What coronavirus means for the global economy | Ray Dalio

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TED

TED

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 2 900
@vp4822
@vp4822 4 жыл бұрын
1. 4 driving forces of economy and wealth creation: 4:25, 1.1 Productivity: 4:43. Grows slowly, like 1-2-3% a year, but is very stable, 1.2. Short-term debt cycle: 5:19. Recession, expansions, booms, etc. Lasts about 8-10 years, 1.3. Long-term debt cycle: 5:29. Began in 1945, the new world order, 1.4. Politics: 6:19. Internal and external politics. Internal: how do we deal with wealth gap, how do we allocate resources. External: between countries, and rising powers dealing with existing powers. 2. Q about Global Depression: 8:47. We are in a Depression, and likely, about to start a new world order. 3. 14:00 Follow-up question about Depression, markets, etc, and if recovery will be in one year or not. 4. 17:15 Q about comparisons to 2008 Recession. 5. 20:10 Q about changes in the market, esp. due to automation and AI. Dalio's answer goes back to his fundamentals (money, credit, fundamentals). Computers have more CAPACITY advantage over humans. 6. 24:43 Follow-up question about passive investing and 401K advice. Dalio's advice NOT to market time, and diversified own's assets. Comparison to ordinary person competing in the Olympics. Also: trading game zero sum game. Interesting segway about cash. 28:05 punchline. 7. 28:26 Q about retreating from globalization, and relationship to recovery. 30:35 interesting discussion about disputes between global empires. 31:08 Despite wishing that best and the top collaborate, they don't. 8. 31:40 Q about productivity and globalism. Dalio thinks that this has always been the case, but more so today. Importance of history, and lessons it provides for today. 33:05 Comment about help. World is so fragmented that it is almost dangerous to say thank you to those who are helping. 9. 34:10 Q about capitalism, and how it needs to be reformed. Dalio's answer is to go back to basics, and re-examine what we mean by the American Dream. Criticism about where we stand with respect to that. Importance of education as an equalizer, and a driver of productivity. But society thinks of education as a cost item. 10. 40:11 Q about rebuilding and low pay / low skill workers. 11. 46:30 Dalio talking about the importance of seeing the argument of the other side. Encouraging TED to bring people from different sides, and have thoughtful disagreement.
@Ch-arizard-f
@Ch-arizard-f 4 жыл бұрын
V P this is great. Thanks
@jimkika
@jimkika 4 жыл бұрын
Thanks
@keithsproson4328
@keithsproson4328 4 жыл бұрын
VP thanks
@thekatephillips
@thekatephillips 4 жыл бұрын
You are awesome!
@BhupinderNayyar
@BhupinderNayyar 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you VP
@SueFerreira75
@SueFerreira75 4 жыл бұрын
Finally an interviewer who doesn't interrupt Ray's wise words - thank you!
@danieldanielson2650
@danieldanielson2650 4 жыл бұрын
They did a few times.
@RafaSyed
@RafaSyed 4 жыл бұрын
The interviewers are on a different wavelength, completely missing the reality and magnitude of the situation that faces us,
@JupyterJunkie
@JupyterJunkie 4 жыл бұрын
I have never seen a man more interrupted than Ray Dalio. Honestly it is incredible. Let the wise man finish his thought!
@LostSoulAscension
@LostSoulAscension 4 жыл бұрын
Agreed
@jbjergh
@jbjergh 4 жыл бұрын
@@RafaSyed Yes completely. Ray Dalio have turned on the "long light" and the interviewer just need a "stock pick" for the next week.
@JoseGomes-95
@JoseGomes-95 4 жыл бұрын
Was waiting for Dalio’s take on all this for a long time. Really hope he becomes more outspoken on his opinions.
@tinar.9208
@tinar.9208 4 жыл бұрын
Been waiting to hear him in depth. He is so diplomatic in the way he talks about what is essentially a complete economic, political, monetary breakdow!
@gizmoffm
@gizmoffm 4 жыл бұрын
Tina R. Which wont happen - he ist very smart at the same time very pessimistic
@rangerdoc1029
@rangerdoc1029 4 жыл бұрын
@@gizmoffm It will happen.... Eventually. Maybe not this cycle.
@squamish4244
@squamish4244 4 жыл бұрын
Because it's impossible that it will be an anarchical collapse like Mad Max or The Road or other apocalyptic movie fantasies. That's absurd. It might happen in a runaway global warming scenario or a nuclear war (and a nuclear winter - just a nuclear war won't do it), but not in a society with beyond massive infrastructure and food production and a social safety net and financial mechanisms that were put in place after the Great Depression and WW2. THE most devastated country in the world after WW2, the USSR, didn't have a house standing for 1,000 km in any direction in 1945. In 1961 they put a man in space. It's very, very hard to take human societies down.
@STELLASCUTENESS
@STELLASCUTENESS 4 жыл бұрын
valar Excellent post! Thanks for injecting some reality into the endless doomsday fantasies. The undeveloped world is in serious trouble, yes, but even they can work their way out of it. When everyone wants something, as a collective, it can only happen if they have an ounce of control over it.
@AlanPMatthews
@AlanPMatthews 4 жыл бұрын
@@squamish4244 At 1% death it's not a structural collapse scenario... what happens if the next one has a 25% death rate though? What happens if it happens now? What is the Mad Max magic number?
