Who Will Win Gold? Josh Kerr vs Jakob Ingebrigtsen Prediction and Analysis

[@fettslasken2405]

I hope Jakob and Timothy will help eachother to keep the pace unbearable for the others

[@AdamJansen786]

If they do Kerr is in trouble! That being said I feel they are more likely to get in each others way.

[@GrimeyShark]

@@AdamJansen786nah kerr might not have run 3:27/3:28 but he will be in that kind of shape for sure. He only hasn’t run that kind of time because he doesn’t really compete on the diamond league circuit

[@blainenewton7188]

I think those 2 guys are friendly toward each other, but, yeah, in the Olympic finals it's every man for himself.

[@Whale15]

@@GrimeySharkAgreed. He never really races. Just tapers all year and cross his finger at worlds. Won’t even show up for Europeans.

[@riquelme82]

Me too hoping for a kind of alliance between tim og jakob. It will secure them gold and silver

[@jupitercrash777]

After watching the first two rounds in Paris, don't be shocked if Cole out sprints Jakob and Kerr in the final 50m.

[@nhmountains5683]

You nailed it. Congrats to Cole!!

[@TheGuy-sj4sw]

“I’ve never had any rivals everyone has a rivalry with me” -Jakob.

[@beboshi69]

Lol he's coping there

[@kobbieafriyie2172]

@@beboshi69 Absolutely! Josh will smoke him in Paris

[@champagnepapi0075]

@@beboshi69 bruh. How is that a cope. 12 wins to Josh’s 2. That is no rivalry, yet.

[@Whale15]

@@champagnepapi0075agreed. It’s not a rivalry. Josh will have to win again this year to even call it one. He also barely shows up for Europeans or diamond league which is disappointing. Just bad for the sport

[@champagnepapi0075]

@@Whale15 he’s not on the same level as Jakob

[@evanhankins4261]

If the winning time is faster than 3:28.5, Jakob wins. If it’s slower than that, Josh wins

[@pacome_hegesippe]

Good prediction, monsieur.

[@patricktheaveragejoe6107]

these videos are very high quality, the kind i would expect from a channel 10x this size. Keep it up!

[@AdamJansen786]

Appreciate it!

[@thedorkknight7773]

*Cole Hocker has entered the chat

[@AdamJansen786]

😂

[@7agneskickingbird7]

This one is tough to call. Just when I begin to lean towards one of the two athletes winning it I think nah, and change my mind again. Jakob, Josh, Jakob, Josh etc. There’s also the possibility that neither of the two win and someone else runs them down in the final 100 or 200m, but I (and others I’m sure) think it’s unlikely.

[@kd-wk8nd]

Jakob is clearly the favourite but he can get pipped in tactical races. He’s a level up on Kerr, more complete.

[@solomonhiggins4576]

@@kd-wk8ndbut they said that last year and the year before that and what happened…

[@trevorturner8037]

damn you actually called it on that last part😂

[@Stacie45]

I'm gonna put my money on a dark horse, Cole Hocker. Cole gonna shock the world.

[@FrankRaucci]

Naguse all day for the upset

[@eaglesexpert3459]

No way you called it that’s crazy

[@Stacie45]

@@eaglesexpert3459 He was 30-1. I should have put money on it!!

[@nhmountains5683]

You nailed it. He shocked Jakob and Kerr. Great race.

[@DrProfX]

Great call!! Go Ducks!!

[@StephenVisnarius]

Great analysis. I’m putting my money on Ingebrigtsen. Just a feeling. I just think he is peaking. And will be unstoppable. That said, we shouldn’t discount Cole Hocker. He can come out of nowhere.

[@DanielBIngle]

He needs to run like El G in 2004 against Lagat 8-900 meter kick

[@momedalhouma14]

he choose to run like elgerrouj in sydney 2000 instead. both lost

[@randytindol2172]

Watch out for the dark horse, Hobbs, his 1.43.64 speaks volume, along with his 3.31 53 final at USTrials means something..He may not win but he will medal..He ‘s speed speaks volumes..Hobbs is the new kid on the blocks…Jacob got this but Hobbs going to give the hell..

