Why 2022 Will Be Worse Than 2008 | Explaining The Epic Housing Crash Theory

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Andrei Jikh

Andrei Jikh

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер
@bobflemmet7454
@bobflemmet7454 2 жыл бұрын
I know I shouldn't hope for a crash, but after putting out multiple offers over the last two years and being outbid by cash offers 100k over asking price multiple times, something needs to give.
@wisdomisawesome5934
@wisdomisawesome5934 2 жыл бұрын
Right
@dennismisovski9932
@dennismisovski9932 2 жыл бұрын
Somebody told me that the institutions like black rock and others buying up everything and that’s houses and commercial buildings are so high, more people are going to be renting then ever before
@WaveRider1989
@WaveRider1989 2 жыл бұрын
Same here bro
@RealGSingh
@RealGSingh 2 жыл бұрын
Are you concerned at all about loans becoming tougher / increased rates if it all crashes ?
@Fiendsandfamily
@Fiendsandfamily 2 жыл бұрын
Let it crash, people need to learn
@danf4447
@danf4447 2 жыл бұрын
if you lived through 2008 ..then you know it absolutely does matter...and a house is also your biggest expense..and without a job... it becomes tough to pay for.
@imho2278
@imho2278 2 жыл бұрын
Plan to rent out spare rooms.
@mauriciogonzalez6302
@mauriciogonzalez6302 2 жыл бұрын
On top of all the other debt people take on when economy is booming
@thoughtsauce7225
@thoughtsauce7225 2 жыл бұрын
Hey, Andrei! Wanted to give you my thanks for giving a shout out to SuperStonk! I am one of its original members when it had only 1,000 members. This is the second time you have mentioned us, and it brings me great joy to know you visit us! Thank you for your analysis on the post, and would love to hear your opinion on many more trending posts or DD's from our library. Love your content!
@wisdomisawesome5934
@wisdomisawesome5934 2 жыл бұрын
Hell yeah
@Glock7eventeen
@Glock7eventeen 2 жыл бұрын
Lol do u want an award for being an original member? Lmaoo
@ThreeScoundrelsComedy
@ThreeScoundrelsComedy 2 жыл бұрын
Andrei, do another video on Superstonk DD 🔥
@vampir753
@vampir753 2 жыл бұрын
Since there is a whole library of DD on Superstonk to all kinds of topics you probably need to spend some time reading that stuff as an outsider to get a better view of the "full picture". The DD he discussed makes some assumptions, but these assumptions are then backed up by other stuff in other DDs that is not part of that DD. Much like you do not understand Math by taking a single math lesson to a special subject you do not understand the general picture by just reading single DDs.
@iMixMaSteR1
@iMixMaSteR1 2 жыл бұрын
Moass ain’t happening
@Baobasaurawr
@Baobasaurawr 2 жыл бұрын
As someone who works in the mortgage industry, I can tell you we are lowering our requirements for people to get a mortgage. While it may be great for responsible home buyers. It could lead to irresponsible or unprepared people defaulting.
@imho2278
@imho2278 2 жыл бұрын
You did that before 2008. You aren't supposed to do that any more.
@jeremyscaife5553
@jeremyscaife5553 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you God!!
@eonreeves4324
@eonreeves4324 2 жыл бұрын
just like in 2008 with poorly structured loans? lol
@abhishekmukherjee4857
@abhishekmukherjee4857 2 жыл бұрын
This commercial debt and asset selling thing happened in my country around 2018 and we still haven’t recovered. It was bad and got worse during the pandemic and banks lost a ton of money and one even went bankrupt
@NoahFleming1
@NoahFleming1 2 жыл бұрын
Insightful Video. I was really hopeful of my investments this year, but all my plans has been disoriented, I've been studying the market crashes and I realized some investors made millions from the recent 2008 recession and I was wondering if such success rate could be achieved in this present market.
@agentjacob4099
@agentjacob4099 2 жыл бұрын
Yes, if you go short against the market you’d make such success.
@bossqueen_lala3098
@bossqueen_lala3098 2 жыл бұрын
First thing to do is follow up on market trends and choose the right assets
@NoahFleming1
@NoahFleming1 2 жыл бұрын
Easier said than done, but I already wrote this down and I'm willing to get started.
