PEOPLE

[@realsans1]

Hey, Shayy speedrun tip, if you enter the long elevator at the end of core and then instantly exit you skip the elevator

[@endergames1099]

That number is about 34* 10 to the 153rd power, and if you put it where 1million is 1, a billion is 2, and so on, that number would go up to about 50

[@adinom687]

Imagine getting this bad of luck on accident and then you complain about how bad your luck is. Then your friend just says “Sounds like a skill issue”. Though you’d have quite a bit better chance getting struck by lightning 36 times, which is about 10,000 times more likely.

[@gadc8657]

This is just a normal video of a man torturing himself with terrible luck. Nothing more, nothing less.

[@ThatLinuxDude]

The commentary on the Mario movie sure aged well in regards to the movie for a certain horror franchise.

[@yutaria290]

i wonder if the Fun value is locked at 66 because that would waste time with the gaster room (though one of the snowdin phone calls probably would’ve wasted more time than it)

[@nicky_snipes]

My guess is 1/100. Had this done a couple of times in my undertale playthroughs.

[@Tawmis_]

What if you have to play the game backwards and you win when you make your way to the beginning?

[@SquidPartyDude]

Big the Cat while watching this speedrun: *NOOOO FROGGIE*

[@he1pppp]

Why was this modded this is just the average Shay stream

[@PeptoAbysmoI]

What do you use for thumbnails they look really good

[@MagicalFishing]

probably just photoshop or something similar

[@ShadowBulb]

My guess was slightly off, I guessed 1 in a vigintillion, it was that ^2ish. only around 60 0's of