@QuestionEverythingButWHY
@QuestionEverythingButWHY 4 жыл бұрын
“We can not solve our problems with the same level of thinking that created them.” -- Albert Einstein
@clemfandango9033
@clemfandango9033 4 жыл бұрын
"[Capitalism] as it exists today is, in my opinion, the real source of evils. I am convinced there is only one way to eliminate these grave evils, namely through the establishment of a socialist economy, accompanied by an educational system which would be oriented toward social goals. In such an economy, the means of production are owned by society itself and are utilized in a planned fashion." -Albert Einstein
@archieVGC_Unite
@archieVGC_Unite 4 жыл бұрын
Books in Review Yet here we are, in Ray’s words, in the same long term market downturn that happens every 75 years or so. We solve the problems each time until we get so confident in ourselves that we ignore the good solutions.
@thickerthoughts9107
@thickerthoughts9107 4 жыл бұрын
@@clemfandango9033 No, I disagree. As long as there are human egos, greed, etc there will never be a perfect gov system.
@clemfandango9033
@clemfandango9033 4 жыл бұрын
@@thickerthoughts9107 human greed will always be there, just as love and compassion will always be there. The point is to build a societal system that exites the latter other than the former.
@ariamkesete5406
@ariamkesete5406 4 жыл бұрын
Blip in the Cosmos ✅✅✅✅✅
@omniopen
@omniopen 4 жыл бұрын
Ray needs to talk to Joe Rogan, that is what we need now more than ever.
@mangalpal8921
@mangalpal8921 4 жыл бұрын
Ya exactly
@Geotubest
@Geotubest 4 жыл бұрын
How about he talks to someone who's not a meathead?
@koma7778
@koma7778 4 жыл бұрын
Ray “Bong” Dalio
@tharofleshcolouredeyes2301
@tharofleshcolouredeyes2301 4 жыл бұрын
@Maxim Nawangwe He have a very large audience, and is very aware of witch lane he is in, compared to the experts he talks to. Calls himself a monkey all the time. I can see why he might project a negative image of himself, but really he is the nicest guy. If you could just be a little less elitist, please? :)
@bob15479
@bob15479 4 жыл бұрын
@Maxim Nawangwe Joe Rogan is a journalist with a massive audience and could spread Dalio's wisdom to many people.
@robertross5032
@robertross5032 4 жыл бұрын
Hard times create strong men, strong men create good times, good times create weak men, weak men create hard times...etc...etc...etc
@ms.smccreath5176
@ms.smccreath5176 4 жыл бұрын
Right and world goes round and round.
@yukuhana
@yukuhana 4 жыл бұрын
It's refreshing to hear from someone who's a thinker on a global scale!
@pablozrudnika
@pablozrudnika 4 жыл бұрын
I am astonished how swiftly he navigates through the social, political and economical topics, refers to relevant historical events and gently suggests possible outcomes. I am trully impressed by his eloquency and knowledge.
@eljesus788
@eljesus788 4 жыл бұрын
United we stand. Divided we fall. If we can't Unite internally we can't Unite as a globe, and vice versa. It's a cyclical problem. Ouroboros. We chase conflict around the world then within our nation states then around the world again and so on.
@Tespri
@Tespri 4 жыл бұрын
Yet he lacks ability to make accurate analysis. For example globalism and praising china, even though whole problem was caused by both of those.
@JeffreyGillespie
@JeffreyGillespie 4 жыл бұрын
It's not a mistake that he's worth $18 billion.
@eljesus788
@eljesus788 4 жыл бұрын
Yeah he's talking about this creating a new world order and how it's a good thing. To be clear, "I may not be down with this nwo". But im pretty sure he's correct on that prediction.
@denisedean2446
@denisedean2446 4 жыл бұрын
Great job Corey on allowing Ray to answer without interrupting.
@RealestDave
@RealestDave 4 жыл бұрын
Ray Dalio speaks beautifully, I love the way he delivers information. No wonder why he is so successful, great wisdom
@zeyadib1211
@zeyadib1211 4 жыл бұрын
when i opened this a video i thought i wouldn't watch it all 52 mins that's too long but time flew by listening to it even if i don't totally understand what they're talking about
@eligreen364
@eligreen364 4 жыл бұрын
Ray is the goat! He gives the answers but in a way not to offend either side.. if you read between the lines it's there. Both sides have to disagree well enough to find efficient solutions. The problem and why he says he's 60 40 pessimistic is because they don't even want to agree to disagree.. that's how bad each side hates the other.
@zeyadib1211
@zeyadib1211 4 жыл бұрын
@@eligreen364 yeah i got the basic idea it all depends on how those who have the power and money/resources will react will they be greedy or they'll think about the others too in terms of countries, individuals and companies etc....
@wilmeralbert2908
@wilmeralbert2908 4 жыл бұрын
Me too Even i dont speak english i know like 35%
@tinvesting547
@tinvesting547 4 жыл бұрын
Talking about thin air... that’s what Dalio does usually, or crisis coming so that he can make money shorting.
@tinvesting547
@tinvesting547 4 жыл бұрын
Talking about thin air... that’s what Dalio does usually, or crisis coming so that he can make money shorting.
@manuelcastillo5999
@manuelcastillo5999 4 жыл бұрын
Seems like people spend more time proving that they are right rather than objectively thinking about how to solve an issue without biases.
@RevoltingPeasant123
@RevoltingPeasant123 4 жыл бұрын
Miguel Castillo The human mind is a confirmation bias machine. Nobody thinks like that. That’s why central planning fails so miserably.
