What Are The Odds of Making The NBA?

[@Lola23339]

Slim to none! I play a lot of pickup bball on the UCLA campus. During the Summer, a lot of NBA players play there. I'm the average NBA height so I don't get killed just on account of size. I get killed on account of speed, quickness, length, strength, shooting accuracy etc. etc. Even guys barely hanging on to NBA roster spots are beyond unstoppable.

[@tungence]

That’s true, they are people who have been gifted with a tremendous amount of talent and on top of that put in lots of hard work.

[@kidproduction6720]

Bro just be able to have your experience is already amazing. And yes, don’t think the players sitting on the bench are not good. They can cook anyone in any arena, any day, any time, in any ways they want.

[@unknownpy5003]

where at ucla?

[@Lola23339]

@@unknownpy5003 yes

[@unknownpy5003]

@@Lola23339 I asked where bruh

[@Logipop-swish]

I'm 11 years old and practice all day. I have a big dream to make it to the NBA and I will keep on grinding. I do drills while playing by myself and I know that if anyone can make it to the NBA, than I can to.👍

[@KalebTruong]

try out for the eybl in ur city u got it

[@Pjpabl0]

You can do it kid! Never stop grinding

[@kenstevens7855]

Each 4 year age group in America has 5 million males. About 20% of boys played organized basketball at one point. So in every 4 year grouping about 1M boys have pursued basketball. Of that age grouping, about 150 of them will be drafted for the NBA but only 2/3rds will actually make a roster. So the math says 100 out 1M. One of 10K are the odds. Now the odds of having a sustainable career are even longer. There are a ton of players that had 2-3 year stints as journeymen and primarily played overseas after not making the cut. So I'd say 1 in 30K of having a true NBA career.

[@SISKCERTWaJaVlogs]

and making the allstar team and being MVP?

[@nelsondendomo6687]

This makes extremely impressive for high school players that are clearly NBA bound without a doubt

[@vlirx4739]

The equivalent is if you and 9999 other basketball players were chosen at random you would have to be the best out of all of them

[@SISKCERTWaJaVlogs]

and on top of that what about making an all-star team

[@tu55Daniel18-ey8tt]

yes however that particular statistic isn't necessarily relevant to any individual. Realistically, how hard do all of those people try? Of course I am not saying that simply by trying hard to make the NBA, you will, of course that still doesn't guarantee it. However, you need to add up your personal situation's factors to get a more realistic percentage on your chances. If you have faster than average reaction time, great cardio, and are average or close to average NBA height, or if you're 7 foot, and you are training 3x more than the average basketball "pursuer" AND you are tracking the progression of your skills and adapting your training according to skill targets- then the 100 out of 1 million chance you talked about IMMEDIATELY gets raised, and you probably surpassed 95-99% of existing players with the factors i just listed. And yes that still doesn't guarantee you the NBA, and many more factors exist, but I'm saying the personal situation DOES matter, and those factors, and your effort and training do make a difference which can definitely SIGNIFICANTLY raise your chances.

[@xdgamerdxdx]

Living in a country where basketball isnt that bug my chances of making the NBA is like 0.000001% but im trying to get to the best leauges possible for me. Ofcourse I wish and hope I can make the NBA but being realistic I won't. I give my 100% everyday but its hard to play becuase 1. No competition where im from, I have already played against everyone thats better than me where I live 2. No court inside that I can play at daily (during winters when its -10 celsies where I live) Wish everyone luck in their basketball careers!

[@nelsondendomo6687]

What country are you from?

[@thesportsprodigy709]

You can do anything you want. If everyone said that realistically they wouldn't make it, then no one would.

[@tungence]

If you’re good is it possible to join some sort of league around you that may allow you to play against better competition and get more recognition? I would do some digging into that if I were you and try to figure out if you can contact any coach or person that may give you a chance, good luck man!

[@TheRealSandman]

Good luck!

[@gino_merlino5319]

Germany?