@anthonyfonseca2417
@anthonyfonseca2417 2 жыл бұрын
If you haven’t already you should watch the movie The Big Short. It’s one of my favorite movies and it’s all about the people that shorted the housing market. It also shows a bit of the corruption that took place in our system during the crash. Great movie.
@01010010r
@01010010r 2 жыл бұрын
Too many people doing this causes bear market runs and in the modern day of tech and Gov support we shall see how things turn out. Too many people get under and we get a squeeze lol good lick out there
@Alaa_Tariq
@Alaa_Tariq 2 жыл бұрын
Andrei should have 5x the subs he has. I really enjoyed his well researched and informative vids. You the best m8
@michaelb9940
@michaelb9940 2 жыл бұрын
ok
@jt3.
@jt3. 2 жыл бұрын
I like what you said at the end that "a house will always be a house." That's definitely how I feel about my home. Yes, it would be unfortunate if the value goes down but nothing beats not having to constantly worry about where I live. Great video once again, Andrei!
@patrickegan8866
@patrickegan8866 2 жыл бұрын
Imagine if the clever owners of real estate decided to retrofit their suddenly unused and empty office complexes for residential living and took the pressure off housing demand. Then nobody would have to go broke
@wolfofyoutube474
@wolfofyoutube474 2 жыл бұрын
Sounds easy till realize that has to approved by the county. A buisness residence is taxed as so and swapping them is a hassle and a half.
@gabetorresx
@gabetorresx 2 жыл бұрын
Nice idea but essentially impossible due to loan agreements on the buildings and their construction, amongst other complications
@Victic005
@Victic005 2 жыл бұрын
Doubt it.
@coolrunning2006
@coolrunning2006 2 жыл бұрын
Not to mentioned the cost of retrofitting it into a residence
@Fiendsandfamily
@Fiendsandfamily 2 жыл бұрын
when labor and material costs are so inflated 🤡
@grownupgaming
@grownupgaming 2 жыл бұрын
To a smaller extent, most of the content said about housing crash, can apply to crypto crash. It's all leverage, and will continue to be so until one day people treat it like a currency and not SUPERSTONKS.
@maddesthatter8089
@maddesthatter8089 2 жыл бұрын
In TX they keep building apartments which baffles me because there is so much bare land. They have paper thin walls and are extremely small but cost the mortgage of a 4 bedroom house if not more
@halbouma6720
@halbouma6720 2 жыл бұрын
TL;DR - Every time the Fed has raised interest rates since at least the year 2000 we've crashed because of people/companies being overleveraged from easy debt and can't afford to pay it back. I don't see time being any different. The problem is that with inflation being high right now, the Fed won't be able to cut rates low enough to get rates back to make the debt game continue again.
@andreiwhatsapp2991
@andreiwhatsapp2991 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching have something to share with you hit me up 👆👆✍️..
@Prisoner-jf8vi
@Prisoner-jf8vi 2 жыл бұрын
If people are lining up to buy overpriced houses now I can't imagine the rush to buy lower priced houses.
@alrajul3ziim
@alrajul3ziim 2 жыл бұрын
Unfortunately the ones selling will be at a loss because they bought so high and can't afford it.
@hallcody3
@hallcody3 2 жыл бұрын
Mikey is right, also if they have to foreclose after a crash they won’t be in a position to get financing from a bank after because they are to much of a risk and even more probably won’t have a 30-40% down payment to get that loan in such risky times
@alextogo8367
@alextogo8367 2 жыл бұрын
Who knows it might go higher and never drop down to the prices you expect. And missed your chance to buy a home altogether.
@imho2278
@imho2278 2 жыл бұрын
Will people have jobs? And the investors will just buy more houses.
@roberts1770
@roberts1770 2 жыл бұрын
That’s exactly the opposite of human psychology. People buy high and sell low.
@goukwapanzy
@goukwapanzy 2 жыл бұрын
Hi Andrei, in several of your recent videos you mentioned that you were not feeling well/under the weather, etc. Maybe you should get your immunity (gut microbiome) checked out, look into your diet (nutritionist) and exercise, stress levels and hours of sleep. We appreciate you and your videos and wish to have you at peak performance. Find wellness soon and thanks for all you do!
