I believe the retirement crisis will get even worse. Many struggle to save due to low wages, rising prices, and exorbitant rents. With homeownership becoming unattainable for middle-class Americans, they may not have a home to rely on for retirement either.
@Syndiewndell5 ай бұрын
Consider buying stocks when the economy is not doing well, like during a recession. It could be a chance to buy them at a lower price and sell later when prices go up. Just keep in mind, this isn't financial advice, but sometimes it's better than keeping a lot of cash.
@martingiavarini5 ай бұрын
Accurate asset allocation is crucial. Some use hedging or defensive assets in their portfolio for market downturns. Seeking financial advice is vital. This approach has kept me financially secure for over five years, with a return on investment of nearly $1 million.
@Jamessmith-125 ай бұрын
Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular coach you using their service?
@martingiavarini5 ай бұрын
Carol Vivian Constable is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
@Jamessmith-125 ай бұрын
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search for her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
@Aziz__0 Жыл бұрын
Planning retirement has never been this confusing! First SVB, then Signature bank and now First republic, these are all the signs of yet another 2008 market crash and recession 2.0, so my question is do I still save in the United States dollar, or could this be a good time to buy stocks? So I’m left wondering what 2023 has in store for us investors, I’ve been sitting on over $745K equity from a home sale and I’m not sure where to go from here,
@devereauxjnr Жыл бұрын
Everyone needs a different stream of income , unfortunately having a job doesn't mean security due to the high rate of tax , one needs to move ahead their expectation, I would recommend refraining from investing in stocks for now. Instead, it would be prudent to consider retaining a portion of your assets in gold. Alternatively, seeking advice from a financial advisor could provide valuable guidance in this matter.
@Tsunaniis-j5l Жыл бұрын
@@devereauxjnr true, A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for license advisors and came across someone of due diligence, helped a lot to grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to approx. $850k so far.
@DreamweaverShade-h9p Жыл бұрын
@@Tsunaniis-j5l Do you mind sharing info on the adviser who assisted you? been saving for pension since age 18 - company scheme. along the way I hit higher tax, so I added to my company pension with a SIPP (tax benefits) I'm 46 now and would love to grow my finance more aggressively, there are a few cars I still wish to drive, a few mega holidays, etc.
@Tsunaniis-j5l Жыл бұрын
@@DreamweaverShade-h9p credits to NICOLE DESIREE SIMON, one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should look her up
@DreamweaverShade-h9p Жыл бұрын
@@Tsunaniis-j5l Thank you for this tip. It was easy to find your coach. Did my due diligence on her before scheduling a phone call with her. She seems proficient considering her
@DavidMiller-du9dy2 жыл бұрын
Retiring early is possible but tough, it definitely requires discipline and big sacrifices. It’s not only about saving, the huge step is boosting earning capacity. I’m glad I got into stocks and recently understood and purchased my first NFT.
@kelvinjohnson39062 жыл бұрын
Not everyone has their financial freedom so well sorted out, it’s ideal to get in early on some investment opportunities.
@noelstout30562 жыл бұрын
@Sean Roger I’m aware of Dan Raziel, how reliable has he been, and how profitable are his trades on a monthly basis ?
@rohitmajumdar15792 жыл бұрын
Financial freedom is about control. control over your financial present and your financial future, it all comes down to investing right.
@AdityaWibisana Жыл бұрын
Congrats on your now-expensive NFT 🎂
@sunilj108 жыл бұрын
I retired this year at 40 my childhood dream come true
@VideoSchoolOnline8 жыл бұрын
That's awesome! Congrats! any tips?
@vikasnarang837 жыл бұрын
Sunil J - ya pls share ur exp.8006666130
@trevorthenbafan28487 жыл бұрын
Sunil J congrats
@raviputcha7 жыл бұрын
Now Sunil J will have to invent more lies just to answer your question. What a pain! Be kind to him folks! Common, who in the hell 'dreams' of retiring? that too in one's childhood, total bullshit!
@sunilj107 жыл бұрын
I did not think it important to respond to your note, since I do not have to prove to anyone. However, I decided to honour the person who is encouraging others. Just because you think it is not possible, does not mean it does not exist or is not true. The biggest part of financial freedom is to stop being greedy - drawing the line, apart from having to create your stand alone cash flow. Btw, all of it is not given to me through generations. I have built my own independent flows, thanks to the almighty for the dream and the opportunities, I got and capitalized on.