[@johnholt2193]

Agreed, Kessler is on the way up.

[@nhmountains5683]

Congrats to Hobbs. He did well breaking 3:30

[@uriahlucas7190]

I think there’s a really good chance that Timothy and Jacob take it out hot together. They’re both in really good shape and it would benefit both of them which I assume they both would know. So considering Timothy will be there I’ll guess Jacob wins, if it was just Kerr vs Ingnabritsen probably 50/50

[@Robert_McGarry_Poems]

This is a very good point. Timothy C. knows that Jacob pulls him along to the finish as well as being an honest pace setter. If it is too slow, Cole might surprise us... lol😊

[@BitCrafted]

Did you see the recent diamond league 1500m in London where Jakob set the European record. Cheruiyot was in that race as well and was about 15m behind at the end. He still ran a fast time but there was some gap, on the other hand a month before that Jakob and cheriyot ran another diamond league 1500m and it was a slower more tactical race. There was a sprint finish between cheriyotvand Ingebrigtsen at the end and it was literally a few inches between them at the finish. Jakob only won because he dived over the move otherwise cheeky it would have won. What I’m saying is that you are mistaken to think cheriyot would benefit more from a really hot pace. Cheriyot can ram fast times but not as fast as Jakob however he has a very good kick. Cheriyot is a 800/1500m runner whilst Jakob is more 1500/5000m runner. Jakob does very well in races with a very quick first half similar in pace to the second as this fizzles out the kick in other runners and makes the race more aerobic problem is though that Jakob can’t lead from the front or he’ll lose so he’ll have to hope someone else wants to lead out fast but no one else will probably want to. I could see cheriyot leading from the start a bit like in Tokyo but keeping the pace a bit slower, his fast times depend on a negative split and then the race will get comicated with others trying to make moves and it could get bunched up but I think Kerr will win because he looks like the best all rounder in the group and can likely cover all situations whilst Jakob needs a specific set of circumstances to give him a good chance of winning and this does depend on other runners and you can’t control other runners so there is an element of luck involved.

[@arnegerhardsen3755]

Timothy and Jakob have been good friends for years even if they of course also are competitors. Both of them know that with a lot of fast sprinters they will have a unknown out come if the race is too slow. Nuguse might also need fast and steady pace to take a medal, but I haven't seen him take resonsibility as a pacer to get such a fast race. In Monaco Timothy showed he might be at the same level as in Tokyo, and if Timothy and Jakob would take responsibility together for a fast pacing I think both of them would take a medal. In Monaco Jakob came from hard training 2 times a day on his training camp in St. Morits, and if he has remained healthy he normally is at least in the same shape as in Monaco, and then he will gradually increase his speed the last 800 m like he has done before. A lot of runners need Jakob as their pacer and then it's a little strange to hear that Jakob cannot run fast without pacing. And in races with pacing Jakob always is the last pacer and have helped a lot of runners to get a fast PB.

[@CliveBramham]

Thanks for your analysis. In my opinion the race is about Jakob. He is the best and fastest, but there are a handful of top challengers. I do disagree about pacing - in many races Jakob is the pacer for most of the race. He has also shown over and over in the past 2-3 years than he runs his own race and sets his own lap pace (lights or not).

[@sstby]

Neither! Cole hocker is going to win.

[@nhmountains5683]

You nailed it. Congrats to Cole

[@DrProfX]

Good call!! Go Ducks!!

[@sstby]

Definitely played out close to what I expected. I don’t know why everyone was sleeping on him. Especially the way he was racing. Now goose was an unexpected bonus. However he had also been running amazing so I guess not as much as a surprise either.

[@AndrewWhitehead-h7w]

I really enjoyed your analysis and agree with you. We’re all looking forward to it 😊

[@Salsi1]

I put my money on Jakob. In the Monaco DL he started winding it up with 400m to go (also at WR pace) and if he does that at the Final I don’t think kerr will have a kick at the end. But we’ll see, tbh I just want to enjoy the race but i’ll be rooting for Jakob.