@stevieb4141
@stevieb4141 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you for sharing Superstonk! Much appretiated. Hope you bought some 😙
@nicholasfleischhauer191
@nicholasfleischhauer191 2 жыл бұрын
Omg I love LOVE that you continue to reference Yugioh in your content. Keep doing that haha, such a highlight of your videos for me.
@bruceames9224
@bruceames9224 2 жыл бұрын
I really appreciate how clearly you’re able to put me into the middle of this. Awesome job, thanks!
@bambi002233
@bambi002233 2 жыл бұрын
Welcome to R/Superstonk! Please do some more videos on DD/theories in the sub. Your input is appreciated and easy to digest
@zenfuri89
@zenfuri89 2 жыл бұрын
I remember a couple months back Meet Kevin had made a video about the derivatives crash 💥 as well. It’s a possibility but we have to wait and see what will happen with these mbs.
@orchestrateacher4
@orchestrateacher4 2 жыл бұрын
Your mom is funny! Happy Mother’s Day! You raised a great kid who is helping a lot of people.
@revera89
@revera89 2 жыл бұрын
I'd like houses to be back to normal prices at least. And I like the buying opportunities of a stock and crypto market crash. For the usually invetable rally. However yes crashes randomly occur and bears can be right two of every twelve years but regardless yeah. Lol. Someday could be a final bad crash however of course too but that'll prolly be politically caused. Thanks.
@MassPerfection7
@MassPerfection7 2 жыл бұрын
Had someone explain this exact situation to me over a year ago and this is the first time I've seen it mentioned since. Definitely intentional
@geemanns4949
@geemanns4949 2 жыл бұрын
WATCH THE BIG SHORT!
@joonlee30
@joonlee30 2 жыл бұрын
The more you learn about how US economy works, the more you realize the average people pay for the rich people’s game. Unfortunately you lose if you don’t play the game. If you play the game, you will still likely lose but at least have a chance at winning.
@michaeld4861
@michaeld4861 2 жыл бұрын
Squid Game with a little less death (just a tad).
@chilongqua1238
@chilongqua1238 2 жыл бұрын
Sure beats North Korea and West Taiwan, doesn't it?
@nonamuss9991
@nonamuss9991 2 жыл бұрын
Yeah! The more research you do about 2008 the madder ya get! They walked away rich after gambling their fortunes away and the taxpayer picked up the losses while they kept their riches! Then they pass tax laws to advantage the gamblers also. Been talking to nephew about investing for retirement and he’s bewildered coming to the realization that since the advent of the 401K, the gamblers have compelled the rest of us to have to fund their game. The little guy has no choice but to play if they ever want to hope to retire.
@windy619
@windy619 2 жыл бұрын
And then you become a “rich people” ? What about the rich people that lose?
@wolfofyoutube474
@wolfofyoutube474 2 жыл бұрын
Hey keep trying my account is boosted on fools who think they are the lucky one. Casinos thrive on your thought process as well. Almost feels like an ad designed to intice gamblers
@user-mx5cp5tm4x
@user-mx5cp5tm4x 2 жыл бұрын
Lots of info here but unfortunately all over the place and conflating different types of real estate risks (residential vs commercial.) Just to touch on your main point about leverage. Residential home buyers rarely use securities backed loans to finance homes. Securities backed loans are the risky stuff, as you mentioned, security values drop, there’s margin calls, rates go up and their variable rates increase, etc etc. Most buyers however were using 30 or 15 year fixed rate mortgages for the last few years, as their rates were in the high to low 2s. These are fixed rate loans, unaffected by changing rates. Another type of loan, used a bit more often than securities backed lines of credit, are “asset dissipation” loans. Where the bank assumes a stream of income from securities and uses that as the borrowers income to qualify for the loan. Typically only done for high net worth individuals buying homes in the jumbo loan category. Risky, if values goes down, their income clearly would drop, and that could affect affordability. DTI ratios for these types of loans are in the 40% range, and usually the assets used in the calculation are IRAs (no leverage), so we’d have to see even more market downturn before the income gets stressed in many of those loans. So In short, lots of scary talk, nice video editing and cinematography, but the financial data was a hodgepodge of scary what-if’s pulled from online sources without clear correlation or confident assessment of what’s to come. In my view, leverage isn’t as big of an issue as it was in ‘08, and we will see a pullback in home values from a drop in demand (interest rates going up) and a reduction of inflation (cost to build home goes down, prices follow), but it won’t be as severe as ‘08 because we still have a major home supply issue. - Finance professional.