@coasteyscoasteys7 жыл бұрын
it's good to plan for the future but don't get addicted to it, at least live a little today. anything can happen, health issue, death,
@ticnatz7 жыл бұрын
I retired this year at 58. I won't even tap into my holdings. I will be reinvesting still, for quite a few years. I live in Europe, get an American pension, and will work just a little bit. I firmly believe in living below your means.....if you can
@aliesneo7 жыл бұрын
Fleck can you share where in Europe you live and if you own a home there. if so, how did you acquire the house?
@nykidxxx7 жыл бұрын
Do your research, there's no way you can copy exactly what he does.
@Lexethan20117 жыл бұрын
Here's something to strive for. Well done!
@aliesneo7 жыл бұрын
i am not interesting in recreating what Fleck has achieved, i simply want to know how he went about purchasing property in Europe and if he used financing from an american institution.
@slamdunk7157 жыл бұрын
He will be living in Europe, but siphoning cash from the USA at the same time?
@LivingOverseasTV6 жыл бұрын
Very good information. I have been living on a budget of $1,200 per month including health care and traveling the world. I think this may be a good option for some. Ecuador and Thailand are both very affordable and my lifestyle, for the most part, is greatly improved. I would love to team up with someone to create some workshops to bring this information to those that are interested.
@haatib426 жыл бұрын
Living Overseas TV sounds interesting, should start a blog
@stangtrax7 жыл бұрын
ATTENTION: At 1:07 it says 50/50 stocks and bonds. At 3:07 it is a chart of 100% stocks. Overall I agree and like the video. Each do what you want, but 100% stocks investment, with dollar cost average and a drip for me. I studied the stock chart also going back the 100 years even the great depression. One day I need to make a video of explaining how simple investing really is vs risk and reward. Man I would have liked to know what I know now 20 years ago.
@ariefraiser1404 жыл бұрын
The stock chart isn't saying that you should be 100% into stocks.
@Brutus28348 жыл бұрын
Thank you for explaining the 4% rule in a simple way to understand. I love personal finance!!!
@VideoSchoolOnline8 жыл бұрын
+Conilious “Brutus” Neequaye glad you enjoyed this!
@taxol27 жыл бұрын
There is simpler way if you can afford it. Buy properties where the population is still growing, rent them as income. Keep renting them and hold these properties until you decide to quit being landlord. Maybe at age 75 or so. Sell the properties, invest the proceed in blue chips dividend stocks or bonds. Inflation will incrase your property value till the time you decide to sell them Dividends and bonds coupon will support your monthly living cost.
@andypagakis7 жыл бұрын
Good advice, but most people dont really consider real estate investing, If you do it right you can 10% returns and increase in value too like you said
@taxol27 жыл бұрын
Andy Pagakis I agree, that is why I said “if you can afford it” and definately not for everyone. Your 1st investment property (which is usually your second property-since your first property is for living) will drain you! But if you keep on doing it right, after the rent income coming in from your several properties, your 4th or 5th property will become very affordable (assuming there is no huge spike or crash in property price in very short time). I am lucky that I have been able to do it. The rent will support my living cost. The capital gains accumulating until my retirement year will be the long term “timed deposit”. Reaching retirement years most of them can be sold and I’ll switch to fixed income papers like blue chip investment stocks and invt grade corp bonds for my living cost.
@stangtrax7 жыл бұрын
LMAO I would not want to put up with tenants.
@andypagakis7 жыл бұрын
me neither, i factored in property management in my 10%
@taxol27 жыл бұрын
stangtrax most of mine are nice people who maintained my houses quite well. Can always screen them before signing the lease agreement
@ethelbertt4 жыл бұрын
A really good video, retirement it's a crucial point in our lives many forget to plan for.
@Jvuski7 жыл бұрын
I retired this year at age 11
@furtim17 жыл бұрын
I retired retroactively from the creation of the universe until about 20 years ago.
@ciacono17 жыл бұрын
J Vuski llp
@simontalbot25077 жыл бұрын
LOL
@bevans767 жыл бұрын
Scam
@ahadulislam88917 жыл бұрын
J Vuski me too
@ronriesinger77557 жыл бұрын
Very helpful. Best explanation I have heard of the 4% rule.
@keatonmorgan2954 жыл бұрын
Good video, am grateful I made an early move toward retirement that has benefited me so much lately.