[@nathanielseltveit3252]

The difference in speed the last 200m between the two of them last year wasnt that big. And at the time Jakob had a fever and i believe people under estimates his speed. Although Kerr has gotten better and mabye can do a 3:27.90 in Monaco for example, he is still behind Jakob in fitness by a great margin. Also im so done with the critics towards Jakob in non paced races, because in those races Jakob is Josh pacer i Would like to see Josh take a skiver medal two years in a row taking it by the front, because it will never happen. Jakob is the better runner overall and if the pace is between 3:27.5-3:28.5 he will glide away from Kerr with a few meters in the last 150m

[@ChannelPerl]

Great analysis and spot on. However Cole Hocker is gonna shock the worllllllld!!

[@michaeljuniphant9710]

I would love to see Hocker perform but the US consistently does not show up at the Olympics. Maybe he will finish as high as 5th.

[@GrimeyShark]

@@ChannelPerl nah the pace will be too hot for him, can’t see hocker winning if the race is 3.28 or below

[@milocavapoo1852]

Hocker’s fastest time set this year is just under 3:31 he’s not winning jack 💩 although I do think he’s improved his strength & endurance this year. Still he’s 2-3 seconds slower than others in a fast 3:28 race.

[@nhmountains5683]

You nailed it. Congrats to Cole!!!

[@arnegerhardsen3755]

In the European champ Jakob had a faster 200 m than Kerr in WC 23 and Weightman in 22. Remember that Kerr and Wightman had Jakob as pacer.

[@AdamJansen786]

True, but the pace of the Euro champs was a very high 3:31, whereas the WC 23 and 22 were low 3:29s. Plus, Kerr will still have Jakob as a pacer for the Olympics in all likelihood.

[@rayflaherty3441]

@@AdamJansen786 I think @arnegerhardsen3755's point is that Jakob has shown that he has a faster kick now, so if it comes down to a "sit and kick" race, Josh has less of an advantage than he did in their previous meeting. My money is on Jakob.

[@BitCrafted]

I’m not sure his kick is faster than in 2022 or 2023. Did you see the 1500m diamond league race a month ago. Jakob had about a ten metre lead over cheriyout with 100m to go and cheriyot gained on him and would have won if Jakob hadn’t dived over the line. There was literally a millisecond between them in the final results and the announcers initially said cheriyot had won. Cheriyot is in good form right now but not his best form and had Kerr been in that race I definitely think he would have outkicked Ingebrigtsen. On the other hand the 1500m diamond league in Monaco which was a couple of weeks ago saw Jakob set a European record in the 1500m and beat cheriyot by about 15m or something. Difference was that race went out at world record pace with pacers and the other race was slower and more tactical. Jakob can’t let the race be slower or more tactical but he also can’t just lead from the front because I think Kerr will win it then. Maybe he could try some kind of midway surge but that won’t be easy so I think Kerr will win because he looks more versatile at the moment. We aren’t sure how fast Kerr could run a 1500m time trial right now maybe it is slower than Ingebrigtsen but it wouldn’t be much slower and the Olympics isn’t a time trust and doesn’t have pacers or wave light paving technology.

[@BitCrafted]

Jakob’s kick may have improved since last month but I don’t think it will have improved enough also there’s a good chance kerrs kick has improved further as he’s been doing some 800m work recently.

[@trinidadrodriquez876]

@@ZATHURAKEYit’s a 400 meter kick. He’ll have a 600 meter or 400 meter kick. In the Olympics.

[@chriss7688]

The point about relying on pacers doesn’t make sense because in the 3k Josh just paced off of grant and kicked in him so he’s also relying on pacers but we’ve seen Jakob run times without pacers for a good amount take the 2 mile in Paris like he split a 3:53 solo for the second half.

[@AdamJansen786]

The difference is that josh will have ingebrigtsen and cheruiyot to pace off given both those athletes front run in pretty much every final they race in. So the lack of pacers affects Josh much less because Jakob and cheruiyot will be his pacers.

[@roydos949]

Just wondering how much energy a runner saves when running behind someone, they are running at 25 km an hour so the leader is taking a lot of wind? What do you think Jakob could run in a 1500 time trial?