@andreiwhatsapp9593
@andreiwhatsapp9593 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching have something to share with you hit me up 👆👆✍️..
@anotherdumbwelder6219
@anotherdumbwelder6219 2 жыл бұрын
So how bad will I be screwed buying a house right now 😂
@ErikFaust
@ErikFaust 2 жыл бұрын
Great content per usual! Really appreciate all the research you do! I hope I'll be able to buy a house in the next couple of years and not get screwed over
@LeedFord
@LeedFord 2 жыл бұрын
INVESTING MAKE UP THE TOP-NOTCH HEMISPHERE OF WEALTH, THAT IS MORE REASON ONE SHOULD SAVE AND INVEST TO SECURE MORE PROFIT AND ENSURE SUCCESS
@halima333
@halima333 2 жыл бұрын
HOW!! I know it's possible, My sister always get 40K every week, I would really appreciate if you show me how to go about it.
@Marguerite_Johnson
@Marguerite_Johnson 2 жыл бұрын
I started with just 4thousand now earning upto 15thousand WEEKLY
@arti6686
@arti6686 2 жыл бұрын
人人人 十➊➍➊➎➌➋➌➌➋➌➏ 人人漫人
@arti6686
@arti6686 2 жыл бұрын
Anyone can link up with her
@pokegoheroes
@pokegoheroes 2 жыл бұрын
The Pokémon, Yu-Gi-Oh, etc references take these videos to the next level 😆
@Simpatico84
@Simpatico84 2 жыл бұрын
That gold to copper line had me rolling 😂😂😂😂😂
@brittdoss
@brittdoss 2 жыл бұрын
To add to this, when you take out a Commercial Loan for a property, the owner has to sign a "Personal Guarantee" -- in case you default on paying for the commercial property the bank can come after your assets -- ie, your house. It's like getting margin called
@user-oe4yt6dg4j
@user-oe4yt6dg4j 2 жыл бұрын
Message me here to explain better on how to make money easily online
@networth00
@networth00 2 жыл бұрын
Not all Commercial loans make you sign over personal assets. I've never had to.
@stuntdubl2465
@stuntdubl2465 2 жыл бұрын
While I understand the differences between the 2008 housing crash and todays issues, I’d be interested to see the chart you showed for current margin/real estate cost compared with a chart from 2008.
@claradidi7573
@claradidi7573 2 жыл бұрын
Over the last five years, the market generated an average return above 19%. Even with 15% inflation, you come out with a 4% growth in real returns. On top of that, if you own properties, inflation pumps up your property value a lot which can make borrowing a lot.
@viviangall1786
@viviangall1786 2 жыл бұрын
@gabetorresx
@gabetorresx 2 жыл бұрын
Depending on where you're invested, all of that has already been given back, and then some
@koltoncrane3099
@koltoncrane3099 2 жыл бұрын
Ya inflation benefits those that can borrow large amounts of money, but then it bends over and screws everyone else. God forbid we ever have a semi equitable free market with sound money
@koltoncrane3099
@koltoncrane3099 2 жыл бұрын
Ella Inflation can hurt retirees way more. Think about it. If you own bonds or annuities you’re screwed. It’s why pensions had to go way out on the risk curve just to get a return. Sure some old rich people with assets do well, but don’t forget the FED bent over social security and has screwed em for two decades with low interest rates on debt. Social security can only buy government debt. So by 2034 they’ll only pay 76 cents on the dollar. When they print the money to bail em out Since the fed screwed em they’ll print the money, cause inflation and then have to inflation adjust each year. It’s not good. It’s bad for old people.
@ratacatattack
@ratacatattack 2 жыл бұрын
Which market? The housing market hasn't averaged 19% annual returns over the past five years. And sustained 15% inflation? Never gonna happen. And what do you mean "can make borrowing a lot"? Can take out loans based on home's increased equity?