@MyWorld-xy7gv4 жыл бұрын
Very informative.
@RetireCertain7 жыл бұрын
Great video with some very good data to explain the 4% rule. I would add that the increase in your stock investment account would include not only dividends, as you mention, but also capital gains, and both would be left in the account. The magic of compounding can do a lot without much work over many years. Thanks for your thorough video.
@HeritageWealthPlanning6 жыл бұрын
Big fan of Video School Online. This video does an adequate job of discussing the 4% "rule". My only comment though is if you retired in October 2007. By March 2009, you are now taking 6.6% out of your portfolio. This is called sequence of return risk. It gets overlooked A LOT. And in reality when people are faced with it, they have a hard time staying the course. I've seen it over, and over, again. Secondly, the 4% rule was based on an era where the 10 Treasury bonds were paying twice what they are now. With bond rates as they are today, the 4% has been downward adjusted to 3.2%.
@MJAli896 жыл бұрын
1) Become debt free 2) Have a years salary saved for emergencies 3) Now work when ever you want to.
@tkdcow99118 жыл бұрын
Far better than social insecurity.
@VideoSchoolOnline8 жыл бұрын
+TKD COW haha yep
@BigRed27 жыл бұрын
Video School Online Can’t get rid of obamacare, Social security will always be there because too many “voters” depend on it
@guyh.45536 жыл бұрын
Nice accounting. Helped me out a lot. Made perfect sense once you explained it.
@texas70.326 жыл бұрын
Simple and clear. Good work.
@azizanaziz33766 жыл бұрын
You did the best and most concise explanation of the 4% rule. Great video
@Arbmosal8 жыл бұрын
People should be aware that the 4% rule gives you only a rough estimate. You made this clear in the video but I feel you could have stretched it a bit more. 1. If I spend 25 000 yearly now, 4%-rule says I need 500 000. But if I need 15 years to get to that number Inflation will increase my yearly expenses to over 30 000 so I need around 750 000 to cover the expenses at the time I retire 2. In the trinity study (and this you should totally have mentioned) success was defined to having 1$ or more left. They don't tell us what the average or median left over money was, but what if the average left over money after 30 years was only 100$? It is easily possible to be good for 30 years but fail after 35 or something like that. So one of the most important points you made, was that you have additional income from social security and by doing paid "work". For someone who does not have this additional income the 4% rule can well be to dangerous.
@tankyg82316 жыл бұрын
The Norwegian Government is using this for retirees and healthcare in Norway :P
@bernardmungin59409 ай бұрын
I really enjoyed this post. I am planning my retirement. I really don't want to work till I am 65. I am want to do it earlier.
@BRuane-pw6xq6 жыл бұрын
In the long run this works well . Trick is to adjust your withdrawals during downturns as 4 percent of a much lower portfolio should cause you to adjust your spending or add income via a 2nd job.
@maximilienbisson1597 жыл бұрын
While I think this 4% (or 3%) rule has a lot of logic, this can't be applied directly to everybody. In many countries/territories, you will have to pay taxes on the money you withdraw form your savings. The are a lot of different governemental programs and it probably is different everywhere, but, to continue with your 40000$/year expenses for a family; in order to have 40000$ cash (ready to be spent), the family will have to withdraw more (and in many places a lot more). Sure, as you said, those countries/territories would probably also have retirement plans for their retired people which would provide a certain amount of money troughout the year that you didn't take into account and that will probably counter balance a part of the taxes you'll have to pay, but probably not everything depending on your situation. Basically, I think this video is good to demonstrate that it's not so hard to calculate what you'd really need to retire. Just wanted to clarify that this 4% rule will not apply to everybody everywhere, and that it also doesn't allow for any extra expense unless you have an annual budget for ''extra'' taken into account.
@desscanlon22064 жыл бұрын
Maximilien Bisson XX
@donaldlyons172 жыл бұрын
Glad you said it and taxes were not taken out either. Why no one accounts for that makes no sense but normally they don’t.
@ox50906 жыл бұрын
S&p averages just under 10% every year with reinvestment.