[@RUNISFAST]

I think Jakob goes to front and kerr follows jakob on 3.26 - 27 pace after 500m kerr goes to the front and with 300m again jakob kicks to the front jakob wins with 3.26.00. 2Kerr 3.28.91 3narve 3.28.93

[@TheGuy-sj4sw]

If Jakob wins I’ll subscribe to you

[@RUNISFAST]

@@TheGuy-sj4sw deal

[@Albusdumbledore840]

Pretty specific 💀

[@RUNISFAST]

@@Albusdumbledore840 🤣

[@Albusdumbledore840]

@@RUNISFAST are you from the future?

[@BitCrafted]

I think Josh will win by 5 metres or less. It will be very close and could go either win but I say Josh takes it and overtakes ingebrigsten some time in the last 100m. People are saying ingebrigsten has insane fitness right now but he had insane fitness back in 2022 when he beat the indoor 1500m world record. A few months later though he came second in both the outdoor and indoor 1500m world championships. It will be difficult for ingebrigsten I think it’s his race to lose because I don’t think he can beat Josh by doing his standard tactic of leading from the front. This can be problematic without pacers. I also don’t think that ingebrigsten can allow this to be a slow race. If the average pace is around than 3:31-3:32 with 400m remaining then I think Ingebrigtsen will definitely get out kicked and maybe not just by Kerr. Jakob will have to hope someone else that leads from the front takes the race out at a good pace, then he could maybe try a midway surge where he goes to the front with 800m remaining or so. This kind of thing is risky though as overtaking runners midway through isn’t necessarily the most efficient way and there is a risk of him getting trapped/boxed in. Getting boxed in would be bad for Jakob as normally it’s not as big an issue because things often open up toward the end but Jakob can’t wait till near the end. If Jakob has a perfect strategy and a bit of luck with what the others are doing then I think he could win otherwise I think Josh takes it. It’s Jakobs race to lose he’ll have to be tactical and ballsy but not too confident.

[@jkdure]

Kerr hasnt beat a fully fit Jakob yet. Sure Jakob had an insane fitness in 2022 but was unlucky and got sick leading upp to the 1500 m.

[@hansw1476]

Cole Hocker wil be the man

[@Fast__Snail]

Lol, who?

[@TheErinBrownTV]

Who's that?

[@hansw1476]

Gold!!!!!

[@hansw1476]

@@Fast__Snail ha ha GOLD!!

[@Fast__Snail]

I did not think Hocker could run that fast, a 3 seconds improvement on his previous best. Incredible race and well done by him.

[@JavasBinga]

I'll be happy with any outcome as long as Kerr doesn't win. I cannot stand the guy. He win 1 major title after never really being relevant and he starts acting like he's always been a big shot

[@royjohansen6729]

I agree and could not decribed it better👍

[@jordanoswald6842]

My 11-year-old son pays close attention to middle distance and he says Josh just has such a punishable face. We were at the Prefontaine classic and my son cried when jakob lost to Josh. He was so mad

[@milocavapoo1852]

As a Brit I also agree, Josh, even before winning the gold against a sick Jakob, was giving it the big I am after Tokyo then went quiet fir a while when he struggled to finish top 3 in races. Never been under 3:29 & keeps trash talking Jakob who’s 3 years younger & has a stash of medals 🥇

[@Kingston781]

Timoth will push the pace no chance for Kerr 😂😂😂

[@AdamJansen786]

He definitely will - to be honest I am not sure he will be able to keep his pace in the last 400m. He seems to have a habit of gunning it from the start and fading later on.

[@APBCTechnique]

The only way to win that race for Jakob is run sub 3:26 and break the WR - Do a filbert bayi run gun to tape like the commonwealth gold in 1974 WR 1500m run Kerr is capable to run 3:27 and any race slower than this Jakob will loose It’s got to be a 3:25 low to mid to beat Kerr. He’s just a better 800m man with a better finish

[@DrProfX]

Great analysis, but slightly overestimated Kerr and underestimated Hocker… Jakob has less and less chance to win the gold in 1500 m… maybe time to focus on 5000m 🤷‍♂️

[@napoleondanielcoca2976]

Hope it’s Jakob or Timothy and Kerr out of the medals

[@reall6229]

Nuguse gonna take it all

[@itsnothat]

If I remember right, Kerr mixed it up by going to the lead and started pulling with about 600m to go in the Bowerman mile race this year.