@beenjammin1750
@beenjammin1750 2 жыл бұрын
This video was so so excellent! When I saw the title I was so excited to watch! Thank you for doing so much research and putting as much into your videos as you do. This video was so informative and was absolutely amazing! I’m diving into my own research because of this video.
@Anonymoustruth293
@Anonymoustruth293 2 жыл бұрын
The economy shrank and the money supply grew exponentially doesn't take a genius to know what's going to happen next
@andreiwhatsapp5427
@andreiwhatsapp5427 2 жыл бұрын
👆Hey mate Thanks for watching have something to share with you hit me up 👆👆.✍️
@imho2278
@imho2278 2 жыл бұрын
Well put.
@mtw2121
@mtw2121 2 жыл бұрын
you have the BEST voice.. i could listen to you all day long... thanks for your content and effort ! Keep up the good work !
@performanceoverlooks
@performanceoverlooks 2 жыл бұрын
As someone who’s looking to be a first time home owner soon (to live in), I hear “hopeful” every time you say “bad” lol
@dtemple67
@dtemple67 2 жыл бұрын
I think the reality of this is quite evident. Take a look at the capital structure Elon Musk proposed in his purchase of Twitter. A large portion of the equity in his leveraged buyout is financed by a margin loan against his Tesla shares. An already incredibly overvalued asset. To my knowledge, this is uncommon practice and has HUGE implications for Tesla shareholders. I was shocked when i heard about the cap structure of the buyout, and i think it provides us an indication of the possibility proposed in the video.
@agz4370
@agz4370 2 жыл бұрын
I would agree with you but we would need to fix one word: overvalued. LOL
@LordSterben
@LordSterben 2 жыл бұрын
Honestly I'm never purchasing a home in the USA. I'll be renting for the upcoming years, and investing my money In fine art, and the S&P 500. My retirement plan is buying a big home in Mexico, and living with my wife once again in her home country. Good luck to everyone out there!
@winstonwolf5706
@winstonwolf5706 2 жыл бұрын
Good plan.
@BarbellFinancial
@BarbellFinancial 2 жыл бұрын
Nothing wrong with this plan! Personal finance is personal.
@truesandiegan1839
@truesandiegan1839 2 жыл бұрын
Bought a house in 2018, now I’m selling and walking with $50k which I’m using as a down payment on a duplex. The rent should just about cover my mortgage and hopefully in the future I can leverage this new property to buy more multi-family homes
@jj9501
@jj9501 2 жыл бұрын
Wish I had you as a teacher at school! You can explain so easy to understand. Appreciate your work
@COMMZY
@COMMZY 2 жыл бұрын
👆Hey mate.. Thanks for watching have something to share with you hit me up 👆👆✍️.
@susanrosegale6646
@susanrosegale6646 2 жыл бұрын
I never tire of your humor and content, few can pull it off. You do it well. :)
@rexn1589
@rexn1589 2 жыл бұрын
There are several underling reasons this theory won't blowup so fast. One is banks don't react that quickly to economic fluctuations, especially micro`s. Banks take the long view and act as a filter to smooth out many potential `rough spots` on the risk side of the equation. Take how banks handled two decades of near zero interest rates. They were hard pressed to make money in this environment, yet they adapted by lowering operating costs and other measures. Another consideration against this theory is the velocity of money in the US, specifically. It remains the highest of any nation. Lenders continue to lend and borrowers continue to borrow to propetuate the creation of business and long term value. Banks/lenders need this cycle to continue as it is the essence of their livelihood. Banks have and will continue to act as a sponge to ease short term economic disturbances. Requirements for higher cash reserves aids this capacity.
@imho2278
@imho2278 2 жыл бұрын
But don't forget the govt is literally hurling cash into the gaps, so you are looking at inflation. And interest rate rises to contain it.
@galenhughes
@galenhughes 2 жыл бұрын
much respect. out there on the grind. hope you're feeling better
@andreiwhatsapp2991
@andreiwhatsapp2991 2 жыл бұрын
👆Hey mate Thanks for watching have something to share with you hit me up 👆👆✍️...
@mrbyorself
@mrbyorself 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks, now my brain is a "little bit more wrinklier"!