@andrewnewman25164 жыл бұрын
Retired 8 years ago and I've been able to keep my finances in check through investment. i make about $24k a month from my investments in foreign exchange markets(forex). There isn't a particular amount of money needed for retirement
@jovenelpierre26304 жыл бұрын
the income is quite reasonable, it's always safe to earn passively
@gagnonsmith59124 жыл бұрын
Interesting
@andrewnewman25164 жыл бұрын
this past months have been the best of my life, with income coming in I don't worry much, my son is grown and has his finance rolling so I make donations to charity as I believe so much in humanity. Making the best of our my retirement days, we all live but once.
@ericwalter44164 жыл бұрын
I'm fully interested in learning how to trade any suggestions?
@andrewnewman25164 жыл бұрын
Yes Andy, i made alot of bad trades at first but coming across an expert trader helped in getting back to winning ways , my expert trader still handle my trades and he's also teaching me how to trade efficiently, i made $6k on my own last week. Having an expert made the work a lot easier for me, their experience and understanding of the market is amazing.
@askvanita9 жыл бұрын
Nice video and good advice. Thank you for making it.
@VideoSchoolOnline9 жыл бұрын
+Stanley George thank you!
@michaelreid21715 жыл бұрын
Seems insane. If you worked 40 uninterrupted years saving 25% of your gross with 8% returns you won't even have 30 times your salary after inflation. And That's a lot of saving without considering sackings, illnesses, divorce, swindles or any other reversals!!!
@joeskis7 жыл бұрын
Wow that was a really good ad, I thought it was the video. But then I noticed the skip ad button. Pretty effective but I wised up just in time before the pitch.
@ChrisMFlorida8 жыл бұрын
Great video.. and you make it easy for everyone to understand. Thanks!
@koketsomoeng6 жыл бұрын
Great video 👍🏾
@MikeRosehart6 жыл бұрын
Great video, I enjoyed it, I was thinking of making a very similar video explaining how I retired at 24/25 with the 4% SWR
@bobbytheblade25508 ай бұрын
4% withdrawal rate is too low for those who retire early and have the means to grow the asset way beyond that. My wife has managed growth in our investment net worth an average of 12% which is crazy good, and we both retired in our 50's. Our withdrawal rate is right at 8% which allows us to index inflation and experience some real growth though slight. And we are prepared for cutting back in hard times. This works well for us, but is everybody going to be able to grow this well in retirement? Most folk should follow a safer, less aggressive route.
@forgednotcast6124 жыл бұрын
The Median balance in a 401k at age 65 is only 126,000 dollars which under the 4% rule is $5,040 a year and $420 a month. One Million is a very small segment of American retirees.
@guilhermehx71593 жыл бұрын
Very good EBINER
@tillgaller11647 жыл бұрын
Sorry, so should I take 4% of my monthly income back or should I invest it? What to invest in?
@MichaelGGarry7 жыл бұрын
No, the 4% is the money you would have to live on *after* retirement. You need to save/invest as much as you can until then....
@tbnewhomes6 жыл бұрын
Great video
@ThaylorHarmor7 жыл бұрын
My motivation to retire is so I can volunteer more of my time. I can't fathom "relaxing" doing nothing.
@VideoSchoolOnline7 жыл бұрын
True that!
@coasteyscoasteys7 жыл бұрын
Thaylor Harmor no one ever truly retires. you have to do something in your time or you will go crazy. i see lots of old people looking after gardens in retirement and they obviously enjoy it. so why not find a job doing that in your working days
@briannab52967 жыл бұрын
+coasteys coasteys ... men retire, women never truly get to retire.
@justinofboulder7 жыл бұрын
prefer the term FI (financial independence) to "retirement"........I enjoy work, and like that I can choose what projects I take on......
@argentumtaibhsear6217 жыл бұрын
I do love that you used 1900 for stock but 1913 for inflation.
@ReeceJCoxy6 жыл бұрын
You say invest in bonds. What type of bonds. What rating status? And in stocks. Do you mean purely in stocks or some in mutual funds or etfs
@badass66567 жыл бұрын
Shares and Bonds provide cash flow. If you spend less than the cash flow you can spend he income indefinitely. The 7% average return rate occurred when as you mentioned inflation was higher than now. Economic growth was also higher than it is currently. As you mentioned 3%, cash flow will be nearer this figure for most people.
@londonspade58967 жыл бұрын
I retired at the start of this year only 7 months after conception, 60 days or so and I'll pop out ready to party.
@RunForMillionaire7 жыл бұрын
Cool video!
@amos1kurtda6 жыл бұрын
Thanks for that very informative. Ive been investing in the real estate market, done pretty well out of it but looking for something more liquid. Any funds you recommend?