[@kd-wk8nd]

But that was Jakobs first race after missing the winter season injured. Still only a fraction of a second behind.

[@itsnothat]

@@kd-wk8nd My observation was not about Jakob's race. I was just commenting that Kerr didn't wait for the 200m mark to pull ahead this time - as hinted in the video. Maybe he did it to keep everyone guessing.

[@MP-sh4ht]

In my opinion it was an early race and not a WC or Olympic final- that's why Kerr had success- but Jakob has build up for the olympics and will win where it counts the most🤔

[@kd-wk8nd]

@@itsnothat sure. I’m sure Jakob will be delighted if he does that in the Olympics but not likely. Possibly cheryiout or a.n.other will front run and make it fast then Jakob will take over and make it very fast and Kerr will try to cling on but fail. That’s my prediction! But who knows..

[@itsnothat]

@@kd-wk8nd Agreed hopefully it's a tight race. It's Jakob vs rest of the field, so I am not going to call one way or the other.

[@michaeljuniphant9710]

Great review, but your call is off. Jakob knows he has to pump up the pace to have a guaranteed win. He will do it. If he doesn't, he knows it can go either way, so he will. It would be a terrible game plan if he doesn't take it out hard.

[@robinbauer1975]

What I like is that you are one of the few knowledgeable track fans that use common sense Jakob won not a single non paced race against world class competition His dynamic speed is ass and his 800 pb is a rolled 1:47 or 46 If he can’t squeeze the pace evenly he be rolled In Tokyo cheruiyot lead from 1200 up to 110m to go (paced race)

[@TheGuy-sj4sw]

1500 2020 Olympics????????? You should watch it. Jacob and Timothy will push the pace whilst Kerr will not be able to keep up.

[@RUNISFAST]

Thats is 3 years ago he could go 1.43 now

[@TheGuy-sj4sw]

@RUNISFAST ur everywhere bro 😂

[@RUNISFAST]

@@TheGuy-sj4sw u 2 bro🤣

[@robinbauer1975]

@@TheGuy-sj4swu know that kerr is faster than cheruiyot over the MILE RIGHT? 😂😂😂 Why should the second fastest 2 Mile runner and a 3:44 Mile runner not be able to keep on against a fast pace lead by cheruiyot (a 3:49 miler)?

[@royjohansen6729]

I'llbe rooting for Jakob the GOAT🏎️🏎️🏎️

[@andrewpreston4127]

Diamond League events, with their one, sometimes two, pacemakers resemble time trials more than actual races. Ingebritzen excels at those. However, he's been found out twice in a row at the highest levels of championship racing. Actually, I wouldn't be surprised if the winner at the Olympics 1500 is unexpected, someone who doesn't have the pressure on to the extent that Kerr and Ingebritzen have.

[@TheRealBrayoTv]

Everyone keeps talking about this 2, but the reality is someone may not make it to the final due to whatever reason

[@danielparsons2859]

It's not a time trial. It's a race. The best racer will win.

[@rayflaherty3441]

If there's a track, it's always a time trial and a race.

[@Runningfree-ju9cy]