@javigil7024
@javigil7024 2 жыл бұрын
Andrei Jikh you got mad Charisma and the information you share is extremally valuable and for that I thank you!!!
@TheendofBabylon
@TheendofBabylon 2 жыл бұрын
Amazing teacher. New subbie.
@jack111135
@jack111135 2 жыл бұрын
great video as always, but you need a new makeup artist 😂
@baref1959
@baref1959 2 жыл бұрын
i am more worried about a crash in the value of the dollar then the value of a house. i used to own rental property and found that it is worse then the stock market...
@StockCurry123
@StockCurry123 2 жыл бұрын
to
@joshyjosh8817
@joshyjosh8817 2 жыл бұрын
The dollar is going to gain more value but with Biden sending relief to other countries in large amounts it's going to be a slower process. The dollar will regain it's value. But the central banks want to get rid of all currencies and distribute their own crypto-bank currency.
@adm6031
@adm6031 2 жыл бұрын
Why rental property is worse than stock market?
@zwatwashdc
@zwatwashdc 2 жыл бұрын
@@adm6031 returns are better for stocks and stocks are easier and more liquid.
@lukem2260
@lukem2260 2 жыл бұрын
Ur joking ...i owned a house for 23 years . It went up up up and more up....
@mongoosevsgt
@mongoosevsgt 2 жыл бұрын
It's going to hurt this time around for many. If you are not sitting on cash the big question how long will it take to recover those losses.
@BillyCardano
@BillyCardano 2 жыл бұрын
Huge (barely early) congrats on 2M man
@nrshahwan
@nrshahwan 2 жыл бұрын
I am here to admire the wall color behind you
@AFulfilledLife
@AFulfilledLife 2 жыл бұрын
Interesting perspective- love the videos when you go into these theories in detail Andrei- learning a lot cheers 🤞🏽
@tagtaylor3769
@tagtaylor3769 2 жыл бұрын
$QNT is the key
@Kbarboza94
@Kbarboza94 2 жыл бұрын
I hope massive companies that buy houses suffer the most.
@gabriellopez3403
@gabriellopez3403 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for giving visibility to our beloved superstonk Andrei! Remember to buy hold and drs your GME shares
@Sky-wakka
@Sky-wakka 2 жыл бұрын
Congrats on 2m subs!
@d1v15_fpv
@d1v15_fpv 2 жыл бұрын
Space Station Gaming for the win!!
@zharfantasy
@zharfantasy 2 жыл бұрын
I usually understand about only 10% of Andrei's videos but I still watch them anyway. That 10% is very valuable imo :) thanks Andrei!
@BarbellFinancial
@BarbellFinancial 2 жыл бұрын
Keep an open mind and never stop learning!
@martynj3438
@martynj3438 2 жыл бұрын
TLDW Andrei :) But I did hit the like button. Only kidding I did watch too, as always great video and I hope you feel better buddy
@Koushi82
@Koushi82 2 жыл бұрын
I said this months ago investors using cash isn't using cash they using margin to act as cash to buy houses and when stonks crash housing crash as margin leverage limit goes down.
@Crates-Media
@Crates-Media 2 жыл бұрын
Either your brain becomes more wrinkly, or it becomes wrinklier... not "more wrinklier". That's like saying "more funner".
@ericvazquez3434
@ericvazquez3434 2 жыл бұрын
Dre , thank you
@MrDPMan3000
@MrDPMan3000 2 жыл бұрын
I keep hearing plenty of people talk about a crash happening but rarely mention how much they actually think the market will fall? Like is a 5% or 10% fall really a "crash"?
@gubbz4087
@gubbz4087 2 жыл бұрын
this would be incredibly bullish for crypto. Trust-less financing will be the future
@AstorSkywalker
@AstorSkywalker 2 жыл бұрын
Hey Andrei what did your Mom think about that theory? I couldn't understand
@Adam-boogie
@Adam-boogie 2 жыл бұрын
I like the space station gaming shirt! Which esport do you watch??
@dthompson3426
@dthompson3426 2 жыл бұрын
As someone who is just now old enough and stable enough to look at owning a home, I certainly wouldn't mind seeing prices come back to reality because this current market is ridiculous and now rates are going up. Completely unattainable for a middle class worker. Especially single income like myself. If real estate investors ended up taking the majority of a hit from a housing crash, I say good. They're part of the reason regular people are priced out. Especially younger people who haven't had the opportunity to own real estate yet.