@JohnSmith-db1qi5 жыл бұрын
To keep with the idea of living below my means next month I'm moving into a smaller box on a busier street. I hope the increased traffic noise will take my mind off my smaller quarters.
@Kevin_Roche7 жыл бұрын
I think it's funny that I find so many investors assuming an average rate of return per year over their lifetimes. Prior history does not prove what the next 20 years will bring unless you view the market from a cyclical perspective. Most investors these days think that because a fund can perform say 6% on average, that it always will. Usually to get the best returns, you have to invest in what is commonly viewed as unpopular. The things turned aside today can be treasures tomorrow. It happened with Bitcoin, it happened with Apple, and eventually it will happen with *fill in the blank*. Getting the best investing returns is all about timing and understanding the world you live in.
@TheShowThatSUX7 жыл бұрын
What concerns me about this logix is how things are changing: Yes 1913 to 2016 inflation = average 3.27% And yes 1913 to now = average market ROR 6.XX% But 2 problems with this model: 1) current rate to date average ROR is 5.47%, and depending how you do it weighted averages can be as low as 4.27%. 2) more recent inflation (1974 to now) averages out closer to 4.11% and no longer includes things like food and fuel so in practice is more. Those 2 numbers are far to close to one another for my liking.
@classicnut66557 жыл бұрын
The Monte Carlo curve and 4% creates a whole new issue being that it is often not feasible to create the amount of assets to generate the amount of income needed to have full income replacement. Meaning I need to replace $100,000 a year income. But to spend like $100k in 30 years I need to make $250,000 a year due to inflation. So after social security and subtracting house, car and savings I would need need about $180,000 income to live like I live today. That means I would need to have $4.5 million in assets to generate the income needed to maintain my lifestyle. I have found that using the 2 economic powers to create my own covered asset or pension strategy allows me to generate more income guaranteed while investing less over time.
@danidimitrov38269 жыл бұрын
Nice video as always! ;)
@VideoSchoolOnline9 жыл бұрын
+SlenderBird | 2D Design thank you!
@jburkie017 жыл бұрын
Definitely need to get busy saving this shows how behind I am at 50, Uggh. Big challenge with high mid age expenses...
@rhdtv20026 жыл бұрын
My father in law retired at 50 with 10 kids with his only wife. Sometimes it's all about luck and being cheap. He only gave the basics to the kids and wasn't a enabling parent - he bought a multi unit property because he knew no one will rent him with that many kids. That home he bought for 39k in what is called Wicker Park in Chicago. He then bought the building next to that for 69k then the next one for 99k. With each purchase of the next home he paid off the other one. He makes easily off one bldg 100k a year in rents and is 75 years old. All these properties are worth several million now. FYI- he came from Mexico in his 20s.
@donaldlyons172 жыл бұрын
He bought real estate and he likely selected for poor people with a little money used the law and evicted those with no cash. He was able to comply with all housing laws and used his renters money to pay for everything!!! He sold housing something almost everyone needs not something people can just choose to go without!!!! It not his fault but housing is a scam that exploits the poor worst!
@HP97user7 жыл бұрын
I prefer the 2% investment strategy; it allows for the market to lose half its value without you ever changing your spend rate (not entirely needed, but nice for extra security if you are skeptical of the overvalued market)
@GigasGirus8 жыл бұрын
I'll come back and watch this video once I reach 20 I'm a little too young for this
@antonettego28 жыл бұрын
The earlier you start the higher your return will be
@kieranmaude42598 жыл бұрын
ANTONETTE GO nmpp
@guthannight7 жыл бұрын
your not to young man get started
@MistrDude7 жыл бұрын
Good plan. Your current executable retirement plan is to get educated to pull in a high future income.
@GKS2257 жыл бұрын
I'm 20 and I regret not starting early, though be advised you should learn more before you make any major decision
@waltheisenberg56206 жыл бұрын
The flaw in 0:36 is many have the assets in taxable investments so technically speaking, if you need $40,000 a year net to live on, you'll need something more closer to $1.2 million.
@TripSeibold7 жыл бұрын
Really liked your video. Great explanation and details on inflation. I'm personally planning on a 3.3% (30x) rule for myself. Great job putting this together and giving a shout out to MMM and Mad Fientist. How close are you to FI?