[@ookamim]

There are 1 million people in the us with a height of atleast 6'4'' and under 24 yo, that makes it 1 in 2000 to compete for a NBA spot, or 0,05% chance of making it, I mean that's not terrible all things considered, but still low enough to discourage many

[@RG-rb6om]

Your math ain’t mathing

[@yeatdagoat173]

statistically i think it's more likely for you to be a billionaire than an NBA player. I think trying to be a professional ball player is better cuz i heard they pay solid money in europe so yeah

[@tungence]

I agree with you for sure. You don’t necessarily have to go the NBA route only. There’s other countries that also pay well and definitely aren’t as hard to get into as the NBA.

[@dipe6376]

Basketball is the sport that relies on genetics the most

[@FotisNikou]

nah that's arm wrestling lmao

[@tu55Daniel18-ey8tt]

I would disagree, I think strongman/weightlifting, and sprinting,, and swimming. Basketball cannot rely the most on genetics because by definition it isn't just testing your core abilities, like fast twitch muscle fibers for sprinting, or the big muscles for lifting, or lung capacity for say swimming, rather basketball also has a motor skills ball handling element, which requires a lot of trained skill. So in a sense thats why some people can outwork their genetics in basketball. However why I think it SEEMS to rely on genetics has more to do with the sheer VOLUME of basketball players and talent pool participating, where even if you are very skilled, there is simply too many "good genetics" guys also competing which statistically causes also many of them to be skilled, leaving less room to compensate for lack of genetics with mere training and effort. Combine that with the funding and training programs available everywhere in the country with great coaching and developed systems, and the very institution of basketball is already good at bringing out the best in all players, naturally giving the best gene guys an advantage.

[@LegendGamer-dj8om]

@@tu55Daniel18-ey8ttsoooooo genetics. lmao

[@calgary2800]

Pro tennis?

[@KingR_]

@@calgary2800😂

[@ScottJamo]

The joker has good genetics but doesn’t like Basketball as much as horse racing. He is the best player in the nba 2 MVPS

[@dickenbergg]

Bro hes 6'11

[@eddiew2325]

@@dickenbergghe’s 6’5

[@Celuta96]

@@eddiew2325😂

[@jeremyteti914]

Yeah, They are averaging 100 points per points with heavy defense between themself in a match, making playing basketball too easy such as kid's games..

[@Zackattack123]

You have more of a chance to win the lottery than be in the NBA but that’s what the history says GO CHANGE THAT HISTORY

[@tungence]

Exactly my point. History can be a good indicator of reality but doesn’t fully determine your faith. Right now there’s a player named Markquis Nowell who’s 5’7 and a player named Jacob Gilyard who’s 5’8 so it’s possible for sure!

[@Triumphator616]

Not true about Europe. Lots of talent is needed there too. You look at players who were in a simple role position in the NBA but they are a key player on a European team roster - that's the system in Europe. Every player has their role and every role is important, whereas in the NBA you have 2, 3 superstars and the rest of the players are there to fill in the gaps. Also, playing in top 20 European teams pays really well, couple millions per year contracts. Europe has no Association that generates a money pool from which the teams are fed. European teams depend strictly on their sponsors and ticket sales. Players play for glory - and when they don't play, they don't come in in some pop culture clothes. Europe is a whole different system. NBA on the other hand, loves to take a Euro player, who was very accomplished in Euro league, only to tell that player that they want him to be a spot up shooter or just pick n roll and assist guy. Euro players go mad and quit very soon - to be disrespected so much is unheard of for them. You were an important if not the most important piece on your roster in Europe, a champion, an MVP perhaps, and then to be called and be told to play a support role. This is why you see Euro player coming into the league, staying for 1,2,3 seasons and coming back to Europe - the system of having a specific role in a team is alien to Euro players. The most simple reason I can provide for why this is so the fact that Euro teams play as actual teams. No team depends on 1 player, they are all equal. In important moments, yes, perhaps, some player either rises to the challenge or is selected by the coach. Overall, players who score the most in their teams are not considered stars, cause the next night some other teammate may start to feel it, so you had your 25 points previous night, but this night you will feed me the ball, cause I'm feeling it. That's the way they play. There are no all stars, super stars, there are only teammates and occasional heroes. And if you don't respect that type of game (cause basketball is a team game not a prima donna "i'm the best, feed me the ball otherwise we lose, no defense, just offense"), you'll be hearing from your coach in a very vocal and sometimes explicit manner.