@wisdomisawesome5934
@wisdomisawesome5934 2 жыл бұрын
I’m in the same situation
@xDrake00Xeyus00
@xDrake00Xeyus00 2 жыл бұрын
Sorry to say but this is reality now..
@imho2278
@imho2278 2 жыл бұрын
A self funded investor is not receiving Govt benefits, is making $10k a year on the house they own, is spending $10k a year to keep it maintained, and is supplying a roof over the head of a family that is in irregular employment and cannot afford the mortgage. Stamp duty alone is about $40k....and then your deposit is another $40k. Investors are providing a housing service the Govt won't supply, or fund, and are ineligible for Govt benefits.
@nicklonzar
@nicklonzar 2 жыл бұрын
Yes the big one is coming
@AltcoinD..
@AltcoinD.. 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching Hit me up there ☝️☝️ There are profitable nods and patterns I’d love to show you...
@tino1717
@tino1717 2 жыл бұрын
Nice to hear you talking about some commercial banking terminology!
@robnemily
@robnemily 2 жыл бұрын
Checkout Louis Rossman's rant about rent prices and empty buildings in NYC.
@Joey.Alford
@Joey.Alford 2 жыл бұрын
R/Superstonk represent! To the moon baby
@taniatherealtor
@taniatherealtor 2 жыл бұрын
Amazing explanation…need to watch again, but I did learn a lot!
@swagmassa6702
@swagmassa6702 2 жыл бұрын
Andrei always has amazing videos. I watch Graham Stephen too but I feel like he just talks a lot without saying much
@jolaneey5338
@jolaneey5338 2 жыл бұрын
This is such a stressful topic and yet he has this smooth deep voice that makes me calm.
@andreiwhatsapp5427
@andreiwhatsapp5427 2 жыл бұрын
👆Hey mate Thanks for watching have something to share with you hit me up 👆👆✍️..
@LCfromtheBX
@LCfromtheBX 2 жыл бұрын
So basically CDOs but with commercial real estate?
@christinab9133
@christinab9133 2 жыл бұрын
Interesting thx for a great video!
@colvinvandommelen2156
@colvinvandommelen2156 2 жыл бұрын
r/Superstonk is an amazing subreddit i’m glad you’re shining light to it
@VladR1der69
@VladR1der69 2 жыл бұрын
Drew: “Hey mom, the world is coming to an end” Mom: “Да ты что?” 😂 She’s like oh son, I’ve heard that too many times that idgaf anymore
@sm0othdude
@sm0othdude 2 жыл бұрын
well said. I guess at the end of the day anything is possible and you just have to stay informed with what’s going on. expect the best and plan for the worst.
@ajain11891
@ajain11891 2 жыл бұрын
There are a few things that don’t work out in the logic here. Fundamentally, when banks “lend” money, they look at NET assets (assets - liabilities), they deduct the margin ( on your brokerage account for example) when issuing new debt and assessing a corporation or individuals “risk”. Therefore there is no margin on margin situation here (that’s crypto). 2nd, CMBS’s also have a fixed interest rate feature (similar to fixed home mortgage). The real risk with CMBS is the ballon payment at the end of the fixed tenor.
@lesteezy7748
@lesteezy7748 2 жыл бұрын
Liked immediately after gotenks reference
@sifumua80
@sifumua80 2 жыл бұрын
Shizzo, made me understand what this all means. Great video.
@Kev7ing
@Kev7ing 2 жыл бұрын
They been talking about a commercial crash for years, and I see it with all these empty store fronts and work from home
@PìnnedbyMoltMoney
@PìnnedbyMoltMoney 2 жыл бұрын
Whatsapp✙447494121125 More updates on ETH,XRP,SOL📊 Whatsapp✙447494121125 More updates on XLM,NFT’s, BTC📊 👆👆👆👆
@EVPlays1
@EVPlays1 2 жыл бұрын
New microphone Andrei?