Your analysis is very good, although I have a few minor disagreements. It’s impossible to predict who will win the 1500M as too many variables and unknowns are in play. The main unknown is whether Ingebrigtsen has improved further following his Monaco 3:26.73 run. His progression after recovery from his Achilles injury has been startling. He may have a sub 3:26 (i.e. world record) in him sometime this year based on his results so far. If the pace is only solid (around or just under 3:29) and Ingebrigtsen leads fairly early we’ll probably have a replay of the last two world championships. That’s completely logical as Kerr following closely has a decided advantage with a slightly easier run sitting right behind. I believe Kerr has the fitness and ability to run a 3:27 but may struggle holding on if Ingebrigtsen can run a 3:26 (perhaps even low 3:27) leading almost all the way - far from easy to do at their level. Ingebrigtsen ran his spectacular 2 mile world record being on his own for the last three laps (albeit still with wave lights). An intelligent athlete runs to his strengths, not his weaknesses, so I can’t imagine Ingebrigtsen will tolerate a slow or even solid pace. Ideally he’d want a 1:50 to 1:51 800M and a 2:46 1200M, followed by a 40 second last 300M (53.33 second 400M pace to finish). That would probably blunt Kerr’s kick enough for Ingebrigtsen to win gold. It’s obvious to say it looks a match race between Ingebrigtsen and Kerr if the pace is at 3:29 or below, the faster the race being to Ingebrigtsen’s distinct advantage, of course. He looks to have the superior strength/endurance.

[@robinbauer1975]

Josh never went sub 3:29 🤓

[@BitCrafted]

He has a different level of fitness compared to the last Olympics. He ran the indoor two mile world record don’t forget. He still has his kick though. He hasn’t ran any fast 1500’s since he recovered from his injury over a year ago.

[@Screamghost2]

He dident d**mb as

[@RUNISFAST]

​@@BitCrafted jakob can take the indoor world record now if he want but its no need for him.

[@APBCTechnique]

He’s capable of sub 3:27 but doesn’t run in the diamond league

[@RUNISFAST]

@@APBCTechnique kerr cant run sub 29. He did go with jakob on dimond league in lausanne last year as soon jakob started run faster from 3.29 pace to 3.28 pace kerr got acid, josh did only win because jakob had fever in budapest.

[@amblincork]

Ingebrigysen reply to the question about pacers was perfectly reasonable and not at alll tetsty - he talks in a straight forward manner.

[@IntoTheSkyy]

"The Olympics are just a few weeks away." Boy, the Olympics started today! They'll be over in a few weeks lmao

[@dr22w]

Can I ask a dumb question? Why doesn't Ingebrigtsen just run the race at an even pace for four laps? He is certainly able to do so, no?

[@chinter]

This style requires that he breeze through rounds without effort. If they want to beat Jakob do it in the heats first

[@dubs4966]

Good insight. I think it’s very thin, but I believe Kerr will get the job done. Timothy isn’t gonna pace him like he did in 2021. Kerr is the best in the world at changing paces, that ability alone gives me slight confidence he will beat Jakob.

[@jaybee946]

Will be an amazing race. Kerr has the better kick and Ingebrigtsen has the fitness. But each are still incredible kickers with amazing amazing overall speed. I don't think Kerr's fitness is really much behind Ingebrigtsen. His 1500m PR is from 2021. At the Bowerman mile Kerr ran from the front the whole way and Ingebrigtsen just couldn't keep up. He also gapped Nuguse by a good margin in the same race. Maybe Ingebrigtsen wasn't in top shape, but it was still a convincing win. I'll go Ingebrigtsen, but man that last 100m should be a dog fight.

[@henrikjannsen4357]

Jakob´s 3:45 time in the Bowerman Mile equals a high 3:28 in the 1500m. So he has improved with more than 2 seconds in the 1500m since that race.

[@jaybee946]

@@henrikjannsen4357 True, but Kerr beat him from the front relatively easily. And the conditions were good but not perfect. Kerr also ran an 8 flat indoor 2 mile recently. Ingebrigtsen has the better fitness but Kerr is really not that far behind. I think in a time trial Ingebrigtsen would beat Kerr by probably 1 second or less. And in championship race conditions it's really a tossup.

[@johnstirling6597]

Ultimately, it depends on who makes it to the final, when we know that then we can make a reasonable call as to meddalists.

[@chrismia2402]

Jakob, Naguse, Timothy, Josh, at least 4 guys could win it and a few other surprises could also happen.

[@CarlFredrik-uo1cu]

The faster the race/pace, the better.