[@zzdahaewae]

you forgot to mention its a retirement home for washed up NBA players due to how easy it is to perform there relative to NBA :D

[@Triumphator616]

@@zzdahaewae Not true. NBA wants the best of the best simply so that they can make more sales. If your role is obsolete, your play style is not to any team's standards, no one will want you. Europe doesn't have that. A player is a player. No matter the style, 2 pointer, 3 pointer, dribbler, cutter, roller, everything is important in Europe - like a part of an engine. NBA teams require specific role while allstars, superstars do whatever they want. So in essence, these so-called "washed up NBA players" are great players who do not seem to be compatible with the NBA any more. NBA is looking for theatrics, cause Americans love entertainment - this increases sales. It's all about capitalism. Just offense offense offense, alley-oops, and 40 attempts for 3pointers, over 300 points final score, etc. This is what keeps the fans hooked. All those jerseys sold, Curry Curry Curry, Lebron, Lebron, Lebron, high-fiving each other when their team scores. Excellent marketing. Europe has heart, the fans are crazy and you play for glory - you don't show up in a Kyle Kuzma style to feed the American pop culture.

[@Triumphator616]

@@zzdahaewae And don't get me wrong, I love the NBA, but I try to filter out that capitalism insanity that goes behind the curtain - people seamlessly unaware how much they're spending and keep feeding the hype. That's the American way. NBA feels that even this is not enough, hence why the league started promoting itself on other continents, by actually showing up with a couple of teams. And you can see that the top players are coming from Europe in the past few years, and none of them feels the need to add to the American pop culture, being all flashy off court, show up to social gatherings wearing 10 pounds of jewelry, etc. Players like Jokic will certainly not succumb to this type of life. He'd rather spend time with his family and horses back in his home country.

[@Guiltycircle486]

Bro is cooking this mans ass💀💀💀😂😂😂

[@yo._._7117]

That's why a team that is not even a champion of Spain made a move on Dallas by being chill and playing your game, running and jumping :D@@zzdahaewae

[@rodenbak8840]

Do you think that I will be tall enough if I am 6"0 at 13 years?

[@MIDNIGHT48376]

You'll likely be 6'5

[@adamsverdlin3022]

@@MIDNIGHT48376prob , a little taller.

[@jiro1281]

99% of people will never make the NBA. The NBA is one of the most physically demanding professional level sports. Along with the right build and genetics, the amount of athleticism, talent, and hard work is astronomical and insane. The worst NBA players in history who barely hang on the roster will run circles around the rest of the population with ease. This isn’t even accounting for how long you’ll stay in the NBA, it’s a business venture too. People are really better off pursuing other career’s or if they truly want it that bad go into less demanding leagues and organizations.

[@Rlo09]

We gonna see. 10 years.

[@gabisecret9108]

Ur not making it lmao

[@veerbordia9824]

yep

[@MaskOfCinder]

If you get to the G League you would be extremely lucky. And WNBA players get paid more than the G League.

[@SLIZZER241]

​@@gabisecret9108 I'm making it watch

[@pongraczlevente138]

very good video, def deserves more views

[@Guiltycircle486]

Meh

[@tungence]

Thank you but I’m still learning how to edit properly, I’ll get there with time haha I appreciate it tho!

[@tungence]

@@Guiltycircle486What advice would you give for me to improve?

[@Guiltycircle486]

@@tungenceI think the video would work better in short term rather than a five minute video. The script, while it’s very detailed, can be edited down to a good minute - minute and a half. Other than that, the video is ok, the editing is very quick (I don’t love the fast editing style where for instance a picture pulls up from the bottom of the screen super quick.) Some of the pictures you chose didn’t make that much sense to be there. Some didn’t have to be there, and maybe like a light beat (music) in the background would’ve been nice, like 30-35% volume. That’s it.

[@tungence]

@@Guiltycircle486I appreciate the feedback, there is music in the background btw it’s just very quiet haha

[@tfg_sinser9685]

if anyone could overcome their bad genetics and were able to make it to the nba, so can i. they aint got nothing on me.nobody wants it more than me

[@EnergyXXX]

How is it going?