@justinofboulder7 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the positive comment! My partner just "retired" this year (she's 43), and seeing her do it has me excited to get there.....even though I still enjoy my work. I have about 5-7 years to go according to my figures. Started following MMM about 6 years ago, and while I never felt I could take the concept to the "extremes" he has, slowly I have been changing my ways and building wealth in the process.....
@DevonWayne7 жыл бұрын
So basically if you have $20k a year lifestyle and want to live the next 25+ years in that lifestyle (think: beach town) then you only need 25x your income or $500,000. Then start to wrap your head around what $500,000 is. If you do sales or commissions, and make $100 commission per sale ($1,000 item on eBay or Shopify or Amazon, take home $100 profit) then you need to make 5,000 sales. If you sell the item(s) 1x a day, it will take you over 13 years to make $500,000. If you automate and make it a business, not a one man show, let's say 3x items a day. That's Going to be over 4 years. If you automate the customer service, the item uploads, the returns, and focus only on getting quality lead items and quality control, maybe you can sell 5 items a day. 5 items a day would be 3 years. You could retire in 3 years, with eCommerce. You just need to run the numbers. That's all it is. Make 1 sale a day. Then scale it up.
@Seethi_C2 жыл бұрын
But the 7% market return is already adjusted for inflation (gross returns are over 10% on average), so it would seem that you could safely withdraw 7%, right?
@andrewe.79077 жыл бұрын
How do you go about taking the 4% from the non retirement accounts before hitting 60? Do you take the entire 4% at the beginning of the year and live off that or take it during the course of the year? And how do you decide where to pull from?
@CoachDomCosta7 жыл бұрын
Thank you so very much for sharing this!
@Sky16 жыл бұрын
Mama used to say, "It's just as easy to fall in love with a Rich one!".
@Kcducttaper17 жыл бұрын
I'd like to think that, if you place your investments wisely, you can get closer to 8-10, maybe even 12% interest. A bit hard to do in an often limited 401k plan though.
@Moyodsreds5 жыл бұрын
In today's world with bonds at 2% I'm not sure the 60/40 rule and 4% withdrawal still holds true? What say you? Unlikely bonds will ever return to their former glory
@kl89227 жыл бұрын
Average 7% for yearly returns for the average joe, and look what happened to NVDA stock from 2015 to now. It's up 800%. All the other tech stocks are up over 50% in 2 years.
@HD8937 жыл бұрын
Here is the simple rule. Set a permanent monthly withdraw on your check, which will go to an investment account. You are never allowed to touch that account unless you are dying (you are out of luck). Excuses such as I have to go on vacations or weeding or gits are not allowed (You simply don't have money, NEVER treat saving money as normal spending money). You can take it out when you retired or better leave it there for your children (assuming you educate them well). Save money early is the key especially when you are young (resist peer-pressure aka large-scale brainwash).
@craig79488 жыл бұрын
The rule of 4% has been corrected recently because of low returns in fixed income classes to closer to 3%. It should also be noted that this simplistic style of retirement income planning puts retires at risk of sequence of returns. Pulling out income needs from retirement accounts in down markets will impact your ability to not outlive your money.
@VideoSchoolOnline8 жыл бұрын
+Craig Armstrong definitely! gotta make sure you pay attention to down years... and you might need to do some side work or go back to a full time job for a bit to make sure you're still living by the 4% rule (or the 3% rule which is even better!)
@lm5585sysmatrix6 жыл бұрын
One confusing part... Video states that the market has returned 7% on average when dividends are reinvested. However, in retirement, dividends become the income and don't get reinvested. So how do we keep the 7% average when the dividends are no longer reinvested?
@Zorn1018 жыл бұрын
Retired in an unlucky year? What a crock! Here is some good finical advice "Don't retire in an unlucky year!" How do you tell if it is an unlucky year? Sacrifice a chicken and roll the dice!
@blackworldtraveler37118 жыл бұрын
I have a floor to my retirement so I can take any year.
@jobe87646 жыл бұрын
An unlucky year would have been 2008 crash. Many elderly stockholders panicked and sold their stocks thinking they were going to zero. Others could not retire and had to keep working after the 2008 crash.
@mar5046 жыл бұрын
If you are planning to retire in the near future you can't be heavily invested in stocks for this exact reason. Or if you are, have an emergency fund to cope with a down market for a few years, stay the course.