@mehdigharib4710
@mehdigharib4710 4 жыл бұрын
That is the most profound thing I have read in a long time
@lunganikhubone
@lunganikhubone 4 жыл бұрын
True
@ayeminoo2067
@ayeminoo2067 4 жыл бұрын
It is a lot easier than do. I means "think without bias".
@selfissimo
@selfissimo 4 жыл бұрын
As in politics of almost all countries
@seymourrivers6169
@seymourrivers6169 4 жыл бұрын
When Ray Dalio speaks, I listen. Thank you very much for this program
@jakub_mika
@jakub_mika 4 жыл бұрын
„May I take a moment to do that?” I can learn as much kindness as economy from Mr. Ray.
@boho_hobo_
@boho_hobo_ 4 жыл бұрын
“You must have understanding of the cause/effect relationships to know what you believe in.” - Ray Dalio Literally the most important thing he said in this whole video
@jonneyjunmu464
@jonneyjunmu464 4 жыл бұрын
In my perspective, Dalio is one of those most know how the world works.
@josephhenry1084
@josephhenry1084 4 жыл бұрын
Hedge funds do
@projectbetterfinance3863
@projectbetterfinance3863 4 жыл бұрын
That’s true
@pn2543
@pn2543 4 жыл бұрын
I doubt it, he is a simpleton running a con
@tristianherrera3003
@tristianherrera3003 4 жыл бұрын
I like Peter schiff
@kameel28
@kameel28 4 жыл бұрын
Tristian Herrera Peter Schiff for the win!
@benliu9327
@benliu9327 4 жыл бұрын
Thanks Ray for the great talk! As a Chinese who lives in the US, I truly appreciate all the help that American people and American companies have provided for us when the outbreak first hit China. Thank you! It hurts when I saw all the hatred comments below the news and videos that even said a tiny bit of what the western countries have not done well or what China has done well. There has been increasing hatred on both sides and this is preventing all of us from fighting the pandemic and fixing the fundamental problems the world is facing. On both sides Whoever is promoting this should be responsible for the great loss of humankind. I want to echo on Ray's last point, at the end of the day, whether we will come out of the crisis with a better version of ourselves depends on how we treat each both domestically and internationally. Let's have thoughtful disagreement. Hope everyone stays healthy and safe!
@susanwolf3654
@susanwolf3654 4 жыл бұрын
I don't understand why in China people eat animals,why they don't stop that behavior, can you tell me l always wondered about that?
@texascowboy7359
@texascowboy7359 4 жыл бұрын
@@susanwolf3654 they don't have turnkey to eat :)
@benliu9327
@benliu9327 4 жыл бұрын
​@@susanwolf3654 Hi actually 99.99% of Chinese people eat the same thing as American people do. Fruit, vegetables, chicken, beef, pork and lamb. I personally don't have a friend eating "wired things" like bats. Most Chinese people do not agree with wild animal trade. As for reason why this still exists, my observation is that there are outdated beliefs in ancient Chinese traditions /ancient medicine books that eating these "wired stuff" can help with health (actually this belief also exists in other part of east and southeast Asia), so it is unfortunate that there is such need and thus such market. The government is making laws to ban it.
@bosalinas6357
@bosalinas6357 4 жыл бұрын
@@susanwolf3654 I dont understand why in America people eat crap food and lots of it and everyone is fat..and in terrible health..not smart, in Corona days
@susanwolf3654
@susanwolf3654 4 жыл бұрын
@@bosalinas6357 They do but at least they don't cause coro viruses,you can do whatever you want to your body,just don't cause me to get virses,and this is not the first time! Americans l know don't eat cats or dogs or bats!
@familyguyathome
@familyguyathome 4 жыл бұрын
I learn as much reading the comments as I did with Ray's interview!
@andykeith2051
@andykeith2051 4 жыл бұрын
This sums up everything: “Diversify well. Be humble. Don’t market time, and be conscious of the dangers of cash”.
@TinaLeder
@TinaLeder 4 жыл бұрын
An interview where the expert, *Ray Dalio* is able to *SPEAK* 🔊 Thank you.🙏🔥
@25Soupy
@25Soupy 4 жыл бұрын
That's because you're not watching him on CNN or MSNBC. The corporate media is horrible.
@torutomaktu
@torutomaktu 4 жыл бұрын
Everytime I am about to watch a Ray Dalio interview, I check the comments to see the interviewer has interrupted him again. This one doesn't, so thank you.
@lameiraangelo
@lameiraangelo 4 жыл бұрын
This interview is BIG... Very INFORMATIVE...
@stlouisix3
@stlouisix3 4 жыл бұрын
Ya, I've been searching for Ray Dalio's opinions this entire financial crisis. US stocks may re-bound in a year or 2 but it'll be 100% fake (similar to the 'success' of the Venezuelan stock market priced in Bolivars.
@ayeminoo2067
@ayeminoo2067 4 жыл бұрын
Ray is a legit. Never get bore of his wisdom and knowledge.
@swampy1234
@swampy1234 4 жыл бұрын
His principles concepts are basic AF, but he has a good team of illustrators and editors to help him explain subject matter
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 4 жыл бұрын
Yes, Dalio is a Straight Shooter. Why are there so few around, who have a voice?
@noorkhorasi
@noorkhorasi 4 жыл бұрын
Ray has summarized this in an amazing video titled "how economy works". In my opinion it is by far the best resource to understand economy and everything that has occurred in this world in past 100 years. He will teach economy in 30 minutes that u won't learn in four years degree at University
@qambi1
@qambi1 4 жыл бұрын
Every time I listen to Ray Dalio, I walk away feeling richer. Thanks mate!