@moeinsaqer9524
@moeinsaqer9524 2 жыл бұрын
great video if you could please do a video about 2019 repo market issue
@blutsch813
@blutsch813 2 жыл бұрын
Buying that dip for sure. Especially GME
@need4spe3dBeast
@need4spe3dBeast 2 жыл бұрын
Oof🤣
@activekitchen1
@activekitchen1 2 жыл бұрын
When he said CDs , I was like: Heeey I understand what that is
@JayEs31
@JayEs31 2 жыл бұрын
Good video. The crash comes because housing values are typically tied to income. Things have gotten detached in recent years and people have had extra money from government handouts and stock or crypto market appreciation. When people start losing jobs during a recession it will effect the repayment ability and then those houses will go to market which will increase supply on demand is falling and that’s why housing will crash
@Rshen11
@Rshen11 2 жыл бұрын
Housing values are tied to supply and demand.. people with income are buying multiple homes.. lowering the supply blocking out first time home buyers..
@imho2278
@imho2278 2 жыл бұрын
Exactly.
@cryptoguy6746
@cryptoguy6746 2 жыл бұрын
Always enjoy your content and I totally dig your logo
@andreiwhatsapp3931
@andreiwhatsapp3931 2 жыл бұрын
👆Hey mate Thanks for watching have something to share with you hit me up 👆👆✍️.
@jordancooldood6183
@jordancooldood6183 2 жыл бұрын
The main difference is that now the price is being driven by lack of supply, and in 2008 prices went up because if you could make a mirror fog you were qualified for a mortgage.
@Rudy1150
@Rudy1150 2 жыл бұрын
100% agree.
@noname-mm9of
@noname-mm9of 2 жыл бұрын
Someone didn’t watch the video
@Miguel-cz9fh
@Miguel-cz9fh 2 жыл бұрын
Yes... in a way, but mainly because all the cheap borrowing and inflated income of many buyers due to all the free money that Papa Paul created with its limitless money printing . Now that Papa Paul has stopped all of this , and with the rise of cost of living due to a super high inflation ,will result in a decrease of home sales and many people defaulting on their mortgage thus creating another 2008.
@crileymane
@crileymane 2 жыл бұрын
They are pushing ARM loans again to get retail a low starting rate. Gunna end bad.
@douglasclarke4860
@douglasclarke4860 2 жыл бұрын
the funny thing is back in 2008 all the Smart people, the rich, the connected all got out of the markets before the tank, and they are doing it again today!!!! "don't listen to what they say, watch what they do! Follow the money"
@elpookay
@elpookay 2 жыл бұрын
thank you not being alarmist
@raycody
@raycody 2 жыл бұрын
You should do your whole video in "big head mode" sometime. That never gets old! Cracks me up everytime!
@brad265
@brad265 2 жыл бұрын
For not being a real estate guy you did an exceptional job explaining cap rates and dscr. Great job Andrei
@roberts1770
@roberts1770 2 жыл бұрын
The biggest trap people fall into during times like this is forgetting that home ownership is a myth. It’s all about equity management. When home prices drop, your 10-20% equity is gone. Things like a recession, job loss, and the occasional pandemic result in forced sales, foreclosures, and bankruptcy. It happens with every cycle
@andreiwhatsapp2534
@andreiwhatsapp2534 2 жыл бұрын
LET'S GO DM ME I HAVE SOMETHING To SHARE WITH YOU 👆👆✍️ .
@INDECISIVEAF
@INDECISIVEAF 2 жыл бұрын
Where are my GameStop Apes?
@pitchitbusinesschannel
@pitchitbusinesschannel 2 жыл бұрын
Gotta love the casino analogy from the big short
@davidmendoza5856
@davidmendoza5856 2 жыл бұрын
Jaja I did read that article before you posting. Glad that you put it out there.
@travisledo
@travisledo 2 жыл бұрын
Banks approving anyone was the problem in 2008. Over-leveraging will be the problem this time. Margins are super high right now due to euphoria in the markets.
@corneliuswhite5139
@corneliuswhite5139 2 жыл бұрын
Great video Andrei. Thank you.
@GTM9164
@GTM9164 2 жыл бұрын
a lot of the commercial real-estate in Boston is being turned from office space to bio/chem/medical/general R&D labs for companies which is in high demand here. obviously not the whole country but in major cities we could see a very smart pivot in commercial real estate.
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