[@ChalupaHoopaBasketball]

If youre genes are against you Dont get discouraged Just look at Fred Vanvleet Pretty solid player Donovan mitchell,T.Young,D.Garland and a few more yet these are the guys that went against the odds and so on but these players work in their ability of their game and became the best at it and thats just part of the key 2 good points in the video you need to have mind of steel and Skill

[@jameswhitehead4435]

Using Bayesian inference controlling for the probability of a potential player who meets the same averages of previously drafted players in financial support, educational support, family support, visibility to a general manager, and height requirements, making it into the NBA is approximately 0.3, or 30%. Anyone outside of that see the percentage drop significantly.

[@TheXenoBrosMC]

Source?

[@jameswhitehead4435]

@@TheXenoBrosMC U.S Census bureau, the annual running NBA player statistics reporting and the annual draft physical statistics averages put into Bayesian regression model

[@TheXenoBrosMC]

@@jameswhitehead4435 can you give specifics? like the actual numbers youre plugging in? i'm familiar with bayesian stats so just curious

[@shapex9951]

i am 6 foot at 14 and ı have 6foot 3inches wingspan is that good for my age ?

[@DamianLooksBlocky]

Very good I’m sure at 12 you were already like 5”6 and I’m only 4”10 and 1/2 you’d tower over me bro

[@seahawksfaithful9624]

I am 14 and 6’3 with a 6’6 wingspan

[@HomerSimpson2121]

I’m interested in the odds of making it to the NBA and not getting arrested. I’m betting I’d somewhere in the 1 in a billion range😂

[@sfuo4t3o8jixvcixji]

What if a NBA player was watching this.

[@williehodges4859]

I’m 5’10 1/2 I’m in the special Olympics I play basketball and flag football I work on my game at the ymca so I don’t know if I’m gonna make it but I want to have a opportunity

[@stinkykid1352]

No reason not to try

[@robertrevolus]

Idc. Ill break those odds.

[@T_Alexander.]

I live in Africa, what's your advice?

[@boldpear9614]

social media.

[@T_Alexander.]

Sure?@@boldpear9614

[@jimbojimbo6873]

It’s 400 people, in the whole universe

[@J.4.Y.Y]

this video made me very sad

[@tungence]

Sorry bro :(

[@vlirx4739]

You don’t need to go to the nba to have a successful career

[@Manuelwww78]

​@@vlirx4739 is the only thing i want in life, making it in the NBA and make my parents proud.

[@radd3359]

My name is Kaven and I'm currently 15 and i'm 6,2 right now, I just wanted to write that remember my name, because your gonna see me in the league, in a couple years just wait. I'm going to become the greatest of all time.

[@kobemrclutchful]

Well I’d be damned if the greatest of all time is a guy named kaven 😂😂

[@radd3359]

@@kobemrclutchful Remember the name.

[@tungence]

Hopefully you got this man!

[@ishanprabhakar4883]

remember me gang

[@Isaiahvsthegame]

That's what I used to think too buddy wait till reality hits you 😂

[@frankbridges2171]

Unless you average 4 points and have a father who strong arms his team to draft u

[@monahainz5904]

Donthis Tell the ball bros

[@Yungteasipppppa]

I’m 6’8 at 16 I’m supposed to be 6’9 when I’m done growing but I’m thinking ill be a bit taller

[@Named622]

your 11 bro

[@tungence]

Sheesh you’re tall

[@alr22]

Biggest cap lmao

[@Named622]

@@alr22 fr

[@Hurly]

im 6'4 at 17

[@chickenjoestudios7529]

I am going to become the best basketball player in the world

[@mr.sensie7]

Imma make it.

[@eddierosario1537]

Nobody makes it to the nba I was dumb enough to think I could even after playing college basketball. It’s literally a lightning strike the odds aren’t in your favor there’s a 0.03 chance of making it to the nba it’s a waste of time.

[@jonathanvernooy5507]

Imagine what kobe would say reading your sorry ass comment. He'd cringe, leave it at that and proceed to work on his craft.