@ayushtyagi2172
@ayushtyagi2172 4 жыл бұрын
The clarity of thoughts is just amazing!!
@Drift0x
@Drift0x 4 жыл бұрын
As an Italian man, I can say that Ray's speech is 100% comprehensible, while when the male interviewer speaks, I can't hardly understand some word here and there...hostile slang!!!!
@Waterskilakeaustin
@Waterskilakeaustin 4 жыл бұрын
The best in the world! We need to bring our best! To be the best! Thank you for all you contribute! We are better together!
@sridharsrinivasan625
@sridharsrinivasan625 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you TED for the wonderful interview without interrupting Dalio expressing his views.
@menglourao2264
@menglourao2264 4 жыл бұрын
Great interview. Love to hear the man talking!!! There is so much to learn.
@vink1547
@vink1547 4 жыл бұрын
Mr. Ray Dalio is very honest. History proves he’s correct with the wars, corruption, distribution of wealth. Chris has a few points with his last comment but he’s describing what we all like to see, the good in people making the right moral decisions... while Ray explains what the true reality of human nature is. Ray is very intelligent. In short, Ray tells us what we need to hear... not what we want to hear
@kevingarcia8922
@kevingarcia8922 4 жыл бұрын
Ray Dalio was my reason to begin investing for retirement. Start young, open a Roth IRA and build an all-weather portfolio suggested by Ray Dalio hiimself.
@l0g4nSm1th
@l0g4nSm1th 4 жыл бұрын
Any Links?
@nachannachle2706
@nachannachle2706 4 жыл бұрын
You need to buy gold, but the bullions are all sitting in the vaults of Commercial banks and Central banks nowadays. Be ready to pay the high price, especially if you use USD.
@theletsbehonestatheist6131
@theletsbehonestatheist6131 4 жыл бұрын
The difference between a rich and a poor student isn’t just a computer, it is a safe and structured home life.
@javierph
@javierph 4 жыл бұрын
I also noted that, but he knows it, because he later signals the need of establish the reality that there is a basic level of access to education and healt care under which nobody should fall.
@ww4734
@ww4734 4 жыл бұрын
Brooklyn's lastIrishman absolutely.
@keith-kalfas
@keith-kalfas 4 жыл бұрын
Powerful interview. Learned a lot
@justinutube
@justinutube 4 жыл бұрын
"Thoughtful disagreement" only makes progress when both sides are intellectually honest and capable of critical thinking and reasoning.
@jenkrash8122
@jenkrash8122 4 жыл бұрын
like that game with the split/not split? we already have experiments on reactions of ppl to this situations, from what you sow in that show, are both sides will be honest? love from ISR.
@abhimanyukarnawat7441
@abhimanyukarnawat7441 4 жыл бұрын
And dems never are.
@abhimanyukarnawat7441
@abhimanyukarnawat7441 4 жыл бұрын
If people were intellectually honest liberalism wouldnt exist.
@javier-uv5vl
@javier-uv5vl 4 жыл бұрын
For anyone who hasn’t already, I recommend the book Principles-which is written by Ray Dalio, himself.
@cryssbabe
@cryssbabe 4 жыл бұрын
Starting the first chapter right now!
@julianb1212
@julianb1212 4 жыл бұрын
Also there is a free Principles app that includes the entire book and extra features.
@irshaadchandulal2348
@irshaadchandulal2348 4 жыл бұрын
julianb1212 hi where can I find the app for the book?
@soviethammer9111
@soviethammer9111 4 жыл бұрын
Great book!
@julianb1212
@julianb1212 4 жыл бұрын
It’s called Principles in Action on iOS and Android I think.
@truemadison
@truemadison 4 жыл бұрын
i listened to ray 's talk around Dec2019. after that talk, i decided to sell my house "earlier" than later. i am grateful to ray
@RideBikes_Walkplaces
@RideBikes_Walkplaces 4 жыл бұрын
What have you done with the money though? Surely it's better in land and homes rather than in the bank.
@LEO-xo9cz
@LEO-xo9cz 4 жыл бұрын
They want you to not own anything.
@grahambutler5735
@grahambutler5735 4 жыл бұрын
FAIR PLAY .YOU GOT THE ADVICE AND TOOK IT ,
@tony18mo
@tony18mo 4 жыл бұрын
Ray Dalio is my hero!!
@forfreedomssake4315
@forfreedomssake4315 3 жыл бұрын
Ray Dalio is so inspiring. He is so passionate. We can feel his fire. I hope we can go through this together. Courage fellow humans.
@dogestranding5047
@dogestranding5047 4 жыл бұрын
"How we come out of this will depend on how we treat each other."
@larryzheng6117
@larryzheng6117 4 жыл бұрын
I read his masterpiece of big debt crises and successfully avoided the loss of market meltdown this March. What I admire him most is not only his wisdom but his willingness to passionately share his insight to the world
@biplav32
@biplav32 4 жыл бұрын
You avoided it but he didn't.
@biplav32
@biplav32 4 жыл бұрын
@@dr.magnanimous8973 Buffet had 100billion cash.
@larryzheng6117
@larryzheng6117 4 жыл бұрын
@@biplav32 Dalio has such a big portfolio, plus constraints to his investment strategy, it is impossible for him to empty all of his stocks (with limited capital, it was easy for me to sell out all calls while keep short in Feb.). Anyway there was unconfirmed news last year for his fund to bet on March market down with $1B short.