[@robford3211]

Nadal vs Federer was a rivalry . Djokovic vs Nadal was a rivalry. Sharapova vs Williams and Kerr vs Jacob is not a rivalry it’s a route

[@davesideas-yt]

He took your advice. ;)

[@redd605]

It will be interesting to see if sedjati goes for the 1500 metres as well as a 1500 m , originally . running Sebastian Coe type times and with a huge kick of very fast pace as well never mind Kerr as a danger sedjati is the danger to both of them.

[@martinst8764]

I'd be v surprised if Jakob doesn't win. And regards tactics, surely he should just do a Rudisha (800m, London 2012) and run the final as a time trial? He knows exactly what pacing it takes to go 3:26.7 so why not execute that. If he does, I can't see anyone else going faster.

[@TheErinBrownTV]

Why would you be surprised he hasn't won the 1500 in 3 years

[@milocavapoo1852]

⁠@@TheErinBrownTVhe won the 1500 & 5k european championships this year. Kerr went MIA #justsaying

[@AndrewWhitehead-h7w]

Is Kessler not a potential dark horse here. His 800m in the US trials must be of some ‘concern’ to the others. He seems to have a great head.

[@TheErinBrownTV]

No American will be anywhere near the podium

[@trevorturner8037]

@@TheErinBrownTVthis didn’t age well. 1, 3, and 5

[@tedtombling2770]

J.I. rarely gets beaten by the same person twice. He'll more than likely win unless someone else can actually run much faster than him, and that person is most likely will come from an African country. Unlike the Diamond league, there are heats and no one really knows how much this takes out of the athletes, except they themselves. I imagine it will be a very close race.

[@DrProfX]

Well, now he got beat by Kerr x3 in a row and even lost to Hocker and Nguse… He’s done in 1500 m… Should focus on 5000 m before moving on to the roads…

[@archiechesler439]

How about neither?

[@DrProfX]

Just because Jakob can run some fast times it does not mean he can run those times all the time… and without pacers?!

[@TheErinBrownTV]

Especially with rounds

[@gourami7]

It will be a shock if Kerr doesn't win...

[@DrProfX]

Kerr defeated him last 2 times they raced and in Paris, it’ll be 3rd beat down! 👍

[@markeshuis459]

I think Kerr will win. I want Jacob to win. Jacob would have to have someone willing to pace him. If Jacob wins the world record will fall.

[@ancro2040]

It says everything that everybody states that the races Ingebrigtsen failed he came 2.

[@DrProfX]

This time he came 4th😂

[@ancro2040]

@@DrProfX With bigger balls than anybody

[@benjamincrowe3556]

Jakob has a much better kick than Kerr now… he closed in 52-53s to win European champs…

[@BenjiWii]

The answer: None of them

[@eliasderechte16]

If jakob just goes to the front and runs 3:26 pace he will win

[@TheErinBrownTV]

He can't do that without pacers

[@nhmountains5683]

@@TheErinBrownTVYou were right. He went out too fast on the first lap. He did all the work and didn’t break free.

[@SexyDexy74]

Good video. I don’t think Kerr has the fitness to keep up with ingebritsen if he runs his race.

[@marcelluscornelius2745]

Jakob is famished! His food was taken twice by a Brit. He wil win the gold.

[@noelliverton4836]

What this commentary suggests is that if it is won in c3:26 / 27 then only Jacob will win. Proposterous thinking

[@JonasSrensen-cb1ql]

Everyone acting like Jakob has a terrible kick lol

[@silenthawk2000]

🇺🇸

[@robinbauer1975]

Cheruiyot Kerr or Jakob will win in 3:28 I’d say 1. Cheruiyot 2. Jakob 3. Laros

[@AdamJansen786]

Be very interested to see how Laros does. He does seem like Jakob reborn...

[@TheGuy-sj4sw]

Honestly W prediction

[@nvan78]

@@AdamJansen786 I like Laros to medal, assuming he stays upright during the heats and semi.

[@TheErinBrownTV]

Perfect analysis. Jakob is a time trialer and josh is a race. Racers win championships.