@stephonlee406 жыл бұрын
I'm 47 and I've 6 houses at 2 countries worth 3.5 million us with an 11% mortgage and still hard working
@lylecosmopolite7 жыл бұрын
In April of next year, the current business cycle expansion will become the second longest in American history (the record begins in 1854). Also, P/E for the USA market is now 28. House prices along the Atlantic and Pacific coasts are back to where they were in 2006. A recession and asset price crash is coming. But a house price crash makes buying a starter house much more affordable for young adults (who are totally screwed at today's prices). For most of us, a decline in the price of one's house is only a paper loss. Stock prices will decline 30-60%, but should recover within 5 years at most. The questions are: what happens if you lose your job? If your dividend income declines 30% and is the same 5 years from now as it is today? Some people comment below that progress in robotics threatens a lot of jobs requiring little human capital. I agree that first world countries face a future in which 15% of the pre-retirement population will have to be supported by the public purse.
@pawezielinski79877 жыл бұрын
Big isse with this vid: On what markets (location nad period) and on what investments do you measure 7% growth and 3% inflation? You know that USA, UK, Western Europe and Easter Europe have vastly different numbers for those, right? You know that different financial instruments will give different ror in the same given time? You do count taxes, right?
@angeliacurtis6 жыл бұрын
What type of acct are u using to invest if it's not a retirement acct like a Roth IRA? I guess I'm confused about the ability to withdraw from ur investment if ur not at least 59 yrs old.
@mar5046 жыл бұрын
You can withdraw principle from your ROTH before 59 without any penalty. You can also look into loopholes to move money from a traditional IRA/401k into your ROTH if your goal is to retire early, just search for "roth conversion ladder" and "roth Rule 72(t)".
@Bea_remembrance8 жыл бұрын
good video
@jimgood19497 жыл бұрын
OK as far as how much, but specifically how do you decide what to take the money from? If stock prices are high and bond prices are low, draw only from securities and leave bonds alone, then vice versa, or always draw a bit from both? That is the complicated question.
@jhonmacraimbanajokora86572 жыл бұрын
The dividends and excess cash from the yearly expense being re-invested was not considered !!!
@ping55806 жыл бұрын
7% average over 100 years doesn't mean it'll average 7% over the 30 years during your retirement
@parkerbohnn7 жыл бұрын
You overlook things like sickness, the certainty of the biggest stock market crash of all time in the future (100 percent certain) and of course bank bail-ins where the banks simply takes your life savings.
@shaunrosenberg45687 жыл бұрын
I'm hoping to use the "living off dividends" rule. I'll earn 2% or so dividends and get a 7% raise each year.
@Zorn1018 жыл бұрын
Your inflation numbers are wrong. When you account for harmonic adjustment , substitution and the fact that food and fuel are not included in the real rate of inflation.
@ementormike7 жыл бұрын
Zorn101 so, what do you think the historical average rate of inflation is then, if you think these items you mentioned should go into the calculation? Do you know why the items you mentioned, if they are actually excluded, are excluded by those that calculate the inflation rate?
@pssst37 жыл бұрын
Historical rate of inflation? Inflation is dynamic and now varies so erratically that moving average over decade moves erratically. The government's published figures have as much relationship to reality as the unemployment rate. The total value of the monetary supply is meaningless when the government can print as much as it wants, whenever it wants and can charge whatever it wants to loan it to banks. The true rate of inflation is determined average desire for consumption, and actual productivity, not monetary supply, GDP or any other econometric. The fake one looks at the cost of a standardized selection of things, year after year. It doesn't matter what a 1970's standard basket of goods costs if everyone now wants to fill theirs with champagne and caviar, smartphones and 4K 40" TV sets, and "earns"their livings sitting on both fictitious. their butts clicking computer mice. The "value" of goods produced and the dollars spent to produce them are fictitious numbers with no objective reality, not even in hours of "labor".
@larcomj6 жыл бұрын
interesting, although a little misleading. If your 35 now and your current expenses are $40,000/yr then in 30 years your expenses will be $97,090/yr assuming 3% rate of inflation. That means you will need to save $2,427,300, a little bit more than the "$1,000,000" stated. However, sounds like a solid concept.
@mar5046 жыл бұрын
He addressed this, stock gains on average are 7% which will offset 4% withdrawl and 3% inflation.
@ethanwormell48128 жыл бұрын
I was excited to watch this video and then I heard the voice of a 20 year old....How about someone who is retired? Can we get some experience behind these hopes and dreams please?