@larryzheng6117
@larryzheng6117 4 жыл бұрын
@@dr.magnanimous8973 You are absolutely right, when I heard the news last year for his March short hedge, I started to empty my stock and turned to treasure bonds and option put (but keep partial call as hedge) , but no one could predict conoravirus as a pin (Peter Schiff's words) to burst the bubble.
@larryzheng6117
@larryzheng6117 4 жыл бұрын
What scares me most is that the world is repeating cronyism capitalism as did on 2008 bailout through FED, Mnuchin and Blackrock etc. Once revealed years later, next round of occupy wall street movement may be a violence protest, leading to unimaginable situation as warned by Ray Dalio
@condoanalyst
@condoanalyst 4 жыл бұрын
So grateful for Ray Dalio, really sheds light on this uncertain time.
@darrenchai7533
@darrenchai7533 4 жыл бұрын
It seemed to me like the interviewers were more concerned on what’s happening in the economy or system right now, but Ray already looked passed that, his concerns are on another level and is more on the long term. What is unfolding right now in the economy is part of a process of change that is going to come, Ray keeps mentioning but I don’t think people are giving attention.
@omarc606
@omarc606 4 жыл бұрын
Darren Chai that’s because they saw their 410k drop 30%
@litlelouis
@litlelouis 4 жыл бұрын
He never mentions it directly but he is definitely talking about Donal Trump and the elections
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 4 жыл бұрын
I thought his focus was on, this, too will pass. It was a upbeat tone on, "Get ready for several rough and raw years." There is A LOT to be worked out, Worldwide, and Nationally.
@qiyang3197
@qiyang3197 4 жыл бұрын
He seems quite hesitant to give the answer. Wondering what he thinks the new world order is.
@santhoshs7227
@santhoshs7227 4 жыл бұрын
The wisdom and clarity with which Ray speaks is truly amazing! Brilliant mind of our times.
@NathanDraxter
@NathanDraxter 4 жыл бұрын
I feel blessed to have this knowledge before everything happens
@matyaskuchar7514
@matyaskuchar7514 4 жыл бұрын
Great talk. Ray is one of the genuinly goog person. I believe he is a warior. We need more like him. And listen to them as a leaders. Than amplify on our children to make next generations better, more educated and more peacefull.
@Jc-gx9tl
@Jc-gx9tl 4 жыл бұрын
I bought my mom an iPad to learn English, she used it to watch tv. I know a friend whose kids have computer, but they only use it to play games. I have a rich friend whose kid doesn’t use computer, but he’s always learning. I’m afraid the difference is not just about having a computer.
@bighands69
@bighands69 4 жыл бұрын
It is all down to personal choices. What people do with their life really defines outcome.
@AA-dq5uo
@AA-dq5uo 4 жыл бұрын
bighand69 the problem is that “personal choices” is a subjective topic. you see, if a kid is in a family on the lower end of income, it’s way of looking at things like a Computer, which it does not own, is corrupted in this shiny world. A kid sees other “rich” kids on KZbin playing games all it wants to have is a computer to be able to do the same thing, play. the rich kid on the other end of the spectrum has a much more clear view and much more time for clear thinking as it has less to worry about and more time to see what is actually essential in a lifetime ... assuming that both kids are of equal intelligence.
@vp4822
@vp4822 4 жыл бұрын
It's not enough to give people fish. You also have to teach them how to fish.
@lurker-mq4fp
@lurker-mq4fp 4 жыл бұрын
Yep, you need desire and discipline to succeed. No amount of tokens can teach you to get out of a hole - you need to graft if you don't have wealth to begin with. It's not ''fair' but that is how the world is.
@PedroPereira-si3sy
@PedroPereira-si3sy 4 жыл бұрын
​@@lurker-mq4fp Education. One can teach how to think, show not only the information, but also teach how to analize that given information, and search for more (contraditory or not) so to make the best value out of it. If a kid is only handled as a consumer, and working force, you won't bring all the value it can produce into society. The issue is that teaching kids how to think, will transform existing industries such as the ones stuck into the state protection and disguised under nationalistic rethoric, religious industries and media. And that would be a great thing for all. Still humans are conservative by nature, and changing the status quo is very difficult for most.
@samirould-ali7815
@samirould-ali7815 4 жыл бұрын
I love Ray❤️ this Human is just legit! I always have the feeling when he speaks that he really wants to convey knowledge instead of being right or profiling himself 👍🏼
@evilevan9687
@evilevan9687 4 жыл бұрын
Samir Ould-Ali yes!
@Dinngg0
@Dinngg0 4 жыл бұрын
Productivity is indeed the key. Helping to educate our workers will make them more productive. Wiping away debt does nothing to make people more productive. Put the resources where it does the most good.
@tsopzy
@tsopzy 4 жыл бұрын
Protect this man at all costs. Great interview Ray
@j.abdulaziz5645
@j.abdulaziz5645 4 жыл бұрын
Great interview! Especially because you let the Speaker Speak!
@faymalio1053
@faymalio1053 4 жыл бұрын
"Too much leveraging means you are broke.." - Ray Dalio
@bluewaters3100
@bluewaters3100 4 жыл бұрын
I feel like paying my bills every month is leveraging my credit cards. What am I going to pay and with what card.
@donaldkenne3776
@donaldkenne3776 4 жыл бұрын
Leveraging at all means you are broke. You don't have to borrow money if you have money.