[@milocavapoo1852]

Oh really? Is that why Kerr only has 2 medals in his career despite being 3 years older vs Jakob’s 11 with 9 Golds? I think the stats show who the champion & racer is 😉

[@blainenewton7188]

Kerr's 3:45 in the mile, which was run last Spring, translates to roughly 3:27 for 1,500m, which is well within range of Jakob's recent 1,500m time. Kerr took the lead in his mile race at about 600m out, showing his newfound strength, and he has since improved his fitness even more. Then again, so has Jakob. So, it could go either way. Would love to see Timothy Cheruiyot in the mix, too.

[@AdamJansen786]

Yeah its very close! I don't think those times are equivalent. Kerrs mile time is closer to a low 3:28 1500m according to IAAF score calculator so I don't think Kerr has yet shown he is in 3:27 form (although he could be and has not shown it yet).

[@blainenewton7188]

@@AdamJansen786 You're right, it would be closer to 3:28. I don't use the calculator, but usually use like a 17 second difference to convert. I guess I forgot how to subtract! 😆 Btw, I love your channel.. Liked and subscribed. And thanks for the response.

[@kd-wk8nd]

It’s not equivalent to 3.27

[@blainenewton7188]

@@kd-wk8nd Yes, I know, Adam corrected me. I think I had forgotten how to subtract 17 seconds from 3:45. Lol

[@AdamJansen786]

@@blainenewton7188 Appreciate it!

[@tylernero6671]

You mean thecrace for bronze, USA USA USA USA USA

[@ThomasEdwards-b3y]

Hi Adam - reaching out from a company who are interested in working with you! Let me know if you could share an email contact with me! Thanks, Tom

[@AdamJansen786]

@@ThomasEdwards-b3y Hello Tom - you can contact me at: [e-mail]

[@ThRunninHub]

Please change channel name

[@AdamJansen786]

@@ThRunninHub the question is: what should the name be?

[@ThRunninHub]

@@AdamJansen786 community post, let the people decide

[@isaiah2404]

Cheriot will win

[@DrProfX]

Actually, Kerr may break WR in Paris… Seriously… the man recently broke indoor 2miles record and ran some great 800s… so, he’s so fit and ready for 1500m!

[@bigt-bt1br]

The 3.29 1500 and 3.45 mile guy has zero chance breaking any outdoor wr

[@DrProfX]

The man is coming off a 2-mile indoor WR set by Mo Farrah - he has more than 0 chance… In fact, it maybe Jakob who paces him to WR 😂

[@bigt-bt1br]

@@DrProfX who cares abt indoor? Its almost 7 sec slower than Jakobs 2mile..if healthy, Jakob takes double gold and komens 3k wr in silesia

[@DrProfX]

😂 Of course that indoor is slower-it has quite literally x2 as many turns which slow you down… It is a WR which shows he has incredible stamina and he also recorded Half marathon PR, all of which will serve him well when they go through all those rounds of qualifying… Jakob will be too tired by the time they reach a final…

[@bigt-bt1br]

@@DrProfX ah yes, the 7.54 2mile guy will be too tired after the heat and semi..cmon man

[@aaroneskelson1799]

12-2

[@robinbauer1975]

Laros will beat them all. If jake was there he would have won 2022 he ran 3:50 Mile in June 2024 he rwn 3:47 lows in march And he won in 2022

[@jellekraak7930]

What did he win in 2022?

[@robinbauer1975]

@@jellekraak7930jake won europeans 800 And World Championships 1500 Laros won u18 World Championships 1500/3000

[@jellekraak7930]

@@robinbauer1975 yeah but Jake is not even running the 1500 like you said, laros is an amazing talent I don’t think you can compare u18 world champs to the proper senior Olympics but to be honest I am rooting for laros as I am Dutch I just don’t think he wens tbh

[@janekwitowski6241]

Jakib

[@mountainsmelodies4096]

If Ingrebrigtsen had pacers to take the field through 1000m at WR pace, I would pick him, but given Kerr's indoor 3000m WR, I wouldn't be at all surprised if Kerr has the fitness to use Jakob as a pacemaker and out-kick him again. Should be a very close race, either way.

[@magnusrylander]

I just want kerr to win again so jakob can eat his own words again lol