@VideoSchoolOnline8 жыл бұрын
+Ethan Wormell I would check out MrMoneyMustache.com, he's what I've based a lot of my knowledge on.
@maierne7 жыл бұрын
nice video, my only concern, you're saying there is an average of return of 7%. Have you seen 7% returns in your brokerage account? Or are you taking government or Wall Street numbers?
@VideoSchoolOnline7 жыл бұрын
Yep... with index funds.
@alrocky7 жыл бұрын
S&P 500 returned 12% last year 2016 and has a 10 year compound return of 8.1% I've had many years of double digit returns.
@sreemukhkovuri47897 жыл бұрын
Not bad. But this doesn't apply to my country (India) or any other developing economy where inflation rates are far higher. Then again, markets are more volatile and stocks might give much better returns than expected due to growing economy overall.
@junsilver6503 жыл бұрын
Can anyone pls clarify the 4% adjusted for inflation? Is it 4% of your initial nest egg or present value? If your investment drops in value, would you be withdrawing 4% of that reduced investment?
@beyondfossil7 жыл бұрын
Two thumbs up!
@eladiohernandez12576 жыл бұрын
Great video thank you my dream is to retire at 55 my savings still far off to make my dream come true, but I will try hard by reducing housing cars and add a short term portfolio to live 5 years at 60 I can take 4% and I take social security at 70 that should be achivable
@DLBcovers6 жыл бұрын
I hope to someday retire before I was born.
@domjervis7 жыл бұрын
Pretty good video, Sir. Have you ever done one on annual Roth Conversions, the goal of which is to minimize the big, wet bite Uncle Sam takes out of one's IRA starting at age 70 1/2? I'm hoping that by using this strategy, my Required Minimum Distributions will be less than the sum of the Standard Deduction plus the Personal Exemption, resulting in no Federal Income Tax on those RMDs...100% legally.
@gspeku91737 жыл бұрын
at 2:45 its not 7%-3%, its 1.07*0.97=1.0379, so 3.79% thats how math works ;)
@twaters577 жыл бұрын
This may be true if you are a big spender. If you don't have any huge outstanding debt, most people can get by on their pension and social security. If you get $2,500 from social security and then another $2,500 from pension or 401, that is the equal to about the same as $75,000 a year normal salary since most states don't tax social security and you don't have to pay 15% payroll taxes. Plus you won't be paying into a pension or 401 either. Don't believe you have to have million dollars in the bank to retire.
@abhattach218 жыл бұрын
Hi Phil, is it 7% avg annual return for investments overall or for just stocks. In another video, you mentioned that it's 7% for stocks. Please clarify. Thanks.
@VideoSchoolOnline8 жыл бұрын
7% is typically a safe annual return for the stock market over the long run.
@annettenorris4125 жыл бұрын
Thank you
@VideoSchoolOnline5 жыл бұрын
You're welcome Annette!
@satyajh7 жыл бұрын
+Video School Online Is this calculation based on stats for the US bonds and stock market and the US rate of inflation? In India the inflation rate has fluctuated a lot over the decades so would the 4% rule hold true globally?
@omasavior13777 жыл бұрын
Can't wait until I retire at age 17 #blessed
@belingonza3187 жыл бұрын
i retire at end of a year! 67yrs.old . Had a party till i was 47 then started working
@spd3ictpro7 жыл бұрын
You started quite late, but glad you still able to make it.
@belingonza3187 жыл бұрын
spd3ictpro : Thank you! I really did if i party all those years. Didn't want to work all my life retire and die!
@jasonfarmer69166 жыл бұрын
so pulling out 4% a year of the fund would leave the same about of principal and it would never go down or go away
@BRuane-pw6xq6 жыл бұрын
People need to factor in taxes, they do not go away in retirement. Feds take their cut of social security for many and some states tax SS. Using the new tax tables and your income you can estimate taxes in retirement. Some do not realize ALL money withdrawn , including capital gains , in a 401 K are taxed as ordinary income. Your gains in those Plans are also considered income.
@mar5046 жыл бұрын
401k withdraws will likely be significantly less in retirement, so tax bracket should be much lower.
@eleveneleven5726 жыл бұрын
You can even go further if you're older. As you age you spend less...travel, car, entertainment etc. Plus you can draw on capital....because no on lives forever.. Do the sums.