@randy52000
@randy52000 4 жыл бұрын
@@donaldkenne3776 warren bufett must be broke right now, selling bonds to gain cash leverage
@jmusso102
@jmusso102 4 жыл бұрын
Mr. D, is this your burner account?
@donaldkenne3776
@donaldkenne3776 4 жыл бұрын
@@randy52000 do you know nothing about finance? To leverage in the financial world is to borrow money. Then use that money to invest in something hoping you can make the spread on the investment compared to the interest. To borrow money means you were too broke to do what you wanted to do with cash.
@vivekpal1004
@vivekpal1004 4 жыл бұрын
Huge interview, thanks for this TED.
@vivekpal1004
@vivekpal1004 4 жыл бұрын
@Susan Bara Not sure if you're trolling with this big piece of text but I read it so here's what I think. It's just a common sense to maintain safe distancing when going for test and be extra cautious because you're very likely around someone who is positive. Govts. have done more than enough to create awareness on social distancing and personal hygiene so it's not a weakness in communication by govt.
@vivekpal1004
@vivekpal1004 4 жыл бұрын
@Susan Baron ​ Dalio is talking about educating from productivity point of view. Someone who is educated, runs a business or works at a job is more productive for the economy and helps a lot of people in the system directly or indirectly. Besides, I wish there was a magical serum that could be given to some people to help them understand simple things like personal hygiene and safe distancing in these trying times.
@springcity2008
@springcity2008 4 жыл бұрын
As powerful as he is, is Mr. Dali willing to gather a group of highly influential businessmen and other groups come together to make a difference, to press pressure to the government to make the right decision
@renetshiakanyi
@renetshiakanyi 4 жыл бұрын
Listening to Ray just gave me so much Hope!
@tylervasquez192
@tylervasquez192 4 жыл бұрын
Man Ray Dalio just simplify everything. The man is a legend and a great mentor!
@paxton011
@paxton011 4 жыл бұрын
Great straight talking Brilliant!
@mfurman
@mfurman 4 жыл бұрын
I read Ray Dalio’s books and subscribe to his mailing list so I know his style. I have also listened to at least three recent interviews with him and I am becoming more and more certain that Ray is not able to give a relatively straightforward answer to a question without broad historical background. I am afraid that many want more simplicity and clarity even in these uncertain times
@jimson172
@jimson172 4 жыл бұрын
It's hard for him to make decisive calls because the news is just going to turn it into a clickbait headline
@MarekCiupak
@MarekCiupak 2 жыл бұрын
I had to switch it to audio-only because I couldn't stand the interviewers nodding *incessantly*. I am surprised that for others it is not irritating but maybe it is a cultural difference. Anyway, thank you for the interview.
@briankim8151
@briankim8151 4 жыл бұрын
Another gem on the internet produced by the Great Dalio
@ShadyRonin
@ShadyRonin 4 жыл бұрын
Ray is a legend and you can tell he thinks on a higher level than the folks at TED are ready to handle haha
@Dan7751
@Dan7751 4 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the talk. Please expand the window of the person speaking, and minimise the others.. The nodding and other windows are a bit distracting.
@jptrainor
@jptrainor 4 жыл бұрын
I would like to hear Ray Dalio be interviewed by two farmers who have never heard of Twitter.
@CintaFarmBlora
@CintaFarmBlora 4 жыл бұрын
Yes, they will not interupt
@catcar9157
@catcar9157 4 жыл бұрын
My uncle in NW Ireland, speaks English but you won’t understand what he is saying! I love it!
@parmafc100
@parmafc100 4 жыл бұрын
I m from Italy, what I can say.... Ray for president!
@JK-ku2mj
@JK-ku2mj 4 жыл бұрын
Ludwig Erhard was one person how was a smart economist and germany have had the Economy wonder in his time....for now there is no person like him in the politics
@TruReflex
@TruReflex 4 жыл бұрын
I just wanted to come and listen to a few points from this but I couldn't get my self to pull away. Very engaging and succinct points. Ray Dalio is the GOAT.
@nicolailongo8846
@nicolailongo8846 4 жыл бұрын
What about the fact that we live in a rapacious global oligarchy that has been economically & criminally oppressing nearly everyone on the planet? Why doesn’t anyone talk about how controlled the system is by the few..? It’s not a collective effort like he’s describing...
@nilanjansarkar100
@nilanjansarkar100 4 жыл бұрын
17:26 - "Yes this is bigger than 2008" - I'm glad somebody called it out
@EitanPeles
@EitanPeles 4 жыл бұрын
finally someone admits it!
@cyberrock9018
@cyberrock9018 4 жыл бұрын
I don’t thinks so...2008 is a long term debt crisis that happens once in a century. But this is different and it’s going to grind on... and monetary policy won’t be effective. Ray Kept saying on interviews” it’s not going to be like 2008”
@cyberrock9018
@cyberrock9018 4 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/bpW7eHeLh9Z5ebM this proves my point
@EitanPeles
@EitanPeles 4 жыл бұрын
@@cyberrock9018 it's gonna be way worse for sure
@tatymax7293
@tatymax7293 4 жыл бұрын
Roubini is predicating the same things
@yasserakbbach7342
@yasserakbbach7342 4 жыл бұрын
Saying THANKS is dangerous! this reminds me of childhoods when a stranger (a kid in same age as us) does us a favor & cuz we don't want to feel weak we keep quiet (never saying it) pretending that we don't need help! this world is creepy it's a fact.
@ja7857
@ja7857 4 жыл бұрын
Chris Anderson of TED always asks speakers very critical questions. Really good!