[@darkmagician2346]

Kobe dad litteraly played in the NBA the genetics kicked in his hard work is what made him legendary you need both without either one there’s no chance of making it

[@flaminghotman2204]

Well I am 6 foot right now, I am supposed to be 6 foot 7.

[@ItsThicc]

😂😂😂 get thru Duke first

[@sierrak3840]

👌👌

[@SamuelKiernan-xb8tm]

I think I got the genetic I’m under the age of 15 won’t say my age but I’m 5”2 and on track to be around 6”3-6”6 also you should have. Thousand of subscribers

[@yamiyo6050]

You don’t have to be tall if ur a athlete freak like me . 4.3 40 yard dash 5’7 but can two hand dunk I have no issues playing against 7 footers as I just jump higher than them and I’m fast

[@tu55Daniel18-ey8tt]

Its funny because you're proving a point you think you're debunking. If you can dunk at that height you are also genetically gifted just in a different way.

[@shalierichardson5812]

No one wants to be an engineer

[@Winston-u1r]

I'm 10 I average 30 points in my game and I'm 5'9

[@boldpear9614]

you got a chance if that’s true

[@tamajthelegend4232]

oh now i know ima def go to the nba this isnt that hard also im not gonna only go to the nba but ima hold up 8 or more fingers the same way mj did 6 in the future

[@tungence]

Idk about it not being hard haha but good luck my man

[@alr22]

Bro it’s not easy

[@tamajthelegend4232]

@@alr22 why should i think its not easy its actually isnt that hard to get in the nba just get ur skill issues solved the hard part is if people persist and dont give up and want to put in the work unlike the rest of u ill put in the work which i am i just dont have the oppurtunity to be ona team yet or u bet i would get starting sf fr fr

[@alr22]

@@tamajthelegend4232 So tell me you want to make it to the nba ritgh? whats your age and where are your highlitghs

[@alr22]

i know you got none

[@lukesmith9692]

You just need black skin and be able to shoot a 3 pointer. That's it

[@Smooth_ND]

Okay Luke

[@gigivlogzlife]

What’s the chances for WNBA?

[@tungence]

I’m not sure but if you focus on playing ball in college first at the D1 level and than excelling at that I think you’d have a chance.

[@kathyuzumaki4261]

@@tungencecan you make a vid on it please

[@alejandroenriquepuente4931]

bet

[@benk9086]

Bro i'm 5'10 at 12 i'm pretty sure i have high chances of making it to the nba.

[@Kingweiss]

Normally when u grow very tall at a young age you will stop to grow soon

[@boldpear9614]

and i bet you have no guard skills because you’ve been playing center your whole life

[@dipe6376]

Can you actually play😂

[@theuserme2024]

nah becoming a pro boxer is harder than making in nba

[@mcmask3018]

Hell no nba is way way harder u Gotta have like 10 plus years old experience if your short

[@254ChuckDawg]

Disagree You can be 10-32 W/L record and still be considered a pro boxer !!!! Now as far as Being Mayweather level that's the hard part

[@kidproduction6720]

I hope every delusional teenager watches this video. I was playing against some 14 yrs old 1 on 1. He told me he wants to play D1 and NBA. He was trash talking, and calling NBA fouls. I beat him twice game to 15, and told him, if he wants to play NBA he should’ve be dunking on me now.

[@rockyx_x]

imagine shitting on some kid with dreams for no good reason

[@mekacrab]

What's that "fuck them kids" mentality ? Congrats, you beat a 14 year old at the game of basketball and told him some nonsense afterwards. GG man

[@Guiltycircle486]

Bruh

[@mikhailavanesov5912]

what are u babbling about

[@northofmainstreet7281]

I did the same thing. I told a lil 11 yo kid he sucks and he left the court crying like a lil baby. I yelled at him as he was going home to change his diaper .. ten minutes later came back with my wife... that night I was sleeping on the couch and that kid my son still sucks... FYI my son will probably be 6'1 or 6'2 I'm 6'3 and his momma is 5'5 he has No athletic ability and don't work on fundamentals... 😭

[@denzela5539]

Basketball is an easy sport