@coreywong
@coreywong 4 жыл бұрын
Much better than the Bloomberg interview! This is the best. I will watch it again.
@HaiLeQuang
@HaiLeQuang 4 жыл бұрын
This guy knows his stuff. You can see it right away from few minutes.
@N02tradamus
@N02tradamus 4 жыл бұрын
Ray Dalio straight up OG. Love him.
@olivergilpin
@olivergilpin 4 жыл бұрын
18:30 - necessity goods + innovators that aren’t too leveraged will do great
@markofunkade
@markofunkade 4 жыл бұрын
Implied message- you must first lift yourself up before you can lift anyone else up. But in order to lift yourself up, you must be given the opportunity to do so.
@colofsco1
@colofsco1 4 жыл бұрын
Ray is living in a dream world. Since 2008 the gap between the rich and poor has increased. This impending global depression will only widen the gap.
@christopherdennis4280
@christopherdennis4280 4 жыл бұрын
Endless growth in a finite world is unsustainable.
@Benzknees
@Benzknees 4 жыл бұрын
How is growth based on knowledge and services unsustainable?
@marcoaslan
@marcoaslan 4 жыл бұрын
Ray Dalio on JRE, please
@lorenzomorosini4349
@lorenzomorosini4349 4 жыл бұрын
Legends say the woman is still nodding
@kmolu
@kmolu 4 жыл бұрын
Lorenzo Morosini could’ve been on loop 😂😂
@anthonyfam5469
@anthonyfam5469 4 жыл бұрын
Lorenzo Morosini Sorry bruh. Covid 19 got me stressed out.
@youtuber6185
@youtuber6185 4 жыл бұрын
I found myself nodding as well.
@impink123
@impink123 4 жыл бұрын
@@youtuber6185 haha
@loveistheway7
@loveistheway7 4 жыл бұрын
Come on guys.Give her a break...She let Ray Dalio speak without interupting
@tubeyou89119
@tubeyou89119 4 жыл бұрын
WOW, Ray is not only one of the best investors, but also the most wise peacekeeper and forward-looking visionary leader in the world. We need to listen to him more.
@menschderguckt
@menschderguckt 4 жыл бұрын
Ray is such an interesting and inspiring person. Thanks for that talk!
@magicdeaths
@magicdeaths 4 жыл бұрын
Something Ray touched on was these major shocks happen every 50-75 years and lead to economic depression for followed by restructering and a new world order. He touches on the power of productivity, could our current strengths in Information technology and interconnectness dampen the impact of the virus and effects economically. Every country gains benefits from other countries struggles and strategies dealing with the virus, this collaboration was never seem before. The economy is showing signs of recovery because some believe this could be a quick bounce back not because of some hunch.
@rickknight3823
@rickknight3823 4 жыл бұрын
Interesting and very relevant point
@bighands69
@bighands69 4 жыл бұрын
The world will go into a dark age if the US collapses. Most of the innovation in the world comes from the US. Not China, Japan, Europe or Africa. Everything we use from Radio, TV, Computers, Electronics, Auto, Pharma and so on comes from America.
@BWater-yq3jx
@BWater-yq3jx 4 жыл бұрын
What are these signs of recovery?
@donghoshin3460
@donghoshin3460 4 жыл бұрын
i think Ray should run for the president next election
@mitchprime9202
@mitchprime9202 4 жыл бұрын
Yes!
@Justin-qp1co
@Justin-qp1co 4 жыл бұрын
So he can thanks China in public for bringing the virus to us.
@asghaabjob9603
@asghaabjob9603 4 жыл бұрын
Don't think he wants the stress
@westernmedia3101
@westernmedia3101 4 жыл бұрын
Justin Like America bringing Aids to the world. You are the type of people that Ray referred as lack of education. If you are a well educated person and has good sense on science and cause effect relationship than you would not blame on a country who outbreaks pandemic without doing things wrong.
@ReinaldoMichael
@ReinaldoMichael 4 жыл бұрын
Do you think USA still exist by 2024?
@belindamoon4540
@belindamoon4540 4 жыл бұрын
Why can’t Ray be the next president of United States?
@andrewkiminhwan
@andrewkiminhwan 4 жыл бұрын
my thought exactly and i scroll down to see this lol
@adukeisaac7252
@adukeisaac7252 4 жыл бұрын
He doesn’t have to ,he could be an adviser
@jimmydoan007
@jimmydoan007 4 жыл бұрын
you want another businessman?
@rafalmilosz4242
@rafalmilosz4242 4 жыл бұрын
@@jimmydoan007 He is not a businessman, but an investor and he has completely different personality than current president of US
@Aerodave11
@Aerodave11 4 жыл бұрын
aduke isaac he already has been
@СергейСальников-н9у
@СергейСальников-н9у 4 жыл бұрын
I've been waiting for his advice about this pandemic. now I become calmer than before.
@TheArtOfTango
@TheArtOfTango 4 жыл бұрын
Ray is always brilliant and straight to the point. He is an educator!
@faktenfaktenfakten3794
@faktenfaktenfakten3794 4 жыл бұрын
The greatest hedgefund manager in the 21 Century.
@roahminmurphy5049
@roahminmurphy5049 4 жыл бұрын
This is the best Ray Dalio interview I have listened to yet! Thank you, TED for your thoughtful questions, active listening and willingness to be open and honest! You all are truly cutting edge and doing your part. I hope you accept Ray's challenge...time to FIGHT...with love. :)
@tinar.9208
@tinar.9208 4 жыл бұрын
The hosts are really not getting his main points! I cant believe their takeaway was that "we will get through this" and "shouldn't you speak up re: China" when he clearly said the world economy is ending as we know it. Perhaps he wants it that way
@hedgehog_fox
@hedgehog_fox 4 жыл бұрын
Yeah the hosts were just not on the same level as Ray. It was kind of cringy to watch.
@buckleupbuckeroo
@buckleupbuckeroo 4 жыл бұрын
It's much better than speaking over him like most loudmouth hosts do. Sometimes the best thing an interviewer can do it let their guest speak.
@jamesp.couvelis2470
@jamesp.couvelis2470 4 жыл бұрын
Tina R. There was no push back from the hosts when Ray applauded the Chinese government for supposedly helping the rest of the world during the pandemic. I lost a lot of respect for Ray when he said that. So much suffering and devastation is occurring and he couldn’t even acknowledge who was accountable for it. Almost like he’s too financially and intellectually invested in China to be objective. I bet the intellectual invested is way way more important to him, especially since he’s a billionaire who’s giving away half his wealth. What does he care at this point. Reminds me of George Soros who I admired until he went berserk. Same pattern of giving away his money and pushing causes to the extreme using whatever means to accomplish the goals.
@brishtiteveja
@brishtiteveja 4 жыл бұрын
@@jamesp.couvelis2470 You want to blame the whole China because a virus emerged from an an illegal wild trade market. China actually handled pretty well when they learnt about the mess. How is the entire Chinese population or Government fully responsible for such a random event. They are accountable, but the same thing may happen on any place. What's more outrageous is that US being the most powerful and wealthiest cannot handle a pandemic as well than many other countries. Let's criticize your own self and improve rather than blaming.
@tinar.9208
@tinar.9208 4 жыл бұрын
@jamespcovelius tend to disagree with the excessive demonizing of China. Yes they tried to cover up and created a big problem for the world but the whole world was also looking on with some indifference and amusement when they were battling it at its peak.
@everglades_n_co.
@everglades_n_co. 4 жыл бұрын
Dalio is the expert who explains economy in the easiest way. If you don't understand him, you don't understand anyone else.
@kikkom2548
@kikkom2548 4 жыл бұрын
Very interesting to listen to Mr. Dalio on this issue. I respect him very much. No need to show Ms. Hajim on the screen just nodding non-stop. I find it visually disrupting. Nothing personal.
@ollywright
@ollywright 4 жыл бұрын
Fascinating insights from Mr Dalio. Somewhat disappointing questions however: which mostly were stuck in the pre-paradigm shift world view, whilst Dalio was talking about the post-paradigm shift future.
@bighands69
@bighands69 4 жыл бұрын
Your statement makes no sense.
@michaelu8370
@michaelu8370 4 жыл бұрын
I'm afraid I must agree with bighand, your comment at least begs the question as to what paradigm you are referring and what is its shift? Or if you are more correctly speaking of a change in a paradigm, from what paradigm, and to what paradigm, are we changing?
@brendan7258
@brendan7258 4 жыл бұрын
12:06 when Chris joins unexpectedly. It’s like I had already unwrapped my Christmas presents then my parents brought out one more special one.
@yihtorng
@yihtorng 4 жыл бұрын
ahh I'm waiting Ray Dalio' s content for awhile now
@Rushky83
@Rushky83 4 жыл бұрын
One of the most brilliant thought leaders of our lifetimes
@Markchapman100
@Markchapman100 4 жыл бұрын
Always a great guy to listen to and makes things easier to comprehend. Thanks
@greenlandconsulting
@greenlandconsulting 4 жыл бұрын
It's great to have Ray Dalio share his insight in this less stringent format.
@mecitsaglam5957
@mecitsaglam5957 4 жыл бұрын
Ray Dalio is a gamer and he knows how to play. So, if you are in the ''game'', you should listen him.
@shashankshukla2012
@shashankshukla2012 4 жыл бұрын
Is he on Twitch as well??
@kq7739
@kq7739 4 жыл бұрын
@@shashankshukla2012 cracked me up 😀
@jedinight8000
@jedinight8000 4 жыл бұрын
@@RichardG774 33% off $100+ billion good af boy get outta here you wish you could make 33% in a year I bet lmao
@ndnrb_
@ndnrb_ 4 жыл бұрын
Richard Garnache Show me a hedge fund that beats the S&P lol
@rangerdoc1029
@rangerdoc1029 4 жыл бұрын
We're all in the game. The question is whether you are a pawn or not.
@cellocovers3982
@cellocovers3982 4 жыл бұрын
If an oracle exists, this guy is the closest thing to it. Dropping wisdom at 24:04
@jq4548
@jq4548 4 жыл бұрын
Prepared questions don't work. She asks the wrong questions to continue his thought train
@Mister_Best
@Mister_Best 4 жыл бұрын
ADHD maybe
@khary30
@khary30 4 жыл бұрын
At least she doesn’t interrupt him like most do
@LukeSalaiz
@LukeSalaiz 4 жыл бұрын
Agreed. And yes, at least she let him speak freely.
@martinreiher9118
@martinreiher9118 4 жыл бұрын
This is the most valuable video currently on KZbin
@AlvinJing
@AlvinJing 4 жыл бұрын
Would like to see a interview with Ray dedicated to talking about how machine impacts future economy and Society.
@helenzhu6470
@helenzhu6470 4 жыл бұрын
Second it.
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